Just 35% Believe Most Americans Are Open to Immigrants Shaping American Culture

Just 35% of voters believe that most Americans today are open to allowing immigrant culture help shape and influence American culture. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 37% don’t believe that’s true and 27% are not sure.

If true, that would reflect a significant change from American history. Date released earlier showed that 64% believe our nation has a unique culture created and shaped by blending many varied and separate cultures over the years.

Republicans, by a 43% to 28% margin believe most Americans are still open to that concept. Democrats are evenly divided–35% believe most Americans welcome cultural influences from immigrants while 38% do not. Among Independent voters, however, just 28% believe those influences are welcomed by most Americans. Forty-six percent (46%) disagree (see crosstab results).

On the other side of the coin, only 49% believe most immigrants desire to become part of the broader American culture, 23% disagree and 28% are not sure.

Eighty-six percent (86%) of voters nationwide support the idea of America as a melting pot where immigrants both help shape American culture and become part of American culture. Americans overwhelmingly believe it is important for permanent immigrants to assimilate and become part of American culture while also retaining their own unique cultural heritage.

Other research has consistently shown that roughly 8-out-of-10 voters believe that legal immigration is good for the United States. At the same time, 8-out-of-10 also believe illegal immigration is bad.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

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The national survey of 1,004 Registered Voters was conducted October 8-9, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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78% Say It’s Accurate to Describe America as a Melting Pot; 86% Believe That’s a Good Idea

Seventy-eight percent (78%) of voters nationwide believe it’s accurate today to describe America as a melting pot where immigrants both help shape American culture and become part of American culture. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 86% think that concept is a good idea.

Ninety-one percent (91%) of black voters believe the melting pot concept is a good idea. So do 86% of white voters and 84% of Hispanics. On a partisan basis, 94% of Democrats like the idea of America as a melting pot along with 82% of Republicans and 80% of Independents. The melting pot draws support from 82% of those who support President Trump and 89% who do not (see crosstab results).

For most voters, the melting pot has created the nation as we know it today. Sixty-four percent (64%) believe that our nation has a unique culture created and shaped by blending many varied and separate cultures over the years. Just 21% believe it is a white culture derived from our English heritage.

Sixty-one percent (61%) believe it is more important for permanent immigrants to assimilate and become part of American culture while 39% believe it is more important for them to retain their own unique cultural heritage. However, while there are slight differences in priority, an overwhelming majority of voters believe that immigrants should do both.

Among those who place a higher value on learning American traditions and language, 83% also believe immigrants should retain some of the traditions from their own cultural heritage. Among those who believe that immigrants should retain their own unique cultural heritage, 84% also believe immigrants should learn American cultural traditions and language.

Ninety-six percent (96%) believe it is important for all Americans to speak English, at least as a second language.

Other research has consistently shown that roughly 8-out-of-10 voters believe that legal immigration is good for the United States. At the same time, 8-out-of-10 also believe illegal immigration is bad.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,004 Registered Voters was conducted October 8-9, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Weekly Democratic Primary Update October 11-18

Posted in Crosstabs

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Most Democratic Primary Voters Open to Changing Their Mind About Preferred Candidate

Consider this an important reminder that the race for the Democratic presidential nomination remain quite fluid.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that only 47% of Democratic Primary voters are unlikely to change their mind before voting. That includes just 16% who say they are Not at All likely to change their mind. The rest are Somewhat Unlikely to do so.

On the other side of the coin, 41% say that they do have a preference at the moment but are likely to change their mind before voting. Another  12% are not sure if they might change their mind.

The survey of 884 Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted October 16-18, immediately following the most recent presidential debate. Of that group, 745 expressed a preference for one of the candidates.

Among the frontrunners, 57% of Joe Biden’s supporters say they’re unlikely to change their mind. Fifty-six percent (56%) of Bernie Sanders voters say the same as do 53% of Warren supporters. Sample sizes for other candidates were too small to analyze.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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63% Believe They Could Keep Their Insurance Under Medicare for All

If a “Medicare for All” plan was passed, 63% of voters believe it is likely they would be allowed to keep their current insurance coverage. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 38% disagree and think they would have to change coverage.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Democrats believe they would be able to keep their current insurance coverage if a Medicare for All plan was passed. That confidence is shared by 61% of Independents and 48% of Republicans (see crosstabs).

There have been many versions of Medicare for All presented in the last several years. Perhaps the most prominent plan has been authored by Senator Bernie Sanders and endorsed by Senator Elizabeth Warren. Under that plan, private health insurance coverage would be banned and nobody would be allowed to keep their current coverage. That’s politically challenging at a time when 71% of voters rate their own health insurance coverage as good or excellent.

Eighty-four percent (84%) of voters believe Medicare for All will lead to higher taxes for the middle class. Just 13% believe  that cost savings from a Medicare for All program will offset the tax increases and result in a net savings.

In fact, just 17% of voters believe Medicare for All will produce any savings. Fifty-two percent (52%) believe the program will lead to higher costs, 10% think they’ll stay about the same, and 21% are not sure.

Voters have vastly different understandings of what Medicare for All means:

  • Twenty-eight percent (28%) of voters believe it is a program where the federal government would provide Medicare coverage for people who can’t afford to buy their own health insurance.
  • Twenty-six percent (26%) think private health insurance would be outlawed and everybody would be required to get their insurance from the federal government. That’s close to the Sanders’ plan.
  • Twenty percent (20%) think anybody could choose between keeping their existing health insurance and buying insurance from Medicare.
  • Nine percent (9%) think Medicare for All means those who can’t get health insurance elsewhere could buy insurance from Medicare
  • Eighteen percent (18%) have never heard of Medicare for All.

A plurality of Republicans and Independents believe Medicare for All involves banning private health insurance companies. A plurality of Democrats believe it means the federal government would provide Medicare coverage for people who can’t afford to buy their own health insurance.

Just 17% of voters favor the banning of private health insurance companies.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted October 16-17, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Just 13% Believe Medicare For All Cost Savings Will Offset Tax Hikes

Just 13% of voters nationwide think it’s likely that cost savings from a Medicare for All program will offset the tax increases needed to implement the plan. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 66% believe that tax hikes are likely to be greater than the savings while 20% are not sure.

Eighty-two percent (82%) of Republicans believe the tax hikes will be higher than any potential cost savings. That view is shared by 54% of Democrats and 66% of Independent voters.

One reason for this is that just 17% of voters expect the cost of care to go down if Medicare for All becomes law. Fifty-two percent (52%) believe the costs will go up, 10% think they’ll stay about the same, and 21% are not sure.

On the other side of the equation, 84% believe Medicare for All will lead to higher taxes for the middle class.

Medicare for All means different things to different people. A leading plan promoted by Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren would ban private health insurance companies.  Just 17% of voters support that approach. One reason is that 71% of voters rate their own health insurance coverage as good or excellent.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted October 16-17, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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91% of Voters Are Proud to Be An American

Ninety-one percent (91%) of voters nationwide are proud to be an American. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that total includes 67% who are Very Proud of that affiliation.

Ninety-three percent (93%) of white voters have such pride. So do 89% of Hispanic voters and 87% of black voters. That pride is felt by 97% of Republicans, 87% of Democrats, and 90% of Independents (see crosstab results).

In terms of living up to our nation’s founding ideals, 84% think the U.S. currently does a pretty good job when it comes to freedom. Seventy percent (70%) think we do at least a decent job when it comes to self-governance and 62% say the same about equality.

In all three areas, however, solid majorities expect our nation to do even better in the future.

Data released earlier today showed that 86% consider the U.S. to be a great nation. Not only that, 76% believe it’s always been great.

The fact that people see the U.S. as a great nation does not mean they believe it is flawless. Sixty percent (60%), for example, believe that the legacy of slavery still has a significant impact on our nation today. However, 81% believe the founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-government are even more significant.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted October 9-10, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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86% Believe U.S. Is A Great Nation; 76% Say It’s Always Been Great

Eighty-six percent (86%) of voters believe the United States is a great nation. Not only that, a ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 76% believe it’s always been a great nation.

The view that the U.S. has always been a great nation is shared by 85% of Republicans, 71% of Democrats, and 71% of Independent voters. Eighty percent (80%) of white voters believe it’s always been a great nation. That view is shared by 71% of Hispanic voters and 60% of black voters (see crosstab results).

The fact that people see the U.S. as a great nation does not mean they believe it is flawless. Sixty percent (60%), for example, believe that the legacy of slavery still has a significant impact on our nation today. However, 81% believe the founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-government are even more significant.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted October 9-10, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Few Believe Gun Owners Would Voluntarily Comply With “Buyback” Law and Turn In Their Weapons

If a law was passed requiring gun owners to sell their assault weapons to the government, former Congressman Beto O’Rourke has argued that gun owners “would gladly sell [their weapon] back or destroy it, all of them seem like they would follow the law.”

However, voters are extremely skeptical. If such a law was passed, just 24% think it is even somewhat likely that most owners of those weapons would actually turn their weapons over to the government. Only 9% consider that outcome Very Likely.

If a law was passed requiring all guns be turned over to the government, just 29% of gun owners would be even somewhat likely to comply. That figure may be somewhat inflated due to reluctance of some gun owners to declare that they would violate the law.

 

Posted in Deeper Currents

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17% Favor Banning Private Health Insurance Companies

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters like the idea of a single-payer national health insurance plan where the federal government provides health insurance for everyone. However, what they have in mind bears little resemblance to proposals offered by Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 17% believe that private health insurance companies should be banned. If there is a national health insurance plan offered by the federal government, 83% believe Americans should still have the opportunity to buy coverage from a private insurance company. That view is shared by 86% of Republicans, 83% of Independents, and 80% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

This is consistent with a wide range of data showing that voters want more choices, not fewer, when it comes to health care. Additionally, if every American was required to get their insurance from the federal government, 47% believe the cost of medical care would go up. Just 29% believe it would go down.

Another factor may be that 60% of voters believe that the power of the federal government is a bigger threat to the United States than the power of large corporations.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted October 15-16, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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27% Lack Confidence Votes Will Be Properly Counted in Election 2020

Twenty-seven percent (27%) of voters are not confident that the votes will be properly counted and the correct winners declared in Election 2020. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that total includes 20% who are Not Very Confident and 7% who are Not at All Confident the legitimate winners will be declared in just about every race.

Thirty-two percent (32%) of Independent voters lack confidence in the vote counting process. That skepticism is shared by 28% of Democrats and 20% of Republicans (see crosstab results).

Despite the fairly high level of concern, 74% of voters are at least Somewhat Confident in the electoral process, including 31% who are Very Confident.

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of voters express trust in paper ballots for voting and 76% are comfortable with electronic ballots cast in a supervised election facility. However, only 57% have trust in elections using mail-in ballots and just 32% trust voting by smartphone.

Still, 73% believe just about all voting will be conducted online within 20-25 years.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted October 15-16, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Biden Viewed Favorably By 75% of Democrats, Warren by 67%, Sanders By 66%

Heading into the October debate among Democratic presidential hopefuls, former Vice President Joe Biden is viewed favorably by 75% of Registered Democrats nationwide. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 13% have a negative opinion of Biden giveing him a net rating of +62. That’s little changed from polling conducted both before and after the September debates.

Senator Elizabeth Warren is viewed favorably by 67% of Registered Democrats and unfavorably by 14% for a net rating of +53. That’s up a few points since the last debate.

Senator Bernie Sanders new numbers are 66% favorable and 22% unfavorable for a net rating of +44. That’s down nine points since our last post-debate survey and 14 points from our pre-debate survey.

Biden, Warren, and Sanders have consistently been the top three candidates in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. ScottRasmussen.com provides daily tracking updates on that race weekdays at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

Favorability ratings for other debate participants show little change. After missing the September debates, Tom Steyer and Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard will be on the stage this month. Both are currently unknown by a majority of Democratic voters at this time.

We will measure the ratings of these candidates again following the debate to see if there is any measurable impact.

Among all voters nationwide, Biden is viewed favorably by 47% and unfavorably by 36%.  Warren generates a positive reaction from 40% and negative reviews from 37% of all voters. Sanders is viewed positively by 45% positive and  negatively by 40%.  Other contenders are less well known and have slightly lower net ratings.

Among voters who Definitely plan to vote in their state’s Democratic caucus or primary, Biden earns favorable ratings from 77%, Warren from 70%, and Sanders from 67%.

See full crosstab results for this latest survey. You can compare them to results from the September 14-16 and September 10-11 surveys.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,00 Registered Voters was conducted October 12-13, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/- 3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence. The survey included 370 Registered Democrats. Results based upon that group alone have a +/- 5.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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43% Pick Yankees to Win World Series; 28% Say Astros

Heading into game 3 of their League Championship Series, 61% of Baseball Fans think the New York Yankees will defeat the Houston Astros and win a ticket to the World Series. Thirty-nine percent (39%) think the Astros will eliminate the Yankees for the second time in three seasons.

Overall, 43% believe the Yankees will emerge as World Series champions this year. Twenty-eight percent (28%) believe the Astros will take home the title. Twenty-one percent (21%) expect the Washington Nationals to win it all while only 8% think the St. Louis Cardinals can pull it off.

The survey of 456 Major League Baseball fans was conducted October 13-14, 2019. It found that 33% of baseball fans are rooting for the Yankees. The Astros and Nationals each have 21% of the fans in their corner.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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57% Believe Trump Likely to Win in 2020… Down From 63% in August… Up From 46% in February

The number of voters believing President Trump will be re-elected in 2020 has fallen a bit in recent months.

The latest ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 57% of voters nationwide now believe it is at least somewhat likely President Trump will be successful in next year’s campaign. That’s down five points from 62% in September, down six from 63% in August and down three from 60% in July.

Expectations are now unchanged from 57% in May but up from 54% in April, 50% in March and 46% in February.

(NOTE: We did not ask the question in June).

The latest figures include 31% who say the president is Very Likely to be re-elected and 17% who think that outcome is Not at All Likely.

Eighty-five percent (85%) of Republicans believe the president is likely to win. In fact, a majority (61%) of GOP voters believe he is Very Likely to be re-elected.

On the other side of the aisle, 36% think a Trump victory in 2020 is at least somewhat likely while 63% disagree. Just 28% of Democrats believe a Trump re-election is Not at All Likely.

Among Independent voters, 52% say the president is at least somewhat likely to win and 48% disagree (see crosstab results). Last month, 60% of Independent voters believed a Trump victory was at least somewhat likely.

Seventy-five percent (75%) of voters believe it is likely President Trump will still be in office at the end of 2019. Fourteen percent (14%) say it’s Not Very Likely and 11% say Not at All Likely. The nation is fairly evenly divided as to whether the president should be impeached and removed from office.

The survey also found that 91% believe the president will run for re-election. At the other extreme, 8% say Trump is Not at All Likely to be president at the end of 2019.

In the race to challenge the president in 2020, Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and Bernie Sanders currently lead all other Democrats. Polling has shown Biden to be the strongest candidate against the president in general election match-ups.

It is important to remember that we are VERY early in the Election 2020 cycle and a lot can change between now and November 2020.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted September 17-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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77% Of Dem Voters Satisfied or Excited With Biden As the Party Nominee; 76% with Warren

Heading into the October Democratic presidential debate, Democratic voters would generally be happy with any of the top three candidates as their party’s nominee.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents would be satisfied or excited  with former Vice President Joe Biden as their party’s presidential nominee. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 76% say the same about Senator Elizabeth Warren and 75% would be that comfortable with Senator Bernie Sanders.

Biden’s numbers are unchanged from a month ago. Warren’s total is up three points and Sanders is up two. Earlier this year, as the campaign was getting started, 85% expressed satisfaction with Biden as a potential nominee and nobody else was close.

The same three candidates consistently lead in the ScottRasmussen.com daily tracking poll and also enjoy the highest favorability ratings among the Democratic hopefuls.

At this point, 68% would be satisfied with Senator Kamala Harris, 63% with South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, and 60% with Beto O’Rourke (see crosstab results).

Heading into the debate, Biden and Warren lead in terms of Social Media support, followed closely by Sanders and Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 892 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted October 12-14, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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50% Favor Impeachment, 43% Approve of the President’s Job Performance

A couple of weeks ago, I noted that the country was evenly divided: 46% wanted President Trump impeached and removed from office while another 46% approved of the way he was doing his job.

Things have shifted a bit since then. Now, 46% believe that President Trump should be impeached and removed from office. And, the number approving of the president’s performance has slipped to an eight-month low of 43%.

 

Posted in Deeper Currents

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50% Favor Impeachment And Removal of President Trump; 38% Oppose

The latest ScottRasmussen.com poll found that 50% of voters nationwide now believe President Trump should be impeached and removed from office.

That’s up two points from a week ago, four points from two weeks ago, and six points from three weeks ago. It is the highest level of support for impeachment yet measured by ScottRasmussen.com (see topline trends).

