59% Approve Of How Biden Performed Role As President-elect

A Scott Rasmussen survey found that 59% of voters nationwide approve of the way Joe Biden has performed his role as President-elect. The numbers include 34% who Strongly Approve and 25% who Strongly Disapprove.

Overall, Biden earns approval from 73% of urban voters, 56% of those in suburbs, and 46% of rural Americans.

Positive reviews come from 91% of Democrats, 51% of Independents and 26% of Republicans.

As he prepares to take office, Biden’s ratings are up several points compared to his ratings in November and December. That may reflect a bounce following the January 6 occupation of the U.S. Capitol. However, it may also be a reflection of people getting more comfortable with Biden as inauguration day approaches. In either case, Biden will likely be rated by a different standard once he transitions from President-elect to President of the United States.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from January 14-16, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 228 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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61% Want President-elect Biden to Build Larger Governing Majority by Finding Common Ground

Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters want President-elect Biden to build a larger governing majority with policies that can win over some Republicans and other Trump supporters. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 17% want him to ignore the concerns of his political opponents and try to implement as many Democratic policies as possible.

Other than Very Liberal voters, a majority of every measured demographic group wanted the incoming president to build a larger governing majority by finding some common ground. Very Liberal voters are evenly divided–47% prefer the consensus building approach while 45% want him to ignore the concerns of others and implement Democratic policies.

Among those who say faith or religion is a Very Important part of their life, 68% favor the consensus building approach. Just 14% take the opposite view. As for those who say faith or religion is Not at All Important, 52% want Biden to build a larger governing majority. Thirty percent (30%) want him to focus on Democratic policies.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from January 7-9, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 227 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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19% Say Personal Finances Getting Better; Down 8 Points Since Election

Economic optimism declined as the new year arrived. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 19% of voters believe their personal finances are getting better. That’s down three points from a month ago and down eight since October.

Twenty-six percent (26%) believe their own finances are getting worse. That’s up just a single point compared to the pre-election survey.

The decline in optimism has been driven by Republicans. Prior to the election, 43% of GOP voters believed their finances were getting better. That fell to 36% after the election and 18% now. Such a partisan perspective is fairly normal following an election. Typically, Republicans are more upbeat about the economy when a Republican is in the White House, and Democrats are more optimistic when a Democrat is president.[1][2]

That decline has been partially offset by an increased confidence among Democrats. Twenty-five percent (25%) of those in President-elect Biden’s party now say their finances are getting better. That’s up seven points since Biden was elected.

Among Independent voters, 14% now say their finances are getting better while 28% say worse.

The survey also found that just 12% believe the overall economy is getting better while 51% say it’s getting worse.

Eighteen percent (18%) currently rate the economy as good or excellent while 37% say it’s in poor shape.

On the personal front, 37% say their own finances are good or excellent. Twenty-three percent (23%) say their finances are in poor shape.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen from January 2-3, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were contacted online or via text. They were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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Reality Check for Trump–and Biden–Supporters

One of the most important jobs of a public opinion pollster is to tell people what they need to hear rather than what they want to hear. Unfortunately, in most media commentary today, both supporters and opponents of President Trump are being told only what they want to hear.

With this in mind, I would like to offer the following reality check.

Supporters of President Trump need to be told that the election is over. Most of the president’s supporters have accepted that reality, but a significant minority has not. They may not like the truth, but former Vice President Joe Biden is now the President-elect and will be inaugurated on January 20. There is no Constitutional, legal, or political process that can change that outcome.

Accepting the reality that Biden won is not a form of betrayal or a sign of weakness. It is simply an acknowledgment of where things stand today.

I understand the anger and disappointment that millions of Trump supporters feel. I felt it firsthand in angry responses throughout the campaign when my polling and commentary suggested a Biden victory was the most likely outcome. I saw it in the data where large numbers of Trump voters ignored the warning signs and were confident that the president would be re-elected.

Rather than being misled to believe that there is still a path to re-election victory for President Trump, these voters should be encouraged to channel their energy in a more productive manner. One very productive direction would be devoting energy on a state-by-state basis to reform election procedures prior to the 2022 elections. Polling I conducted in Pennsylvania showed strong bi-partisan support for significant reforms.

But Trump supporters are not the only ones in need of a reality check.

The strongest Trump opponents are gleeful at the visible disappointment and reaction of Trump’s strongest supporters. Far too many still believe that Hillary Clinton was right to call them deplorable and their media outlets are promoting the idea that the failure to trust the election results is unprecedented.

In reality, the response of Trump supporters following the 2020 election has much in common with the response of Clinton supporters following the 2016 election.

In both 2016 and 2020, fans of the losing candidate never took seriously the possibility that their team might lose. When the votes were counted and the unthinkable happened, an overriding belief quickly developed that the other candidate could not have won without cheating. That led to a conviction among many on the losing side that the winner was not legitimately elected.

Following the Clinton campaign, Democrats talked of impeaching the president even before he took office. And they repeatedly believed that the next bit of breaking news was going to provide the evidence needed to remove the president from office. But that news never came because the evidence did not exist. Still, four years later, the losing candidate herself claimed that Donald Trump was not a legitimate president.

Understanding that we have had two presidential elections in a row where the losers believe they were cheated out of victory should instill a great desire to rebuild confidence in our electoral process. Seeing this reality would help Biden voters channel their energy in a more effective manner.

Recognizing the need to reform our processes of voting and counting the ballots is not the same as agreeing with those who believe the 2020 election was stolen. It is simply an acknowledgment that governments derive their only just power from the consent of the governed.  If voters do not trust the process through which elected officials are elected, the government itself will have no legitimacy.

Despite our current troubles, I remain optimistic about America’s future. Our political system is badly broken, and things may get worse before they get better. But, as I wrote in my recent column for the Deseret News, a new generation of leaders is coming soon. The most influential of them will recognize that their job is not to change America. It is to change American politics so that our government can follow where the culture is leading.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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22% Say Their Personal Finances Getting Better; 28% Say Worse

Twenty-two percent (22%) of voters believe their personal finances are getting better, while another 28% say their finances are getting worse. A PoliticalIQ survey found that 48% believe their personal finances are staying about the same, and 2% are not sure.

The results reflect a modest increase in pessimism following Election 2020. The number saying their finances are getting better are down five points just prior to Election Day and down four from the weekend after the election. On the other side of the equation, the number saying their finances are worse is up three points since the pre-election survey.

The decline in optimism has been driven by Republicans. Prior to the election, 43% of GOP voters believed their finances were getting better. That fell to 36% after the election and 24% now.  Such a partisan perspective is fairly normal following an election. Typically, Republicans are more upbeat about the economy when a Republican is in the White House and Democrats more optimistic when a Democrat is president. 

What is a bit unusual is that there has not been a corresponding bounce in optimism among Democrats. Prior to the election, 18% of those in Joe Biden’s party said that their personal finances were getting better. That number has inched up just three points to 21% today.

It is impossible to know precisely why Democratic optimism has not increased. It may be that President-elect Biden’s victory was accompanied by disappointing results for Democrats in House, Senate, and State Legislative Races.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from December 3-5, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 192 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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45% Say It’s Appropriate To Discuss Politics At Holiday Gatherings; 43% Disagree

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters nationwide think it’s appropriate to discuss politics at family holiday gatherings. A Political IQ survey found that 43% disagree and believe it’s a topic that should be avoided.

Perhaps not surprisingly, those with the strongest political views are most likely to see political discussions as appropriate. Very Conservative voters, by a 61% to 32% margin, hold that view. So do Very Liberal voters, by a similar 63% to 29% margin. However, a plurality of those with less ideologically extreme view would are much more likely to say such conversations should be avoided. Among those who are Somewhat Conservative, Moderate, or Somewhat Liberal, just 41% believe politics is a topic for discussion at family holiday gatherings.

As on many topics, there is also a substantial divide. By a 55% to 34% margin, those with a college degree are okay with political discussions over the holidays. Those without a degree take the opposite view by a 49% to 39% margin.

Most men (52%) are okay with the political discussions. A plurality of women (46%) are not.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from December 3-5, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 192 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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59% Want Biden to Focus on Restoring Trust in Gov’t Rather Than Policy Goals, 26% Disagree

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters believe it is more important for a Biden Administration to focus on restoring trust and confidence in our system of politics, elections, and government rather than advancing specific policy goals. A Political IQ survey found that just 26% take the opposite view.

This is perhaps unsurprising given the high levels of distrust that have continued for decades. It has been nearly half a century since most Americans trusted the federal government to do the right thing most of the time.

A majority of every measured demographic group places a higher priority on restoring trust rather than advancing policy goals.

One step toward restoring trust might be a focus on election law reform. A recent Political IQ survey of Pennsylvania voters found strong bi-partisan support for a large number of reforms. National polling has shown similarly broad support for reforms that will build trust in election results.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen from November 27-28, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were contacted online or via text. They were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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For News Organization, 47% Say Diversity of Thought Matters More Than Demographic Diversity

When it comes to the staff for a news service, 47% of voters believe diversity of thought and opinion is more important than diversity along racial, ethnic, gender, and other demographic lines. A Political IQ survey found that 30% disagree and believe demographic diversity is more important. Twenty-three percent (23%) are not sure which matters the most.

Democrats are evenly divided on this question. However, Republicans and Independents tend to see diversity of thought as more important.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Hispanic voters and 48% of White voters view diversity of thought as more important. Black voters, by a 48% to 35% margin, take the opposite view.

The survey, conducted by Scott Rasmussen, also found that 47% believe it is possible to have diversity of thought and opinion without demographic diversity. Twenty-nine percent (29%) disagree and believe demographic diversity is needed to have diversity of thought.

By a 58% to 23% margin, those who see diversity of thought as more important also believe it is possible to have such diversity without also having demographic diversity. Those who see demographic diversity as more important on evenly divided on that point.

Finally, by a 52% to 25% margin, voters tend to believe that demographic diversity does not guarantee diversity of thought and opinion. They believe it is possible for a demographically diverse news organization to still present a single ideological perspective with no diversity of thought and opinion.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen from November 27-28, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were contacted online or via text. They were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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57% Say Protecting Free Speech More Important Than Preventing Spread of Misinformation

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters nationwide believe that protecting free speech so that all voices and opinions can be heard is more important than limiting free speech to prevent the spread of misinformation. A Political IQ survey conducted by Scott Rasmussen found that 31% take the opposite view and believe preventing the spread of misinformation is more important. Twelve percent (12%) are not sure.

A majority of every measured demographic group but one sees protecting free speech as more important. The sole exception is government employees who are fairly evenly divided. Fifty percent (50%) of those on the public payroll say preventing the spread of misinformation is more important while 44% say protecting free speech is the higher priority.

by a 59% to 30% margin, private sector workers believe protecting free speech is more important. Among retirees, 59% see free speech as more important while 34% take the opposite view.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen from November 27-28, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were contacted online or via text. They were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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83% of Pennsylvania Voters Say It’s Important to Reform Election Laws Prior to Next Election

Eighty-three percent (83%) of Pennsylvania voters say it’s important to reform Pennsylvania’s voting laws before the next election. A Political IQ survey found that just 11% disagree.

Those totals include 63% who say election law reform is Very Important and only 3% who say it is Not at All Important.

There’s also strong support for many specific reforms:

  • 88% agree that, prior to the election, government agencies should clean the voter registration files and remove the names of all who have moved or died.
  • 75% strongly approve of requiring all mail-in ballots to be received by Election Day.
  • 68% think government agencies should be required to report the vote totals from all ballots on Election Night.
  • 88% believe both Republican and Democratic party officials should be allowed in the room for every step of the ballot collection and ballot counting procedures.
  • 75% say all voters who cast their ballot in person should be required to show a photo ID before voting.
  • For those who mail in their ballot, 58% believe they should they required to include a copy of their photo ID.
  • 56% want ballot harvesting to be outlawed.

Additionally, 69% want mail-in ballots sent only to those who request them. Twenty-seven percent (27%) believe they should be sent to all voters.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters in Pennsylvania was conducted by Scott Rasmussen from November 16-19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the state’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population. Among the respondents who voted in the presidential election, 50% voted for Biden, 46% for Trump, and 3% for some other candidate. The actual vote count in Pennsylvania shows Biden at 50%, Trump at 49%, and Libertarian Jo Jorgensen at 1%. The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 3.1 percentage points.

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Pessimism Growing: 62% Believe Worst of Pandemic Still to Come

Pessimism about the pandemic has risen in recent weeks. A Political IQ survey found that 62% of voters now believe the worst of the pandemic is still to come. That’s up six points from a month ago. It’s also just one point shy of the high-water mark for pessimism recorded in July.

