Election Polls 2020

Scott Rasmussen’s latest national polling shows Biden leading 51% to 43%.

His daily Battleground State polling updates can be found here.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

 

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44% of Voters Think Biden Will Win, 43% Say Trump

Forty-four percent (44%) of Likely Voters nationwide believe former Vice President Joe Biden will win the 2020 presidential election. A Political IQ national survey found that 43% believe President Trump will be re-elected.

Supporters of each candidate are very confident. Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Trump voters believe he will win. Eighty percent (80%) of Biden supporters believe their candidate will emerge victorious.

Those numbers reflect little change since the summer. In July, 91% of Trump supporters expected victory along with 80% of Biden supporters.

Polling both by Scott Rasmussen and all polling averages show Biden with a lead nationally and in key states. The fact that many Trump supporters still expect victory may result from several factors. One is the believe that the polls are simply wrong (or even fake). For many, that’s the key lesson from 2016. However, the polls weren’t as bad as the legend that has grown up around that election.

Another reason for confidence among Trump supporters may be a belief in a strong comeback or a strong Republican turnout. Political IQ polls conducted by Scott Rasmussen have shown the president trailing narrowly in Florida and North Carolina. However, in both cases, the Strong Republican turnout model shows the president ahead. In Pennsylvania, the president pulls to within two points with a Strong Republican turnout. That’s close enough to be competitive. However, President Trump would likely have to win all three to be re-elected.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,240 Likely Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 8-10, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 198 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. The Likely Voter sample was derived from a larger sample of Registered Voters using screening questions and other factors. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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29% Believe Economy Getting Better, 45% Say Worse

A Political IQ national poll found that 29% of voters nationwide believe the economy is getting better while 45% say it is getting worse. The poll, conducted by Scott Rasmussen found that 22% believe it is staying about the same and 4% are not sure.

Perceptions about the overall economy are typically a lagging indicator of economic performance. It is not unusual for many voters to believe the country remains in a recession for years after the recession officially ended.

However, perceptions of personal finances are often more responsive to changing dynamics. The latest poll shows that 27% of voters believe their own personal finances are getting better while 25% take the opposite view.

Upper income Americans are more positive than lower income Americans about the economic trends.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,457 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 8-10, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 198 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of error for the full sample is +/- 2.6 percentage points.

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52% Believe Worst of Pandemic Still to Come

Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters now believe the worst of the  pandemic is still to come. That’s down three points from a week ago but up four from two weeks ago. A Scott Rasmussen national survey also found that 27% believe the worst is behind us and 21% are not sure.

Those results suggest that there was an increase in pessimism following news that President Trump tested positive for COVID-19. The pessimism has eased slightly since his recovery, but is still higher than before the president’s diagnosis.

Prior to the president testing positive, our weekly testing found that optimism had been growing steadily for a couple of months.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of men believe the worst is behind us. So do 20% of women.

Forty-six percent (46%) of Republicans now believe the worst is behind us. However, 70% of Democrats and 53% of independents believe the worst is still to come.

The table below highlights selected results showing trends over the past few months.

Worst of Pandemic is Behind Us Worst of Pandemic is Still to Come
Oct. 1-3 24% 55%
Sept. 3-5 29% 49%
Aug. 13-15 20% 59%
July 23-25 15% 63%
June 4-6 29% 42%
April 9-11 16% 60%

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,457 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 8-10, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 198 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of error for the full sample is +/- 2.6 percentage points.

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30% See Obamacare as Top Issue Before Supreme Court; 17% Say Abortion

Thirty percent (30%) of voters nationwide say Obamacare is the top issue before the Supreme Court at this time. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 17% named abortion as the top issue while 13% said 2nd Amendment issues. Additionally, 9% see issues surrounding the Administrative State as most important while 8% say Religious Liberty.

Seventeen percent (17%) say some other issue was tops and 6% are not sure.

Abortion is viewed as most important by 20% of Republicans and 18% of Democrats. When viewing results by party, that’s the only common ground. Among Independent voters, 13% see abortion as the top issue before the Court.

Among Democrats, 46% see Obamacare as the top issue. Just 26% of Independents agree along with 15% of Republicans.

For GOP voters, 2nd Amendment issues and Abortion top the list.

While Supreme Court issues are seen as important, there is often a misunderstanding about the issues themselves. Polling released earlier showed that most voters don’t know what would happen if Roe v. Wade is overturned.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 1-3, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 121 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Pessimism About Pandemic Grows–55% Believe Worst is Still to Come

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters now believe the worst of the pandemic is still to come.  That’s an increase of seven points from a week ago. A Scott Rasmussen national survey also found that 24% believe the worst is behind us and 21% are not sure.

Those results suggest an increase in pessimism following news that President Trump tested positive for COVID. The vast majority of interviews in the latest survey were conducted following release of that information. 

We have been tracking this question weekly for several months. During August, optimism was growing on this question. By early September, the number saying the worst was still to come had fallen below the 50% mark and it remained there until this week. 

Forty-four percent (44%) of Republicans now believe the worst is behind us. However, 72% of Democrats and 57% of Independents believe the worst is still to come.

The table below highlights selected results showing trends over the past few months.

Behind                Still to Come

Oct 1-3                  24%                         55%

Sept 3-5                29%                          49%

Aug 13-15             20%                         59%

July 23-25             15%                         63%

June 4-6                29%                         42%

April 9-11              16%                         60%

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 1-3, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 121 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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56% Don’t Know What Overturning Roe v. Wade Would Mean

Most Registered Voters (56%) don’t know what would happen if the U.S. Supreme Court overturned the Roe v. Wade ruling. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 30% who mistakenly believe that abortion would be outlawed in the United States and 26% who are simply not sure.

Forty-four percent (44%) recognize that overturning Roe v. Wade would allow every state to establish its own laws governing abortion.

Misunderstanding on the issue is found all across the political spectrum. It is found among 57% of Independent voters, 56% of Democrats, and 54% of Republicans.

One of the great challenges in 21st century politics is recognizing that terms used in the political dialogue often are not perceived in the same way by voters.

 

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen September 26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

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10% Know Someone Who Was Injured or Lost Property in Recent Riots

Ten percent (10%) of voters have close friends or relatives who were injured or had their property destroyed in recent riots. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 85% do not and 5% are not sure.

Among voters under 35, 19% know someone who has been hurt by the riots. Among older voters (55+), just 4% say the same.

The survey also found that 45% of voters are worried are violent protests and riots will come to their community.

That total includes 54% of Republicans, 42% of Independent voters, and 39% of Democrats.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 24-26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 159 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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53% Disagree With Grand Jury Ruling in Breonna Taylor Case

Most voters (53%) following the news about Breonna Taylor case disagree with the grand jury decision announced last week. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 38% agree with the decision and 9% are not sure.

Those totals include 21% who Strongly Agree with the decision and 41% who Strongly Disagree.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of Black voters disagree as do 59% of Hispanic voters. However, White Voters are more evenly divided.

The survey also found that two-thirds of voters (66%) were following the news at least somewhat closely. That includes 29% following the story Very Closely.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 24-26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 159 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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34% Recognize Sandra Day O’Connor As First Woman on Supreme Court

Given a list of four politically prominent women, 34% recognize that Sandra Day O’Connor was the first woman to serve on the United States Supreme Court. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 36% mistakenly believe that Ruth Bader Ginsburg was the first woman on the Court. Three percent (3%) believe that honor was earned by current Justice Sonia Sotomayor and 3% named Margaret Chase Smith. Smith never served on the Supreme Court, but was the first woman to serve in both the House of Representatives and the United States Senate.

Even when presented with a list of names, 23% were not able to identify the name of the first female Supreme Court Justice.

Among voters 55 and older, a plurality– but not a majority– correctly identified O’Connor. A plurality of younger voters thought it was Ginsuburg. A poll conducted the day after Ginsburg’s passing showed that she was viewed favorably by 64% of voters.

Thirty-one percent (31%) of voters identified Ronald Reagan as the first president to appoint a woman to the Court. A slightly larger number–35%– did not know.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen September 26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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When Law & Faith Conflict, Voters Evenly Divided on Which to Follow

Sometimes there is a conflict between government laws and the teachings of a faith or religion. For most voters, this creates some tension since faith is an important part of their daily life.

If they felt a government law forced them to violate the teachings and values of their faith, 39% of voters would be likely to follow the teachings of their faith. A Scott Rasmussen survey found that 41% would follow the law and 19% are not sure. The number who say they would follow the law includes 15% who say that faith or religion is not at all important to them.

White voters are evenly divided on the subject. By a 45% to 34% margin, Black voters would follow their faith.

Republicans would be more likely to follow their faith while Democrats would be more likely to follow the law. Independent voters are evenly divided.

As on many issues, there is an interesting divide between the views of White and Black Democrats. By a 56% to 25% margin, White Democrats would follow the law. By a 42% to 34% margin, Black Democrats would follow their faith.

This survey was conducted immediately following the nomination of Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen September 26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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45% Want Lockdown Restrictions Eased, 36% Want Stricter Regulations Re-imposed

Forty-five percent (45%) of Registered Voters believe that the government should be easing lockdown restrictions in the area where they live. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 36% take the opposite view and believe that stricter rules should be re-imposed. Nineteen percent (19%) are not sure.

Other recent data showed that 37% wear masks at all times around other people. However, 63% take a more relaxed approach. Taken together, these results suggest that a significant minority of just under 40% remains committed to a strict lockdown strategy for dealing with the pandemic. However, a larger number of voters are looking to move beyond the lockdowns.

Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans want lockdown restrictions eased while 54% of Democrats want to see stricter regulations. Independent voters are evenly divided.

One interesting geographic note is that Red State voters are evenly divided. Those are states that Donald Trump won by at least four points in 2016. However, in Blue States–those that Hillary Clinton won by at least four points, a solid plurality (47%) favor easing restrictions. While those results may seem counter-intuitive, they may reflect that states led by Republican Governors have already eased restrictions more than states led by Democratic Governors. This may be a sign that Blue State voters are losing patience with lockdown measures.

In the Purple States–the competitive states that may decide the winner of Election 2020–49% want to see restrictions eased while 36% found the opposite view.

Among Likely Voters nationwide, support for easing restrictions is a bit higher: 49% support the more relaxed approach while 36% want to see stricter measures put in place.

The survey also found that 27% of Registered Voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. However, 48% believe the worst is still to come. That’s consistent with other recent surveys and reflects a decline in pessimism since the summer.

Not surprisingly, those who believe the worst is behind us overwhelmingly favor easing lockdown restrictions. Among those who believe the worst is still to come, 63% want stricter lockdowns. However, even among these more pessimistic voters, 25% believe it’s time to ease restrictions in their area.

As for those who aren’t sure about whether the worst is behind us, 48% want to see restrictions eased. Just 19% want stricter lockdowns.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 24-26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 159 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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28% Believe Today’s Children Will Be Better Off Than Their Parents, 29% Think The Opposite

Twenty-eight percent (28%) of voters believe children born these days will have a better life than their parents. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 29% believe these children will have a worse life, and 24% think the quality of life will be about the same. Nineteen percent (19%) aren’t sure.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of men believe today’s children will live better than their parents. Just 25% of male voters think today’s children will be worse off.

Women, by a 32% to 22% margin, take the opposite view and are more likely to think today’s children will be worse off than their parents.

Republicans and conservatives are a bit more optimistic than Democrats and liberals. Suburban voters are a bit more pessimistic than urban or rural voters. Older voters are more pessimistic while younger voters more optimistic.

The survey question did not ask how respondents would define a better life.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 17-19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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58% Believe America’s Best Days Are Still to Come

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters nationwide believe that America’s Best Days are still to come. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 22% are more pessimistic, believing that those days have come and gone.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of White voters believe our best days are still in the future. So do 58% of Hispanic voters and 54% of black voters.

In fact, with just a single exception, a majority of every measured demographic group shares this upbeat assessment. The one exception is Independent voters. However, even among these voters, 49% are optimistic while just 24% believe the nation’s best days were in the past.

This optimism about the future provides an interesting contrast with other data from the same survey. Forty-nine percent (49%) of voters believe they are better off than four years ago, but just 35% believe the country is better off.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 17-19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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49% Better Off Than Four Years Ago, 42% Disagree

As Election 2020 approaches, 49% of the nation’s Registered Voters are better off than they were four years ago. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 42% are not while 9% are not sure.

Men, by a 53% to 38% margin, say they are better off. Women are evenly divided.

Most Republicans (74%) say they are better off while most Democrats (62%) say they are not. Independent voters are evenly divided.

Partially echoing this partisan result, Red State voters say they are better off by a 55% to 37% margin. Blue State voters are evenly divided, as are those in Purple States.

