Biden 44% Sanders 38%; Warren 41% Biden 39%

The ScottRasmussen.com daily tracking poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden as the frontrunner in the race for the Democratic nomination. Our polling also shows consistently that Senators Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and Kamala Harris remain in the top-tier. Recognizing that things could tighten up as the field narrows, we asked about head-to-head match-ups among the leading candidates:

Interestingly, no one candidate “wins” a match-up against all three of their top contenders:

  • Biden 44% Sanders 38%
  • Biden 42% Harris 38%
  • Warren 41% Biden 39%
  • Sanders 42% Harris 35%
  • Sanders 43% Warren 37%
  • Harris 38% Warren 33%

Biden and Sanders each lead in two of the three match-ups while Warren and Harris each lead in one.

These numbers have shifted some since July, but still convey the sense that there is no clear favorite at the moment.

Data released earlier showed that 77% of Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents would be satisfied or excited  with Warren as their party’s presidential nominee. Seventy-six percent (76%) say the same about Biden. At this point, 70% would be satisfied with Sanders and 65% with Harris. These numbers suggest that Democrats are currently prepared to unite behind whichever candidate is selected to challenge President Trump.

The president’s job approval rating (updated daily) has also remained stable throughout the year. Despite that stability, the number who believe it’s  likely that the president will be re-elected has grown every month. In August, 63% say President Trump is at least somewhat likely to be re-elected, up from 46% in February.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the newsWe also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 909 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted August 16-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results for the full sample have a 3.4 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Weekly Update: 42% Favor Impeachment of President Trump; 44% Oppose

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters nationwide now believe President Trump should be impeached and removed from office. The latest ScottRasmussen.com poll found that 44% disagree and 14% are not sure.

Twenty percent (20%) believe it is at least somewhat likely the president will be impeached and removed from office. Just 9% consider it Very Likely.

Seventy-six percent (76%) of Republicans are now opposed to impeachment while 73% of Democrats favor it. Among Independent voters, 34% believe the president should be impeached while 47% disagree (see crosstab results).

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters now believe the president is guilty of treason, a total that includes 64% of Democrats.  Sixteen percent (16%) of Republicans agree, along with 31% of Independent voters.

Generally speaking, support for impeachment has remained steady throughout the year. However, it did inch up a few points following former Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s appearances before Congress. We saw a similar bounce following Mueller’s press conference earlier in the year. In both cases, the bounce faded quickly and support for impeachment quickly returned to earlier levels (see topline trends).

The president’s job approval rating (updated daily) has also remained stable throughout the year. Despite that stability, the number who believe it’s  likely that the president will be re-elected has grown every month. In August, 63% say President Trump is at least somewhat likely to be re-elected, up from 46% in February.

Mueller is viewed favorably by 43% of voters and unfavorably by 27%. The rest either don’t know who he is or don’t know enough to have an opinion.

Attorney General William Barr is viewed favorably by 28% and unfavorably by 27%.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 18-19, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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37% Believe Border Patrol Tactics Too Harsh; 37% Say Too Lenient

When it comes to enforcing immigration laws, voters are evenly divided as to whether the United States Border Patrol is too harsh or too lenient on illegal immigrants. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 37% of voters select each option while 27% are not sure.

This is a significant change from last November when 25% believed the Border Patrol was too harsh and 43% said the enforcement policies are too lenient.

Currently, 68% of Republicans believe the Border Patrol is too lenient while 62% of Democrats believe it is too harsh. Among Independent voters, 35% say too harsh and 28% too lenient (see crosstab results).

Republican views have changed little since last fall. However, the number of Democrats considering the policies too harsh has jumped 22 points. Among Independents, it has jumped 14 points.

By a 45% to 28% margin, white voters tend to see the policies as too lenient. Most black (58%) and Hispanic (57%) voters take the opposite view.

Overall, eight-out-of-ten voters tend to believe that legal immigration is good for American and a similar number believe illegal immigration is bad.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the news. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 9-10, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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56% Want U.S. To Remain Neutral in Hong Kong Protests; 33% Say We Should Support Protestors

Fifty-six percent (56%) of U.S. voters believe the United States should remain neutral in the confrontation between China and Hong Kong protesters. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 33% believe the U.S. should support the protesters and 10% think we should support the government.