In July, however, just 15% thought the worst was behind us. That figure is 22% today.

Throughout August and September, weekly polling showed pessimism about the pandemic gradually declining. During September, fewer than half believed the worst was yet to come. However, that all changed following news that President Trump tested positive for COVID-19.

Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Republicans now believe the worst is behind us. However, 80% of Democrats and 19% of independents believe the worst is still to come.

The table below highlights selected results showing trends over the past few months.

Worst of Pandemic is Behind Us Worst of Pandemic is Still to Come
Oct. 15-17 22% 56%
Oct. 8-10 27% 52%
Oct. 1-3 24% 55%
Sept. 3-5 29% 49%
Aug. 13-15 20% 59%
July 23-25 15% 63%
June 4-6 29% 42%
April 9-11 16% 60%

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from November 12-14, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 276 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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75% Think Biden Likely To Impose Strict National Lockdown

To deal with the pandemic, 75% of voters believe President-elect Biden will impose a strict nationwide lockdown. A Political IQ poll found that 15% consider such a lockdown order unlikely while 9% are not sure.

Those totals include 40% who consider it Very Likely and just 3% who say it’s Not at All Likely.

At the same time, however, just 43% believe governments should be imposing stricter lockdowns where they live. The poll, conducted by Scott Rasmussen, found that 50% believe governments should either be easing restrictions (28%) or making no changes (22%). An additional 7% are not sure.

There is a broad expectation across all segments of society that Biden is likely to impose a strict national lockdown. However, there is a huge partisan divide as to whether that’s the right thing to do.

  • Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans expect Biden will try to impose a strict national lockdown. Just 25% of GOP voters favor stricter lockdowns in their own area.
  • Seventy-six percent (76%) of Democrats think it’s likely Biden will impose a strict national lockdown. Sixty-one percent (61%) of Democrats want stricter lockdowns in their area.
  • Among Independent voters, 69% believe Biden will impose a national lockdown while 41% think that’s the appropriate policy.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from November 12-14, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 276 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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61% Believe It Is Possible to Know Who Actually Won Close Swing State Elections

Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters nationwide believe it is possible to know for certain which candidate won the election in swing states where the election was very close. A PoliticalIQ.com survey found that 24% don’t think it’s possible while 15% are not sure.

Eighty-six percent (86%) of Democrats believe it is possible to know who won those states. Independents, by a 52% to 26% margin, agree.

However, Republicans are evenly divided. Forty-one percent (41%) believe it is possible to know and 41% say it is not.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from November 12-14, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 276 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Poll Results

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29% Believe Children Born Today Will Live Better Than Their Parents, 35% Say Worse

Twenty-nine percent (29%) of voters believe children born today will live better lives than their parents. However, a Political IQ national survey found that 35% take the opposite view and believe it will be worse.

The survey, conducted by Scott Rasmussen, found that 16% believe there won’t be much difference and 20% are not sure.

Solid pluralities of Republicans and Independents believe children born today will be worse off than their parents. By a 38% to 24% margin, Democrats take the more optimistic view. This partisan divide is likely the result of the presidential election. People tend to be more optimistic when their party controls the White House.

Rural voters are significantly more pessimistic than urban or suburban voters.

Senior citizens are far more pessimistic than younger voters.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from November 5-7, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 168 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population. The sample included 1,052 respondents who say they voted in Election 2020. Of that group, 51% voted for Joe Biden and 46% for Donald Trump.

Posted in Poll Results

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26% Say Their Finances Are Getting Better, 26% Worse

Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters believe their personal finances are getting better while another 26% say their finances are getting worse. A Political IQ survey found that 45% believe their personal finances are staying about the same and 3% are not sure.

This survey was conducted last Thursday through Saturday, following Election Day. It shows a slight decline in optimism compared to a pre-election survey when 29% said better and 26% said worse. The decline comes almost entirely from Republicans. Prior to the election, 45% of GOP voters believed their finances were getting better. That fell to 36% after the election.

There was little change among Democrats and Independents. However, that could change.

Typically, Republicans are more upbeat about the economy when a Republican is in the White House and Democrats more optimistic when a Democrat is president. This particular survey was conducted after the election but before Joe Biden was declared the winner of 270 Electoral College votes. At the time, the survey found that just 49% believed Biden was the winner.

Based upon historical trends, therefore, it would not be surprising to see confidence of Democrats increase as it becomes more likely that Biden will take office. At the same time, the economic confidence of Republicans could fall further. We will conduct another survey on this topic in the coming days.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from November 5-7, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 168 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population. The sample included 1,052 respondents who say they voted in Election 2020. Of that group, 51% voted for Joe Biden and 46% for Donald Trump.

 

Posted in Poll Results, Uncategorized

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13% Talk Politics Every Day, 27% Rarely or Never

Thirteen percent (13%) of Registered Voters discuss politics with family and friends every day or nearly every day. A Political IQ national survey found that twice as many–27%– rarely or never discuss the topic.

Overall, 37% discuss politics on most days, 20% about once a week, and 41% less than once a week.

The survey, conducted by Scott Rasmussen, found that there was little difference between Trump and Biden voters when it comes to discussing politics. Forty-three percent (43%) of Trump supporters talk politics more than once a week. So do 42% of Biden voters. Those who voted for some other candidate or chose not to vote are less interested in talking politics.

Other data from the survey shows that 85% of Trump voters say their friends and neighbors knew how they voted. Eighty-five percent (85%) of Biden supporters said the same.

Among those whose family and friends did not know how they would vote, 48% said the reason is that voting is a private matter. Another 25% said it’s because they rarely discuss politics and 11% because they decided at the last minute. However, 8% said they kept their voting decision from family and friends because they were afraid how others might react.

Fear of how others react was more common among Trump supporters than Biden voters. It’s not a huge gap, but could suggest that Shy Trump voters accounted for understating the president’s support by about a single percentage point.

Biden supporters were far more likely than Trump voters to say they kept it secret because they rarely discussed politics.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from November 5-7, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 168 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population. The sample included 1,052 respondents who say they voted in Election 2020. Of that group, 51% voted for Joe Biden and 46% for Donald Trump.

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29% Believe Economy Getting Better, 44% Say Worse

Twenty-nine percent (29%) of voters believe the economy is getting better these days while 44% believe it is getting worse. A Political IQ poll found that 21% think it’s staying about the same and 6% are not sure.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of Republicans believe the economy is getting better while 65% of Democrats believe it is getting worse.

These results come from a survey conducted on the final weekend of Election 2020. It is possible that perceptions may change significantly as a result of the election.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Likely Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 29-31, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 130 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. The Likely Voter sample was derived from a larger sample of Registered Voters using screening questions and other factors Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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61% Believe America’s Best Days Still to Come

As voters come to the end of bitter presidential election campaign, 61% of the nation’s Likely Voters believe America’s best days are still to come. A Political IQ survey found that just 20% believe they have come and gone.

In September, 58% were upbeat about America’s future while 24% held the pessimistic view.

Seventy-one percent (71%) of Trump voters are optimistic about the nation’s future, a view shared by 52% of Biden supporters.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Likely Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 29-31, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 130 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. The Likely Voter sample was derived from a larger sample of Registered Voters using screening questions and other factors Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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43% See GOP As Party Committed to Individual Freedom; 41% Say It’s the Democrats

Forty-three percent (43%) of voters nationwide believe Republicans are the political party most committed to “Individual Freedom.” A Political IQ national survey found that 41% believe it’s the Democrats. The poll, conducted by Scott Rasmussen, found that 10% don’t believe either party is committed to that ideal while 6% are not sure.

Not surprisingly, 86% of Republican voters see their party as committed to this ideal. Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Democrats say the same about their party. As for Independents, 35% pick the GOP, 30% say the Dems, and 23% neither.

Voters under the age of 35 are more likely to see the Democrats as the party of Individual Freedom. Voters over 55 take the opposite view. Those in between are evenly divided.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,842 Likely Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 23-24, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 203 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. The Likely Voter sample was derived from a larger sample of Registered Voters using screening questions and other factors. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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64% Say Protecting Individual Rights More Important Than Majority Rule

Sixty-four percent (64%) of voters nationwide believe that it is more important for government to ensure that the individual rights of every citizen are protected rather than doing whatever the majority of voters want? A PoliticalIQ.com national survey found that 27% disagree and believe it is more important for the government to implement the will of the majority.

Voters under 35 are far more likely than older voters to prioritize majority rule. Among these younger voters, 39% take that approach. However, solid majorities of older voters see protecting individual rights as more important.

While there is a noticeable generation gap, there is little difference in views across racial lines. Sixty-five percent (65%) of White voters see protecting rights as the higher priority. So do 65% of Black voters and 63% of Hispanic voters.

This is also no evidence of a partisan divide on this question.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,842 Likely Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 23-24, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 203 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. The Likely Voter sample was derived from a larger sample of Registered Voters using screening questions and other factors. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Pessimism Growing: 56% of Voters Believe Worst of Pandemic Still to Come

For the third straight week, more than half the nation’s voters believe the worst of the pandemic is still to come. Fifty-six percent (56%) now hold that view, up four points from a week ago.

Throughout August and September, weekly polling showed pessimism about the pandemic gradually declining. During September, fewer than half believed the worst was yet to come. However, that all changed following news that President Trump tested positive for COVID-19.

A Political IQ poll conducted by Scott Rasmussen also found that just 22% of Registered Voters now believe the worst is behind us. That’s down five points from a week ago and down seven from the peak optimism measured in early September.

Twenty-seven percent (27%) of men believe the worst is behind us. So do 17% of women.

Forty-one percent (41%) of Republicans now believe the worst is behind us. However, 74% of Democrats and 58% of independents believe the worst is still to come.

The table below highlights selected results showing trends over the past few months.

Worst of Pandemic is Behind Us Worst of Pandemic is Still to Come
Oct. 8-10 27% 52%
Oct. 1-3 24% 55%
Sept. 3-5 29% 49%
Aug. 13-15 20% 59%
July 23-25 15% 63%
June 4-6 29% 42%
April 9-11 16% 60%

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,500 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 15-17, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 102 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of error for the full sample is +/- 2.5 percentage points.

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Election Polls 2020

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Scott Rasmussen’s final national poll, conducted October 29-31, 2020, shows former Vice President Joe Biden leading by seven points–51% to 44%. The race has been remarkably consistent. Biden has been at 51% in five consecutive weekly polls. President Trump has trailed by either seven or eight points each week. These national polls were conducted for JustTheNews.com.

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Scott conducted just two Congressional District surveys during the election season. In Utah-4, his poll for the Deseret News showed Republican Burgess Owens with a one-point lead over incumbent Democrat Ben McAdams. In the race for Montana’s at-large seat, the was even.

Final presidential results for state polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen are summarized below:

State Biden Trump Margin Survey Dates
Florida 51 47 B+4 Oct 28-30
Michigan 51 44 B+7 Oct 27-29
Pennsylvania 51 45 B+6 Oct 25-27
North Carolina 48 47 B+1 Oct 24-26
Texas  46 50 T+4 Oct 27-28
Wisconsin 50 44 B+6 Oct 14-20
Montana 46 50 T+4 Oct 15-18
Iowa 47 47 Even Oct 15-21
Arizona 47 46 B+1 Oct 14-19
Colorado 51 43 B+8 Oct 9-15
Utah 38 50 T+12 Oct 12-17

 

As noted in an analysis for PoliticalIQ.com, the numbers look good for Joe Biden.

Final Senate results from Scott Rasmussen polling are summarized here

D R Spread Dates
Michigan 50 41 D+9 Oct 27-29
Texas 42 48 R+8 Oct 27-28
North Carolina 49 42 D+7 Oct 24-26
Iowa 46 43 D+3 Oct 15-21
Arizona 46 39 D+7 Oct 14-19
Colorado 51 42 D+9 Oct 9-15
Montana 47 49 R+2 Oct 15-18

LISTEN TO Scott’s Daily Podcast, “Just the Polls with Scott Rasmussen.”

Senate polls conducted by Scott Rasmussen can be found at PoliticalIQ.com.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

 

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44% of Voters Think Biden Will Win, 43% Say Trump

Forty-four percent (44%) of Likely Voters nationwide believe former Vice President Joe Biden will win the 2020 presidential election. A Political IQ national survey found that 43% believe President Trump will be re-elected.

Supporters of each candidate are very confident. Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Trump voters believe he will win. Eighty percent (80%) of Biden supporters believe their candidate will emerge victorious.

Those numbers reflect little change since the summer. In July, 91% of Trump supporters expected victory along with 80% of Biden supporters.