Red States are defined as those President Trump won by at least four points in 2016. Blue States are those Hillary Clinton won by at least four points. Purple States are those whose results were closer.

While a plurality of voters believe they are personally better off, just 35% believe the country is better off than it was four years ago. Most voters (56%) disagree and say it is not better off. In Blue States, 60% say the country is not better off. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters in Purple states agree with that negative assessment. So do 51% of Red States voters.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 17-19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

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53% Rate Supreme Court Good or Excellent; 8% Say Poor

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide rate the performance of the U.S. Supreme Court as Good or Excellent. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 8% say poor. In between are 32% who say the Court’s performance has been just fair.

Support is found in all segments of the nation. Sixty-one percent (61%) of Republicans give the Court positive reviews as do 54% of Democrats. Among other voters, 43% share that view.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of the most conservative voters give thumbs up for the Court. So do 57% of the most liberal voters.

Ideologically, 33% believe the Court’s balance is about right while 30% say too conservative and 20% too liberal.

In its treatment of protestors who commit violent acts, 44% believe the courts and legal system have been too lenient while 18% say too harsh.

Results for the full sample have a Margin of Error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.

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Methodology

The survey of 854 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen September 19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. These voters were selected from a larger sample of 1,100 Registered Voters. Likely Voters were defined as those who say they are “Definitely going to vote” or “Very Likely to Vote” and who know how they will vote.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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64% Have Favorable Opinion of Ruth Bader Ginsburg

In a survey conducted the day after her passing, 64% of Likely Voters said they had a favorable opinion of Ruth Bader Ginsburg. The Scott Rasmussen survey found just 16% with an unfavorable view while 20% are not sure.

These results are broadly consistent with earlier surveys in recent years. Justice Ginsburg was the most recognized name of all Supreme Court Justices, often the only name recognized by more than half the nation’s voters.

The survey also found that 52% of Likely Voters believe the Senate should wait to confirm Ginsburg’s replacement until after the presidential election. Forty-one percent (41%) disagree and believe the new Justice should be confirmed as soon as possible. Not surprisingly, there is a substantial partisan divide on this question.

  • Seventy-three percent (73%) of Republicans believe the new Justice should be confirmed as soon as possible.
  • Eighty percent (80%) of Democrats believe confirmation should wait until after the election.
  • Independent voters were more evenly divided. Fifty-one percent (51%) agree with the Democrats and 40% with the Republicans.

Additionally, 59% of the nation’s Likely Voters believe Joe Biden should let voters know who he would nominate if elected. Just 21% disagree while 20% are not sure.

The partisan divide on this is interesting. The Trump campaign has been pushing Biden to release a list of potential nominees. However, Democratic voters are even more likely than Republican voters to think he should do so. Sixty-six percent (66%) of Democrats want their party’s nominee to announce who he would nominate for the Court. That view is shared by 57% of Independent voters and 52% of Republicans.

Other data from the survey shows that 53% of voters rate the Supreme Court’s performance as good or excellent.

Results for the full sample have a Margin of Error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.

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Methodology

The survey of 854 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen September 19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. These voters were selected from a larger sample of 1,100 Registered Voters. Likely Voters were defined as those who say they are “Definitely going to vote” or “Very Likely to Vote” and who know how they will vote.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Generic Ballot: Democrats 46% Republicans 41%

The latest Scott Rasmussen Generic Ballot poll shows Democrats with a 5-point advantage. The survey of 941 Likely Voters found that 46% would vote for the Democrat from their District while 41% would opt for the Republican. Two percent (2%) say they’ll vote for someone else and 11% are not sure.

Republicans have a ten-point lead among White voters, but Democrats have wide margins among other voters. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Black voters prefer the Democrat. So do 67% of Hispanic voters.

Republicans have a huge lead in Rural areas and Democrats have a similar lead among Urban voters. In the suburbs, its 46% for the Democrats and 40% for Republicans.

The most recent national poll of the presidential race conducted by Scott Rasmussen shows Joe Biden with a 5-percentage point lead (48% to 43%). New results are released each Monday at JustTheNews.com.

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Methodology

The survey of 941 Likely Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 10-12, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. These voters were selected from a larger sample of 1,200 Registered Voters. Likely Voters were defined as those who say they are “Definitely going to vote” or “Very Likely to Vote” and who know how they will vote.  Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 166 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

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45% Want More Regulation of Large Corporations, 37% Want Less

In terms of what’s best for the economy, 45% of voters nationwide prefer more government regulation establishing rules for large corporations. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 37% disagree. They would rather see less government regulation to allow for more private sector innovation.

Those who live in urban areas favor more government regulation by a wide margin–53% to 29%. Those who live in suburban and rural areas are more evenly divided.

Most voters under 45 favor increased regulation while older voters tend to see more value in allowing innovation.

Not surprisingly, there is a huge partisan divide. Sixty-three percent (63%) of Democrats like the idea of more regulation while 58% of Republicans take the opposite view. Independent voters are fairly evenly divided.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 10-12, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 166 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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76% of Voters Consider 2020 Election Very Important

In terms of its impact on their own lives, 76% of Registered Voters nationwide believe Election 2020 is “Very Important.” A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that another 16% say it’s somewhat important while 8% consider it not important or are not sure.

Those who support major party presidential candidates are far more likely than others to consider the election Very Important. Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Biden supporters consider it that important. So do 84% of Trump supporters.

As for those considering other candidates, just 62% believe the election is Very Important. Among those unlikely to vote, that figure falls to 32%.

Among those unlikely to vote, 38% either consider the election to either be unimportant (24%) or are not sure if it will have an impact on their lives (14%).

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 10-12, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 166 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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30% Favor Socialism, But Not The Way It Is Historically Understood

Thirty percent (30%) of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of Socialism. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 47% hold an unfavorable view and 23% are not sure.

Those figures include 9% with a Very Favorable opinion of Socialism and 33% with a Very Unfavorable opinion.

However, most who say they like Socialism do not think of the term as it has been historically understood.

Among those with a favorable opinion of the term, just 37% believe it “is a system with higher taxes and extensive control of the economy by a centralized government.”

Only 10% of voters have a favorable opinion of Socialism AND view it as a centralized economic system.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 10-12, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 166 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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41% Prefer Candidate Supporting Black Lives Matter, 40% Prefer Blue Lives Matter

Given a choice between two candidates, 41% of voters prefer a candidate who supports  Black Lives Matter. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 40% prefer a candidate who supports Blue Lives Matter. Nineteen percent (19%) are not sure.

Eighty-six percent (86%) of Black voters favor the Black Lives Matter candidate. By a 53% to 29% margin, so do Hispanic voters. However, White voters, by a 47% to 32% margin, take the opposite view and prefer a Blue Lives Matter candidate.

Most voters with a college degree prefer Black Lives Matter. Those without a degree, favor Blue Lives Matter by a 45% to 34% margin.

Men lean a bit in favor of Blue Lives Matter while women take the opposite view.

Suburban voters are evenly divided.

 

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 3-5, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 186 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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29% Believe Worst of Pandemic Behind Us, Highest Yet; Red/Blue State Divide

Twenty-nine percent (29%) of Registered Voters now believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. matches the highest level yet measured in polls by Scott Rasmussen this year. The number holding that optimistic view has nearly doubled from the summer low recorded in July.

The number who believe the worst is still to come is 49%. It’s the first time ever that number has remained below 50% in back-to-back weeks.

Among Likely Voters, 32% believe the worst is behind us while 48% take the opposite view.

However, there is a substantial gap between the views of Red and Blue state voters.

Blue States are far more pessimistic. In states where Democrats won by more than 4 points in 2016, 54% believe the worst is still to come while just 27% believe it is behind us.

In Red States, voters are evenly divided—38% say it’s behind us while 43% believe the worst is still to come.

In the ten purple states—decided by less four points or less in 2016—32% believe the worst is behind us while 45% believe it is still to come.

This is the first time we have measured the views of Likely Voters, but the trend lines among Registered Voters show a steadily declining level of pessimism.

The number who believe the worst is behind us is up two points from a week ago, up three from two weeks ago, and up nine from three weeks ago. It has nearly doubled from the 15% recorded in July.

Scott Rasmussen has been tracking this question on a weekly basis and will continue to do so. Results in this feature are based upon a survey of 1,200 Registered Voters conducted September 3-5, 2020. The sample included 942 Likely Voters.

Other data from last week’s survey found that 59% of voters believe it’s time to move forward by adapting to the ongoing nature of the pandemic. Thirty-one percent (31%) take the opposite view and believe it is better for America to lockdown again until the pandemic is completely behind us.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 3-5, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 186 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The sample included 942 Likely Voters were defined as those who say they are “Definitely going to vote” or “Very Likely to Vote” and who know how they will vote. The Likely Voter sample was 35% Republican, 39% Democrat, and 26% Independent.

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36% of Voters Say They’re Politically Conservative, 27% Say Liberal

Thirty-six percent (36%) of voters nationwide consider themselves to be politically conservative while 27% say they’re liberal. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 31% view themselves as moderate.

Those totals include 18% who are Very Conservative and 11% who are Very Liberal.

Seventy-five percent (75%) of Republicans are conservative while 55% of Democrats are liberal. Among Independent voters, 46% are moderate and the rest are evenly divided.

In the suburbs, 36% are conservative, 30% moderate, and 30% liberal.

In urban areas, the numbers are 34% liberal, 28% moderate, and 30% conservative.

In rural America, 40% are conservative, 37% moderate, and 13% liberal.

Data released earlier showed that 65% of voters view Donald Trump as conservative while 55% see Joe Biden as liberal.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 27-29, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 188 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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55% See Biden As Politically Liberal; 65% Say Trump’s Conservative

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters nationwide see Joe Biden as politically liberal while 20% say he’s a moderate. A Scott Rasmussen national survey also found that 13% consider the former Vice President to be politically conservative while another 13% are not sure.

As for President Trump, 65% view him as conservative, 11% say moderate, 7% liberal, and 16% are not sure.

Republican voters draw clearer ideological contrasts than other voters. Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans see Trump as a conservative while 74% see Biden as a liberal. Among Democrats, 60% see Trump as conservative and 46% view Biden as liberal.

When it comes to the Vice Presidential running mates, the numbers for Senator Kamala Harris is viewed in almost identical ideological terms as Biden. That’s not surprising, especially given that all many voters know about Harris is that Biden selected her for the ticket. It is possible, though far from certain, that voters may begin to see Harris in a different ideological light between now and November.

On the other hand, Vice President Mike Pence is seen as a bit more conservative than President Trump. Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters see Pence as Very Conservative. Just 40% say the same about Trump. The perspective that Pence is more conservative than Trump is shared by Republicans, Democrats, and Independents.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 27-29, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 188 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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15% Discussed Election With Non-Family Member Every Day Last Week

Fifteen percent (15%) of voters nationwide discussed the presidential election with someone outside their family last week. At the other extreme, a Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 19% did not discuss the election at all outside their family.

Broadening the categories a bit shows that 36% discussed the election outside their family either most days or every day. An identical number–36%– had such a discussion “maybe once” or not at all. In between are 26% who discussed the election a couple of times.

On “most days”, 40% of Republicans and 39% of Democrats discussed the election with people outside their family. Just 29% of Independent voters did the same.

Discussions were more common within the confines of the family. Half of all voters (49%) discussed the election with their immediate family most days or every day.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 27-29, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 188 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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27% Believe Worst of Pandemic Behind Us; 48% Believe Worst Still to Come

Americans are growing a bit less pessimistic about the pandemic.

Twenty-seven percent (27%) of voters nationwide believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us.  A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 48% disagree and believe the worst is still to come.

The number who believe the worst is still to come is down seven points from a week ago and down eleven points from two weeks ago. This marks only the second time–and the first since June–that fewer that half the nation’s voters believed the worst was still to come.

The 27% who believe that the worst is behind us is up a point from last week, up seven points from two weeks ago, and up 12 points since July.

Earlier this year, from April thru June, confidence about getting the pandemic behind us grew steadily. But, in July that confidence collapsed before starting to grow again in August. If confidence continues to grow, it would be a significant benefit to President Trump’s hopes of re-election.

Republicans, by a 50% to 26% margin, believe the worst is behind us. Democrats reject that notion by a 67% to 10% margin. Among Independent voters, 24% believe the worst has come and gone while 48% take the opposite view.

Scott Rasmussen has been tracking this question on a weekly basis and will continue to do so. Results in this feature are based upon a survey of 1,200 Registered Voters conducted August 27-29, 2020.

