58% Support Tariffs on Goods From China, Unchanged From Month Ago

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters favor having the United States impose new tariffs on goods imported from China. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 42% oppose such tariffs. These totals include 22% who Strongly Favor the tariffs and 14% who are Strongly Opposed.

These numbers are virtually unchanged from a month ago. In between the two surveys, President Trump threatened to impose tariffs on Mexico before reaching a last minute agreement with that nation. Mexico agreed to provide additional help in fighting illegal immigration. Voters are evenly divided as to whether or not the tariff threat led to a better agreement for the United States.

On a partisan basis, they are supported by 80% of Republicans and 59% of Independents. They are opposed by 62% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

Voters continue to believe that China has used trade to take advantage of the United States. Sixty-five percent (65%) think that is true. Only 12% do not. Twenty-three percent (23%) are not sure.

Interestingly, while 58% favor higher tariffs, just 34% think they will be good for the United States. This gap between support for tariffs and the belief that they will be good suggests that many voters see these negotiations as a matter of fairness rather than transactional economics.

A plurality of voters–37%- believe the impact from tariffs will be bad for the U.S. Five percent  (5%) believe they will have no impact while 23% are not sure.

Forty percent (40%) of voters say President Trump has done a good or an excellent job in his trade negotiations with China. Another 35% rate his performance as poor. Twenty-four percent (24%) take the more neutral option of fair.

However, these results appear to have more to do with preconceived notions of the president rather than a response to his trade policy. Among those who Approve of the president’s job performance overall, 74% rate his China negotiations as good or excellent. Just 4% say poor. As for those who Disapprove overall, 75% say he’s done a poor job dealing with China. Just 4% say good or excellent.

Overall, 78% believe free trade is good for the United States. Eighty percent (80%) believe that free trade helps create jobs.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted June 12-13, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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The Twin Pillars of Health Care Reform

Seven-out-of-ten voters rate their health insurance coverage and the medical care they receive as good or excellent. Despite that, only 34% give our nation’s health care system positive reviews.

Not surprisingly, therefore, health care reform has consistently been a top voter concern election after election.

Broadly speaking, voters have two concerns. Defensively, they want to make sure that Congress doesn’t make a bad situation worse. That’s why 78% of voters want any reform to specifically provide protection for people with pre-existing conditions.

Beyond that, however, voters want more control over their own health care decisions. And, in practical terms, that means they need more choices. Seventy-four percent (74%) would like the option of buying into the health insurance plan offered to government employees.

On a broader basis, 65% think health insurance companies should be required to offer a variety of health insurance options. Those options would include more expensive plans with comprehensive coverage and less expensive plans that cover only basic health care needs.

The desire for choice is also highlighted by the strong opposition to banning private insurance companies and requiring everybody to get their medical coverage through the federal government. Eighty-two percent (82%) oppose that provision in Senator Bernie Sanders’ Medicare-for-All plan.

This desire for both protection and choice was highlighted in a ScottRasmussen.com survey exploring what voters consider to be junk insurance.

Not surprisingly, 76% believe “health insurance that fails to pay for its promised coverage” is junk. Just about any product or service that fails to deliver as promised ranks pretty low in the world of consumer choice.

Perhaps more interesting are five other forms of health insurance that most voters see as junk:

  • Seventy-two percent (72%) believe that the term “junk insurance” applies to “health insurance with so much red tape that people have to wait a long time for surgery.” Just 14% disagree.
  • Sixty-nine percent (69%) believe “health insurance that forces people to pay for coverage of medical procedures they don’t need” is junk. Only 18% disagree.
  • Sixty-eight percent (68%) believe junk is the appropriate description for “health insurance that places a limit on care for items such as cancer treatments.” Nineteen percent (19%) disagree.
  • Sixty-two percent (62%) consider “health insurance that won’t let you choose your own doctor” to be junk insurance. Only 23% disagree.
  • A bare majority–51%–think junk is the right description for “health insurance that requires young people to subsidize the premiums of older people.”

Highlighting a gap between the political world and the rest of the nation, just 41% believe “health insurance with low premiums that covers only major medical expenses and emergencies” is junk. On that point, 38% disagree.

Just 28% think “health insurance that is expensive but covers virtually every medical emergency” should be considered junk. Most (52%) disagree.  This makes clear that voters don’t have a problem with expensive health insurance, they just don’t like the idea of being forced to buy it.

Put it all together and the twin pillars of successful health care reform are pretty clear. First, do no harm. Second, empower Americans to make their own health care choices.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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34% Say Tariff Threat Against Mexico Led to Better Deal; 35% Disagree

As with many things in our political world today, perceptions of the tariff threats and recent deal with Mexico depend upon what people expected to see. Thirty-four percent (34% ) of voters believe the threat of tariffs led to a better deal for the United States. However, 35% disagree and 31% are not sure.

Prior to the agreement, opinion was evenly divided. Fifty percent (50%) favored the tariff threat and 50% opposed it.

Republicans, by a 59% to 15% margin, believe the tariff threats helped. Democrats, by a 57% to 19% margin, disagree. Independent voters are evenly divided–27% say they helped, 30% say they didn’t, and 40% are not sure (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that 86% believe it’s important for Mexico to help the United States fight illegal immigration. Fifty-seven percent (57%) believe it is likely to help. Eight-out-of-ten voters believe that illegal immigration is bad for the United States.

Looking ahead, if the Mexican government does not help the United States reduce illegal immigration, 42% believe the United States should again threaten to impose tariffs. Thirty-eight percent (38%) disagree.

In that case, 74% of Republicans think the tariff threat should be issued while 60% of Democrats do not. Among Independent voters, 32% support another tariff threat and 39% do not.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters have followed news about the agreement with Mexico at least somewhat closely.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters favor imposing tariffs on goods imported from China.

Public reaction to the tariffs suggest that, for many voters, there is more at stake than economic considerations.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new polling data on immigration at least twice a month. We also release new data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest (sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email). 

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 10-11, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

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Voters’ Definition of Junk Health Insurance Highlights Desire for Choice

Seventy-six percent (76%) of voters believe “health insurance that fails to pay for its promised coverage” should be considered “junk insurance.” A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 13% disagree and 11% are not sure.

The survey also found that most voters consider five other forms of health insurance to be junk insurance:

  • Seventy-two percent (72%) believe that the term “junk insurance” applies to “health insurance with so much red tape that people have to wait a long time for surgery.” Just 14% disagree.
  • Sixty-nine percent (69%) believe “health insurance that forces people to pay for coverage of medical procedures they don’t need” is junk. Only 18% disagree.
  • Sixty-eight percent (68%) believe junk is the appropriate description for “health insurance that places a limit on care for items such as cancer treatments.” Nineteen percent (19%) disagree.
  • Sixty-two percent (62%) consider “health insurance that won’t let you choose your own doctor”  to be junk insurance. Only 23% disagree.
  • A bare majority–51%–think junk is the right description for “health insurance that requires young people to subsidize the premiums of older people.”

Highlighting a gap between the political world and the rest of the nation, just 41% believe “health insurance with low premiums that covers only major medical expenses and emergencies” is junk. On that point, 38% disagree.

Just 28% think ‘”health insurance that is expensive but covers virtually every medical emergency” should be considered junk. Most (52%) disagree.  This makes clear that voters don’t have a problem with expensive health insurance, they just don’t like the idea of being forced to buy it.

See full crosstab results.

Data released earlier showed that  75% of voters think they should be able to choose between health insurance plans that range in price based on the level of coverage they provide. Seventy-eight percent (78%) believe workers should be given a choice between accepting a lower salary with more expensive health insurance or a higher salary with less expensive health insurance. And, 89% believe older Americans should have a choice between Medicare and private insurance options

Data consistently shows strong voter desire for more control over their own health care choices. While the top priority on voters’ health care reform protecting those with pre-existing conditions, number two is a desire for more choice: “requiring health insurance companies to offer a variety of health insurance options, including more expensive plans with comprehensive coverage and less expensive plans that cover only basic health care needs.”

The latest survey also found that just 32% believe an insurance requiring people to buy generic versions of prescription drugs  should be considered junk. Fifty-one percent (51%) disagree.

Only 23% of voters are following news stories about junk insurance even somewhat closely.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new polling data on health care at least twice a month. We also release new data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest.

Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. You can also follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted June 5-6, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Support for Impeachment Inches Up: 45% Favor ; 42% Opposed

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters nationwide now believe President Trump should be impeached and removed from office. Another 42% disagree and 14% are undecided. The latest ScottRasmussen.com survey is the third consecutive poll to show a slight increase in support for impeachment since Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s public statements and formal resignation two weeks ago.

Prior to Mueller’s statement, 41% of voters favored impeachment. The weekend following his statement showed support for impeachment at 43% and  44% with equal numbers opposing. This week’s data, support for impeachment at 45%, appears to confirm a trend showing marginally increased support for removing the president from office.

Still, just 25% believe the president even somewhat likely to be impeached and removed from office. Only 9% think it’s Very Likely.

Mueller is viewed favorably by 38% of voters, down two points from a week ago. Attorney General William Barr is viewed favorably by 25%, down three points.

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters now believe the president is guilty of treason, up four points from a week ago. That total now includes 66% of Democrats.  Only 11% of Republicans agree, along with 34% of Independent voters.

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Republicans are now opposed to impeachment. That’s down three points from a week ago and eight points from three weeks ago. Seventy-five percent (75%) of Democrats favor it, down up three from last week. Independent voters are more evenly divided with 43% in favor and 40% opposed (see crosstab results). Three weeks ago, just 37% of Independents favored impeachment and 43% were opposed.

Prior to the release of the Special Counsel report a couple of months ago, a plurality of voters consistently believed that President Trump should be impeached and removed from office. Following the submission and release of that report, public opinion has swung in the other direction. Until today, a plurality had consistently opposed impeachment.

Three weeks ago, 41% favored impeachment and 45% were opposed. Those results are nearly identical to those from a month ago. In fact, they are essentially unchanged from a survey conducted immediately following release of the redacted report and from a March survey conducted immediately following Attorney General William Barr’s summary of the report.

On a related topic, voters are evenly divided as to whether or not the FBI illegally spied on President Trump’s 2016 campaign.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,004 Registered Voters was conducted June 9-10, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Among Asian Voters, Democrats Have 12-Point Lead on Generic Congressional Ballot

If the election were held today, 42% of Asian voters would vote for the Democrat from their district while 30% would vote for a Republican. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that advantage for Democrats is twice as large as their six-point lead among all voters.

In most public opinion surveys, the number of Asian voters is too small to report reliable results. However, by reviewing the data from over 7,000 total interviews conducted during the week ending June 7, we were able to produce a statistically meaningful sample. A total of 350 Asian voters were asked their preference for the Generic Ballot.

By way of comparison, black voters prefer Democrats by a 76% to 8% margin and Hispanic voters favor Democrats by 33 points (54%) to 21%). White voters favor Republicans 44% to 34% (see crosstab results).

Twenty-five percent (25%) of Asian voters trust the federal government to do the right thing all or most of the time. Twenty-four percent (24%) rarely or never trust it (see crosstab results). That is a far higher level of trust than offered by most Americans.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of Asian voters approve of the way President Trump is performing his job. Just 11% Strongly Approve (see crosstab results). Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Asian voters think the country would be better off if Hillary Clinton was president. Twenty-six percent (26%) believe that things would be worse. Among all voters, a narrow plurality has consistently believed that things would be worse with Clinton in the White House.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

This data was derived from a  national survey of 7,004 Registered Voters conducted from May 31-June 7, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodologyand a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-1.2 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence. Results based upon sub-groups only have a larger margin of sampling error.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

 

 

 

 

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41% Pray Daily; 15% Rarely or Never

Forty-one percent (41%) of American adults pray daily. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that another 22% pray at least once a week. At the other extreme, 15% rarely or never pray.

Forty-four percent (44%) of American women pray daily along with 38% of men. Those under 35 are far less likely to pray daily than their elders. Among those young adults, just 25% pray daily. That figure rises to 49% for those over 50 (see crosstab results).

In terms of their daily life, 68% consider their religion important. That total includes 33% who say it’s Very Important. When we ask about “spiritual faith” rather than “religion,” we find that 40% say it’s Very Important.

Thirty-four percent (34%) read the Bible or another religious text at least once a week. Twenty-seven percent (27%) regularly meet with a small group of others who share their faith for study, fellowship, or accountability.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,060 U.S. Adults was conducted June 3-4, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodologyand a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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34% Believe YouTube Will Censor Opposing Political Views; 26% Disagree; 40% Not Sure

Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters believe YouTube will likely use new content rules to censor views that it disagrees with while 26% believe it will impose the rules fairly. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that a plurality–40%–are not sure.

Republicans, by a 44% to 21% margin, believe YouTube will use the rules for censorship. Independent voters, by a 34% to 24% margin, tend to agree. Democrats, however have a different view. Thirty-three percent (33%) of those in Nancy Pelosi’s party believe YouTube will apply the rules equally while just 25% think they will become a tool for censorship (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that 29% believe YouTube is an unbiased platform for all users while 20% believe it is biased against conservatives. Just 6% think the Google owned platform is biased against liberals. Forty-four percent (44%) aren’t sure.

To ensure equal opportunities for all points of view, just 21% believe the federal government should impose regulations on YouTube. Seventy-nine percent (79%) believe the company should they be allowed to manage their own users. That’s partly because 59% believe government regulators are more likely to be biased than YouTube.

Forty-five percent (45%) have  at least somewhat closely followed recent news stories about YouTube banning content it considers hateful or discriminatory.  That includes 16% who have followed the news Very Closely.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted June 6-7, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodologyand a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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PredictIt Tournament in Partnership With ScottRasmussen.com

Do you plan to watch the upcoming first 2020 Democratic Presidential debate on June 26 and 27? If you’re reading this we predict you do. Care to make the experience a little more interesting? Great, we thought so, too.

PredictIt, in partnership with Scottrasmussen.com polling, will soon launch a few special markets for the debate that will predict the question everyone will be asking: who won? The trader who makes the most profit combined in these select markets will be featured at the top of the tournament leaderboard on our homepage for the month of July. You’ll also be honored as the first-ever “PI 2020 Forecaster to Follow” for this election cycle.

If you want to participate, send the word “debate” to tournaments@predictit.org to register and receive more details.

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On Top Issue, 35% Trust Democrats, 33% Republicans, 18% Neither

On the issue they consider the most important, 35% of voters trust Democrats more than Republicans while 33% place more trust in Republicans. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 18% do not trust either party, 6% trust both, and 7% are not sure.

Among those who consider health care the most important issue, Democrats have a 53% to 16% advantage. On the issue of immigration, voters overall are fairly evenly divided in terms of which party they trust. However, among those who consider it the most important issue, 60% trust Republicans more while 16% trust the Democrats. Republicans also have the advantage on national security, 60% to 13%. All of those findings are little changed from a month ago.

But among those who say the economy is most important, it’s now fairly even: 35% trust Republicans more while 29% pick the Democrats. A month ago, the GOP had a 47% to 17% advantage. It’s important to note that these results are based only on the 148 survey respondents who named the economy as their top issue. Such data has a margin of sampling error of +/- 8.2 percentage points. This will be something worth watching in the coming months.

Largely because of this shift on the economy, the overall numbers have shifted since last month. Today, Democrats have a two-point edge when it comes to trust on the most important issue. A month ago, Republicans had a two point edge.

Twenty percent (20%) of voters consider Health Care to be the most important issue; 15% say it’s the economy; 13% cite immigration; and 9% national security. The number of survey respondents naming a variety of other topics to be the most important issue was too small to report separate results.

Seventy-three percent (73%) of voters consider both Health Care and the Economy to be Very Important Issues.

Overall, the results show that voters under 50 trust Democrats more while older voters favor the GOP. Among Independent voters, 30% now trust Democrats more, 27% don’t trust either party, and 22% have more faith in the GOP (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 4-5, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Democrats Trusted More on Health Care; Republicans on Economy

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters now trust Democrats more than Republicans when it comes to health care. A ScottRasmussen.com survey also found that 26% have more trust in the Democrats while 21% don’t trust either party on the issue.

When it comes to the economy, Republicans have the advantage by a 33% to 28% margin. Republicans also have a wide advantage on national security issues (37% to 23%).

On immigration, among all voters, 34% trust Democrats while 33% prefer the GOP.  However, among those who consider immigration to be the most important issue, 60% trust Republicans more while 16% trust the Democrats.

In general, these figures are little changed from a month ago (see topline trends). However, the GOP advantage is smaller on the economy than it was in May.

The top four issues concerning voters at this time are Health Care (20%), The Economy (15%), Immigration (13%), and National Security (9%).

Overall, on whatever they consider their top issue, 35% trust Democrats the most while 33% trust Republicans.

Republicans are trusted more on Job Creation and Fighting Terrorism. Democrats have the edge on Economic Inequality, the Environment, Civil Rights, Abortion, and Fighting Poverty.

The parties are essentially even on Gun Laws and  Taxes (see  crosstab results).

Americans continue to rate the U.S. health care system poorly. Most, however, rate their own health, medical care, and insurance coverage as good or excellent. Survey results consistently show that voters want more health care choice and strongly reject the idea of requiring everyone to get coverage through the federal government.

On immigration, eight-out-of-ten voters believe legal immigration is good for America but illegal immigration is bad.

Just 25% of voters believe it is even somewhat likely that Congress will successfully address the nation’s major issues prior to the next election.   There has been a significant shift in perceptions of Congressional ideology. Last fall, an election night survey found that 44% believed Congress was too conservative and 36% said too liberal.  Now, the numbers have reversed: 35% believe that Congress is too liberal while 31% say it is too conservative.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 4-5, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodologyand a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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57% Know Democrats Control House; 53% Recognize Republicans Control Senate

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters nationwide recognize that Democrats hold the majority in the House of Representatives at this time. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 20% mistakenly believe Republicans control the House, 4% think it’s evenly split, and 19% are not sure.

As for the Senate, 53% recognize that the GOP has majority control while 18% believe the Democrats are in charge.

These findings highlight how the nation’s political leaders have failed to connect with everyday Americans. Voters apparently see little relevance in the partisan dynamics that consume official Washington. That’s partly because 65% of voters believe almost all positive change in America begins outside of the nation’s political system. Additionally, 71% believe that Steve Jobs and Bill Gates have had a bigger impact on the world we live in than the last eight presidents combined (eight men have served as president since Jobs and Gates founded Apple and Microsoft).

