Thursday Kavanaugh Update, Numbers Still Holding Steady

The drama surrounding recent allegations against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh continue to have limited impact on public opinion.

Among those who are following the story at least a bit, 51% now want their Senator to confirm Kavanaugh. That’s up two points from a couple of days ago. However, any shift may be little more than statistical noise.

Before his confirmation hearings, 48% of voters wanted their Senator to confirm Kavanaugh. After the hearings, but before the accusations, 52% favored confirmation (see trends).  Keep in mind that the poll has a 3-point margin of error.

We will continue to track this and related data throughout the confirmation process (sign up for email updates).

Prior to Kavanaugh’s confirmation hearings, 51% had a favorable opinion of the nominee. It had increased to 55% following the confirmation hearings and then fell to 48% immediately following the accusations.

Now, as of Thursday afternoon, the number with a favorable opinion of the nominee is back up to 53%. It is possible that perceptions of the judge softened a bit after the initial accusations and have since recovered. It is also possible that the changes are just movement within the margin of error. In terms of opinions about Kavanaugh directly, all shifting occurred primarily among those who do not have strong opinions of him.

Today, 24% have a Very Favorable opinion of the Judge while 22% have a Very Unfavorable view. Prior to the allegations, those figure were 22% and 18% (see trends).

Confirming the sense that little has changed, our daily tracking of the Generic Congressional Ball remains steady. Before the allegations were raised, the Democrats had an eight-point advantage. In the three days ending yesterday, that edge was seven points. For the three-days ending today, it’s a nine point edge for the Democrats (50% to 41%).

This latest survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted for ScottRasmussen.com on September 19-20, 2018 by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The statistical margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

For clarity on the timing, our surveys are generally launched by 7:00 p.m. Eastern Time and completed by Noon Eastern Time the next day. This schedule allows for appropriate levels of participation from people in all time zones.

At the moment, 80% believe it is at least Somewhat Likely that Kavanaugh will be confirmed. That’s down slightly from 84% before the accusations. The number who believe he is Very Likely to be confirmed fell from 38% to 29%.

Twenty-nine percent (29%) are following the Kavanaugh news Very Closely. That’s up just a couple of points from earlier in the week.

Questions about Kavanaugh and his confirmation were asked of all voters except those who said they were not following the story at all.

The statistical margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Prior to Kavanaugh’s confirmation hearings,  51% had a favorable opinion of the nominee.  That increased to 55% following the hearings and is down to 48% today. The shift occurred primarily among those who do not have strong opinions of the Kavanaugh.

All ScottRasmussen.com data is presented to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). See all of our polling data releases.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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36% Don’t Know That Tax Cut Was Passed Last Year

One of the challenges policy makers face in assessing public opinion stems from the fact that most Americans don’t follow what happens in official Washington all that closely. New data from The Jobs Creators Network/ ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse highlights this reality.

  • Just 64% of adults nationwide know that Congress passed a law last year that cut taxes for most Americans.
  • Only 61% know that the tax cuts for individual Americans are only temporary.
  • Overall, 67% recognize that the top tax rate paid by small business owners is higher than the tax rate paid by large corporations.

On some of these points, Republicans are more knowledgeable than Democrats. On others, it’s the Democrats who have a better understanding. Republicans are more likely to know that taxes were cut for most Americans. Democrats were more likely to know that small business owners are likely to pay a higher top tax rate than large corporations.

Overall, 60% of U.S. adults underestimate the size of the tax cut for individual Americans. An average family of four can expect a tax cut of $1,200 this year. More than a third of all voters (36%) believe the average tax savings will be $300 or less.

Only 16% correctly estimated that the size of the tax cut will be between $1,000 and $1,499.

Twenty-three percent (23%) overestimated the size of the tax cut (see question wording and crosstab results).

Democrats were more likely to underestimate the size of the tax cut than Republicans.

Other data from the survey shows that a plurality of Americans (35%) believe the best thing the government can do for the economy is to cut spending. Cutting taxes is number two on the list, favored by 25%. Additionally, 48% of adults rate their own finances as good or excellent. Fifty percent (50%) say the same about the overall economy.

This national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted September 17-18, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology) The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

These results are consistent with other data showing that voters prefer a free market economy over a government managed economy by a 69% to 31% margin.

See the Job Creators Network release.

All data presented by ScottRasmussen.com is presented to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

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35% Say Best Way Feds Can Help Economy is To Cut Spending

Thirty-five percent (35%) of voters nationwide believe that the best thing the federal government could do to help the economy is to cut spending.  The Jobs Creators Network/ ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse shows that 25% say cutting taxes is the best policy.

Given a list of six options, 16% thought creating new programs to meet specific needs was the best option while 12% preferred reducing regulations on business. Seven percent (7%) thought it would be best to increase regulations on business.

The least popular choice, increasing spending and deficits, is favored by just 4% of adults. This result stands in direct conflict with the conventional wisdom in official Washington that increased government spending and deficits boosts the economy.

Overall, cutting government spending, taxes, and regulations is seen as best for the economy by 72% of Adults nationwide. Twenty-eight percent (28%) prefer new government programs, more regulation, and more government spending (see question wording and crosstab results).

Other data from the survey shows that 48% of adults rate their own finances as good or excellent. Fifty percent (50%) say the same about the overall economy.

This national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted September 17-18, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology) The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

These results are consistent with other data showing that voters prefer a free market economy over a government managed economy by a 69% to 31% margin.

See the Job Creators Network release.

All data presented by ScottRasmussen.com is presented to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

 

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48% Rate Personal Finances Good or Excellent

Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters rate their own personal finances as good or excellent U.S. Economy as good or excellent. The Jobs Creators Network/ ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse shows that 33% rate their finances fair while 15% say poor. Those results are little changed from a week ago.

Thirty-three percent (33%) believe their finances are getting better while 18% say worse (see question wording and crosstab results).

This is the second set of weekly data released by a new partnership between ScottRasmussen.com and the Job Creators Network Foundation (JCNF). That foundation is an educational resource for small businesses and employees.We will repeat five standard questions every week to measure trends in the economic perceptions of everyday Americans.

Overall, 50% rate the economy as good or excellent. Thirty-eight percent (38%) say it’s getting better while 24% take the opposite view. Forty-five percent (45%) believe firms in their area are more likely to be hiring than laying off. Sixteen percent (16%) see lay-offs as more common.

Other data from the survey found that 72% of adults believe cutting government spending, taxes, or regulation is better for the economy than a larger government role. This result stands in direct conflict with the conventional wisdom in official Washington that increased government spending and deficits boosts the economy.

This national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted September 17-18, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology) The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See the Job Creators Network release.

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Weekly Pulse: 72 Percent of Americans Think Cutting Taxes, Spending and Regs are Best for the Economy

Nearly three-quarters of Americans think cutting taxes, spending and regulations is the best general approach for boosting the economy, while only 27 percent think the best way is to start new programs, increase spending, or impose more regulations on businesses, according to the Job Creators Network/ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse, released today.

“The data suggests that Republicans have a pretty substantial advantage when it comes economic policy. At the moment, that isn’t reflected in the political polls,” said pollster Scott Rasmussen. “That suggests that many Americans are not focused on the economy, or that many simply don’t associate those policies with the Republican majority.”

Other data bolsters that point. On a true/false question asking whether Congress cut taxes for most Americans, only 64 percent say yes. More than a third of Americans say that’s false. Sixty-percent (60) of Americans underestimate how much the average family of four saves under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (based on figures provided by the House Ways and Means Committee). According to Ways and Means, the typical family of four saves almost $1,200 per year, or close to $12,000 over a decade. Forty-two percent (42) of Americans estimate the savings below $500, the Weekly Pulse found.

“There could be a lot of factors involved here,” said Job Creators Network Foundation President Elaine Parker. “Many, if not most, Americans have direct deposit, so they are not seeing their paychecks every week, or every two weeks. Half of all workers are hourly paid, and their schedules vary from week to week. The law has been in place for less than a year, and that could be another factor. Whatever the case, Republicans have their work cut out for them.”

According to the survey, 50 percent of Americans rate the economy as excellent or good. That’s a slight drop from last week. Only 12 percent say the economy is poor. Thirty-eight percent of Americans see the economy getting better, while 24 percent say it’s getting worse.

“There’s not much fluctuation from last week in how Americans view the economy. They have a generally positive feeling that things are good right now,” said Rasmussen.

See the question wording and crosstab results.

This national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted September 17-18, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology) The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

For more information about the Job Creators Network Foundation, please visit www.jcnf.org.

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JCN Crosstabs September 17-18, 2018

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Allegations Against Brett Kavanaugh Fail to Move Public Opinion

Despite enormous media coverage and intense discussions in official Washington, the allegations leveled against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh have had little impact on public opinion (so far).

Before his confirmation hearings, a ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 48% of voters wanted their Senator to confirm Kavanaugh. After the hearings, but before the accusations, 52% favored confirmation. Now, after the accusations, that number is 49%.  Keep in mind that the poll has a 3-point margin of error.

Today, 23% have a Very Favorable opinion of the Judge while 21% have a Very Unfavorable view. Prior to the allegations, those figures were 22% and 18%.

Confirming this sense that not much has changed is the Generic Congressional Ballot. Just before the accusations against Kavanaugh were made publicly, Democrats had an eight-point advantage (49% to 41%). In polling since Dr. Christine Blasey Ford went public, Democrats have a seven-point lead (48% to 41%).

Collectively, the surveys confirm the notion that voters view the allegations as a political Rorschach test. Everyone is seeing what they expect (or want) to see. Those who opposed him before the allegations have another reason for wanting the nomination defeated. Those who support him haven’t seen any reason to change their mind.

Perhaps the biggest surprise in the data is that just 27% are following this story Very Closely. That’s the same modest level of interest as before the allegations were made. It may be that most voters are just tuning out the entire dispute as little more than political gamesmanship from official Washington.

In our surveys, we didn’t ask specifically about the allegations or the credibility of either person involved. Partly, that’s because this is a fast-moving story and any specific question we asked might be obsolete before the poll is finished.

An even larger concern stems from the modest level of interest in this story. Because most voters are not following the story Very Closely, our questions might offer more information than many respondents had already heard. Obviously, that could sway the answers significantly in one direction or the other.

So, in the interest of reliably understanding the deeper impact of the accusations and responses, we decided on a “less is more” approach.  Rather than trying to craft questions about who said what, we decided to focus on the overall response to Kavanaugh and his nomination. The fact that we had a baseline of data from before the accusations made it possible to directly measure the impact of the allegations.

As I write this on Wednesday morning, the Senate Judiciary Committee has scheduled a public hearing for next Monday allowing both Kavanaugh and his accuser to make their case. It is quite possible that those hearings, or events leading up to them, could dramatically shake up public opinion.

While that process unfolds, ScottRasmussen.com will keep monitoring the situation. Our current plans are to repeat the same bank of tracking questions both before and after the committee hearings. We believe this will give us the best possible measure of how voters interpret both the credibility and the relevance of the information presented for and against the nomination.

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Generic Ballot Unchanged Since Accusations Against Kavanaugh: D+7

Just wanted to pass on a tidbit confirming that public opinion has shifted little since Dr. Christine Blasey Ford went public with accusations against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh.

Just prior to Ford’s interview with the Washington Post, our Generic Congressional Ballot polling showed the Democrats with an 8-point advantage among the most likely voters (49% to 41%). We will release another full week update on Saturday.

In the meantime, I just looked at the results from the first three polling days of the week. The first day’s survey was launched the night of Dr. Ford’s interview and the third day finished up around noon eastern today. Democrats now have a 7-point advantage among the most likely voters (48% to 41%).

This week’s results are based upon interviews with 1,725 “Definite” voters.

Data released last night showed little change in public opinion about Kavanaugh himself and on the question of whether he should be confirmed as a Supreme Court Justice. We will continue to monitor the potential impact of these allegations. Our current plan is to poll on the topic immediately prior to and immediately following the Judiciary Committee hearings on Monday.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Voters Underestimate Pace of Tech Change in Health Care

Forty-one percent (41%) of voters nationwide believe it will take more than five years before smartphones and apps will allow people to monitor the health of their heart (with tests like an EKG) on their own (without seeing a doctor). A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found 8% believe it will never happen.

However, such technology already exists and has been approved by the FDA.