Polling both by Scott Rasmussen and all polling averages show Biden with a lead nationally and in key states. The fact that many Trump supporters still expect victory may result from several factors. One is the believe that the polls are simply wrong (or even fake). For many, that’s the key lesson from 2016. However, the polls weren’t as bad as the legend that has grown up around that election.

Another reason for confidence among Trump supporters may be a belief in a strong comeback or a strong Republican turnout. Political IQ polls conducted by Scott Rasmussen have shown the president trailing narrowly in Florida and North Carolina. However, in both cases, the Strong Republican turnout model shows the president ahead. In Pennsylvania, the president pulls to within two points with a Strong Republican turnout. That’s close enough to be competitive. However, President Trump would likely have to win all three to be re-elected.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,240 Likely Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 8-10, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 198 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. The Likely Voter sample was derived from a larger sample of Registered Voters using screening questions and other factors. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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29% Believe Economy Getting Better, 45% Say Worse

A Political IQ national poll found that 29% of voters nationwide believe the economy is getting better while 45% say it is getting worse. The poll, conducted by Scott Rasmussen found that 22% believe it is staying about the same and 4% are not sure.

Perceptions about the overall economy are typically a lagging indicator of economic performance. It is not unusual for many voters to believe the country remains in a recession for years after the recession officially ended.

However, perceptions of personal finances are often more responsive to changing dynamics. The latest poll shows that 27% of voters believe their own personal finances are getting better while 25% take the opposite view.

Upper income Americans are more positive than lower income Americans about the economic trends.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,457 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 8-10, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 198 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of error for the full sample is +/- 2.6 percentage points.

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52% Believe Worst of Pandemic Still to Come

Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters now believe the worst of the  pandemic is still to come. That’s down three points from a week ago but up four from two weeks ago. A Scott Rasmussen national survey also found that 27% believe the worst is behind us and 21% are not sure.

Those results suggest that there was an increase in pessimism following news that President Trump tested positive for COVID-19. The pessimism has eased slightly since his recovery, but is still higher than before the president’s diagnosis.

Prior to the president testing positive, our weekly testing found that optimism had been growing steadily for a couple of months.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of men believe the worst is behind us. So do 20% of women.

Forty-six percent (46%) of Republicans now believe the worst is behind us. However, 70% of Democrats and 53% of independents believe the worst is still to come.

The table below highlights selected results showing trends over the past few months.

Worst of Pandemic is Behind Us Worst of Pandemic is Still to Come
Oct. 1-3 24% 55%
Sept. 3-5 29% 49%
Aug. 13-15 20% 59%
July 23-25 15% 63%
June 4-6 29% 42%
April 9-11 16% 60%

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,457 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 8-10, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 198 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of error for the full sample is +/- 2.6 percentage points.

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30% See Obamacare as Top Issue Before Supreme Court; 17% Say Abortion

Thirty percent (30%) of voters nationwide say Obamacare is the top issue before the Supreme Court at this time. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 17% named abortion as the top issue while 13% said 2nd Amendment issues. Additionally, 9% see issues surrounding the Administrative State as most important while 8% say Religious Liberty.

Seventeen percent (17%) say some other issue was tops and 6% are not sure.

Abortion is viewed as most important by 20% of Republicans and 18% of Democrats. When viewing results by party, that’s the only common ground. Among Independent voters, 13% see abortion as the top issue before the Court.

Among Democrats, 46% see Obamacare as the top issue. Just 26% of Independents agree along with 15% of Republicans.

For GOP voters, 2nd Amendment issues and Abortion top the list.

While Supreme Court issues are seen as important, there is often a misunderstanding about the issues themselves. Polling released earlier showed that most voters don’t know what would happen if Roe v. Wade is overturned.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 1-3, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 121 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Pessimism About Pandemic Grows–55% Believe Worst is Still to Come

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters now believe the worst of the pandemic is still to come.  That’s an increase of seven points from a week ago. A Scott Rasmussen national survey also found that 24% believe the worst is behind us and 21% are not sure.

Those results suggest an increase in pessimism following news that President Trump tested positive for COVID. The vast majority of interviews in the latest survey were conducted following release of that information. 

We have been tracking this question weekly for several months. During August, optimism was growing on this question. By early September, the number saying the worst was still to come had fallen below the 50% mark and it remained there until this week. 

Forty-four percent (44%) of Republicans now believe the worst is behind us. However, 72% of Democrats and 57% of Independents believe the worst is still to come.

The table below highlights selected results showing trends over the past few months.

Behind                Still to Come

Oct 1-3                  24%                         55%

Sept 3-5                29%                          49%

Aug 13-15             20%                         59%

July 23-25             15%                         63%

June 4-6                29%                         42%

April 9-11              16%                         60%

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 1-3, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 121 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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56% Don’t Know What Overturning Roe v. Wade Would Mean

Most Registered Voters (56%) don’t know what would happen if the U.S. Supreme Court overturned the Roe v. Wade ruling. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 30% who mistakenly believe that abortion would be outlawed in the United States and 26% who are simply not sure.

Forty-four percent (44%) recognize that overturning Roe v. Wade would allow every state to establish its own laws governing abortion.

Misunderstanding on the issue is found all across the political spectrum. It is found among 57% of Independent voters, 56% of Democrats, and 54% of Republicans.

One of the great challenges in 21st century politics is recognizing that terms used in the political dialogue often are not perceived in the same way by voters.

 

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen September 26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

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10% Know Someone Who Was Injured or Lost Property in Recent Riots

Ten percent (10%) of voters have close friends or relatives who were injured or had their property destroyed in recent riots. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 85% do not and 5% are not sure.

Among voters under 35, 19% know someone who has been hurt by the riots. Among older voters (55+), just 4% say the same.

The survey also found that 45% of voters are worried are violent protests and riots will come to their community.

That total includes 54% of Republicans, 42% of Independent voters, and 39% of Democrats.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 24-26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 159 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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53% Disagree With Grand Jury Ruling in Breonna Taylor Case

Most voters (53%) following the news about Breonna Taylor case disagree with the grand jury decision announced last week. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 38% agree with the decision and 9% are not sure.

Those totals include 21% who Strongly Agree with the decision and 41% who Strongly Disagree.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of Black voters disagree as do 59% of Hispanic voters. However, White Voters are more evenly divided.

The survey also found that two-thirds of voters (66%) were following the news at least somewhat closely. That includes 29% following the story Very Closely.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 24-26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 159 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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34% Recognize Sandra Day O’Connor As First Woman on Supreme Court

Given a list of four politically prominent women, 34% recognize that Sandra Day O’Connor was the first woman to serve on the United States Supreme Court. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 36% mistakenly believe that Ruth Bader Ginsburg was the first woman on the Court. Three percent (3%) believe that honor was earned by current Justice Sonia Sotomayor and 3% named Margaret Chase Smith. Smith never served on the Supreme Court, but was the first woman to serve in both the House of Representatives and the United States Senate.

Even when presented with a list of names, 23% were not able to identify the name of the first female Supreme Court Justice.

Among voters 55 and older, a plurality– but not a majority– correctly identified O’Connor. A plurality of younger voters thought it was Ginsuburg. A poll conducted the day after Ginsburg’s passing showed that she was viewed favorably by 64% of voters.

Thirty-one percent (31%) of voters identified Ronald Reagan as the first president to appoint a woman to the Court. A slightly larger number–35%– did not know.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen September 26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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When Law & Faith Conflict, Voters Evenly Divided on Which to Follow

Sometimes there is a conflict between government laws and the teachings of a faith or religion. For most voters, this creates some tension since faith is an important part of their daily life.

If they felt a government law forced them to violate the teachings and values of their faith, 39% of voters would be likely to follow the teachings of their faith. A Scott Rasmussen survey found that 41% would follow the law and 19% are not sure. The number who say they would follow the law includes 15% who say that faith or religion is not at all important to them.

White voters are evenly divided on the subject. By a 45% to 34% margin, Black voters would follow their faith.

Republicans would be more likely to follow their faith while Democrats would be more likely to follow the law. Independent voters are evenly divided.

As on many issues, there is an interesting divide between the views of White and Black Democrats. By a 56% to 25% margin, White Democrats would follow the law. By a 42% to 34% margin, Black Democrats would follow their faith.

This survey was conducted immediately following the nomination of Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen September 26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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45% Want Lockdown Restrictions Eased, 36% Want Stricter Regulations Re-imposed

Forty-five percent (45%) of Registered Voters believe that the government should be easing lockdown restrictions in the area where they live. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 36% take the opposite view and believe that stricter rules should be re-imposed. Nineteen percent (19%) are not sure.

Other recent data showed that 37% wear masks at all times around other people. However, 63% take a more relaxed approach. Taken together, these results suggest that a significant minority of just under 40% remains committed to a strict lockdown strategy for dealing with the pandemic. However, a larger number of voters are looking to move beyond the lockdowns.

Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans want lockdown restrictions eased while 54% of Democrats want to see stricter regulations. Independent voters are evenly divided.

One interesting geographic note is that Red State voters are evenly divided. Those are states that Donald Trump won by at least four points in 2016. However, in Blue States–those that Hillary Clinton won by at least four points, a solid plurality (47%) favor easing restrictions. While those results may seem counter-intuitive, they may reflect that states led by Republican Governors have already eased restrictions more than states led by Democratic Governors. This may be a sign that Blue State voters are losing patience with lockdown measures.

In the Purple States–the competitive states that may decide the winner of Election 2020–49% want to see restrictions eased while 36% found the opposite view.

Among Likely Voters nationwide, support for easing restrictions is a bit higher: 49% support the more relaxed approach while 36% want to see stricter measures put in place.

The survey also found that 27% of Registered Voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. However, 48% believe the worst is still to come. That’s consistent with other recent surveys and reflects a decline in pessimism since the summer.

Not surprisingly, those who believe the worst is behind us overwhelmingly favor easing lockdown restrictions. Among those who believe the worst is still to come, 63% want stricter lockdowns. However, even among these more pessimistic voters, 25% believe it’s time to ease restrictions in their area.

As for those who aren’t sure about whether the worst is behind us, 48% want to see restrictions eased. Just 19% want stricter lockdowns.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 24-26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 159 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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28% Believe Today’s Children Will Be Better Off Than Their Parents, 29% Think The Opposite

Twenty-eight percent (28%) of voters believe children born these days will have a better life than their parents. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 29% believe these children will have a worse life, and 24% think the quality of life will be about the same. Nineteen percent (19%) aren’t sure.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of men believe today’s children will live better than their parents. Just 25% of male voters think today’s children will be worse off.

Women, by a 32% to 22% margin, take the opposite view and are more likely to think today’s children will be worse off than their parents.

Republicans and conservatives are a bit more optimistic than Democrats and liberals. Suburban voters are a bit more pessimistic than urban or rural voters. Older voters are more pessimistic while younger voters more optimistic.

The survey question did not ask how respondents would define a better life.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 17-19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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58% Believe America’s Best Days Are Still to Come

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters nationwide believe that America’s Best Days are still to come. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 22% are more pessimistic, believing that those days have come and gone.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of White voters believe our best days are still in the future. So do 58% of Hispanic voters and 54% of black voters.

In fact, with just a single exception, a majority of every measured demographic group shares this upbeat assessment. The one exception is Independent voters. However, even among these voters, 49% are optimistic while just 24% believe the nation’s best days were in the past.

This optimism about the future provides an interesting contrast with other data from the same survey. Forty-nine percent (49%) of voters believe they are better off than four years ago, but just 35% believe the country is better off.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 17-19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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49% Better Off Than Four Years Ago, 42% Disagree

As Election 2020 approaches, 49% of the nation’s Registered Voters are better off than they were four years ago. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 42% are not while 9% are not sure.

Men, by a 53% to 38% margin, say they are better off. Women are evenly divided.

Most Republicans (74%) say they are better off while most Democrats (62%) say they are not. Independent voters are evenly divided.

Partially echoing this partisan result, Red State voters say they are better off by a 55% to 37% margin. Blue State voters are evenly divided, as are those in Purple States.

Red States are defined as those President Trump won by at least four points in 2016. Blue States are those Hillary Clinton won by at least four points. Purple States are those whose results were closer.

While a plurality of voters believe they are personally better off, just 35% believe the country is better off than it was four years ago. Most voters (56%) disagree and say it is not better off. In Blue States, 60% say the country is not better off. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters in Purple states agree with that negative assessment. So do 51% of Red States voters.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 17-19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

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53% Rate Supreme Court Good or Excellent; 8% Say Poor

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide rate the performance of the U.S. Supreme Court as Good or Excellent. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 8% say poor. In between are 32% who say the Court’s performance has been just fair.