Another measure of the disconnect can be seen in the fact that one-out-of-four voters don’t think things would be all that different if Hillary Clinton was president instead of Donald Trump.

Collectively, these results help explain why so much of the political dialogue fails to engage voters. When speaking to the broader public, many in official Washington assume that everybody shares the knowledge and passion of political insiders.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Democrats know their party controls the House. Just 51% of Republicans know that fact.

However, 63% of Republicans are aware that their party controls the Senate. Only 47% of Democrats recognize that to be true.

Older voters have far more knowledge on this than the young. Among senior citizens, 74% know the Democrats control the House. As for those under 35, just 38% are aware. Nearly as many young voters (28%) think the GOP controls the House (see crosstab results).

Data released earlier showed that 72% of voters nationwide know that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is a Democrat. Fifty-three percent (53%) know that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is a Republican.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 1-2, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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67% Believe Amazon Good for U.S.; 60% Say Same About Google; 31% for Facebook

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of voters believe Amazon has been good for the United States. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey that 8% believe it has been bad for the country, 13% say it has had no impact, and 18% are not sure.

The numbers are similar for Google: 60% say it’s been good for the country while 8% hold the opposite view.

Facebook, however, receives more mixed reviews: 31% think it’s been good and 34% say bad. Those numbers show a serious decline for the company over the past six months. Last November, 45% said Facebook had been good for the U.S. and 35% bad.

Older voters are more negative than younger voters about the social media giant. By a 36% to 31% margin, Democrats believe Facebook has been good for the country. Republicans, by a 35% to 29% margin, tend to think it has been bad. Among Independent voters, 26% say good and 37% bad (see crosstab results).

Democrats also look a bit more favorably on the other tech giants. Seventy-five percent (75%) of Democrats believe Amazon has been good for the country. That view is shared by 64% of Republicans and 60% of Independents. Google gets such positive reviews from 70% of Democrats, 56% of Republicans, and 55% of Independents.

The Federal Trade Commission and Department of Justice have indicated interest in regulating these companies on anti-trust grounds. Twenty-nine percent (29%) believe new regulations would lead to worse service from Amazon. Just 16% believe it would make things better.

Twenty-six percent (26%) believe more regulation of Google would lead to worse service while 20% believe things would get better.

As for Facebook, 31% believe regulatory efforts would improve service while 17% say the opposite.

Only 18% believe breaking up Amazon would be good for the country while 44% believe it would be bad.

Eighteen percent (18%) believe breaking up Google would be good for the country; 35% believe it would be bad.

Again, Facebook stands out: 35% believe breaking it up would be good for the country while 17% take the opposite view.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 4-5, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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It’s More Than The Economy

For more than a generation, James Carville’s campaign maxim “It’s the economy, stupid” has been held up as an essential truth of American politics.

There’s no denying that a strong economy is an incumbent president’s best friend. Seventy-three percent (73%) of voters currently rate the economy as a Very Important issue. As a result, if the economy remains strong for another year-and-a-half, many analysts believe President Trump will be favored to win re-election. On the other hand, if a recession hits next year, we will almost certainly have a new president in 2021.

However, recent data about the president’s trade wars suggests that a sizable number of voters consider other factors more important than economics.

For example, just 31% believe higher tariffs on goods imported from China will be good for the United States. However, a much larger number–58%–support such tariffs. In other words, more than a quarter of all voters think the tariffs will be harmful to our economy but still support them.

A similar dynamic is found on the president’s call for higher tariffs on Mexico. Just 25% believe they will be good for our country, but 50% support that tariff. Again, one-fourth of the nation’s voters support a policy they think will hurt economically.

Adding to the mystery is that support for tariffs comes despite the fact that eight-out-of-ten voters believe free trade is generally good for the United States. Eight-out-of-ten also believe free trade creates more jobs in our country than it destroys.

Given these realities, why is there such support for policies that many believe will hamper our economy? It’s because—when dealing with other nations– many Americans consider some things more important than the economy.

In the case of China, 63% believe China has used trade to take advantage of the United States. Only 13% disagree. This suggests that many voters see these trade negotiations as a matter of fairness rather than transactional economics.

As for Mexico, the defining factor is immigration debate. While 77% of voters believe that legal immigration is good for the United States, 82% believe illegal immigration is bad.  Voter frustration is boiling over because of a long-held belief that political elites in Washington have no interest in stopping illegal immigration. So, 50% think tariffs are worth a try even at the risk of short-term economic pain.

What’s especially interesting about the data is that voters are far from certain this approach will work. Just 39% have any confidence that the president’s approach will encourage the Mexican government to help stop illegal immigration. But 50% are willing to try it.

This suggests that voters are tired of political leaders telling them what solutions won’t work and then using it as an excuse for inaction. If China is taking advantage of us, stand up to them. If Mexico can help stem the tide of illegal immigration, get them to do so.

This attitude echoes President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s belief in “bold, persistent experimentation.” In the midst of the Great Depression, FDR said “It is common sense to take a method and try it; if it fails, admit it frankly and try another. But above all, try something.”

Posted in Scott's Columns

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Pelosi Viewed Favorably by 37% Unfavorably by 49%

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is now viewed favorably by 37% of voters. That’s down two points from a month ago but up a point from two months ago.  The latest ScottRasmussen.com national survey also shows Pelosi is viewed  unfavorably by 49% (up three from last month) See topline trends.

Seventy percent (70%) of Democrats have a favorable opinion of Pelosi. However, 77% of Republicans and 56% of Independent voters have an unfavorable view (see crosstab results).

In addition to our monthly updates on ratings for Congressional leaders, ScottRasmussen.com provides regular updates on public attitudes about Congress. We also update the Generic Congressional Ballot on a daily basis.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell earns favorable ratings from 26% and negative reviews from 45%.

Pelosi’s Republican counterpart, Kevin McCarthy, is viewed favorably by 24% and unfavorably by 31%. He remains an unknown to nearly half the nation’s voters. Still, his negative ratings have grown as he has become  better known.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer’s ratings are 30% favorable and 39% unfavorable.

Vice President Mike Pence gets positive reviews from 43% of voters and negative assessments from another 43%.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 1-2, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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61% Approve of Supreme Court Performance

Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters approve of the way the Supreme Court is doing its job, according to a new survey by ScottRasmussen.com. That’s down five points from a month ago.

In our monthly surveys, approval has ranged from 59% to 66% since last August. Still, the Court consistently earns better ratings than any other governing institution. There is no evidence that the divisive Kavanaugh hearings had any impact on public perceptions of the Court (see topline trends).

The Court earns favorable reviews from 65% of white voters along with 54% of black voters and 47% of Hispanic voters. On a partisan basis, 78% of Republicans offer a positive assessment. That view is shared by 51% of Democrats and 55% of Independent voters (see crosstab results).

Compared to a  month ago, approval is down among Hispanic voters, Democrats, and Independents.

Among all voters, 34% believe the Supreme Court has too much power while 9% say the opposite. Fifty-seven percent  (57%) believe it has the right amount of power.

Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg is the most popular member of the Court. Justice Brett Kavanaugh has slightly higher name recognition.

Thirty-six percent (36%) of voters now think the court is too conservative, 24% think it’s too liberal and 40% say the balance on the court is about right. During the heat of the Kavanaugh confirmation battle, there was a stronger perception that the Court was too conservative. Last November, 43% believed the Court was too conservative while just 20% said too liberal.

In recent months, there has also been a shift in the ideological perceptions of Congress. Last fall, a plurality believed it was too conservative. Now, a plurality believes it is too liberal.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The new national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted June 2-3, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Crosstabs May 31-June 1

Posted in Crosstabs

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In Fight Against Illegal Immigration, 50% Support Tariffs on Mexico; 50% Oppose

Fifty percent (50%) of voters favor placing a 5% Tariff on all goods coming into the United States from Mexico until illegal migrants stop coming to the U.S. through Mexico. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that another 50% are opposed.

Those totals include 22% who Strongly Favor the tariff and 28% who are Strongly Opposed.

Support for fighting illegal immigration in this way comes from 73% of Republicans, 56% of Independents, and 25% of Democrats (see crosstab results). Men (55%) are more supportive than women (46%).

While 50% support the tariff, just 25% believe it will be good for the United States and 45% think it will be bad.

Thirty-one percent (31%) believe it will hurt Mexico more than the United States while 24% believe our country will suffer more.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) believe it is likely that  the threat of tariffs will encourage the Mexican government to help stop illegal immigration. Sixty-one percent (61%) disagree.

Collectively, this data suggests a large number of Americans are supportive of the effort even while being skeptical of its effectiveness. It perhaps suggests a willingness to simply keep trying new approaches to halting illegal immigration until something works. Consistent with other survey data, 82% believe that illegal immigration is bad for the United States. At the same time, 77% believe legal immigration is good.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 1-2, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Public Wary About Tech Companies AND Government Oversight of Tech Companies

As reports circulate about the Federal Trade Commission and Department of Justice investigations of Amazon and Google, voters have mixed feelings about tech giants.

Over the next 25 years, 87% of voters believe Facebook will have to deal with significant competition that challenges its dominance. Half (52%) believe it is at least somewhat likely that the social media giant will actually go out of business during that time.

Voters also overwhelmingly believe that Google, Amazon, and Apple will face significant competition over the coming quarter of a century. However, most believe those companies will survive. Just 26% believe Apple will go out of business, 23% say the same about Google, and 20% think Amazon will disappear.

Other ScottRasmussen.com data shows that:

Related data shows that 64% believe it is more dangerous to let government to define hate speech than to allow inappropriate hate speech that offends many people. Additionally, 68% believe a too powerful government is a bigger threat than one with too little power.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Biden 43% Trump 36%; Trump 38% Sanders 38%

If the 2020 election for President were held today, 43% of voters would cast their ballot for former Vice President Joe Biden and 36% would prefer President Donald Trump. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 5% would vote for a third option, 5% would not vote, and 11% are not sure what they would do.

In a match-up with the Senator Bernie Sanders, the president is tied at 38%.The survey found that the president has a slight advantage over Senator Kamala Harris (38% to 33%) and Senator Elizabeth Warren (40% to 33%).

The survey gave respondents the option of saying they would vote for someone other than the top choices. That helps explain why Biden’s numbers are better than the other hopefuls. Only 4% of Democrats say they would vote for someone else if Biden is the nominee. That number jumps to 14% for Warren, 15% for Sanders, and 15% for Harris. A similar pattern is seen among Independent voters.

If any of the other leading Democrats became the frontrunner for the nomination, this data suggests that their poll numbers against the president would improve as Democratic voters become more supportive.

These early results are little changed from a month ago. Biden enjoyed a slightly bigger advantage two months ago and three months ago.

Polling shows that Biden, Sanders, Harris, and Warren are the top four candidates in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. They also lead the pack in terms of Social Media Support. While Biden has a wide lead in a crowded field, things look much different if the field narrows. Head-to-head match-ups among these leading candidates show there is no clear frontrunner.

Mayor Pete Buttigieg trails the president by seven, 38% to 31%. Eight points back are Senators Cory Booker (39% to 31%), Kirsten Gillibrand (37% to 29%), and Amy Klobuchar (37% to 29%)

A number of other candidates are further back including former Congressman Beto O’Rourke. Once thought to be a leading contender, O’Rourke’s campaign has stumbled. He now trails the president by nine points, 39% to 30%.

Again, it’s important to note that Biden’s lead probably stems from both his high name recognition and the fact that he is perceived as the frontrunner for the nomination. If another Democrat were to assume the frontrunner’s role, it is likely that she or he would see a lead similar to Biden’s in this poll. Of course, the numbers could shift as voters get more familiar with any of these candidates.

Biden is viewed favorably by 50% of voters and unfavorably by 35%. Among Democrats, he is viewed favorably by 75% and unfavorably by 14%.

Sanders is viewed favorably by 41% of all voters and unfavorably by 44%. Senator Elizabeth Warren gets positive reviews from 34% and negative assessments from 37%. Senator Kamala Harris gets good marks from 33% and not so good marks from 29%.

Among Democrats, Sanders is viewed favorably by 67% and unfavorably by 21%. The numbers for Warren are 57% positive 16% negative. For Harris they are 54%/9%.

Biden is the only one of these candidates with net positive numbers among Independent voters

See full crosstab results for all match-ups here and here.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

These results are based upon a pair on national surveys. The first survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 25-26, 2019. The second was on May 26-27, 2019. Both were conducted by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The Demographic profiles of the samples can be found here and here. Both surveys have a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Biden Viewed Favorably By 50% of Voters; 75% of Democrats

Former Vice President Joe Biden is viewed favorably by 50% of voters and unfavorably by 35%. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that those totals include 24% with a Very Favorable Opinion and 20% with a Very Unfavorable view.

Among Democrats, Biden is viewed favorably by 75% and unfavorably by 14%.

Senator Bernie Sanders is viewed favorably by 41% of all voters and unfavorably by 44%. Senator Elizabeth Warren gets positive reviews from 34% and negative assessments from 37%. Senator Kamala Harris gets good marks from 33% and not so good marks from 29%.

Among Democrats, Sanders is viewed favorably by 67% and unfavorably by 21%. The numbers for Warren are 57% positive 16% negative. For Harris they are 54%/9%.

Biden is the only one of these candidates with net positive numbers among Independent voters

It’s important to note that none of the Democratic candidates yet have a firmly entrenched image. Most voters don’t even have a strong opinion about former Vice President Biden.

Polling shows that Biden, Sanders, Harris, and Warren are the top four candidates in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. They also lead the pack in terms of Social Media Support. While Biden has a wide lead in a crowded field, things look much different if the field narrows. Head-to-head match-ups among these leading candidates show there is no clear frontrunner.

Other candidates in the crowded Democratic field are even less well-known. South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, for example, has received a tremendous amount of media coverage and social media support. However, he is viewed favorably by 25% of all voters and unfavorably by 22%. A majority (53%) have either never heard of him or don’t know enough to have an opinion. Even among Democratic voters, 51% don’t know who he is (40% of Democrats have a favorable opinion of him, 9% unfavorable.

See full crosstab results for all candidates here and here.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

These results are based upon a pair on national surveys. The first survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 23-24, 2019. The second was on May 24-25, 2019. Both were conducted by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The Demographic profiles of the samples can be found here and here. Both surveys have a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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72% Know Pelosi is a Democrat; 53% Know McConnell is a Republican

Seventy-two percent (72%) of voters nationwide know that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is a Democrat. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 7% mistakenly believe she is a Republican and 21% are not sure.

For other Congressional leaders, recognition of their partisan alliance is far lower. Fifty-three percent (53%) know that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is a Republican while 10% think he is a Democrat. The numbers are virtually identical for McConnell’s Democratic counterpart: 53% correctly identify Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer as a Democrat while 11% mistakenly believe he is a Republican.

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy is correctly identified as a Republican by 29% while 10% believe he is a Democrat. Sixty-two percent (62%) are not sure.

Representative Mark Meadows, chair of the Freedom Caucus, is correctly identified as a Republican by 19% of voters. Seven percent (7%) think he’s a Democrat and 74% are not sure. Representative Mark Pocan, co-chair of the Progressive Caucus, attracts similar numbers: 13% know he’s a Democrat, 7% think he’s a Republican and 80% are not sure.

These results highlight one of the reasons political insiders have such a difficult time communicating with voters around the country. The insiders continuously make references to facts that are known inside the Beltway but not among the general public.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

This national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 24-25, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Warren 41% Biden 39%; Warren 40% Sanders 37%

In head-to-head match-ups, there are no clear frontrunners in the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey asked who Democratic voters and Democratic leaning Independents would prefer if the race came down to just two candidates. All the match-ups we tested are in the toss-up category.

  • Senator Elizabeth Warren 41% has a two-point edge over former Vice President Joe Biden.
  • Warren has a three-point edge over Senator Bernie Sanders.
  • Biden is preferred by 43% over Sanders while 41% prefer the Senator from Vermont.
  • When matched against Senator Kamala Harris, Biden is up by three, 41% to 38%.
  • Sanders leads Harris 42% to 37%.

Data released earlier showed that more than 70% of Democrats would be satisfied with any of those hopefuls as their nominee. Scott Rasmussen has suggested that we may have seen this nomination contest become a four-person race.

When all of the nearly two dozen candidates are included in a preference poll, Biden currently enjoys an 18-point lead over his nearest competitor. It will be interesting to see how that lead holds up following the first Democratic debates next month.

The first two debates will include 20 candidates. However, beginning with the third debate, new Democratic National Committee guidelines that will sharply limit the number of candidates who are able to participate. This head-to-head match-up data suggests that the race could look significantly different as the field of viable candidates narrows.

See full crosstab results for the head-to-head match-ups.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 881 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted May 28-30, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results for the full sample have a 3.4 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Biden 33% Sanders 15% Warren 7% Harris 6%

With the first Democratic debates just a month away, former Vice President Joe Biden remains the clear frontrunner in the race for the right to challenge President Trump in 2020.  A ScottRasmussen.com national survey of Democratic voters and Democratic leaning Independents found that Biden is the first choice for 33%. Senator Bernie Sanders is still his closest challenger at 15% followed by Senator Elizabeth Warren at 7% and Senator Kamala Harris at 6%.

These top four candidates are in the same order and generally the same position as in our previous two surveys (earlier in May and April).  Data released earlier showed that more than 70% of Democrats would be satisfied with any of those hopefuls as their nominee. Scott Rasmussen has suggested that we may have seen this nomination contest become a four-person race.

Fourteen percent (14%) of Democrats and Democratic leaning Independents remain undecided and 4% say they are not likely to vote.

Mayor Pete Buttigieg attracts 5% of the vote followed by Senator Cory Booker at 3% and former Congressman Beto O’Rourke. The remaining 10% of the vote is split between many candidates, none of whom attracts more than 1% support.

The upcoming debates offer the first significant hurdle for Biden to maintain his frontrunning status along with opportunities for Sanders, Warren and Harris to expand their base. For the other candidates, the debates may be one of the only ways to attract attention and move into serious contention.

Biden currently leads all Democratic candidates in terms of Social Media support. Social Media reaction may be one of the first indications of winners and losers in the Democratic Debates.

Sanders leads Biden by a narrow 22% to 18% margin among voters under 35. However, Biden attracts 52% of the vote from senior citizens while Sanders earns only 8% support from that group.