Only 54% believe it is even somewhat likely that smartphones and apps will ever allow people to conduct X-rays on their own (without seeing a doctor) in the near future. Twenty percent (20%) say it will never happen. Once again, however, that technology is also available today.

Not surprisingly, younger voters are more likely to expect the capabilities of the new technology and also expect it to happen sooner.

Even while underestimating the pace of change, 58% of all voters believe that new technologies will have a bigger impact on the future of our nation than new government policies (see question wording and crosstab data). Data released earlier showed that 71% of voters recognize that Steve Jobs and Bill Gates have had a bigger impact on the world than the combined efforts of all eight U.S. presidents who have served since the founding of Apple and Microsoft.

This survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted for ScottRasmussen.com on September 13-14, 2018 by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The statistical margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

At the intersection of technology and health care, 56% believe that apps and devices monitoring health, fitness, and diet lead to improved health. Seventy-six percent (76%) of those under 35 believe that such tools improve the health of the average user. That falls to 35% for America’s senior citizens.

Most voters (53%) believe that new technologies will have a bigger positive impact on health care than new government policies. Just 24% believe government policies will have a bigger impact.

The reality that culture and technology lead the nation forward while politics and politicians lag behind is a central theme of my latest book, The Sun Is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will Not. It’s also the reason that I am optimistic about our nation’s future despite being pessimistic about our system of politics and government.

ScottRasmussen.com presents this data to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us and review all of our recent data releases).

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Accusation Against Kavanaugh Barely Moves Public Opinion… So Far

Official Washington has been convulsed by recent allegations against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. However, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that the accusations have had little impact on American voters.

Before his confirmation hearings, 48% of voters wanted their Senator to confirm Kavanaugh. After the hearings, but before the accusations, 52% favored confirmation. Now, after the accusations, that number is 49% (see trends).  Keep in mind that the poll has a 3-point margin of error.

We will continue to track this and related data throughout the confirmation process (sign up for email updates).

At the moment, 79% believe it is at least Somewhat Likely that Kavanaugh will be confirmed. That’s down slightly from 84% before the accusations. The number who believe he is Very Likely to be confirmed fell from 38% to 29%.

Perhaps most surprising of all is that only 27% are following the Kavanaugh news Very Closely. That’s unchanged since before the accusations were made.

Collectively, the numbers suggest that voters view the allegations as a political Rorschach test. Everyone is seeing what they expect (or want) to see. When it comes to Kavanaugh, the electorate remains deeply divided along partisan and ideological lines.

This survey of 997 Registered Voters was conducted for ScottRasmussen.com on September 17-18, 2018 by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The statistical margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Prior to Kavanaugh’s confirmation hearings,  51% had a favorable opinion of the nominee.  That increased to 55% following the hearings and is down to 48% today. The shift occurred primarily among those who do not have strong opinions of the Kavanaugh.

Today, 23% have a Very Favorable opinion of the Judge while 21% have a Very Unfavorable view. Prior to the allegations, those figure were 22% and 18% (see question wording and crosstabs).

The Senate Judiciary Committee has scheduled a public hearing for next Monday allowing both Kavanaugh and his accuser to make their case. It is certainly possible that those televised hearings could have a more significant impact than anything released to this point.

Questions about Kavanaugh and his confirmation were asked of all voters except those who said they were not following the story at all.

All of our data is presented to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). See all of our polling data releases.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

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Crosstabs September 17-18, 2018

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Kavanaugh Trends

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63% Want Pot Legal, 60% Cigarettes

Sixty-three percent (63%) of voters believe that marijuana should be legalized and regulated like cigarettes. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that a similar number, 60%, believe cigarette smoking should be legal in the United States.

Men are a bit more likely than women to favor legalizing marijuana. Beyond that, there are few significant differences between traditional demographic groups (see question wording and crosstabs).

Eighty-five percent (85%) believe beer, wine, and liquor should be legal. However, just 13% say the same of cocaine.

If drugs like marijuana and cocaine were legalized, 24% believe the problems associated with drug abuse would get better. Forty-five percent (45%) say worse and 31% don’t think things would be much different.

Voters under 35 are much more optimistic about the potential for legalization. Twenty-nine percent (29%) believe it would make things better while just 34% believe they would get worse. Keep in mind that these responses are based upon the premise of legalizing both marijuana and cocaine.  Among senior citizens, just 16% believe such legalization would make things better and 62% believe it would make them worse.

This survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted for ScottRasmussen.com on August 20-21, 2018 by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The statistical margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

A related survey found that just 32% of voters believe the federal government respects the right of Americans to live in freedom.

All of our data is presented to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). See all of our polling data releases.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Mueller Viewed Favorably by 38% Unfavorably by 29%

Special Counsel Robert Mueller is viewed favorably by 38% of voters nationwide and unfavorably by 29%. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 38% have a favorable opinion of Rudy Giuiliani while 36% say the opposite. For both men, the figures are a modest improvement over a month ago.

Among 10 names associated with Mueller’s investigation, the only other person with net positive numbers was Stormy Daniel’s attorney Michael Avenatti. Twenty-one percent (21%) have a favorable opinion of the Trump critic while 18% offer an unfavorable view. However, a larger number have never heard of him (33%) or have no opinion at all (27%).

Three other participants in the drama are essentially unknown by most voters. Sixty-two percent (62%) have never heard of or have no opinion of former FBI agent Lisa Page. Sixty-one percent (61%) say the same about another former FBI agent, Peter Strzok. And, Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein is unknown to 57%. Among those who know them, all three rack up slightly higher negative numbers rather than positive.

Convicted felon Paul Manafort is viewed favorably by 17% and unfavorably by 41%. Michael Cohen, President Trump’s former attorney, earns positive reviews from 19% and negative marks from 40%,

Attorney General Jeff Sessions is viewed favorably by 25%, unfavorably by 40%.

See data.

This survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted for ScottRasmussen.com on September 12-13, 2018 by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The statistical margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. It is presented to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Recent releases have found that 64% believe that freedom is more important than democracy. Among the freedoms confirmed in the Bill of Rights, voters rate the freedom of speech, the right to bear arms, and freedom of religion as the most important. A separate column explained how the freedom to walk away holds politicians accountable.

Other recent releases have explored underlying attitudes about SocialismUniversal Basic Income, and Free Markets. Also, 10 years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered a global financial crisis, 58% of voters still want to break up the nation’s biggest banks.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Enhancing The Public Dialogue With A Thoughtful Response

Our mission at ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue with data driven analysis. Today, I’m happy to share an anecdote about one healthy public conversation.

A few weeks ago, my weekly syndicated column appeared in the Minneapolis Star-Tribune. Building upon our polling data, I noted “the inability of the politically obsessed to understand the majority of Americans.” I also noted that if often seems “as if the politically engaged don’t even want to understand the rest of the country.”

I was pleasantly surprised to see a rebuttal by a Minnetonka resident named Maria Klein. She found my data interesting but disagreed with my assessment that the “politically obsessed” are the problem. In her view, the problem is that the rest of the country “is somewhat passive, under- or misinformed, and apparently oblivious to the responsibilities of citizenship.”

What I liked about her column was the tone. It was friendly, thoughtful, and articulated a different point of view. I don’t know Maria but based on her response believe we could sit down to a pleasant conversation and find lots of common ground. We’d probably still disagree on some things, of course, but mostly it would be differences of degree. And, I’m sure we’d each learn something from the other.

Thank you Maria.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Crosstabs September 13-14, 2018

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61% Pleased With Federal Response to Hurricane Florence

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of voters nationwide followed news of Hurricane Florence, including 30% who followed it Very Closely. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 81% believe the forecasts of the hurricane were accurate, including 34% who said Very Accurate.

When asked how well the federal government responded, 61% said Very (26%) or Somewhat (35%) well.  Ten percent (10%) said Not Very Well and 3% Not at All Well. Twenty-six percent (26%) were not sure.

Twenty-nine percent (29%) said they had close friends or family impacted by the storm (see question wording and crosstabs).

This survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted for ScottRasmussen.com on September 16-17, 2018 by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the demographic profile of our sample). The statistical margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Interviews began at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on the 16th and concluded at noon Eastern on the 17th.

All of our data is presented to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). See all of our polling data releases.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Crosstabs September 16-17, 2018

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Crosstabs August 20-21, 2018

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Sample Demographics September 16-17, 2018

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Crosstabs August 23-24, 2018

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Crosstabs September 12-13, 2018

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Crosstabs September 12-13, 2018

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Happy Constitution Day!

On this date in 1787, 39 men signed the U.S. Constitution.

They would undoubtedly be surprised at how well their efforts worked out. Eighty-seven percent (87%) of voters today believe the United States is a great nation. But, at the same time, most Americans also believe the nation has a lot of work to do before we can live up to the founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-governance. Fortunately, most expect us to keep making progress.

One significant reason for such confidence is the strong foundation of the U.S. Constitution. Seventy percent (70%) of voters are happy with the system of checks and balances established on that day, even though (or perhaps because) it prevents the government from acting quickly to address national concerns. In fact, voters would like it if the Supreme Court Justices paid more attention to the literal words of the Constitution when making decisions.

The Constitution was drafted to build upon the noble ideals articulated in our nation’s founding document–the Declaration of Independence. That document eloquently expressed a commitment to freedom sometimes defined as the American Creed:  Every American should have the right to live their own life as they see fit, so long as they respect the rights of others to do the same. Ninety-three percent (93%) of Americans still support that ideal today.

Unfortunately, just 32% believe the federal government respects the right of every American to live their own life as they see fit. That’s especially stunning because the Declaration of Independence stated that the very purpose of government is to protect our unalienable rights including life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness. Sadly, but realistically, only 33% today believe the nation today provides liberty and justice for all.

On the brighter side, the hope and expectation of the new nation was that formal governments would be just one of many organizations governing society. Voters clearly realize not every problem needs a federal solution (even if their politicians do not). Eighty-nine percent (89%) nationwide believe that volunteering for community activities has a bigger positive impact than engaging in political campaigns.

In fact, 71% of voters recognize that Steve Jobs and Bill Gates have had a bigger impact on the world we live in than the combined efforts of the 8 U.S. presidents since Apple and Microsoft were founded.

Still, to make a society function properly, there is some natural tension between promoting individual freedom and protecting an orderly society. Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters believe it is more important for government to protect individual freedom while 46% want the emphasis on protecting an orderly society. The balancing act is complicated because 68% of voters want the government to err on the side of using too little power rather than too much.

In today’s world, 38% believe the Supreme Court has too much power. The biggest public concern lies with appointed officials in government agencies. Fifty-eight percent (58%) believe they have too much power.

Perhaps the reason that the Constitution has survived is that it was designed with pragmatism in mind rather than to serve a Utopian dream. While the world has changed dramatically over the past 231 years, the foundational challenges of governing a society remain unchanged. As James Madison wrote long ago, “If men were angels, no government would be necessary… In framing a government which is to be administered by men over men, the great difficulty lies in this: you must first enable the government to control the governed; and in the next place oblige it to control itself.”

Happy Constitution Day. After 231 years, it’s still an amazing work in progress.

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54% Prefer Freedom; 46% An Orderly Society

To make a society function properly, there is some natural tension between promoting individual freedom and protecting an orderly society. Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters believe it is more important for government to protect individual freedom while 46% want the emphasis on protecting an orderly society.

However, the balancing act is complicated because voters want the government to err on the side of using too little power rather than too much. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 68% see a government that is too powerful as a bigger threat than one that is not powerful enough. Only 32% are more worried about a government with too little power.

Data released earlier showed that just 32% believe the federal government respects to right of every American to live in freedom. Only 33% believe the U.S. currently offers liberty and justice for all.

On the positive side, voters recognize that more than government is needed to create a functioning society. Seventy-one percent (71%) recognize that Steve Jobs and Bill Gates have had a bigger impact on the world than all eight U.S. presidents who have served since the founding of Apple and Microsoft.

This survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted for ScottRasmussen.com on August 20-21, 2018 by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The statistical margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. It is presented to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Men are a bit more likely than women to prioritize freedom over order. Generally, though, there are few dramatic differences among various demographic groups.(see crosstabs).

Recent releases have found that 64% believe that freedom is more important than democracy. Among the freedoms confirmed in the Bill of Rights, voters rate the freedom of speech, the right to bear arms, and freedom of religion as the most important. A separate column explained how the freedom to walk away holds politicians accountable.