Just 38% currently oppose impeachment and 12% remain undecided.

Additionally, 37% of all voters now believe it is at least somewhat likely the president will be impeached and removed from office. That’s up three points from a week ago and 18 percentage points since early September.

Thirteen percent (13%) now consider it Very Likely that the president will be removed from office.

Still, the increased support for impeachment in recent weeks has come primarily from Democrats. By an 84% to 8% margin, Nancy Pelosi’s party believe President Trump should be impeached and removed from office. By a 75% to 14% margin, Republicans disagree.

As for Independent voters, 46% favor impeachment and removal while 37% are opposed (see crosstab results).

The same partisan divide exists on the question of whether the president Most Democrats (52%) believe that is at least somewhat likely to happen. Just 32% of Independents and 21% of Republicans agree.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted October 13-14, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Democrats Trusted on More Health Care, Republicans on Economy

Healthcare and the economy have consistently remained the top two issues on the minds of voters all year. The latest ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that voters continue to trust Democrats more on healthcare and Republicans on the economy.

The Democrats enjoy a 14-point edge on health care (38% to 24%) while Republicans have a nine-point advantage on the economy.

Republicans have a ten-point advantage on National Security (36% to 26%), the third most important issue. The only other topics where Republicans have an advantage are fighting terrorism (35% to 25%) and job creation (36% to 29%).

Democrats enjoy large leads on environmental issues (40% to 18%), Civil Rights (38% to 23%), Fighting Poverty (35% to 21%), and Economic Inequality (33% to 22%). The Democrats also have a smaller advantage on abortion (35% to 27%).

The parties are essentially even on gun laws, taxes, and immigration (see topline trends).

See full crosstab results.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted October 4-5, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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46% Have Favorable Opinion of United Nations

Forty-six percent (46%) of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of the United Nations. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 19% have an unfavorable view, 28% offer a neutral assessment, and 7% are not sure.

Democrats are far more enthusiastic about the international organization than other voters. Sixty-three percent (63%) of those in Nancy Pelosi’s party have a favorable opinion of the UN while only 7% express a negative view. Among Republicans, the numbers are 41% positive and 29% negative. As for Independent voters, 32% have a favorable view and 22% unfavorable (see crosstab results).

This modestly positive view may be tied to the fact that 48% believe the UN generally supports the United States while 21% disagree.

When there is a disagreement between UN policy and the U.S. Constitution, 70% believe that our nation should follow the Constitution. Just 13% think we should follow UN policy.

Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters believe the United States pays more than it’s fair share of the UN budget. Just 11% believe it pays less than its fair share. Eighteen percent (18%) believe the payments are about right and 23% are not sure.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Republicans believe the U.S. is paying more than it’s fair share. So to 37% of Democrats and 43% of Independent voters.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted October 9-10, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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53% of Men Believe U.S. Economic System is Fair; 53% of Women Say It’s Not

Forty percent (40%) of voters believe that our nation’s economic system is fair to most Americans. However, a ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 45% disagree and 14% are not sure.

Those figures are broadly similar to results obtained in July and January.

Strikingly different perceptions are found across gender, race, income and partisan lines.

  • By a 53% to 37% margin, men believe our economic system is fair. By a 53% to 29% margin, women disagree.
  • Forty-eight percent (48%) of white voters believe the system is fair while 40% disagree. However, by a 67% to 17% margin, black voters believe it is unfair. Among Hispanic voters, 28% say fair and 52% unfair.
  • Sixty-six percent (66%) of Republicans believe our economic system is fair. However, 59% of Democrats and 54% of Independent voters believe it is not.
  • Most (54%) who earn more than $75,000 a year believe it is fair. By a 53% to 29% margin, those who earn less disagree (see crosstab results).

Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters nationwide believe most successful U.S. companies make money by cheating their customers. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 74% believe successful companies make good money by providing a good service that meets customer needs.

Other data shows that 73% believe free markets are fair; 61% say the same about Capitalism; and only 42% believe Socialism is fair.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted October 5-6, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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65% Believe Congress is Focused More On Impeachment Than Issues; 62% Want the Opposite

At this point in time, 65% of voters believe Congress is spending more time focused on impeachment rather than issues such as health care and the economy. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 15% disagree and 20% are not sure.

However, 62% believe Congress should be more focused on the issues. Twenty-seven percent (27%) disagree and want the focus on impeachment. Eleven percent (11%) are not sure.

Republicans, by an 81% to 14% margin, believe the focus should be on the issues. Independent voters, by a 60% to 26% margin, share that view. Democrats lean in that direction as well, but are more evenly divided–48% want the focus on issues and 39% on impeachment.

Seventy-six percent (76%) of Republicans believe Congress is primarily focused on impeachment at this time. So do 64% of Independent voters and 58% of Democrats.

Data released earlier showed that most Democrats believe an impeachment effort will hurt President Trump in the 2020 election. A plurality of Republicans believe it will help him.

ScottRasmussen.com has been measuring support for impeachment on a weekly basis. The most recent results show that 48% believe the president should be impeached and removed from office. Thirty-nine percent (39%) disagree.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,004 Registered Voters was conducted October 8-9, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Most Democrats Believe Impeachment Push Will Hurt Trump in 2020; Republicans Disagree

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters nationwide believe that an aggressive effort by Democrats in Congress to impeach President Trump will hurt the president’s chances of winning re-election next year. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 26% disagree and believe it would help the president. Sixteen percent (16%) of voters don’t believe it will make any difference and 19% are not sure.

As with just about all political topics, there is a massive partisan divide.

  • By a 53% to 11% margin, Democrats believe the impeachment effort will hurt the president rather than help.
  • By a 42% to 27% margin, Republicans believe it will help the president.
  • Independent voters are evenly divided–29% think it will help and 32% say it will hurt.

The survey also found that 78% believe Democrats in Congress are likely to aggressively try to impeach President Trump over the next few months. That includes 51% who believe that is Very Likely.

ScottRasmussen.com has been measuring support for impeachment on a weekly basis. The most recent results show that 48% believe the president should be impeached and removed from office. Thirty-nine percent (39%) disagree.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,004 Registered Voters was conducted October 8-9, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Kavanaugh Viewed Favorably by 35%, Unfavorably By 33%

A new ScottRasmussen.com national survey shows that Justice Brett Kavanaugh is viewed favorably by 35% of voters nationwide and unfavorably by 33%. Those figures represent an improvement from August when 30% viewed the newest Justice in favorable terms and 35% offered a negative assessment.

The improvement comes following a month in which a controversial New York Times article resurfaced allegations against Kavanaugh. However, the article was widely criticized for leaving out significant relevant information.

Republicans, by a 63% to 13% margin, have a favorable opinion of Kavanaugh. Democrats, by a 50% to 18% margin, take the opposite view. Among Independent voters, he receives favorable reviews from 27% and unfavorable assessments from 34% (see full crosstab results..

Despite the fact that he is the newest member of the court, Kavanaugh has the highest name recognition of any Justice. Ruth Bader Ginsburg is a close second and remains the most popular Supreme Court Justice. She is viewed favorably by 45% and unfavorably by 21%. Another 34% have either never heard of her or don’t know enough to have an opinion.

Only two other Justices are recognized by a majority of voters: Clarence Thomas (35% favorable, 27% unfavorable) and Sonia Sotomayor (37% favorable, 21% unfavorable).

Chief Justice John Roberts is recognized by 49% (32% favorable, 17% unfavorable).

Justice Neil Gorsuch is viewed favorably by 30% and unfavorably by 15%.

The numbers for Justice Elena Kagen are 25% favorable and 19% unfavorable.

Justice Samuel Alito is seen in a positive light by 26% and negatively by 15%.

The least known member of the Court is Justice Stephen Breyer. Sixty-three percent (63%) don’t know enough to have an opinion of him. Twenty-four (24%) are favorably inclined towards Breyer and 13% take the opposite view.

Perhaps because the individual Justices are not household names, the Supreme Court itself continues to receive positive reviews. Sixty-seven percent (67%) of voters approve of the way the Supreme Court is doing it’s job. Forty percent (40%) also think it’s ideological balance is about right. The remainder include 35% who believe it is too conservative and 25% who say too liberal.

The ratings for all the Justices have changed little since May, February or last September.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily releases on the president’s job approval, the generic congressional ballot, and the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. You can sign sign up to receive free email updates.

We also provide regular updates on the Supreme Court, the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted October 3-4, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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67% Approve of Supreme Court: Highest Level Yet

UPDATED October 7, 2019

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of voters approve of the way the Supreme Court is doing its job. That’s the highest level of approval yet measured in 15 monthly polls conducted by ScottRasmussen.com.

Previous surveys have found the court’s ranging from a low of 59% in August, 2018 to 66% in May, 2019. Despite the predictions of many, the divisive Kavanaugh hearings had no significant impact on public perceptions of the Court (see topline trends).

The ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 39% of voters believe the ideological balance of the Court is about right. Thirty-four percent (34%) see it as too conservative and 26% say it’s too liberal.

Most voters–54%–believe the Court has the right amount of power. However, 33% believe it has too much and only 13% believe it has too little power.

By way of comparison, 47% believe the President has too much power and 44% say the same about Congress. Fifty-five percent (55%) believe appointed government officials have too much power.

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of voters believe the American people have too little power.

The Court earns favorable reviews from 80% of Republicans offer a positive assessment, 58% of Democrats and 65% of Independent voters (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted October 3-4, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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33% Believe Joe Biden Behaved Appropriately In Dealings With Ukraine; 31% Say Inappropriately

Thirty-three percent (33%) of voters nationwide believe former Vice President Joe Biden behaved appropriately in his relations with the Ukrainian government president. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 31% disagree and believe Biden behaved inappropriately. A week ago, those numbers were reversed. Thirty-five percent (36%) are not sure.

Democrats, by a 50% to 15% margin, believe the former Vice President conducted himself in an appropriate manner. Republicans, by a 50% to 23% margin, take the opposite view. Independent voters are more evenly divided–24% say the behavior was appropriate while 32% say inappropriate.

Data released earlier showed that 43% of voters believe President Trump behaved inappropriately in his relations with the Ukranian government. Perceptions of the president’s behavior also improved compared to the preceding week.

Significantly, just 44% of all voters know that while Biden was Vice President his son received a multi-million dollar contract from the Ukraine. That’s up three points from a week ago. The total includes 58% of Republicans, 38% of Democrats, and 38% of Independent voters.

Nineteen percent (19%) believe the former vice-president committed treason on that call. That includes 33% of Republicans, 13% of Independents, and 13% of Democrats (see crosstab results). By way of comparison, 28% believe that President Trump committed treason in relations with the Ukrainian government.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted October 3-4, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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35% Believe Trump Behaved Appropriately On Call With Ukrainian President; 43% Say Inappropriate

Forty-three percent (43%) of voters nationwide believe President Trump behaved inappropriately in the now infamous phone call with the Ukrainian president. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 35% disagree and believe the president behaved appropriately. Twenty-two percent (22%) are not sure.

Those figures represent a slight improvement for the president over the past week. The number describing his behavior as appropriate is up four points from a week ago. The number considering it inappropriate is unchanged.

Democrats, by a 61% to 18% margin, believe the president acted inappropriately. Republicans, by a 65% to 15% margin, hold the opposite view. Among Independent voters, 25% say the behavior was appropriate, 48% inappropriate, and 27% are not sure.

Thirty-two percent (32%) believe the president committed treason on that call. That includes 51% of Democrats, 30% of Independents, and 13% of Republicans. By way of comparison, that’s lower than the number who believe President Trump committed treason in his dealings with the Russians.

When asked which Democratic presidential candidate had been accused of inappropriate dealings with Ukraine, 54% selected Joe Biden and 29% were not sure. Six percent (6%) said no Democrats had been accused, 4% thought it was Bernie Sanders, 4% said Andrew Yang, 3% named Elizabeth Warren and 1% Beto O’Rourke.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of Republicans were able to identify Biden as the candidate who has been accused. So were 48% of Democrats and 57% of Independent voters.

Public opinion concerning Biden’s behavior is mixed.

So far, there has been no measurable impact on the president’s job approval ratings.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 25-26, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Pelosi Viewed Favorably by 40%, Ratings Improve Slightly After Shift On Impeachment

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is now viewed favorably by 40% of voters and unfavorably by 44%. That net rating of -4 is an improvement from a month ago.  In early September, Pelosi was viewed favorably by 38% and unfavorably by 48% for a net rating of -10 (see topline trends).

This is the first ScottRasmussen.com poll conducted since the Speaker shifted her public position to be more supportive of impeachment.

Pelosi is viewed favorably by 66% of Democrats and unfavorably by 68% of Republicans. Among Independent voters, 27% offer a positive assessment while 49% give the Speaker a negative review (see crosstab results).

The new numbers also make Pelosi the least unpopular Congressional leader.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell earns favorable ratings from 28% and negative reviews from 42%. That net rating of -14 compares to -10 a month ago and -20 two months ago.

Pelosi’s Republican counterpart, Kevin McCarthy, is viewed favorably by 26% and unfavorably by 33%. Not surprisingly, his negative ratings have grown as he has become  better known.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer’s ratings are 32% favorable and 39% unfavorable.

Vice President Mike Pence gets positive reviews from 43% of voters and negative assessments from another 38%.

President Trump’s job approval ratings have held steady around 46% for more than five months.

ScottRasmussen.com provides regular updates on public attitudes about Congress.

We also provide daily releases on the president’s job approval, the generic congressional ballot, and the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. You can sign sign up to receive free email updates.

We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted October 1-2, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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41% Believe President Trump As Ethical As Most Politicians; Down 13 Points From July

Forty-one percent (41%) of voters nationwide believe that President Trump is at least as ethical as most politicians. That’s down 13 points since July. It’s also far below levels found last May  and in October 2018.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 49% believe that the president is less ethical than most politicians. It is extremely rare for a plurality of voters to believe any politician is less ethical than their peers. After all, 72%  believe that most politicians use their power and influence to enrich family and friends.

Sixty-two percent (62%) believe than Senator Bernie Sanders is at least as ethical as most politicians. Fifty-eight percent (58%) hold that view of former Vice President Joe Biden. Fifty-two percent (52%) believe that’s true of Senator Elizabeth Warren.

Seventy-six percent (76%) of Republicans believe the president meets the normal ethical standard for politicians. That’s down eleven points since July.

Just 35% of Independents believe the president is as ethical as a typical politician. That’s down 17 points since July.

Seventy-five percent (75%) of Democrats believe the president is less ethical than most. That’s unchanged from July (see crosstab results).

While just 41% believe the president is as ethical as his peers, his Job Approval ratings have remained steady around 46%. In fact, his ratings have stayed within two points of that level in every daily release for more than eight months.

Data released recently showed that 87% of voters believe corruption is widespread in the federal government.

Scott Rasmussen’s new book, The Sun is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will Not, describes how he can be optimistic about the nation’s future despite being deeply pessimistic about our broken political system. Fortunately, the politicians aren’t nearly as important as they think they are. Just about all positive change in America begins far from the halls of power in Washington. The culture and technology lead our nation forward while politics and politicians lag behind.

In May, 59% believed that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is at least as ethical as most politicians.

Former Vice President Joe Biden has been accused of using his influence with the Ukrainian government to benefit his son. Most voters are not familiar with the accusation, but a narrow plurality believes Biden behaved inappropriately.  President Trump has been accused of using his power with the Ukrainian government to benefit himself. A plurality believes he behaved inappropriately as well.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,003 Registered Voters was conducted September 27-28, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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46% Want the President Impeached, 46% Approve of the Job He’s Doing

Forty-six percent (46%) of voters nationwide believe that President Trump should be impeached and removed from office.

However, the number approving of the president’s performance in office has remained steady at the 46% level for months.

This extreme divide highlights just how politically polarized our nation has become. If nothing changes, these figures suggest we could have a close election in 2020 decided by a small group of voters who are less engaged. Of course, a lot can happen in the next 13 months, so this outcome is far from assured.

It’s also refreshing to note that 63% of voters recognize that our society is not as polarized as our politics.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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72% Believe Most Politicians Use Power to Enrich Family and Friends

Seventy-two percent (72%) of voters nationwide believe that most politicians use their power and influence to enrich their family and friends. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 10% disagree and 18% are not sure.

Seventy-five percent (75%) of men think politicians use their power to enrich family and friends. So do 69% of women. Younger voters are a bit less skeptical than their elders. There is no difference between suburban, urban and rural voters or between Republicans and Democrats (see crosstab results).

Former Vice President Joe Biden has been accused of using his influence with the Ukrainian government to benefit his son. Most voters are not familiar with the accusation, but a narrow plurality believes Biden behaved inappropriately.  President Trump has been accused of using his power with the Ukrainian government to benefit himself. A plurality believes he behaved inappropriately as well.