Other data from the survey found that 59% of voters believe it’s time to move forward by adapting to the ongoing nature of the pandemic. Thirty-one percent (31%) take the opposite view and believe it is better for America to lockdown again until the pandemic is completely behind us.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 27-29, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 188 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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59% Believe It’s Time to Adapt and Move Forward; 31% Prefer Lockdowns Until Pandemic is Gone

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters nationwide believe it’s time to move forward by adapting to the ongoing nature of the pandemic. A Scott Rasmussen survey found that 31% take the opposite view and believe it is better for America to lockdown again until the pandemic is completely behind us.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans believe it is time to adapt and move forward. So do 54% of Independent voters.

Democrats, however, are evenly divided. Forty-six percent (46%) of those in Joe Biden’s party believe more lockdowns are needed while 44% prefer moving forward by adapting to the ongoing nature of the pandemic.

By a 63% to 27% margin, White voters believe it is time to move forward. Other voters are more evenly divided.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 27-29, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 188 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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18% Don’t Know How to Express Their Political Beliefs

When it comes to politics, 18% of voters  know what they believe are not sure what to say or how to say it. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 20% of women hold that view along with 16% of men.

The feeling of not knowing how to express what they believe is a bit less common among urban voters.

Twenty-one percent (21%) of white voters struggle with knowing how to say what they believe. So do 12% of Black and 8% of Hispanic voters.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 142 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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48% Believe More Freedom Will Bring People Together; 34% Prefer More Government Rules on Social Interaction

In terms of bringing people together, 48% of voters nationwide believe the better policy approach is giving more individual freedom for people to establish their own guidelines for social interaction. However, a Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 34% disagree and believe it would be better to have more government involvement to establish fair rules and guidelines for social interaction.

Other data from the survey showed that 93% believe it is important for our leaders to focus on things that bring people together. Additionally, 73% believe that America’s founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-governance are a good foundation for bringing people together and unifying the nation.

On the policy side, there is a significant generation gap.  By a 52% to 29% margin, older voters (45+) believe allowing more freedom is the way to bring people together. Voters under 45 are evenly divided–42% say more freedom and 40% more government rules.

Republicans strongly prefer more freedom as the answer. Independent voters, by a 47% to 29% margin, agree.

However, a narrow plurality of Democrats take the opposite view. Forty-four percent (44%) of those in Joe Biden’s party think more government rules governing social interactions are needed. Thirty-eight percent (38%) of Democrats prefer more freedom.

There is an interesting racial divide among Democrats. By a 47% to 36% margin, Black Democrats think more freedom is the answer. However, by a 46% to 35% margin, other Democrats believe more rules are the better approach.

Among all voters, there is virtually no racial divide on this question.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 142 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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43% Have Experienced Financial Problems Due to Pandemic

Forty-three percent (43%) of voters say the Coronavirus pandemic has caused serious financial problems for them or a member of their immediate family. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 60% of Hispanic voters, 53% of Black voters, and 37% of White voters.

The financial hardships have impacted more than twice as many people as the health problems. Twenty percent (20%) say the Coronavirus has caused serious health issues for them or a member of their immediate family.

Interestingly, despite the fact that the virus represents a far greater risk to older Americans, young people are far more likely to report a serious health impact. Among senior citizens, just 10% say the pandemic has caused a serious health issue for their family. Among voters under 45, that figure is nearly three times as high at 27%.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 142 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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45% Think Biden Will Win in November, 40% Say Trump

Regardless of who they want to win in November, 45% of Registered Voters nationwide believes that Democrat Joe Biden will emerge victorious. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 40% disagree and believe Republican Donald Trump will be the victor. Two percent (2%) think someone else will win it all while 12% are not sure.

The survey was conducted after the Democratic National Convention and before the Republican National Convention.

Looking back, responses have been trending in Biden’s direction for some time. Last year, a majority of voters expected Trump to be re-elected. That was before the pandemic and the lockdowns. In late June, voters were evenly divided about who would win–42% picked Biden and 42% Trump.

Eight-out-of-ten Democrats expect Biden to win while eight-out-of-ten Republicans expect Trump to be re-elected. Among unaffiliated voters, 39% pick Biden and 35% Trump.

We will repeat the question next week to see if there is any impact from the GOP convention.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 142 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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26% Believe Worst of the Pandemic Behind Us

Twenty-six percent of voters (26%)believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us.  A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 55% disagree and believe the worst is still to come.

While the overall numbers reflect ongoing concern, the numbers reflect a recent burst in confidence. The number believing the worst is behind us is up six points from a week ago and 11 points since July.

Perceptions of the pandemic have sent the nation an emotional roller-coaster. In early April, as the lockdowns were getting started, just 16% thought the worst was behind us, but confidence was growing rapidly. By the end of that month, 23% thought we had gotten through the toughest moments. In May, confidence slipped back to 17% before soaring to 29% in June. That was the highest level of confidence yet measured. However, just a month later, confidence that the worst was behind us fell back to 15% in July.

For now, the roller-coaster appears headed back up again. It will be interesting to see if confidence keeps growing in the weeks to come. If it does, that would be a significant benefit to President Trump’s hopes of re-election.

As always, Republicans are more upbeat about the pandemic than anyone else. Forty-five percent (45%) of GOP voters believe the worst is behind us. That optimism is shared by 23% of Independents and 11% of Democrats. 

It is possible—probably likely—that perceptions of this question may have shifted over time. For some people the prospect that the worst is still ahead of us means we have to hunker down for a longer period of time. For others, it may mean that we need to find a way to adapt and go on living with a challenge that is going to be with us for a while.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 142 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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America’s Founding Ideals Can Bring Americans Together

When 2020 began, no one could have predicted the enormous changes that would sweep through our nation and the world. It’s hard to find new ways the world turned upside down impact of the coronavirus pandemic, lockdowns, and the resulting economic disruption. As if that wasn’t enough, the nation also had to deal with the killing of George Floyd, peaceful protests against racial injustice, and riots plaguing American cities.

These events have made the presidential election campaign even more polarizing than usual. It sometimes seems as if there’s nothing Americans can agree upon.

However, a survey I conducted this past weekend showed that there is something 93% of American voters can agree upon—they believe it is important for our leaders to focus on things that bring people together. That total includes 71% who say it’s Very Important.

Ninety-six percent (96%) of Democrats believe it’s important to focus on bringing people together. So do 92% of Republicans and 90% of Independent voters.

Of course, in the political world, when partisan activists say they want unity, what they really want is for their opponents to agree with them. However, among voters throughout the nation, there’s also strong agreement on a starting point for creating that unity. Seventy-three percent (73%) of voters believe that America’s founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-governance are a good foundation for bringing people together and unifying the nation. Just 12% disagree.

As you would expect with numbers like that, support for the founding ideals is found in all segments of our society. Among voters 55 and older, more than eight-out-of-ten see those ideals as a good foundation. So do two-thirds of younger voters. The idea that these ideals represent a path to unity is strongly supported by White and non-White voters; Suburban, Urban, and Rural Voters; conservatives, moderates, and liberals; college graduates and those without a degree.

Obviously, support for the founding ideals does not mean we have to agree on everything. There’s plenty of room for disagreement between candidates, parties, and voters. In fact, my weekend survey found that there is plenty of disagreement on a number of questions—including a question about the best approach to bringing people together.

When asked which would do more to bring people together, 48% said giving people more individual freedom to establish their own guidelines for social interaction. That’s a fairly traditional American answer. However, 34% took the opposite view and said a better approach to bringing people together would be more government involvement to establish fair rules and guidelines for social interaction.

This question revealed some stark divides in our society. Most voters over 45 said more freedom would be the best way to bring people together. Younger voters were evenly divided.

Republicans overwhelmingly believe more freedom is the better approach and, by a 47% to 29% margin, Independents agree. However, a narrow plurality of Democrats leans in the opposite direction. By a 44% to 38% margin, they believe giving government more power to establish fair rules would bring people together.

I’m sure there are some conservatives who will say that Democrats can’t possibly believe in freedom if they believe giving government more power will bring people together. And I’m also sure there are some liberals who will say that Republicans can’t possibly believe in equality if they don’t want to establish a fair set of rules.

But before we get too caught up in the things we disagree about, let’s first pause to celebrate the things we agree upon. America’s founding ideals—freedom, equality, and self-governance—are worth striving for and celebrating. They are the heritage and purpose we share as a nation. Celebrating those ideals and our commitment to them is the only way to bring Americans together.

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56% More Worried About Pandemic Health Threat Rather than Economic Threat

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters are more worried about the Health Threat from the coronavirus pandemic rather than the economic threat. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 39% are more worried about the economic threat.

These figures highlight a growing level of concern about the health threat from the pandemic. 

The number worried most about the health threat has risen 13 points since mid-June and three points since the end of last month. . The number more concerned about the economy has fallen a dozen points since mid-June and one point since the end of last month.

There remains a huge partisan gap on the issue. Seventy-six percent (76%) of Democrats and 55% of Independents are most concerned about the health threat. However, 62% of Republicans take the opposite view and worry more about the economy.

In mid-June, members of all parties were relatively less concerned about the health threat than they are today.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 13-15, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 181 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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25% Believe Obamacare Improved Healthcare System

Twenty-five percent (25%) of voters believe the U.S. healthcare system was broken before Obamacare and is working much better today. However, a Texas Public Policy Foundation poll found that 21% take the opposite view. They believe our health care system was working fine before it was broken by Obamacare.

However, a solid plurality–39%–don’t see much change in either direction. They believe our health care system was broken before Obamacare was passed and it is still  broken today. Fourteen percent (14%) of voters are not sure.

Democrats are fairly evenly divided between thinking things are better now and that little has changed. Republicans are fairly evenly divided between thinking things are worse now and that little has changed. A plurality of Independent voters believe the system was broken before Obamacare and remains broken today.

Younger voters are somewhat more likely than their elders to believe little has changed.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 13-15, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 181 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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53% Have Some Confidence in Public Health Officials

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide are at least Somewhat Confident that that public health officials really understand the coronavirus and what policies are needed to overcome it. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 46% lack confidence in the officials.

Those figures reflect growing confidence in public health officials over the past couple of months. In June, just 45% had even a modest level of confidence in the public health officials. The eight-point improvement came exclusively from Democrats and Independent voters.

  • In June, 49% of Republican voters expressed confidence in the public health officials. That figure is unchanged in the latest survey.
  • Confidence among Democrats increased twelve points, from 49% in June to 61% today.
  • Among Independents, there was a thirteen point gain, from 35% in June to 48% today.

Overall, the current numbers show that 16% of voters are Very Confident in the public health officials while 15% are Not at All confident.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 13-15, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 181 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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40 Years Since the Last Meaningful Convention

This week, political junkies and activists will obsess over every detail of the Democratic National Convention. Next week, they’ll do the same about the Republican gathering. They’ll rate the speeches, watch for mistakes by the other team, and try to gauge the impact on the fall campaign. It’s likely that some campaign commercials will be cut from the gatherings and some new “rising stars” will be “discovered.”

But, barring any major gaffes, the events will have no impact on the election. That’s because most voters are not interested and will not be tuning in. Many may be only vaguely aware that the events are even taking place.

It used to be different. In the 1960s and ‘70s, there were only three television networks and they all covered the conventions as a big deal. Anybody turning on the TV would have noticed. In today’s world, consumers have a virtually unlimited supply of more appealing options on their screens and phones.

There’s more to the story, though, than that people have more options to watch. Conventions used to matter, they used to actually select presidential nominees. But that’s not the case anymore. It hasn’t been for a long, long time.

The last meaningful convention moment was 40 years ago. In 1980, Senator Ted Kennedy was challenging incumbent President Jimmy Carter for the Democratic nomination. Carter had won enough delegates to secure the nomination, but Kennedy was convinced that—in their hearts–most delegates preferred him. So, his team challenged the convention rules and called for a vote that would free all the delegates to vote their conscience.

Eventually, Carter’s team carried the day and the president was formally nominated. He went on to lose the general election to Ronald Reagan.

That 1980 convention capped a decade of change in the way we nominate our presidents, a change that made the conventions functionally irrelevant. We didn’t know it at the time, but the new nomination process would make conventions irrelevant.

From early in the 19th century until 1968, few delegates were selected in primaries and pledged to a specific candidate. Party officials typically served as delegates and openly haggled about the nominee. In 1968, only 13 states held primaries to select delegates.

Eugene McCarthy, running on an anti-War platform won most of the early primaries. Bobby Kennedy entered the race late and became a leading contender. However, he was assassinated just hours after winning the California primary.

Eventually, Vice President Hubert Humphrey won the nomination even though he had not entered a single primary. Everything about the convention that year was a disaster for the party. Several states sent competing slates of delegates. There were fights about the Vietnam War and Civil Rights issues. There were also riots in the streets playing out on television sets all across America.