Other recent releases have explored underlying attitudes about SocialismUniversal Basic Income, and Free Markets. Also, 10 years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered a global financial crisis, 58% of voters still want to break up the nation’s biggest banks.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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53% Believe Supreme Court Justices Guided By Their Own Sense of Right and Wrong

When making decisions, a majority of voters (53%) believes that Supreme Court justices pay more attention to their own perception of right and wrong rather than the literal text of the Constitution. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that an even larger majority–63%–want the Justices to pay more attention to the literal text of the Constitution.

Despite these doubts, 63% at least somewhat approve of the way the Supreme Court is performing its role. That’s little changed from a month ago. Also unchanged is the sense that the Court is fairly balanced from an ideological perspective. Thirty-two percent (32%) believe the Court is too conservative, 28% say too liberal, and 40% believe it’s about right.

Data released earlier shows that 64% of voters believe that freedom is more important than democracy.  However, just 32% believe that the federal government respects the right of Americans to live in freedom. Only 33% believe the United States today truly offers liberty and justice for all.

Among the freedoms confirmed in the Bill of Rights, voters rate the freedom of speech, the right to bear arms, and freedom of religion as the most important.

This survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted for ScottRasmussen.com on September 12-13, 2018 by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The statistical margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. It is presented to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

The Constitution was signed 231 years ago today with an elaborate system of checks and balances. Some have argued that such a system makes it too difficult for the government to act and address national concerns. However, just 30% of voters want to make it easier for the government to act quickly. That figure includes 35% of Democrats, 29% of Independents, and 25% of Republicans (see crosstabs).

Related data on the role of the federal government in society showed that 71% recognize that Steve Jobs and Bill Gates have had a bigger impact on the world than all eight U.S. presidents who have served since the founding of Apple and Microsoft.

The reality that culture and technology lead the nation forward while politics and politicians lag behind is a central theme in my most recent book: The Sun is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will Not. Among other factors, the book notes that even in the 21st century, our nation retains a deep cultural commitment to the nation’s founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-governance. It is this commitment that makes me optimistic about our nation despite the failures of our political system.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

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Just 32% Believe Fed Gov’t Respects Right of People to Live in Freedom

Perhaps no other idea unifies the American people more than freedom. Ninety-three percent (93%) of voters agree with a sentiment sometimes defined as the American Creed: Every American should have the right to live their own life as they see fit, so long as they respect the rights of others to do the same.

However, while cherishing the ideal, there are doubts about how well we live out that creed. Only 49% believe that most Americans respect the right of other people to live their own life as they see fit.

Even more skepticism is found about the federal government. Just 32% believe that it respects the right of every American to live their own life as they see fit. That’s especially stunning because our nation’s founding document, the Declaration of Independence, states that the very purpose of government is to protect our unalienable rights including life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.

This survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted for ScottRasmussen.com on August 20-21, 2018 by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The statistical margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. It is presented to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Interestingly, younger voters are a bit more skeptical about the willingness of their fellow citizens to allow others to live as they see fit. Among those under 50, 45% believe this is true. Among older voters, 53% believe their fellow citizens respect the rights of others.

However, when it comes to the federal government, older voters are more skeptical. Just 27% of voters over 50 believe the federal government respects the rights of every American to be free. Thirty-six percent (36%) of younger voters think the federal government is okay on this point (see crosstabs).

Related data on the role of the federal government in society showed that 71% recognize that Steve Jobs and Bill Gates have had a bigger impact on the world than all eight U.S. presidents who have served since the founding of Apple and Microsoft.

The reality that culture and technology lead the nation forward while politics and politicians lag behind is a central theme in my most recent book: The Sun is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will Not. Among other factors, the book notes that even in the 21st century, our nation retains a deep cultural commitment to the nation’s founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-governance. It is this commitment that makes me optimistic about our nation despite the failures of our political system.

Recent releases have found that 64% believe that freedom is more important than democracy. Among the freedoms confirmed in the Bill of Rights, voters rate the freedom of speech, the right to bear arms, and freedom of religion as the most important. A separate column explained how the freedom to walk away holds politicians accountable.

Other recent releases have explored underlying attitudes about SocialismUniversal Basic Income, and Free Markets. Also, 10 years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered a global financial crisis, 58% of voters still want to break up the nation’s biggest banks.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Crosstabs August 20-21, 2018

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Is Texas Ready to Elect a Democratic Senator?

This morning, I had a nice chat with Pete Hegseth on Fox and Friends about a number of key Senate races.

First up was the question that has all Republicans worried–Could Ted Cruz really lose to Beto O’Rourke? He’s certainly in a tougher race than anybody ever expected. And, an upset is not out of the question. But the political gravity of Texas will probably secure Cruz another term in the Senate. At ScottRasmussen.com we rate this race as Likely Republican.

We also discussed 3 of the 6 toss-up races. In Indiana and Missouri, Democratic incumbents Joe Donnelly and Claire McCaskill are in tough races. Donald Trump won both states by 19 points so this becomes a battle between the power of incumbency and the power of political gravity.

Finally, in Arizona, the interesting dynamic is the issues mix. Just about everywhere in the country the top two issues are health care and the economy. In Arizona, it’s health care and immigration. Republican Martha McSally’s support is driven by the immigration issue.

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71% Believe Jobs & Gates Had Bigger Impact Than Last 8 Presidents Combined

Seventy-one percent (71%) of voters nationwide believe that Steve Jobs and Bill Gates have had a bigger impact on the world we live in than the last eight presidents combined. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that just 29% disagree.

Eight men have served as president since Jobs and Gates founded Apple and Microsoft. That list includes Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan, George H. W. Bush, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, Barack Obama, and Donald Trump.

That perception that Jobs and Gates had a bigger impact than all eight is found in every measured demographic and geographic group. Seventy-four percent (74%) of men agree, so do 68% of women. Seventy-five percent (75%) of those under 35 agree as do 66% of those over 65 (see question wording and crosstabs).

The reality that culture and technology lead the nation forward while politics and politicians lag behind is a central theme in my most recent book: The Sun is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will Not. The book also explains how I can be optimistic about our nation’s future despite deep pessimism about our broken political system.

This data is presented by ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Recent releases have explored underlying attitudes about SocialismUniversal Basic Income, and Free Markets. Also, 10 years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered a global financial crisis, 58% of voters still want to break up the nation’s biggest banks.

Our research has shown the disconnect between the politically obsessed and most Americans. Additionally, 83% of voters recognize that tech titans have a bigger impact on the nation than presidents.

This survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted on September 13-14, 2018 by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The statistical margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

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Crosstabs September 13-14, 2018

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Generic Ballot: Democrats 49% Republicans 41%

If the election were held today, 49% of the nation’s most likely voters would vote for the Democrat from their district while 41% would vote for the Republican.  These results, based upon a full week of polling from September 9-14, 2018, reflect a 2-point gain for the GOP compared to a week ago. Support for the Democrats remained unchanged.

The ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 3% would vote for some other party and 7% are not sure.

Estimating likely voter turnout is challenging, especially this far in advance of an election. At this point, ScottRasmussen.com is simply asking survey respondents how likely they are to vote and include only those who say they are “Definitely” going to vote as likely voters. Fifty-six percent (56%) of Registered Voters qualify.

Using a somewhat looser definition of Likely Voters, the Democrats have a six-point advantage (47% to 41%). This approach includes those who are “Very Likely” to vote. Among all Registered Voters, the Democratic edge is five points (41% to 36%). Collectively, these numbers suggest that Democratic voters are more enthusiastic about the upcoming elections and are currently more likely to turn out. Part of that enthusiasm is driven by the fact that 21% of voters consider themselves part of the “Resistance” to President Trump.

This information was collected as part of the ScottRasmussen.com Daily Tracking Poll. Our mission is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

We are currently updating these results on a weekly basis along with a measure of trust in government and the President’s Job Approval. Data is being collected daily and we will switch to daily releases in a week or two.

Recent releases have explored underlying attitudes about SocialismUniversal Basic Income, and Free Markets. Also, 10 years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered a global financial crisis, 58% of voters still want to break up the nation’s biggest banks.

Our research has shown the disconnect between the politically obsessed and most Americans. Additionally, 83% of voters recognize that tech titans have a bigger impact on the nation than presidents.

The somewhat larger sample is a bit more favorably disposed towards the president than the “Definitely” sample. If this is the case closer to Election Day, it might suggest that a larger turnout is good news for Republicans. That would be consistent with a view that Democratic voters are currently more enthusiastic than GOP voters (see crosstabs).

For this week, a total of 5,000 Voters were surveyed by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Interviews were conducted between September 9 and 14, 2018.  A total of 2,785 Voters indicated that they will “Definitely” vote. For the full Registered Voter sample, the statistical margin of error is approximately +/- 1.4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. For the results based upon the most likely voters, it is +/- 1.9.

You can compare the demographic profile of Registered Voter sample with the Definite Voters sample. We also provide the demographics for the slightly expanded pool of voters that includes those who say they are “Very Likely” to vote.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

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Crosstabs September 9-14, 2018

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President Trump Job Approval Steady at 46%

Forty-six percent (46%) of the most likely voters nationwide approve of the way that President Trump is handling his job while 54% disapprove. These results, based upon a full week of polling from September 9-14, 2018, are unchanged from a week ago. Twenty-eight percent (28%) Strongly Approve and 45% Strongly Disapprove.

This information was collected as part of the ScottRasmussen.com Daily Tracking Poll. Our mission is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

We are currently updating these results on a weekly basis along with a measure of trust in government and the Generic Congressional Ballot. Data is being collected daily and we will switch to daily releases in a week or two.

Recent releases have explored underlying attitudes about Socialism, Universal Basic Income, and Free Markets. Also, 10 years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered a global financial crisis, 58% of voters still want to break up the nation’s biggest banks.

Our research has shown the disconnect between the politically obsessed and most Americans. Additionally, 83% of voters recognize that tech titans have a bigger impact on the nation than presidents.

Estimating Likely Voters is a challenging process, especially this far in advance of an election. At this point, ScottRasmussen.com is simply asking survey respondents how likely they are to vote. We generally consider only those who say they are “Definitely” going to vote as likely voters. Fifty-six percent (56%) of Registered Voters indicated that they were definitely going to vote.

While far from a perfect solution, the results generally reflect the type of turnout we would expect to see in a midterm election. Younger voters, for example, are far less likely to turnout than older voters. You can compare the demographic profile of Registered Voter sample with the Definite Voters sample. We also provide the demographics for a slightly expanded pool of voters that includes those who say they are “Very Likely” to vote.

The somewhat larger sample is a bit more favorably disposed towards the president than the “Definitely” sample. If this is the case closer to Election Day, it might suggest that a larger turnout is good news for Republicans. That would be consistent with a view that Democratic voters are currently more enthusiastic than GOP voters.

For this week, a total of 5,000 Voters were surveyed by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Interviews were conducted between September 9 and 14, 2018 (see sample demographics).  A total of 2,785 Voters indicated that they will “Definitely” vote. For the full Registered Voter sample, the statistical margin of error is approximately +/- 1.4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. For the results based upon the most likely voters, it is +/- 1.9

Among Registered Voters, the president’s Job Approval is currently 47%. That’s down a point from a week ago. Among this group, 56% of White Voters approve along with 19% of Black Voters and 32% of Hispanic Voters (see crosstabs).

Many Job Approval surveys by other firms give respondents an opportunity to say they are not sure or undecided. We do not. (see question wording and topline results).  The Real Clear Politics Job Approval average shows that 4% to 5% of respondents generally choose to offer no opinion on the president’s performance. As a result, it is likely that both the approval and disapproval numbers in our survey might be a couple of points higher than in comparable surveys.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Crosstabs September 9-14, 2018

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Weekly Monitor: 45% Say Country on the Right Track

Forty-five percent (45%) of Registered Voters nationwide believe the United States is on the Right Track, up a point from a week ago. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 55% take the opposite view (see question wording and crosstabs).

Additionally, 17%  trust the federal government to do the right thing Most or All of the time. That’s down a point from last week. For the week ending September 14, 2018, the ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 43% Rarely or Never trust the federal government to do the right thing. In between are 40% who trust the federal government Some of the Time.

We update these results on a weekly basis along with the Generic Congressional Ballot and the President’s Job Approval. We also release 4-8 polling updates each day. Receive the latest daily data and insights by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Recent releases have explored underlying attitudes about SocialismUniversal Basic Income, and Free Markets. Also, 10 years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered a global financial crisis, 58% of voters still want to break up the nation’s biggest banks. Our research has shown the disconnect between the politically obsessed and most Americans. Additionally, 83% of voters recognize that tech titans have a bigger impact on the nation than presidents.