Support is found in all segments of the nation. Sixty-one percent (61%) of Republicans give the Court positive reviews as do 54% of Democrats. Among other voters, 43% share that view.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of the most conservative voters give thumbs up for the Court. So do 57% of the most liberal voters.

Ideologically, 33% believe the Court’s balance is about right while 30% say too conservative and 20% too liberal.

In its treatment of protestors who commit violent acts, 44% believe the courts and legal system have been too lenient while 18% say too harsh.

Results for the full sample have a Margin of Error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.

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Methodology

The survey of 854 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen September 19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. These voters were selected from a larger sample of 1,100 Registered Voters. Likely Voters were defined as those who say they are “Definitely going to vote” or “Very Likely to Vote” and who know how they will vote.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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64% Have Favorable Opinion of Ruth Bader Ginsburg

In a survey conducted the day after her passing, 64% of Likely Voters said they had a favorable opinion of Ruth Bader Ginsburg. The Scott Rasmussen survey found just 16% with an unfavorable view while 20% are not sure.

These results are broadly consistent with earlier surveys in recent years. Justice Ginsburg was the most recognized name of all Supreme Court Justices, often the only name recognized by more than half the nation’s voters.

The survey also found that 52% of Likely Voters believe the Senate should wait to confirm Ginsburg’s replacement until after the presidential election. Forty-one percent (41%) disagree and believe the new Justice should be confirmed as soon as possible. Not surprisingly, there is a substantial partisan divide on this question.

  • Seventy-three percent (73%) of Republicans believe the new Justice should be confirmed as soon as possible.
  • Eighty percent (80%) of Democrats believe confirmation should wait until after the election.
  • Independent voters were more evenly divided. Fifty-one percent (51%) agree with the Democrats and 40% with the Republicans.

Additionally, 59% of the nation’s Likely Voters believe Joe Biden should let voters know who he would nominate if elected. Just 21% disagree while 20% are not sure.

The partisan divide on this is interesting. The Trump campaign has been pushing Biden to release a list of potential nominees. However, Democratic voters are even more likely than Republican voters to think he should do so. Sixty-six percent (66%) of Democrats want their party’s nominee to announce who he would nominate for the Court. That view is shared by 57% of Independent voters and 52% of Republicans.

Other data from the survey shows that 53% of voters rate the Supreme Court’s performance as good or excellent.

Results for the full sample have a Margin of Error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.

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Methodology

The survey of 854 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen September 19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. These voters were selected from a larger sample of 1,100 Registered Voters. Likely Voters were defined as those who say they are “Definitely going to vote” or “Very Likely to Vote” and who know how they will vote.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Generic Ballot: Democrats 46% Republicans 41%

The latest Scott Rasmussen Generic Ballot poll shows Democrats with a 5-point advantage. The survey of 941 Likely Voters found that 46% would vote for the Democrat from their District while 41% would opt for the Republican. Two percent (2%) say they’ll vote for someone else and 11% are not sure.

Republicans have a ten-point lead among White voters, but Democrats have wide margins among other voters. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Black voters prefer the Democrat. So do 67% of Hispanic voters.

Republicans have a huge lead in Rural areas and Democrats have a similar lead among Urban voters. In the suburbs, its 46% for the Democrats and 40% for Republicans.

The most recent national poll of the presidential race conducted by Scott Rasmussen shows Joe Biden with a 5-percentage point lead (48% to 43%). New results are released each Monday at JustTheNews.com.

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Methodology

The survey of 941 Likely Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 10-12, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. These voters were selected from a larger sample of 1,200 Registered Voters. Likely Voters were defined as those who say they are “Definitely going to vote” or “Very Likely to Vote” and who know how they will vote.  Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 166 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

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45% Want More Regulation of Large Corporations, 37% Want Less

In terms of what’s best for the economy, 45% of voters nationwide prefer more government regulation establishing rules for large corporations. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 37% disagree. They would rather see less government regulation to allow for more private sector innovation.

Those who live in urban areas favor more government regulation by a wide margin–53% to 29%. Those who live in suburban and rural areas are more evenly divided.

Most voters under 45 favor increased regulation while older voters tend to see more value in allowing innovation.

Not surprisingly, there is a huge partisan divide. Sixty-three percent (63%) of Democrats like the idea of more regulation while 58% of Republicans take the opposite view. Independent voters are fairly evenly divided.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 10-12, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 166 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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76% of Voters Consider 2020 Election Very Important

In terms of its impact on their own lives, 76% of Registered Voters nationwide believe Election 2020 is “Very Important.” A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that another 16% say it’s somewhat important while 8% consider it not important or are not sure.

Those who support major party presidential candidates are far more likely than others to consider the election Very Important. Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Biden supporters consider it that important. So do 84% of Trump supporters.

As for those considering other candidates, just 62% believe the election is Very Important. Among those unlikely to vote, that figure falls to 32%.

Among those unlikely to vote, 38% either consider the election to either be unimportant (24%) or are not sure if it will have an impact on their lives (14%).

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 10-12, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 166 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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30% Favor Socialism, But Not The Way It Is Historically Understood

Thirty percent (30%) of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of Socialism. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 47% hold an unfavorable view and 23% are not sure.

Those figures include 9% with a Very Favorable opinion of Socialism and 33% with a Very Unfavorable opinion.

However, most who say they like Socialism do not think of the term as it has been historically understood.

Among those with a favorable opinion of the term, just 37% believe it “is a system with higher taxes and extensive control of the economy by a centralized government.”

Only 10% of voters have a favorable opinion of Socialism AND view it as a centralized economic system.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 10-12, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 166 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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41% Prefer Candidate Supporting Black Lives Matter, 40% Prefer Blue Lives Matter

Given a choice between two candidates, 41% of voters prefer a candidate who supports  Black Lives Matter. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 40% prefer a candidate who supports Blue Lives Matter. Nineteen percent (19%) are not sure.

Eighty-six percent (86%) of Black voters favor the Black Lives Matter candidate. By a 53% to 29% margin, so do Hispanic voters. However, White voters, by a 47% to 32% margin, take the opposite view and prefer a Blue Lives Matter candidate.

Most voters with a college degree prefer Black Lives Matter. Those without a degree, favor Blue Lives Matter by a 45% to 34% margin.

Men lean a bit in favor of Blue Lives Matter while women take the opposite view.

Suburban voters are evenly divided.

 

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 3-5, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 186 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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29% Believe Worst of Pandemic Behind Us, Highest Yet; Red/Blue State Divide

Twenty-nine percent (29%) of Registered Voters now believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. matches the highest level yet measured in polls by Scott Rasmussen this year. The number holding that optimistic view has nearly doubled from the summer low recorded in July.

The number who believe the worst is still to come is 49%. It’s the first time ever that number has remained below 50% in back-to-back weeks.

Among Likely Voters, 32% believe the worst is behind us while 48% take the opposite view.

However, there is a substantial gap between the views of Red and Blue state voters.

Blue States are far more pessimistic. In states where Democrats won by more than 4 points in 2016, 54% believe the worst is still to come while just 27% believe it is behind us.

In Red States, voters are evenly divided—38% say it’s behind us while 43% believe the worst is still to come.

In the ten purple states—decided by less four points or less in 2016—32% believe the worst is behind us while 45% believe it is still to come.

This is the first time we have measured the views of Likely Voters, but the trend lines among Registered Voters show a steadily declining level of pessimism.

The number who believe the worst is behind us is up two points from a week ago, up three from two weeks ago, and up nine from three weeks ago. It has nearly doubled from the 15% recorded in July.

Scott Rasmussen has been tracking this question on a weekly basis and will continue to do so. Results in this feature are based upon a survey of 1,200 Registered Voters conducted September 3-5, 2020. The sample included 942 Likely Voters.

Other data from last week’s survey found that 59% of voters believe it’s time to move forward by adapting to the ongoing nature of the pandemic. Thirty-one percent (31%) take the opposite view and believe it is better for America to lockdown again until the pandemic is completely behind us.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 3-5, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 186 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The sample included 942 Likely Voters were defined as those who say they are “Definitely going to vote” or “Very Likely to Vote” and who know how they will vote. The Likely Voter sample was 35% Republican, 39% Democrat, and 26% Independent.

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36% of Voters Say They’re Politically Conservative, 27% Say Liberal

Thirty-six percent (36%) of voters nationwide consider themselves to be politically conservative while 27% say they’re liberal. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 31% view themselves as moderate.

Those totals include 18% who are Very Conservative and 11% who are Very Liberal.

Seventy-five percent (75%) of Republicans are conservative while 55% of Democrats are liberal. Among Independent voters, 46% are moderate and the rest are evenly divided.

In the suburbs, 36% are conservative, 30% moderate, and 30% liberal.

In urban areas, the numbers are 34% liberal, 28% moderate, and 30% conservative.

In rural America, 40% are conservative, 37% moderate, and 13% liberal.

Data released earlier showed that 65% of voters view Donald Trump as conservative while 55% see Joe Biden as liberal.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 27-29, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 188 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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55% See Biden As Politically Liberal; 65% Say Trump’s Conservative

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters nationwide see Joe Biden as politically liberal while 20% say he’s a moderate. A Scott Rasmussen national survey also found that 13% consider the former Vice President to be politically conservative while another 13% are not sure.

As for President Trump, 65% view him as conservative, 11% say moderate, 7% liberal, and 16% are not sure.

Republican voters draw clearer ideological contrasts than other voters. Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans see Trump as a conservative while 74% see Biden as a liberal. Among Democrats, 60% see Trump as conservative and 46% view Biden as liberal.

When it comes to the Vice Presidential running mates, the numbers for Senator Kamala Harris is viewed in almost identical ideological terms as Biden. That’s not surprising, especially given that all many voters know about Harris is that Biden selected her for the ticket. It is possible, though far from certain, that voters may begin to see Harris in a different ideological light between now and November.

On the other hand, Vice President Mike Pence is seen as a bit more conservative than President Trump. Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters see Pence as Very Conservative. Just 40% say the same about Trump. The perspective that Pence is more conservative than Trump is shared by Republicans, Democrats, and Independents.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 27-29, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 188 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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15% Discussed Election With Non-Family Member Every Day Last Week

Fifteen percent (15%) of voters nationwide discussed the presidential election with someone outside their family last week. At the other extreme, a Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 19% did not discuss the election at all outside their family.

Broadening the categories a bit shows that 36% discussed the election outside their family either most days or every day. An identical number–36%– had such a discussion “maybe once” or not at all. In between are 26% who discussed the election a couple of times.

On “most days”, 40% of Republicans and 39% of Democrats discussed the election with people outside their family. Just 29% of Independent voters did the same.

Discussions were more common within the confines of the family. Half of all voters (49%) discussed the election with their immediate family most days or every day.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 27-29, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 188 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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27% Believe Worst of Pandemic Behind Us; 48% Believe Worst Still to Come

Americans are growing a bit less pessimistic about the pandemic.

Twenty-seven percent (27%) of voters nationwide believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us.  A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 48% disagree and believe the worst is still to come.

The number who believe the worst is still to come is down seven points from a week ago and down eleven points from two weeks ago. This marks only the second time–and the first since June–that fewer that half the nation’s voters believed the worst was still to come.

The 27% who believe that the worst is behind us is up a point from last week, up seven points from two weeks ago, and up 12 points since July.

Earlier this year, from April thru June, confidence about getting the pandemic behind us grew steadily. But, in July that confidence collapsed before starting to grow again in August. If confidence continues to grow, it would be a significant benefit to President Trump’s hopes of re-election.

Republicans, by a 50% to 26% margin, believe the worst is behind us. Democrats reject that notion by a 67% to 10% margin. Among Independent voters, 24% believe the worst has come and gone while 48% take the opposite view.

Scott Rasmussen has been tracking this question on a weekly basis and will continue to do so. Results in this feature are based upon a survey of 1,200 Registered Voters conducted August 27-29, 2020.

Other data from the survey found that 59% of voters believe it’s time to move forward by adapting to the ongoing nature of the pandemic. Thirty-one percent (31%) take the opposite view and believe it is better for America to lockdown again until the pandemic is completely behind us.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 27-29, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 188 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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59% Believe It’s Time to Adapt and Move Forward; 31% Prefer Lockdowns Until Pandemic is Gone

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters nationwide believe it’s time to move forward by adapting to the ongoing nature of the pandemic. A Scott Rasmussen survey found that 31% take the opposite view and believe it is better for America to lockdown again until the pandemic is completely behind us.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans believe it is time to adapt and move forward. So do 54% of Independent voters.