After Humphrey lost to Richard Nixon, the Democrats decided to change their nominating process. George McGovern was put in charge of a commission to recommend new rules. And, perhaps not coincidentally, he became the Democratic nominee four years later.

One unintended result of the reform was that primaries quickly became the norm with potential delegates pledged to a particular candidate. Nobody understood it at the time, but with primary voters selecting the nominee directly, there would no longer be a need for nominating conventions. For a while, they served as televised pageants (funded by the taxpayers). But even that role has faded into history.

This year, the conventions will simply be virtual events. Maybe they will bring about another change. It might be too much to hope for, but maybe the pandemic could finally bring an end to this archaic charade.

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60% Say It’s Very Important to Limit Power of Big Corporations

Sixty percent (60%) of voters nationwide say it’s Very Important to place limits on the power of big corporations. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that another 28% consider it Somewhat Important to do so.

The survey also found that 62% think it’s Very Important to place limits on the power of governments. And, 28% say that’s Somewhat Important.

Majorities of every measured demographic group consider both of these objectives to be Very Important.

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53% More Worried About Pandemic Threat to Health Than U.S. Economy

When asked about what worries them most about the coronavirus threat to our nation, 53% now express concern about the health threat while 40% are more worried about the threat to the U.S. economy.

These numbers reflect a significant change from mid-June when a Ballotpedia national survey found more concern about the economy.

Broadly speaking, optimism about recovering from the pandemic grew steadily from late March until mid-June. Since then, they have moved in the opposite direction.

  • In late March, just 38% were more worried about the economic threat while 53% expressed greater concern about the health threat.
  • By mid-June, however,three straight weeks of polling found more concern about the economic threat rather than the health threat.
  • Now, the numbers have returned to the levels first recorded in late March. Whatever bounce in optimism took place, it is gone.

Most Republicans (59%) are still more concerned about the economic threat. Most Democrats (69%) and Independents (54%) are primarily concerned with the health threat.

Other data from the survey shows that just 15% of voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. Sixty-three percent (63%) believe the worst is still to come. That also reflects growing pessimism since mid-June. The highest level of optimism measured found that 29% of voters believed that the worst was behind us while 42% thought the worst was still to come.

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Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any connection or relationship with Rasmussen Reports. Scott Rasmussen left that firm more than seven years ago and has had no involvement with it since then.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 23-25, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden 45% Trump 37% Jorgensen 2% Hawkins 1%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by eight points– 45% to 37%. That’s little changed from a month ago.

The survey also found that 2% would vote for Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen and 1% for Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins. This is the first time they’ve been included in a Scott Rasmussen national poll.

Three percent (3%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 12% are not sure.

Biden leads by four points among private sector workers and 30% among government employees.

Among White voters, the president holds a narrow lead: 44% to 38%. However, he attracts support from only 8% of Black voters and 22% of Hispanic voters.

Many voters dismiss polls they don’t like because they are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any connection or relationship with Rasmussen Reports. Scott Rasmussen left that firm more than seven years ago and has had no involvement with it since then.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 23-25, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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13% Believe More Freedom Leads to Less Equality

Thirteen percent (13%) of voters nationwide believe that there is a conflict between two of America’s founding ideals. These voters believe that giving people more freedom will lead to less equality. A Scott Rasmussen survey found that a much larger number–42%–take the opposite view and believe increasing freedom will also increase equality.

Twenty-five percent (25%) believe that more freedom would have little impact on equality while 20% are not sure.

Most Black voters (51%) believe more freedom will lead to more equality. So do 41% of White voters and 35% of Hispanic voters

Men (49%) are more likely than women (36%) to believe more freedom means more equality.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of Republicans see a positive correlation between freedom and equality. That view is shared by 42% of Democrats and 37% of Independents.

As on many issues, there is a divide between the views of White and Black Democrats. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Black Democrats believe more freedom means more equality. Just 36% of White Democrats agree.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 23-25, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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42% Believe Professional Sports Should Be Shut Down Until 2021

As Major League Baseball launches its truncated 2020 season, American voters are evenly divided as to whether they should be allowed to do so. A JustTheNews.com national survey found that 44% think they should be allowed to play while 42% believe professional sports should remain shut down until next year.

Most men (51%) favor a resumption of sports while a plurality of women (46%) are opposed.

More generally, attitudes towards the reopening of sports follow patterns similar to reopening other aspects of American society. Most Republicans (59%) like the idea while most Democrats (52%) are opposed. Independents are fairly evenly divided.

Older voters and White voters are more supportive of re-opening than younger voters and non-White voters.

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27% View Economy, Health Care as Top Voting Issues

Twenty-seven percent (27%) of voters name the economy as the top voting issue in the upcoming presidential election. A JustTheNews.com survey conducted by Scott Rasmussen found that an identical number–27%– say health care is the top issue.

Those numbers reflect a growing concern about health care over the past month. In June, a Ballotpedia survey found that 30% named the economy as most important while just 17% said health care.  That’s a 10 point gain in the importance of health care.

For Independent voters, health care is now the top issue. A month ago, they were more concerned about the economy.

Currently, 12% say Law and Order is the top issue, little changed from a month ago.

Eleven percent (11%) now see Civil Rights as the top issue, down five points from last month.

 Overall, in naming the top issue, voters are evenly divided between issues that generally favor Democrats (health care, Civil Rights, income inequality, and the environment) and those that generally favor Republicans (economy, law and order, immigration, and freedom of speech). However, while the Republicans started the year with a clear advantage on the economy, that has faded amidst the pandemic lockdowns.

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68% Trust American People More Than Government Officials

When it comes to making important decisions about America’s future, 68% of voters nationwide trust the American people more than  government officials. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 11% take the opposite view and 20% are not sure.

This view is shared broadly by all segments of society, although there is somewhat less confidence in the American people among younger voters. Just 64% of voters under 35 trust the American people more than government officials. Among senior citizens, that number in 79%.

Those with a college degree are a bit more skeptical of the American people than those without.

However, other survey data shows that in certain circumstances, voters are more willing to defer to government officials. For example, 50% support a national mandate requiring everyone to wear a mask in public.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 16-18, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 176 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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76% Believe American Politics Is More Polarized Than American Society

Seventy-six percent (76%) of voters nationwide believe that American politics is more polarized than American society. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 12% disagree and 12% are not sure.

The totals include 43% who Strongly Agree and only 2% who Strongly Disagree with that perception.

Belief that politics is more polarized than society is found in all segments of society. It is a view shared by 81% of men and 72% of women; 90% of Senior Citizens and 67% of voters under 35; 79% of White voters, 78% of Hispanic voters, and 60% of Black voters. In fact, a strong majority of every measured demographic group believes American politics is more polarized that American society.

On a partisan basis, 84% of Republicans see this gap along with 72% of Democrats and 72% of Independents.

Those who do not see a gap between American society and politics are more pessimistic about the nation itself. By a 56% to 29% margin, they say that the U.S. is not a good role model for the world to follow. The numbers are reversed among those who see a gap between politics and society.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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34% Believe U.S. One of the Best Countries in the World for Black People; 22% Say One of the Worst

Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters nationwide believe that the United States is one of the best places in the world for Black people to live. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 22% believe it is one of the worst.

Sixty percent (60%) believe the U.S. is one of the best places in the world for White people to live while 6% say it’s one of the worst.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Voters Cautiously Optimistic About America’s Future

In terms of living up to our founding ideals, Americans are cautiously optimistic.

When it comes to the topic of equality, 45% believe we will be doing better in a decade. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 19% take the opposite view and believe we will be heading in the opposite direction.

Polling released earlier shows that voters overwhelmingly consider the ideal of equality to be important. However, 46% don’t believe we’re doing a good job of living up to that ideal.

Overall, just 8% of voters believe both that we are doing a poor job on equality today and that things will continue to get worse. Another 17% are pessimistic about how we’re doing today and aren’t expecting much change over the coming decade.

When it comes to the founding ideal of Freedom, 39% expect progress over the next decade.

 

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

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On Equality, 52% Say U.S. Doing Well; 46% Disagree

Eighty-six percent (86%) of voters believe that Equality is a Very Important ideal for the United States to seek. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that another 10% consider it Somewhat Important. The survey also found that 83% consider Freedom Very Important (along with another 15%) who say it is a Somewhat Important ideal.

While recognizing the importance of those ideals, voters give the nation mixed marks for the way we’re living up to them. On equality, 52% say we’re doing at least Somewhat Well while 46% disagree. On Freedom, 63% believe we’re doing at least Somewhat Well while 35% disagree.

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Republicans believe the nation is doing okay when it comes to equality. Just 47% or Independents and 33% of Democrats agree. As on many issues, there is an interesting difference between the opinions of White Democrats and Non-white Democrats.  Just 28% of White Democrats think the nation is doing at least Somewhat Well in terms of living up to the ideal of equality. However, Non-white Democrats are a bit more upbeat, 40% think the nation is doing okay.

Data released earlier showed that 74% of voters nationwide believe that “In daily life, most Americans generally get along regardless of race. They find ways to work together and create a better community.

The survey also found that 75% believe Community is a Very Important ideal and 48% say the same about Self-Governance.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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78% Proud to Be An American; 62% Proud of Our History

Seventy-eight percent (78%) of voters nationwide are proud to be an American. A Scott Rasmussen national survey also found that 62% are proud of our nation’s history.

Other findings from the survey show that 52% consider themselves Very Patriotic and another 28% are Somewhat Patriotic. Older voters are more patriotic. In fact, by a 47% to 42% margin, voters aged 18-24 say they’re not patriotic.

Additionally, 48% believe the United States is a good role model for the world to follow while 35% disagree and 17% are not sure. A majority of White voters (52%) believe the U.S. is a good role model while a majority of Black voters (54%) disagree. Hispanic and other voters are evenly divided.

There are significant partisan, racial and generational differences on these topics.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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49% Rate Their Personal Finances As Good or Excellent

Forty-nine percent (49%) of voters nationwide rate their own personal finances as good or excellent. A Scott Rasmussen survey conducted July 9-11, 2020 found that 32% rate their finances as “fair” while 17% say poor.

Twenty-three percent (23%) say their finances are getting better while 26% say worse. Forty-nine percent (49%) say their finances are staying about the same at this time.

Republicans, by a 35% to 17% margin, believe their finances are getting better. Democrats, by a similar margin say they are getting worse.

Views of the overall economy are more pessimistic. Just 25% believe things are getting better while 50% say worse. Still, that’s a slight improvement compared to a month ago when 55% believed the economy was getting worse.  The current numbers are similar to optimism measured in late May.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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President Trump Job Approval Up to 44%

Forty-four percent (44%) of Registered Voters nationwide approve of the way President Trump is performing his job. That’s up five points from a week ago. It’s also the highest level of support the president has enjoyed in a Scott Rasmussen poll since mid-May.

A five-point swing in a single week is unusual and some of the change is likely due to statistical noise. However, it remains to be seen whether this week’s results represent a return to the earlier levels of support for the president.

Prior to mid-May, President Trump’s approval ratings held steady around 45% for several months. However, from late May throughout the month of  June, the president’s job was several points lower in a range between 39% and 42%.

This week’s polling found that 88% of Republicans approve of the president’s performance, up eight points from a week ago. That may reflect a positive response among GOP voters to the president’s speech at Mount Rushmore. Media commentary on the speech portrayed it as divisive but many Republicans considered it a strong appeal to unity. The new numbers may also be in response to the media criticism of the president.

The president now also gets positive reviews from 37% of Independents and 12% of Democrats. Both figures are up slightly from a week ago.

The current totals include 28% who Strongly Approve and 46% who Strongly Disapprove.

Recent polling by Scott Rasmussen has also shown that 34% of voters say it will be at least six months before they’ll feel safe in public without a mask. Additionally, 74% Believe Most Americans Generally Get Along Regardless of Race and 24% Support DC Statehood.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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34% Say It Will Be At Least Six Months Before They’ll Feel Safe in Public Without a Mask

Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters nationwide say it will be six month or longer before they feel safe going out in public without a mask. That total is up from 25% three months ago and includes 9% who say they will never feel safe without a mask.

  • Forty-eight percent (48%) of Democrats say it will take at least six months, up twelve points from the earlier survey.
  • Thirty percent (30%) of Independents say it will be at least six months, up ten points from May.
  • Nineteen percent (19%) of Republicans share those views, up four points in three months.

At the other extreme, 37% are already comfortable without a mask or expect to be soon (within a month). That’s down two points from the earlier survey. The decline is primarily driven by Republicans. In May, 58% of GOP voters were comfortable or expected to be soon. That’s down to 51% now.