All data is presented to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

For this week, a total of 5,000 Voters were surveyed by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Interviews were conducted between September 9 and 14, 2018.  A total of 2,785 Voters indicated that they will “Definitely” vote. For the full Registered Voter sample, the statistical margin of error is approximately +/- 1.4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. For the results based upon the most likely voters, it is +/- 1.9.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

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Sample Demographics September 9-14, 2018

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Crosstabs September 11-12, 2018

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58% Still Want Big Banks Broken Up

Ten years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered a global financial crisis, 58% of voters nationwide still want to break up the nation’s biggest banks. A ScottRasmussen.com survey shows that the total includes 62% of Democrats, 62% of Independents, and 51% of Republicans.

Forty-six percent (46%) believe that the failure of a large bank today would once again trigger a financial crisis. Just 19% are confident that will not happen. Thirty-five percent (35%) are not sure (see question wording and crosstabs).

Fifty-two percent (52%) believe the United States would be better off with a larger number of small banks. Just 18% prefer a smaller number of large banks.

This national survey of 999 Registered Voters was conducted September 11-12, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a demographic profile of our sample).

As the financial crisis unfolded, questions were raised as to whether free market economics could–or should–survive. Ten years later, however, 77% have a favorable opinion of free market economies. Sixty-four percent (64%) say the same about capitalism.

While confidence in free-markets has rebounded since the crisis, trust in government has not. Just 18% trust the federal government to do the right thing most of the time. Given that reality, it ‘s not surprising that 69% of voters prefer a free market economy over a government managed economy. Such a view is also consistent with America’s deep cultural commitment to individual freedom. In fact, 64% believe freedom is more important than democracy.

Since the financial crisis, many observers have noted the growing popularity of Socialism. Last month, we found that 42% held at least a somewhat favorable opinion of socialism. However, what voters have in mind is far different than the traditional and historic definition of that ideology.

The same is true with support for a Universal Basic Income. While the concept polls well on a surface level, Americans still believe that anyone who is able to work and support themselves should be required to do so.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Sample Demographics September 11-12, 2018

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Crosstabs September 11-12, 2018

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The following question was asked only of those who answered the previous question by saying they should be required to wait.

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Crosstabs August 29-30, 2018

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77% Have Favorable Opinion of Free Markets; 64% of Capitalism

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of free markets. That figure includes 27% with a Very Favorable opinion.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found, however, that just 64% have a somewhat or very favorable opinion of capitalism. Interestingly, there is only a modest difference between perceptions of these terms among Republicans and Independents. However, there is a gap in perception among Democrats. Just 51% of Nancy Pelosi’s party have a positive view of capitalism but 70% say that about free markets (see question wording and crosstabs).

  • Sixty-three percent (63%) believe capitalism is at least somewhat fair. Seventy-four percent (74%) say that about free markets.
  • Sixty-one percent (61%) see capitalism as good for the middle class, a figure that jumps to 70% for free markets.
  • Just 37% believe capitalism is good for the poor. However, most (52%) believe that free markets are.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 29-30, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). A split sample approach was used, with half the sample being asked about free markets and the other half about capitalism. An earlier split sample experiment found little difference in results between using the words climate change and global warming.

In relative terms, voters prefer capitalism over socialism by a 62% to 38% margin (data released earlier showed 42% with a favorable opinion of socialism). However, by an even larger margin–69% to 31%–voters prefer a free market economy over a government managed economy. Free markets are preferred by 81% of Republicans, 58% of Democrats, and 70% of Independents.

All data presented by ScottRasmussen.com is presented to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

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Job Creators Network and Pollster Scott Rasmussen Launch Weekly Tracking Survey on the Economy

I’m excited to announce a new, long-range project being launched today in partnership with The Job Creators Network Foundation (JCNF). The foundation serves as an educational resource for small businesses and employees. This partnership will build upon and strengthen the commitment of ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Every week we will ask 1,000 adults to answer five standard questions on the economy and a handful of additional questions aimed at current issues, developing stories, and trending topics. Our data will have implications for policymakers, investors, journalists, academics, market researchers, political candidates, and anyone else who wants to know what Americans are thinking, when they’re thinking it, and when their opinions are changing.

Our first release shows that 54 percent of Americans rate the economy as excellent or good. Thirty percent say it’s fair, while only 13 percent think the economy is poor.

Roughly 40 percent of Americans think the economy is getting better, 21 percent think it’s getting worse, and 34 percent say the economy is about the same (see results).

In addition to basic tracking data, we’ll also be ask a series of topical and current events questions. In our first edition, Americans seem to want more balance in the news coverage of the economy.

Roughly a third (36 percent) say news outlets report economic news in a way that is understandable and useful. 44 percent say they don’t. 55 percent of Americans say news outlets spend too much time reporting on big corporations. Only 10 percent believe there’s too much attention paid to small businesses.

“What stands out to me is that a large plurality of Americans thinks the business and financial news is dominated by what’s happening on Wall Street,” said JCNF President Elaine Parker. “They want more focus on Main Street,”

Last month, ScottRasmussen.com announced a partnership with HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys. That tracking poll will produce an ongoing gauge of American voters’ political sentiment. More to come as the months roll along!

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54% Rate Economy As Good or Excellent; 13% Say Poor

Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters rate the U.S. Economy as good or excellent. The Jobs Creators Network/ ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse shows that 30% rate the economy as fair and just 13% say it is in poor shape.

This is the first data released by a new partnership between ScottRasmussen.com and the Jobs Creators Network Foundation (JCNF). That foundation is an educational resource for small businesses and employees.We will repeat five standard questions every week to measure trends in the economic perceptions of everyday Americans.

This national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted September 10-11, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology) The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) believe the economy is getting better while 21% think it’s heading in the wrong direction. Forty-nine percent (49%) believe that firms in their area are more likely to be hiring than laying workers off. Just 15% take the opposite view (see Topline Results).

Americans are generally positive about the economy, but their perception of it seems to be influenced by their political views. Republicans tend to believe the economy is getting better while Democrats say worse.

In addition to the ongoing trend questions, we will also ask a handful of other questions each week to explore more topical issues. This week we explored media coverage of economic issues. Forty percent (40%) believe that media coverage focuses too much on bad news while 13% say it focuses too much on the upside. Nearly half (47%) think the coverage is pretty balanced.

Roughly a third (36 percent) say news outlets report economic news in a way that is understandable and useful. Forty-four percent (44%) percent say they don’t.  Fifty-five percent (55%) of Americans say news outlets spend too much time reporting on big corporations. Only 10 percent believe there’s too much attention paid to small businesses.

“What stands out to me is that a large plurality of Americans thinks the business and financial news is dominated by what’s happening on Wall Street. They want more focus on Main Street,” said JCNF President Elaine Parker.  She noted that the business-oriented television networks, and the financial publications, focus much more on publicly-traded companies and their CEOs than they do on small firms.

“If you watch any of the business networks, it’s a parade of Fortune 500 CEOs. Their viewers seem to want more voices from the small business sector,” she said.

See question wording and crosstabs for all questions.

For more information about the Job Creators Network Foundation, please visit www.jcnf.org.

All data presented by ScottRasmussen.com is presented to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

 

 

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JCNF/ScottRasmussen.com Toplines September 10-11, 2018

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ScottRasmussen.com

National Survey of 1,000 Adults

Conducted September 10-11, 2018

Margin of Sampling Error +/- 3.1 percentage points

 

1* How would you rate the U.S. economy today?

12%  Excellent

42%  Good

30%  Fair

13%  Poor

3%  Not Sure

 

2* Is the economy getting better or worse?

39%  Better

21%  Worse

34%  About the Same

7%  Not Sure

 

3* Okay, how would you rate you own personal finances these days?

10%  Excellent

37%  Good

34%  Fair

17%  Poor

2%  Not Sure

 

4* Are your personal finances getting better or worse?

33%  Better

18%  Worse

46%  About the Same

3%  Not Sure

 

5* Are companies in your area more likely to be hiring new workers or laying off existing workers?

49%  Hiring New Workers

15%  Laying Off Existing Workers

36%  Not Sure

 

6* When media organizations report on the economy, do they spend too much time talking about bad economic news, too much time talking about good economic news, or is their coverage pretty balanced?

40%  Too much time talking about bad economic news

13%  Too much time talking about good economic news

47%  Coverage is pretty balanced

 

7* When reporters talk about economic statistics, how confident are you that they really understand the data and what it means?

13%  Very Confident

39%  Somewhat Confident

33%  Not Very Confident

15%  Not At All Confident

 

8* Generally speaking, do media outlets report economic issues in a way that is understandable and meaningful to most Americans?

36%  Yes

44%  No

19%  Not Sure

 

9* Generally speaking, does the media spend too much time, not enough time, or about the right amount of time covering the economy and business issues?

17%  Too much time

37%  Not enough time

46%  About the right amount of time

 

10* When the media covers the economy and business issues, do they spend too much time on large businesses and Wall Street topics, too much time on small businesses and Main Street concerns, or is their coverage pretty balanced?

55%  Too much time on large businesses and Wall Street topics

10%  Too much time on small businesses and Main Street topics

35%  Coverage is pretty balanced

Posted in Top Lines

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JCNF/ScottRasmussen.com Crosstabs September 10-11, 2018

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Not Every Problem Needs a Federal Solution

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters believe that Facebook has too much power. Forty-seven percent (47%) believe the same about Twitter. For those in the political world, such numbers represent an obvious call for government action.

But voters disagree. Just 21% want the federal government to regulate social media giants.

Partly that gap is due to generic skepticism about the government. Only 18% trust the gang in DC to do the right thing most of the time. Most (55%) believe government regulators would be even more biased than the social media companies they’re supposed to regulate.

However, there’s much more to it than simple distrust of government. The vast majority of Americans recognize that government is far from the only tool we have to address society’s problems.

As individuals, we can take steps to protect ourselves from Facebook’s power by sharing less information or even deleting our accounts. We can also pass on privacy tips and other guidance to friends, family, and others. Collectively, if Facebook doesn’t respond to consumer concerns, serious competition will arise to cut the influence of Mark Zuckerberg’s empire.

I know it’s hard to imagine anybody competing with Facebook, but I also know that 20 years ago, government officials were convinced nobody could ever compete with Microsoft. At the time, Amazon was just four years old, Google was just being created, and Zuckerberg was in High School. Even the most entrenched of tech companies need to pay attention to their customer base or they will be challenged.

This fundamental tension between the public identification of a problem and the desire for government action applies to just about every aspect of our public dialogue.

For example, 82% believe that everyone who is willing to work should be guaranteed a minimum wage job. But that doesn’t mean people are clamoring for a federal jobs guarantee. In fact, only 36% want the federal government to do so.

Why? In the eyes of many, our economy already provides the needed assurance–77% believe that anyone who is healthy and willing to work can find a job.

What about health care? It’s one of the hottest issues on the campaign trail this year. Yet a majority (51%) of voters believe that more competition is the best way to bring down the cost of care. Just 21% think government regulation is a better approach. As for the quality of care, most are counting on technology to provide the answers rather than new government policies.

Even voters who think the feds should do more to help the economy aren’t pining for a bigger government role. Forty-three percent (43%) say the best thing the government could do is to cut its spending. Thirty percent (30%) want more tax cuts.

Generally speaking, voters think the United States is a pretty great place to live and a wonderful land of opportunity. At the same time, they recognize that our nation is far from perfect. Problems big and small are encountered on a daily basis and voters want them resolved.

But just because voters see a problem doesn’t mean that they want the federal government to get involved. Voters believe there’s almost always a better solution available.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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Voters More Likely to Give Blood Than Engage in Politics

Twenty-three percent (23%) of voters have given blood over the past year while just 6% have volunteered for a political campaign. In fact, they are far more willing to give of their time to a wide variety of community activities than to even display a political bumper sticker or yard sign.

That’s because they overwhelmingly believe that volunteering for community activities is the best way to have a positive impact. Ninety-four percent(94%) also believe that giving to charity is a better use of money than giving to a political campaign.