Among white voters, it’s Biden 35%, Sanders 13%, and Warren at 8%. Among black voters, Biden attracts 39% support, Sanders 14%, and Harris 9%. As for Hispanic voters, the numbers show Biden at 23%, Sanders at 21%, Warren at 10% and Harris at 7%.

Thirty-four percent (34%) of Democratic voters prefer Biden while 14% say they’ll vote for Sanders. Warren attracts 8% of the party vote while Harris gets 6%. The picture is much different among Democratic leaning Independents: Biden 24%, Sanders 20%, Harris 8%, and Warren 4%. (see crosstab results).

Biden has consistently lead President Trump in general election match-ups and Sanders has been consistently close. Other potential Democrats don’t fare as well. However, their standing against the president would likely improve if they were seen as likely to win the nomination.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 881 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted May 23-25, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The sample included 740 Democrats and 141 Democratic leaning Independents. Results for the full sample have a 3.4 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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11% Want No Constitutional Limits on Laws Congress and the President Can Pass

Eleven percent (11%) of voters believe there should be no Constitutional limits on the types of laws that Congress and the president can pass. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 71% disagree and favor Constitutional limits.

Fifteen percent (15%) of Republicans think there should be no Constitutional limits. That view is shared by 12% of Independents and 8% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

Fifty-one percent (51%) of all voters recognize that Constitutional limits already exist. Thirteen percent (13%) mistakenly believe that there are no Constitutional limits in place and 37% are not sure.

Seventy-two percent (72%) believe it is more important to respect the individual rights and freedoms of all Americans than for the government to do what a majority of voters support. Twenty-eight percent (28%) take the opposite view.

Sixty-five percent (65%) recognize that to expand individual freedom, is it necessary to place limits on government. Just 12% disagree. However, voters are evenly divided as to whether limited or active governments promote fairness and equality.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

This national survey of 1,003 Registered Voters was conducted May 19-20, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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90% of GOP Voters Expect Trump to Be Their 2020 Nominee

Ninety percent (90%) of Republican voters and Republican leaning Independents think President Trump is likely to be their party’s nominee in 2020. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that total includes 69% who believe the president is Very Likely to be the GOP nominee.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) want the president to be their nominee while 25% would prefer someone else. On this question, 69% of Republican voters want Trump as the nominee. Only 58% of Republican-Leaning Independents agree (see crosstab results).

Former Massachusetts Governor William Weld is challenging President Trump for the Republican nomination. However, he trails the president by a 73% to 7% margin. That’s little changed from a month ago (the previous survey did not include Republican-leaning Independents).

Five percent (5%) would opt for some other candidate, 2% would not vote and 13% are not sure.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 785 Registered Republican Voters was conducted May 23-25, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The sample included 640 Republicans and 145 Republican-leaning Independents. It has a +/- 4.0 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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71% Believe Socialism Means More Decisions Made By Gov’t; Capitalism Means More Individual Choice

Seventy-one percent (71%) of voters nationwide agree that Socialism means more decisions are made by the government while Capitalism means more decisions are made by each individual. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that view is shared by 85% of Republicans, 68% of Independents, and 61% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

This data highlights one of the major disconnects between the growing popularity of the term socialism and the continued unpopularity of policies associated with the historic ideology of socialism. Most who have a positive view of Socialism today want less government involvement in the economy. Just 35% who like Socialism favor government ownership of the largest companies.

Additionally, only 18% of voters support Senator Bernie Sanders’ plan to ban private insurance companies and require everyone to use a federal health care system. Just 15% support a Universal Basic Income plan that provides payments even for those unwilling to work.

Sixty-three percent (63%) of voters consider Socialism a threat to America’s founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-governance.  That includes 15% who both like Socialism consider it a threat to those founding ideals. That small minority appears to like Socialism because it is a threat to America’s founding ideals. However, there is little support for that position among the population at large.

The survey also found that, in practical terms, 68% believe America’s commitment to individual freedom means a commitment to capitalism. An even larger number–83%–believe it means a commitment to free markets.

Very few voters see a conflict between Socialism and either Capitalism or Free Markets. That’s because only 12% of voters have a favorable opinion of Socialism as an economic system. Another 26% have a favorable opinion of the term but think it deals with other societal issues rather than economics. Sixty-one percent (61%) have an unfavorable view of Socialism in either case.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted May 21-22, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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64% Prefer Checks and Balances Over An Efficient and Responsive Government

Sixty-four percent (64%) of voters nationwide prefer a government with a system of checks and balances to protect individual freedom rather than a government that is efficient that can respond quickly to issues. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 36% hold the opposite view.

The preference for efficiency is more common among younger voters. Still, a majority of Gen Z (60%) and Millennials (57%) say that the system of checks and balances is better. That view is shared by 62% of GenXers, 68% of Baby Boomers, and 75% of the Silent Generation (see crosstab results).

The preference for a system of checks and balances is held by 67% of white voters, 60% of black voters, 57% of Hispanic voters, and 57% of Asian voters.

Among all voters 60% fear the power of the federal government more than the power of large corporations.

This is consistent with other data showing that 73% believe freedom is more important than democracy.

These views are not surprising given that 60% of voters believe the federal government looks out primarily for its own interests. Just 27% believe it is primarily concerned with the interests of the American people.

In his most recent book, Scott Rasmussen shows how Americans have a much greater ability to hold state and local governments accountable. That’s because state and local governments have to complete for both residents and businesses. Sixty percent (60%) of voters agree that Americans have more power acting as consumers than they do as voters. Only 13% disagree.

Additionally, 82% think top leaders of federal regulatory agencies often use their position to impose their personal agenda on the rest of the nation.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

This national survey of 7,036 Registered Voters was conducted May 17-24, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-1.2 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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70% Favor Strict Punishment for Companies Hiring Illegal Immigrants, 63% Favor Sending Military to Border

Voters support a wide range of actions to stem the tide of illegal immigration.

At the top of the list: 70% favor strict punishment for companies that knowingly hire illegal immigrants. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 63% support having the U.S. military defend the southern border. 63% want strict punishment for  landlords that knowingly rent apartments to illegal immigrants; 60% think we should cut off federal funding for sanctuary cities; and, 53% want a wall built across the southern border.

A majority of Republicans support each of the above proposals. A majority of Democrats are opposed. A majority of Independent voters support each initiative except the border wall. On that, they are evenly divided with 49% in favor and 51% opposed (see crosstab results).

Attitudes on these questions have changed little since March.

Polling consistently shows that roughly eight-out-of-ten voters believe legal immigration is good for the United States. At the same time, eight-out-of-ten believe illegal immigration is bad. These results confirm the reasonable assumption that most voters see a clear distinction between legal and illegal immigration.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

This national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 22-23, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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49% Believe President Trump As Ethical As Most Politicians; 59% Say Same About Hillary Clinton

Forty-nine percent (49%) of voters nationwide believe that President Trump is at least as ethical as most politicians. That’s up a point from January, but down four from October. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 59% believe former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is at least as ethical as most politicians.

The results highlight the depth of the partisan divide in America today.

  • Eighty-two percent (82%) of Republicans believe the president meets the ethical standard for politicians and 86% of Democrats say the same about Clinton.
  • Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Democrats consider Trump less ethical than most politicians and 77% of Republicans say the same about Clinton.
  • Among Independent voters, 49% believe Trump is as ethical as a typical politician. Fifty-five percent (55%) believe that is true of Clinton (see crosstab results).

Data released recently showed that 87% of voters believe corruption is widespread in the federal government.

Just 30% believe the president is a good role model for young Americans. Twenty-nine percent (29%) believe most Members of Congress are good role models.

Scott Rasmussen’s new book, The Sun is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will Not, describes how he can be optimistic about the nation’s future despite being deeply pessimistic about our broken political system. Fortunately, the politicians aren’t nearly as important as they think they are. Just about all positive change in America begins far from the halls of power in Washington. The culture and technology lead our nation forward while politics and politicians lag behind.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted May 23-24, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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60% Fear Power of Federal Government More Than Power of Large Corporations

Sixty percent (60%) of voters nationwide believe that the power of the federal government is a bigger threat to the United States than the power of large corporations. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 40% hold the opposite view and see corporate power as a bigger threat.

The number seeing large corporations as the bigger threat has declined four percentage points since March.

Just 23% of voters trust large corporations to do the right thing most of the time. Thirty-eight percent (38%) rarely or never trust large corporations to do the right thing. These numbers suggest a modestly higher level of trust in corporations than in the federal government. Voters do, however, have somewhat higher levels of trust in state and local governments.

Women, by a 66% to 34% margin, are more worried about the federal government. Men are more evenly divided.

A majority of all age groups are more fearful of the federal government, although the gap is smaller among voters under 35.

By similar margins, white and black voters fear the federal government more than large corporations. Hispanic voters are evenly divided.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Republicans consider the federal government to be the larger threat. That view is shared by 59% of Independents and 54% of Democrats.

Moderate and conservative voters are more fearful of the federal government. Liberal voters are evenly divided (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted May 21-22, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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61% Want Regulations Set By State and Local Governments, Not Feds

When regulations are needed, 61% of voters nationwide believe they should be set by state (39%) or local governments (22%). A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 39% believe they should be set at the federal level.

Among the most liberal voters, 54% believe regulations should generally be set by the federal government. That view is shared by 38% of political moderates and 33% of the most conservative voters (see crosstab results).

These results are consistent with other data showing that 63% believe the minimum wage should be set by state and local governments. They are not surprising given that voters have more trust in state and local government than in the federal government. There is also perhaps a deeper concern–60% of voters believe the federal government looks out primarily for its own interests. Just 27% believe they are primarily concerned with the interests of the American people.

In his most recent book, Scott Rasmussen shows how Americans have a much greater ability to hold state and local governments accountable. That’s because state and local governments have to complete for both residents and businesses. Sixty percent (60%) of voters agree that Americans have more power acting as consumers than they do as voters. Only 13% disagree.

Additionally, voters are evenly divided on the question of whether federal regulations help or hurt consumers. While most voters agree with the general notion that federal regulations are needed, 67% think that big businesses and government regulators often work together to create rules that are harmful and unfair to consumers.

Eighty-two percent (82%) of voters agree that the top leaders of federal regulatory agencies often use their position to pursue their own personal agenda and impose their standards on the rest of the nation.

While giving the workers credit for trying, 58% don’t think those who write federal regulations understand the real world impact of those regulations. Additionally, 56% believe there are too many government regulations in America today. Just 20% say there aren’t enough.

If a regulation requires a business to act in a way that is not in the best interest of their customers, 54% of voters believe that the company should act in the best interest of their customers. Just 29% believe the company should obey the regulation and 17% are not sure.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

This national survey of 7,036 Registered Voters was conducted May 17-24, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-1.2 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Demographics May 17-24, 2019

Posted in Sample Demographics

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27% Prefer Single National Government Over Federal System of Local, State & National Governments

The United States has a complex mix of federal, state, and local governments. Twenty-seven percent (27%) of voters believe it would be better if we simply had one national government to establish uniform rules across the country. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 44% disagree and 28% are not sure.

The survey also shows that 28% trust their state government to do the right thing most of the time while 31% say they rarely or never trust it. At the local level, 33% trust their government most of the time while just 24% say rarely or never. These figures are similar to attitudes found a couple of months ago.

They also indicate a far higher level of trust in state and local governments than the federal government.

Voters under 35 are more comfortable than their elders with the idea of a single national government. Among those younger voters, 30% prefer a single government while 38% prefer the current approach. Senior citizens overhwhelmingly reject the idea of a single national government by a 62% to 14% margin (see crosstab results).

Fifty percent (50%) of Republicans prefer the current system with authority divided between federal, state, and local governments. That view is shared by 48% of Independents and 38% of Republicans.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted May 21-22, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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35% Believe Third Party Would Be Good for U.S.; 16% Say Bad

Thirty-five percent (35%) of voters nationwide believe America would be better off with a major third political party. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 16% believe such a party would make things worse, 33% don’t think it would make much difference, and 17% are not sure.

As to why there are so few successful third party candidates, 43% believe the primary reason is election laws written by Republicans and Democrats in a way that makes it difficult for third parties to compete. Thirty-four percent (34%) think it’s primarily a lack of voter interest in third parties.

Forty percent (40%) of Independent voters think the country would benefit from having a major third party. That view is shared by 35% of Democrats and 30% of Republicans. Solid pluralities of Democrats and Independents believe election laws are the reason we have few successful third party candidates. Republicans are evenly divided between election laws and lack of voter interest (see crosstab results).

Looking to 2020, 68% of all voters are confident that the votes will be counted correctly and that the legitimate winner will be declared. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that total includes 25% who are Very Confident. The survey also found that 84% think people should be required to show a photo ID in order to vote.

Other data showed that 44% of voters nationwide believe Democratic officials actively encourage non-citizens to vote. On the other hand, 33% believe Republican officials actively try to suppress the vote of non-white Americans. Independent voters are more skeptical of Democrats on this point than Republicans.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted May 21-22, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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39% Want House to Launch Formal Impeachment Hearings

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of voters nationwide think the House of Representatives should formally launch an impeachment hearing against President Trump. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 44% disagree and 18% are not sure.

By way of comparison, 49% favor having the Department of Justice investigate whether the FBI illegally spied on the Trump campaign.

Sixty-four percent (64%) of Democrats want to see the impeachment hearings while 83% of Republicans are opposed. Independent voters are evenly divided on the question (see crosstab results).

Data released yesterday shows that 50% of voters believe senior government officials are inappropriately trying to undermine President Trump. Thirty-one percent (31%) disagree and 19% are not sure. At the same time, 46% agree with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and believe the president is engaged in a cover-up.

If the Democrats voted to impeach President Trump and the Republicans voted against, 30% believe that would help the president’s chances of winning re-election. Twenty-nine percent (29%) believe it would hurt his chances while 41% are not sure.

Overall, 41% of voters believe the president should be impeached and removed from office. Forty-five percent (45%) disagree.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 22-23, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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49% Consider Memorial Day One of Our Most Important Holidays

Forty-nine percent (49%) of American adults consider Memorial Day to be one of our nation’s most important holidays.  A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 7% consider it one of the least important while 38% place it somewhere in between.
While 71% have come to consider it as the unofficial start of summer, the holiday also has a much deeper meaning for many: 39% have a close friends or family member who gave their life in military service defending our nation. That total includes 43% of Rural residents, 41% from Urban areas, and 37% of those who live in the suburbs. The personal loss is similar in all areas of the nation and across all demographic groups (see crosstab results).
Not surprisingly, therefore, 40% of Americans will do something this weekend to honor and remember those who gave their lives in service to our nation.
ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,108 Adults was conducted May 20-21, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.0 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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50% Believe Sr. Gov’t Officials Trying to Undermine the President; 31% Disagree

Fifty percent (50%) of voters believe senior government officials are inappropriately trying to undermine President Trump. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 31% disagree and 19% are not sure.

Voters are more divided on the question of whether there is a deep-state conspiracy against the president. Thirty-nine percent (39%) believe there is such a conspiracy while 36% disagree. Twenty-five percent (25%) are not sure.

On the other side, 46% agree with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and believe the president is engaged in a cover-up. Thirty-eight percent (38%) disagree and 16% are not sure.

Not surprisingly, Republicans strongly believe that senior government officials are trying to undermine the president (80% agree) and that there is a deep state conspiracy against President Trump. Just 16% of GOP voters believe the president is engaged in a cover-up.

Democrats take the opposite view on each question: Seventy-two percent (72%) believe the president is engaged in a cover-up. Just 25% of those in Pelosi’s party think senior officials are inappropriately trying to undermine the president. Only 19% think there is a deep state conspiracy.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of Independent voters believe senior government officials have inappropriately tried to undermine the president. Forty-seven percent (47%) believe the president is engaged in a cover-up. Independents are evenly divided on the question of a deep-state conspiracy–37% say yes, 33% disagree (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 22-23, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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71% Consider Memorial Day The Unofficial Start of Summer

Seventy-one percent (71%) of American adults consider Memorial Day to be the unofficial start of summer. That perspective is highest in the Northeast (80%) and Midwest (76%), lowest in the West (58%).

A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 39% of Americans will celebrate by hosting or attending a cookout. Twenty percent (20%) will travel out of town with the beach being the top destination.

Americans under 50 were more likely than their elders to both travel and enjoy a cookout (see crosstab results).

Thirteen percent (13%) of all adults expect to attend a Memorial Day parade. The same number will visit a national historic site.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,108 Adults was conducted May 20-21, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.0 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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68% Confident in 2020 Vote Count; 84% Want People to Show Photo ID Before Voting

In the 2020 presidential election, 68% of voters are confident that the votes will be counted correctly and that the legitimate winner will be declared. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that total includes 25% who are Very Confident.

The survey also found that 84% think people should be required to show a photo ID in order to vote. That’s up slightly from 79% last November.

Eighty percent (80%) of Republicans are confident the votes will be counted correctly. That view is shared by 56% of Democrats and 69% of Independents. Photo ID requirements are supported by 94% of Republicans, 73% of Democrats, and 86% of Independent voters (see crosstab results).

Data released earlier showed that 44% of voters nationwide believe Democratic officials actively encourage non-citizens to vote. On the other hand, 33% believe Republican officials actively try to suppress the vote of non-white Americans. Independent voters are more skeptical of Democrats on this point than Republicans.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted May 21-22, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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44% Believe Democratic Officials Encourage Illegal Voting; 33% Think GOP Engages in Vote Suppression

Forty-four percent (44%) of voters nationwide believe Democratic officials actively encourage non-citizens to vote. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 29% disagree and 27% are not sure.

On the other hand, 33% believe Republican officials actively try to suppress the vote of non-white Americans. On that point, 40% disagree and 27% are not sure.

These results mark a notable change from last fall. The number believing Democrats encourage non-citizens to vote is up ten percentage points since November. The number who believe that the GOP tries to suppress the vote is down four points.

Naturally, there is a partisan divide on these questions. Republicans overwhelmingly believe Democrats encourage non-citizens to vote (69% yes, 18% no). Independents lean in that direction by a 38% to 27% margin. Democratic voters disagree by a 45% to 27% margin.

When it comes to GOP voter suppression efforts, 56% of Democrats believe it’s true along with 11% of GOP voters. Independent voters tend to disagree: 28% think the GOP acts in this manner while 41% disagree (see crosstab results).