While voters tend to believe these politicians acted inappropriately, it also appears that their behavior is in line with what people expect from politicians.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,003 Registered Voters was conducted September 27-28, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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20% Believe Capitalism Must Be Eliminated To Protect Environment

Twenty-percent (20%) of voters nationwide that capitalism must be eliminated to protect the environment. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 46% of voters disagree and 33% are not sure.

Voters under 35 are fairly evenly divided on this question. Twenty-eight percent (28%) believe capitalism must be eliminated while 36% disagree. However, senior citizens reject the view that capitalism must go by a 65% to 10% margin.

White voters strongly reject the idea that capitalism must be eliminated (53% to 17%). However black voters (28% say yes, 36% no) and Hispanic voters (32% yes, 33% no) are evenly divided.

Twenty-eight percent (28%) of Democrats believe capitalism must be eliminated to protect the environment. That view is shared by 19% of Republicans and 12% of Independents (see crosstab results).

Data released earlier showed that, over the next 10-15 years, 29% of voters believe it is at least somewhat likely that the earth will become uninhabitable and humanity will be wiped out. That total includes 51% of voters under 35, but only 12% of senior citizens.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 11-12, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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68% of Voters See Obama as Liberal, 58% See Bush as Conservative

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of voters nationwide view former President Barack Obama as politically liberal. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 10% believe he is politically moderate, 8% view him as conservative.

This comes at a time when many Democratic Party activists and presidential candidates believe that Obama was too centrist and moderate in his politics. The party’s activists and presidential candidates have moved further to the left politically since Hillary Clinton’s loss in the 2016 presidential campaign. Some, including Obama, have publicly worried that the party is moving too far to the left.

Among all Democratic voters, 51% consider themselves politically liberal. Those voters are getting a lot of attention in the presidential campaign. However, 38% of Democrats are politically moderate and 11% are conservative. Looking ahead to the general election in 2020, liberals outside of the Democratic party are a distinct minority. Just 26% of Independent voters are politically liberal along with 7% of Republican voters.

The only other Democratic president since 1980, Bill Clinton, is seen as politically liberal by 59% of voters. Many of his policies are now rejected as too conservative by the current leaders of the Democratic party. In fact, support for some of those policies has created problems for former Vice President Joe Biden.

On the Republican side, former president George W. Bush is seen as politically conservative by 58%, moderate by 11%, and liberal by 13%. Both his father, George H.W. Bush, and Ronald Reagan are seen as conservative by 60%.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,004 Registered Voters was conducted September 3-4, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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28% Believe Trump Committed Treason in Call with Ukrainian President

Twenty-eight percent (28%) of voters believe President Trump committed treason in his now infamous call with the Ukrainian president. That total includes 46% of Democrats, 24% of Independents, and 11% of Republicans.

By way of comparison, that’s lower than the number who believe the president committed treason in his dealings with Russia. That total has consistently been in the 30s all year, including a solid majority of Democrats.

So far, despite all the recent news coverage, the president’s job approval ratings have remained steady. We update these numbers weekdays at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

Also, 44% of voters currently believe the president should be impeached and removed from office. That number, too, has remained steady all year. Next update on the impeachment question will be released next Tuesday, October 1.

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Polling About the Trump-Ukraine Connection

ScottRasmussen.com is currently wrapping up our first polling specifically asking about the issues involving President Trump and the Ukrainian government. Data will be released later today (Thursday).

We have asked questions about impeachment every week since February. Our most recent survey shows 44% believe the president should be impeached and removed from office. Forty-one percent (41%) disagree. The next update will be issued on Tuesday morning.

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Voters OK With Law Enforcement Using Facial Recognition, but not Tech Companies

In the performance of its duties, 71% of voters believe the FBI should be allowed to use facial recognition technologies. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 69% said the same about the CIA and 59% think local law enforcement should be able to use that technology. However, just 32% believe tech companies should be allowed to do so.

However, voters recognize the risks involved. More than six-out-of-ten believe that each of those groups might regularly abuse their power while using facial recognition technology. Forty-two percent (42%) are Very Concerned that tech companies would abuse that power and 34% have that fear about local law enforcement. Twenty-seven percent (27%) are Very Concerned about FBI abuse and 26% about CIA abuse.

When it comes to the use of new technology in general, 23% fear the federal government more than tech companies. Twenty percent (20%) are more afraid of the tech companies while 37% are equally afraid of both. Just 12% are not afraid of either group.

Republicans are a bit more fearful of the tech companies while Democrats are more fearful of the federal government. Given a wide range of other polling data, it is likely those dynamics would shift with a Democrat in the White House.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 24-25, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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30% Expect Yankees to Win World Series; 20% Say Astros, 18% Dodgers

Thirty percent (30%) of major league baseball fans think the New York Yankees will win the 2019 World Series. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey of 412 adults who follow the sport found that 20% believe the Houston Astros will come home with the title and 18% believe it will be the Dodgers.

Forty-four percent (44%) believe the Bronx Bombers will win the American League pennant while 28% believe Houston will win that ticket to the World Series. Most (54%) believe the Dodgers will win the National League title. Nineteen percent (19%) pick the Atlanta Braves.

Twenty-two percent (22%) of fans want the Yankees to win it all this year while 11% are rooting for the Dodgers. The Astros and Cleveland Indians are each the favorite for 10%.

 

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Biden 45% Trump 37%; Sanders 40% Trump 39%; Warren 40% Trump 38%

If the 2020 election for President were held today, 45% of Registered Voters would cast their ballot for former Vice President Joe Biden and 37% would prefer President Donald Trump. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 6% would vote for a third option, 5% would not vote, and 7% are not sure what they would do.

In a match-up with Senator Elizabeth Warren, the president trails by two points 40% to 38%. Against Senator Bernie Sanders, he trails by one 40% to 39%.

It’s important to note that 18% to 23% of voters in these match-ups remain uncommitted to either major candidate.

These results are little changed from a month ago (see topline trends). Warren is up two points relative to our August poll, Biden up one, and Sanders unchanged. Biden, Sanders, and Warren have consistently been the leaders in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. Additionally, they are viewed more favorably than other Democratic contenders.

We also tested the president’s support in match-ups against eight other Democratic hopefuls. In every case, President Trump attracts between 37% and 39% of the vote. He is tied with Senator Kamala Harris and leads the others by two-to-seven points. He enjoys his largest advantage over Andrew Yang, 39% to 32%.

Again, it’s important to note the large number of voters uncommitted to either candidate. For these second-tier Democratic candidates, the uncommitted total ranges from 24% to 32%, dwarfing the margin between the candidates.

Other results from the survey:

Trump 38% Kamala Harris 38%

Trump 38% Beto O’Rourke 36%

Trump 38% Pete Buttigieg 34%

Trump 38% Cory Booker 33%

Trump 38% Julian Castro 33%

Trump 37% Tom Steyer 31%

Trump 38% Amy Klobuchar 32%

Trump 39% Andrew Yang 32%

At this early stage of the race, ScottRasmussen.com is not pushing respondents to determine which way they lean. However, a look at the crosstab results suggests that the currently uncommitted voters might lean towards the Democrat in the race.

In addition to polling data, we update a measure of the candidates’ Social Media Support daily.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

This survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted September 21-22, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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61% of Gun Owners Believe Democratic Politicians Want to End Private Gun Ownership

Sixty-one percent (61%) of gun owners in America believe most Democratic politicians want to end private ownership of all guns. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 24% do not and 15% are not sure.

Twenty-two percent (22%) believe most Republican politicians want to end private ownership of all guns. Sixty-two percent (62%) disagree.

Non-gun owners are less certain about the intentions of Democratic politicians. Among those who have a gun owner in the family, 38% believe Democratic officials want to eliminated gun ownership. Thirty-six percent (36%) disagree. Among the rest, 33% think that’s the view of most Democratic officials while 36% disagree.

See full question wording and crosstab results.

If a law was passed requiring all gun owners to turn their weapons over to the government as part of a mandatory buyback, just 29% of gun owners say it is even somewhat likely they would comply with the law.

Data released earlier shows that about half of all voters support a mandatory government buy back of semi-automatic weapons. However, just 24% think it is even somewhat likely that most gun owners would comply.

Ignorance about the number of semi-automatic weapons is far from the only public misunderstanding when it comes to guns. Just 11% recognize that most gun deaths in the United States are the result of suicide.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted September 17-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

The sample included 220 gun owners and 223 additional respondents with a gun owner in the family. Results based upon these samples have a Margin of Sampling Error equal to +/- 6.6 percentage points.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Among Dems Who Like Socialism: Biden 27% Warren 20% Sanders 18%

Among Democratic primary voters/caucus goers who like Socialism, former Vice President Joe Biden currently attracts 27% of vote. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 20% support Senator Elizabeth Warren and 18% back Senator Bernie Sanders.

Among all voters in that survey, Biden was at 32%, Warren at 17%, and Sanders was third with 15%.

Data released earlier found that 57% of voters who will “Definitely” vote in their state’s Democratic primary or caucus have at least a somewhat favorable opinion of Socialism. That total includes 16% have a Very Favorable opinion of the term.

While Sanders actively advocates for Socialism, most Democratic voters have a different understanding of what the term means. In fact, 73% of Democratic primary voters/caucus goers have a favorable opinion of free markets.

In reviewing all survey data on the Democratic race, it’s important to remember that we are in the very early stages of the campaign and most voters are not paying much attention. Voters are more engaged in early voting states like Iowa and New Hampshire. Polls in those states generally show Biden, Warren, and Sanders as the top three candidates. However, the early state races appear to be far more competitive than the national polling suggests.

This national survey was conducted September 13-20, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results are presented based upon interviews with 1,871 Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent Voters  who say they will “Definitely” vote in their state’s primary or caucus. Results from this sample have +/- 2.3 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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57% Of Dem Primary Voters Have Favorable Opinion of Socialism; 73% Like Free Markets

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters who will “Definitely” vote in their state’s Democratic primary or caucus have at least a somewhat favorable opinion of Socialism. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that total includes 16% have a Very Favorable opinion of the term.

The survey found that 58% of the same voters have at least a somewhat favorable opinion of Capitalism. Seventy-three percent (73%) say the same about Free Markets.

Nineteen percent (19%) of these Democratic primary voters have a Very Favorable opinion of Capitalism. Twenty-seven (27%) are that upbeat about Free Markets.

This is the latest in a very long line of surveys to show that the meaning of the term Socialism has changed substantially over the years:

This helps explain the enormous gap between the apparent support for Socialism and the lack of support for socialist policies. For example, only 18% of voters support plans to ban private insurance companies. More broadly, just 22% believe that it would be better for America to have the federal government owned most or all of the nation’s largest companies. Additionally, only 15% support a Universal Basic Income plan that provides payments even for those unwilling to work.

This national survey was conducted September 13-20, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results are presented based upon interviews with 1,871 Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent Voters  who say they will “Definitely” vote in their state’s primary or caucus. Results from this sample have +/- 2.3 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

 

(see full crosstab results).

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29% of Gun Owners Might Comply With Mandatory Gun Buyback Law

If a law was passed requiring all gun owners to turn their weapons over to the government as part of a mandatory buyback, just 29% of gun owners say it is even somewhat likely they would comply with the law.  A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 61% would be unlikely to comply. Another 10% are unsure or unwilling to state an opinion.

Those totals included just 16% would be Very Likely to comply while 41% are Not at All Likely to do so. In evaluating these responses, it must be remembered that some people may be reluctant to admit they would violate a law. Many gun owners believe that any such law would be unconstitutional, a fact that was not addressed in the survey.

We also asked respondents with family members who own a gun how their relatives would respond. Twelve percent (12%) thought they would be Very Likely to comply and 16% said Somewhat Likely.

Thirty-six percent (36%) of all voters support a proposal for a mandatory buyback of all privately owned guns in America. Fifty-five percent (55%) are opposed. However, only 16% consider even somewhat likely that most gun owners would comply with such a law.

See full question wording and crosstab results.

Data released earlier shows that about half of all voters support a mandatory government buy back of semi-automatic weapons. However, just 24% think it is even somewhat likely that most gun owners would comply.

Ignorance about the number of semi-automatic weapons is far from the only public misunderstanding when it comes to guns. Just 11% recognize that most gun deaths in the United States are the result of suicide.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted September 17-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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51% Of Young Voters Believe Humanity Could Be Wiped Out Within 15 Years

Over the next 10-15 years, 29% of all voters believe it is at least somewhat likely that the earth will become uninhabitable and humanity will be wiped out. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 71% disagree and find it unlikely.

The totals include 10% who consider it Very Likely and 37% who say Not at All Likely.

There is a dramatic difference by age on this question. Half (51%) of voters under 35 believe it is at least somewhat likely humanity will be wiped out in the next decade or so. Only 12% of senior citizens agree (and only 4% of seniors believe it is Very Likely).

In the early days of the Cold War, many young people had similar concerns that the world would be destroyed by nuclear weapons. Another generation was convinced that overpopulation would devastate the human race by the 1980s. While we do not have comparable polling data for those periods, the response of young people today seems very similar.

The data also reveals a significant geographical divide. Forty-five percent (45%) of urban residents think humanity may be wiped out by climate change in 10-15 years. Only 23% of rural voters and 22% of suburban voters agree.

Twenty-one percent (21%) of urban voters consider it Very Likely the earth will quickly become uninhabitable. Just 6% of rural voters and 5% of suburban voters consider that a Very Likely outcome (see crosstab results).

Data released earlier showed that just 10% of voters were aware the Global Climate Strike had been scheduled for last week.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 11-12, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

 

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Following NY Times Article, 36% Have Favorable Opinion of Kavanaugh; 49% Unfavorable

Following a controversial New York Times article resurfacing allegations against Brett Kavanaugh, the Supreme Court Justice is viewed favorably by 36% of voters nationwide and unfavorably by 49%. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that the New York Times is viewed favorably by 56% of voters and unfavorably by 40%.

A month ago, our regular Supreme Court update found that Kavanaugh was viewed favorably by 30% and unfavorably by 35%. That may suggest that the NY Times succeeded in driving up negative perceptions of the Justice, at least temporarily. However, caution should be exercised for two reasons. First, this survey specifically focused on issues involving both the NY Times and Kavanaugh. The earlier survey simply included Kavanaugh’s name amidst a list of all other Supreme Court Justices. Additionally, while both surveys offered a “Never Heard Of” response option, the earlier survey also let respondents say they had no opinion of Kavanaugh and other Justices.

In October, we will run our regular Supreme Court survey update to directly measure any lasting impact of the story.

Despite the predictions of many pundits, the heated Kavanaugh confirmation hearings did not lessen public confidence in the Supreme Court over the past year.

When it comes to political news stories, 38% believe the New York Times is likely to carefully report the facts of an incident. However, 37% believe they will simply use an incident to promote their own ideological agenda. Not surprisingly, this breaks down along partisan lines. Most Democrats (57%) believe the paper will carefully report the facts while most Republicans (60%) take the opposite view. Independent voters are evenly divided (see crosstab results).

Last year, during the confirmation hearings, there were extremely different partisan reactions to every aspect of the proceedings.

The survey recorded a low level of knowledge about the details of the story. Just 24% are aware that the lawyer who allegedly raised the new allegations worked for Democratic President Bill Clinton. Only 34% know that the alleged victim has no recollection of any such event. Most (55%) know that, in testimony last year Dr. Christine Blasey Ford said that she and one of her best friends attended a party together when Kavanaugh assaulted her. However, only 33% are aware that her friend does not believe the story.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 19-20, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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FULL WEEK DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY RESULTS: Biden 32% Warren 17% Sanders 15%

For the week of September 13-20, 2019, former Vice President Joe Biden remains the Democrat’s frontrunner with support from 32% of “Definite”  voters. Senator Elizabeth Warren is in second place with 17% followed by Senator Bernie Sanders at 15%.

Following the third round of Democratic debates, those three candidates also had the highest favorability ratings among the Democratic hopefuls.

Senator Kamala Harris remains in fourth with 6% of the vote. She is followed by South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (5%), former Congressman Beto O’Rourke (3%), Senator Cory Booker (3%), and businessman Andrew Yang (2%).

Nine percent (9%) are not sure how they will vote and nobody else attracts more than 1% of voters.

Following the last debate, Yang, Julian Castro, and Amy Klobuchar saw their net favorability ratings fall by double digits.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters at least somewhat support O’Rourke’s call for a mandatory buyback of all semi-automatic weapons. However, few believe that most gun owners would comply with the law if it were to pass.

Just 10% of all voters were aware the Global Climate Strike was scheduled for yesterday.

As for the Democratic race, Sanders leads among voters under 35, attracting 34% of their vote. Sixteen percent (16%) of those younger voters support Biden while 10% prefer Warren. However, Biden leads among all other age groups. Among those over 65, it’s Biden 44%, Warren 20%, and Sanders 5% (see full crosstab results).