This and other data strongly suggests that voters have a healthy perspective on the nation’s future. They accept the reality  that culture and technology lead the nation forward, politics and politicians lag behind.  Eighty-three percent (83%) recognize that Steve Jobs and Bill Gates have had a bigger impact on the world we live in than Presidents of the United States. Sixty-one percent (61%) believe that new technologies will have a bigger impact on our future than the federal government. This view is shared by people of all ages, all races, from all parts of the country, and across all partisan lines.

I expand on these themes in my latest book, The Sun Is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will NotIt explains why I am so optimistic about America’s future despite deep pessimism about our political system.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Voters Value Community Service More Than Political Engagement

Eighty-nine percent (89%) of voters nationwide believe that volunteering for community activities has a bigger positive impact than engaging in political campaigns. A ScottRasmussen.com survey also found that 94% believe that giving to charity is a better use of money than giving to a political campaign (see question wording and crosstabs).

Not only that, voters live out that belief with the use of their time. Over the past year, the single most common political activity involved very little personal involvement: 15% have displayed a political sign or bumper sticker. During that same time frame, a larger number have volunteered to help the poor (31%), volunteered at a church or religious event (28%), given blood (23%), or volunteered with a school organization (22%).

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 9-10, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. We will track these expectations again as the campaign season progresses.

This and other data strongly suggests that voters have a healthy perspective on the nation’s future. They accept the reality  that culture and technology lead the nation forward, politics and politicians lag behind.  Eighty-three percent (83%) recognize that Steve Jobs and Bill Gates have had a bigger impact on the world we live in than Presidents of the United States. Sixty-one percent (61%) believe that new technologies will have a bigger impact on our future than the federal government. This view is shared by people of all ages, all races, from all parts of the country, and across all partisan lines.

Rather than seeking political solutions to every problem, voters recognize that there is far more to governing society than formal government. A recent example of this is the 55% believe Facebook has too much power but just 21% want the federal government to regulate social media giants. I expand on these themes in my latest book, The Sun Is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will NotIt explains why I am so optimistic about America’s future despite deep pessimism about our political system.

All data presented by ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

Beyond displaying a political sign, the most common political engagement also requires little personal effort: 13% have written a check to at least one political campaign.

More voters have undertaken the heavy lifting of coaching a youth sports team (9%) or organizing a charity drive (8%) than have volunteered for a political campaign (6%). Eight percent (8%), however, have attended a campaign rally and 7% have attended a Town Hall meeting or had some other meeting with a Member of Congress.

Data released earlier shows that just 26% of voters are following news of the midterm elections Very Closely.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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87% Say US is a Great Nation, But…

Eighty-seven percent (87%) of voters believe the United States is a great nation and 72% believe it has always been great. However, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that most Americans believe the nation has a lot of work to do before it can live up to its founding ideals. And, they’re realistic enough to not expect Utopia.

Just 50% believe the nation lives up to the ideal of Freedom Very Well. Only 24% say the same about how well we live out the ideal of Equality. And 28% think we practice Self-Governance Very Well (see question wording and crosstabs). Most though, think we do at least somewhat well with all of them. The biggest concern is on the topic of Equality where 37% think the U.S. does Somewhat or Very Poorly.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 19-20, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample).

These mixed assessments confirm earlier data showing that 84% believe the United States is a land of opportunity but only 33% believe the nation provides liberty and justice for all. Collectively, the data suggests voters recognize that for all its positive traits, the United States is far from perfect.

That same pragmatic assessment applies to the future. Just 20% believe the United States will do a Much Better job living up to its ideals in the future. Forty-eight percent (48%) are more cautious in their expectations and expect that the nation will do a Somewhat Better job.

A significant minority, 32%, fear things will head in the wrong direction. That includes 40% of Democrats, 33% of Independents, and 21% of Republicans.

The data is presented by ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Crosstabs September 9-10,2018

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Crosstabs September 6-7, 2018

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Pence Viewed Favorably by 46%

Vice President Mike Pence is viewed favorably by 46% of voters nationwide, up slightly from 42% a month ago. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that he is viewed unfavorably by 39% (see question wording and crosstabs).

In addition to Pence, all four of the top Congressional leaders saw their favorable number improve a bit over the past month. House Speaker Paul Ryan is now viewed favorably by 38% up from 32% a month ago. House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi attracts favorable reviews from 33%, a three-point improvement.

The biggest gains were recorded by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. He is now viewed favorably by 30%, up from 20% in August. McConnell is now viewed favorably by 50% of Republicans, up from 36% in the previous poll.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer gained four points to 33% favorable.  However, he is the only Congressional leader to also see his negative numbers rise. Forty-one percent (41%) now view Schumer unfavorably, up from 37% last month.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 6-7, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

All data presented by ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Crosstabs August 19-20, 2018

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Nation Remains Divided Over Abortion

Fifty percent (50%) of voters nationwide believe that abortion should be legal either all the time or nearly all the time. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters found that another 50% believe abortion should be legal in only rare circumstances or never.

Those figures include 32% who believe abortion should always be legal and 21% who believe it should never be legal (see question wording and crosstabs).

Among those who talk politics on a daily basis, 52% believe that abortion should always be legal. As for those who rarely or never talk politics, just 28% hold that view.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) say it is too easy to get an abortion in America while 16% believe it is too hard. Twenty-two percent (22%) think its about right and 22% are not sure.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 9-10, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and sample Demographics). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Data released earlier showed that 31% of voters incorrectly believe that abortion will be illegal in the United States if the Supreme Court overturns the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision.

Moving beyond the legal issues, half of the survey participants were asked if abortion is morally wrong most of the time. Sixty-three percent said yes. The other half were asked if abortion is morally right most of the time. Thirty-four percent (34%) said that it was.

Democrats are divided on this point. Forty-five percent (45%) believe abortion is morally wrong most of the time while 43% believe it is morally right. Republicans overwhelmingly tend to believe it is morally wrong most of the time. Sixty-six percent (66%) of Independents view most abortions as morally wrong while 42% say most are morally right (NOTE: Totals don’t add to 100% because these results came from different questions asked of different respondents).

All data presented by ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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64% Support Single-Payer Health Care, Sort Of

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 64% of voters nationwide support the idea of a single-payer national health insurance plan where the federal government provides health insurance for everyone. That support comes from 80% of Democrats, 65% of Independents, and 45% of Republicans. That finding is consistent with data released earlier showing that 68% believe it is Very Important to provide every American with access to quality health care.

However, what voters support is far from the idea promoted by Senator Bernie Sanders and others. Sanders would eliminate private insurance options. Only 19% of voters are willing to support that approach. That includes only 23% of Democrats, 15% of Independents, and 16% of Republicans (see question wording and crosstabs). That finding is consistent with the deep commitment of Americans to individual freedom. Sixty-four percent (64%) of voters believe that freedom is more important than democracy.

Instead of banning private insurance, 81% believe every American should have a choice between the government program and a private insurance option. It is difficult to imagine any political dynamic where most voters would support giving up that choice, especially since 67% rate their own health insurance as good or excellent.

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of voters also rate the quality of medical care they receive as good or excellent. Many voters (44%) believe that quality of care would suffer if people were required to buy their insurance from the government. Only 19% think it would improve. In terms of improving care, most (53%) believe that new technologies will have a bigger positive impact on health care than new government policies. Just 24% believe government policies will have a bigger impact.

This national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 14-15, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Adding to the concerns about the quality of care, 42% believe the cost of care would go up if government was the only provider. Just 34% believe it would go down. Data released earlier showed that 51% believe increased competition will do more than more government regulation to reduce the cost of health care. Only 21% believe increasing regulation would be more likely to succeed.

The overall tone of this data is similar to data showing support for the concept of Socialism. While 42% of voters have at least a somewhat favorable view of socialism, they are far from supporting the ideology as it has been traditionally understood. Most who like the concept do not believe it means a more powerful government with higher taxes. A relatively small number (17%) like socialism if it means a system where the government owns most or all of the nation’s major businesses.

The same phenomenon can be found concerning Universal Basic Income. While 46% support the concept in an undefined manner, only 15% support the plan if it means providing funds to everyone regardless of their willingness to work. Among voters, there remains a strong belief that if someone is able to work and support themselves, they must do so.

The data is presented by ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Voters Not Sure Which Party Will Win Congress in November

While most political analysts, activists, and commentators expect the Democrats to win control of the House this year, voters aren’t so sure. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey conducted Sunday and Monday found that 37% expect the Republicans to maintain control while 35% expect the Democrats to win a majority.

Democrats currently have a 10-point advantage on the Generic Congressional Ballot. A race-by-race analysis suggests that the Democrats are almost certain to gain seats in November. The only question appears to be whether they will fall just short of a majority, win a narrow majority, or surf a Big Blue Wave to a solid majority.

This disconnect may be the result of many people simply disbelieving the pundits after the near universal prediction that Hillary Clinton would win the presidential election in 2016. Or it may simply be partisan blinders. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans expect their party will emerge victorious while only 68% of Democrats express such confidence. Half of Independent voters (48%) are not sure (see question wording and crosstabs).

Another possible explanation is that voters aren’t yet tuned into the election season. Just 26% are following news about the elections Very Closely. Another 40% are following the news Somewhat Closely. This latter explanation seems to gain confirmation from the fact that the results are virtually identical when voters are asked who will win the Senate. Most analysts expect the GOP to retain control of that body.

The fact that many voters aren’t yet engaged adds an element of volatility to the campaign season.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 9-10, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. We will track these expectations again as the campaign season progresses.

Those following the election news Very Closely tend to believe the Democrats will win the House (by a 47% to 40% margin). That’s more in line with the expectations of the political world. However, they also expect the Democrats to win the Senate (by a 46% to 42% margin).

The gap between perceptions of the political world and other voters is highlighted by another piece of data. Most voters do not assume that a Democratic majority will vote to impeach President Trump. Most Democrats expect this to happen, but only a quarter of Republicans and Independents believe so. Senior Democrats in Congress have been trying to downplay the possibility of impeachment believing it will hurt their prospects in November. Many Democratic activists, however, want it to be a central issue in the campaign. So far, it is not.

All data presented by ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Crosstabs August 14-15, 2018

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Crosstabs August 9-10, 2018

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The following question was asked only of those who said abortion should be legal some of the time

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Crosstabs September 9-10, 2018

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The following two questions were asked of a SPLIT SAMPLE. Half of all respondents were asked each question

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Sample Demographics September 9-10, 2018

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56% Believe Fitness Apps Lead to Better Health

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters nationwide believe that apps and devices monitoring health, fitness, and diet lead to improved health. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 44% disagree (see question wording and results).

Men are somewhat more confident than women about the value of self-monitoring apps and other devices. However, the real difference in perspective is generational. Seventy-six percent (76%) of those under 35 believe that such tools improve the health of the average user. That falls to 35% for America’s senior citizens.

Americans of all ages agree, however, that a person’s lifestyle choices have a bigger impact than medical care on a person’s health and quality of life. Overall, 83% of voters hold this view.

Most voters (53%) believe that new technologies will have a bigger positive impact on health care than new government policies. Just 24% believe government policies will have a bigger impact while 22% are not sure.

This data is presented by ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Interestingly, while younger voters are more likely to see the impact of technology on a personal basis, older voters see it as having a bigger impact on the future of health care. Among Millennial Voters, 44% think technology will have a bigger impact while 30% look to government policies. Among Baby Boomers and the Silent Generation, 57% see the most positive benefits coming from new technologies while 19% say government policies will have the bigger impact.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 6-7, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Other data released earlier showed that 51% believe increased competition will do more than more government regulation to reduce the cost of health care. Just 21% believe increasing regulation would be more likely to succeed. The preference for competition is consistent with the deep commitment of Americans to individual freedom. Sixty-four percent (64%) of voters believe that freedom is more important than democracy.

Health care is one of the top issues on the minds of voters this year. Sixty-eight percent (68%) believe it is Very Important to provide every American with access to quality health care. As the midterm elections approach, voters are more likely to trust Democrats than Republicans to address health care topics.

Currently, just 30% rate the health care system as good or excellent. However, 68% say the medical care they receive as good or excellent and 67% say the same about their insurance coverage. Seventy-four percent (74%) also rate their current health as good or excellent.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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21% of Voters Belong to the Resistance

Twenty-one percent (21%) of Registered Voters consider themselves part of the Resistance to President Trump. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 70% of them will “Definitely” vote in November. That’s a higher level of interest than is expressed by other voters. As a result, among those most likely to vote in November, 26% belong to the Resistance. That’s one reason the Democrats currently have a significant advantage on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

Forty percent (40%) of Democrats are part of the Resistance along with 16% of Independent voters. Despite much talk among pundits about growing Republican opposition to the president, just 3% of GOP voters consider themselves part of the anti-Trump effort.