From a different perspective, a majority (55%) of those in the May survey expected they would be comfortable going out with a mask by now.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 2-4, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 129 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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74% Believe Most Americans Generally Get Along Regardless of Race

Seventy-four percent (74%) of voters nationwide believe that “In daily life, most Americans generally get along regardless of race. They find ways to work together and create a better community.” Twenty-one percent (21%) are not sure while 5% are not sure.

The totals include 30% who Strongly Agree and just 6% who Strongly Disagree.

By a 50% to 47% margin, Very Liberal Voters disagree with the statement.  In every other measured demographic group, more people agree than disagree.

Still, there are significant differences among political and demographic lines. Eighty-two percent (82%) of senior citizens agree that most people get along regardless of race. Just 55% of voters under 25 share that view.

Ninety percent (90%) of Republicans believe people generally get along in daily life. Seventy-one percent (71%) of Independent voters and 63% of Democrats agree.
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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 2-4, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 129 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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President Trump’s Job Approval: 39%

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of Registered Voters nationwide approve of the way President Trump is performing his job. That’s the lowest level of approval yet measured in polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen. The survey also found that 58% disapprove.

Perhaps most concerning for the president is that support is slipping among Republicans. The latest results show that just 80% of those in his party offer their approval. That’s down slightly from 84% in mid-June.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day podcast today looks at why the president’s strong and loyal base of support may be a double edged sword for his campaign. Tomorrow, he’ll be looking at an topic that may pose a similar challenge for the Biden campaign. On Thursday, Scott’s podcast will look at an issue Democrats are pushing that may help Republicans retain control of the Senate.

In mid-June the president’s job approval was at 41%. Earlier in the year, President Trump’s approval ratings held steady in the mid-40s for several months.

The current totals include 27% who Strongly Approve and 47% who Strongly Disapprove.

Research conducted earlier found that 17% of all voters Strongly Disapprove of President Trump but also Strongly Oppose removing statues honoring George Washington.

The president also gets positive reviews from 33% of Independents and 8% of Democrats.

He also earns approval from 46% of white voters, 11% of black voters, and 27% of Hispanic voters.

Forty-four percent (44%) of self-employed voters approve of the president’s performance as do 40% of other private sector workers. Among government employees, however, just 31% approve.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 2-4, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 129 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

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24% Support DC Statehood

Twenty-four percent (24%) of voters nationwide favor granting statehood to Washington, DC. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 49% preferred giving some of the land in DC back to Virginia and Maryland. That would give residents of the city voting rights while still preventing any one state from having an unfair advantage over the others. Twenty-seven percent (27%) are not sure which approach is better.

On Thursday, Scott Rasmussen’s Podcast will explore how this issue might help Republicans retain control of the Senate.

Very Liberal voters, by a 43% to 32% margin favor DC statehood over the alternative. However, in every other measured demographic group, more voters supported returning the land to Virginia and Maryland. Black voters were nearly evenly divided (38% prefer giving the land back, 35% would rather see DC statehood).

The survey found that just 46% of voters don’t believe it’s fair for DC residents to lack a voting representative in Congress.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 2-4, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 129 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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Most Who Strongly Disapprove of Trump Also Oppose Removing Statues Honoring Washington

Among those who Strongly Disapprove of President Trump, 57% also disapprove of removing statues that honor George Washington. Those findings come from an analysis of a JustTheNews.com national opinion survey conducted by Scott Rasmussen.

These results help explain why House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and presumptive Democratic Presidential nominee Joe Biden publicly opposed efforts to remove statues honoring early presidents who were also slave-owners. Both had earlier expressed support for taking down statues honoring honoring Confederate soldiers. Pelosi said the issue was not about slaveholding, but loyalty to the United States: “I do believe that if people have committed treason against the United States of America their statue should not be in the Capitol.”

Politically, as the party out of power, Democrats are hoping to draw support and energy from those who Strongly Disapprove of President Trump’s performance. However, that message could be complicated if those who most oppose the president come to see the Democrats embracing a policy of removing statues honoring George Washington and other early presidents. This represents significant block of voters. Seventeen percent (17%) of all voters Strongly Disapprove of President Trump and also Strongly Oppose efforts to take down statues honoring George Washington.

Overall, among all voters, the survey found that 24% favor removing the Washington statues while 65% are opposed.

Voters nationwide are evenly divided about removing statues honoring Confederate soldiers. There is a strong alignment between those who disapprove of the president and those who support removing statues honoring those who rebelled against the United States.

The JustTheNews.com survey found plurality support for removing statues honoring just one historical figure–Karl Marx.

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54% of Those Out Working Believe Lockdowns Did More Harm Than Good

Among workers having in-person interaction with customers and co-workers, 54% believe that the lockdowns have done more harm than good. However, among workers who are socially isolated, 62% take the opposite view. The socially isolated workers have no in person interaction with customers and co-workers.

Among all workers, 40% believe the lockdowns did more harm than good while 53% disagree.

A Ballotpedia national survey of 1,764 working Americans also found a significant gap between these groups on perceptions of the economy.  Those out working are evenly divided as to whether the economy is getting better or worse. Among the socially isolated workers, however, perceptions are decidedly more pessimistic. By a 47% to 30% margin these workers believe the economy is getting worse.

Methodology

To accomplish this, we asked a series of standard pandemic-related questions in national survey interviews with 1,746 working Americans. The interviews were conducted between May 28 and June 6, 2020.

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Biden 47% Trump 39%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by eight points– 47% to 39%. Six percent (6%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 7% are undecided.

This is a slight improvement for the president from two weeks ago when he trailed Biden by 12. The week before that, it was Biden by ten.

There are two basic ways to assess these numbers. The first is that the difference are merely statistical noise–this latest survey is two points closer than the ten-point margin and the previous survey was two points higher.

The other approach is to consider that the two previous polls were the biggest leads enjoyed by Biden all year. Prior to that, Biden’s lead has ranged between five and nine points since late March. It may be that Biden enjoyed a modest bounce in the polls as the Civil Rights issues initially emerged and that the bounce has now faded.

The president does better among private sector workers than government employees. Within the private sector, he does better among the self-employed rather than those who work for someone else.

Many voters dismiss polls they don’t like because they are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 25-27, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 132 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

NOTE: Partisan breakdown of the sample: Democrats 37% Republicans 32% Other 31%.

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Supreme Court Approval Rating at 52%

Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters nationwide approve of the way the Supreme Court is performing its role. A Ballotpedia survey found that 31% disapprove and 17% are not sure.

The survey also found that a narrow plurality (30%) believe the Court’s ideological balance is about right. However, 28% believe it is too conservative and 19% believe it is too liberal.

Sixty-two percent (62%) of Hispanic voters approve of the Court’s performance as do 53% of White voters. However, just 39% of Black voters share that assessment. Among Black voters, 44% disapprove.

A plurality of Republicans believe the Court is too liberal while a plurality of Democrats believe it is too conservative. Seven-out-of-ten Independent voters believe either that the balance is about right (30%) or are not sure (40%).

Data released yesterday showed that 47% of voters see Supreme Court nominations as a Very Important voting issue.

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Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 20, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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47% Say Supreme Court Nominations Are Very Important Voting Issue

Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters nationwide say that Supreme Court nominations will be a Very Important voting issue in terms of deciding their vote for President. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 56% of Democrats, 48% of Republicans, and 35% of those not affiliated with either major party.

Still, despite the significance of the Supreme Court, five other issues were seen as Very Important by a larger number of voters. Seventy-three percent (73%) consider health care to be a Very Important voting issue while 67% say the same about the economy. Close behind, 64% say Civil Rights issues are Very Important while an identical number say Law and Order is that important. Immigration is seen as Very Important by 53% of voters.

On most of the issues, there is little difference between the views of those who are out working and those who are not interacting with customers or co-workers. However, there is a substantial divide on the issue of law and order. Among those workers who regularly interact with both customers and co-workers, 78% say Law and Order is a Very Important Issue. Among those who are not interacting with others, just 49% hold that view.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 20, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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64% Believe Worst of Pandemic is Still To Come–Most Pessimistic Assessment Yet Measured

Just 16% of voters now believe the worst of the Coronavirus is behind us. A Ballotpedia national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters found that 64% believe the worst is still to come.

That’s quite a change from earlier in the month when 29% believed the worst was behind us and only 42% took the more pessimistic view. In fact, those earlier numbers were the most optimistic yet recorded. The current numbers are the most pessimistic.

  • In mid-April, just 16% believed the worst was behind us. That matches the current numbers. At that time, 60% feared the worst was still to come, four points lower than the current total.
  • Later in April, 23% held the optimistic view while 49% disagreed.
  • However, in mid-May, confidence fell. The number thinking the worst was behind us fell to 17%. At the same time, the number fearing the worst was still to come jumped seven points to 56%.

Given this history, it seems likely that the emotional roller-coaster will continue.

The pessimistic view is now shared by 75% of Democrats, 62% of Independents, and 52% of Republicans.

Those who are out working and interacting with customers and co-workers are a bit more optimistic. Twenty-seven percent (27%) of them believe the worst is behind us. Among those who have no in-person interactions, just 11% share that view.

 

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 20, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

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39% Trust Democrats on Economy, 38% Trust Republicans

When it comes to the economy, voters are evenly divided as to which party they trust more. A Ballotpedia national survey found that 39% trust Democrats more while 38% trust the GOP. The survey of 1,000 Registered Voters also found that 14% don’t trust either party and 9% are not sure.

There is an interesting gap among working Americans based upon how they are currently working. Those workers who have no personal interaction with either customers or co-workers trust Democrats more than Republicans by a 45% to 27% margin. However, among those who regularly have in-person contact with both customers and co-workers, the opposite is true. Fifty-two percent (52%) of those who are out working trust Republicans more while just 34% have more confidence in Democrats.

Ballotpedia will continue to explore the gap between these groups of workers in the coming weeks.

 

 

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38% Believe American Society is Fair and Decent

Just 38% of voters nationwide believe our society is generally fair and decent. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that nearly half (47%) believe our society is unfair and discriminatory.

These numbers reflect a dramatic change from the first time Scott asked that question back in the 1990s. In those days, voters routinely said society was generally fair and decent by roughly a 2-to-1 margin.

The current numbers show a significant partisan divide. Sixty-two percent (62%) of Republicans say our society is fair and decent while 69% of Democrats take the opposite view. By a 45% to 31% margin, Independent voters agree with the Democrats.

Not surprisingly, there is also a big racial divide on this question. White voters are evenly divided while 77% of Black voters say our society is unfair and discriminatory. Forty-nine percent (49%) of Hispanic voters agree.

Other data from the survey found that 76% of voters believe most Americans want to live in a society where white and black Americans are treated equally. Thirteen percent (13%) believe that’s not true and 11% aren’t sure.

Twenty-three percent (23%) of Black voters don’t believe that most Americans want racial equality.

The survey also found that just 49% of all voters believe most Republicans favor racial equality. Thirty-three percent (33%) disagree.

A majority of Black voters (54%) do not believe most members of the GOP want whites and blacks treated equally. Forty-five percent (45%) of Hispanic voters share that view.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 20, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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55% Believe Economy Getting Worse

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters nationwide believe the economy is getting worse these days. A Ballotpedia national survey found that figure is up five points from a survey conducted in late May.

Since that earlier survey, the number who believe the economy is getting better has inched up just two points to 24%.

To some, these results may be surprising. The initial survey was conducted before the most recent jobs report, at a time when many experts projected the report would show millions of jobs lost. Instead, that report showed a net gain of 2.5 million jobs. However, after an economic slump, it often takes many months of good economic news before confidence rebounds.

Additionally, the partisan dynamics are interesting. Since that earlier survey, Republicans have grown more optimistic while Democrats and Independents have gone in the opposite direction.

Fifty percent (50%) of GOP voters now believe the economy is getting better–up nine points since late May.

Seventy-four percent (74%) of Democrats now believe the economy is getting worse–up ten points from the previous survey.

The number of Independents who believe the economy is getting worse jumped eight points to 58%.

Data released earlier showed showed that 42% of voters know someone who lost their job due to the shutdowns and have since been rehired. On that question, there is no significant partisan gap.

We will continue to monitor economic expectations as American recovers.

Ballotpedia is Documenting America’s Path to Recovery by providing comprehensive coverage on how the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic is affecting America’s political and civic life. Click here to sign up for daily email updates.