Democrats, however, are evenly divided. Forty-six percent (46%) of those in Joe Biden’s party believe more lockdowns are needed while 44% prefer moving forward by adapting to the ongoing nature of the pandemic.

By a 63% to 27% margin, White voters believe it is time to move forward. Other voters are more evenly divided.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 27-29, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 188 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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18% Don’t Know How to Express Their Political Beliefs

When it comes to politics, 18% of voters  know what they believe are not sure what to say or how to say it. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 20% of women hold that view along with 16% of men.

The feeling of not knowing how to express what they believe is a bit less common among urban voters.

Twenty-one percent (21%) of white voters struggle with knowing how to say what they believe. So do 12% of Black and 8% of Hispanic voters.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 142 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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48% Believe More Freedom Will Bring People Together; 34% Prefer More Government Rules on Social Interaction

In terms of bringing people together, 48% of voters nationwide believe the better policy approach is giving more individual freedom for people to establish their own guidelines for social interaction. However, a Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 34% disagree and believe it would be better to have more government involvement to establish fair rules and guidelines for social interaction.

Other data from the survey showed that 93% believe it is important for our leaders to focus on things that bring people together. Additionally, 73% believe that America’s founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-governance are a good foundation for bringing people together and unifying the nation.

On the policy side, there is a significant generation gap.  By a 52% to 29% margin, older voters (45+) believe allowing more freedom is the way to bring people together. Voters under 45 are evenly divided–42% say more freedom and 40% more government rules.

Republicans strongly prefer more freedom as the answer. Independent voters, by a 47% to 29% margin, agree.

However, a narrow plurality of Democrats take the opposite view. Forty-four percent (44%) of those in Joe Biden’s party think more government rules governing social interactions are needed. Thirty-eight percent (38%) of Democrats prefer more freedom.

There is an interesting racial divide among Democrats. By a 47% to 36% margin, Black Democrats think more freedom is the answer. However, by a 46% to 35% margin, other Democrats believe more rules are the better approach.

Among all voters, there is virtually no racial divide on this question.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 142 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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43% Have Experienced Financial Problems Due to Pandemic

Forty-three percent (43%) of voters say the Coronavirus pandemic has caused serious financial problems for them or a member of their immediate family. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 60% of Hispanic voters, 53% of Black voters, and 37% of White voters.

The financial hardships have impacted more than twice as many people as the health problems. Twenty percent (20%) say the Coronavirus has caused serious health issues for them or a member of their immediate family.

Interestingly, despite the fact that the virus represents a far greater risk to older Americans, young people are far more likely to report a serious health impact. Among senior citizens, just 10% say the pandemic has caused a serious health issue for their family. Among voters under 45, that figure is nearly three times as high at 27%.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 142 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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45% Think Biden Will Win in November, 40% Say Trump

Regardless of who they want to win in November, 45% of Registered Voters nationwide believes that Democrat Joe Biden will emerge victorious. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 40% disagree and believe Republican Donald Trump will be the victor. Two percent (2%) think someone else will win it all while 12% are not sure.

The survey was conducted after the Democratic National Convention and before the Republican National Convention.

Looking back, responses have been trending in Biden’s direction for some time. Last year, a majority of voters expected Trump to be re-elected. That was before the pandemic and the lockdowns. In late June, voters were evenly divided about who would win–42% picked Biden and 42% Trump.

Eight-out-of-ten Democrats expect Biden to win while eight-out-of-ten Republicans expect Trump to be re-elected. Among unaffiliated voters, 39% pick Biden and 35% Trump.

We will repeat the question next week to see if there is any impact from the GOP convention.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 142 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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26% Believe Worst of the Pandemic Behind Us

Twenty-six percent of voters (26%)believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us.  A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 55% disagree and believe the worst is still to come.

While the overall numbers reflect ongoing concern, the numbers reflect a recent burst in confidence. The number believing the worst is behind us is up six points from a week ago and 11 points since July.

Perceptions of the pandemic have sent the nation an emotional roller-coaster. In early April, as the lockdowns were getting started, just 16% thought the worst was behind us, but confidence was growing rapidly. By the end of that month, 23% thought we had gotten through the toughest moments. In May, confidence slipped back to 17% before soaring to 29% in June. That was the highest level of confidence yet measured. However, just a month later, confidence that the worst was behind us fell back to 15% in July.

For now, the roller-coaster appears headed back up again. It will be interesting to see if confidence keeps growing in the weeks to come. If it does, that would be a significant benefit to President Trump’s hopes of re-election.

As always, Republicans are more upbeat about the pandemic than anyone else. Forty-five percent (45%) of GOP voters believe the worst is behind us. That optimism is shared by 23% of Independents and 11% of Democrats. 

It is possible—probably likely—that perceptions of this question may have shifted over time. For some people the prospect that the worst is still ahead of us means we have to hunker down for a longer period of time. For others, it may mean that we need to find a way to adapt and go on living with a challenge that is going to be with us for a while.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 142 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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America’s Founding Ideals Can Bring Americans Together

When 2020 began, no one could have predicted the enormous changes that would sweep through our nation and the world. It’s hard to find new ways the world turned upside down impact of the coronavirus pandemic, lockdowns, and the resulting economic disruption. As if that wasn’t enough, the nation also had to deal with the killing of George Floyd, peaceful protests against racial injustice, and riots plaguing American cities.

These events have made the presidential election campaign even more polarizing than usual. It sometimes seems as if there’s nothing Americans can agree upon.

However, a survey I conducted this past weekend showed that there is something 93% of American voters can agree upon—they believe it is important for our leaders to focus on things that bring people together. That total includes 71% who say it’s Very Important.

Ninety-six percent (96%) of Democrats believe it’s important to focus on bringing people together. So do 92% of Republicans and 90% of Independent voters.

Of course, in the political world, when partisan activists say they want unity, what they really want is for their opponents to agree with them. However, among voters throughout the nation, there’s also strong agreement on a starting point for creating that unity. Seventy-three percent (73%) of voters believe that America’s founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-governance are a good foundation for bringing people together and unifying the nation. Just 12% disagree.

As you would expect with numbers like that, support for the founding ideals is found in all segments of our society. Among voters 55 and older, more than eight-out-of-ten see those ideals as a good foundation. So do two-thirds of younger voters. The idea that these ideals represent a path to unity is strongly supported by White and non-White voters; Suburban, Urban, and Rural Voters; conservatives, moderates, and liberals; college graduates and those without a degree.

Obviously, support for the founding ideals does not mean we have to agree on everything. There’s plenty of room for disagreement between candidates, parties, and voters. In fact, my weekend survey found that there is plenty of disagreement on a number of questions—including a question about the best approach to bringing people together.

When asked which would do more to bring people together, 48% said giving people more individual freedom to establish their own guidelines for social interaction. That’s a fairly traditional American answer. However, 34% took the opposite view and said a better approach to bringing people together would be more government involvement to establish fair rules and guidelines for social interaction.

This question revealed some stark divides in our society. Most voters over 45 said more freedom would be the best way to bring people together. Younger voters were evenly divided.

Republicans overwhelmingly believe more freedom is the better approach and, by a 47% to 29% margin, Independents agree. However, a narrow plurality of Democrats leans in the opposite direction. By a 44% to 38% margin, they believe giving government more power to establish fair rules would bring people together.

I’m sure there are some conservatives who will say that Democrats can’t possibly believe in freedom if they believe giving government more power will bring people together. And I’m also sure there are some liberals who will say that Republicans can’t possibly believe in equality if they don’t want to establish a fair set of rules.

But before we get too caught up in the things we disagree about, let’s first pause to celebrate the things we agree upon. America’s founding ideals—freedom, equality, and self-governance—are worth striving for and celebrating. They are the heritage and purpose we share as a nation. Celebrating those ideals and our commitment to them is the only way to bring Americans together.

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56% More Worried About Pandemic Health Threat Rather than Economic Threat

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters are more worried about the Health Threat from the coronavirus pandemic rather than the economic threat. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 39% are more worried about the economic threat.

These figures highlight a growing level of concern about the health threat from the pandemic. 

The number worried most about the health threat has risen 13 points since mid-June and three points since the end of last month. . The number more concerned about the economy has fallen a dozen points since mid-June and one point since the end of last month.

There remains a huge partisan gap on the issue. Seventy-six percent (76%) of Democrats and 55% of Independents are most concerned about the health threat. However, 62% of Republicans take the opposite view and worry more about the economy.

In mid-June, members of all parties were relatively less concerned about the health threat than they are today.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 13-15, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 181 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results, Uncategorized

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25% Believe Obamacare Improved Healthcare System

Twenty-five percent (25%) of voters believe the U.S. healthcare system was broken before Obamacare and is working much better today. However, a Texas Public Policy Foundation poll found that 21% take the opposite view. They believe our health care system was working fine before it was broken by Obamacare.

However, a solid plurality–39%–don’t see much change in either direction. They believe our health care system was broken before Obamacare was passed and it is still  broken today. Fourteen percent (14%) of voters are not sure.

Democrats are fairly evenly divided between thinking things are better now and that little has changed. Republicans are fairly evenly divided between thinking things are worse now and that little has changed. A plurality of Independent voters believe the system was broken before Obamacare and remains broken today.

Younger voters are somewhat more likely than their elders to believe little has changed.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 13-15, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 181 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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53% Have Some Confidence in Public Health Officials

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide are at least Somewhat Confident that that public health officials really understand the coronavirus and what policies are needed to overcome it. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 46% lack confidence in the officials.

Those figures reflect growing confidence in public health officials over the past couple of months. In June, just 45% had even a modest level of confidence in the public health officials. The eight-point improvement came exclusively from Democrats and Independent voters.

  • In June, 49% of Republican voters expressed confidence in the public health officials. That figure is unchanged in the latest survey.
  • Confidence among Democrats increased twelve points, from 49% in June to 61% today.
  • Among Independents, there was a thirteen point gain, from 35% in June to 48% today.

Overall, the current numbers show that 16% of voters are Very Confident in the public health officials while 15% are Not at All confident.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 13-15, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 181 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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40 Years Since the Last Meaningful Convention

This week, political junkies and activists will obsess over every detail of the Democratic National Convention. Next week, they’ll do the same about the Republican gathering. They’ll rate the speeches, watch for mistakes by the other team, and try to gauge the impact on the fall campaign. It’s likely that some campaign commercials will be cut from the gatherings and some new “rising stars” will be “discovered.”

But, barring any major gaffes, the events will have no impact on the election. That’s because most voters are not interested and will not be tuning in. Many may be only vaguely aware that the events are even taking place.

It used to be different. In the 1960s and ‘70s, there were only three television networks and they all covered the conventions as a big deal. Anybody turning on the TV would have noticed. In today’s world, consumers have a virtually unlimited supply of more appealing options on their screens and phones.

There’s more to the story, though, than that people have more options to watch. Conventions used to matter, they used to actually select presidential nominees. But that’s not the case anymore. It hasn’t been for a long, long time.

The last meaningful convention moment was 40 years ago. In 1980, Senator Ted Kennedy was challenging incumbent President Jimmy Carter for the Democratic nomination. Carter had won enough delegates to secure the nomination, but Kennedy was convinced that—in their hearts–most delegates preferred him. So, his team challenged the convention rules and called for a vote that would free all the delegates to vote their conscience.

Eventually, Carter’s team carried the day and the president was formally nominated. He went on to lose the general election to Ronald Reagan.

That 1980 convention capped a decade of change in the way we nominate our presidents, a change that made the conventions functionally irrelevant. We didn’t know it at the time, but the new nomination process would make conventions irrelevant.

From early in the 19th century until 1968, few delegates were selected in primaries and pledged to a specific candidate. Party officials typically served as delegates and openly haggled about the nominee. In 1968, only 13 states held primaries to select delegates.

Eugene McCarthy, running on an anti-War platform won most of the early primaries. Bobby Kennedy entered the race late and became a leading contender. However, he was assassinated just hours after winning the California primary.

Eventually, Vice President Hubert Humphrey won the nomination even though he had not entered a single primary. Everything about the convention that year was a disaster for the party. Several states sent competing slates of delegates. There were fights about the Vietnam War and Civil Rights issues. There were also riots in the streets playing out on television sets all across America.

After Humphrey lost to Richard Nixon, the Democrats decided to change their nominating process. George McGovern was put in charge of a commission to recommend new rules. And, perhaps not coincidentally, he became the Democratic nominee four years later.