In reviewing all survey data on the Democratic race, it’s important to remember that we are in the very early stages of the campaign and most voters are not paying much attention. Voters are more engaged in early voting states like Iowa and New Hampshire. Polls in those states generally show Biden, Warren, and Sanders as the top three candidates. However, the early state races appear to be far more competitive than the national polling suggests.

These results are based upon a survey of 1,871 Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents who say they will “Definitely” vote in their state’s primary or caucus.

NOTE: Bill deBlasio was included in the survey prior to dropping out of the race.

ScottRasmussen.com conducts surveys on the Democratic presidential race every day and releases the results on a three-day rolling average basis weeknights at 5:00 p.m. Eastern time. Those updates measure immediate responses to events in the news and provide an early warning indicator for potential trends and developments.

However, daily tracking results are also subject to statistical noise due to a relatively small sample size. With that in mind, ScottRasmussen.com releases data each Saturday based upon a full week of interviews. This provides a more stable measure of the race and allows for more demographic analysis. 

In addition to the Democratic race, ScottRasmussen.com tracks the president’s job approval and the Generic Congressional Ballot on a daily basis. In 2018, our final Generic Ballot poll showed the Democrats with an 8-point advantage among the most likely voters. That was very close to the actual popular vote margin of victory for Nancy Pelosi’s party.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

This national survey was conducted September 13-20, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results are presented based upon interviews with 1,871 Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent Voters  who say they will “Definitely” vote in their state’s primary or caucus. Results from this sample have +/- 2.3 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Just 20% Have Any Idea How Many Semi-Automatic Weapons Are Owned In U.S.

One of the challenging issues in the debate over gun laws is the lack of knowledge about basic facts.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 20% of voters believe 5 million Americans or more own semi-automatic weapons. While precise numbers are impossible to obtain, it is likely that more than 10 million Americans own such weapons. Only 8% estimate the number is that high.

One-out-of-four voters (25%) believe that a million or fewer Americans own such weapons. That includes 13% who believe the total is 100,000 or less.

A majority of voters (54%) admitted they are simply not sure of the correct answer. The lack of knowledge is found among all demographic groups (show crosstab results).

Data released earlier shows that about half of all voters support a mandatory government buy back of semi-automatic weapons. However, just 24% think it is even somewhat likely that most gun owners would comply.

Ignorance about the number of semi-automatic weapons is far from the only public misunderstanding when it comes to guns. Just 11% recognize that most gun deaths in the United States are the result of suicide.

Forty-one percent (41%) of voters mistakenly believe gang violence results in more gun deaths than anything else. While gang violence takes a significant toll, it accounts for approximately one-out-of-five gun related deaths. That’s one-third the number of gun deaths by suicide.

Twenty-seven percent (27%) mistakenly think mass shootings are the primary cause of gun deaths. While these shootings are horrific and receive a tremendous amount of coverage, they account for less than 1% of gun deaths each year.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted September 17-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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10% Know Global Climate Strike Scheduled for This Week

Ten percent (10%) of voters know that a Global Climate Strike is scheduled for this week. A ScottRasmussen.com poll found that 13% believe it is scheduled next week or next month. Seventy-nine percent (79%) are not sure.

The event is scheduled for tomorrow, September 20. Ten percent (10%) of voters say they’ve followed news about it Very Closely. Another 13% are following it Somewhat Closely. Forty-two percent (42%) are not following news about the event and 25% have never heard of it.

The Sunrise Movement, an organization of young activists supporting the Climate Strike and the Green New Deal, faces similarly low levels of visibility. Twelve percent (12%) of voters offer a favorable opinion of the group while 4% say the opposite. Sixty-two percent (62%) have never heard of the group, 15% offer a neutral opinion, and 8% are not sure what they think.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted September 18-19, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

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Just 24% Think Owners of Semi-Automatic Weapons Would Comply With Mandatory Buyback Law

Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters at least somewhat favor a mandatory buyback of all semi-automatic weapons. A ScottRasmussen.com nation survey found that 36% are opposed and 13% not sure.

Seventy percent of Democrats favor the idea while 53% of Republicans are opposed. Independent voters are evenly divided–43% in favor and 40% opposed.

However, if such a law was passed, just 24% of all voters think it is even somewhat likely that most owners of those weapons would actually turn their weapons over to the government. Only 9% consider that outcome Very Likely.

Democratic Presidential candidate Beto O’Rourke recently proposed a mandatory buyback plan. He suggested the owners “would gladly sell [their weapon] back or destroy it, all of them seem like they would follow the law.”

Thirty-five percent (35%) of adults under 35 think most would be at least somewhat likely to comply with the law. That falls to 10% among senior citizens. Seventy-six percent (76%) of Republicans consider it unlikely, a view shared by 70% of Independent voters and 67% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that 36% are at least somewhat supportive of a mandatory buyback of all privately owned guns. Fifty-five percent (55%) are opposed. As to that plan, just 16% believe most gun owners would comply.

Among gun owners themselves, 16% said they would be Very Likely to comply with that law. Another 13% would be Somewhat Likely to do so. Sixty-one percent (61%) would be unlikely to turn in their guns. It is important to note that some respondents may have been reluctant to admit their willingness to violate a law.

Family members of gun owners offered similar responses. Twenty-eight percent (28%) thought the gun owners would be at least somewhat likely to turn over their weapon while 58% considered it unlikely.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted September 17-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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10% Have Sent Embarrassing Photo to Wrong Person

Ten percent (10%) of American adults have mistakenly sent an embarrassing photo to the wrong person. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 26% have done the same with an embarrassing text.

These mistakes are much more common to younger adults. Nearly a quarter (23%) of adults under 35 have sent an embarrassing photo to the wrong person. Fewer than one-half of one percent of senior citizens have had that unfortunate experience.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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51% of Democrats Are Politically Liberal; 73% of Republicans Are Politically Conservative

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Democratic voters nationwide consider themselves politically liberal. 

An analysis of ScottRasmussen.com surveys found that 38% of Democrats are politically moderate and 11% are conservative.

On the other side of the aisle, 73% of Republican voters consider themselves politically conservative. Twenty-one percent (21%) of the GOP base are moderate in their views and 7% liberal. 

Most Independent voters (66%) see themselves as politically moderate.

Overall, among all voters, 41% see themselves as moderate, 33% say conservative, and 26% liberal.

During the month of August, ScottRasmussen.com interviewed 31,039 Registered Voters. This large sample allows for a more detailed analysis than typical surveys of approximately 1,000 voters each.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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54% Believe Race Relations In U.S. Getting Worse; Just 24% Say Better

Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters believe race relations are getting worse these days. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 24% believe they are getting better. Another 22% are not sure.

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of Hispanic voters believe things are getting worse. So do 60% of black voters and 51% of white voters.

Among those who Strongly Approve of President Trump, 55% believe race relations are getting better while 29% say worse. Among those who Strongly Disapprove of the president, 78% say things are getting worse while just 6% believe race relations are improving. Those with softer opinions of the president tend to believe race relations are getting worse (44% worse, 23% better).

The survey also found that 23% believe most white Americans are racist. Twenty-seven percent (27%) say the same about most persons of color.

There is an interesting generational dynamic on this point. When it comes to persons of color, there is little generational difference of opinion. Twenty-five percent (25%) of voters under 35 believe most persons of color are racist. Among those 35-50, 30% share that view. So do 27% of voters over 50.

However, there is a wide difference of opinion when it comes to white racism. Among those voters under 35, 43% believe that most white Americans are racist. So do 27% of those aged 35-50. Among Americans over 50, just 10% agree (see crosstab results).

As a result, the youngest voters are more likely to see white Americans as racist while older voters are more likely to see persons of color as racist.

Overall, 32% of voters believe racism towards persons of color is a significant problem in America today. Sixteen percent (16%) believe racism towards white Americans is a significant problem.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 30-31, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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59% Believe That America’s Best Days Are Still to Come

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters nationwide believe that America’s best days are in the future while 41% believe they have already come and gone. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found this optimism in every measured demographic group.

Sixty percent (60%) of both liberals and conservatives believe the nation’s best days are still to come. So do 57% of political moderates.

Sixty percent (60%) of Republicans believe our nation’s best days are still to come, a view shared by 60% of Democrats and 55% of Independent voters. That optimism is expressed by 60% of Hispanic voters, 58% of white voters, and 53% of black voters (see crosstab results).

Despite all the ups and downs of American politics, the level of optimism about the nation’s future has remained relatively constant. In June, 58% believed the nation’s best days were still to come. Fifty-seven percent (57%) expressed that view in March.

This optimism exists despite the fact that just 35% believe the federal government does a good job living up to the ideal of being a government of the people, by the people, and for the people. Not only that, 71% believe America’s political system is badly broken. Just 16% disagree with that assessment.

For many politically obsessed Americans, these results seem inconsistent. How can we have a bright future with a broken political system? But most Americans believe that positive change in America generally comes from outside of the political system. The culture leads and politicians lag behind.  These views are consistent with the primary themes of Scott Rasmussen’s latest book. In The Sun is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will Not, Rasmussen is extremely pessimistic about American politics but optimistic about the nation.

Among those who believe the political system is badly broken, 81% believe the reason is that our leaders are not following the Constitution. Still, 30% of voters believe the Constitution itself needs a major overhaul. Most (56%) believe that any changes should place additional limits on the federal government. Forty-four percent (44%) would like to make it easier for the federal government to get things done.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted September 12-13, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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First Look After Democratic Debate: Nothing Really Changed

Last night, as every night, ScottRasmussen.com asked Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents about their presidential candidate preference. Fourteen percent (14%) of the interviews were conducted prior the debate, 25% during the debate, and 61% after the debate.

Looking over the single night results showed no significant differences from earlier polling. That’s not terribly surprising, since most people watching the debate are likely already committed to one of the candidates.

On Monday afternoon, we will release our first wave of polling based entirely upon interviews conducted after the debate.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Sanford Takes Votes from Walsh and Weld, But Not Trump

Former Governor and Congressman Mark Sanford is the latest candidate to challenge President Donald Trump for the Republican presidential nomination.

However, ScottRasmussen.com national survey of Registered Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents shows that the new candidate only takes votes away from two other Trump challengers: former Congressman Joe Walsh and former Governor William Weld.

Currently, 76% of potential GOP Primary Voters would cast their ballot for President Donald Trump. Sanford, Walsh, and Weld each pick up support from 2%.

A month ago, the president received an identical 76% of the vote. At that time, 5% preferred Walsh and 3% picked Weld.

In May, the president led Weld by a 73% to 7% margin.

Therefore, regardless of whether the president has one, two, or three challengers, the total anti-Trump vote remains steady at 6-8% of potential GOP voters.

In the latest survey, 2% say they’d vote for some other candidate, 2% would not vote, and 14% are undecided.

See full crosstab results.

ScottRasmussen.com releases daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. Please SIGN UP to receive daily email.
It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues.

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,175 Registered Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents was conducted September 9-12, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/- 3.0 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Just 21% Know There’s A Democratic Debate This Week

Some political pundits have been surprised by how little impact the debates have had on the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. A key reason is that most voters simply aren’t engaged in the process or interested in the debates.

On Monday night, we asked 1,084 adults whether the next Democratic presidential debate would be held this week, next week, or in a month. Just 21% knew it was scheduled for this week. Among Democrats, only 28% got it right.

And, it’s worth pointing out that the vast majority of those watching the debates have a rooting interest in the outcome. They already know the candidate they support and are waiting for others to change their mind.

By the way, when we asked about the debate timing, a whopping 60% of all adults wouldn’t even venture a guess.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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56% Believe US Has World’s Strongest Economy; 24% Say China

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters believe the United States has the world’s strongest economy. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that view is shared by 68% of Republicans, 55% of Independents, and 47% of Democrats.

Among all voters, 24% believe China has the strongest economy, 4% say Russia, 1% say some other country, and 15% are not sure.

Looking ahead to the end of the 21st century, there’s little expectation of change. Forty-six percent (46%) believe the U.S. economy will still be number one, 25% expect it will be China, 2% Russia, and 26% are not sure.

On a slightly different basis, 64% believe the U.S. is the most powerful nation in the world today and 17% say China. Looking ahead, 46% believe the U.S. will still be the most powerful at the end of the 21st century while 24% name China.

Data released earlier showed that 43% believe the world would be a better place if more countries were like the United States. Eighteen percent (18%) believe that would make things worse.

See full crosstab results.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted September 6-7, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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43% Believe World Would Be Better If Other Countries More Like US; 18% Disagree

Forty-three percent (43%) of voters nationwide believe that things would be better globally if other nations were more like the United States. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 18% disagree and believe that would make things worse. Another 16% don’t think it would make much difference and 22% are not sure.

Conservatives, by a 63% to 7% margin, believe the world would be a better place if other countries were more like ours.  Liberals are evenly divided: 32% believe that the world would be better off while 33% say worse.

College graduates and those who earn more than $75,000 a year are more likely than others to think the world would be better if other countries followed our lead.

White voters, by a 48% to 16% margin, believe more countries like ours would be a good thing. Hispanic voters, by a 35% to 22% margin, lean in that same direction. Twenty-eight percent (28%) of black voters think that would be good for the world while 22% believe it would be bad (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted September 6-7, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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89% Remember Where They Were On 9/11

Eighty-nine percent (89%) of American adults say that they remember where they were when they first heard about the 9/11 terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 5% cannot remember and 5% are not sure.

A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 37% believe the changes brought about by 9/11 made America better while 43% believe the nation changed for the worse. Five percent (5%) said nothing really changed and 15% are not sure.

Surveys conducted in the first year after the attacks generally found that people believed America had changed for the better. Over time, a more negative assessment took hold. Now, 18 years later, it may be difficult for people to remember just how much has changed since those horrific attacks.

Currently, 47% of Independents believe the nation changed for the worse. Forty-five percent (45%) of Democrats agree along with 39% of Republicans (see crosstab results).

Over the coming year, 68% of all adults believe it’s likely that terrorists will try to launch another major attack on the United States. Forty-one percent (41%) believe it is at least somewhat likely they will succeed. That include 9% who fear that a successful terror attack is Very Likely in the coming year.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day (SIGN UP for daily email updates). It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues.

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,084 Adults was conducted September 9-10, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology ). Results from the full sample have +/-3.0 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Just 30% Believe Federal Government Has Right to Ban Fracking on Private Property

Just 30% of voters nationwide believe the federal government has the right to ban a private landowner from allowing fracking on their own property. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 43% disagree and say the government does not have that right. Twenty-seven percent (27%) are not sure.

Democrats are evenly divided on this question: 37% believe the government has the right to ban fracking on private property and 36% do not. Republicans, by a 47% to 25% margin, say the government does not have that right. Independent views are similar to the GOP. By a 47% to 29% they believe the federal government cannot ban a private landowner from allowing fracking on their own property (see crosstab results).

Other data, shows that 33% of voters favor a ban on fracking while 41% are opposed. Data released earlier showed that 38% of voters favor a proposal to ban all fossil fuel imports and exports such as oil and gas. Sixty-two percent (62%) are opposed.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters nationwide think it’s likely nuclear power plants could be developed to operate in a safe and environmentally friendly manner. However, opinions are mixed on whether we should actually build such plants.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day (SIGN UP for daily email updates). It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues.

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 5-6, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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33% Favor Complete Ban on Fracking; 41% Oppose

Thirty-three percent (33%) of voters nationwide favor a complete ban on the oil drilling process known as fracking while 41% are opposed. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 19% are not sure and 7% have never heard of fracking.

A ban on fracking is supported by 36% of Democrats, 35% of Independents, and 28% of Republicans (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that

  • 49% mistakenly believe fracking is a new technology developed in the 21st century.
  • 61% recognize that if fracking is banned, the United States would again be dependent on imports from other countries to meet our energy requirements.
  • 59% understand that a ban on fracking would significantly increase the cost of gas and oil in the United States.
  • 56% are aware that fracking techniques provide a majority of all-natural gas and crude oil produced in the United States.

Data released earlier showed that 38% of voters favor a proposal to ban all fossil fuel imports and exports such as oil and gas. Sixty-two percent (62%) are opposed.

That survey found that 55% supported “banning fracking, a type of oil mining, and all new offshore drilling leases.” It seems likely that the inclusion of a reference to offshore drilling accounts for the apparently higher level of support for a ban. Additionally, that earlier survey did not allow options for “not sure” or “never heard of it.”

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters nationwide think it’s likely nuclear power plants could be developed to operate in a safe and environmentally friendly manner. However, opinions are mixed on whether we should actually build such plants.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please SIGN UP to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 5-6, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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58% Think Nuclear Power Plants Can Be Built in Safe & Environmentally Friendly Manner

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters nationwide think it’s likely nuclear power plants could be developed to operate in a safe and environmentally friendly manner. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 43% disagree and consider it unlikely.