This information was collected as part of the ScottRasmussen.com Daily Tracking Poll. The survey of 3,000 Registered Voters as conducted September 4-7, 2018 by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the demographic profile of our sample). Of that overall sample, 629 respondents considered themselves part of the Resistance.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of Resistance members are politically liberal and 43% politically moderate.

Women are a bit more likely than men to be part of the resistance. White voters are a bit less likely than others. There is little difference along age or generational lines. Among all who disapprove of the president, 42% are part of the Resistance.

ScottRasmussen.com is currently updating the president’s Job Approval, the Generic Congressional Ballot and a measure of trust in the federal government on a weekly basis. Data is being collected daily and we will switch to daily releases later in September.

The data is presented by ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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On Their Personal Top Issue, 33% Trust Democrats and 32% Trust Republicans

When considering the issue that is most important to them personally, 33% of voters trust the Democrats more than Republicans. Thirty-two percent (32%) place more trust in Republicans. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 17% don’t trust either party and 6% trust both equally (see question wording and results).

Data released earlier showed that the economy and health care are the most important issues to voters. Republicans are trusted more on the economy, Democrats more on health care.

Those earlier releases focused on the overall aggregated responses. For this ScottRasmussen.com analysis, we looked at what each respondent identified as their top issue and which party they trusted the most on it. So, for example, if the top issue for someone was gun laws, we looked at which party they trusted the most on gun laws. If their top issue was economic inequality, we looked at which party they trusted more on that.

This analysis is part of our commitment o enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Women trust Democrats on their personal top issue by a 34% to 26% margin. Men trust Republicans by a 39% to 32% margin. Younger voters trust Democrats more while older voters trust Republicans.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 10-11, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Who Has Too Much Or Too Little Power?

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Crosstabs September 5-6, 2018

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55% Believe Facebook Has Too Much Power

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters nationwide believe that Facebook has too much power. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 47% said the same about Twitter (see question wording and results).

Despite these concerns, just 21% want the federal government to regulate the social media giants.

Three other big tech firms were seen in slightly less fearful terms. Forty-two percent (42%) said Google has too much power, 42% say the same about Apple, and Amazon is viewed that way by 40%.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 5-6, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

One way to put those numbers in context is to recognize that just 38% believe the Supreme Court has too much power. Forty-eight percent (48%) say the same about the Presidency and 58% believe appointed officials at government agencies have too much power. A column earlier this year looked at the epic power struggle between government and the tech industry.

In addition to specific companies and branches of government, we asked about 20 other groups in society. In only four cases did more people say the group had too little power rather than too much. Seventy-two percent (72%) believe the American people have too little power while just 7% say too much. Small businesses did nearly as well (63% too little power, 6% too much). Forty percent (40%) think local civic groups should have more power while 15% believe they already have too much. Finally, local churches and religious institutions were seen as having too much power by 25% and too little power by 27%.

Public opinion was also divided on police with 32% thinking they have too much power and 28% too little (see the full list).

Six groups were seen as having too much power by more than 60% of voters: Billionaires, Large Corporations, CEO’s, Media Executives, Lobbyists, and individual Members of Congress. The results for individual Members of Congress is interesting because just 47% believe that Congress as a whole has too much power. Still, 61% believe that individual Members are too powerful.

All data presented by ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Crosstabs September 7, 2018

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21% Want Federal Regulation of Social Media Giants

Twenty-one percent (21%) of Registered Voters believe the federal government should impose regulations on social media companies to ensure equal opportunities for all points of view. However, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey finds that 79% believe companies like Facebook and Twitter should be allowed to manage their own users.

While conservatives are generally thought to be uncomfortable with government regulation, 27% of conservative voters want to see new regulations imposed on the social media giants. Liberal voters are a bit less supportive of the idea (see question wording and results).

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 6-7, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Half of all voters (51%) believe that social media companies offer and unbiased platform for all users. Thirty-six percent (36%) believe they are biased against conservatives and 13% say they are biased against liberals. Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Republicans believe that social media companies are biased against conservatives. Just 18% of Democrats and 34% of independents share that concern.

Just over half of all voters (55%) believe government regulators are likely to be more biased than the social media companies. Most Democrats (70%) and Independents (57%) share this view. However, 64% of Republicans think the big tech companies will be more biased.

Even though private companies such as Facebook and Twitter are not bound by the First Amendment, America’s deep cultural commitment to free speech plays an important role in perceptions of social media. Sixty-six percent (66%) of voter believe free speech rights of individual users are more important than the  ability of social media companies to monitor the content on their platform.

All data presented by ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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34% Believe GOP Tax Cuts Have Helped the Economy

Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters nationwide believe that the tax cuts passed by Congress have helped the economy while 24% believe they hurt the economy. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 17% think they had no impact and 24% are not sure.

Not surprisingly, there is a massive partisan divide on this question. Republicans, by a 66% to 6% margin, believe the tax cuts have helped the economy. Forty percent of (40%) of Democrats, however, believe they hurt the economy. Just 12% of Democrats believe the tax cuts helped. Independent voters are evenly divided–30% believe they helped while 24% believed they hurt (see question wording and results).

The survey also found that 73% of voters believe the federal government should do more to help the economy. Among those who want the government to do more, 43% want to see more cuts in government spending. Thirty percent (30%) want more tax cuts.

Twenty-two percent (22%) mistakenly believe that federal spending has gone down during the Trump Administration. In fact, the president’s budget does not include a single year of projected spending cuts. Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters recognize that spending has gone up while 41% believe it has stayed about the same. While spending has gone up, the increases have been about the same as increases over recent decades.

This national survey of 999 Registered Voters was conducted August 12-13, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

This data is presented to further the mission of ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Crosstabs August 12-13, 2018

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Crosstabs August 6-7, 2018

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In Health Care, Voters See Competition As Better Than Regulation

Voters have more confidence in competition than government regulation to improve the nation’s health care system.

In terms of reducing cost, 51% of voters nationwide believe that more competition is the better approach. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 21% believe increasing regulation would be more likely to succeed. Twenty-seven percent (27%) are not sure.

As for increasing the quality of medical care, 44% prefer competition, 19% regulation, and 37% are not sure (see question wording and results).

Republican voters overwhelmingly believe that increased competition is the better approach. Independent voters favor competition by a 2-to-1 margin while Democrats are divided. In terms of reducing costs, 42% of Democrats believe competition would be better while 33% prefer regulation. As for improving the quality of care, 35% of Democrats think competition would do more while 29% pick regulation.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 6-7, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Data released earlier showed that just 30% rate the health care system as good or excellent. However, 68% say the medical care they receive as good or excellent and 67% say the same about their insurance coverage. Seventy-four percent (74%) also rate their current health as good or excellent.

The preference for competition is consistent with the deep commitment of Americans to individual freedom. Sixty-four percent (64%) of voters believe that freedom is more important than democracy.

Health care is one of the top issues on the minds of voters this year. Sixty-eight percent (68%) believe it is Very Important to provide every American with access to quality health care. As the midterm elections approach, voters are more likely to trust Democrats than Republicans to address health care topics.

The data is presented by ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Crosstabs August 10-11, 2018

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44% Believe FBI Tried to Interfere with 2016 Election

Forty-four percent (44%) of voters believe that the FBI attempted to interfere with the 2016 presidential election. Among those who believe there was attempted interference, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 56% believe the agency tried to help Democrat Hillary Clinton and 44% believe it tried to help Donald Trump.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of Republicans believe that the FBI attempted to interfere in the election. Thirty-one percent (31%) of Democrats agree as do 43% of Independents (see question wording and results).

Data released earlier showed that 58% of voters believe the Russian government attempted to interfere with the 2016 election. Thirty-three percent (33%) believe Russian interference cost Hillary Clinton the election.

The prospect of a government agency attempting to interfere with the election isn’t shocking to most Americans. In fact, 76% believe government agencies generally use their powers to help their favored candidate. Only 24% believe that government agencies generally remain neutral.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 10-11, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

More specifically concerning the 2016 election, 42% also believe the Obama Administration used government agencies to spy on the Trump campaign. That figure highlights the deeply polarized nature of the political process today. It shows a deep skepticism about the ethics of the Obama Administration and is almost the same as the number on the other side who want President Trump impeached and removed from office.

This data is presented by ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). By focusing on underlying attitudes and respecting the opinions of the general public, we find that there is far more common ground in American society than in American politics. We believe that focusing on common ground in a respectful manner can, over time, help to create a less toxic political system, one that is more worthy of the society it serves.

Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Most folks want less noise, more substance, from lawmakers

A nice editorial in the Oklahoman this morning builds upon research from ScottRasmussen.com.

The Editorial Board wrote that the Kavanaugh confirmation hearings “gave the partisans from both major parties plenty of ammo for their constant attacks on each other, but it most likely did little to engage or persuade Americans who have grown weary of politics and politicians.”

Citing my recent column, they noted that most voters have mixed views and don’t see the midterms as the ultimate fight between good and evil. In their words, “these polls indicate the high-pitched, ideologically driven battles so prevalent today are less important to most folks than politicians getting meaningful work accomplished. They want less noise, more substance.”

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Voters Trust Democrats on Health Care, Republicans on the Economy

Thirty-six percent (36%) of Voters trust Republicans on the economy while 27% trust the Democrats. However, on the issue of health care, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 38% trust the Democrats and only 25% trust the GOP (see question wording and results).

Data released earlier showed that the economy and health care are the most important issues to voters. The third most important issue is immigration. Voters are fairly evenly divided as to who they trust on this issue. Thirty-five percent (35%) trust the Democrats and 31% have more confidence in the GOP.

Fifty percent 50% of voters rate the economy as good or excellent. Just 30% say the same about our health care system.

The data is presented by ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

On other issues, Republicans are trusted more than Democrats when it comes to job creation, gun laws, taxes, national security, and fighting terrorism. Democrats are trusted more to deal with income inequality, the environment, civil rights, and fighting poverty.

Voters under 50 are evenly divided as to which party they trust more on gun laws. Forty percent (40%) of older voters trust Republicans more on this issue while just 28% trust the Democrats.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 10-11, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

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Sample Demographics September 6-7, 2018

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Economy, Health Care, and Immigration Top Issues for Voters

Nineteen percent (19%) of voters nationwide say the economy is their top issue, 18% name health care, and 10% are most interested in immigration. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 9% see national security as the most important issue and 7% name gun laws (see question wording and results).

Among Republicans, the economy is most important named by 29% of GOP voters. Immigration (15%) and national security (13%) are also major concerns for Republican voters.

The top three issues for Democrats are health care (26%), Civil Rights (11%) and the economy (11%).

Nineteen percent (19%) of Independents name health care as the top issue and the same number cite the economy. Immigration is the third top issue for Independents (10%).

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 10-11, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Ideologically, health care is the most important issue among liberal voters (34%). Civil rights issues (13%) are second.

Thirty-four percent (34%) of those who lean conservative see economy as the top issue. Among Strong Conservatives, the economy (21%) and immigration (21%) are tied.

Political moderates are most interested in health care (21%) and the economy (17%).

A separate survey found that voters believe Health Care, Immigration, and Gun Control are the top items on the Supreme Court Agenda.

The data is presented by ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Crosstabs August 10-11, 2018

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Sample Demographics Sept 5-6, 2018

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Crosstabs September 6-7, 2018

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43% See Congress As More Conservative Than Nation

As the fall election season gets started, 43% of Registered Voters nationwide believe that Congress is more conservative than the nation’s political views. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 32% believe it is more liberal than than the nation.

A month ago, 38% said it was more conservative and 34% more liberal. It is too early to know whether this reflects an ongoing trend or something less significant.

Among those most likely to vote, the perception gap is even wider. Forty-seven percent (47%) of these voters believe Congress is more conservative than the nation it is supposed to serve. Just 30% believe it is more liberal (see question wording and results).

All data presented by ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Among all voters, 33% said that their Congressional vote will be to oppose the president while 32% said they want to support the president. A plurality (35%) says that the president is not a factor. Among those most likely to vote, 36% see their vote as a way to oppose the president while 32% want to support him. At this time, the Democrats have a 10-point advantage over the Republicans on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

On a more personal level, 31% believe their own representative in Congress is more conservative than they are while 23% believe their representative is more liberal.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 6-7, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Crosstabs September 4-7, 2018

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31% Believe Overturning Roe v. Wade Will Make Abortion Illegal

Thirty-one percent (31%) of voters incorrectly believe that abortion will be illegal if the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision is overturned.  Another 8% incorrectly believe that overturning Roe v. Wade would make abortion legal everywhere.

However, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that most voters have a more accurate understanding of the implications. Thirty-five percent (35%) recognize that overturning Roe v. Wade would allow each state to set their own rules concerning abortion.

Another 25% believe that the end result is that abortion would be legal in some circumstances with some restrictions (see question wording and results). Given overall attitudes about abortion, that would be the likely result of each state setting their own rules. Other research firms such as Gallup have found strong popular support for some restrictions on abortion.

Thirty-six percent (36%) of Democrats believe that overturning Roe v. Wade would make abortion illegal in America. So do 34% of Independents and 24% or Republicans.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 9-10, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and sample Demographics). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up HERE to receive our daily email update. You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Crosstabs August 9-10, 2018

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Crosstabs September 4-5, 2018

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The Following Question Was Asked Only of those who Responded Yes to Previous Question

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37% Believe Parents Who Brought Children to US Illegally Should Be Allowed to Remain

While there is strong support for allowing children brought into the United States illegally by their parents to remain in the U.S., the same attitude does not extend to their parents. Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters believe the parents should be allowed to remain. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 38% disagree and say they should not while 25% are unsure.

There is a significant generation gap on this topic. Forty-eight percent (48%) of those under 50 believe the parents should be allowed to remain. Among older voters, just 26% hold that view.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of Democrats believe the parents should be allowed to remain. Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Republicans agree along with 17% of Republicans.

Sixty-two percent (62%) of Hispanic voters believe the parents should be allowed to remain along with 50% of Black voters and 31% of White Voters (see question wording and results).

This national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted September 4-5, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Related data released earlier showed that 51% of voters see a clear distinction between legal and illegal immigration. Legal immigration is generally seen as good for the country while illegal immigration is generally seen as bad.

In terms of policy, voters are evenly divided between a focus on stopping illegal immigration or addressing the status of those living illegally in the country today.

Immigration is seen by voters as one of the top issues on the Supreme Court Agenda. 

All data is presented by ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Sample Demographics September 4-5, 2018

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68% Believe It’s Very Important to Provide Every American With Access to Quality Health Care

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of voters believe it is Very Important to ensure that every American has access to quality health care. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that another 16% believe it is Somewhat Important.

Not surprisingly, therefore, 81%  favor providing financial assistance to people who cannot afford health insurance or medical care. Most of that group (56%) believe the federal government should provide such assistance. Twenty-one percent (21%) want state governments to provide it, while 8% think the assistance should come from hospitals and doctors (see question wording and results).

When asked if healthy Americans should pay a bit more than is needed for their own health insurance to ensure that every American has access to quality health care, just 42% said yes. Most Democrats (56%) liked this option. That view is shared by 38% of Independents and 30% of Republicans.

This national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 14-15, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

The data is presented by ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Sample Demographics August 14-15, 2018

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Crosstabs August 14-15, 2018

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Crosstabs September 5-6, 2018

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NOTE: The following questions were not asked of those following the news “Not Closely at all” or “Not Sure”


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Kavanaugh Hearings Have Little Impact on Public Opinion

The confirmation hearings for Judge Brett Kavanaugh were contentious and generated plenty of media coverage, but had virtually no impact on public opinion.

Just 27% of voters nationwide followed the news Very Closely.  A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that’s up from 13% prior to the hearings. Another 36% say they’ve been following the story Somewhat Closely (see question wording and results).

Perhaps the lack of interest was due to the widespread expectation that Kavanaugh is likely to be confirmed regardless of the public hearings.  Among those paying at least a bit of attention, 84% believe Kavanaugh is at least somewhat likely to win confirmation. That hasn’t changed at all from our earlier survey.

This latest national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 5-6, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and sample Demographics). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error  with a 95% level of confidence.

Twenty-two percent (22%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Kavanaugh while 18% have a Very Unfavorable view. The rest (60%) have softer opinions. Ideologically, 36% say Kavanaugh is about right while 34% say too conservative. All these results are similar to pre-hearing data.

Fifty-two percent (52%) of those following the story so far want their Senator to vote for confirmation while 48% would prefer a vote against. Those numbers have reversed since August but continue to show an evenly divided nation.

This data is presented by ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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43% Believe Permission From Government Should Be Required to Purchase Gun

If someone wants to buy a gun, 43% of voters nationwide believe they should be required to explain to the government why they need it and then get permission from the government for the purchase.

A ScottRasmussen.com national opinion survey found that 58% of Democrats hold that view. The idea that government permission should be required to purchase a gun is shared by 43% of Independent voters and 25% of Republicans (see question wording and results).

This national survey of 999 Registered Voters was conducted August 12-13, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

The right to bear arms, confirmed in the Second Amendment to the Constitution, is considered “Absolutely Essential” by 45% of voters and Not at All Important by 12%.

Among voters under 35, a majority (57%) favor requiring government permission for gun ownership. Only a third of those over 50 (33%) agree.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of white voters favor this concept along with 55% of black voters and 66% of Hispanic voters.

Among all voters, 23% would go even further. They ban private ownership of guns so that only the military, police, and other government officials are allowed to carry guns. That total includes 34% of Democrats, 21% of Independents, and 11% of Republicans.

Data released earlier showed overwhelming support for modest restrictions such as background checks and waiting periods. However, just 38% believe such steps would significantly reduce the number of gun deaths. Still, most voters (60%) would feel safer living in a community where people are free to own guns rather than a community where guns are outlawed.

The data is presented to further the mission of ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Protesting the National Anthem, Freedom of Speech, and Justice

Sixty-nine percent (69%) of voters nationwide believe freedom of speech is Absolutely Essential. Another 23% believe it is Very Important. In a deeply polarized political era, it’s encouraging—and amazing–to find that nine-out-of-ten Americans recognize this basic freedom is so important.

However, agreeing that free speech is important doesn’t mean agreeing with the way others use that freedom. A prime example of this in today’s world has been the intense debate about NFL players taking a knee during the national anthem.

It’s become a hot button issue because playing the national anthem is a deeply embedded part of the culture surrounding sports in America. Seventy-nine percent (79%) of NFL fans say that playing the national anthem is an important part of an NFL game. Just over half Strongly Agree with that notion.

So, when Colin Kaepernick first disrupted that cultural norm, people noticed. When other players joined him, the protests seemed to sometimes generate more coverage and interest than the game itself. The league has very publicly struggled to find a solution that the players can accept and also addresses the reality that six-out-of-ten fans disapprove of the protest.

If you listen to the loudest voices and the political echoes surrounding this debacle, it seems as if there is nothing upon which the opposing voices can agree. But at ScottRasmussen.com, we believe that there is far more common ground in American society than in American politics. We try to find that common ground by asking questions from a different perspective that can provide a richer understanding of the topic at hand.

In the case of football and the national anthem, we decided to focus on a different aspect of the game experience. Do fans approve of the teams’ continuing to sell concessions like beer and popcorn while it is being played? Nearly half of all NFL fans and most voters nationwide disapprove. In other words, not only do they think it would be nice if the players would simply stand to respect the national anthem, they also think it would be nice if the teams’ stopped selling for a moment to show the same respect.

And, it should be noted, most Americans seem to understand what both sides are trying to say. The players say they are taking a stand for justice and 67% of voters agree that the United States today does not provide liberty and justice for all. There may be disagreement on the details and how far short we fall, but there is a widespread recognition that all of us have work to do before our country fully lives up to its highest ideals.

At the same time, 84% believe the United States is a land of opportunity. That very fact is what gives the affluent football players the opportunity to be heard. All of us are fortunate to live in a nation founded upon the noble ideals of freedom, equality and self-governance.

While freedom of speech is sometimes uncomfortable, it remains essential. America’s football fans seem to appreciate that fact in perhaps the most interesting finding from our survey. We offered them a choice: stop playing the national anthem to avoid all the distractions or play the anthem and allow the protests to continue. Sixty-three percent (63%) of NFL fans said play the anthem.

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61% Believe Human Activity Primary Cause of Global Warming

Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters nationwide believe that human activity is the primary cause of global warming or climate change. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 39% disagree and believe natural environmental factors drive the change.

A split sample approach was used for this survey. Half the respondents were asked about “global warming” and half were asked about “climate change.” There were only modest differences in the responses, so results in this article are presented on a combined basis (see question wording and results).

Fifty-eight percent (58%) believe it is at least somewhat likely that new technologies will solve the major problems associated with climate change.

Forty-one percent (41%) believe it is at least somewhat likely that new government regulations will solve the major problems associated with climate change.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 7-8, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Data released earlier showed that 40% of voters view global warming/climate change as a Very Serious problem. However, 66% were unwilling to pay more than $100 annually to address it.

Seventy-six percent (76%) of Democrats and 63% of Independents believe human activity is the primary reason for global warming/climate change. However, a majority of Republicans (55%) take the opposite view (see crosstabs).

This data and other daily updates are released to further our mission of enhancing the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Crosstabs August 7-8, 2018

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Crosstabs August 12-13, 2018

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The following question was asked only of those in a family where no one owns a gun

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38% Believe Background Checks, Waiting Periods Will Significantly Reduce Number of Gun Deaths

Ninety-two percent (92%) of voters nationwide favor modest restrictions on the ability to purchase guns such as waiting periods and background checks. However, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 38% believe such steps would significantly reduce the number of gun deaths in America.

Most Democrats (56%) believe such modest efforts would significantly reduce the number of gun deaths. Only 21% of Republicans and 34% of Independent voters agree (see question wording and results).

Overall, 81% believe it is too easy to purchase a gun in the United States today.

However, 60% of voters would feel safer living in a community where people are free to own guns rather than a community where guns are outlawed. On this question, there is again a massive partisan divide. Eighty-two percent (82%) of Republicans would feel safer in a community where people are allowed to own guns. So would 63% of Independent voters. But, 61% of Democrats take the opposite view and would feel safer in a community where guns are outlawed.

Much of this can be traced to personal experience with guns. Most (60%) who don’t have a gun in the family and who don’t expect to own one in the future prefer a community where guns are outlawed. Most (73%) who live in a household with a gun feel safer in a community where gun ownership is allowed.

This national survey of 999 Registered Voters was conducted August 12-13, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

This data is presented to further the mission of ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Sample Demographics August 12-13, 2018

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Crosstabs August 13-14, 2018

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63% Not Ready for Voting By Smartphone

Even if they could be assured that their vote would be private, secure, and valid, just 37% of Registered Voters nationwide are ready to vote by smartphone. A ScottRasmussen.com national opinion survey found that 63% believe there is there too much risk of tampering and meddling for them to consider voting with their smartphone (see question wording and results).

Not surprisingly, there is a huge generation gap on this question. Most voters under 35 (55%) are ready to vote by smartphone. Just 17% of senior citizens think it’s a good idea.

Forty-two percent (42%) of Republicans are ready to give it a try along with 37% of Democrats and 31% of Independents.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 13-14, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily updates and analysis to further our mission of enhancing the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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The Most Important Freedoms

Sixty-nine percent (69%) of voters consider Freedom of Speech “Absolutely Essential.” Sixty-eight percent (68%) say the same about Freedom of Religion. When you add in those who consider these rights “Very Important,” it turns out that nine-out-of-ten Americans agree on their importance. That’s an amazing level of agreement in this polarized political climate.

The freedom to be ourselves is especially important when 64% believe that Freedom is more important than democracy

 

 

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Crosstabs August 7-8, 2018

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40% See Global Warming as Very Serious Problem

Forty percent (40%) of voters nationwide believe global warming or climate change is a Very Serious problem. Another 33% see it as Somewhat Serious. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 14% believe these are Not Very Serious problems while 9% say Not at All Serious.

A split sample approach was used for this survey. Half the respondents were asked about “global warming” and half were asked about “climate change.” There was no significant difference in the responses, so results in this article are presented on a combined basis (see question wording and results).

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 7-8, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the Demographic profile of our sample). The Margin of Error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

This data and other daily updates are released to further our mission of enhancing the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Sixty-three percent (63%) of Democrats believe global warming/climate change is a Very Serious problem. That view is shared by 37% of Independents and 17% of Republicans. Voters under 35 see it as a bigger problem than older voters.