Coverage includes how federalstate, and local governments are responding, and the effects those responses are having on campaigns and elections. We document the plans for recovery put forth by states, localities, and others in a way that allows citizens, policymakers, influencers, pundits, and the nation’s reporters to engage in fruitful comparisons about moving forward. We will curate the ongoing debates, as well as the political impact of the conversations.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 11-13, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 306 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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42% Know Someone Who Lost Their Job During The Pandemic and Have Been Rehired

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters nationwide have a close friend or family member who lost their job during the shutdown and since been rehired. A Ballotpedia survey of 1,200 Registered Voters found that 49% do not and 9% are not sure.

There is a significant generational divide on this question. Among voters under 45, just over half (51%) know someone close to them who has been rehired. That falls to 27% among senior citizens.

Beyond that, however, there are few noticeable demographic divides.

Forty-three percent (43%) of Republican voters know someone who lost their job and been rehired. So do 38% of Democrats and 44% of Independents.

We will continue to track this measure as part of our effort to monitor the reopening of American society.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 11-13, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 306 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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For Second Week in a Row, Trump Approval At 41%

For the second straight week, a Scott Rasmussen national survey of Registered Voters found that 41% approve of the way President Trump is performing his job. That matches last week as the lowest level of approval measured in a Scott Rasmussen national survey.

The number disapproving increased a point to 58%, a new high.

Those totals include 27% who Strongly Approve and 49% who Strongly Disapprove.

Perhaps the most significant aspect of this finding is the timing of the survey. Most interviews for last week’s survey were completed prior to the surprisingly positive jobs report showing a gain of 2.5 million new jobs. However, that does not appear to have had any immeidate impact on the president’s job approval numbers.

Looking ahead to the November election, the president’s numbers are especially weak among uncommitted voters. Among those who say they will vote for some other candidate or are undecided, just 23% approve of the president’s performance. Sixty-five percent (65%) disapprove.

Overall, approval currently come from 84% of Republicans, 34% of Independents, and 8% of Democrats.

The president earns approval from 47% of white voters, 15% of black voters, and 27% of Hispanic voters.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 11-13, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 306 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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Economy, Health Care, Civil Rights Top Three Voting Issues

Thirty percent (30%) of voters nationwide rate the economy as the top issue facing the nation today. A Ballotpedia national survey found that 17% view health care as most important, 16% name Civil Rights and 11% say Law and Order. No other issue reaches double digit support at this time.

Other polling has shown that health care and the economy have been top issues for years. However, both terms have taken on a different tone in the coronavirus pandemic era.

When it comes to issue priorities, there are significant partisan and demographic differences.

Civil Rights is the top issue for 24% of Democrats. Twenty-three percent (23%) say healthcare and 20% name the economy as most important.

For Republicans, the economy is far and away the top issue. Forty-one percent (41%) of GOP voters consider it most important followed by Law and Order (20%) and healthcare (13%).

Among Independents, the economy is number one (30%). That parallels the Republican view. However, unlike Republicans, number two on the list for Independents is the issue of Civil Rights(15%).

Voters under 35 see Civil Rights as most important. Older voters place a higher priority on the economy and health care.

Among black voters, Civil Rights is number one. Among white and Hispanic voters, the economy is seen as a top priority.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 11-13, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 306 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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51% Worry About Economic Threat from Pandemic More Than Health Threat

When asked about what worries them most about the coronavirus, 51% now say it’s threat to the U.S. economy. A Ballotpedia national survey found that 43% are more worried about the health threat.

This is the third straight week that more people have expressed greater concern about the economic threat rather than the health threat. It’s the first time more than 50% have expressed that concern.

These figures represent a significant change from late March when just 38% were more worried about the economic threat. At that time, 53% expressed greater concern about the health threat.

By late April and early May, the figures had generally evened up. Since then, the trend has continued to show a relative decline in concern about the health threat.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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22% Don’t Think It Matters Whether Biden or Trump Wins

Twenty-two percent (22%) of Registered Voters don’t think it matters much whether Donald Trump or Joe Biden wins the presidential election in November. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 11% who say it won’t make any real difference in their life and 11% who aren’t sure if it will make a difference.

On top of that, another 17% say it will make only a minor difference.

That leaves 62% of voters who believe the outcome of the election will make a major difference in their life.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of Trump voters say it will make a major difference along with 68% of Biden voters.

However, among those who say they’d vote for some other candidate, 53% don’t think it will make a difference and another 20% say it would make just a minor difference.

As for undecided voters, 74% say it won’t make a difference in their lives and another 15% expect only a minor difference.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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29% Believe Worst of Pandemic Behind Us

Twenty-nine percent (29%) of voters now believe the worst of the coronavirus pandemic is behind us. A Ballotpedia survey found that 42% disagree and think the worst is still to come. Another 29% are not sure.

These are by far the most optimistic assessments of the situation found in months of regular polling on the topic.

  • In mid-April, just 16% believed the worst was behind us while 60% feared it was still to come.
  • Later in April, 23% held the optimistic view while 49% disagreed.
  • However, in mid-May, confidence fell. The number thinking the worst was behind us fell to 17%. At the same time, the number fearing the worst was still to come jumped seven points to 56%.

Given this history, it’s too early to say whether the optimism will continue.

Throughout all the bouncing around, Republicans were always more optimistic than Democrats or Independents. That remains true today. By a 52% to 23% margin, Republicans believe the worst is behind us. Democrats, by a 56% to 14% margin, take the opposite view and believe the worst is still to come. Among Independents, 23% say it’s behind us while 42% worry that the worst is still to come.

Women, by a 2-to-1 margin, believe the worst is still to come. Men are evenly divided.

This data was featured in Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day on Ballotpedia. The Number of the Day has now expanded to a podcast format with a new release every weekday morning at 8:00 a.m. Eastern.

Ballotpedia is Documenting America’s Path to Recovery by providing comprehensive coverage on how the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic is affecting America’s political and civic life. Click here to sign up for daily email updates.

Coverage includes how federalstate, and local governments are responding, and the effects those responses are having on campaigns and elections. We document the plans for recovery put forth by states, localities, and others in a way that allows citizens, policymakers, influencers, pundits, and the nation’s reporters to engage in fruitful comparisons about moving forward. We will curate the ongoing debates, as well as the political impact of the conversations.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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Just the News Adds Daily Podcast from Pollster Scott Rasmussen

Washington, D.C. and New York, NY, June 9, 2020 – Pollster, political analyst and author Scott Rasmussen unpacks newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics and technology with his “Number of the Day.” His long-running feature at Ballotpedia is now expanding to become the newest show on the Just the News podcast platform.

Just the News is a multiplatform news network launched in January 2020 by award-winning investigative journalist John Solomon.

“Scott has been conducting our widely quoted daily poll and now he will give our listeners a podcast that makes sense of the numbers that define what Americans are thinking,” Solomon said. “He is one of the most respected barometers of American sentiment. The context and insights he brings to politics are a must-listen opportunity as we head into the 2020 fall election.”

Rasmussen, for decades one of America’s most trusted pollsters and political analysts, says “I am excited by the opportunity to share my passion for data-driven analysis with a new audience.  And it’s great to work with John and the entire Just the News team.”

His podcast will be released each weekday morning at 8:00 a.m. Eastern.

“Scott has earned his place among America’s premier pollsters and political analysts,” said Ron Hartenbaum, managing member of Crossover Media Group, the cross-platform content-production and advertising-sales firm which produces, sells and distributes audio and video programming for Just the News.   “He gets it right more often than most, and his insights can be essential to understanding the 2020 races.”

“Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day,” which will be produced from studios in New York City and Washington, DC, joins a growing lineup of Just the News content including:

  • “John Solomon Reports,” a twice-weekly podcast on Tuesdays and Thursdays, featuring the veteran investigative reporter and Editor in Chief of Just the News;
  • “The Pod’s Honest Truth with David Brody,” a Monday and Wednesday podcast hosted by longtime CBN correspondent and Just the News senior contributing editor David Brody; and
  • “The Sharyl Attkisson Podcast,” published weekly on Fridays, featuring the Emmy-Award winning investigative television correspondent.

About Just the News

Just the News is a Washington-based news outlet that delivers exclusive reporting, podcasts, books, polling and video content showcasing some of the most respected and trusted journalists and editors in news media today.

Watch for additional announcements soon by visiting www.JustTheNews.com, or get updates via social media @JTNReports on Twitter and @JustTheNewsReports on Facebook. For interview or media inquiries, please email media@justthenews.com.

About Scott Rasmussen

Long recognized as one of the world’s leading public opinion pollsters, Scott Rasmussen is committed to enhancing the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion.   The Wall Street Journal called him “a key player in the contact sport of politics,” while the Washington Post said he is a “driving force in American politics.”  Among his many activities, he is editor at large at Ballotpedia, the Encyclopedia of American Politics.  His latest book is The Sun is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will Not.   More information, including recent poll results, can be found at ScottRasmussen.com and @ScottWRasmussen.

About Crossover Media Group  

Crossover Media Group is a media & ad sales consulting firm serving all of North America, with expertise including TV, radio, podcasts, streaming, OTT networks and other platforms.   Crossover Media Group, with offices in New York, Los Angeles, Chicago and Dallas, is a collaborative and adaptive results-driven company committed to engaging and expanding clients’ audiences through digital and social platforms.

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Posted in Deeper Currents

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Biden 47% Trump 37%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by ten points– 47% to 37%. Nine percent (9%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 7% are undecided.

That’s an improvement for Biden who held a seven-point advantage last week. It’s also the biggest lead Biden has enjoyed in Scott Rasmussen polling all year. Prior to this, Biden’s lead has ranged between five and nine points since late March.

The former Vice President leads by 30-points among urban voters and by 14 points in the suburbs. President Trump leads by 19 among rural voters.

The survey was conducted Thursday evening through Saturday morning (June 4-6, 2020). Most of the interviews were completed prior to the surprisingly positive jobs report released on Friday. It remains to be seen whether the more encouraging economic news will have any impact on these numbers.

The same survey found the president’s job approval rating falling to a new low at 41%.

Many voters dismiss polls they don’t like because they are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published each weekday morning by Ballotpedia. Starting today, Scott is releasing a daily PODCAST in partnership with Just The News.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Uncategorized

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68% Have Had Protests In Their Area; Overwhelmingly Peaceful

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of voters have recently had protests in their area. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 27% have not and 5% are not sure.

Among those who have had protests in their area, 67% say they have generally remained peaceful. Just 31% say they have turned violent.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of urban and suburban voters have had protests near where they live. Just 54% of rural voters say the same.

In those rural areas, 79% report that the protests have remained peaceful. Sixty-nine percent (69%) of those in the suburbs agree.

However, in urban areas, the responses are more mixed. While 54% of urban voters report that the protests in their area have remained peaceful, nearly as many (44%) say they have turned violent.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published each weekday morning by Ballotpedia. Starting today, Scott is releasing a daily PODCAST in partnership with Just The News.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Poll Results

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President Trump’s Job Approval Falls to 41%

President Trump’s Job Approval rating has fallen to 41% among Registered Voters. That’s the lowest level measured in a Scott Rasmussen national survey. Fifty-seven percent (57%) currently disapprove.

Those numbers include 28% who Strongly Approve and 47% who Strongly Disapprove.

The president earns approval from 46% of white voters, 15% of black voters, and 31% of Hispanic voters.

While most rurual voters (55%) approve of the president’s performance, that view is shared by 39% of suburban voters and 31% of those living in urban areas.

Last week, polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen for JustTheNews.com found the president’s Job Approval at 45%. In fact, several months of survey results found President Trump’s approval ratings holding steady in the mid-40s.

The survey was conducted Thursday evening through Saturday morning (June 4-6, 2020). Most of the interviews were completed prior to the surprisingly positive jobs report released on Friday. It remains to be seen whether the more encouraging economic news will have any impact on the approval numbers.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published each weekday morning by Ballotpedia. Starting today, Scott is releasing a daily PODCAST in partnership with Just The News.

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CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Uncategorized

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48% Think Businesses Can Decide Mask Rules for Their Customers

Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters believe private businesses should be allowed to decide whether or not their customers are required to wear masks. A Ballotpedia survey found that 47% disagree and 5% are not sure.

There is a strong partisan divide on this question. By a 64% to 32% margin, Republican voters believe businesses should set the rules for their customers. By a 57% to 38% margin, Democrats disagree and say businesses should not be allowed to do so. Independent voters are evenly divided.

Moving out of the business environment into public spaces, 68% believe governments have the legal authority to require masks in public. But, again, there is a wide partisan divide. Eighty percent (80%) of Democrats believe state and local governments have such authority. Only 60% of Independents and 56% of Republicans agree.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 1, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were selected at random from a combination of voter lists and Random Digital Engagement techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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45% of Today’s Workers Using Zoom Calls

Forty-five percent (45%) of workers today are regularly taking part in Zoom calls or other video conferencing efforts. A Ballotpedia survey total includes 65% of those working primarily from home and 29% of those working primarily in a company office.