Overall, 32% believe people who are ineligible to vote are allowed to vote is a bigger problem than those who are eligible being denied the right to vote. Twenty-six percent (26%) take the opposite view, 24% say neither is a problem, and 19% are not sure.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted May 21-22, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

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Crosstabs May 20-21, 2019

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Disruption, Fear, and Opportunity in Health Care

There was a time when health care technology meant expensive new machines that only hospitals could afford. The costs were so enormous that only insurance companies could pay for their use and insurance bureaucrats only grudgingly allowed people to get needed tests and treatment.

Today, however, tech is putting health care tools in the hands of individual Americans at amazingly reasonable costs. The transformation brought about by the new technology will fundamentally disrupt every aspect of the health care industry.

One simple example is the monitor I use to check my blood sugar on a regular basis. A generation or so ago, such testing had to be done in a doctor’s office and it was typically done once a quarter. From a healthy living perspective, having instant feedback is a huge bonus that improves my diet and lifestyle choices. It also provides a more complete daily record of my sugars that my doctor can review. In a rational world, I would simply transmit the results to my doc and visit her once every couple of years (or when something goes wrong).

Instead, I have four check-ups each year that serve no medical purpose. Why? Because that’s the only way the insurance companies will pay her for overseeing my care. It’s a complete waste of time that prevents my doctor from using her skills in a more productive manner.

Coming up with a new way of paying doctors will challenge the underlying business model of the entire industry. The increase in self-monitoring will also greatly reduce the need for the medical testing labs that have proliferated in recent years. On top of all that, technology has already changed the way that doctor’s do their job.

This massive shift from a centrally planned bureaucratic healthcare system to a decentralized system that empowers individuals will ultimately lead to a better healthcare system with lower costs. But it won’t be easy. While change is good, transitions are horrible.

Disruptive transitions generate fear. No matter how bad the status quo may be, at least it’s understood and comfortable. Even though few like our current healthcare system, 71% rate their own insurance coverage as good or excellent. They are concerned about change.

Providing protection from rational fear is an essential ingredient for a successful transition. Addressing those fears is the reason 65% support letting anybody buy the insurance coverage available to government employees.  It’s the reason 78% of voters want to ensure that people with pre-existing conditions can still buy health insurance. Americans don’t want to leave anybody behind.

The best protection, however, will come from giving people more control over their own health care choices. Putting power in the hands of consumers is also the best way to seize the opportunity and bring about positive change.

Rather than having bureaucrats decide how much insurance every American should buy; insurance companies would be required to offer a range of products. Some very expensive plans would offer comprehensive coverage of every imaginable medical service. Some less costly approaches would cover only basic health and emergency care needs.

Giving every American this choice would force insurance companies to meet the needs of consumers and patients. Talk about a refreshing change! It would also allow our nation to seize the opportunity and create a better health care system.

 

 

Posted in Scott's Columns

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Democrats Evenly Divided on Banning Private Health Insurance Companies

Forty percent (40%) of Democratic voters at least somewhat favor a proposal to ban private health insurance companies. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that requiring everybody to get their insurance and medical care through the federal government is opposed by 37% of Democrats.

Republican voters oppose the plan by a 66% to 23% margin. Forty-seven percent (47%) of Independents are opposed to such a ban while just 21% favor it (see full crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com conducts surveys on healthcare topics at least twice each month (sign up for free email updates).

Overall, among all voters, 12% Strongly Favor the elimination of private health insurance companies. Another 15% Somewhat Favor the idea. Other data that focused on providing choice to patients found that just 18% were okay with banning private insurance companies. One reason for opposition to such a radical change may be the fact that seven-out-of-ten voters are happy with their existing health insurance coverage.

Men are more likely than women to support the elimination of private health insurance companies.

The desire for increased choice is a consistent theme in all polling related to health care:

  • 67% favor allowing every worker to choose how much insurance they are willing to pay for. They could have less expensive insurance and more take home pay or more expensive insurance and less take-home pay.
  • 65% support allowing anybody to choose between keeping their existing health insurance and buying the insurance coverage available to government employees
  • 63% favor allowing those who can’t get health insurance elsewhere to buy insurance from Medicare
  • 59% support letting anybody choose between keeping their existing health insurance and buying insurance from Medicare

Just 18% of those with private health insurance say they would give up their existing health insurance and buy insurance from Medicare.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,030 Registered Voters was conducted May 17-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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32% See North Korea As Biggest Threat to National Security; 29% Say Russia; 20% China

Given a list of five countries to choose from 32% of voters named North Korea as the greatest threat to the National Security of the United States. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 29% named Russia as the greatest threat. Another 20% picked China, 15% Iran, and 5% said Mexico.

All but Mexico were seen as at least somewhat of a threat by more than seven-out-of-ten voters:

  • North Korea was seen as a threat by 80%, including 48% who see that country as a Very Serious threat.
  • Russia was seen as a threat by 78%, including 43% who see that country as a Very Serious threat.
  • Iran was seen as a threat by 77%, including 41% who see that country as a Very Serious threat.
  • China was seen as a threat by 73%, including 38% who see that country as a Very Serious threat.
  • Most (66%) do not consider Mexico a threat. Just 12% consider it a Very Serious threat.

See full results.

Data released earlier showed that terrorism and cybersecurity concerns are perceived as the top national security threats. Democrats tend to be concerned about climate change as a threat while Republicans are worried about illegal immigration.

Most voters have some confidence in the federal government to protect against many top threats. However, most lack confidence in government efforts to protect the nation from the threats of climate change and federal deficits.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters favor having the United States impose new tariffs on goods imported from China. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 42% oppose such tariffs. That support is driven by a belief that China has used trade to take advantage of the United States. Sixty-three percent (63%) think that is true. Only 13% do not. Twenty-five percent (25%) are not sure.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted May 15-16, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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64% Think FBI Knew The Dossier Was Unreliable When They Applied for Search Warrant Against Trump Campaign

Sixty-four percent (64%) of voters believe the FBI knew a controversial dossier was unreliable when they used it to obtain a search warrant against President Trump’s 2016 campaign. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that skepticism is shared by 86% of Republicans, 64% of Independents, and 47% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

Forty-nine percent (49%) favor having the Department of Justice investigate whether the FBI illegally spied on the Trump campaign. Twenty-nine percent (29%) are opposed and 22% are not sure. Support for an investigation comes from 64% of Republicans, 52% of Independents, and 34% of Democrats.

Just 34% of voters know that the compilation of the dossier was paid for by Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of voters believe the FBI illegally spied on the Trump campaign while 33% say it did not. Thirty-two percent (32%) are not sure. The number who are confident the FBI did not spy illegally has fallen six points in recent weeks.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted May 18-19, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Voters Reject Extremes in Abortion Debate, Remain Evenly Divided Overall

A new survey highlights the extent to which voters reject extreme positions in the abortion debate… extreme positions promoted by advocates on both sides of the political aisle.

Alabama just passed a law that would largely ban abortion without exceptions for rape or incest. However, a new ScottRasmussen.com survey found that just 14% of voters think abortion should be illegal in the case of rape and only 15% say the same about incest.

On the other side of the debate, New York passed a law essentially allowing abortions at any point during a pregnancy. Just 17% of voters support that position.

A closer call is found on fetal heartbeat laws passed recently by Missouri and several other states. Americans are evenly divided on such laws. That matches overall attitudes on the topic: 51% believe abortion should be legal only in rare circumstances or never. Another 49% believe it should be allowed always or most of the time.

There is no gender gap on these questions. Women and men provide very similar responses.

The survey also found that just 36% of voters believe abortion should be legal when a woman does not feel prepared to raise a child. Fifty percent (50%) disagree. This question highlights a key partisan divide. By a 51% to 33% margin, Democrats believe abortion should be allowed if a woman does not feel prepared. Republicans, by a 69% to 20% margin, reject that view. Among Independent voters, 36% believe abortion should be allowed in that case while 48% disagree (see crosstab results).

If a live birth occurs during an abortion procedure, data released earlier shows that 69% of voters believe the doctors involved should be required to care for the child and make all reasonable efforts to keep it alive. Only 6% are opposed, 20% are not sure, and 4% preferred not to answer.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,003 Registered Voters was conducted May 19-20, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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43% Would Take Trip To Moon If They Could

If they had the chance, 43% of voters nationwide would go into space, land on the moon, and return to earth. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that total includes 56% of men and 31% of women.

Those under 35 are more interested than their elders: 65% of the youngest group would take a trip to the moon. Just 21% of senior citizen have the same interest.

Seventy-three percent (73%) believe it’s likely that a private company will send humans to the moon and back within five to ten years. Data released yesterday showed that 71% believe NASA will accomplish that feat by 2024. In that race, 37% believe the government agency will get to the moon before private companies.  However, 36% believe private efforts will get there first.  Another 27% are not sure who will win the race.

Fifty percent (50%) of voters believe that private companies will establish a colony on the moon or Mars within the next 25 years or so.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted May 16-17, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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37% Think NASA Will Get to the Moon Before Private Companies; 36% Think Private Companies Will Win The Race

In what may be the start of a new space race, NASA has announced a new goal of landing people on the moon by 2024. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 37% of voters believe the government agency will accomplish that goal before private companies. However, 36% believe private efforts will get there first.  Another 27% are not sure who will win the race.

Seventy-six percent (76%) favor NASA’s plan for returning to the Moon. However, just 49% are okay with spending an extra $1.6 billion this year to get the project moving. Sixty percent (60%) of men are okay with the spending. However, just 41% of women agree.

Additionally, few people are paying attention. Just 33% are following news on this topic even somewhat closely. Only 8% are following it Very Closely.

The goal may not seem nearly as challenging today as it did back in the 1960s. Seventy-one percent (71%) of voters think the agency is likely to achieve it’s goal within five years. Men (78%) are more optimistic than women (66%). See crosstab results.

Looking forward, 21% believe that only private companies should be handling space travel while 20% think only the government should be involved. Most (59%) think both should make the effort.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted May 16-17, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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57% Believe Trump Likely to Win in 2020… Up From 54% a Month Ago, 46% in February

The number of voters believing President Trump will be re-elected in 2020 continues to grow.

The latest ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 57% of voters nationwide now believe it is at least somewhat likely President Trump will be successful in next year’s campaign. That’s up from 54% a month ago, 50% two month ago and 46% in February.

The latest figures include 29% who say the president is Very Likely to be re-elected and 15% who think that outcome is Not at All Likely. Compared to a month ago, that’s a six point increase in the number who are very confident of his victory and a four point decline who can’t imagine it will happen.

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Republicans, 51% of Independents, and 33% of Democrats believe the president is likely to win (see crosstab results).

It is possible that the shift in 2020 expectations may be related to growing confidence in the economy.

However, it is worth noting that expectations for the president have increased significantly during a time when his Job Approval ratings have remained steady. Every daily release since January 28 has shown the president’s job approval within two percentage points of 46%.

This suggests that changing perceptions of Democrats and potential challengers may be responsible for improving the president’s perceived chances. In recent months, the Democrat’s loudest voices might best be described as 20-percenters because they advocate proposals supported by about 20% of the population (or less). A recent example of this phenomenon was Senator Bernie Sanders’ position that violent criminals should be allowed to vote from prison. Just 15% of voters agree.

Another 2019 shift has been a growing perception that Congress is moving to the left politically. Among all voters, 36% now believe that Congress is too liberal while 31% believe it is too conservative.  Last fall, a solid plurality believed Congress was too conservative. Many Democrats in Congress have openly advocated Socialism, but only 12% of voters support socialism as an economic ideology.

In the race to challenge the president in 2020, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders currently lead all other Democrats. However, only Biden leads the president in a general election match-up. His lead has been declining in recent months.

The most recent survey also found that 88% believe the president will run for re-election. At the other extreme, 13% say Trump is unlikely to be president at the end of 2019.
ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted May 16-17, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Most Voters Lack Confidence in Government to Deal with Climate Change, Deficits

Most voters are at least somewhat confident in the federal government’s ability to protect the nation from Terrorism, Cybersecurity Threats, Foreign Military Powers, Illegal Immigration, and Foreign Agents in the Federal Government. However, a ScottRasmussen.com survey found that most voters are skeptical of the government’s ability to protect the nation from Climate Change and Federal Deficits.

Data released earlier showed that  65% of voters consider Terrorism as a Very Serious threat to the national security of the United States. Sixty-two percent (62%) say the same about Cybersecurity Threats. Sixty-six percent (66%) have confidence in the government to protect us from Terrorism and 51% have that confidence concerning Cybersecurity.

However, Federal Deficits are seen as a Very Serious threat by 48% of voters. Only 41% have confidence in the government’s ability to protect the nation from that threat.

As for Climate Change, 46% consider it a Very Serious Threat. Yet just 37% of voters believe the federal government can protect us from it.Data released earlier showed that 57% believe new technologies will likely solve the major problems associated with climate change. That may explain why just 18% favor giving the federal government sweeping new powers to fight climate change.

One challenge in this data is how to interpret the responses of people who don’t consider an issue to be a threat. If someone does not consider climate change a threat, how do you evaluate their confidence in protection from that threat. For example, most Republicans do not consider climate change to be a serious threat, but they express more confidence in the government’s ability to protect us from climate change.

So, we reviewed the data by looking at those who consider each issue a threat. Generally speaking, those who considered a threat Somewhat Serious were more confident about protection than those who considered it a Very Serious Threat. Yet, on every issue except Deficits and Climate Change, a majority of those considering something a major threat also had confidence in the government protection.

Among those who consider Deficits to be a Very Serious threat, just 37% have any confidence the government can protect us from it.

Among those who consider Global Warming to be a Very Serious threat, only 31% are confident the government can protect us from it.

Data released earlier showed that 40% of voters consider government deficits to be a crisis. Thirty-nine percent (39%) say the same about Climate Change.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted May 15-16, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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69% Concerned About Federal Government Spying On Individual Americans

Sixty-nine percent (69%) are concerned that the federal government is spying on individual Americans. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 31% are not concerned.

On a more personal basis, 46% are concerned that the federal government is spying on them specifically. Fifty-four percent (54%) are not concerned. Those figures include 19% who are Very Concerned and 18% who are Not At All Concerned.

Just 24% believe that tech companies like Google should they automatically provide private user information information to a government agency upon request. Seventy-six percent (76%) believe they require a court order before turning over any information.

Only 21% of voters  think it is possible for Americans to have any sense of genuine privacy in the digital era. That figure includes 32% of voters under 35 and 11% of senior citizens (see crosstab results). However, 78% want tech companies to make it easier for people to limit the amount of information they share.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted May 10-11, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Crosstabs May 16-17

Posted in Crosstabs

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Few Voters Understand Roe v Wade Ruling; Or What Overturning It Would Mean

Abortion is back in the news, an issue considered Very Important by 43% of voters. One of the most discussed aspects of this debate is the future of the Supreme Court Roe v. Wade decision. However, the Court ruling might also be one of the least understood aspects of the law.

Thirty-one percent (31%) of voters incorrectly believe that abortion will be illegal if the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision is overturned.  Just 35% recognize that overturning the ruling would allow each state to set their own rules concerning abortion.

Overall, 50% of voters believe abortion should be legal most or all of the time. Another 50% say rarely or never. Just 12% of Americans say abortion should be legal at any point of a pregnancy.

When told that a fetal heartbeat can be detected as early as six weeks into a pregnancy, 56% of voters favor a proposal that would make abortion illegal at any point after such a heartbeat has been detected.  Without the information about how early the heartbeat can begin just 45% of voters support fetal heartbeat laws.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Terrorism, Cyber Security Seen As Top National Security Threats

Sixty-five percent (65%) of voters consider Terrorism as a Very Serious threat to the national security of the United States. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 62% believe Cybersecurity Threats to be Very Serious.

A number of issues were seen as Very Serious threats by just under half of all voters: Federal Deficits (48%), Climate Change (46%), Foreign Military Powers (44%), Illegal Immigration (43%), and Foreign Agents in the Federal Government (42%).

On most of the threats, concerns were fairly evenly spread across partisan lines. However, 64% of Democrats consider Climate Change a Very Serious threat. That view is shared by 42% of Independents and 26% of Republicans. On Illegal Immigration, 66% of Republicans see it as a Very Serious threat. Only 40% of Independents and 27% of Democrats agree.

For Democrats, the top three threats are Cybersecurity, Climate Change, and Terrorism.

For Republicans, the top three are Terrorism, Illegal Immigration, and Cybersecurity.

Among Independents, it’s Terrorism, Cybersecurity, and Foreign Military Powers.

Data released earlier showed that 68% consider National Security to be a Very Important voting issue. Sixty-four percent (64%) said the same about Fighting Terrorism (64%). The only issues deemed more important were the Economy and Health Care.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted May 15-16, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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73% Consider Economy, Health Care As Very Important Issues

Seventy-three percent (73%) of voters consider the economy to be a Very Important voting issue. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 73% also consider health care to be that important. No other issue in the survey topped 70%. These two issue have consistently been ranked as the most important in each of our monthly surveys (see topline trends).

Three other issues were deemed Very Important by more than six-out-of-ten voters: National Security (68%), Fighting Terrorism (64%), and Taxes (62%).

Data released earlier showed that Republicans are trusted more than Democrats on the issues of the economy, national security and fighting terrorism. Democrats are trusted more on health care and the parties are essentially even on taxes.

On the issue each voter considers most important, 34% of voters trust Republicans more than Democrats while 32% place more trust in Democrats. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 19% do not trust either party, 8% trust both, and 7% are not sure.

The current survey found that gun laws and job creation are considered Very Important by 56% of voters. Somewhat lower on the list are Immigration (55%), Civil Rights (54%), Fighting Poverty (49%), Economic Inequality (45%), and Abortion (43%).

See full crosstab results.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 14-15, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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A Four Person Race for the Democratic Nomination?

From the moment former Vice President Joe Biden threw his hat in the ring, he has been the dominant front runner in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. That status was confirmed in the most recent ScottRasmussen.com poll of the race showing Biden with 39% of vote and a nineteen-point lead.

His nearest challenger—Senator Bernie Sanders—attracted just 20% support and nobody else reached double digits.

But in a party that has become younger and more racially diverse, it’s never seemed likely that two white men over 70 would have the field to themselves. The question all along has been which of the other 20 or so candidates might move into the top-tier.

It’s certainly early, but it may be that Senators Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris are gaining the traction they need to make it a four-person race. In our latest poll, they finished third and fourth with 8% and 6% of the vote respectively. That’s a long way back, but both Warren and Harris offer Democrats a much-needed contrast rather than limiting the options to a pair of older white men.