One unintended result of the reform was that primaries quickly became the norm with potential delegates pledged to a particular candidate. Nobody understood it at the time, but with primary voters selecting the nominee directly, there would no longer be a need for nominating conventions. For a while, they served as televised pageants (funded by the taxpayers). But even that role has faded into history.

This year, the conventions will simply be virtual events. Maybe they will bring about another change. It might be too much to hope for, but maybe the pandemic could finally bring an end to this archaic charade.

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60% Say It’s Very Important to Limit Power of Big Corporations

Sixty percent (60%) of voters nationwide say it’s Very Important to place limits on the power of big corporations. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that another 28% consider it Somewhat Important to do so.

The survey also found that 62% think it’s Very Important to place limits on the power of governments. And, 28% say that’s Somewhat Important.

Majorities of every measured demographic group consider both of these objectives to be Very Important.

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53% More Worried About Pandemic Threat to Health Than U.S. Economy

When asked about what worries them most about the coronavirus threat to our nation, 53% now express concern about the health threat while 40% are more worried about the threat to the U.S. economy.

These numbers reflect a significant change from mid-June when a Ballotpedia national survey found more concern about the economy.

Broadly speaking, optimism about recovering from the pandemic grew steadily from late March until mid-June. Since then, they have moved in the opposite direction.

  • In late March, just 38% were more worried about the economic threat while 53% expressed greater concern about the health threat.
  • By mid-June, however,three straight weeks of polling found more concern about the economic threat rather than the health threat.
  • Now, the numbers have returned to the levels first recorded in late March. Whatever bounce in optimism took place, it is gone.

Most Republicans (59%) are still more concerned about the economic threat. Most Democrats (69%) and Independents (54%) are primarily concerned with the health threat.

Other data from the survey shows that just 15% of voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. Sixty-three percent (63%) believe the worst is still to come. That also reflects growing pessimism since mid-June. The highest level of optimism measured found that 29% of voters believed that the worst was behind us while 42% thought the worst was still to come.

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Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any connection or relationship with Rasmussen Reports. Scott Rasmussen left that firm more than seven years ago and has had no involvement with it since then.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 23-25, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden 45% Trump 37% Jorgensen 2% Hawkins 1%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by eight points– 45% to 37%. That’s little changed from a month ago.

The survey also found that 2% would vote for Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen and 1% for Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins. This is the first time they’ve been included in a Scott Rasmussen national poll.

Three percent (3%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 12% are not sure.

Biden leads by four points among private sector workers and 30% among government employees.

Among White voters, the president holds a narrow lead: 44% to 38%. However, he attracts support from only 8% of Black voters and 22% of Hispanic voters.

Many voters dismiss polls they don’t like because they are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any connection or relationship with Rasmussen Reports. Scott Rasmussen left that firm more than seven years ago and has had no involvement with it since then.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 23-25, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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13% Believe More Freedom Leads to Less Equality

Thirteen percent (13%) of voters nationwide believe that there is a conflict between two of America’s founding ideals. These voters believe that giving people more freedom will lead to less equality. A Scott Rasmussen survey found that a much larger number–42%–take the opposite view and believe increasing freedom will also increase equality.

Twenty-five percent (25%) believe that more freedom would have little impact on equality while 20% are not sure.

Most Black voters (51%) believe more freedom will lead to more equality. So do 41% of White voters and 35% of Hispanic voters

Men (49%) are more likely than women (36%) to believe more freedom means more equality.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of Republicans see a positive correlation between freedom and equality. That view is shared by 42% of Democrats and 37% of Independents.

As on many issues, there is a divide between the views of White and Black Democrats. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Black Democrats believe more freedom means more equality. Just 36% of White Democrats agree.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 23-25, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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42% Believe Professional Sports Should Be Shut Down Until 2021

As Major League Baseball launches its truncated 2020 season, American voters are evenly divided as to whether they should be allowed to do so. A JustTheNews.com national survey found that 44% think they should be allowed to play while 42% believe professional sports should remain shut down until next year.

Most men (51%) favor a resumption of sports while a plurality of women (46%) are opposed.

More generally, attitudes towards the reopening of sports follow patterns similar to reopening other aspects of American society. Most Republicans (59%) like the idea while most Democrats (52%) are opposed. Independents are fairly evenly divided.

Older voters and White voters are more supportive of re-opening than younger voters and non-White voters.

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27% View Economy, Health Care as Top Voting Issues

Twenty-seven percent (27%) of voters name the economy as the top voting issue in the upcoming presidential election. A JustTheNews.com survey conducted by Scott Rasmussen found that an identical number–27%– say health care is the top issue.

Those numbers reflect a growing concern about health care over the past month. In June, a Ballotpedia survey found that 30% named the economy as most important while just 17% said health care.  That’s a 10 point gain in the importance of health care.

For Independent voters, health care is now the top issue. A month ago, they were more concerned about the economy.

Currently, 12% say Law and Order is the top issue, little changed from a month ago.

Eleven percent (11%) now see Civil Rights as the top issue, down five points from last month.

 Overall, in naming the top issue, voters are evenly divided between issues that generally favor Democrats (health care, Civil Rights, income inequality, and the environment) and those that generally favor Republicans (economy, law and order, immigration, and freedom of speech). However, while the Republicans started the year with a clear advantage on the economy, that has faded amidst the pandemic lockdowns.

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68% Trust American People More Than Government Officials

When it comes to making important decisions about America’s future, 68% of voters nationwide trust the American people more than  government officials. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 11% take the opposite view and 20% are not sure.

This view is shared broadly by all segments of society, although there is somewhat less confidence in the American people among younger voters. Just 64% of voters under 35 trust the American people more than government officials. Among senior citizens, that number in 79%.

Those with a college degree are a bit more skeptical of the American people than those without.

However, other survey data shows that in certain circumstances, voters are more willing to defer to government officials. For example, 50% support a national mandate requiring everyone to wear a mask in public.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 16-18, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 176 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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76% Believe American Politics Is More Polarized Than American Society

Seventy-six percent (76%) of voters nationwide believe that American politics is more polarized than American society. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 12% disagree and 12% are not sure.

The totals include 43% who Strongly Agree and only 2% who Strongly Disagree with that perception.

Belief that politics is more polarized than society is found in all segments of society. It is a view shared by 81% of men and 72% of women; 90% of Senior Citizens and 67% of voters under 35; 79% of White voters, 78% of Hispanic voters, and 60% of Black voters. In fact, a strong majority of every measured demographic group believes American politics is more polarized that American society.

On a partisan basis, 84% of Republicans see this gap along with 72% of Democrats and 72% of Independents.

Those who do not see a gap between American society and politics are more pessimistic about the nation itself. By a 56% to 29% margin, they say that the U.S. is not a good role model for the world to follow. The numbers are reversed among those who see a gap between politics and society.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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34% Believe U.S. One of the Best Countries in the World for Black People; 22% Say One of the Worst

Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters nationwide believe that the United States is one of the best places in the world for Black people to live. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 22% believe it is one of the worst.

Sixty percent (60%) believe the U.S. is one of the best places in the world for White people to live while 6% say it’s one of the worst.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Voters Cautiously Optimistic About America’s Future

In terms of living up to our founding ideals, Americans are cautiously optimistic.

When it comes to the topic of equality, 45% believe we will be doing better in a decade. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 19% take the opposite view and believe we will be heading in the opposite direction.

Polling released earlier shows that voters overwhelmingly consider the ideal of equality to be important. However, 46% don’t believe we’re doing a good job of living up to that ideal.

Overall, just 8% of voters believe both that we are doing a poor job on equality today and that things will continue to get worse. Another 17% are pessimistic about how we’re doing today and aren’t expecting much change over the coming decade.

When it comes to the founding ideal of Freedom, 39% expect progress over the next decade.

 

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

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On Equality, 52% Say U.S. Doing Well; 46% Disagree

Eighty-six percent (86%) of voters believe that Equality is a Very Important ideal for the United States to seek. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that another 10% consider it Somewhat Important. The survey also found that 83% consider Freedom Very Important (along with another 15%) who say it is a Somewhat Important ideal.

While recognizing the importance of those ideals, voters give the nation mixed marks for the way we’re living up to them. On equality, 52% say we’re doing at least Somewhat Well while 46% disagree. On Freedom, 63% believe we’re doing at least Somewhat Well while 35% disagree.

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Republicans believe the nation is doing okay when it comes to equality. Just 47% or Independents and 33% of Democrats agree. As on many issues, there is an interesting difference between the opinions of White Democrats and Non-white Democrats.  Just 28% of White Democrats think the nation is doing at least Somewhat Well in terms of living up to the ideal of equality. However, Non-white Democrats are a bit more upbeat, 40% think the nation is doing okay.

Data released earlier showed that 74% of voters nationwide believe that “In daily life, most Americans generally get along regardless of race. They find ways to work together and create a better community.

The survey also found that 75% believe Community is a Very Important ideal and 48% say the same about Self-Governance.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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78% Proud to Be An American; 62% Proud of Our History

Seventy-eight percent (78%) of voters nationwide are proud to be an American. A Scott Rasmussen national survey also found that 62% are proud of our nation’s history.

Other findings from the survey show that 52% consider themselves Very Patriotic and another 28% are Somewhat Patriotic. Older voters are more patriotic. In fact, by a 47% to 42% margin, voters aged 18-24 say they’re not patriotic.

Additionally, 48% believe the United States is a good role model for the world to follow while 35% disagree and 17% are not sure. A majority of White voters (52%) believe the U.S. is a good role model while a majority of Black voters (54%) disagree. Hispanic and other voters are evenly divided.

There are significant partisan, racial and generational differences on these topics.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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49% Rate Their Personal Finances As Good or Excellent

Forty-nine percent (49%) of voters nationwide rate their own personal finances as good or excellent. A Scott Rasmussen survey conducted July 9-11, 2020 found that 32% rate their finances as “fair” while 17% say poor.

Twenty-three percent (23%) say their finances are getting better while 26% say worse. Forty-nine percent (49%) say their finances are staying about the same at this time.

Republicans, by a 35% to 17% margin, believe their finances are getting better. Democrats, by a similar margin say they are getting worse.

Views of the overall economy are more pessimistic. Just 25% believe things are getting better while 50% say worse. Still, that’s a slight improvement compared to a month ago when 55% believed the economy was getting worse.  The current numbers are similar to optimism measured in late May.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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President Trump Job Approval Up to 44%

Forty-four percent (44%) of Registered Voters nationwide approve of the way President Trump is performing his job. That’s up five points from a week ago. It’s also the highest level of support the president has enjoyed in a Scott Rasmussen poll since mid-May.

A five-point swing in a single week is unusual and some of the change is likely due to statistical noise. However, it remains to be seen whether this week’s results represent a return to the earlier levels of support for the president.

Prior to mid-May, President Trump’s approval ratings held steady around 45% for several months. However, from late May throughout the month of  June, the president’s job was several points lower in a range between 39% and 42%.

This week’s polling found that 88% of Republicans approve of the president’s performance, up eight points from a week ago. That may reflect a positive response among GOP voters to the president’s speech at Mount Rushmore. Media commentary on the speech portrayed it as divisive but many Republicans considered it a strong appeal to unity. The new numbers may also be in response to the media criticism of the president.

The president now also gets positive reviews from 37% of Independents and 12% of Democrats. Both figures are up slightly from a week ago.

The current totals include 28% who Strongly Approve and 46% who Strongly Disapprove.

Recent polling by Scott Rasmussen has also shown that 34% of voters say it will be at least six months before they’ll feel safe in public without a mask. Additionally, 74% Believe Most Americans Generally Get Along Regardless of Race and 24% Support DC Statehood.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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34% Say It Will Be At Least Six Months Before They’ll Feel Safe in Public Without a Mask

Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters nationwide say it will be six month or longer before they feel safe going out in public without a mask. That total is up from 25% three months ago and includes 9% who say they will never feel safe without a mask.

  • Forty-eight percent (48%) of Democrats say it will take at least six months, up twelve points from the earlier survey.
  • Thirty percent (30%) of Independents say it will be at least six months, up ten points from May.
  • Nineteen percent (19%) of Republicans share those views, up four points in three months.

At the other extreme, 37% are already comfortable without a mask or expect to be soon (within a month). That’s down two points from the earlier survey. The decline is primarily driven by Republicans. In May, 58% of GOP voters were comfortable or expected to be soon. That’s down to 51% now.

From a different perspective, a majority (55%) of those in the May survey expected they would be comfortable going out with a mask by now.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 2-4, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 129 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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74% Believe Most Americans Generally Get Along Regardless of Race

Seventy-four percent (74%) of voters nationwide believe that “In daily life, most Americans generally get along regardless of race. They find ways to work together and create a better community.” Twenty-one percent (21%) are not sure while 5% are not sure.