Eighty-four percent (84%) are concerned about the possibility that this situation will escalate into a more violent confrontation between protesters and the Chinese military.

Still, just 43% are following news about the protests even somewhat closely. Only 13% are following the news Very Closely.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the news.
We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 14-15, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Just 21% Know That BDS Movement is Opposed to Israel

Just 21% of voters nationwide know that the Boycott, Divest, and Sanction Movement (BDS) is intended to oppose Israel. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 8% mistakenly believe that the movement is supportive of Israel. Seventy-one percent (71%) have either never heard of the BDS movement or don’t know enough to have an opinion.

Congresswomen Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar were recently denied the right to enter Israel. Both are Muslim and both support the BDS movement. Thirty-eight percent (38%) of U.S. voters supported the denial of entry while 42% were opposed.

However, when informed that the BDS movement opposed Israel, that Congress has voted to condemn it, and that  the two Congresswomen support BDS, support for Israel’s position increased. Forty-three percent (43%) of voters supported the decision while 27% were opposed and 29% not sure.

Republicans supported Israel by a 62% to 17% margin and Independents favored it 43% to 25%. Democrats tended to oppose the decision by a 40% to 28% margin (see crosstab results).

Overall, 61% of voters have a favorable opinion of Israel while 39% voice an unfavorable view. Seventy-five percent (75%) of Republicans have a favorable opinion of that nation along with 61% of Independent voters. Democrats are evenly divided: 49% favorable, 51% unfavorable.

Just 29% believe U.S. policy should support Israel while 5% want our nation to support the Palestinians. Nineteen percent (19%) think we should support both while 24% say neither.

Thirty-three percent (33%) believe Republicans are more supportive of Israel than Democrats while 16% say the opposite. Seventeen percent (17%) think both parties are supportive, 7% say neither, and 28% are not sure.

Seventy-three percent (73%) believe antisemitism is a serious problem is the United States today.

The initial question about support or opposition for Israel’s decision was asked using a split sample approach. Half the sample was told President Trump had encouraged the country to do so. The other half was not. The results were not substantially different and have been reported on an aggregate basis.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
* We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the news.

 

* We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 15-16, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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FULL WEEK DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY RESULTS: Biden 29% Sanders 15% Warren 11%

ScottRasmussen.com conducts surveys on the Democratic presidential race every day and releases the results on a three-day rolling average basis weeknights at 5:00 p.m. Eastern time. Those updates measure immediate responses to events in the news and provide an early warning indicator for potential trends and developments.

However, daily tracking results are also subject to statistical noise due to a relatively small sample size (1,300 to 1,400 respondents for each release). With that in mind, ScottRasmussen.com will release data each Saturday based upon a full week of roughly 3,000 interviews. This provides a more stable measure of the race and allows for more demographic analysis. 

For the week of August 9-16, 2019, former Vice President Joe Biden remains the frontrunner with support from 29% of Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independent voters. Senator Bernie Sanders is in second place with 15% and Senator Elizabeth Warren is the only other candidate with double digit support at 11%.

Senator Kamala Harris remains in fourth with 7% of the vote. She is followed by Senator Cory Booker, South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg and former Congressman Beto O’Rourke at 4% each. Businessman Andrew Yang and Senator Cory Booker each attract support from 2%.

Twelve percent (12%) are not sure how they will vote, 3% are not planning to vote, and nobody else attracts more than 1% of voters.

This week’s results highlight the current stability of the race. Compared to a week ago, no candidate gained or lost more than a single percentage point. Biden, Warren, Buttigieg, O’Rourke, and Yang gained a point. Sanders, Booker, and Secretary Julian Castro lost a point. In practical terms, this means there was absolutely no significant movement from one week to the next.