Not only that, the poll found that Sanders, Harris, and Warren are the top three second choices for Biden voters. Biden, Warren, and Harris are the top second choices for Sanders’ voters.

When you add up the first, second, and third choices for Democratic voters and Democratic leaning independents, Biden makes the top three for 66%. Fifty-one percent (51%) put Sanders in that category. Senator Elizabeth Warren is a top three pick for 33% while Senator Kamala Harris is selected by 29%. Nobody else reaches 20%.

Other survey data found that 85% of Democratic voters and Democratic leaning Independents would be excited or satisfied with former Vice President Joe Biden as the party’s presidential nominee. That’s a pretty amazing total but Biden is not alone. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 77% would also be satisfied with Senator Bernie Sanders. Seventy-three percent (73%) say the same about Senator Kamala Harris and 71% about Senator Elizabeth Warren.

Only 4-6% would be depressed with any of those candidates as the party nominee.

Looking through the data, it’s clear that former Congressman Beto O’Rourke and South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg aren’t all that far behind Warren and Harris. But other than being young, neither of those men offer a compelling rationale for why they should be considered instead of Biden or Sanders. And, neither of them has all that much experience in office to draw upon.

At the moment, therefore, it looks like the Democrats have a four-person race. Biden is the frontrunner and the race is his to lose. Sanders has a core following from the last time around, but there are questions about whether he can appeal to a wider base. Warren and Harris are making their first run for the White House and appear well positioned to shake things up when voters begin to pay attention.

 

 

Posted in Scott's Columns

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58% Favor New Tariffs on China; 63% Believe Chinese Using Trade to Take Advantage of Us

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters favor having the United States impose new tariffs on goods imported from China. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 42% oppose such tariffs. These totals include 22% who Strongly Favor the tariffs and 15% who are Strongly Opposed.

New tariffs are supported by 61% of Rural voters, 58% of Urban voters, and 56% of Suburban voters. On a partisan basis, they are supported by 82% of Republicans and 59% of Independents. They are opposed by 62% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

That support is driven by a belief that China has used trade to take advantage of the United States. Sixty-three percent (63%) think that is true. Only 13% do not. Twenty-five percent (25%) are not sure.

Interestingly, while 58% favor higher tariffs, just 31% think they will be good for the United States. This gap between support for tariffs and the belief that they will be good suggests that many voters see these negotiations as a matter of fairness rather than transactional economics.

A plurality of voters–39%- believe the impact from tariffs will be bad for the U.S. Eight percent  (8%) believe they will have no impact while 23% are not sure.

Forty percent (40%) of voters say President Trump has done a good or an excellent job in his trade negotiations with China. Another 40% rate his performance as poor. Twenty percent (20%) take the more neutral option of fair.

However, these results appear to have more to do with preconceived notions of the president rather than a response to his trade policy. Among those who Approve of the president’s job performance overall, 79% rate his China negotiations as good or excellent. Just 3% say poor. As for those who Disapprove overall, 71% say he’s done a poor job dealing with China. Just 7% say good or excellent.

Overall, 82% believe free trade is good for the United States. Seventy-nine percent (79%) believe that free trade helps create jobs.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 14-15, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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White House Rejects International Agreement Due to Free Speech Concerns– US Voters Place High Value on Free Speech

The Washington Post just reported that “The White House will not sign an international call to combat online extremism brokered between French and New Zealand officials and top social media companies, amid U.S. concerns that it clashes with constitutional protections for free speech.”

The article notes that many European countries are expected to sign on to the accord which was initiated after a shooter in New Zealand city “attacked two mosques in an attack inspired by online hate and broadcast on social-media sites.”

The White House said it supports the goals of the accord, but has legitimate concerns about limitations on free speech. On that, they are likely to find solid support. Last fall, ScottRasmussen.com polling showed that 64% of voters believe it is more dangerous to let government to define hate speech than to allow inappropriate hate speech. Other data found that 76% believe freedom of speech includes the right to say things that others find offensive.

Additionally 74% establish a high standard for defining hate speech–it is speech that encourages violence against a group of people.

Earlier surveys showed that freedom of speech is seen by voters as the most important right confirmed in the Bill of Rights.

 

 

Posted in Deeper Currents

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63% Believe Minimum Wage Should Be Set By State or Local Governments

Sixty-three percent (63%) of voters believe that the minimum wage should be set by state (41%) or local (22%) governments. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that just 37% believe it should be established by the federal government.

Support for having state and local governments set the minimum wage comes from 68% of Independent voters, 65% of Republicans, and 56% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that 48% of voters favor establishing a lower minimum wage for teenagers while 38% are opposed. Data released earlier showed that 77% of Americans have worked for the minimum wage at some point in their life. For the vast majority, they did so as a teenager.

Forty-nine percent (49%) believe it is more important to create jobs for low income workers rather than raising the minimum wage. Thirty-six percent (36%) take the opposite view. Seventy-one percent (71%)  support a temporary training wage for unskilled workers to learn a new job.

Scott Rasmussen has written in support of letting state and local governments set the minimum wage. In addition to allowing for more experimentation and nuance, it would shift the final decision making authority from the politicians to the people. “The wisdom of raising the minimum wage in a particular county will be determined by the decisions of residents and local businesses. Maybe the higher minimum will attract more people or maybe it will drive away businesses and jobs. It’s even possible that the higher minimum wage will have no discernable impact. After all, it’s just one small part of the overall lifestyle mix offered by local communities.” Most importantly, “Letting local governments set their own rules empowers people to vote with their feet.”

The survey found that 72% believe the minimum wage today should be between $10.00 and $15.00 per hour.

Other data shows that Americans vastly overestimate the number of people working for the minimum wage.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 12-13, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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78% Consider Online Medical Sites Reliable

Seventy-eight percent (78%) of voters nationwide believe online medical information is at least somewhat reliable. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that total includes 13% who think it is Very Reliable.

Not surprisingly, then, 74%  visit medical websites to learn about possible causes when they have unfamiliar medical symptoms.

However, 77% of Americans say they would rather see a doctor in person than online.

Only 15% have actually had a telemedicine doctor’s appointment (that’s up from 13% in September). Another 33% say they are likely to try one in the future. Younger voters are more likely to have had a telemedicine  appointment and also more likely to try it in the future (see crosstab results).

It seems reasonable to think that attitudes about telemedicine could change thanks to the long wait times and costs Americans are facing to see a doctor in person. It takes an average 18.4 days to actually see the doctor after making an appointment. Then, it takes two hours out of the day to spend just 20 minutes with the physician. That’s because a typical visit involves 101 minutes in the waiting room and travel time. People living in remote rural areas may have to set aside even more time.

Meanwhile, the cost of seeing a doctor has made a real impact on a significant number of American voters. 38% have put off a doctor’s visit due to the costs involved. The survey found that this jumps to 47% among those earning less than $75,000 annually.

We conduct polls on healthcare topics at least twice a month. Since August, the number rating the US healthcare system good or excellent has stayed between 30% and 38%. Despite skepticism about the health care system, more than 70% consistently rate their own insurance coverage as good or excellent. They medical care people receive also receives generally positive reviews.

Seventy percent (70%) of voters nationwide believe that it’s Very Important to ensure that every American has access to quality health care. However, only 18% of voters support Senator Bernie Sanders’ plan to ban private insurance companies and require everyone to use a federal health care system.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 8-9, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Posted in Poll Results

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29% Would Feel Safe in Self-Driving Car Today

Twenty-nine percent (29%) of American adults would feel safe riding in a self-driving car today. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that total includes 38% of men and 21% of women.

Forty-five percent (45%) of adults under 35 would feel safe, a confidence shared by just 13% of senior citizens (see crosstab results).

Still, just over half the nation’s adults (51%) believe that most cars on the road will be self-driving within 5-20 years. Eight percent (8%) think it will happen faster than that while 13% think that day will never come.

No matter how fast the technology and consumer acceptance progress, adoption of self-driving vehicles will be slowed by the fact that Americans generally hold on to their cars for more than ten years.

Among those who don’t yet feel safe in a self-driving car, 28% think it’s likely they’ll get comfortable within five to ten years. Once again, younger adults are far more likely than their elders to embrace the idea.

By way of disclosure, I took my first ride in a self-driving car: “The anticipation for me was a bit like a kid waiting for Christmas. But when I shared my enthusiasm with friends and colleagues, many thought I was crazy.” I remain an enthusiastic backer of the technology and expect my next car to be as autonomous as possible. It remains a mystery to me why so many people are reluctant to embrace this next step forward in automotive technology.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,127 Adults was conducted May 13-14, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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49% Support Birthright Citizenship; 32% Believe Mother Should Be Allowed to Stay in U.S.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of voters nationwide believe that a child born in the United States to an illegal immigrant should be considered a U.S. citizen. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 41% disagree and 10%  are not sure. These attitudes are little changed since November.

However, in the case of a pregnant woman who enters the country illegally and gives birth, just 32% believe she should be allowed to remain in the country. That’s down six points since last fall. Forty-seven percent (47%) do not believe she should be allowed to stay while 22% are not sure.

Democrats, by a 44% to 28% margin, believe that woman should be allowed to stay in the United States. Republicans, by a 74% to 14% margin disagree. Among Independent voters, 35% believe she should be allowed to stay while 42% do not.

Overall, 75% believe that our immigration system should prioritize people with skills that could benefit the economy rather than granting legal status to people with relatives in the United States. That view is shared across partisan and demographic lines.

Underlying these attitudes is a strong belief among voters that legal immigration is good for the country while illegal immigration is bad. Such attitudes acknowledge that we are both a nation of immigrants and a nation of laws. It also helps explain why 63% of voters support sending troops to our southern border.

Most legal analysts believe that the U.S. Constitution guarantees citizenship to anyone born in the country. While just 49% think that’s the way it should work, 77% of voters recognize that is the current law.

In terms of priorities, 52% believe that it is more important to to stop illegal immigration than to resolve the legal status of illegal immigrants already living in the country. Forty-eight percent (48%) take the opposite view. Eighty-two percent (82%) of Republicans believe the priority should be stopping illegal immigration. That view is shared by 29% of Democrats and 51% of Independents (see crosstab results).

On the issue of immigration, voters overall are fairly evenly divided in terms of which party they trust. However, among those who consider it the most important issue, 64% trust Republicans more while 12% trust the Democrats.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economy, health care, immigration, Congress, ratings of Congressional leaders, Election 2020, the Democratic Primaries, Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted May 11-12, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Biden One of Top Three Picks for 66% of Dems; Sanders for 51%

Sixty-six percent (66%) of Democratic voters and Democratic leaning Independents rate former Vice President Joe Biden as one of their top three picks in the race for the party’s presidential nomination. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 51% say the same about Senator Bernie Sanders.

Senator Elizabeth Warren is a top three pick for 33% while Senator Kamala Harris is selected by 29%. Further back are former Congressman Beto O’Rourke at 19%, Senator Cory Booker at 18%, and Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 16%. No other Democratic hopeful reaches double digits (see full results).

Biden is currently the first choice for 39% followed by Sanders at 20%, Warren at 8% and Harris at 6%. Data released earlier showed that more than 70% would be satisfied with any of these candidates as the party’s nominee.

These results set the stage for the first Democratic debate. Scheduled for next month, the event is likely to feature a strong effort by many contenders to try and dent Biden’s lead. Sanders, Warren, and Harris are all well positioned to gain ground if the frontrunner stumbles. For all the other candidates in the race, the debate will offer a relatively rare opportunity to make an impression and enter the top tier before voting begins in early 2019.

See data for second and third choices.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 2,207 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted May 8-13, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The sample included 1,851 Democrats and 356 Independents. It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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85% of Dem Voters Would Be Satisfied With Biden; More Than 70% With Sanders, Harris or Warren

Eighty-five percent (85%) of Democratic voters and Democratic leaning Independents would be excited or satisfied with former Vice President Joe Biden as the party’s presidential nominee. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 77% would also be satisfied with Senator Bernie Sanders . Seventy-three percent (73%) say the same about Senator Kamala Harris and 71% about Senator Elizabeth Warren.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) would be that pleased with former Congressman Beto O’Rourke and 63% with Mayor Pete Buttigieg.

Only 4% to 6% would be depressed with any of those candidates as the party’s nominee.

The survey of 2,207 Democratic voters and Democratic leaning Independents was conducted from May 8-13, 2019. These results suggest that at this stage of the campaign Democrats are prepared to unite around whoever wins the right to challenge President Trump. However, that could change as the campaign unfolds.

While there is broad acceptance of many leading candidates, there are differences in enthusiasm. Forty-five percent (45%) would be excited with Biden as the nominee followed by Sanders (36%), Harris (25%), Warren (24%), O’Rourke (21%), and Buttigieg (18%). Among the parties most liberal voters, 53% would be excited by Sanders and 52% by Biden. More than 40% say the same about Harris and Warren.

See full crosstab data.

Biden is leading all Democrats in early primary polling and leads President Trump in general election match-ups. He also leads all Democratic candidates in terms of Social Media support.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 2,207 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted May 8-13, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The sample included 1,851 Democrats and 356 Independents. It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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57% Say United States One of Best Countries for Women; 11% Consider It One of the Worst

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters believe that the United States is one of the best countries for women to live in. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 11% believe it is one of the worst while 32% believe it is somewhere in between.

There is no significant gender gap on this question. Fifty-nine percent (59%) of men say the U.S. is one for the best countries in the world for women. Fifty-five percent (55%) of women share that view.

However, there is a wide partisan divide. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans believe our country is one of the best for women. Most (54%) Independent voters agree along with 46% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

That partisan divide is also stark when we ask about various other groups in society. Survey respondents were asked about those living in poverty, African-Americans, the Middle Class, Hispanics, Gays and Lesbians, and those living with Chronic Health Conditions. For each group, a majority of Republicans consider the U.S. to be one of the best countries in the world

However, the number of Democrats considering the U.S. best for these groups ranged from 23% to 34%. For those Living in Poverty or with Chronic Health Conditions, more Democrats believe that the U.S. is one of the worst countries to live in. For African-Americans and Hispanics, Democrats are evenly divided as to whether America is one of the best or worst countries.

When it comes to the Middle Class, 34% of Democrats say the United States is one of the best places to live while 26% say one of the worst. For Gays and Lesbians, 32% say best and 25% say the U.S. is among the worst.

For each of the groups mentioned in the survey, Independent voters are more likely to to say that the U.S. is among the best country in the world rather than worst. The margins were smallest for those Living in Poverty or with Chronic Health Conditions.

Black voters were evenly divided as to whether the U.S. is among the best or worst places in the world for African-Americans to live.

Among Hispanic voters, 39% believe the U.S. is among the best place for Hispanics to live. Eighteen percent (18%) consider it among the worst.

Within the Democratic party, there is an interesting divide. White Democrats lean towards the believe that the U.S. is one of the best places for African-Americans to live.  Black and Hispanic Democrats offer a more negative assessment and lean to the belief that the U.S. is among the worst.

However, when it comes to Hispanics. white Democrats are evenly divided. But, in this case, Black and Hispanic Democrats are more positive.

Data released earlier shows that 54% of voters nationwide believe that American society is generally fair and decent. However, 46% take the opposite view and believe it is unfair and discriminatory. There is a wide partisan divide on that question. Eighty-four percent (84%) of Republicans see a generally fair society while 68% of Democrats see the opposite. Independent voters are evenly divided.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted May 4-5, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Just 12% Have Favorable Opinion Of Socialism As Economic Ideology

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of voters have at least a Somewhat Favorable opinion of Socialism. However, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that more than two-thirds of them do not consider that term to reflect an economic ideology (see crosstab results).

As a result, only 12% of all American voters have a favorable opinion of Socialism as an economic system. Another 26% have a favorable opinion of the term but think it deals with other societal issues rather than economics. Sixty-one percent (61%) have an unfavorable view of Socialism in either case (see crosstab results).

This data helps explain the enormous gap between the apparent support for Socialism and the lack of support for socialist policies. For example, only 18% of voters support Senator Bernie Sanders’ plan to ban private insurance companies and require everyone to use a federal health care system. Just 15% support a Universal Basic Income plan that provides payments even for those unwilling to work.

These latest results are consistent with earlier data showing that those who like Socialism today do not think of the term as it has been understood historically.

Some of the data appears stunning to those who think of Socialism as it was understood in the 20th century. For example, among those who like Socialism, just 38% think it leads to higher taxes and more government control. Nearly as many, 29%, believe it would lead to lower taxes and less government control.

The new survey found that 69% of those who like Socialism also have a favorable opinion of capitalism. An even larger number–87%–have a favorable opinion of Free Markets.

Most who have a positive view of Socialism today want less government involvement in the economy. Just 35% who like Socialism favor government ownership of the largest companies.

Eighty-four percent (84%) of voters continue to see the United States as a Land of Opportunity.

Overall, just 28% of voters believe that Socialism is primarily an economic ideology.

Extensive research by ScottRasmussen.com has clearly documented the fact that most 21st century fans of Socialism don’t think the term means what it has meant historically. However, it is not yet clear what they do believe it means. That will be the subject of ongoing research.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted May 7-8, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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51% Want More Political Discussion… With People Who Share Their Views

In social settings, 49% of voters say they get caught up in too many political discussions. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 51% disagree and believe they don’t have enough political discussions.

However, in social setting with close friends or family members who have different political views, there is little desire for political talk. In such situations, 76% generally try to avoid conversations about politics. That includes 75% of those who say they don’t have enough political discussions.

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of Republicans would like more political discussions in social settings. So would 45% of Democrats and 46% of Independent voters.

However, when the social setting includes people of different views, 78% of Republicans try to avoid political chatter. So do 75% of Democrats and 76% of Independents (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that 67% of Democrats believe most or all of their family members are Democrats. Fifty-three percent (53%) of Republicans think most of their family members belong to the GOP. Independent voters say they have a fairly even political mix in the family.

When it comes to close friends, 53% of Democrats say most share the same views and another 36% say their friends are fairly evenly divided along party lines. Just 4% of Democrats believe most of their friends are Republicans.

The numbers are similar for the GOP: 49% believe most share their views and 42% believe their friends represent a bi-partisan mix. Just 4% of Republicans believe most of their friends are Democrats.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted May 5-6, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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63% Consider Socialism A Threat To America’s Founding Ideals

Sixty-three percent (63%) of voters consider Socialism a threat to America’s founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-governance. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 58% say the same about Populism. Capitalism is seen as a threat to those ideals by 42% while 29% believe Free Markets are such a threat.