The survey found that total includes 24% of workers who use Zoom but have no in-person interaction with either co-workers or customers. Not surprisingly, 93% of those Zoom-only workers are primarily working from home.

Seventy percent (70%) of these Zoom-only workers have a college degree and 25% earn more than $100,000 annually.

Forty-two percent (42%) are Democrats, 28% Republican, and 30% are not affiliated with either major party.

Just 27% approve of the way President Trump is performing his job.

The survey of 1,026 working Americans was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen from May 30- June 2, 2020.

 

Posted in Poll Results

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38% of Today’s Workers Interact With Customers In Person

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of working Americans today regularly see customers in person.

A Ballotpedia survey found that 64% of those workers are generally comfortable with the safety protocols that have been established during the pandemic. Thirty percent (30%) are nervous about seeing customers and/or co-workers in person while 5% are not sure.

In terms of their own personal situation,  52% of these workers worry more about the economic threat of the coronavirus than the health threat. Forty-two percent (42%) are more concerned about the health issues.

Those numbers are nearly the reverse of attitudes expressed by workers who don’t interact with customers these days. Among those workers, 54% worry more about the health threat while 41% have greater concerns about the economic impact.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of those interacting with customers believe the lockdowns have done more harm than good. Just 33% of other workers share that view.

The national survey of 1,026 working Americans was conducted by Scott Rasmussen. Additional data from the survey will be released in the near future.

Posted in Poll Results

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22% Say Economy Getting Better; 50% Say Worse

Twenty-two percent (22%) of voters nationwide now believe the economy is getting better. A Ballotpedia survey also found that 50% believe it is getting worse and 23% believe it is staying about the same.

The U.S. economy had been strong before the coronavirus pandemic and unemployment levels were reaching record lows. In response to the pandemic, however, government ordered shutdowns of the economy have cost more than 40 million workers their jobs. As lockdown orders are easing, it is unclear how quickly the economy will rebound.

At this point in time, Republican voters are much more optimistic about a  potential rebound than Democrats or Independents. In fact, a modest plurality of Republicans (41%) believe economic conditions are starting to improve. Still, 34% of the GOP voters think things are still getting worse.

Sixty-four percent (64%) of Democrats believe the economy is getting worse while 9% take the more optimistic view. Among Independents, 50% say the economy is getting worse while 16% believe it is getting better.

In one sense, these results are fairly typical. When a Republican is in the White House, Republicans are more optimistic about the economy. When a Democrat is in the White House, the reverse is true. However, the magnitude of the gap at this time is especially significant.

The survey also found that men are more optimistic than women. Older voters are more optimistic than younger.

We will continue to monitor economic expectations as American recovers.

Ballotpedia is Documenting America’s Path to Recovery by providing comprehensive coverage on how the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic is affecting America’s political and civic life. Click here to sign up for daily email updates.

Coverage includes how federal, state, and local governments are responding, and the effects those responses are having on campaigns and elections. We document the plans for recovery put forth by states, localities, and others in a way that allows citizens, policymakers, influencers, pundits, and the nation’s reporters to engage in fruitful comparisons about moving forward. We will curate the ongoing debates, as well as the political impact of the conversations.

READ Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day,” presented by Ballotpedia.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 28-30, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 172 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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53% More Worried About Coronavirus Threat to Their Health Than Their Finances

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide are more worried about the Coronavirus threat to their health rather than their finances. A Ballotpedia survey of 1,200 Registered Voters found that 39% are more concerned about the economic threat.

Perhaps surprisingly, there is only a modest difference between young and old on this question. Among voters under 45, nearly half (48%) are more concerned about their health. As for older voters, 56% are concerned primarily about their health.

The similarity of concern exists alongside the reality that older people are far more likely to have coronavirus related health issues. While nursing homes house less than 1% of the U.S. population, they account for 42% of all deaths attributed to the disease.

There is no gender gap on the issue, and views are broadly similar across racial lines, employment status, income levels, and other factors. The only exceptions are found along partisan and ideological lines.

  • Seventy-one percent (71%) of Democrats are more concerned for their health, a view shared by just 38% of Republicans.
  • Fifty-two percent (52%) of conservatives are more concerned about their personal economic challenges, a view shared by just 19% of liberals.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 28-30, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 172 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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21% Believe It Will Be At Least Six Months Before Most Businesses Re-Open

A Ballotpedia survey found that 21% of voters nationwide believe it will be at least six months before most businesses reopen and social activity resumes. That total includes 6% who believe it will take more than a year.

Ballotpedia, the encyclopedia of American politics, provides the most comprehensive source of information on the various state efforts to reopen in their Documenting America’s Path to Recovery Click here to sign up for daily email updates.

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters conducted by Scott Rasmussen found that a much larger number–45%–believe most businesses will reopen within a month or two. Twenty-eight percent (28%) believe it will take three to six more months.

These figures highlight a much more pessimistic assessment of the situation than was found earlier. In fact, in late March, 58% of voters expected that most businesses would be open by now. At that time, only 8% thought it would take six months or more.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 21-23, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 258 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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20% Lack Confidence They Could Receive Appropriate Treatment for Coronavirus

If infected by the coronavirus, a Ballotpedia national survey found that 20% of registered voters nationwide lack confidence they could receive appropriate medical treatment. That total includes 14% who are Not Very Confident and 6% who are Not at All Confident about access to treatment.

Those figures reflect a ten-point improvement since early April when 30% lacked such confidence. 

Looked at from a different angle, 75% are now confident they could receive appropriate treatment. That’s up nine-points from 66% in the previous survey.

Among lower-income voters today, 28% lack confidence they could receive appropriate treatment. That concern is shared by 19% of middle-income voters and 13% of upper income voters.

Posted in Uncategorized

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39% Have Family Member Who Lost Primary Income Due to Shutdowns

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of voters have a family member who has lost their primary income due to the government shutdowns of the economy. A Ballotpedia survey of 1,200 Registered Voters found that 57% have not experienced that challenge.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 21-23, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 258 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Poll Results

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45% Rate U.S. Health Care System as Good or Excellent

A Ballotpedia survey found the 45% of Registered Voters rate the United States health care system as good or excellent. Thirty-six percent (36%) rate it as “fair” while 16% say poor.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 21-23, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 258 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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Just 34% Trust Government Officials More Than Voters On Questions About Re-opening Society

When it comes to making decisions about re-opening, just 34 percent of voters trust government officials more than everyday Americans. Let’s face it, it’s hard to have confidence in government decision-making when decisions about which businesses can open seem either irrational or blatantly political. That’s one reason why more voters—43 percent—place their trust in the general public.

On the core issue of who do you trust, upper-income Americans, government employees, college graduates and Democrats alike are all more comfortable with the government making sweeping decisions. The reverse is true for lower- and middle-income Americans, private sector workers, retirees, those without a college degree, Republicans and independents.

Other recent data shows that 41% of voters believe shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good. Additionally, 52% agree with Ronald Reagan’s assessment: the nine most terrifying words in the English language are “I’m from the government and I’m here to help.” Those words continue to resonate with many Americans.

The implications of these findings were addressed in a Newsweek column by Scott Rasmussen. “Despite the fact that the public is anxious to re-open society, several Democratic governors are desperately clinging to their lockdown policies. Their efforts could help ensure the re-election of Donald Trump.”

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 14-16, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or by text while 238 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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41% Believe Lockdowns Have Done More Harm Than Good

Despite good intentions, 41% of voters nationwide believe shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 51% disagree and 8% are not sure.

The implications of this finding were addressed in a Newsweek column by Scott Rasmussen. The column notes “As the economic trauma continues, those numbers are almost certain to shift and cast the initial lockdowns in an even less favorable light.”

Sixty-two percent (62%) of Republicans believe the lockdowns have done more harm than good. That view is shared by 36% of Independent voters and 27% of Democrats.

There is a racial divide on this question among Democrats. Overall, just 20% of white Democrats believe the lockdowns have done more harm than good. However, 38% of non-white Democrats believe that to be true.

Overall, 40% of white voters, 41% of black voters, and 42% of Hispanic voters believe the lockdowns have done more harm than good.

Other recent polling found that 52% agree with Ronald Reagan’s assessment: the nine most terrifying words in the English language are “I’m from the government and I’m here to help.” Those words continue to resonate with many Americans.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 14-16, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or by text while 238 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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52% Share Reagan’s View That “Help” From the Government Can Be Terrifying

Ronald Reagan famously declared that the nine most terrifying words in the English language are “I’m from the government and I’m here to help.” Those words continue to resonate with many Americans.

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 52% of voters share Reagan’s view of how terrifying government “help” can be. Only 35% disagree while 13% are not sure.

The implications of this finding during a time of lockdowns were addressed in a Newsweek column by Scott Rasmussen.

Sixty-five percent (65%) of Republicans today agree with Reagan’s view. So do 46% of Democrats and 44% of Independents.

The view is shared by 51% of white voters, 49% of black voters, and 54% of Hispanic voters.

It is also shared by 56% of Rural voters, 53% of Suburban voters, and 48% of Urban voters.

Just 45% of college graduates share Reagan’s view. Among those without a degree, that figures rises to 55%.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 14-16, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or by text while 238 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results

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President Trump Job Approval Steady at 45%

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters approve of the way President Trump is performing his job while 51% disapprove. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found those totals include 30% who Strongly Approve and 41% who Strongly Disapprove.

These results have remained little change over the past few months.

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Republicans approve of the president’s performance while 84% of Democrats disapprove. Among Independents, 39% approve while 53% disapprove.

Just 39% of college graduates approve while 50% without a degree do not.

The president earns positive reviews from 56% of rural voters, 47% of suburban voters, and 36% of urban voters.

Fifty-three percent (53%) of white voters approve along with 35% of Hispanic voters and 12% of Black voters.

When it comes to making decisions about re-opening, just 34% of voters trust government officials more than everyday Americans. More voters—43%—place their trust in the general public. Upper-income Americans, government employees, college graduates and Democrats alike are all more comfortable with the government making sweeping decisions. The reverse is true for lower- and middle-income Americans, private sector workers, retirees, those without a college degree, Republicans and independents.

Other recent data shows that 41% of voters believe shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good. Additionally, 52% agree with Ronald Reagan’s assessment: the nine most terrifying words in the English language are “I’m from the government and I’m here to help.” Those words continue to resonate with many Americans.

The implications of these findings were addressed in a Newsweek column by Scott Rasmussen. “Despite the fact that the public is anxious to re-open society, several Democratic governors are desperately clinging to their lockdown policies. Their efforts could help ensure the re-election of Donald Trump.”

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 14-16, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or by text while 238 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

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56% Believe Worst is Still to Come

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters believe the worst of the pandemic is still to come. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 17% believe the worst is now behind us.

That’s a more pessimistic assessment than voters offered at the end of April. At that time, just 49% believed the worst was still to come while 23% thought it had come and gone.

Sixty-six percent (66%) of Democrats believe the worst is still to come, as do 60% of Independents. However, Republicans are fairly evenly divided–39% say the worst is still to come while 32% believe it is behind us.

Still, while recognizing the difficulties that lie ahead, polling data shows that voters are ready to re-open society. Most are ready to resume visiting their favorite restaurants, salons, and churches.  Sixty percent (60%) of voters nationwide  believe every business that establishes safe social distancing protocols should be allowed to open. Just 26% are opposed.

 

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47% Primarily Concerned About Health Threat from Pandemic; 47% About Economic Threat

Voters are evenly divided about what is the greatest threat from the coronavirus pandemic. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 47% of Registered Voters are most concerned about the Health Threat while another 47% are primarily concerned about the Economic Threat.

This is the third consecutive week of polling that has found an even divide. Two weeks ago, a slight plurality was more concerned about the Economic Threat. Last week, a slight plurality was more concerned about the Health Threat.

Sixty-five percent (65%) of Republicans worry more about the Economic Threat while 64% of Democrats take the opposite view. Independent voters are evenly divided. While there are modest differences along various demographic lines, partisanship is the strongest indicator of an individual’s perceptions on this topic.

Men, by a 50% to 45% margin, are more worried about the economy. Women, by a 49% to 44% margin, are more worried about health issues.

Rural voters are somewhat more worried about the economy while urban voters are a bit more likely to worry about the health aspects of the pandemic.

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 14-16, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 238 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Just 14% of Voters Want Congress to Stop Spending Now

Just 14% of voters believe Congress should stop spending money on new programs at this time. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 73% believe the federal government should continue to provide additional financial support for businesses and individuals directly impacted by the shutdown.