The biggest question of the race is whether Biden can keep his frontrunner status when the voting begins in Iowa next February. Many in official Washington are skeptical about his chances of doing so. If the former Vice President wins Iowa and does well in other early states, he could be on his way to the nomination. On the other hand, a loss in Iowa could raise other questions about his electability.

If Biden falters, it is hard to overstate how dramatically that would shake things up. Between his current level of support and those who are undecided, a Biden stumble would potentially make 41% of all Democratic voters open to other candidates. It is impossible to predict what would happen in such a circumstance.

See full crosstab results.

During the past week, Warren gained ground towards the end of the week and has now reached her highest level of support in our daily tracking. That will be something to watch in next week’s daily updates. Yang reached 3% early in the week, but his bounce faded a bit towards the end of the week.

Governor John Hickenlooper dropped out of the race during the week, but was included in the polling until he dropped out.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents would be satisfied or excited  with Senator Elizabeth Warren as their party’s presidential nominee. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 76% say the same about former Vice President Joe Biden.

That’s a three-point gain for Warren compared to our July survey and it’s the first time anybody has topped Biden in this category. However, given the survey margin of error, the two leaders are essentially even. As the campaign was getting started, 85% expressed satisfaction with Biden as a potential nominee and nobody else was close.

At this point, 70% would be satisfied with Senator Bernie Sanders and 65% with Senator Kamala Harris. That reflects a five point decline for Sanders and a nine-point drop for Harris.

In addition to the Democratic race, ScottRasmussen.com tracks the president’s job approval and the Generic Congressional Ballot on a daily basis. In 2018, our final Generic Ballot poll showed the Democrats with an 8-point advantage among the most likely voters. That was very close to the actual popular vote margin of victory for Nancy Pelosi’s party.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

This national survey of 3,118 Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent Voters was conducted August 9-16, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/- 1.8 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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77% Of Dem Voters Would Be Satisfied or Excited With Warren As the Party Nominee; 76% with Biden

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents would be satisfied or excited  with Senator Elizabeth Warren as their party’s presidential nominee. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 76% say the same about former Vice President Joe Biden.

That’s a three-point gain for Warren compared to our July survey and it’s the first time anybody has topped Biden in this category. However, given the survey margin of error, the two leaders are essentially even. As the campaign was getting started, 85% expressed satisfaction with Biden as a potential nominee and nobody else was close.

At this point, 70% would be satisfied with Senator Bernie Sanders and 65% with Senator Kamala Harris. That reflects a five point decline for Sanders and a nine-point drop for Harris.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of women would be satisfied or excited with Biden as the nominee. Seventy-five percent (75%) of women are that comfortable with both Warren and 65% with Harris (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com polls the Democratic race every day and Biden has been the clear frontrunner for months. Biden also has the highest favorability ratings of any Democratic hopeful. Social Media support has proven to be much more fluid.

Regardless of who they want to win, the new survey found that 52% expect Biden to be the nominee. Sixteen percent (16%) expect Sanders to win, 7% Warren, and 5% pick former Congressman Beto O’Rourke.

Sixty-three percent (63%) would be excited or satisfied with O’Rourke as the nominee. Fifty-nine percent (69%) say the same about South Bend May Pete Buttigieg.

Only 3% think Buttigieg or Harris will win the nomination.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of all voters nationwide believe former Vice President Joe Biden’s main policy positions are in the political mainstream. Forty-eight percent (48%) say Senator Elizabeth Warren’s views are in the mainstream and 47% say the same about the views of both Senator Bernie Sanders and Senator Kamala Harris. Just 28% of voters are looking for a presidential candidate with mainstream views.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 440 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted July 15-17, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results for the full sample have a 3.4 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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30% Believe It’s Appropriate For Congressmen to Release Names of Trump Supporters in Their District

Just 30% of voters nationwide believe it is appropriate for members of Congress to release the names, addresses, and employers of people in their District who contributed to Donald Trump’s campaign. Rep. Joaquin Castro (D-TX) tweeted out such a donor list last week. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 52% consider it inappropriate and 18% are not sure.

By a 62% to 26% margin, Republicans believe such behavior is inappropriate. Independent voters, by a 55% to 22% margin, agree.