The totals include 30% who Strongly Agree and just 6% who Strongly Disagree.

By a 50% to 47% margin, Very Liberal Voters disagree with the statement.  In every other measured demographic group, more people agree than disagree.

Still, there are significant differences among political and demographic lines. Eighty-two percent (82%) of senior citizens agree that most people get along regardless of race. Just 55% of voters under 25 share that view.

Ninety percent (90%) of Republicans believe people generally get along in daily life. Seventy-one percent (71%) of Independent voters and 63% of Democrats agree.
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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 2-4, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 129 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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President Trump’s Job Approval: 39%

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of Registered Voters nationwide approve of the way President Trump is performing his job. That’s the lowest level of approval yet measured in polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen. The survey also found that 58% disapprove.

Perhaps most concerning for the president is that support is slipping among Republicans. The latest results show that just 80% of those in his party offer their approval. That’s down slightly from 84% in mid-June.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day podcast today looks at why the president’s strong and loyal base of support may be a double edged sword for his campaign. Tomorrow, he’ll be looking at an topic that may pose a similar challenge for the Biden campaign. On Thursday, Scott’s podcast will look at an issue Democrats are pushing that may help Republicans retain control of the Senate.

In mid-June the president’s job approval was at 41%. Earlier in the year, President Trump’s approval ratings held steady in the mid-40s for several months.

The current totals include 27% who Strongly Approve and 47% who Strongly Disapprove.

Research conducted earlier found that 17% of all voters Strongly Disapprove of President Trump but also Strongly Oppose removing statues honoring George Washington.

The president also gets positive reviews from 33% of Independents and 8% of Democrats.

He also earns approval from 46% of white voters, 11% of black voters, and 27% of Hispanic voters.

Forty-four percent (44%) of self-employed voters approve of the president’s performance as do 40% of other private sector workers. Among government employees, however, just 31% approve.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 2-4, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 129 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

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24% Support DC Statehood

Twenty-four percent (24%) of voters nationwide favor granting statehood to Washington, DC. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 49% preferred giving some of the land in DC back to Virginia and Maryland. That would give residents of the city voting rights while still preventing any one state from having an unfair advantage over the others. Twenty-seven percent (27%) are not sure which approach is better.

On Thursday, Scott Rasmussen’s Podcast will explore how this issue might help Republicans retain control of the Senate.

Very Liberal voters, by a 43% to 32% margin favor DC statehood over the alternative. However, in every other measured demographic group, more voters supported returning the land to Virginia and Maryland. Black voters were nearly evenly divided (38% prefer giving the land back, 35% would rather see DC statehood).

The survey found that just 46% of voters don’t believe it’s fair for DC residents to lack a voting representative in Congress.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 2-4, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 129 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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Most Who Strongly Disapprove of Trump Also Oppose Removing Statues Honoring Washington

Among those who Strongly Disapprove of President Trump, 57% also disapprove of removing statues that honor George Washington. Those findings come from an analysis of a JustTheNews.com national opinion survey conducted by Scott Rasmussen.

These results help explain why House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and presumptive Democratic Presidential nominee Joe Biden publicly opposed efforts to remove statues honoring early presidents who were also slave-owners. Both had earlier expressed support for taking down statues honoring honoring Confederate soldiers. Pelosi said the issue was not about slaveholding, but loyalty to the United States: “I do believe that if people have committed treason against the United States of America their statue should not be in the Capitol.”

Politically, as the party out of power, Democrats are hoping to draw support and energy from those who Strongly Disapprove of President Trump’s performance. However, that message could be complicated if those who most oppose the president come to see the Democrats embracing a policy of removing statues honoring George Washington and other early presidents. This represents significant block of voters. Seventeen percent (17%) of all voters Strongly Disapprove of President Trump and also Strongly Oppose efforts to take down statues honoring George Washington.

Overall, among all voters, the survey found that 24% favor removing the Washington statues while 65% are opposed.

Voters nationwide are evenly divided about removing statues honoring Confederate soldiers. There is a strong alignment between those who disapprove of the president and those who support removing statues honoring those who rebelled against the United States.

The JustTheNews.com survey found plurality support for removing statues honoring just one historical figure–Karl Marx.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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54% of Those Out Working Believe Lockdowns Did More Harm Than Good

Among workers having in-person interaction with customers and co-workers, 54% believe that the lockdowns have done more harm than good. However, among workers who are socially isolated, 62% take the opposite view. The socially isolated workers have no in person interaction with customers and co-workers.

Among all workers, 40% believe the lockdowns did more harm than good while 53% disagree.

A Ballotpedia national survey of 1,764 working Americans also found a significant gap between these groups on perceptions of the economy.  Those out working are evenly divided as to whether the economy is getting better or worse. Among the socially isolated workers, however, perceptions are decidedly more pessimistic. By a 47% to 30% margin these workers believe the economy is getting worse.

Methodology

To accomplish this, we asked a series of standard pandemic-related questions in national survey interviews with 1,746 working Americans. The interviews were conducted between May 28 and June 6, 2020.

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Biden 47% Trump 39%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by eight points– 47% to 39%. Six percent (6%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 7% are undecided.

This is a slight improvement for the president from two weeks ago when he trailed Biden by 12. The week before that, it was Biden by ten.

There are two basic ways to assess these numbers. The first is that the difference are merely statistical noise–this latest survey is two points closer than the ten-point margin and the previous survey was two points higher.

The other approach is to consider that the two previous polls were the biggest leads enjoyed by Biden all year. Prior to that, Biden’s lead has ranged between five and nine points since late March. It may be that Biden enjoyed a modest bounce in the polls as the Civil Rights issues initially emerged and that the bounce has now faded.

The president does better among private sector workers than government employees. Within the private sector, he does better among the self-employed rather than those who work for someone else.

Many voters dismiss polls they don’t like because they are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 25-27, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 132 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

NOTE: Partisan breakdown of the sample: Democrats 37% Republicans 32% Other 31%.

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Supreme Court Approval Rating at 52%

Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters nationwide approve of the way the Supreme Court is performing its role. A Ballotpedia survey found that 31% disapprove and 17% are not sure.

The survey also found that a narrow plurality (30%) believe the Court’s ideological balance is about right. However, 28% believe it is too conservative and 19% believe it is too liberal.

Sixty-two percent (62%) of Hispanic voters approve of the Court’s performance as do 53% of White voters. However, just 39% of Black voters share that assessment. Among Black voters, 44% disapprove.

A plurality of Republicans believe the Court is too liberal while a plurality of Democrats believe it is too conservative. Seven-out-of-ten Independent voters believe either that the balance is about right (30%) or are not sure (40%).

Data released yesterday showed that 47% of voters see Supreme Court nominations as a Very Important voting issue.

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Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 20, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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47% Say Supreme Court Nominations Are Very Important Voting Issue

Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters nationwide say that Supreme Court nominations will be a Very Important voting issue in terms of deciding their vote for President. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 56% of Democrats, 48% of Republicans, and 35% of those not affiliated with either major party.

Still, despite the significance of the Supreme Court, five other issues were seen as Very Important by a larger number of voters. Seventy-three percent (73%) consider health care to be a Very Important voting issue while 67% say the same about the economy. Close behind, 64% say Civil Rights issues are Very Important while an identical number say Law and Order is that important. Immigration is seen as Very Important by 53% of voters.

On most of the issues, there is little difference between the views of those who are out working and those who are not interacting with customers or co-workers. However, there is a substantial divide on the issue of law and order. Among those workers who regularly interact with both customers and co-workers, 78% say Law and Order is a Very Important Issue. Among those who are not interacting with others, just 49% hold that view.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 20, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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64% Believe Worst of Pandemic is Still To Come–Most Pessimistic Assessment Yet Measured

Just 16% of voters now believe the worst of the Coronavirus is behind us. A Ballotpedia national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters found that 64% believe the worst is still to come.

That’s quite a change from earlier in the month when 29% believed the worst was behind us and only 42% took the more pessimistic view. In fact, those earlier numbers were the most optimistic yet recorded. The current numbers are the most pessimistic.

  • In mid-April, just 16% believed the worst was behind us. That matches the current numbers. At that time, 60% feared the worst was still to come, four points lower than the current total.
  • Later in April, 23% held the optimistic view while 49% disagreed.
  • However, in mid-May, confidence fell. The number thinking the worst was behind us fell to 17%. At the same time, the number fearing the worst was still to come jumped seven points to 56%.

Given this history, it seems likely that the emotional roller-coaster will continue.

The pessimistic view is now shared by 75% of Democrats, 62% of Independents, and 52% of Republicans.

Those who are out working and interacting with customers and co-workers are a bit more optimistic. Twenty-seven percent (27%) of them believe the worst is behind us. Among those who have no in-person interactions, just 11% share that view.

 

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 20, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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39% Trust Democrats on Economy, 38% Trust Republicans

When it comes to the economy, voters are evenly divided as to which party they trust more. A Ballotpedia national survey found that 39% trust Democrats more while 38% trust the GOP. The survey of 1,000 Registered Voters also found that 14% don’t trust either party and 9% are not sure.

There is an interesting gap among working Americans based upon how they are currently working. Those workers who have no personal interaction with either customers or co-workers trust Democrats more than Republicans by a 45% to 27% margin. However, among those who regularly have in-person contact with both customers and co-workers, the opposite is true. Fifty-two percent (52%) of those who are out working trust Republicans more while just 34% have more confidence in Democrats.

Ballotpedia will continue to explore the gap between these groups of workers in the coming weeks.

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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38% Believe American Society is Fair and Decent

Just 38% of voters nationwide believe our society is generally fair and decent. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that nearly half (47%) believe our society is unfair and discriminatory.

These numbers reflect a dramatic change from the first time Scott asked that question back in the 1990s. In those days, voters routinely said society was generally fair and decent by roughly a 2-to-1 margin.

The current numbers show a significant partisan divide. Sixty-two percent (62%) of Republicans say our society is fair and decent while 69% of Democrats take the opposite view. By a 45% to 31% margin, Independent voters agree with the Democrats.

Not surprisingly, there is also a big racial divide on this question. White voters are evenly divided while 77% of Black voters say our society is unfair and discriminatory. Forty-nine percent (49%) of Hispanic voters agree.

Other data from the survey found that 76% of voters believe most Americans want to live in a society where white and black Americans are treated equally. Thirteen percent (13%) believe that’s not true and 11% aren’t sure.

Twenty-three percent (23%) of Black voters don’t believe that most Americans want racial equality.

The survey also found that just 49% of all voters believe most Republicans favor racial equality. Thirty-three percent (33%) disagree.

A majority of Black voters (54%) do not believe most members of the GOP want whites and blacks treated equally. Forty-five percent (45%) of Hispanic voters share that view.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 20, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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55% Believe Economy Getting Worse

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters nationwide believe the economy is getting worse these days. A Ballotpedia national survey found that figure is up five points from a survey conducted in late May.

Since that earlier survey, the number who believe the economy is getting better has inched up just two points to 24%.

To some, these results may be surprising. The initial survey was conducted before the most recent jobs report, at a time when many experts projected the report would show millions of jobs lost. Instead, that report showed a net gain of 2.5 million jobs. However, after an economic slump, it often takes many months of good economic news before confidence rebounds.

Additionally, the partisan dynamics are interesting. Since that earlier survey, Republicans have grown more optimistic while Democrats and Independents have gone in the opposite direction.

Fifty percent (50%) of GOP voters now believe the economy is getting better–up nine points since late May.

Seventy-four percent (74%) of Democrats now believe the economy is getting worse–up ten points from the previous survey.

The number of Independents who believe the economy is getting worse jumped eight points to 58%.

Data released earlier showed showed that 42% of voters know someone who lost their job due to the shutdowns and have since been rehired. On that question, there is no significant partisan gap.

We will continue to monitor economic expectations as American recovers.

Ballotpedia is Documenting America’s Path to Recovery by providing comprehensive coverage on how the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic is affecting America’s political and civic life. Click here to sign up for daily email updates.

Coverage includes how federalstate, and local governments are responding, and the effects those responses are having on campaigns and elections. We document the plans for recovery put forth by states, localities, and others in a way that allows citizens, policymakers, influencers, pundits, and the nation’s reporters to engage in fruitful comparisons about moving forward. We will curate the ongoing debates, as well as the political impact of the conversations.

LISTEN TO Scott’s Daily Podcast, “Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day.”