Support for such spending comes from 82% of Democrats, 71% of Independents, and 63% of Republicans.

The results are broadly consistent with other data showing that 64% believe the government should be required to compensate business owners for any losses caused by the government ordered shutdown.

Strong support for new government spending is a rarity in American politics. In this case, the support likely exists because of the connection with government actions that caused the economic harm. Additional research will be needed to determine whether there is public support for spending beyond providing compensation for those harmed by the lockdowns.

That could emerge as a significant dividing line in Congressional debates concerning next steps. Early indications are that House Democrats envision this as a time to enact a broader level of new spending. Some Republicans think it’s time to stop all new spending while others are searching for a way to define meaningful limits to preserve some measure of fiscal discipline.

If Republicans do not come to the table with a plan, however, 58% of voters are ready for President Trump to make a deal with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Just 18% are opposed while 23% are not sure. If Republicans won’t support any new spending, even Republican voters, by a 45% to 31% margin, want the president to make a deal with Pelosi.

Other recent polling shows that 60% of voters nationwide  believe every business that establishes safe social distancing protocols should be allowed to open. These numbers cut strongly against the narrative that voters remain committed to continuing the lockdowns. I take a look at some of the reasons behind this disconnect in my latest column.

Currently, 38% believe it would be appropriate to continue the lockdowns in their own neighborhood and community. Fifty-seven percent (57%) disagree. That total includes 40% who believe it is time to ease the restrictions and 17% who believe it is time to end the lockdowns.

Additionally, 65% are concerned that some public officials are using the pandemic as an excuse to infringe upon the Constitutional rights of individual Americans.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 7-9, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 174 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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64% Believes Governments Should Cover Losses of Businesses They Shut Down

Sixty-four percent (64%) of voters nationwide believe the government should be required to compensate business owners for any losses caused by the government ordered shutdown. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 15% disagree and 21% are not sure.

This is one aspect of the lockdown era that enjoys support across party lines. The idea that government should be liable for the costs of shutting down businesses is embraced by 67% of Republicans, 65% of Independents, and 61% of Democrats.

It’s also supported by 71% of private sector workers and 64% of government employees. Retirees aren’t as enthusiastic, but still support the concept by a 49% to 23% margin.

Other recent polling shows that 60% of voters nationwide  believe every business that establishes safe social distancing protocols should be allowed to open. These numbers cut strongly against the narrative that voters remain committed to continuing the lockdowns. I take a look at some of the reasons behind this disconnect in my latest column.

Currently, 38% believe it would be appropriate to continue the lockdowns in their own neighborhood and community. Fifty-seven percent (57%) disagree. That total includes 40% who believe it is time to ease the restrictions and 17% who believe it is time to end the lockdowns.

Additionally, 65% are concerned that some public officials are using the pandemic as an excuse to infringe upon the Constitutional rights of individual Americans.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 7-9, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 174 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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60% of Voters Okay Allowing All Businesses to Re-open With Social Distancing Protocols

Sixty percent (60%) of voters nationwide  believe every business that establishes safe social distancing protocols should be allowed to open. The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 26% oppose the idea. 

Support for allowing all businesses to responsibly re-open comes from 78% of Republicans, 60% of Independents, and 45% of Democrats.

At first glance, these results appear to contradict data suggesting ongoing public support for the lockdowns. In fact, the very same poll found that only 23% of voters think government officials have gone too far in shutting things down. Seventy-one percent (71%) believe those officials have either not gone far enough (35%) or have found the right balance (36%).

 Digging a little deeper highlights the connections between these results.

 * Not surprisingly, just about everyone who thinks the government has gone too far believes that businesses should be allowed to open with appropriate safety protocols.

 * Among those who think the government response so far has been about right, 61% agree that all businesses should be allowed to re-open with safety protocols. Just 23% are opposed. The overall tone seems to be that the response has been okay so far and allowing businesses to open responsibly is the next logical step.

 * The most stunning response comes from those who think the government has not gone far enough in shutting things down. On the question of allowing every business to re-open, they are evenly divided: 39% say yes while 45% do not.

 In my weekly column for the Deseret News, I address some possible reasons for the apparent disconnect. It may be that “words like lockdown and shutdown being used in the public dialogue almost interchangeably with social distancing and flattening the curve.” 

Whatever the explanation, the fact remains that only one-out-of-four voters today is opposed to letting all businesses re-open in a responsible manner. That cuts strongly against the narrative that voters remain committed to continuing the lockdowns. At the same time, voters still expect a strong societal commitment to social distancing and appropriate health protocols.

Other recent data shows that 65% of voters are concerned that public officials may be using the pandemic as an excuse to infringe upon the Constitutional rights of individual Americans.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 7-9, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 174 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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The Value of Asking Questions From a Different Perspective: 60% Favor Allowing All Businesses to Re-open

One of the great joys of being a public opinion pollster comes when results to different questions seem to contradict each other. Some people — far too many in the political world — simply dismiss such apparent contradictions as evidence that people are either irrational or stupid. However, for those of us who trust the commonsense wisdom of everyday Americans, seemingly contradictory results provide an opportunity to better understand the public mood in a more nuanced manner.

I’ve seen many examples of this since first writing about how pollsters may be asking the wrong questions about the coronavirus pandemic. Last week, I noted that most Americans understand it’s not a question of stay home to stay safe or go out and get sick. Instead, most recognize that there are significant health risks involved in continuing the lockdowns. Since no options are completely safe, voters are weighing the difficult trade-offs based upon the underlying facts.

My polling this past weekend found that 23% of voters think government officials have gone too far in shutting things down. However, 71% believe those officials have either not gone far enough (35%) or have found the right balance (36%).

Most pollsters have found similar results. In most cases, the polls show slight growth in the number who think the government has gone too far, but that perspective still reflects a minority view. Using this as the only point of reference, one might conclude that voters remain committed to maintaining the lockdowns. Indeed, that’s the way much media coverage defines the public mood.

But when you ask questions from a different perspective, it becomes clear there is another side to the story. Sixty percent (60%) of voters believe every business that establishes safe social distancing protocols should be allowed to open. Every business! Not just a chosen few. Just 26% oppose the idea.

These numbers cut strongly against the narrative that voters remain committed to continuing the lockdowns.

What’s especially fascinating about this is that the results come from the exact same poll finding that 71% reject the idea that governments have gone too far. The same 1,200 survey respondents provided these seemingly very different answers.

It gets even more interesting when you dig a little deeper.

  • Not surprisingly, just about everyone who thinks the government has gone too far believes that businesses should be allowed to open with appropriate safety protocols.
  • Among those who think the government response so far has been about right, 61% agree that all businesses should be allowed to reopen with safety protocols. Just 23% are opposed. The overall tone seems to be that the response has been OK so far and allowing businesses to open responsibly is the next logical step.
  • The most stunning response comes from those who think the government has not gone far enough in shutting things down. On the question of allowing every business to reopen, they are evenly divided: 39% say yes while 45% do not.

What’s going on with about the people who think that governments have not gone far enough in shutting things down? How come only 45% of them oppose letting all businesses reopen?

One possible explanation may have something to do with words like lockdown and shutdown being used in the public dialogue almost interchangeably with social distancing and flattening the curve. As a result, some voters may viscerally equate ending the lockdowns with ending all social distancing efforts. So, they are uncomfortable ending lockdowns but OK with businesses that establish appropriate safety protocols.

Another possibility is that we may be misinterpreting the perceptions of the 35% who say governments have not gone far enough. Many in that group undoubtedly want even stricter government limits on social interaction. However, others may think the governments haven’t done enough to establish safe approaches for reopening society.

Whatever the explanation, the fact remains that only 1 out of 4 voters today is opposed to letting all businesses reopen in a responsible manner. That really shouldn’t be all that surprising given America’s historic commitment to individual freedom. In fact, the same survey found that 65% are concerned that some public officials are using the pandemic as an excuse to infringe upon the constitutional rights of individual Americans.

The bottom line is that most voters are ready to end the formal, government-imposed, lockdowns. But they are still demanding a strong societal commitment to social distancing and appropriate health protocols. The new rules will be enforced by individual Americans deciding which businesses are safe enough to visit and which ones should be avoided.

Scott Rasmussen is an American political analyst and digital media entrepreneur. He is the author of “The Sun is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will Not.”

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Biden 44% Trump 38%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by six points– 44% to 38%. Seven percent (7%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 10% are undecided.

The candidates are essentially even among men and voters over 45. Biden leads by double digits among women and voters under 35.

Three weeks ago.  Biden was up by nine points. Two weeks ago, he led by eight. Last week, the lead had slipped to seven. This brings the race back to where it was in late March, when Biden enjoyed a five point advantage.

Thirty-eight percent (38%)  of voters nationwide believe it would be appropriate to continue the lockdowns in their own neighborhood and community.  However, 57% disagree. Most believe the rules and guidelines should be established locally.

Sixty-five percent (65%) are concerned that public officials are using the pandemic as an excuse to infringe upon the Constitutional rights of individual Americans. That total includes 39% who are Very Concerned.

Fifty-five percent (55%) believe the nation needs stricter immigration policies going forward.

Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters nationwide consider trade policies to be primarily a national security issue. However, most clearly see trade policy than raw economics.  Most voters (58%) say ensuring that important materials are produced in the United States is a higher priority than keeping costs down. Just 28% say keeping costs down and promoting economic growth matters more.

Finally, many voters are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 7-9, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 174 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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65% Concerned Officials Using Pandemic As Excuse to Infringe on Constitutional Rights

Sixty-five percent (65%) of voters nationwide are at least somewhat concerned that public officials are using the pandemic as an excuse to infringe upon the Constitutional rights of individual Americans. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 39% who are Very Concerned.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans are concerned along with 63% of Independent voters and 52% of Democrats.

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of urban voters are concerned. So are 66% of rural voters and 63% in the suburbs. Other data shows that urban voters tend to be more supportive of lockdowns than others. Their level of concern about Constitutional Rights being infringed may result from the fact that many urban voters are living under more severe restrictions than others.

Data released earlier shows that 38% of voters want the lockdowns to continue in their community. However, 57% disagree. Most voters believe rules and guidelines should be set locally rather than nationally.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 7-9, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 174 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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38% Want To Continue Lockdowns In Their Own Community, 57% Disagree

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters nationwide believe it would be appropriate to continue the lockdowns in their own neighborhood and community. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 57% disagree. That total includes 40% who believe it is time to ease the restrictions and 17% who believe it is time to end the lockdowns.

Forty-four percent (44%) of urban voters want to continue the lockdowns. That view is shared by 38% in the suburbs and 34% who live in rural areas.

The survey also found that 34% believe the rules and guidelines appropriate for their area be applied to the entire nation. However, 57% believe each community should establish its own guidelines in response to local conditions.

Forty-five percent (45%) of Democrats believe that the rules for their community should be applied to the entire nation. Just 30% of Independents and 24% of Republicans agree.

Most (55%) of those who want lockdowns to continue in their community believe the same rules and guidelines apply to the entire country. As for those who want to ease restrictions, 72% take the opposite view and believe each community should establish its own guidelines. Among the group who want to end lockdowns in their area, 77% think each community should decide for itself.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 7-9, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 174 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

 

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26% Consider Trade Policies As a National Security Issue

Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters nationwide consider trade policies to be primarily a national security issue. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 56% disagree and consider them primarily an economic issue. Eighteen percent (18%) are not sure.

However, other data from the survey confirms that voters see more to trade policy than raw economics.

Most voters (58%) say ensuring that important materials are produced in the United States is a higher priority than keeping costs down. Just 28% say keeping costs down and promoting economic growth matters more.

The view that ensuring U.S. based production matters more than keeping costs down is shared by 67% of Republicans, 60% of Independent voters, and 49% of Democrats.

Fifty-six percent (56%) say they are willing to pay significantly higher costs on many goods to ensure that U.S. production capability. Twenty-five percent (25%) disagree.

Data released earlier shows that, following the pandemic, 70% of voters want to either reduce or eliminated trade with China.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 30-May 2, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 179 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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55% Favor Stricter Immigration Policies Going Forward, 32% Oppose

Looking to the future, 55% of voters believe it will be appropriate for the United States to establish stricter immigration policies? A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 32% disagree and 13% are not sure.

Eighty-nine percent (89%) of Republican voters support a stricter immigration policy. Democrats, by a 53% to 31% margin, are opposed. Among Independents, 53% believe a stricter immigration policy will be appropriate while 29% disagree.

The need for a stricter immigration policy is supported by 69% of rural voters, 53% of suburban voters, and 49% or urban voters.

Data released earlier showed that 70% of voters favored a temporary ban on entry into the U.S. during the pandemic.

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