Those figures include 22% who believe it is Very Likely and 10% who say Not at All Likely.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans think it’s likely nuclear power plants can be safely developed. That view is shared by 54% of Democrats and 48% of Independent voters (see crosstab results).

When asked if  the United States should build more nuclear power plants to generate the energy we need, 28% say yes and 47% no.

However, half the sample was reminded that nuclear power would reduce our reliance upon fossil fuels. Among those respondents, 35% favored building new plants while 44% disagree.

The large number of undecideds and the fact that a single wording change appears to produce different results suggests that public opinion is far from fully formed on this issue.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the Democratic Primaries, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 5-6, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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The Most Important Question About The Democratic Presidential Nomination Contest

The single most important question about the race for the Democratic presidential nomination is whether or not Joe Biden can be knocked out of the frontrunner’s position.

  • Will he follow the path of establishment candidates like Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Mitt Romney in 2012 and win the nomination despite active opposition from the party’s base? (both eventually lost the general election).
  • Or will he be more like Rudy Giuliani and Hillary Clinton in 2008, pre-season frontrunners whose lead vanished as soon as the voting started?

In terms of the Democratic primary competition, it is hard to overstate the significance of a Biden stumble. Our daily tracking poll shows consistently that over 40% of potential Democratic voters are either Biden supporters or undecided. If the former Vice President cannot hang on to his lead, all of those votes are potentially up for grabs. With so many uncommitted voters and so many other candidates in the race, it’s impossible to predict today where those votes would go.

If Biden hangs on to win the nomination, the big question will be how will the more progressive base voters react? Biden draws his support primarily from older voters who are already the most likely to vote.  Will younger voters who preferred someone else come out to vote next November?

If another candidate defeats Biden, the question will then be whether or not the candidate can appeal to swing voters in competitive states? We know that a Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren candidacy would excite voters in California, but how will voters in the midwest react?

Posted in Deeper Currents

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54% Believe Homeowners Should Pay Full Cost of Flood/Hurricane Insurance; Big Generation Gap

Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters nationwide believe that people with homes near the beach or shoreline should pay the full cost of flood and hurricane insurance. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 46% believe the government should provide assistance to keep their insurance more affordable.

There is a huge generation gap on this question. Seventy-three percent (73%) of senior citizens believe people should cover the full cost of insurance for their homes. That falls to 58% of those aged 50-64 and 43% among voters under 50 (see crosstab results).

The survey was conducted during news coverage of Hurricane Dorian. It is possible that this timing may have impacted the results and led to a somewhat higher level of support for government subsidies of flood and hurricane insurance.

Sixty-four percent (64%) of Republicans believe homeowners should pay the full cost of insurance for their own home. That view is shared by 52% of Independents and 46% of Democrats.

Government subsidized flood insurance tends to benefit wealthier Americans. It also encourages more home-building in risky coastal environments.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). 
Sign up to receive daily email updates. You can also follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted September 4-5, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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30% Have Family or Friends Impacted By Dorian

Nearly a third of the nation’s voters (30%) have family or friends impacted by Hurricane Dorian. Not surprisingly, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found strong interest in news about the storm. Eighty percent (80%) of voters are following the Dorian news, including 41% who are following it Very Closely.

So far, 74% believe the weather forecasts have been at least Somewhat Accurate while just 14% disagree.

Fifty-four percent (54%) believe that, so far, the federal government has responded well to problems created by the storm, 19% disagree, and 26% are not sure.

See full crosstab results.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates. You can also follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted September 4-5, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Brexit Drama Stirs Little Interest In U.S.

As a battle over whether to remain in the European Union (EU) consumes Great Britain, just 11% of U.S. voters are Very Closely following news about Brexit. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that another 28% are paying attention Somewhat Closely.

Twenty-one percent (21%) of U.S. voters believe it would be better for Britain to leave the EU while 31% believe it would be better for them to stay. Fifteen percent (15%) see little impact and 33% are not sure.

Twenty-two percent (22%) believe the U.S. would benefit if Britain leaves the EU while 17% think the impact would be negative. Twenty-one percent (21%) don’t envision it will matter while 41% are not sure.

Most U.S. voters (57%) have either never heard of British Prime Minister Boris Johnson or don’t know enough about him to have an opinion. Twenty-two percent (22%) have a favorable opinion and 21% an unfavorable view.

Opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn is unknown to 72% of U.S. voters. Sixteen percent (16%) have a favorable opinion and 12% a negative view.

If Britain leaves the EU, 61% believe the U.S. should establish a new trade agreement with that nation. Eight percent (8%) disagree and 31% are not sure.

Even after Brex, 77% of U.S. voters believe it is likely that most European nations will eventually reach a trade agreement with Great Britain.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the news
We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 30-31, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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72% Want Immigration Policy To Favor Those With Skills to Help Economy

Seventy-two percent (72%) of voters support an immigration policy that favors people with skills that could benefit the economy. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 28% believe the higher priority should be for granting legal status to people with relatives in the United States.

Giving priority to needed skills over family is favored by 78% of Republicans, 72% of Independents, and 65% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that 69% believe the federal government should hire more workers to help speed up the application process for people trying to enter the U.S. legally. On that point, 16% disagree and 15% are not sure.

Generally speaking, eight-out-of-ten voters believe legal immigration is good for the United States while a similar number believe illegal immigration is bad.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the newsWe also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues.
You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 20-21, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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38% Favor Banning Fossil Fuel Imports and Exports; 62% Oppose

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters favor a proposal to ban all fossil fuel imports and exports such as oil and gas. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 62% are opposed.

Such a ban has been proposed by Senator Bernie Sanders in his quest for the Democratic presidential nomination. His proposal is supported by 49% of Democrats, 35% of Independents, and 30% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

Sanders is currently in second place behind Joe Biden in most polling on the Democratic race. As with his sweeping proposal to remake the U.S. health care system, the Sanders’ version of a Green New Deal includes a mix of popular and unpopular ideas.

Sixty-six percent (66%) support the idea of declaring climate change to be a National Emergency. Smaller majorities support his proposals for the federal government to spend $407 billion helping schools and transit agencies switch to electric bus fleets (57%), ban fracking (55%), spend $607 billion in regional high-speed rail investment (53%), and immediately end all new and existing fossil fuel drilling on federal public lands (52%).

However, when it comes to substantially raising taxes on the fossil fuel industry, just 46% support the idea and 54% are opposed. The numbers are essentially the same for having the federal government spend $86 billion to build a national Electronic Vehicle charging network.

Most of these ideas have received little attention within the national political dialogue. It is quite possible that the numbers would shift if they become a part of the 2020 presidential campaign.

Data released earlier this year showed 24% of voters believe that climate change is the most serious threat facing the nation. Other data shows wide concern about climate change combined with some confidence that new technology will solve the problem. Only 18% favor giving the federal government sweeping new powers to combat climate change.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the newsWe also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 23-24, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Happy Labor Day! 40% Believe Labor Unions Good for United States

Happy Labor Day!

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 40% of adults believe labor unions are generally good for the United States while 13% believe they are generally bad.

A third (33%) believe the impact is somewhere in between while 14% are not sure.

Fifty-six percent (56%) of Democrats believe unions are good for America while just 7% think they are bad.

Among Republicans and independents, the results are more mixed, but still somewhat positive. Thirty-five percent (35%) of Republicans see unions as good while 22% say they are bad. As for independents, 31% say good and 14% bad.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of American adults consider Labor Day to be the unofficial end of summer.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that belief to be strongest in the Northeast, where 80% look at the upcoming weekend in that manner. Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Midwesterners agree along with 70% of those who live in the South. However, in Western states, just 63% view Labor Day as the unofficial end of summer.

Overall, 22% of Americans consider Labor Day to be one of our nation’s most important holidays. Nineteen percent (19%) consider it one of the least important. Half (50%) rate it somewhere in between.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Among Definite Voters, Warren Inches Past Sanders

From the very first ScottRasmussen.com survey of the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, Joe Biden has been on top with Bernie Sanders in second. Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris have consistently held on to the third and fourth slots.

In our latest full-week survey of Registered Voters, that remains unchanged.

However, when we restrict the sample to those who will “Definitely” vote, Warren has now inched ahead of Sanders for second place. Among definite voters, it’s Biden 36%, Warren 14%, and Sanders 13%.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Looking to Election 2020

Seventy-five percent of Republican voters believe it really doesn’t matter who the Democrats nominate because none of them will beat Donald Trump in next year’s election. On the other hand, ScottRasmussen.com polling found that 49% of Democratic voters say it really doesn’t matter who the Democrats nominate because any of them will beat Trump.

Among all voters, 41% believe that none of the Democrats running will beat the president, while 36% believe any of them will do so.

Those who aren’t sure what will happen are the only ones who’ve got it right. It’s too early to know what will happen, and it does matter which candidate the Democrats choose to represent them.

While it’s hard for political junkies to believe, most Americans aren’t paying attention to the campaign yet. Just 23% of all voters are very closely following the race for the Democratic presidential nomination.

The fundamental dynamics of election 2020 are that Democrats have a solid base equal to just over 40% of all voters. Republicans have a solid base just a few points less than 40%. The other 20% includes some who lean in one direction or the other but are far from committed to either party. There are a few more Republican leaners than Democratic leaners (including some GOP voters who aren’t sold on President Trump).These fundamentals suggest that if both parties manage to hold on to both their base and marginal voters, we will have a close election. In that case, the outcome will wind up in the hands of political neutrals that activists can’t really understand.

The most distinctive feature of these ultimately decisive voters is that they don’t think the decision matters all that much. While activists tend to believe that victory by the other side will end the world as we know it, most political neutrals don’t believe things would be all that different today if Hillary Clinton had won in 2016. For many of the political neutrals, the question is not how they will vote but if they will vote.

So as we try to anticipate the results of election 2020, the first question will be whether each side can hold on to their marginal voters. Will those who lean Republican but are skeptical of President Trump stay home? Vote third-party? Will Democratic leaners who like Bernie Sanders show up if Joe Biden is the nominee? Will Biden voters support a candidate like Sanders or Elizabeth Warren?

If both parties can hold their coalitions together, the key question will then be which side can convince the political neutrals that the election matters and their team is best. Anybody who claims to know today how this will all turn out is either lying to you or deluding themselves.

Finally, on a personal note, this is my last column for Creators Syndicate. They’ve been great to work with for the past nine years, and I’ve been blessed by a great group of editors along the way. I’ve also enjoyed the feedback from readers and the publications carrying the column. But now, with 2020 on the horizon, I will focus all my energies on providing daily updates at ScottRasmussen.com.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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56% Support Tariffs on Goods From China; Little Changed From Earlier Surveys

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters favor having the United States impose new tariffs on goods imported from China. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 42% oppose such tariffs. These totals include 20% who Strongly Favor the tariffs and 18% who are Strongly Opposed.

Support for tariffs is little changed from earlier in the summer when 58% supported the policy.

Interestingly, the support for higher tariffs exists despite the fact that just 33% think they will be good for the United States. A plurality of voters–37%- believe the impact from tariffs will be bad for the U.S. Six percent  (5%) believe they will have no impact while 24% are not sure.

This gap between support for tariffs and the belief that they will be good suggests that many voters see these negotiations as a matter of fairness rather than transactional economics. Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters believe that China has used trade to take advantage of the United States. Just 14% disagree and 25% are not sure.

This fits into a larger belief about trade policies. Seventy-seven percent (77%) believe other unnamed countries have used trade to take advantage of the United States.

On a partisan basis, the higher tariffs on goods from China are supported by 80% of Republicans and opposed by 60% of Democrats. Among Independent voters, 53% are in favor while 48% are opposed. (see crosstab results).

Overall, 77% believe free trade is at least somewhat good for the United States. Eighty-one percent (81%) at least somewhat agree with the notion that free trade helps create jobs.

Forty-one percent (41%) of voters say President Trump has done a good or an excellent job in his trade negotiations with China. Another 38% rate his performance as poor. Twenty-one percent (21%) take the more neutral option and rate his performance as fair. These results appear to have more to do with preconceived notions of the president rather than a response to his trade policy.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the newsWe also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 24-25, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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GOP Primary: Trump 76% Walsh 5% Weld 3%

Former Congressman Joe Walsh entered the race for the Republican Presidential nomination over the weekend. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey of Registered Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents shows that the new candidate has a huge uphill climb before him.

Currently, 76% of potential GOP Primary Voters would cast their ballot for President Donald Trump. Five percent (5%) say they’d vote for Walsh and 3% prefer former Massachusetts Governor William Weld.

In May, the president led Weld by a 73% to 7% margin. At the moment, therefore, it appears that Walsh’s entry into the race has simply divided President Trump’s opposition between two challengers.

See full crosstab results.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,194 Registered Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents was conducted August 23-26, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/- 2.9 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

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Castro’s Animal Welfare Plan Earns Positive Reviews

Former San Antonio mayor and Housing and Urban Development secretary Julian Castro recently announced an ambitious animal welfare plan. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that the plan generally earns positive reviews, though it is not a top-tier issue.

  • 89% at least somewhat favor a federal ban on the private, unlicensed ownership of big cats like lions and tigers
  • 87% favor making animal cruelty a federal felony
  • 81% support federal regulations defining mandatory space minimums for farm animals
  • 78% favor a federal ban on the manufacture and sale of cosmetics that have been tested on animals
  • 76% favor requiring homeless shelters that receive federal support to take in pets belonging to homeless individuals
  • 75% support requiring new federally funded affordable housing units to be pet friendly
  • 74% like the idea of providing $40 million in federal funding to help defray the costs of vaccinating, spaying and neutering animals
  • 66% favor a federal ban on the euthanasia of domestic dogs and cats in shelters

Still, just 28% consider the issue to be Very Important in their voting decision. That’s far below the level of interest in more than a dozen other issues tracked regularly by ScottRasmussen.com. Only 13% say they are Very Closely following recent news stories about the Preventing Animal Cruelty and Torture Act (see full crosstab results).

Castro has consistently received support from just 1-2% of potential Democratic primary voters. He has done well enough to qualify for the 3rd Democratic presidential debate. Given the large field of contenders, adding even a small percentage of voters with a narrowly targeted proposal on pet policy could be significant.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the newsWe also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted August 21-22, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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76% Favor Law Banning Ski Masks At Public Demonstrations

Conflict between the Proud Boys and Antifa has become a major issue in Portland, Oregon, costing local businesses an estimated $3 million last Saturday alone.

To deal with the problem, Portland is considering a law that would make it illegal for people at public demonstrations to hide their identity by wearing ski masks and other gear. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 76% of voters favor such a law, including 53% who Strongly Favor it. Support comes from 84% of Republicans, 76% of Democrats, and 68% of Independents.

However, these results have little to do with the specifics of what is happening in Portland. Just 37% of voters nationwide have been following the news even somewhat closely.  Only 12% are following it Very Closely.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters have either never heard of Antifa or don’t know enough to have an opinion of the group. Another 16% have only a soft opinion of them. The numbers are similar for the Proud Boys: 65% have either never heard of them or have no opinion and another 13% hold only a soft opinion.

Overall, 15% have a favorable opinion of Antifa and 31% hold an unfavorable view. For the Proud Boys, the numbers are 13% favorable and 23% unfavorable.

Just 7% have a Very Favorable opinion of Antifa and 23% a Very Unfavorable view.

Six percent (6%) have a Very Favorable opinion of the Proud Boys while 17% offer a Very Unfavorable opinion.

For both groups, recognition is higher among younger voters and those under 35 are fairly evenly divided in their opinions (see crosstab results).

President Trump is considering labeling Antifa as a terrorist organization. Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters believe he has the authority to do so while 26% disagree.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the newsWe also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 20-21, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Economic Reality Matters More Than Spin

Just over a week ago, market signals and several analysts suggested that the odds were increasing for a recession in 2020.

Given that 73% of voters consider the economy a Very Important voting issue, it’s no surprise that the new economic assessment quickly generated an intense political debate. President Trump and his top economic advisor Larry Kudlow both made public statements about the strength of the economy.

The political dynamics are pretty straightforward. If the country enters a recession prior to the next election, President Trump is unlikely to get re-elected and congressional Democrats could have another big year. On the other hand, if the economy grows stronger and people believe their own personal finances are getting better, the president is a favorite for re-election and the GOP could have a good year.

So, where do we stand?

The latest Job Creators Network/ ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse survey shows that the barrage of news coverage about a possible recession did at least temporarily dent economic confidence. Immediately prior to all the recession chatter, 56% of American adults rated the economy as good or excellent.

This week’s update shows the number offering such an upbeat assessment fell seven points to 49%. It’s only the second time in six months that number has dropped below 50%. Also, for the first time since the government shutdown ended in late January, more Americans believe the economy is getting worse (33%) rather than better (30%).

The key question is whether these numbers represent a temporary blip brought on by intense media coverage or whether they mark the beginning of an ongoing decline. At the moment, it’s too early to tell.