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CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 11-13, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 306 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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42% Know Someone Who Lost Their Job During The Pandemic and Have Been Rehired

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters nationwide have a close friend or family member who lost their job during the shutdown and since been rehired. A Ballotpedia survey of 1,200 Registered Voters found that 49% do not and 9% are not sure.

There is a significant generational divide on this question. Among voters under 45, just over half (51%) know someone close to them who has been rehired. That falls to 27% among senior citizens.

Beyond that, however, there are few noticeable demographic divides.

Forty-three percent (43%) of Republican voters know someone who lost their job and been rehired. So do 38% of Democrats and 44% of Independents.

We will continue to track this measure as part of our effort to monitor the reopening of American society.

LISTEN TO Scott’s Daily Podcast, “Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day.”

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 11-13, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 306 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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For Second Week in a Row, Trump Approval At 41%

For the second straight week, a Scott Rasmussen national survey of Registered Voters found that 41% approve of the way President Trump is performing his job. That matches last week as the lowest level of approval measured in a Scott Rasmussen national survey.

The number disapproving increased a point to 58%, a new high.

Those totals include 27% who Strongly Approve and 49% who Strongly Disapprove.

Perhaps the most significant aspect of this finding is the timing of the survey. Most interviews for last week’s survey were completed prior to the surprisingly positive jobs report showing a gain of 2.5 million new jobs. However, that does not appear to have had any immeidate impact on the president’s job approval numbers.

Looking ahead to the November election, the president’s numbers are especially weak among uncommitted voters. Among those who say they will vote for some other candidate or are undecided, just 23% approve of the president’s performance. Sixty-five percent (65%) disapprove.

Overall, approval currently come from 84% of Republicans, 34% of Independents, and 8% of Democrats.

The president earns approval from 47% of white voters, 15% of black voters, and 27% of Hispanic voters.

LISTEN TO Scott’s Daily Podcast, “Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day.”

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 11-13, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 306 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Uncategorized

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Economy, Health Care, Civil Rights Top Three Voting Issues

Thirty percent (30%) of voters nationwide rate the economy as the top issue facing the nation today. A Ballotpedia national survey found that 17% view health care as most important, 16% name Civil Rights and 11% say Law and Order. No other issue reaches double digit support at this time.

Other polling has shown that health care and the economy have been top issues for years. However, both terms have taken on a different tone in the coronavirus pandemic era.

When it comes to issue priorities, there are significant partisan and demographic differences.

Civil Rights is the top issue for 24% of Democrats. Twenty-three percent (23%) say healthcare and 20% name the economy as most important.

For Republicans, the economy is far and away the top issue. Forty-one percent (41%) of GOP voters consider it most important followed by Law and Order (20%) and healthcare (13%).

Among Independents, the economy is number one (30%). That parallels the Republican view. However, unlike Republicans, number two on the list for Independents is the issue of Civil Rights(15%).

Voters under 35 see Civil Rights as most important. Older voters place a higher priority on the economy and health care.

Among black voters, Civil Rights is number one. Among white and Hispanic voters, the economy is seen as a top priority.

LISTEN TO Scott’s Daily Podcast, “Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day.”

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 11-13, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 306 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Poll Results

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51% Worry About Economic Threat from Pandemic More Than Health Threat

When asked about what worries them most about the coronavirus, 51% now say it’s threat to the U.S. economy. A Ballotpedia national survey found that 43% are more worried about the health threat.

This is the third straight week that more people have expressed greater concern about the economic threat rather than the health threat. It’s the first time more than 50% have expressed that concern.

These figures represent a significant change from late March when just 38% were more worried about the economic threat. At that time, 53% expressed greater concern about the health threat.

By late April and early May, the figures had generally evened up. Since then, the trend has continued to show a relative decline in concern about the health threat.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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22% Don’t Think It Matters Whether Biden or Trump Wins

Twenty-two percent (22%) of Registered Voters don’t think it matters much whether Donald Trump or Joe Biden wins the presidential election in November. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 11% who say it won’t make any real difference in their life and 11% who aren’t sure if it will make a difference.

On top of that, another 17% say it will make only a minor difference.

That leaves 62% of voters who believe the outcome of the election will make a major difference in their life.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of Trump voters say it will make a major difference along with 68% of Biden voters.

However, among those who say they’d vote for some other candidate, 53% don’t think it will make a difference and another 20% say it would make just a minor difference.

As for undecided voters, 74% say it won’t make a difference in their lives and another 15% expect only a minor difference.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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29% Believe Worst of Pandemic Behind Us

Twenty-nine percent (29%) of voters now believe the worst of the coronavirus pandemic is behind us. A Ballotpedia survey found that 42% disagree and think the worst is still to come. Another 29% are not sure.

These are by far the most optimistic assessments of the situation found in months of regular polling on the topic.

  • In mid-April, just 16% believed the worst was behind us while 60% feared it was still to come.
  • Later in April, 23% held the optimistic view while 49% disagreed.
  • However, in mid-May, confidence fell. The number thinking the worst was behind us fell to 17%. At the same time, the number fearing the worst was still to come jumped seven points to 56%.

Given this history, it’s too early to say whether the optimism will continue.

Throughout all the bouncing around, Republicans were always more optimistic than Democrats or Independents. That remains true today. By a 52% to 23% margin, Republicans believe the worst is behind us. Democrats, by a 56% to 14% margin, take the opposite view and believe the worst is still to come. Among Independents, 23% say it’s behind us while 42% worry that the worst is still to come.

Women, by a 2-to-1 margin, believe the worst is still to come. Men are evenly divided.

This data was featured in Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day on Ballotpedia. The Number of the Day has now expanded to a podcast format with a new release every weekday morning at 8:00 a.m. Eastern.

Ballotpedia is Documenting America’s Path to Recovery by providing comprehensive coverage on how the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic is affecting America’s political and civic life. Click here to sign up for daily email updates.

Coverage includes how federalstate, and local governments are responding, and the effects those responses are having on campaigns and elections. We document the plans for recovery put forth by states, localities, and others in a way that allows citizens, policymakers, influencers, pundits, and the nation’s reporters to engage in fruitful comparisons about moving forward. We will curate the ongoing debates, as well as the political impact of the conversations.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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Just the News Adds Daily Podcast from Pollster Scott Rasmussen

Washington, D.C. and New York, NY, June 9, 2020 – Pollster, political analyst and author Scott Rasmussen unpacks newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics and technology with his “Number of the Day.” His long-running feature at Ballotpedia is now expanding to become the newest show on the Just the News podcast platform.

Just the News is a multiplatform news network launched in January 2020 by award-winning investigative journalist John Solomon.

“Scott has been conducting our widely quoted daily poll and now he will give our listeners a podcast that makes sense of the numbers that define what Americans are thinking,” Solomon said. “He is one of the most respected barometers of American sentiment. The context and insights he brings to politics are a must-listen opportunity as we head into the 2020 fall election.”

Rasmussen, for decades one of America’s most trusted pollsters and political analysts, says “I am excited by the opportunity to share my passion for data-driven analysis with a new audience.  And it’s great to work with John and the entire Just the News team.”

His podcast will be released each weekday morning at 8:00 a.m. Eastern.

“Scott has earned his place among America’s premier pollsters and political analysts,” said Ron Hartenbaum, managing member of Crossover Media Group, the cross-platform content-production and advertising-sales firm which produces, sells and distributes audio and video programming for Just the News.   “He gets it right more often than most, and his insights can be essential to understanding the 2020 races.”

“Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day,” which will be produced from studios in New York City and Washington, DC, joins a growing lineup of Just the News content including:

  • “John Solomon Reports,” a twice-weekly podcast on Tuesdays and Thursdays, featuring the veteran investigative reporter and Editor in Chief of Just the News;
  • “The Pod’s Honest Truth with David Brody,” a Monday and Wednesday podcast hosted by longtime CBN correspondent and Just the News senior contributing editor David Brody; and
  • “The Sharyl Attkisson Podcast,” published weekly on Fridays, featuring the Emmy-Award winning investigative television correspondent.

About Just the News

Just the News is a Washington-based news outlet that delivers exclusive reporting, podcasts, books, polling and video content showcasing some of the most respected and trusted journalists and editors in news media today.

Watch for additional announcements soon by visiting www.JustTheNews.com, or get updates via social media @JTNReports on Twitter and @JustTheNewsReports on Facebook. For interview or media inquiries, please email media@justthenews.com.

About Scott Rasmussen

Long recognized as one of the world’s leading public opinion pollsters, Scott Rasmussen is committed to enhancing the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion.   The Wall Street Journal called him “a key player in the contact sport of politics,” while the Washington Post said he is a “driving force in American politics.”  Among his many activities, he is editor at large at Ballotpedia, the Encyclopedia of American Politics.  His latest book is The Sun is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will Not.   More information, including recent poll results, can be found at ScottRasmussen.com and @ScottWRasmussen.

About Crossover Media Group  

Crossover Media Group is a media & ad sales consulting firm serving all of North America, with expertise including TV, radio, podcasts, streaming, OTT networks and other platforms.   Crossover Media Group, with offices in New York, Los Angeles, Chicago and Dallas, is a collaborative and adaptive results-driven company committed to engaging and expanding clients’ audiences through digital and social platforms.

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Posted in Deeper Currents

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Biden 47% Trump 37%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by ten points– 47% to 37%. Nine percent (9%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 7% are undecided.

That’s an improvement for Biden who held a seven-point advantage last week. It’s also the biggest lead Biden has enjoyed in Scott Rasmussen polling all year. Prior to this, Biden’s lead has ranged between five and nine points since late March.

The former Vice President leads by 30-points among urban voters and by 14 points in the suburbs. President Trump leads by 19 among rural voters.

The survey was conducted Thursday evening through Saturday morning (June 4-6, 2020). Most of the interviews were completed prior to the surprisingly positive jobs report released on Friday. It remains to be seen whether the more encouraging economic news will have any impact on these numbers.

The same survey found the president’s job approval rating falling to a new low at 41%.

Many voters dismiss polls they don’t like because they are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published each weekday morning by Ballotpedia. Starting today, Scott is releasing a daily PODCAST in partnership with Just The News.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Uncategorized

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68% Have Had Protests In Their Area; Overwhelmingly Peaceful

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of voters have recently had protests in their area. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 27% have not and 5% are not sure.

Among those who have had protests in their area, 67% say they have generally remained peaceful. Just 31% say they have turned violent.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of urban and suburban voters have had protests near where they live. Just 54% of rural voters say the same.

In those rural areas, 79% report that the protests have remained peaceful. Sixty-nine percent (69%) of those in the suburbs agree.

However, in urban areas, the responses are more mixed. While 54% of urban voters report that the protests in their area have remained peaceful, nearly as many (44%) say they have turned violent.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published each weekday morning by Ballotpedia. Starting today, Scott is releasing a daily PODCAST in partnership with Just The News.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Poll Results

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President Trump’s Job Approval Falls to 41%

President Trump’s Job Approval rating has fallen to 41% among Registered Voters. That’s the lowest level measured in a Scott Rasmussen national survey. Fifty-seven percent (57%) currently disapprove.

Those numbers include 28% who Strongly Approve and 47% who Strongly Disapprove.

The president earns approval from 46% of white voters, 15% of black voters, and 31% of Hispanic voters.

While most rurual voters (55%) approve of the president’s performance, that view is shared by 39% of suburban voters and 31% of those living in urban areas.

Last week, polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen for JustTheNews.com found the president’s Job Approval at 45%. In fact, several months of survey results found President Trump’s approval ratings holding steady in the mid-40s.

The survey was conducted Thursday evening through Saturday morning (June 4-6, 2020). Most of the interviews were completed prior to the surprisingly positive jobs report released on Friday. It remains to be seen whether the more encouraging economic news will have any impact on the approval numbers.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published each weekday morning by Ballotpedia. Starting today, Scott is releasing a daily PODCAST in partnership with Just The News.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Uncategorized

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48% Think Businesses Can Decide Mask Rules for Their Customers

Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters believe private businesses should be allowed to decide whether or not their customers are required to wear masks. A Ballotpedia survey found that 47% disagree and 5% are not sure.

There is a strong partisan divide on this question. By a 64% to 32% margin, Republican voters believe businesses should set the rules for their customers. By a 57% to 38% margin, Democrats disagree and say businesses should not be allowed to do so. Independent voters are evenly divided.

Moving out of the business environment into public spaces, 68% believe governments have the legal authority to require masks in public. But, again, there is a wide partisan divide. Eighty percent (80%) of Democrats believe state and local governments have such authority. Only 60% of Independents and 56% of Republicans agree.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 1, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were selected at random from a combination of voter lists and Random Digital Engagement techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.