Data released earlier has shown that voters see Free Markets as more fair than Socialism.

Socialism is considered a threat to America’s founding ideals by 80% of Republicans and 62% of Independents. However, Democrats are evenly divided: 49% see it as a threat while 51% do not.

Populism is considered a threat by 66% of Republicans, 55% of Democrats, and 52% of Independents (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that just 28% view Socialism primarily an economic ideology while 72% believe it is more concerned with other societal issues. The numbers are virtually the same for Populism (29%/71%).

However, 70% view both Capitalism and Free Markets as primarily economic systems.

The number viewing Socialism as a threat is up three points since February. The perception of a threat is also up slightly for both Capitalism and Populism. However, there was no change on the question of Free Markets.

Support for the term Socialism has increased in the United States recently. However, the meaning of that term has little to do with what Socialism has meant historically. And, growing support for the term Socialism does not mean support for policies advocated by elected politicians such as Senator Bernie Sanders or Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

For example, among those with a favorable view of Socialism, just 34% believe it will lead to higher taxes and more government control. Another third (33%) think it would reduce taxes and government control. Most who have a positive view of Socialism today want less government involvement in the economy. Just 35% who like Socialism favor government ownership of the largest companies.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted May 7-8, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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78% See Social Security As Retirement Program Workers Pay Into; 22% Say It’s A Government Program

Seventy-eight percent (78%) of voters believe Social Security is a retirement program that workers pay into during their working years and receive promised payments back during retirement. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 22% see it as a government program that provides income to senior citizens.

That perception is one of the reasons Social Security is viewed favorably by 75% of American voters.

The belief that it’s an earned benefit is highlighted in other data as well. If someone reaches retirement age, is eligible to collect Social Security payments, and wants to keep working, 82% believe they should still be able to collect their Social Security benefits.

Sixty-three percent (63%) think workers should be allowed to pay more money into Social Security in exchange for higher benefits or an earlier retirement age. Just 13% oppose that idea which was first suggested by President Frankin Roosevelt in 1935. As a practical matter, tens of millions of Americans are doing something very similar today by investing in 401(k) plans and other private retirement programs.

Thirty-three percent (33%) also believe workers be allowed to pay less money into Social Security in exchange for a later retirement age. Forty-one percent (41%) are opposed.

Among voters under 35, 65% see Social Security as a retirement program that workers pay into during their working years and receive promised payments back during retirement. That figure rises to 88% among senior citizens (see crosstab results). That is precisely the way the program was sold to the American people in the 1930s and has remained a solid perception ever since.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 8-9, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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42% Have Either Owned A Small Business Or Would Like to Do So

Twenty-two percent (22%) of American adults are either small business owners or have been at some point in their life. A Job Creators Network/ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that another 20% would like to own a small business at some point in the future.

The number who have actually owned a small business is found among virtually all segments of society. Among those who have not had their own business, 48% of young adults (under 35) would like to own a business at some point. Not surprisingly, that number declines among older Americans. Among senior citizens who have never owned a small business, just 1% would like to try it.

Black and Hispanic Americans who have never run their own business are more interested in trying it than white Americans (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that 90% of Americans have a favorable opinion of small business owners. Forty-four percent (44%) have a close friend or family member who owns a small business. And, within the past month, 72% have shopped in a small business establishment or eaten at a locally owned restaurant.

The national survey of 1,113 US adults was conducted May 6-7, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a Margin of Error of +/-3.0 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,113 US adults was conducted May 6-7, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a Margin of Error of +/-3.0 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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72% of Americans Shopped at Small Businesses Last Month

This week is National Small Business Week—a tradition that has carried on for more than 50 years. In conjunction with the weeklong celebration, Job Creators Network/ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse polling found that 72 percent of Americans have shopped at a small business during the previous month. Additionally nine out of ten respondents view small businesses favorably.

Interestingly, data that shows the strong economy is specifically benefiting minorities—notably that African- and Hispanic-American unemployment rates have hit or are nearing all-time lows—is reflective of entrepreneurial ambitions. According to the polling, more than half of African- and Hispanic-Americans would like to become a small business owner in the future.

Weekly questions revealed:

  • 90 percent of respondents view small businesses favorably.
  • 72 percent of respondents have shopped at a small business at least once during the last 30 days.
  • While only a quarter of respondents overall say they want to start a small business in the future, 51 percent of African-Americans and 53 percent of Hispanic-Americans have that aspiration.

“During this weeklong celebration of entrepreneurs, it’s very clear that small businesses are very popular among Americans,” said Elaine Parker, President of the Job Creators Network Foundation. “Not only do Americans view small businesses favorably, but they frequently put their money where their mouth is—spending their paycheck at small enterprises. It’s also encouraging to see that the minority groups who are especially benefiting from this robust economy have entrepreneurial ambitions for the future, which will further spur progress.”

Read Elaine Parker’s most recent op-ed on National Small Business Week here.

When asked about the economy, 17 percent of respondents rated the economy as “excellent,” which is an uptick from the 13 percent who said the same last week. Overall, 84 percent of respondents rated the economy as either “excellent,” “good” (39%), or “fair” (32%). Only 14% rated America’s economy as “poor.”

“Optimism in the economy is holding strong—mirroring the latest jobs day report released last week by the Bureau of Labor Statistics,” commented pollster Scott Rasmussen. “In a number we haven’t seen since the beginning of November, only 20 percent of Americans believe the economy is on the downswing; while nearly double that proportion believe the economy to be improving.”

Other economic polling questions this week included:

How would you rate the US economy today? Excellent (17%), Good (38%), Fair (28%), Poor (12%), Not sure (4%).

Is the economy getting better or worse? Better (39%), Worse (20%), About the same (33%), Not sure (8%).

Okay, how would you rate your own personal finances these days?  Excellent (12%), Good (39%), Fair (31%), Poor (15%), Not sure (3%).

Are your personal finances getting better or worse? Better (28%), Worse (17%), About the same (52%), Not sure (4%).

Are companies in your area more likely to be hiring new workers or laying off existing workers? Hiring new workers (44%), Laying off existing workers (18%), Not sure (37%).

For historic data on these economic questions visit: JCNPulse.com

Download full crosstabs on all this week’s questions:

This ScottRasmussen.com/HarrisX poll of 1,113 US adults was conducted May 6-7, 2019. For more information about the Job Creators Network, please visit www.JobCreatorsNetwork.com.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Iron Man Favorite Avenger for 21%; Captain America Second at 17%

Sixty-three percent (63%) of those who watched the Avengers Endgame movie plan to see it again.  

A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 86% of those viewers said they enjoyed the blockbuster hit more than other Marvel movies. Asked to rate the movie on a scale from 1 to 10, 67% rated it a 9 or a 10.

Twenty-one percent (21%) of the viewers named Iron Man as their favorite Avenger. Seventeen percent (17%) prefer Captain America and Thor was the top choice for 14%. They were followed in popularity by the Hulk (8%), Spiderman (7%), Captain Marvel (7%), Black Widow (6%), and Black Panther (5%).

Overall, 23% of American adults have seen the movie already. Among the rest, 31% are planning on seeing it. See full survey results.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

We release new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.  You can also follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,113 US adults was conducted May 6-7, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a Margin of Error of +/-3.0 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. The sample included 494 people who have seen the Avengers Endgame movie. Results based upon that sample have a Margin of Error of +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Will A Growing Economy Re-elect President Trump?

When it comes to the economy, 37% of voters now trust Republicans more than Democrats. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 26% hold the opposite view and trust the Democrats more. The rest either don’t trust either party (18%), trust both equally (10%) or are not sure (9%).

On the one hand, these numbers aren’t all that surprising. In monthly polls dating back to last summer, the Republicans have always been trusted more than Democrats on the economy. But the advantage may be growing.

The 11-point advantage recorded is up from 4 points a month ago. This month’s total also represents the largest GOP lead yet measured in ScottRasmussen.com polls.

It comes at a time when confidence is growing in the economy itself. Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters now rate the economy as good or excellent. The latest Job Creators Network/ ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse survey shows that just 12% say it’s in poor shape.

On top of that, 39% say the economy is getting better while only 20% think it’s getting worse.

On a personal level, 51% of American adults rate their own finances as good or excellent while just 15% are in poor shape. Twenty-eight percent (28%) say their own financial situation is improving while 17% say the opposite.

And, in terms of their community, 49% say firms are more likely to be hiring than laying people off. Just 18% see more layoffs in their area.

Put it all together and Americans haven’t been this optimistic about the economy since before the 2018 elections. Confidence softened a bit after Democrats won control of the House and then fell more sharply during the partial government shutdown. But, ever since the shutdown ended, confidence has returned and may be gaining momentum.

Naturally, there is a partisan interpretation of what’s going on economically. By an 82% to 3% margin, Republicans believe the economy is getting better. Independent voters aren’t as convinced, but still agree by a 35% to 25% margin.

Democrats on the other hand, see something different entirely. Half (47%) think the economy is staying about the same. And, 28% believe it’s getting worse. Just 18% of those in Nancy Pelosi’s party believe the economy is improving.

Those partisan attitudes put the Democrats out of synch with the rest of the nation as they are working to select a presidential nominee. Perhaps they will be proven right and the economy will go south by November 2020. If that happens, the Democrats are very likely to win the White House and even pick up some Senate seats.

But what if the economy remains strong? So far, the growing economic confidence has not boosted President Trump or the Republican Party. The president’s job approval rating has held steady around 46% in more than three months of daily updates. And, the Generic Congressional Ballot has been nearly as stable showing the Democrats with about a six-point advantage.

Why hasn’t the stronger economy boosted the president’s numbers?

It is possible that opinions about President Trump are so hardened that nothing will change them. However, it often takes time before growing economic confidence translates into political benefits for the party in power. If that’s the case, the president’s ratings should start to inch up this fall.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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54% Say American Society Fair and Decent; 46% Say Unfair and Discriminatory

Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters nationwide believe that American society is generally fair and decent. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 46% take the opposite view and believe it is unfair and discriminatory.

Men, by a 59% to 41% margin, believe society is generally fair and decent while women are evenly divided.

Among voters under 35, a majority (55%) believe our society is unfair and discriminatory. Most older voters take the opposite view, including 64% of senior citizens who consider society fair and decent.

There is a wide partisan divide on this question. Eighty-four percent (84%) of Republicans see a generally fair society while 68% of Democrats see the opposite. Independent voters are evenly divided.

There is also a huge divide along racial lines. Sixty-three percent (63%) of white voters consider society fair and decent. Seventy-seven percent (77%) of black voters and 66% of Hispanic voters disagree (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that 33% believe it would be better for Europe to become more like the United States; 30% think that it would be better for the United States to become more like Europe; and 37% are not sure.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted May 4-5, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Kavanaugh Best Known Supreme Court Justice, Ginsburg Most Popular

Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters have a favorable opinion of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh. A new ScottRasmussen.com national survey shows that he is viewed unfavorably by 33%. Another 33% have either never heard of Justice Kavanaugh or don’t know enough to have an opinion.

While Kavanaugh is the newest member of the Court, those numbers make him the best known. In fact, five of the nine Justices are unknown by a majority of American voters.

Close behind Kavanaugh in terms of name recognition is Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. She receives a much more positive assessment–44% favorable and 21% unfavorable. Ginsburg is viewed favorably by 62% of Democrats, 40% of Independents, and 30% of Republicans (see crosstab results).

The ratings for Ginsburg and all the Justices have changed little since February or last September.

Overall, 66% now approve of the way the Supreme Court is doing it’s job. Forty-two percent (42%) think it’s ideological balance is about right. The remainder include 32% who believe it is too conservative and 26% who say too liberal.

The only other members of the Court recognized by most voters are Justice Clarence Thomas (32% favorable, 28% unfavorable) and Sonia Sotomayor (38% favorable, 18% unfavorable).

Chief Justice John Roberts earns positive reviews from 32% while 16% offer a negative assessment.

Justice Neil Gorsuch is viewed favorably by 27% and unfavorably by 20%.

The numbers for Justice Elena Kagen are 24% favorable and 15% unfavorable.

Justice Samuel Alito is seen in a positive light by 22% and negatively by 15%.

The least known member of the Court is Justice Stephen Breyer. Sixty-five percent (65%) don’t know enough to have an opinion of him. Twenty-two percent (22%) are favorably inclined towards Breyer and 13% take the opposite view.

There has also been little change in perceptions of the Supreme Court. Voters continue to give it higher approval ratings than any other branch of government.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on Twitter, Facebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted May 3-4, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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57% of Democrats Believe President Trump Guilty of Treason

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of Democrats believe that, in his relations with the Russian government, President Trump is guilty of treason. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 14% of those in Nancy Pelosi’s party disagree while 29% are not sure.

Republicans reject the notion that the president is guilty of treason by an 82% to 7% margin. Among Independent voters, 30% believe he has committed treason while 44% disagree and 25% are not sure (see full crosstab results).

Among all voters, 33% believe the president is guilty of treason while 45% disagree.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. You can also follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The belief that the president committed treason is shared by 28% of men and 37% of women. There is a significant generation gap: 48% of those under 35 believe he is guilty, a view shared by just 20% of senior citizens. Twenty-six percent (26%) of white voters agree along with 49% of black voters and 50% of Hispanic voters.

The survey also found that 41% of voters believe the president should be impeached and removed from office. Support for impeachment has held steady ever since the submission of the Mueller report. Seventy-one percent (71%) of Democrats believe he should be impeached while 84% of Republicans reject the idea. Thirty-five percent (35%) of Independent voters favor impeachment while 45% are opposed.

The president’s Job Approval has remained remarkably steady throughout this period. ScottRasmussen.com’s daily updates have stayed within two points of 46% every day for more than three months .

Just 20% of all voters believe it is even somewhat likely that the president will actually be impeached and removed from office.

Voters remain evenly divided on the question of whether the president colluded with the Russian government during the 2016 election–42% say yes and 41% no.

Special Counsel Robert Mueller is viewed favorably by 43% and unfavorably by 27%. Twenty-nine percent (29%) have either never heard of him or don’t know enough to form an opinion.

Attorney General William Barr is viewed favorably by 28%, unfavorably by 32%, and is unknown to 40%.

ScottRasmussen.com  provides daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted May 3-4, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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79% Say Success in Life Determined Primarily By Choices You Make

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of voters believe that overall success in life is determined by the decisions each individual makes. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 12% believe success is determined primarily by forces beyond their control and 9% say it’s a matter of luck.

An even larger number–84%– believe that overall happiness is determined primarily by the decisions we make.

Eighty-eight percent (88%) believe our hobbies and interests are determined primarily by choice. Eight-five percent (85%) say the same about political views; 82% about jobs and careers; and, 81% about personal finances.

There is a bit less confidence that individual choices primarily determine our geographic location (75%), health (68%), or intelligence (66%).

On just about every topic, younger voters were a bit more willing to suggest that something other than individual choice was the primary force. The one exception to that was intelligence. Just 57% of senior citizens view it as primarily a matter of individual choice while 35% attribute it to forces beyond their control. Among voters under 35, 64% say it’s primarily determined by individual decision making (see crosstab results).

Data released earlier showed that 83% believe a person’s lifestyle choices have a bigger impact than medical care on their health and quality of life. Sixty-one percent (61%) believe that apps and devices monitoring health, fitness, and diet lead to improved health.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 2-3, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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60% Not Convinced Economic Benefits of College Can Justify the Costs

Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters recognize that college graduates generally earn more than those without a degree. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey shows that figure jumps to 77% among those with a college degree.

Overall, 19% don’t believe a degree leads to higher incomes and 19% are not sure.

However, only 40% believe that just about anyone with a college degree should be able to earn enough money to pay back their loans. Sixty percent (60%) say that’s not true. Those with a college degree are evenly divided on the question. This suggests that most Americans have doubts about whether the economic benefits of a college degree can be justified by the cost of getting that degree.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of Republicans believe those with a college degree can generally earn enough to pay off their loans. Just 37% of Democrats and 34% of Independents agree (see crosstab results).

Data released earlier shows that 29% of voters consider student loan debt in the U.S. to be a crisis.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters believe most students would benefit from working a full-time job for a couple of years before attending college.  Additionally, 72% believe it would be better to work while going to school and graduating debt free after eight years rather than taking out student loans.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted April 27-28, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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57% Think New Technologies Likely to Solve Major Climate Change Problems

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters consider it likely that the development of new technologies will solve the major problems associated with climate change and global warming. That figure is little changed since January.

A new ScottRasmussen.com survey also found that a smaller but still significant number–41%–believe that new government regulations will solve the major problems associated with global warming.

While 45% believe global warming and climate change are a Very Serious problem, just 18% believe it is necessary to give the federal government sweeping new powers to control the economy. That total includes 26% of voters under age 50 and 9% of senior citizens (see crosstab results). Twenty-three percent (23%) believe climate change is the greatest threat facing the United States today.

Sixty-four percent (64%) believe that human activity is the primary cause of global warming. Still, there is little evidence of public willingness to make sacrifices to address the problem.

To address the problems associated with climate change and global warming, 66% of voters are unwilling to pay more than $100 a year. That includes 40% who are unwilling to pay anything. Just 11% say they would be willing to pay whatever it costs. Data released earlier showed that only 24% believe solving the major problems associated with global warming will require dramatically increasing government spending.

There’s also little appetite for cutting back on energy use. Just 21% believe it is more important for Americans to conserve energy than for companies to find environmentally-friendly ways to generate the energy we need. Three times as many–63%–think the higher priority is generating more energy.

The collective results of the survey data suggest that voters expect innovation rather than regulation will address the major challenges associated with climate change and global warming.

For many of the questions in this survey, we used a split sample approach. Half the sample was asked a question including the term global warming and half were asked the same question using the term climate change. There were no significant differences in results. The numbers presented in this analysis were based upon the combined total of both samples.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 2-3, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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73% Believe Members of Congress Are Overpaid; 5% Say They Deserve More

Seventy-three percent (73%) of voters believe that Members of Congress are overpaid. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 5% hold the opposite view and believe that the legislators are underpaid. Twenty-two percent (22%) say their pay is about right.

Half (50%) of those who believe the legislators deserve more pay underestimate how much they are currently being paid.

Eighty percent (80%) of Republicans believe the elected politicians are paid too much. That view is shared by 74% of Independent voters and 65% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

Overall, the survey found that 26% think Members of Congress are paid less than the current level of $174,000 a year while 15% believe they are paid more. Twenty-nine percent (29%) estimate the right level and 29% are not sure.