In previous episodes, when confidence has declined due to a specific issue (government shutdown or tariff threats), it has bounced back as soon as the issue was resolved.

Also, the current numbers include a couple of positive indicators that could form the basis for renewed confidence. By a 29% to 20% margin, Americans believe their own finances are getting better rather than worse. Politically, the way people feel about their personal finances matters more than the way they feel about the economy in general.

On top of that, 44% believe firms in their area are more likely to be hiring than laying people off. Just 20% believe those firms are more likely to be laying people off.

This is important because what people experience in their daily lives matters far more than media coverage. People who work for companies that are hiring people and growing tend to be more optimistic about the economy. Pessimism is more common among those who see colleagues being laid off.

It’s obviously true that media coverage can have a short-term impact on economic perceptions. That’s why we’ve seen a 7-point decline in economic confidence this week. But the bigger story is that reality matters more than talking points.

That’s why ScottRasmussen.com and the Job Creators Network will continue to monitor the reality each and every week.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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Economy, Health Care and National Security Remain Top Three Issues for Voters

Seventy-four percent (74%) of voters consider health care to be a Very Important voting issue. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 73% say the same about the economy and 71% believe National Security is that important. No other issue in the survey topped 70%. These issues have consistently been ranked as the most important in each of our monthly surveys (see topline trends).

Three other issues were deemed Very Important by more than six-out-of-ten voters: Fighting Terrorism (66%), Gun Laws (61%)  and Taxes (60%). The number who consider Fighting Terrorism and Taxes Very Important have not changed much over over the months. The number considering Gun Laws that important is up seven points from a month ago.

The survey found that Immigration and Job Creation are considered Very Important by 56% of voters. Somewhat lower on the list are Civil Rights (54%), Fighting Poverty (53%), Environmental Issues (52%), Economic Inequality (45%), and Abortion (41%).

There are significant partisan differences in priorities.

For Republicans, the top three issues are the National Security (82%), Economy (75%), and Immigration (73%).

For Democrats, the top three are Health Care (85%), Gun Laws (76%), and the Economy (72%).

Among Independent voters, the top issues are the Economy (73%), Health Care (72%), and National Security (68%).

The economy is the only issue considered Very Important by more than 70% of Republicans, Democrats, and Independents.

Health care, National Security, and Fighting Terrorism are seen as that important by at least 60% of those in each partisan category.

Job Creation and Gun Laws are the only other issues are seen as most important by a majority of each partisan group.

ScottRasmussen.com provides weekly update on economic confidence. We provide updates ate least twice monthly on health care and  immigration,

See full crosstab Results for the current survey.

Data released earlier showed that Republicans are trusted more than Democrats on the issues of the economy and national security. Democrats have the edge on health care. On immigration and gun laws voters are evenly divided as to who they trust.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the newsWe also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 18-19, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Biden 44% Sanders 38%; Warren 41% Biden 39%

The ScottRasmussen.com daily tracking poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden as the frontrunner in the race for the Democratic nomination. Our polling also shows consistently that Senators Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and Kamala Harris remain in the top-tier. Recognizing that things could tighten up as the field narrows, we asked about head-to-head match-ups among the leading candidates:

Interestingly, no one candidate “wins” a match-up against all three of their top contenders:

  • Biden 44% Sanders 38%
  • Biden 42% Harris 38%
  • Warren 41% Biden 39%
  • Sanders 42% Harris 35%
  • Sanders 43% Warren 37%
  • Harris 38% Warren 33%

Biden and Sanders each lead in two of the three match-ups while Warren and Harris each lead in one.

These numbers have shifted some since July, but still convey the sense that there is no clear favorite at the moment.

Data released earlier showed that 77% of Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents would be satisfied or excited  with Warren as their party’s presidential nominee. Seventy-six percent (76%) say the same about Biden. At this point, 70% would be satisfied with Sanders and 65% with Harris. These numbers suggest that Democrats are currently prepared to unite behind whichever candidate is selected to challenge President Trump.

The president’s job approval rating (updated daily) has also remained stable throughout the year. Despite that stability, the number who believe it’s  likely that the president will be re-elected has grown every month. In August, 63% say President Trump is at least somewhat likely to be re-elected, up from 46% in February.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the newsWe also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 909 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted August 16-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results for the full sample have a 3.4 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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37% Believe Border Patrol Tactics Too Harsh; 37% Say Too Lenient

When it comes to enforcing immigration laws, voters are evenly divided as to whether the United States Border Patrol is too harsh or too lenient on illegal immigrants. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 37% of voters select each option while 27% are not sure.

This is a significant change from last November when 25% believed the Border Patrol was too harsh and 43% said the enforcement policies are too lenient.

Currently, 68% of Republicans believe the Border Patrol is too lenient while 62% of Democrats believe it is too harsh. Among Independent voters, 35% say too harsh and 28% too lenient (see crosstab results).

Republican views have changed little since last fall. However, the number of Democrats considering the policies too harsh has jumped 22 points. Among Independents, it has jumped 14 points.

By a 45% to 28% margin, white voters tend to see the policies as too lenient. Most black (58%) and Hispanic (57%) voters take the opposite view.

Overall, eight-out-of-ten voters tend to believe that legal immigration is good for American and a similar number believe illegal immigration is bad.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the news. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 9-10, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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56% Want U.S. To Remain Neutral in Hong Kong Protests; 33% Say We Should Support Protestors

Fifty-six percent (56%) of U.S. voters believe the United States should remain neutral in the confrontation between China and Hong Kong protesters. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 33% believe the U.S. should support the protesters and 10% think we should support the government.

Eighty-four percent (84%) are concerned about the possibility that this situation will escalate into a more violent confrontation between protesters and the Chinese military.

Still, just 43% are following news about the protests even somewhat closely. Only 13% are following the news Very Closely.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the news.
We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 14-15, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Just 21% Know That BDS Movement is Opposed to Israel

Just 21% of voters nationwide know that the Boycott, Divest, and Sanction Movement (BDS) is intended to oppose Israel. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 8% mistakenly believe that the movement is supportive of Israel. Seventy-one percent (71%) have either never heard of the BDS movement or don’t know enough to have an opinion.

Congresswomen Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar were recently denied the right to enter Israel. Both are Muslim and both support the BDS movement. Thirty-eight percent (38%) of U.S. voters supported the denial of entry while 42% were opposed.

However, when informed that the BDS movement opposed Israel, that Congress has voted to condemn it, and that  the two Congresswomen support BDS, support for Israel’s position increased. Forty-three percent (43%) of voters supported the decision while 27% were opposed and 29% not sure.

Republicans supported Israel by a 62% to 17% margin and Independents favored it 43% to 25%. Democrats tended to oppose the decision by a 40% to 28% margin (see crosstab results).

Overall, 61% of voters have a favorable opinion of Israel while 39% voice an unfavorable view. Seventy-five percent (75%) of Republicans have a favorable opinion of that nation along with 61% of Independent voters. Democrats are evenly divided: 49% favorable, 51% unfavorable.

Just 29% believe U.S. policy should support Israel while 5% want our nation to support the Palestinians. Nineteen percent (19%) think we should support both while 24% say neither.

Thirty-three percent (33%) believe Republicans are more supportive of Israel than Democrats while 16% say the opposite. Seventeen percent (17%) think both parties are supportive, 7% say neither, and 28% are not sure.

Seventy-three percent (73%) believe antisemitism is a serious problem is the United States today.

The initial question about support or opposition for Israel’s decision was asked using a split sample approach. Half the sample was told President Trump had encouraged the country to do so. The other half was not. The results were not substantially different and have been reported on an aggregate basis.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
* We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the news.

 

* We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 15-16, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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30% Believe It’s Appropriate For Congressmen to Release Names of Trump Supporters in Their District

Just 30% of voters nationwide believe it is appropriate for members of Congress to release the names, addresses, and employers of people in their District who contributed to Donald Trump’s campaign. Rep. Joaquin Castro (D-TX) tweeted out such a donor list last week. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 52% consider it inappropriate and 18% are not sure.

By a 62% to 26% margin, Republicans believe such behavior is inappropriate. Independent voters, by a 55% to 22% margin, agree.

Democrats, however, are evenly divided. Thirty-nine percent (39%) believe it is acceptable behavior while 41% say it is not (see crosstab results).

Among all voters, 71% believe it is at least somewhat likely that anti-Trump activists will harass people on the list. Seventy-two percent (72%) believe the activists will boycott the employers of people who have given to the president’s campaign.

Perhaps showing that every political action generates an opposite (but not necessarily equal) reaction, 82% believe Trump supporters are likely to support the employers of people who have given to the president’s campaign.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
* We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the news.
* We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted August 13-14, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Most Americans Believe Medicare for All Will Increase Middle Class Taxes

Many Democratic presidential candidates support policies like Medicare for All, the Green New Deal and Universal Basic Income. But what do Americans think about those proposed initiatives? According to new Job Creators Network and ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse polling, a strong majority of Americans believe these policies will result in tax hikes on the middle class.

More specifically, 74 percent of respondents say middle class taxes are likely to go up as a result of Medicare for All, 61 percent say the same for the Green New Deal and 64 percent believe the same for Universal Basic Income. Similarly, 69 percent, 57 percent and 62 percent respectively believe their personal taxes will increase as a result of those policies.

Additionally, supporters of Medicare for All often argue that the financial savings on medical expenses induced by the government program will surpass individual monetary losses from tax increases. However, 62 percent of Americans say that’s unlikely to happen.

“Proposed government programs like Medicare for All, the Green New Deal and Universal Basic Income will cost trillions of dollars and that money doesn’t grow on trees,” said Elaine Parker, President of the Job Creators Network Foundation. “It’s clear a majority of Americans know this to be true; if only current presidential candidates did as well.”

The new data also reveals 56 percent of Americans rate the economy as either “excellent” or “good”—a 10-month peak.

For historic data on these economic questions visit: https://polls.jcnf.org/

Download full crosstabs of this week’s questions: https://www.jobcreatorsnetwork.com/app/uploads/2019/08/JCN-Crosstabs-August-12-13-2019.xlsx

This ScottRasmussen.com/HarrisX poll of 1,074 US adults was conducted August 12-13, 2019. For more information about the Job Creators Network please visitwww.JobCreatorsNetwork.com

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Few Offended by What Some See as Cultural Appropriation

Twenty-one percent (21%) of voters would be offended by White people wearing Native American costumes for Halloween. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 70% would not be offended and 10% are not sure.

Other items considered by some to be cultural appropriation are considered offensive by fewer voters:

  • White actors playing characters that were originally another race would offend 17%
  • White people wearing traditional attire of other races would offend 16%
  • Straight actors playing roles representing members of the LBGTQ community would offend 14%
  • A professional sports team with a name like Redskins or Seminoles would offend 13%
  • Non-white actors playing characters that were originally white would offend 12%
  • White Americans Running a Mexican Restaurant would offend 11%
  • Men running a Women’s Fashion Store would offend 10%
  • Hispanic Americans Running a Chinese Restaurant would offend 10%
  • Black Americans Running an Italian Restaurant would offend 9%

In general, younger voters are more likely than their elders to be offended by such practices (see crosstab results).

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
* We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the news. 
* We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 9-10, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Epstein and The Reality of 21st Century Politics

The death of Jeffrey Epstein highlights an important reality underlying 21st century American politics.

Just 36% of American adults believe the official story that Epstein committed suicide. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 30% think he was murdered while 34% are not sure. As if that skepticism isn’t enough, 9% think it’s Very Likely Epstein faked his death, escaped prison, and is alive somewhere.

Some might chalk that up to a nation that has seen too many TV shows like Stranger Things where the authorities present a fake body as part of a larger cover-up. However, people are open to such conspiracies because they have so little trust in government.

Just 19% of voters today trust the federal government to do the right thing most of the time. Forty-two percent (42%) rarely or never trust it. The rest are sometimes willing to give the feds the benefit of the doubt.

This is not the result of the Obama Administration or the Trump Administration. It has been building for a very long time. In fact, it’s been 47 years since a majority of voters have trusted the government most of the time.

That distrust has opened a strong disconnect between what is happening in the political world and what is happening in the rest of the country.

Another recent ScottRasmussen.com poll highlighted just how wide the gap has become. Other things being equal, just 28% of voters nationwide would prefer a presidential candidate whose main policy positions are in the political mainstream. In other words, voters are looking for someone who will shake up the political status quo rather than support it.

That makes sense when you realize that 53% of voters nationwide believe that our country is doing okay, but the political system is in a crisis. Most voters aren’t looking for the political system to save the country, they are hoping the government doesn’t drag the nation down.

The recognition that there is a difference between the country and its government is one of the most important and ignored realities in politics today. Government certainly has a role to play in the country—a big role in fact. But, just 14% of voters believe it’s the lead role.

Only 13% believe governing is the responsibility of government alone. The rest recognize that every relationship and organization—including families, businesses, and civic groups– plays a role in making society work.

While politicians dream of sweeping new programs that will be their personal legacy, 73% of voters prefer that the government implement gradual and modest changes to address specific problems.

It’s not that Americans are resistant to change. When thinking about the country as a whole—including the government, private sector, and popular culture—45% believe change is happening too slowly while just 20% say it’s coming too fast.

But voters prefer bottom-up change from the culture rather than top-down change from Washington. That’s partly because 60% recognize that Americans have more power acting as consumers than they do as voters. Only 13% believe they have more control through the political process.

In an era of such deep distrust, it might be wise for candidates to focus on how to make the government more trustworthy rather than more powerful. At the very least, they should find a way to convince voters that the failures of the political system won’t eventually drag the nation down.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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39% See Woodstock Legacy As Mixed, 34% Say It Was a Positive Event

Fifty years ago today, the Woodstock Music Festival began at Yasgur’s farm near Bethel, New York.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 39% of adults believe that, in terms of U.S. history, the Woodstock Festival had both negative and positive elements. Thirty-four percent (34%) view it primarily as a positive event while 8% say negative.

Americans who are 65 today would have been 15 at the time of the Woodstock Festival. The views of those 65 and older are generally similar to the population at large. Forty-five percent (45%) see a mixed legacy, 31% a positive impact and 7% negative.

Overall, just 34% of Americans are following news about the 50th anniversary even somewhat closely. Just 10% are following it Very Closely.

There is somewhat less interest among senior citizens. Just 24% of those old enough to remember are following the 50th anniversary even somewhat closely. Only 3% are following it Very Closely.

Seventy-eight percent (78%) believe Woodstock played a significant role in the evolution of music festivals.

In the twenty-first century, 18% believe the Coachella Music Festival most closely resembles Woodstock while 14% say Lollapalooza. However, 14% say none can compare and 39% are not sure.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

We provide daily updates on topics in the news, the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues.

Sign up to receive Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update email. You can also follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,075 Adults was conducted August 12-13, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.0 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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If Gov’t Bans Private Health Insurance, 54% Believe They Should Buy Out Insurance Company Shareholders

Medicare for All proposals made by Bernie Sanders and others would ban private health insurance in the United States. If such plans were implemented, 54% of voters believe the government should buy out the shareholders of existing health insurance companies. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 10% believe the government should simply force the companies into bankruptcy.

A majority of all ages share this view, although younger voters are somewhat more willing to simply force the companies into bankruptcy. Most Republicans and Democrats agree as well, along with 48% of Independent voters (see crosstab results).

It is unclear how expensive it would be to buy out the shareholders of the nation’s health insurance companies. However, 13% of voters own shares in health insurance companies. Another 18% may have such shares in their investment portfolio or retirement accounts.

This research was conducted using a split sample technique. Half the sample heard the question asked in one way and half another. The distinction had no significant impact on the results (see question wording and full crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com conducts surveys on health care topics at least twice a month.  The results consistently show high levels of opposition to banning private health insurance companies. The latest numbers show that 60% say they favor a a single-payer national health insurance plan. However, only 16% believe every American should be forced to use it.

These attitudes have generally held steady over the past year. Voters consistently express a preference for more choice and less politics in health care. Insurance coverage that restricts choice is considered “junk insurance” by a solid majority of voters. These preferences are part of a broad recognition that Americans have more power acting as consumers rather than voters.

Eighty-percent (80%) of voters favor providing financial assistance to people who cannot afford health insurance or medical care. However, only 46% believe such assistance should come from the federal government.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval, the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the news. You can sign up to receive daily email.
We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted August 10-11, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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30% Believe Epstein Murdered, 36% Believe Suicide, 34% Not Sure

Thirty-six percent (36%) of U.S. Adults believe Jeffrey Epstein committed suicide. However, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 30% believe the notorious villain was murdered and 34% are not sure.

In fact, some aren’t convinced Epstein is even dead. Nine percent (9%) say it is Very Likely Epstein faked his death and escaped prison. Another 10% believe that is somewhat likely.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of white Americans believe Epstein committed suicide. That view is shared by just 29% of black Americans and 25% of Hispanic Americans. Liberals (44%) are more likely than conservatives (34%) or moderates (33%) to accept the official explanation of suicide (see crosstab results).