Democrats, however, are evenly divided. Thirty-nine percent (39%) believe it is acceptable behavior while 41% say it is not (see crosstab results).

Among all voters, 71% believe it is at least somewhat likely that anti-Trump activists will harass people on the list. Seventy-two percent (72%) believe the activists will boycott the employers of people who have given to the president’s campaign.

Perhaps showing that every political action generates an opposite (but not necessarily equal) reaction, 82% believe Trump supporters are likely to support the employers of people who have given to the president’s campaign.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
* We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the news.
* We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted August 13-14, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Most Americans Believe Medicare for All Will Increase Middle Class Taxes

Many Democratic presidential candidates support policies like Medicare for All, the Green New Deal and Universal Basic Income. But what do Americans think about those proposed initiatives? According to new Job Creators Network and ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse polling, a strong majority of Americans believe these policies will result in tax hikes on the middle class.

More specifically, 74 percent of respondents say middle class taxes are likely to go up as a result of Medicare for All, 61 percent say the same for the Green New Deal and 64 percent believe the same for Universal Basic Income. Similarly, 69 percent, 57 percent and 62 percent respectively believe their personal taxes will increase as a result of those policies.

Additionally, supporters of Medicare for All often argue that the financial savings on medical expenses induced by the government program will surpass individual monetary losses from tax increases. However, 62 percent of Americans say that’s unlikely to happen.

“Proposed government programs like Medicare for All, the Green New Deal and Universal Basic Income will cost trillions of dollars and that money doesn’t grow on trees,” said Elaine Parker, President of the Job Creators Network Foundation. “It’s clear a majority of Americans know this to be true; if only current presidential candidates did as well.”

The new data also reveals 56 percent of Americans rate the economy as either “excellent” or “good”—a 10-month peak.

For historic data on these economic questions visit: https://polls.jcnf.org/

Download full crosstabs of this week’s questions: https://www.jobcreatorsnetwork.com/app/uploads/2019/08/JCN-Crosstabs-August-12-13-2019.xlsx

This ScottRasmussen.com/HarrisX poll of 1,074 US adults was conducted August 12-13, 2019. For more information about the Job Creators Network please visitwww.JobCreatorsNetwork.com

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Few Offended by What Some See as Cultural Appropriation

Twenty-one percent (21%) of voters would be offended by White people wearing Native American costumes for Halloween. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 70% would not be offended and 10% are not sure.

Other items considered by some to be cultural appropriation are considered offensive by fewer voters:

  • White actors playing characters that were originally another race would offend 17%
  • White people wearing traditional attire of other races would offend 16%
  • Straight actors playing roles representing members of the LBGTQ community would offend 14%
  • A professional sports team with a name like Redskins or Seminoles would offend 13%
  • Non-white actors playing characters that were originally white would offend 12%
  • White Americans Running a Mexican Restaurant would offend 11%
  • Men running a Women’s Fashion Store would offend 10%
  • Hispanic Americans Running a Chinese Restaurant would offend 10%
  • Black Americans Running an Italian Restaurant would offend 9%

In general, younger voters are more likely than their elders to be offended by such practices (see crosstab results).

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive daily email updates.
* We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval,the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the news. 
* We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 9-10, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Epstein and The Reality of 21st Century Politics

The death of Jeffrey Epstein highlights an important reality underlying 21st century American politics.

Just 36% of American adults believe the official story that Epstein committed suicide. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 30% think he was murdered while 34% are not sure. As if that skepticism isn’t enough, 9% think it’s Very Likely Epstein faked his death, escaped prison, and is alive somewhere.

Some might chalk that up to a nation that has seen too many TV shows like Stranger Things where the authorities present a fake body as part of a larger cover-up. However, people are open to such conspiracies because they have so little trust in government.

Just 19% of voters today trust the federal government to do the right thing most of the time. Forty-two percent (42%) rarely or never trust it. The rest are sometimes willing to give the feds the benefit of the doubt.