Among urban residents, 47% see global warming/climate change as a Very Serious problem. Forty-one percent (41%) of suburban voters agree along with just 28% of rural voters (see crosstabs).

While citing climate concerns as a major problem, two-thirds of Americans (66%) are unwilling to pay more than $100 a year to address it. That figure includes 8% who are willing to pay $100 a year, 15% willing to pay $50 a year, and 43% who are not willing to pay anything.

At the other extreme, 12% are willing to pay whatever it takes and 7% will pay $1,000 annually.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Crosstabs August 15-16, 2018

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38% Say Supreme Court Has Too Much Power, 51% Say Right Amount

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters nationwide believe that the Supreme Court has too much power. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 51% believe the Justices have the right amount of power. Data released earlier shows that 60% of voters approve of the way the Court is performing its role.

The Court looks good in comparison to other branches of government. Forty-eight percent (48%) believe the presidency has too much power and 47% say the same about Congress. Not surprisingly, there’s a partisan twist to these numbers. If a Democrat was in the White House, Republicans would be more concerned about the president having too much power and Democrats would be less concerned.

The biggest public concern, however, lies with appointed officials in government agencies. Fifty-eight percent (58%) believe they have too much power. Just over half of younger voters hold this view (52%). Among those over 50, 65% believe these political appointees have too much power.

At the other extreme, 72% believe that the American people have too little power (see question wording and results). 

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 15-16, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and sample Demographics). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error  with a 95% level of confidence.

A related survey found that 64% believe freedom is more important than democracy. Other data showed that just 33% believe the US offers liberty and justice for all.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). We release new polling data four to eight times each day. Receive the latest numbers via email each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update.

You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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57% Disapprove of NFL Owners Selling Beer & Popcorn During National Anthem

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters nationwide disapprove of NFL owners selling concessions like beer and popcorn while the national anthem is being played. A ScottRasmussen.com national opinion survey also found that 62% disapprove of players protesting during the anthem (see question wording and topline results).

NFL fans, those who watch at least a game a week, are a bit less opposed to concession sales. Among these fans, 54% are okay with selling beer and popcorn. Forty percent (40%) approve of the player protests.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). We release new polling data four to eight times each day. Sign up HERE to receive the latest numbers in our daily email update. You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

A related survey found that just 33% believe the United States truly offers liberty and justice for all.

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of NFL fans say that playing the national anthem is an important part of an NFL game. Just over half Strongly Agree with that notion. Given a choice between not playing the anthem or playing it but allowing players to kneel, 63% of fans prefer playing the anthem and allowing the protest. Among all voters, 58% share that view.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 21-22, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and sample Demographics). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error  with a 95% level of confidence. See Crosstabs.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Toplines August 21-22, 2018

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ScottRasmussen.com

National Opinion Survey of 1,000 Registered Voters

Conducted August 21-22, 2018

 

1* Do you approve or disapprove of players protesting during the national anthem?

21% Strongly approve

17% Somewhat approve

19% Somewhat disapprove

43% Strongly disapprove

 

2* Do you approve or disapprove of NFL selling concessions like beer and popcorn during the national anthem?

20% Strongly approve

22% Somewhat approve

28% Somewhat disapprove

30% Strongly disapprove

 

3* Which of the following would you prefer?

42% That the national anthem is not played before NFL games

58% That the national anthem is played before NFL games and players are allowed to kneel

 

4* To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement:The playing of the national anthem is an important part of an NFL game.

49% Strongly agree

26% Somewhat agree

12% Somewhat disagree

13% Strongly disagree

***

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Margin of Error:  +/-3.1% with a 95% level of confidence.

Posted in Top Lines

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Crosstabs August 21-22, 2018

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Freedom of Speech, Right to Bear Arms, Freedom of Religion Ranked Most Important

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of voters nationwide believe Freedom of Speech is the most important right confirmed in the Bill of Rights. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 17% believe the Right to Bear Arms is most important while 14% cited Freedom of Religion.

However, the Right to Bear Arms also topped the list as the least important–31% of voters held that view. Freedom of the Press was viewed least important by 19% and the Right to Peaceably Assemble and Protest is least important for 14%.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 21-22, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and sample Demographics). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error  with a 95% level of confidence.

Seven of  the eight Rights we asked about were deemed Absolutely Essential by a majority of voters. The sole exception was the Right to Bear Arms. It is deemed essential by 45% and Not at All Important by 12%.

Freedom of Speech is viewed as Absolutely Essential by 69%. Sixty-eight percent (68%) said the same about Freedom of Religion. Nothing else topped the 60% level. The Right to Bear Arms was the only item rated Not At All Important by more than 3% (see question wording and results).

A related survey found that 64% believe freedom is more important than democracy.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). We release new polling data four to eight times each day. You can sign up to receive the latest numbers in Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update via email each morning.

You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Crosstabs August 21-22, 2018

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Sample Demographics August 21-22, 2018

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Poll Releases By Month

SEPTEMBER, 2018

September 5, 2018

38% Believe Background Checks, Waiting Periods Will Significantly Reduce Number of Gun Deaths

63% Not Ready for Voting By Smartphone

40% See Global Warming as Very Serious Problem

38% Say Supreme Court Has Too Much Power, 51% Say Right Amount

57% Disapprove of NFL Owners Selling Beer & Popcorn During National Anthem

September 4, 2018

Freedom of Speech, Right to Bear Arms, Freedom of Religion Ranked Most Important

84% Believe Kavanaugh Likely to Be Confirmed

84% Say U.S. Is Land of Opportunity

33% Believe US Offers Liberty and Justice for All

September 3, 2018

44% Favor Impeachment, Removal From Office

46% Support Universal Basic Income With Strings Attached

61% Believe Tech Will Have Bigger Impact on Future Than Government

82% Favor Guaranteed Job, But Disagree on Who Should Provide It

41% Fear Automation and Robots Will Lead to Mass Unemployment

September 2, 2018

45% Believe Most Businesses Treat Workers Fairly

42% Have Favorable Opinion of Socialism, But Not Traditional Socialism

81% Say Spiritual Faith Important; 70% Say Same About Religion

59% Absolutely Certain God Exists

September 1, 2018

Schumer Least Unpopular Congressional Leader

Generic Ballot: Democrats 42% Republicans 35%

President Trump Job Approval at 46%

Weekly Monitor: 45% of Voters Believe Nation is on the Right Track

AUGUST, 2018

67% Believe Income Inequality is Big Problem In America

Voters Are Evenly Divided on Focus of Immigration Reform

31% Would Feel Safe in Self-Driving Car Today

51% See Legal Immigration As Good But Illegal Immigration as Bad

64% Say Freedom More Important Than Democracy

Supreme Court Earns 60% Approval Rating

49% Believe Trump Is As Ethical As Most Politicians

50% Rate Economy Good or Excellent

33% Believe Clinton Would Have Won Without Russian Interference

Voters See Health Care, Immigration, and Gun Control as Top Issues on Supreme Court Agenda

Posted in Uncategorized

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Betting Markets Suggest GOP Might Gain 3 Senate Seats

The betting markets at PredictIt.org currently suggest that Republicans might pick up a net 3 seats in the U.S. Senate.

The markets show Republicans with a better than 50% chance of picking-up seats in Missouri (McCaskill), Florida (Nelson), North Dakota (Heitkamp), and Indiana (Donnelly).

Only in Nevada (Heller) are Democrats given a better than 50-50 shot of flipping a seat.

The Republicans are also defending open seats in Arizona and Tennessee. As of 10:00 a.m. Eastern on September 4, the GOP was favored to hang on to both (although the Arizona race is just barely better than even for Republicans).

Obviously, the betting markets are not perfect. But, especially as we head into the fall campaign season, they are a pretty good reflection of the conventional wisdom for each race.

 

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Toplines August 16-17, 2018

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ScottRasmussen.com

National Opinion Survey of 1,000 Registered Voters

Conducted August 16-17, 2018

 

1* How closely have you followed recent news stories about Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh?

13% Very closely

35% Somewhat closely

25% Not very closely

22% Not closely at all

5% Not Sure

NOTE: The following questions were not asked of those following the news “Not Very Closely” or Those Who Were Not Sure

2* Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Brett Kavanaugh?

17% Very favorable

34% Somewhat favorable

33% Somewhat unfavorable

16% Very unfavorable

3* When it comes to Brett Kavanaugh’s political and ideological views, do you believe he is…

9% Too liberal

35% Too conservative

36% About right

19% Not sure

4* Would you want your U.S. Senators to vote for or against Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation to serve on the U.S. Supreme Court?

48% I would want my U.S. Senators to vote for Kavanaugh’s confirmation

52% I would want my U.S. Senators to vote against Kavanaugh’s confirmation

5* Regardless of your own preferences, how likely is it that Brett Kavanaugh will be confirmed to serve on the U.S. Supreme Court?

28% Very likely

56% Somewhat likely

11% Somewhat unlikely

4% Very unlikely

***

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Margin of Error:  +/-3.1% with a 95% level of confidence.

Posted in Top Lines

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84% Believe Kavanaugh Likely to Be Confirmed

As the confirmation hearings for Judge Brett Kavanaugh begin, just 13% of voters nationwide have been following news Very Closely about the Supreme Court nominee. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that another 35% say they’ve been following the story Somewhat Closely. Most, however, have not been paying much attention (see question wording and topline results).

Still, 84% of those who are at least a bit aware of the news believe Kavanaugh is at least somewhat likely to win confirmation. That’s certainly the conventional wisdom.  Seventeen percent (17%) of voters have a Very Favorable opinion of Kavanaugh while 16% have a Very Unfavorable view. The rest (67%) have softer opinions.

Ideologically, 36% say Kavanaugh is about right while 35% say too conservative. Data released earlier shows that voters believe the Court is pretty evenly balanced today: 33% believe it is too conservative and 28% say too liberal. Voters see health care, immigration, and gun control as the top issues on the Court’s agenda.

Forty-eight percent (48%) of those following the story so far want their Senator to vote for confirmation while 52% would prefer a vote against.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 15-16, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and sample Demographics). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error  with a 95% level of confidence. See Crosstabs.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). We release new polling data four to eight times each day. Sign up HERE to receive the latest numbers in our daily email update. You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Crosstabs August 15-16, 2018

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NOTE: The Following questions were NOT asked of those “Not Closely” following the news or “Not Sure”

CED44a

CED45

CED46

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Toplines August 16-17, 2018

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ScottRasmussen.com

National Opinion Survey of 1,000 Registered Voters

Conducted August 16-17, 2018

 

1* Is the United States the land of opportunity?

84% Yes

16% No

2* If someone is born in poverty and is willing to work hard, do they have a reasonable chance of earning a middle class living?

85% Yes

15% No

3* If someone is born in poverty and is willing to work hard, do they have a reasonable chance of becoming rich?

68% Yes

32% No

4* What about someone who is born into a middle class home? Do they have a reasonable chance of becoming rich?

83% Yes

17% No

***

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Margin of Error:  +/-3.1% with a 95% level of confidence.

Posted in Top Lines

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Crosstabs August 16-17, 2018

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84% Say U.S. Is Land of Opportunity

Eighty-four percent (84%) of voters nationwide say that the United States is a land of opportunity. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also finds that 85% believe that, if they’re willing to work hard, someone born in poverty has a reasonable chance to achieve a middle class life (see question wording and topline results).  This result is consistent with data released earlier showing that 77% believe anyone who is healthy and willing to work can find a job.

This is one of many results showing that, despite the toxic political atmosphere, many Americans have positive feelings about where the nation is today. However, those positive feelings co-exist with a recognition that there are still flaws and challenges to overcome. Just 33% believe the nation truly offers liberty and justice for all and most see income inequality as a big problem.

Most believe that the digital revolution has been good for America and that new technologies will have a bigger impact on our future than new government policies. On the other hand, 41% fear that automation and robots will lead to mass unemployment.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 16-17, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and sample Demographics). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error  with a 95% level of confidence. See crosstabs.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). We release new polling data four to eight times each day. Sign up HERE to receive the latest numbers in our daily email update. You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Toplines August 6-7, 2108

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ScottRasmussen.com

National Opinion Survey of 1,000 Registered Voters

Conducted August 6-7, 2018

 1* Does the United States today truly provide liberty and justice for all?

33% Yes

67% No

***

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Margin of Error:  +/-3.1% with a 95% level of confidence.

Posted in Top Lines

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Crosstabs August 6-7, 2018

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