The lack of confidence in the official storyline is no doubt generated by the extraordinary circumstances of Epstein’s unusual connections with rich and influential figures around the world. It is also fueled by a generations long distrust of the federal government. It has now been nearly half-a-century since most Americans trusted the federal government most of the time.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

We provide daily updates on topics in the news, the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues.

Sign up to receive Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update email. You can also follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,075 Adults was conducted August 12-13, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.0 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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20% Believe Restaurant Owners Should Be Allowed To Refuse Service To Those With Different Political Views

Twenty percent (20%) of voters nationwide believe restaurant and hotel owners should be allowed to refuse service for those with different political views. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 69% disagree and 11% are not sure.

Twenty-nine percent (29%) of urban residents believe restaurant and hotel owners should be allowed to refuse service over political differences. That perspective is shared by 18% of rural voters and 15% of suburban voters.

Among those who approve of Donald Trump, 27% believe such refusal of service should be allowed. Among those who disapprove of the present, just 13% agree (see crosstab results).

When asked about specific groups of people, 19% said it would be legally and morally acceptable for a retail business owner to deny service to illegal immigrants. Additionally, 13% to 15% said it would be legally and morally acceptable to refuse service for Trump Supporters, Christians, Atheists, the poor, Members of the LGBTQ community, Opponents of Donald Trump, White people and Black people.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily releases on events in the news, the race for the Democratic presidential nomination the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. Sign up for daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 6-7, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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73% Want Gradual and Modest Political Change; 27% Want Fed Gov’t to Transform Nation

To solve the problems facing the United States, 73% of voters believe we should build upon the many strengths of our Constitutional system while making gradual and modest changes to address specific problems. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 27% disagree and see our Constitutional system as deeply flawed. They want the federal government to fundamentally transform the economy and our nation.

Gradual and modest change is preferred by 83% of Republicans, 76% of Independents, and 61% of Democrats. It’s also supported by 90% of senior citizens and 59% of voters under 35 (see crosstab results).

While voters want gradual and modest change in the political arena, the same is not true for the country. When thinking about the country as a whole—including the government, private sector, and popular culture—45% believe change is happening too slowly while just 20% say it’s coming too fast. Seventeen percent (17%) say the rate of change is about right and 18% are not sure.

Voters may be more comfortable with societal change rather than political change because 60% recognize that Americans have more power acting as consumers than they do as voters. Only 13% believe they have more control through the political process.

Voters also tend to have more faith in society than politics. Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide believe that our country is doing okay, but the political system is in crisis. That may be one reason just 28% of voters would prefer a presidential candidate whose main policy positions are in the political mainstream.

In The Sun Is Still RisingScott Rasmussen explains why he is optimistic about the nation’s future despite deep pessimism about it’s political system.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily releases on events in the news, the race for the Democratic presidential nomination the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. Sign up for daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 7-8, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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53% Say United States Doing Okay, But Our Political System is in Crisis

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide believe that our country is doing okay, but the political system is in crisis. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 39% believe the country is in a crisis. Another 8% don’t think either the country or the political system is in crisis.

Most Democrats (53%) believe our country is in a crisis. Most Republicans (67%) and Independent voters (52%) believe the country is okay but the political system is in crisis (see crosstab results).

Most men (58%) believe the country is doing okay despite our political system. Women are evenly divided: 48% say the country is doing okay while 46% believe it is in a crisis.

Still, among those who believe the country is okay even if our political system is not, there is some concern. Nearly half of them (44%) think that the failures of the political system will eventually drag the nation down. Twenty-five percent (25%) take the opposite view and believe the country and culture will eventually bring about a better political system. Thirty-one percent (31%) don’t expect anything to change. They think the nation will do okay even with a dysfunctional political system.

Data released earlier showed that just 28% of voters nationwide would prefer a presidential candidate whose main policy positions are in the political mainstream. A larger number–43%– would prefer someone whose views  are out of the mainstream.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily releases on events in the news, the race for the Democratic presidential nomination the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. Sign up for daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 7-8, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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42% Say 2nd Amendment Right to Bear Arms is Absolutely Essential; 14% Say Not At All Important

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters nationwide believe the Second Amendment Right to Bear Arms is Absolutely Essential and another 23% consider it Very Important.  A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 21% consider it Somewhat Important and 14% say it’s Not at All Important.

Those figures reflect a modest drop in support compared to six months ago. In February, 50% considered the right to bear arms as Absolutely Essential and 10% said it was Not at All Important.

Sign up to receive daily email updates.

Following mass shootings in El Paso and Dayton, 10% of voters now consider gun laws the most important issue facing the nation. When it comes to addressing the issue, 32% trust Democrats, 31% Republicans, and 22% neither. Voters strongly support modest restrictions on gun purchases and 31% believe private ownership of guns should be banned.

As in previous surveys, Freedom of Speech is considered the most important right guaranteed to Americans. Seventy percent (70%) of voters consider it Absolutely Essential. Freedom of Religion is a close second at 68% and nothing else is considered Absolutely Essential by more than 60%.

Exploring the issue from a different perspective, 39% believe Freedom of Speech is the most important right confirmed in the Bill of Rights. 17% believe Freedom of Religion is most important while 12% say the Right to Bear Arms.

However, the Right to Bear Arms also topped the list as the least important–30% of voters held that view. Freedom of the Press was viewed least important by 18% and the Right to Peaceably Assemble and Protest is least important for 14%.

When it comes to creating and maintaining a healthy political system, 77% of voters believe freedom of speech is Very Important. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 76% believe having political leaders who respect voters is that important.

From a list of 15 possible components of a healthy political system, only two other items were deemed Very Important by more than seven-out-of-ten voters: checks and balances between branches of government (73%) and freedom of religion (71%).

Another survey found that 64% believe freedom is more important than democracy.

 

ScottRasmussen.com currently tracks the race for the Democratic nomination on a daily basis. New releases issued every weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. We also provide daily releases on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. You can sign up to receive daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 8-9, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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38% Know Earth Was Warmer During Medieval Times; 67% Say Coastal Cities May Be Wiped Out in Decade

Just 38% of voters nationwide know that during Medieval times, the earth’s climate was generally warmer than it is today. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 62% mistakenly believe the opposite.

Forty-three percent (43%) of Independent voters are aware that the earth was warmer during Medieval time. So are 42% of Republicans and 31% of Democrats.

The survey also found that 67% think it’s at least somewhat likely that rising oceans will wipe out America’s coastal communities within a decade or so. That total include 26% who say it’s Very Likely.

Voters under 50 are more likely than their elders to believe America’s coastal cities are about to be wiped out. Thirty-six percent (36%) of these younger voters consider such an outcome to be Very Likely. Among senior citizens, just 12% hold that view.

Data released earlier shows that, if the climate continues to get warmer, 65% of voters believe people are likely to move to places with cooler climates. Still, just 23% believe the overall impact would be good for places that gain a milder climate. Forty-three percent (43%) believe the results would be bad.

See information on Medieval temperatures.

ScottRasmussen.com currently tracks the race for the Democratic nomination on a daily basis. New releases issued every weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. We also provide daily releases on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. You can sign up to receive daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 3-4, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Just 28% Want Presidential Candidate With Policy Positions in the Political Mainstream

Other things being equal, 28% of voters nationwide would prefer a presidential candidate whose main policy positions are in the political mainstream. However, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that a larger number–43%– would prefer someone whose views  are out of the mainstream. Twenty-eight percent (28%) are not sure.

This is but the latest evidence voters see a strong disconnect between what is happening in the political world and what is happening in the rest of the country.

Thirty-six percent (36%) of Democrats prefer a candidate with mainstream political views. So do 26% of Republicans and 23% of Independents (see crosstab results). Voters aged 35-64 are less interested in a mainstream candidate that younger voters or senior citizens.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of voters nationwide believe former Vice President Joe Biden’s main policy positions are in the political mainstream. Data released earlier showed that just 46% say the same about President Trump’s positions.

Other Democratic contenders have numbers similar to the president’s. Forty-eight percent (48%) say Senator Elizabeth Warren’s views are in the mainstream and 47% say the same about the views of both Senator Bernie Sanders and Senator Kamala Harris.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily releases on events in the news, the race for the Democratic presidential nomination the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. Sign up for daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 7-8, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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88% Favor Red Flag Laws, 31% Believe Private Gun Ownership Should Be Banned

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of voters favor a legal process that protects individual rights but empowers police to take guns from people credibly reported to be public threats or mentally unstable. A new ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that only 12% disagree.

The public support for “Red Flag Laws” is little changed since last fall. It is found among every major age and ethnic group in the country. Ninety-two percent (92%) of Democrats favor the idea along with 89% of Independents and 82% of Republicans (see crosstab results).

Following the horrific news from El Paso and Dayton, support in Congress may be growing. On Monday, President Trump declared  “We must make sure that those judged to pose a grave risk to public safety do not have access to firearms and that if they do those firearms can be taken through rapid due process.”

While it was not explored in the survey, there is likely to be significant disagreement about the specific details of what constitutes an appropriate legal process that protects individual rights. There will also be substantial distrust between those who want to end or severely limit gun ownership and those who defend the Second Amendment. But the broad support for the concept indicates a strong public desire to find the right balance. This may be a case where different states try different approaches to determine best practices.

Other survey results show that 81% of voters believe it is currently too easy to buy a gun. Ninety-two percent (92%) support modest restrictions on buying guns such as background checks and waiting periods. However, just 39% think such modest restrictions would significantly reduce the number of gun-related deaths in America. Those beliefs are little changed from a year ago.

Fifty percent (50%) of Democrats say modest restrictions would significantly reduce the number of gun deaths in America. That view is shared by 38% of Independent voters and 29% of Republicans. Those who live in urban areas are far more likely than suburban or rural residents to believe such restrictions would have a significant impact.

Forty-nine percent (49%) believe that someone seeking to buy a gun should be required to first get permission from the government and explain why they need it.

Thirty-one percent (31%) believe the United States should ban private ownership of guns so that only the military, police, and other government officials are allowed to carry guns. That’s up from 23% a year ago.

Still, most voters (56%) would feel safer living in a community where people are free to own guns rather than a community where guns are outlawed.

Only 12% of voters recognize that most gun deaths are suicides.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily releases on events in the news, the race for the Democratic presidential nomination the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. Sign up for daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 6-7, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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65% Believe Global Warming Will Lead People to Move to Cooler Climates

If the climate continues to get warmer, 65% of voters believe it is likely that more people will move to places with cooler climates such as Canada, Maine, and Montana. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 35% don’t expect that to happen.

Those figures include 21% who see such migration as Very Likely and 5% who consider it Not at All Likely.

In a rare occurrence, both those who approve of President Trump’s performance and those who disapprove see the likelihood of people moving north at 65%.

Still, just 23% believe the overall impact would be good for places that gain a milder climate. Forty-three percent (43%) believe the results would be bad. Twelve percent (12%) don’t think it would have much of an impact and 23% are not sure.

By a 54% to 18% margin, Democrats believe the impact of a warmer climate would be bad even in places that would experience milder weather. Republicans are less convinced, but lean in the same direction by a 37% to 26% margin. Independent voters offer an assessment in between the two parties: 36% believe warming would be bad for places that experience milder weather while 20% believe it would be good (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com currently tracks the race for the Democratic nomination on a daily basis. New releases issued every weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. We also provide daily releases on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. You can sign up to receive daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 3-4, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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More shootings, more helpless, hopeless feelings

Horrific, sickening, tragic. Those were the words I used to describe the news from Las Vegas two years ago — the scene of the worst mass shooting in American history. Since then, those words have come to my mind again and again: Parkland. Pittsburgh. And now Dayton and El Paso.

But none of them really capture the reality that such acts are utterly beyond comprehension. Each of these despicable acts of violence was followed by days of officials seeking a motive, but no rational motives can possibly exist. Whatever makes killers take 29 lives in less than 24 hours only makes sense in some delusional world most humans can’t come close to understanding.

After the words and the images sink in, it still doesn’t seem real. But we want to know why! Who or what can we blame? What can we do to prevent this sort of thing from ever happening again?

That’s when the hopelessness sets in. We want an easy answer, but there aren’t any. In fact, while it’s hard to admit, there probably aren’t any answers at all. It’s happened before and will happen again. Humans have done terrible and sickening and horrific things to others throughout recorded history.

This journey was partially described by statistician Leah Libresco in a Washington Post column following the Las Vegas shooting. Previously, the gun-control advocate had been involved with a project documenting the reality of gun deaths in the United States.

Her team found that 63 percent of gun deaths involved suicides. Most of these deaths involved older men. The biggest group of homicides involved young men, generally those who were involved with gang or criminal activity. On top of that, roughly 1,700 women were murdered, generally as a result of domestic abuse.

As she explored the data looking for answers, Libresco admitted, “the policies I’d lobbied for crumbled when I examined the evidence.” The more complex reality showed that passing new laws might make some people feel good, but it would not reduce gun violence. In the end, Libresco “found the most hope in more narrowly tailored interventions.” These solutions focused on the underlying causes, rather than the guns.

Unfortunately, in the aftermath of events like Dayton and El Paso, few people engage in the sort of careful analysis that Libresco offered. Instead, most of us respond in a visceral way. We can’t make sense of what happened, and we hate the fact that there’s nothing we can do to help. We want to get rid of that sickening feeling by believing that there is a silver lining to be found. Maybe, just maybe, we think, this is the time we will learn how to prevent this from ever happening again.

You can see this trend in the data. My polling found, for example, that 92 percent of Americans support modest restrictions on the ability to purchase guns such as waiting periods and background checks. However, just 38 percent believe such modest restrictions would actually reduce the number of gun-related deaths in America. Even supporters see these laws as futile gestures.

Researchers Jillian Peterson and James Densley of the Violence Project have studied every mass shooting in America since 1966. When it comes to laws to prevent shooters from buying guns, they found, “In 80 percent of school shootings, perpetrators got their weapons from family members, according to our data.” Of the remaining 20 percent, Some simply acquired them illegally — still more evidence of how difficult it will be to find a workable, pragmatic solution to the mass shooting crisis.

Like everyone else, I desperately want to find that silver lining. I never again want to experience another weekend like this past one. But, like Libresco, Peterson and Densley, I know that there are no magical cures or silver linings. It breaks my heart to tell people that the data shows their pet solution won’t solve anything, but that is the reality we must face.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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48% Know That Democratic Presidential Debates Were Held Last Week

Just 48% of voters nationwide know that round two of the Democratic presidential debates were held last week. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 19% believe they will take place in the next week or two while 33% are not sure.

Not surprisingly, younger voters were less aware than their elders about the debate timing. The total who know that the debates have already taken place includes 47% of Republicans, 47% of Democrats, and 52% of Independents (see crosstab results).

Ten percent (10%) of all voters say they watched most of the debates live on CNN.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters think it’s a good idea to let the television networks run the debates. Eighteen percent (18%) think it’s a bad idea, 21% say neither good nor bad, and 14% are not sure.

The debates had little immediate impact on the poll results. Joe Biden remains the frontrunner with a double digit lead.

ScottRasmussen.com currently tracks the race for the Democratic nomination on a daily basis. New releases issued every weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. We also provide daily releases on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. You can sign up to receive daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 2-3, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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38% Believe Background Checks Would Significantly Reduce Number of Gun Deaths

Ninety-two percent (92%) of Registered Voters nationwide believe there should be modest restrictions on the ability to purchase guns such as waiting periods and background checks. However, just 38% of voters believe such modest restrictions would significantly reduce the number of gun related deaths in America.

Twenty-eight percent (28%) of all voters believe the United States should ban private ownership of guns so that only the military, police, and other government officials are allowed to carry guns.

Nearly two-thirds (63%) of all gun-related deaths in the United States are the result of suicide.

However, only 11% of voters recognize that reality. Forty-one percent (41%) mistakenly believe gang violence results in more gun deaths than anything else. While gang violence takes a significant toll, it accounts for approximately one-out-of-five gun related deaths. That’s one-third the number of gun deaths by suicide.

Twenty-seven percent (27%) mistakenly think mass shootings are the primary cause of gun deaths. While these shootings are horrific and receive a tremendous amount of coverage, they account for less than 1% of gun deaths each year.

 

Posted in Deeper Currents

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47% Say They Will Definitely Vote Against President Trump in 2020

Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters say they will definitely vote against President Trump in 2020. That number almost matches the president’s job approval rating which has held steady for more than six months around the 46% level. Like the approval rating, the latest ScottRasmussen.com national survey shows that the number committed to voting against the president has remained stable since  March.

If these two numbers remain steady throughout 2020, this pair of numbers suggests that we could see another very close election.