Other data shows that just 25% believe their own representative in Congress is the best person for the job. Only 17% believe most Members of Congress care what their constituents think.

Fifty-six percent (56%) believe their own representative in Congress probably trades votes for campaign contributions. Fifty-three percent (53%) believe they are likely to trade votes for bribes.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of voters support Term Limits.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 2-3, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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55% Consider Opioid Abuse to Be A Crisis in US

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters nationwide consider Opioid Abuse to be a crisis in the United States. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that another 32% consider it a significant problem.

Sixty-three percent (63%) of senior citizens consider it a crisis along with 47% of those under 35 (see crosstab results).

Overall, the number who consider Opioid Abuse a crisis is the highest total measured for any issue. Earlier this week, we released data showing that 53% consider Political Corruption to be a crisis.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported that 72,000 Americans died from overdoses in 2017However, the number of alcohol-attributable deaths is higher.

The new survey also found that 49% consider gun violence to be a crisis and 43% say the same about homelessness. The earlier research found that 43% consider Illegal Immigration to be a crisis, 40% say the same about Government Deficits, and 39% believe that is true of Global Warming/Climate Change.

The new data shows 29% consider high taxes to be a crisis; 24% see Political Correctness that way; 21% say the same about both a Lack of Patriotism and Smartphone Addiction. Just 12% consider Affirmative Action to be a crisis. Thirty-five percent (35%) say it is not a significant problem.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,003 Registered Voters was conducted May 1-2, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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42% Say Restaurant Workers Likely to Earn More With Tips Than $15 Wage; 29% Disagree

Forty-two percent (42%) of U.S. adults believe workers in restaurants and bars generally earn more money with a lower hourly rate and tips than than with a $15 hourly wage. A Job Creators Network/ ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 29% disagree and 30% are not sure.

However, among those who have actually worked in a job where they are paid mostly in tips, 55% believe the workers earn more money with tips than with the higher minimum wage. Thirty-two percent (32%) take the opposite view and 13% are not sure.

Overall, 20% of American adults have held a job where most of their income came from tips.

By a 41% to 32% margin, Democrats believe restaurant and bar workers would generally earn more with a $15 minimum wage. Republicans, by a 51% to 21% margin, hold the opposite view. Among Independent voters, 45% believe the workers would earn more with tips while 22% say the opposite (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that 77% of Americans have held a minimum wage job. The vast majority (74%) did so as teenagers.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,107 Registered Voters was conducted April 29-30, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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77% of Americans Worked at the Minimum Wage at Some Point in Their Life

With 17 of the 21 Democratic Candidates for President signing on to the idea of more than doubling the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour, it’s useful to see how Americans have experienced the minimum wage. According to this week’s Job Creators Network/ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse a vast majority (77 percent) of Americans worked for the minimum wage at some point and 74 percent of those were under the age of 19 when they had a minimum wage job—with only 11 percent being over the age of 24.

50 percent of those who worked at the minimum wage said they received a raise within a year of starting the job, with another 30 percent saying their raise took longer than a year. Only 3 percent of those surveyed said they still were making the minimum wage.

Several proposals in Congress and in state legislatures would also eliminate the tip credit, which allows employers to pay less than the minimum wage for tipped positions like servers, as long as the employee makes more than the minimum wage with tips. If restaurant owners are required to pay $15 per hour for each tipped employee, their labor costs would skyrocket. The Weekly Pulse revealed that 20 percent of American’s have had a job where the majority of their income came from tips, and only 29 percent of American’s think that servers will make more money by eliminating the tip credit and the concept of tipping.

“Politicians in favor of the $15 minimum wage claim that people are ‘stuck’ at the minimum wage.” said Elaine Parker, President of the Job Creators Network Foundation. “This polling clearly shows that the vast majority of people utilize minimum wage positions for income in their teenage years—not as full-time careers.”

Other poll questions in the Weekly Pulse show that people are confident in the economy with 35 percent of adults now believing the economy is getting better while just 23 percent say it is getting worse. By a 31 percent to 14 percent margin, Americans also believe their own finances are getting better rather than worse.

“There are definite signs that economic optimism may be growing,” said pollster Scott Rasmussen. “Thirty-five percent (35%) of adults now believe the economy is getting better while just 23% say it is getting worse. That 12-point margin reflects the most positive net rating since November.”

Other polling questions this week included:

How would you rate the US economy today? Excellent (13%), Good (39%), Fair (32%), Poor (14%), Not sure (2%).

Is the economy getting better or worse? Better (35%), Worse (23%), About the same (37%), Not sure (6%).

Okay, how would you rate your own personal finances these days?  Excellent (12%), Good (39%), Fair (32%), Poor (15%), Not sure (2%).

Are your personal finances getting better or worse? Better (31%), Worse (14%), About the same (52%), Not sure (3%).

Are companies in your area more likely to be hiring new workers or laying off existing workers? Hiring new workers (43%), Laying off existing workers (16%), Not sure (40%).

For historic data on these economic questions visit: JCNPulse.com

Download full crosstabs on all this week’s questions.

This ScottRasmussen.com/HarrisX poll of 1,107 US adults was conducted April 29-30, 2019. For more information about the Job Creators Network, please visit www.JobCreatorsNetwork.com.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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56% See Ride Sharing Services As Good for the Economy; 7% Say They’re Bad

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters nationwide believe ride-sharing companies like Uber and Lyft are good for the U.S. economy. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 7% believe they are bad for the economy, 17% believe they have no impact, and 20% are not sure.

White voters are less enthusiastic about the ride-sharing services than others. Seventy-percent (70%) of Hispanic voters see the ride-sharing services as good for the economy. So do 66% of black voters and 51% of white voters.

There is also a generational divide. Among voters under 50, 64% believe these services are good for the economy. That falls to 47% among older voters.

The ride sharing services are viewed as a positive by 59% of Democrats, 54% of Independents, and 53% of Republicans. There is somewhat of a racial divide among Democrats on this question. Among white Democrats, 53% consider the ride-sharing services as a positive. Among black and Hispanic Democrats, that figure is 68% (see crosstab results).

Overall, there is a bit less certainty about apartment sharing companies like AirBNB. Still, 45% consider them good for the economy while just 8% say bad. Women are less upbeat about this service than men.

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters have a favorable opinion of Uber while 22% have an unfavorable view. For Lyft, the numbers are 54% positive and 18% negative. AirBNB gets positive reviews from 43% while 17% say the opposite.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted April 28-29, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Trump 40% Buttigieg 29%

President Trump leads Mayor Pete Buttigieg in a hypothetical match-up by eleven points, 40% to 29%. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 14% would vote for some other candidate, 5% would not vote, and 12% are not sure.

The president also leads Senator Kirsten Gillibrand by 11 points (39% to 28%) and Senator Amy Klobuchar by 12 (39% to 27%). He leads several other lower profile candidates by similar or larger margins (see full results). Data released yesterday showed that Joe Biden leads the president by seven (43% to 36%) and Bernie Sanders trails by a single point. All other Democrats trail the president in these early polls.

Biden also has a wide lead in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. Scott Rasmussen’s weekly syndicated column notes that “what happens to the Biden campaign will be the defining feature of the Democratic presidential nominating contest.”

It is important to note that very low name recognition plays a key role in these results. For example, 55% of voters have either never heard of Buttigieg or don’t know enough to have an opinion. Overall, just 24% have a favorable opinion while 21% say the opposite.

Fifty-nine percent (59%) have either never heard of Klobuchar or don’t know enough to have an opinion. Fifty-one percent (51%) say the same about Gillibrand. Both women are slightly underwater among those with an opinion. For Klobuchar, the numbers are 19% favorable and 23% unfavorable. Gillibrand gets positive assessments from 24% and negative reviews from 25%.

Other Democratic hopefuls are even less well known. For example, Andrew Yang has a passionate online following but is unknown to 70% of voters. Thirteen percent (13%) have a favorable view of him while 16% say the opposite. See full list of favorable ratings for all Democratic candidates.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted April 30-May 1, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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A Good Week for Joe Biden

Former Vice President Joe Biden officially entered the race for the White House and instantly became the Democratic frontrunner. He got a modest bounce in the polls and now leads Senator Bernie Sanders by a 33% to 16% margin among Democrats. Nobody else is even in double digits.

Biden’s 17-point lead over Sanders is up from 11-points before he formally threw his hat in the ring. And the frontrunner is now generating far more positive Social Media chatter than any of his other challengers.

Looking ahead to the general election, the long-time Democrat leads Donald Trump by a 43% to 36% margin in a general election match-up. He is the only Democrat currently leading Trump in the polls.

On top of all that, 48% of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of Biden while just 36% offer a negative assessment. It’s rare for such a well-known politician to have such positive numbers.

The only bad news for Biden at the moment is that the election is a very long way off. That reality is highlighted by the fact that his 7-point lead over the president is down from 9-points a month ago and 11-points two months ago. And, his current lead certainly isn’t overwhelming in a poll where 21% of voters are not committed to either candidate.

It’s also reasonable to assume that his bounce from formally entering the race will fade fairly quickly. It has for every other candidate. Plus, as the clear frontrunner, Biden can expect challenges from all sides in the coming months.

In that regard, he has a very long history in politics for his opponents to dredge up and exploit for their own benefit. Some of Biden’s statements and positions from earlier times do not fit at all with the Democratic Party of the 21st century.

On the personal side, Biden will face a significant challenge winning over a political party that is getting younger and more diverse. Most Democrats (56%) expect their party to nominate someone under 70. Only 27% think the nominee is likely to be a white male.

In many ways, the former Vice President’s position is similar to that of Rudy Giuliani in 2007. The former New York City Mayor was well known and popular within the party. He led in the polls all year despite being out of synch with his party’s base on key cultural issues. But, once the voting began, Giuliani was finished. He dropped out of the race less than a month after the first votes were cast in Iowa.

While not the most likely scenario, it is quite possible to envision such a Biden collapse. If that happens, the Democrats will be likely to nominate someone much further to the left politically.

On the other hand, four years ago at this time, pundits were routinely dismissing Donald Trump’s lead in the polls. Biden could very well follow the Trump trajectory and hang on to his steady lead over a large field of challengers who all start to sound the same to most voters.

In either case, what happens to the Biden campaign will be the defining feature of the Democratic presidential nominating contest. The race is his to lose.

Posted in Deeper Currents, Scott's Columns

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52% See Biden As Politically Liberal; 61% Say Trump’s a Conservative

Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters consider Joe Biden to be politically liberal. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 15% believe the former Vice President is a centrist while 14% see him as conservative. Nineteen percent (19%) do not know enough to have an opinion about his ideology.

The numbers are similar among Democratic voters: 51% see the party’s frontrunner as liberal, 20% say he’s a centrist, and 15% believe he is politically conservative (see crosstab results).

Biden currently has a wide lead in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. His closest competitor–Senator Bernie Sanders–is seen as being further to the left politically. Sixty-five percent (65%) of all voters consider Sanders to be politically liberal. Fifty-six percent (56%) same the same about Elizabeth Warren.

Other Democratic hopefuls are less well known. Thirty-five percent (35%) don’t know enough about Senator Kamala Harris to assess her ideology. Thirty-nine percent (39%) say the same about former Congressman Beto O’Rourke and and 45% don’t have an opinion about Mayor Pete Buttigieg’s ideology. Among those with an opinion, all three are perceived as fairly liberal.

President Trump is perceived as a conservative by 61% of voters, a centrist by 7%, and  politically liberal by 10%. Biden leads Trump in the latest general election polling.

Overall, among the general population, 26% of voters are politically liberal while 35% are conservative.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted April 30-May 1, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Mainstream and Conservative Media Both Seen As Unreliable By Plurality of Voters

Just 28% of voters consider Conservative Media outlets to be accurate and reliable. Forty-four percent (44%) consider them inaccurate and unreliable.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that ratings for Mainstream Media outlets are pretty much the same: 32% accurate and reliable, 46% inaccurate and unreliable.

Data released earlier showed that 66% of voters believe national political journalists often get important aspects of the story wrong.

Not surprisingly, there is a wide partisan gap in these perceptions. By a 53% to 17% margin, Democrats consider Conservative Media outlets inaccurate. By a 61% to 22% margin, Republicans say the same about Mainstream Media sources. Forty-six percent (46%) of Independent voters consider both sources unreliable (see crosstab results).

Other data shows that 47% of voters believe Fox News is biased to help conservatives while 17% believe it is biased to help liberals.

Eight other news outlets were perceived to have a liberal bias–The New York Times, MSNBC, CNN, ABC News, NBC News, USA Today, CBS News, and the Wall Street Journal.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted February 28-March 1, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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61% Favor Forgiveness of Student Loan Debt

Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters at least somewhat favor the idea of forgiving student loan debt. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey finds that 38% are at least somewhat opposed. Those totals include 29% who Strongly Favor the idea and 17% who are Strongly Opposed.

Senator Elizabeth Warren, a leading Democratic presidential hopeful, recently unveiled a sweeping student loan repayment plan. However, a number of left-leaning political analysts have pushed back on the idea because most of the benefits would go to upper income households. Just 14% of voters recognize this aspect of the plan. A plurality (35%) believe it would primarily benefit those with lower incomes.

Just 39% believe forgiveness of student loans would be fair to non-college graduates. Only 33% believe it would be fair to those who attended college and paid off their own student loans (see full crosstab results).

Data released earlier shows that 29% of voters consider student loan debt in the U.S. to be a crisis.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted April 27-28, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Crosstabs April 26-28

Posted in Crosstabs

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15% Support Allowing People in Prison for Violent Crimes To Vote

Fifteen percent (15%) of voters believe that people in prison for violent crimes should be allowed to vote. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 73% disagree while 12% are not sure.

Twenty-three percent (23%) of Democrats believe those in prison for violent crimes should be allowed to vote. That view is shared by 12% of Independent voters and 7% of Republicans (see crosstab results).

The survey found that 65% support allowing convicted felons to vote after they have served their time. And, 49% believe people imprisoned for “minor” crimes should be allowed to vote.

Senator Bernie Sanders, a leading candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination, opened a debate on this topic last week by saying the Boston Marathon Bomber should be allowed to vote even while imprisoned. Sanders and other Democratic presidential contenders have aggressively advocated a number of proposals supported by about 20% of the population (or less). By moving the party to the left, these 20-percenters are boosting President Trump’s hopes for re-election.

On other voting topics, 11% believe illegal immigrants should be allowed to vote. Twenty-eight percent (28%) say the same for legal immigrants who are not citizens. Other data shows that eight-out-of-ten voters believe legal immigration is good for the United States. Eight-out-of-ten also believe illegal immigration is bad.

The public is evenly divided as to whether those who can’t read or write English should have the right to vote: 42% say yes and 39% no. There is also a divide about American citizens living permanently in other countries: 42% say they should be allowed to vote and 41% disagree.

If people have not paid their taxes, just 46% think they should be allowed to vote while 36% disagree.

Seventy-five percent (75%) say that those without a high school degree should be allowed to vote. Seventy-seven percent (77%) say the same about those who work for the federal government.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted April 26-27, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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National Political News Coverage Seen As Accurate As Wikipedia

American voters consider national political news to be about as accurate and reliable as Wikipedia.

A ScottRasmussen.com  national survey found that 38% of voters consider national political coverage to be accurate and reliable. Forty-three percent (43%) consider it inaccurate and unreliable. For Wikipedia, the numbers are 34% positive and 37% negative. Online newspapers are also in that range–36% positive and 39% negative.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of Democrats consider the national political coverage accurate and reliable. Just 26% of Republicans and 32% of Independents agree (see crosstab results).

Data released earlier shows that 66% believe national political reporters often get important aspects of the story wrong. That total includes 84% of Republicans, 65% of Independents, and 50% of Democrats.

Among those who believe this happens often, 49% say that the primary reason is a rush to report stories without proper fact checking. Twenty-four percent (24%) believe it’s bias against President Trump, 12% bias against conservatives, and 6% say bias against liberals.

Other media coverage is seen as more reliable.

By a 55% to 28% margin, voters consider local television news to be accurate and reliable. Print newspapers are seen in that light by 48% while 32% disagree. National business coverage gets a positive assessment while 29% disagree.

Social media alerts fare much worse in this comparison. Just 17% consider them reliable and accurate.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,004 Registered Voters was conducted February 27-28, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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66% Believe National Political Reporters Often Get The Story Wrong

Sixty-six percent (66%) of voters believe national national political reporters often get important aspects of the story wrong. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that total includes 84% of Republicans, 65% of Independents, and 50% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

Among those who believe this happens often, 49% say that the primary reason is a rush to report stories without proper fact checking. Twenty-four percent (24%) believe it’s bias against President Trump, 12% bias against conservatives, and 6% say bias against liberals.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of Democrats and Independents believe the problem is primarily a lack of fact checking. However, 53% of Republicans believe the errors are based on bias against the president or conservatives. ANother 35% of GOP voters blame lack of fact checking.

These results echo coverage of the Covington High School students earlier this year. Seventy-five percent (75%) of conservatives believed the national news media behaved inappropriately while just 31% of liberals agree.

Perhaps the most stunning aspect of the Covington coverage is how quickly public opinion became entrenched. ScottRasmussen.com asked about the incident immediately after the story broke. Then, six days later, we asked the same questions  again. Despite significant volumes of media coverage, there was little change in public opinion.

These results highlight a reality described in my latest book that only 40% of what we see comes in through our eyes. Sixty percent (60%), the majority, comes from what we expect to see. This, the second ScottRasmussen.com survey asking the same questions, was conducted six days after the initial survey.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted February 28-March 1, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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36% Believe FBI Illegally Spied on Trump Campaign; 39% Disagree

Thirty-six percent (36%) of voters believe the FBI illegally spied on the Trump campaign during the 2016 election. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 39% disagree and 25% are not sure.

Not surprisingly, there is a wide partisan divide on this question. By a 62% to 15% margin, Republicans believe that the FBI did spy illegally on the Trump campaign. By a 63% to 16% margin, Democrats take the opposite view. Independent voters are evenly divided: 35% believe there was illegal spying and 35% disagree (see crosstab results).

These results are very similar to data collected a couple of weeks ago, immediately after Attorney General Will Barr first suggested a need to investigate the possibility of such illegal spying.

The survey also found that 45% believe the FBI investigation of the Trump campaign was motivated primarily by political considerations. Thirty-six percent (36%) believe national security concerns drove the investigation and 19% are not sure.