The survey also found that swing voters would be more likely to vote for the president if Democrats nominate a progressive candidate rather than a centrist. Thirty-six percent (36%) expect the Democrats to nominate a progressive candidate while 23% expect a more centrist option. Forty-one percent (41%) are not sure. Compared to our March survey, the expectations of a progressive candidate have declined five points. The number who expect to see a conservative candidate has grown by seven.

Currently, Joe Biden leads in the race for the Democratic nomination (see daily polling updates on the race). He is considered one of the more moderate candidates in the race. As the Democratic campaign has heated up, the number of voters believing President Trump will be re-elected has increased significantly.

If the Democrats nominate a very progressive Democrat who embraces Socialism and the Green New Deal. By a 46% to 23% margin, uncommitted voters say such a nominee would make them more likely to vote for the president.

On the other hand, if the Democrats nominate a centrist candidate who embraces America’s capitalist system and rejects progressive policies like the Green New Deal, the president doesn’t benefit as much. In that case, 39% of uncommitted voters would be more likely to vote for Trump and 32% for the Democrat.

In both cases, the benefit for the president is somewhat smaller than it was in March.

See full question wording and crosstab results.

ScottRasmussen.com currently tracks the race for the Democratic nomination on a daily basis. New releases issued every weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. Sign up to receive daily email updates.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot along with regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 31-August 1, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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72% Say Biden’s Political Views Are Mainstream; 46% Say Same About Trump

Seventy-two percent (72%) of voters nationwide believe former Vice President Joe Biden’s main policy positions are in the political mainstream. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 46% say the same about President Trump’s positions.

Other Democratic contenders have numbers similar to the president’s. Forty-eight percent (48%) say Senator Elizabeth Warren’s views are in the mainstream and 47% say the same about the views of both Senator Bernie Sanders and Senator Kamala Harris.

However, it is far from clear that having mainstream political views is an asset to many voters. Among those who approve of President Trump, nearly a third (31%) think his policy views are out of the political mainstream. Thirty-five percent (35%) of the most conservative voters agree.

On the other side of the aisle, 47% of the most liberal voters believe that Sanders’s views are out of the mainstream. Nearly as many say the same about Warren (44%) and Harris (38%).  However, very liberal voters overwhelmingly believe Biden’s views are mainstream: 85% hold that view (see crosstab results).

The survey also asked about the tone and style of each candidate. The results were very similar to responses about each candidate’s policy positions.

As with many things in political life, definition of the political mainstream likely differs from person to person. In 2016, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was seen as the more mainstream candidate. For many voters, that was reason enough to vote against her.

ScottRasmussen.com currently tracks the race for the Democratic nomination on a daily basis. New releases issued every weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. Sign up to receive daily email updates.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot along with regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 1-2, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Gabbard, Booker Gain Ground During Debate Week, Biden Dropped

Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard was the biggest winner of the Democratic debate week. The Representative from Hawaii went from 0% support in our baseline poll to 3% in our Friday night poll (see our latest numbers).

On the night before her appearance in the second round of debates, Gabbard did not win the vote of a single survey respondent. But, she jumped to 2% support on the Wednesday night to Thursday morning poll. Nearly three-quarters of the interviews for that survey (73%) were collected following the debate. Twelve percent (12%) were collected during the debate.

In our Thursday night to Friday morning poll, Gabbard’s support inched up to 3%. All interviews for that survey were collected following the debate.

ScottRasmussen.com will release another update on the Democratic race Monday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. That will be based upon interviews collected from Friday night to Monday morning. It will be interesting to see if Gabbard retains her newly won support.

As for other contenders Senator Cory Booker gained two points compared to our baseline poll (from 1% to 3%). Former Vice President Joe Biden dropped four points. No other candidate gained or lost more than a point.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Democrats 2020 Update: 86% of Interviews for Tonight’s Release Completed Post-Debate

Tonight at 5:00 p.m. Eastern, ScottRasmussen.com will release our daily update on the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination.

This update will show the initial impact of the Democratic debates in Detroit. It will also be compared against our baseline poll to measure the impact of the debates. PredictIt is using tonight’s release to resolve their debate tournament.

For clarity, all of the interviews for tonight’s update were collected AFTER the first night of the Detroit debate.

Additionally, approximately 86% of the interviews will have been collected AFTER the second night of the debate. About 12% were collected DURING the second night’s debate and 2% BEFORE that debate.

 

Posted in Deeper Currents

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18% Say Federal Government Responsible for Solving Inner-City Problems

Eighteen percent (18%) of voters nationwide believe the federal government should be primarily responsible for solving the most serious problems facing inner-cities. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 62% believe the primary responsibility for fixing the cities is to be found within the city itself–city governments (38%), city residents (20%), or local businesses (4%).

The view that locals should be primarily responsible for addressing inner-city problems is shared by 64% of suburban voters, 61% of rural voters, and 60% of urban voters (see crosstab results).

The survey found that 19% of voters generally rate the conditions of inner cities as good or excellent. Forty-one percent (41%) say fair and 40% poor. However, 78% believe most inner cities have sections that are overwhelmed with poverty and crime.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) believe that city governments, residents, and businesses are primarily responsible for creating the problem.

However, while believing local participants should take the lead in solving the problems, 77% of voters at least somewhat support the idea of federal help. Thirty-three percent (33%) Strongly Favor having the federal government launch major new programs to help solve inner-city problems. No descriptions of programs or associated costs were provided.

To improve inner-city life, 74% believe more jobs are Very Important and 72% say the same about better public education. Forty-six percent (46%) believe more police would be Very Important, 45% named more civic group involvement, 41% more public transportation, and 31% more religious group involvement.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 30-31, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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34% See Biden Rhetoric As Unifying; 28% Say Divisive

Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters nationwide consider former Vice President Joe Biden’s rhetoric to be uplifting and unifying. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found 28% take the opposite view and find it polarizing and divisive. Twenty-five percent (25%) say it’s neither, 3% have not heard of Biden and 10% are not sure.

A narrow plurality of voters find three other leading candidates to be more polarizing than unifying. Senator Bernie Sanders’ rhetoric is seen as divisive by 34% and unifying by 31%. For Senator Kamala Harris, the numbers are 30% divisive and 24% unifying. As for Senator Elizabeth Warren, 31% say divisive and 26% unifying.

Among Democrats only, 52% see Biden’s rhetoric as uplifting and unifying (see crosstab results). The numbers are slightly lower for Sanders (46%), Warren (45%), and Harris (43%).

Data released earlier showed that 53% of voters consider President Trump’s rhetoric to be polarizing and divisive. Forty-three percent (43%) say the same about both House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

This survey of Democratic presidential hopefuls was conducted prior to the second round of Democratic presidential debates.

ScottRasmussen.com is releasing new polling on the race for the nomination each weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. Additionally, we regularly update data on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 27-28, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Extravagant Candidate Promises

Senator Elizabeth Warren has lots of big ideas to re-design the United States. She dreams of Medicare for All, the Green New Deal, forgiving student loans, waging war on corporate America and more.

On the debate stage in Detroit, Warren pushed back when others raised doubts about her ambitious agenda: “I don’t understand why anybody goes to all the trouble of running for president of the United States just to talk about what we really can’t do and shouldn’t fight for.”

At one level, Warren’s perspective makes a certain kind of sense. After all, unless you believed you could change the world, what’s the incentive for putting up with all the grief that goes with living in the White House? However, the logic of Warren’s comment highlights a key reason why America’s political system has become so dysfunctional.

The problem is that making such big promises is Warren’s only plausible path to winning the nomination. She needs to fire up an army of activists by convincing them she can really bring about such a sweeping agenda and remake America into a progressive utopia.

But there is virtually no chance of that happening.

At the most basic level, the promises that Warren must make to win the nomination will make it more difficult for her to defeat Donald Trump. The more appealing her plans are in places like California, the less appealing they will be in critical midwestern states like Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Minnesota.

But, even a candidate with extremely progressive views could win the White House if there’s a recession next year. That doesn’t mean that a progressive agenda will become reality. The core problem is that the views themselves are unpopular:

·       Only 18% of voters share Warren’s enthusiasm for banning private health insurance companies.

·       Only 26% think illegal immigrants should receive health care subsidies from the federal government.

·       Fewer than one-in-five believe the threat of climate change makes it necessary to give the federal government sweeping new powers to control the economy.

The list could go on and on.

For the true believers, it will be difficult whenever the reality begins to sink in. Not surprisingly, the most committed supporters will become even more embittered about our political system.

We’ve seen this happen before during a very difficult time in our nation’s history. “A simple recipe for violence: promise a lot, deliver a little. Lead people to believe they will be much better off, but let there be no dramatic improvement.” The brilliant political scientist Aaron Wildavsky wrote these words in 1968 while America was engulfed in race riots and anti-war protests.

Sadly, Wildavsky’s words from half-a-century ago eerily describe the politics of 21st-century America. If Donald Trump wins re-election in 2020, 61% of voters nationwide think it is likely that progressive activists will respond with violence. On the other hand, 45% expect violence from right-wing activists if the president loses his bid for re-election.

While I am optimistic about America’s future, I fear that things will get worse before they get better. And a big part of the problem is candidates making extravagant promises whose only end result is the embitterment of those who believed them.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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Daily Updates for Democratic Presidential Race

With the second round of debates taking place in Detroit this week, ScottRasmussen.com will release new polling data on the race each day this week at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. You can find the latest numbers here.

Each update will be based upon a two-day rolling average and include between 850 and 900 Registered Democrats and Democratic leaning Independents.

Each daily update will measure the debate impact relative to a baseline poll released Monday afternoon.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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27% Believe They’ve Been Discriminated Against Because of Political Views

Twenty-seven percent (27%) of voters nationwide believe they have been discriminated against because of their political views. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 60% have not experienced such discrimination and 13% are not sure.

Among senior citizens, just 13% believe they have faced discrimination because of their political views. However, among voters under 35, that number is three times as high: 39%.

There are only modest partisan differences on this question. From an ideological perspective, those who are very conservative (41%) or very liberal (37%) report more discrimination than those who are moderate or only “lean” conservative or liberal.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of those who Strongly Approve of President Trump say they’ve experienced discrimination because of their views. As for those who Strongly Disapprove, just 22% say their political views have led to discrimination (see crosstab results).

Twenty-two percent (22%) of voters say that most or all of the time they’re afraid to let co-workers, friends, or neighbors know their views.  Another 25% say that happens some of the time. Just over half (53%) are rarely or never afraid of sharing their views.

Among those who Strongly Approve of President Trump, 30% are afraid most of the time. As for those who Strongly Disapprove, just 16% are that worried about sharing their political views.

Data released earlier showed that 18% of voters hold some political views that would shock their close friends and family members. And, only 19% of voters say all their close friends and family members know their important political beliefs.

Few voters consider political affiliations as an important part of their identity. Still, 20% have lost a friendship due to political differences.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted July 24-25, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Baseline for Measuring Impact of Second Democratic Debates

Yesterday, ScottRasmussen.com released new polling data on the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. Former Vice President Joe Biden remains the clear frontrunner with a 17 point lead over his nearest challenger. Regardless of who they want to win, the survey also found that 54%  of Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents expect Biden to be the party’s nominee.

We will release new data on this race every day this week to measure the impact of the second round of debates. As a reference point, here’s where things stood on Monday July 29. This is the baseline we’ll use to see who gains and loses from this round of debating.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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54% Expect Biden to Be Democratic Nominee; Same As Before First Round of Debates

Heading into the second presidential debate, 54% of Registered Democrats and Democratic leaning Independents think Joe Biden is likely to win the Democratic presidential nomination. That number is unchanged from a ScottRasmussen.com national survey conducted the night before the first round of Democratic debates.

The survey also found that 17% see Bernie Sanders as the likely nominee, 8% say Elizabeth Warren, and 5% think the winner will be Kamala Harris.  These results are broadly similar to expectations heading into the first debate as well.

Pete Buttigieg and Beto O’Rourke are each expected to win by 2%. No other candidate tops the 1% mark (see full crosstab results).

Biden currently enjoys a significant lead in the race for the Democratic nomination. leads in the primaries. Measures of Social Media Support are more fluid. Social media updates are released by ScottRasmussen.com each morning at 4:30 a.m. Eastern.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 884 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted July 27-29, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results for the full sample have a 3.4 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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New Polling on Democratic Race

Biden 32% Sanders 15% Warren 9% Harris 7%

More details here.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Our latest updates on the race for the Democratic presidential nomination can now be found here.

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83% Recognize That Federal Spending Has Doubled Over Past 30 Years

After adjusting for inflation, federal government spending has doubled since 1989. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 83% of voters recognize this to be true. Eighty-one percent (81%) also recognize that, after adjusting for inflation, federal spending has increased in 45 of the past 50 years. Sixty-two percent (62%) recognize that federal spending automatically increases every year.

However, just 57% are aware of a deceptive accounting practice used by the government to hide spending growth: If spending goes up, but growth is slower than expected, the federal government considers that to be a spending cut. Forty-three percent (43%) don’t believe that is true.

Just 24% of all voters agree that slower spending growth should be considered a spending cut. Fifty percent (50%) reject that definition and 26% are not sure.

On each of these questions there are few significant differences along partisan and demographic lines.

Other data from the survey showed that 32% of voters support the budget agreement reached by President Trump and Democratic Congressional leaders. Thirty-one percent (31%) are opposed.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 25-26, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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New Election 2020 Polls Coming Monday

On Monday morning, July 29, ScottRasmussen.com will release new polling data on the match-ups between President Trump and leading Democratic challengers.

On Monday afternoon, we will release new data on the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. This data will be used as the baseline for a PredictIt tournament (learn more about the tournament and sign up).

Posted in Deeper Currents

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32% Favor Budget Deal, 31% Opposed, 37% Not Sure

Thirty-two percent (32%) of voters nationwide favor the budget deal reached between President Trump and Democratic Congressional leaders. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 31% oppose the arrangement and 37% are not sure.

The uncertainty may stem from a lack of awareness about the details. Just 56% of voters have followed news of the event even somewhat closely. Additionally, just 53% recognize that the deal will increase federal spending and deficits. Twenty-one percent (21%) mistakenly believe it will cut spending and deficits while 26% don’t expect an impact in either direction.

The partisan response is a bit unusual. Republicans favor the deal by a 47% to 23% margin while Democrats are evenly divided: 32% in favor and 30% opposed. Normally, Independent voters fall in between the partisan responses. On this question, however, they are far more negative than either Republicans or Democrats. Just 20% of Independent voters favor the budget agreement and 48% are opposed.

These results are especially interesting because there is no significant difference between the parties in terms of understanding the deal. Fifty-five percent (55%) of Independents recognizes that it will increase spending and deficits. So do 53% of Republicans and 51% of Democrats.

From an ideological perspective, 40% of conservatives support the agreement along with 34% of liberals and 26% of moderates (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 25-26, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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18% Hold Political Views That Would Shock Friends and Family

Eighteen percent (18%) of voters hold some political views that would shock their close friends and family members. A ScottRasmussen.com national poll found that 67% don’t have any shocking views while 16% are not sure.

Nearly a third (30%) of voters under 35 think some of their views might shock friends and family. Just 7% of senior citizens say the same (see crosstab results).

Only 19% of voters say all their close friends and family members know their important political beliefs. Another 31% say most do. However, 50% say no more than half of their friends and family know their politics.

Data released earlier showed that few voters consider political affiliations as an important part of their identity. Still, the latest survey found that 20% have lost a friendship due to political differences.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted July 24-25, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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59% See Illegal Immigrants As National Security Threat; 53% Think They Reduce Wages for U.S. Workers

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters nationwide believe immigrants who enter the country illegally represent a potential national security threat to the United States. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that view is shared by 86% of Republicans, 58% of Independents, and 38% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

Along with health care and the economy, immigration and national security consistently rank as top issues among voters. A large number of surveys conducted over the past year show that eight-out-of-ten voters consider legal immigration good for the country. At the same time, eight-out-of-ten consistenly consider illegal immigration to be bad. As a result, most voters support a wide range of measures to limit or prevent illegal immigration.

The latest survey also found that 53% believe that immigrants who enter the country illegally for temporary jobs reduce the wages paid to American workers. That view is shared by 72% of Republicans, 53% of Independents, and 37% of Democrats.

Data released earlier shows that 21% believe the United States has no right to decide who is eligible to enter the country.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters favor a plan to have government officials remove millions of illegal or undocumented immigrants from the United States. Thirty-six percent (36%) want to abolish ICE while 64% disagree. Thirty percent (30%) favor issuing drivers licenses to illegal/undocumented immigrants

Forty-nine percent (49%) of voters nationwide believe that a child born in the United States to an illegal immigrant should be considered a U.S. citizen. However, just 32% believe the mother should be allowed to remain in the country. Overall, 75% believe that our immigration system should prioritize people with skills that could benefit the economy rather than granting legal status to people with relatives in the United States. That view is shared across partisan and demographic lines.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all pa