Just 34% of voters are aware that Hillary Clinton’s campaign paid for the secret dossier used by the FBI to obtain search warrants on Trump campaign officials. Eighteen percent (18%) mistakenly believe her campaign did not while 48% are not sure.

Of those who were aware that the Clinton campaign funded the dossier, just half (46%) recognized that the FBI did not inform the courts about who paid for the information.  Overall, that means just 16% of voters recognize that the Clinton campaign funded the dossier and that the FBI did not disclose that information to the courts.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted April 25-26, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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62% Favor Single-Payer Health Care; 18% Favor Banning Private Insurance Companies

Sixty-two percent (62%) of voters favor a single-payer national health insurance plan where the federal government provides health insurance for everyone. However, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 82% believe every American should have a choice between buying their insurance from the government or a private company. Only 18% believe that private health insurance should be eliminated so that everyone would be required to use the government insurance program.

Twenty-four percent (24%) of Democrats favor eliminating private insurance companies along with 18% of Independent voters and 10% of Republicans (see crosstab results).

Forty-eight percent (48%) believe that requiring everyone to get their insurance from the federal government would lead to higher health care prices. Just 29% believe the cost would go down.

By a 42% to 21% margin, voters believe that requiring everyone to use the government program would lead the quality of care to get worse rather than better.

Seventy percent (70%) of voters nationwide believe that it’s Very Important to ensure that every American has access to quality health care. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 82% favor providing financial assistance to people who cannot afford health insurance or medical care.

Senator Bernie Sanders introduced a Medicare for All plan than effectively bans private health insurance companies. It is one of many policies advocated by leading Democratic candidates that are supported by fewer than 20% of voters. These 20-percenters are boosting President Trump’s chances of winning in 2020.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted April 23-24, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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73% Believe Citizenship Question Is Appropriate for Census; 18% Disagree

Seventy-three percent (73%) of voters believe it is appropriate for the U.S. Census Bureau to ask residents if they are citizens of the United States. That question is currently before the Supreme Court and public attitudes are little changed since last November. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 18% disagree and believe the citizenship question is inappropriate.

Eighty-nine percent (89%) of Republicans believe that asking about citizenship as part of the Census is appropriate. So to 68% of Independent voters and 64% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

The Census count of the population plays a major role in American political life. Among other things, it determines the number of Congressional Districts in each state. The question of whether non-citizens or illegal immigrants should be included in determining the number of Congressional Districts will likely come before the Supreme Court at some point.

Sixty-two percent (62%) of voters believe that only the number of legal residents should  be used to calculate the  number of Congressional Districts. Thirty percent (30%) believe all residents– including illegal immigrants–should be included.

Eighty percent (80%) of Republicans believe only legal residents should be considered when distributing Congressional Districts. So do 60% of Independent voters. Democrats are evenly divided: 49% believe only legal residents should be considered while 44% believe all residents should be included.

The Trump Administration wants to add the citizenship question to the Census for 2020. Several states and cities are suing the federal government to prevent that question from being asked.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted April 24-25, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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82% Favor Providing Financial Assistance for People Who Can’t Afford Health Care

Seventy percent (70%) of voters nationwide believe that it’s Very Important to ensure that every American has access to quality health care. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 82% favor providing financial assistance to people who cannot afford health insurance or medical care.

However, only 45% favor having the federal government provide that assistance. Others see it as the responsibility of state governments (16%), private charities (8%), doctors and hospitals (7%), local governments (5%), or family and friends (2%).

Sixty percent (60%) of Democrats believe the federal government should provide financial assistance to people who cannot afford health insurance or medical care. That view is shared by 46% of Independents and 27% of Republicans.

Among all voters, 42% favor having healthy Americans pay a bit more than is needed for their own health insurance to ensure that every American has access to quality health care. Fifty-eight percent (58%) are opposed. That approach is favored by 55% of Democrats, 41% of Independents, and 28% of Republicans.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted April 23-24, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Biden Enters 2020 Race As Frontrunner for The Democratic Nomination

Former Vice President Joe Biden officially entered the 2020 race today and instantly assumes the role of frontrunner. He is leading all other Democrats in polls for the nomination, moved back on top in terms of Social Media Support, and leads President Trump in General Election polling.

Of course, with 20 candidates in the race, being the frontrunner does not guarantee victory. The Democratic Party has become younger, more diverse, and more liberal in recent years. That could present a challenge for a older, white male candidate who has traditionally been viewed as a centrist.

However, he is the frontrunner for now and has a serious chance of winning the right to challenge President Trump.

It’s worth noting that a majority of the social media chatter about Biden is now positive. A few weeks ago, most of the chatter was negative.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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53% Believe Political Corruption in U.S. Is A Crisis

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters believe Political Corruption is a crisis in the United States. Another 36% believe it is a significant problem but not a crisis. That’s consistent with other ScottRasmussen.com polling data showing that 87% of voters nationwide believe corruption is widespread in the federal government. Solid majorities believe there is also corruption in state (70%) and local (57%) government.

The belief that our nation has a political corruption crisis is shared by 53% of women and 52% of men; 51% of white voters along with 55% of Black and Hispanic voters; 54% of rural voters, 53% of suburban voters, and 52% of urban voters. This is truly an issue that cuts across partisan and demographic lines (see crosstab results).

In fact, given a list of ten challenges facing the nation, no other issue was rated as a crisis by more voters than Political Corruption. Forty-three percent (43%) consider Illegal Immigration to be a crisis, 40% say the same about government deficits, and 39% believe global warming/climate change is a crisis.

The ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 33% consider Poverty to be a crisis, 30% say the same about racism, 29% believe the student loan debt is a crisis, 27% think that describes economic inequality, 22% believe it applies to over-regulation, and 18% to sexism.

Recognition of Political Corruption as the nation’s biggest crisis shouldn’t be much of a surprise considering the ongoing political debates. On one side, many voters believe that President Trump was elected to clean up the swamp. On the other, many believe the president is more corrupt than other politicians.

But the perception of Political Corruption as a crisis goes deeper than attitudes about the president:

Put it all together and you have a situation where voters find little hope and much cynicism in the political process.

Only 26% of voters think it is even somewhat likely that Congress will successfully address major issues facing the nation before the next election. Just 17% now trust the federal government to do the right thing most or all of the time.  That hardly sounds like a system where the government enjoys the consent of the governed.

In fact, the system is so broken that 27% of voters don’t think anything would be all that different if Hillary Clinton had won the presidential election in 2016.

Perhaps those running for president should focus more attention on fixing our broken political system and less on how a corrupt political system should make the rest of the nation follow its lead.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted April 23-24, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Voters Rate Political Corruption As America’s Biggest Crisis

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters believe Political Corruption is a crisis in the United States. Another 36% believe it is a significant problem but not a crisis. That’s consistent with other ScottRasmussen.com polling data showing that 87% of voters nationwide believe corruption is widespread in the federal government. Solid majorities believe there is also corruption in state (70%) and local (57%) government.

The belief that our nation has a political corruption crisis is shared by 53% of women and 52% of men; 51% of white voters along with 55% of Black and Hispanic voters; 54% of rural voters, 53% of suburban voters, and 52% of urban voters. This is truly an issue that cuts across partisan and demographic lines.

In fact, given a list of ten challenges facing the nation, no other issue was rated as a crisis by more voters than Political Corruption. Forty-three percent (43%) consider Illegal Immigration to be a crisis, 40% say the same about government deficits, and 39% believe global warming/climate change is a crisis.

The ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 33% consider Poverty to be a crisis, 30% say the same about racism, 29% believe the student loan debt is a crisis, 27% think that describes economic inequality, 22% believe it applies to over-regulation, and 18% to sexism.

Recognition of Political Corruption as the nation’s biggest crisis shouldn’t be much of a surprise considering the ongoing political debates. On one side, many voters believe that President Trump was elected to clean up the swamp. On the other, many believe the president is more corrupt than other politicians.

But the perception of Political Corruption as a crisis goes deeper than attitudes about the president:

Put it all together and you have a situation where voters find little hope and much cynicism in the political process.

Only 26% of voters think it is even somewhat likely that Congress will successfully address major issues facing the nation before the next election. Just 17% now trust the federal government to do the right thing most or all of the time.  That hardly sounds like a system where the government enjoys the consent of the governed.

In fact, the system is so broken that 27% of voters don’t think anything would be all that different if Hillary Clinton had won the presidential election in 2016.

Perhaps those running for president should focus more attention on fixing our broken political system and less on how a corrupt political system should make the rest of the nation follow its lead.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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49% Believe Good Government Most Important Element for Good Society

Forty-nine percent (49%) of voters believe that having a good government is the single most important element needed for a good society. However, a ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 51% believe various elements of civil society are more important. That includes good churches and religious organizations (16%), good schools (16%), a good business community (10%), and good civic organizations (9%).

Democrats (57%) are more likely to emphasize good government than Republicans (44%) or Independents (43%) (see crosstab results).

These attitudes are consistent with a wide range of other data collected over the past nine months. Just 13% believe that governing a society is the responsibility of government alone. While recognizing that government has a role to play 60% do not believe the political process should play the lead role.

That make sense since 65% agree that just about all positive change in America begins outside of the political system. Just 22% disagree on that point and 14% are not sure.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted April 20-21, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 
Posted in Poll Results

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57% See Artificial Intelligence As Threat to Human Race

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters believe that Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) is at least somewhat of a threat to the human race. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 43% disagree and do not see it as a threat.

Those figures include 16% who consider A.I. is a Very Serious threat while 10% say it is not a threat at all.

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Concern about A.I. threatening the human race has been a regular feature of science-fiction films, including classics such as The Matrix. The number currently considering A.I. to be a threat is up three points since November. Other recent studies show that 53% of voters believe A.I. and Robotics will lead to mass unemployment. That’s up 12 points since November. There has also been a growing concern about the impact of A.I. on education, health care, and the economy.

Younger voters are a bit more concerned about A.I. than voters over 50. Republicans are a bit more concerned that Democrats and Independent voters (see crosstab results).

Other recent data shows that 28% of voters believe new technology companies should be required to get permission from the government before offering their services to consumers.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,004 Registered Voters was conducted April 17-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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53% Want to Break Up Big Banks; 75% Want Restrictions on Regulators Going to Work for Banks

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters believe the nation’s largest banks should be broken up. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that total includes 60% of Democrats, 53% of Independents, and 45% of Republicans (see crosstab results).

Support for breaking up the banks is down five points since last September.

Fifty-five percent (55%) believe it would be better for the U.S. economy a large number of smaller banks rather than a small number of very large banks. Twenty percent (20%) take the opposite view while 24% are not sure.

Three out of four voters want some kind of waiting period before bank regulators can go to work for the banks they regulate. That includes 30% who favor a lifetime ban. Another 45% believe a waiting period should be required before bank regulators could take a bank job after a waiting period. Of those who favor a waiting period, nearly half (47%) thought a one-year wait would be sufficient. Thirty-four percent (34%) favored a longer period of time.

Forty-three percent (43%) of voters believe the failure of a large bank today would trigger a financial crisis. Twenty-two percent (22%) disagree and 35% are not sure.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted April 20-21, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Economy, Health Care, National Security Remain Top Issues

Seventy-three percent (73%) of voters say that the economy is a Very Important voting issue. Health care is also considered Very Important by 73% while 72% say the same about national security.

These priorities have remained fairly constant for months (see topline trends).

Sixty-six percent (66%) consider fighting terrorism is Very Important. Sixty-one percent (61%) hold that view of taxes. Other issues on the survey included job creation (60%), immigration (57%), civil rights (57%), gun laws (56%), fighting poverty (52%), environmental issues (51%), economic inequality (45%), and abortion (41%).

On many issues, there are significant partisan differences. For example, 72% of Republicans consider immigration to be Very Important. Just 49% of Democrats and 50% of Independent voters agree. Sixty-eight percent (68%) of Democrats consider gun laws to be a Very Important issue. That view is shared by 52% of Republicans and 46% of Independent voters (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,003 Registered Voters was conducted April 19-20, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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53% Fear Automation Will Lead to Mass Unemployment

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide fear that automation and robots will eliminate needed jobs and create mass unemployment. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 47% disagree and believe that these technologies will create new types of jobs and provide good opportunities for workers.

The number fearing mass unemployment will result is up 12-points since November. It’s consistent with other data showing that concern about Artificial Intelligence is growing.

Sixty percent (60%) of men believe new types of jobs will be created by these technologies. Sixty-four percent (64%) of women fear automation and robots will lead to mass unemployment (see crosstab results).

Overall, 60% of voters believe the growing use of artificial intelligence and robotics by businesses is generally a good thing for the United States.

Forty-seven percent (47%) believe it is at least somewhat likely that most Americans will own a personal robot within a decade or so. Eleven percent (11%) consider it Very Likely.

Thirty-one percent (31%) consider it at least somewhat likely they will someday own a robot themselves. That total includes 48% of voters under 35 and just 10% of senior citizens.

Forty-four percent (44%) of voters are following news about artificial intelligence and robotics at least somewhat closely.

Other recent data shows that 28% of voters believe new technology companies should be required to get permission from the government before offering their services to consumers.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,003 Registered Voters was conducted April 19-20, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Concerns About Artificial Intelligence Increasing

Voters aren’t sure how Artificial Intelligence will work out, but concern appears to have increased over the past six months.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey shows that a plurality of voters don’t know whether Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) will be good or bad for the economy (41%), health care (42%), or education (38%).

However, the number who believe it will be bad for the economy increased from 22% last November to 28% today. In health care, the number expecting to have a negative impact increased from 16% to 23%. And, in the field of education, 33% expect A.I. will be bad. That’s up from 25% last fall.

The number expecting positive benefits in each category has remained fairly stable.

Last fall, more voters expected A.I. to have a positive impact in each of these areas rather than negative. That remains true in health care where 35% believe it will be good and 23% bad. Opinion is now divided as to the impact on the economy (31% say good, 28% bad) and education (29% good, 33% bad).

Younger voters are generally a bit more upbeat about the potential of A.I. than their elders. See question wording and crosstab results.

Other data shows that 28% of voters believe new technology companies should be required to get permission from the government before offering their services to consumers. That total is similar to the number expecting bad things from A.I.

Only 41% of voters are following news stories about A.I. even Somewhat Closely. That includes 10% who follow it Very Closely.

A recent report suggests that, on balance, the economic benefits will be positive and add $13 trillion to the global economy by 2030. However, it will not be smooth. The McKinsey Global Institute study found that“up to 375 million workers, or 14 percent of the global workforce, may need to change occupations” over the next decade.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

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The national survey of 1,004 Registered Voters was conducted April 17-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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48% Favor Sending Illegal Immigrants to Sanctuary Cities

Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters favor a proposal for sending illegal immigrants to sanctuary cities. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 52% disagree.

Support for the proposal was tested using a split sample approach. Half the survey respondents were simply asked about the proposal itself. Half were told it was President Trump’s proposal. There was little difference in the topline results. When the plan was identified with President Trump, 49% supported it. Without the president’s name, support came in at 47%.

However, there were differences found in the crosstabs. When the President’s name was attached to the proposal, Republican support increased from 64% to 81%. The impact was smaller among Democrats and Independents, with support slipping four percentage points among Democrats and three percentage points among Independents (see crosstab results).

Additionally, the gender gap widened when the president’s name was mentioned. When asked just about the proposal, 49% of men were supportive along with 46% of women. When the plan was associated with the president, support increased to 56% among men and fell to 43% among women.

The intensity of opinion also increased when the president’s name was mentioned.

Sixty-six percent (66%) of voters have been following news stories on the issue at least Somewhat Closely. That include 22% following it Very Closely.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide weekly updates of economic confidence and frequent updates on health careimmigrationCongress, the Supreme Court, and trust in government.

It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,004 Registered Voters was conducted April 18-19, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Release of Mueller Report Has Little Immediate Impact On Public Opinion

Following release of the redacted Mueller Report, 42% of voters nationwide believe President Trump should be impeached and removed from office. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 45% disagree while 13% are undecided.

Those figures are essentially unchanged from other recent results. The survey, conducted Thursday night and Friday morning, suggests that the release had no immediate impact on public support for or opposition to the president.

Prior to the submission of the Special Counsel’s report in March, every survey for nine months had found a plurality in favor of impeachment. That changed immediately following that submission and Attorney General William Barr’s summary of the report. At that point, the numbers were virtually identical to the current results–42% in favor of impeachment and 45% opposed. This is now the third straight survey to find a plurality opposed to impeachment.

Eighty-five percent (85%) of Republicans are opposed to impeachment while 70% of Democrats favor it. Independent voters are evenly divided with 43% in favor and 39% opposed (see crosstab results).

Opinions of Republicans and Democrats have remained constant. Independent voters have shifted their views over time. Prior to the March submission of the Special Counsel report, a solid plurality of Independents favored impeachment. That flipped in surveys conducted following submission of the report.

ScottRasmussen.com will be tracking this issue and re-asking the same questions again in the near future.

Other survey details confirm the sense that few people changed their mind following release of the report.

  • The president’s Job Approval rating was 47% in the single night poll, essentially unchanged from our three-day rolling average of 46%. (NOTE: On Monday, we will release our three-day Job Approval update based entirely upon data collected following release of the report).
  • Forty-two percent (42%) now have a favorable opinion of Mueller, little changed from 44% in the previous survey.
  • Twenty-one percent (21%) believe it is at least Somewhat Likely the president will actually be impeached and removed from office. That figure is unchanged.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide weekly updates of economic confidence and frequent updates on health careimmigrationCongress, the Supreme Court, and trust in government.

It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,004 Registered Voters was conducted April 18-19, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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74% Will Celebrate Easter This Sunday; 67% Believe Jesus Rose From the Dead

Seventy-four percent (74%) of American adults will celebrate Easter this Sunday.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of those celebrating will do so primarily as a religious holiday. Twenty-three percent (23%) will celebrate in a secular manner while 30% will include both religious and secular elements in their celebration.

Forty percent (40%) of all Americans will attend church on Sunday.

Among those who celebrate the holiday, 74% will eat a special meal.

Among all adults, 74% believe the person known to history as Jesus Christ actually walked the earth. Seventy-one percent (71%) believe he was the Son of God and 60% believe he was born to a virgin.

Christians celebrate Easter in the belief that Christ rose from the dead. Sixty-seven percent (67%) of all Americans believe that happened.

See question wording and crosstab results.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,126 Adults was conducted April 15-16, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).