This is not the result of the Obama Administration or the Trump Administration. It has been building for a very long time. In fact, it’s been 47 years since a majority of voters have trusted the government most of the time.

That distrust has opened a strong disconnect between what is happening in the political world and what is happening in the rest of the country.

Another recent ScottRasmussen.com poll highlighted just how wide the gap has become. Other things being equal, just 28% of voters nationwide would prefer a presidential candidate whose main policy positions are in the political mainstream. In other words, voters are looking for someone who will shake up the political status quo rather than support it.

That makes sense when you realize that 53% of voters nationwide believe that our country is doing okay, but the political system is in a crisis. Most voters aren’t looking for the political system to save the country, they are hoping the government doesn’t drag the nation down.

The recognition that there is a difference between the country and its government is one of the most important and ignored realities in politics today. Government certainly has a role to play in the country—a big role in fact. But, just 14% of voters believe it’s the lead role.

Only 13% believe governing is the responsibility of government alone. The rest recognize that every relationship and organization—including families, businesses, and civic groups– plays a role in making society work.

While politicians dream of sweeping new programs that will be their personal legacy, 73% of voters prefer that the government implement gradual and modest changes to address specific problems.

It’s not that Americans are resistant to change. When thinking about the country as a whole—including the government, private sector, and popular culture—45% believe change is happening too slowly while just 20% say it’s coming too fast.

But voters prefer bottom-up change from the culture rather than top-down change from Washington. That’s partly because 60% recognize that Americans have more power acting as consumers than they do as voters. Only 13% believe they have more control through the political process.

In an era of such deep distrust, it might be wise for candidates to focus on how to make the government more trustworthy rather than more powerful. At the very least, they should find a way to convince voters that the failures of the political system won’t eventually drag the nation down.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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39% See Woodstock Legacy As Mixed, 34% Say It Was a Positive Event

Fifty years ago today, the Woodstock Music Festival began at Yasgur’s farm near Bethel, New York.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 39% of adults believe that, in terms of U.S. history, the Woodstock Festival had both negative and positive elements. Thirty-four percent (34%) view it primarily as a positive event while 8% say negative.

Americans who are 65 today would have been 15 at the time of the Woodstock Festival. The views of those 65 and older are generally similar to the population at large. Forty-five percent (45%) see a mixed legacy, 31% a positive impact and 7% negative.

Overall, just 34% of Americans are following news about the 50th anniversary even somewhat closely. Just 10% are following it Very Closely.

There is somewhat less interest among senior citizens. Just 24% of those old enough to remember are following the 50th anniversary even somewhat closely. Only 3% are following it Very Closely.

Seventy-eight percent (78%) believe Woodstock played a significant role in the evolution of music festivals.

In the twenty-first century, 18% believe the Coachella Music Festival most closely resembles Woodstock while 14% say Lollapalooza. However, 14% say none can compare and 39% are not sure.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

We provide daily updates on topics in the news, the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues.

Sign up to receive Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update email. You can also follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,075 Adults was conducted August 12-13, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.0 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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If Gov’t Bans Private Health Insurance, 54% Believe They Should Buy Out Insurance Company Shareholders

Medicare for All proposals made by Bernie Sanders and others would ban private health insurance in the United States. If such plans were implemented, 54% of voters believe the government should buy out the shareholders of existing health insurance companies. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 10% believe the government should simply force the companies into bankruptcy.

A majority of all ages share this view, although younger voters are somewhat more willing to simply force the companies into bankruptcy. Most Republicans and Democrats agree as well, along with 48% of Independent voters (see crosstab results).

It is unclear how expensive it would be to buy out the shareholders of the nation’s health insurance companies. However, 13% of voters own shares in health insurance companies. Another 18% may have such shares in their investment portfolio or retirement accounts.

This research was conducted using a split sample technique. Half the sample heard the question asked in one way and half another. The distinction had no significant impact on the results (see question wording and full crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com conducts surveys on health care topics at least twice a month.  The results consistently show high levels of opposition to banning private health insurance companies. The latest numbers show that 60% say they favor a a single-payer national health insurance plan. However, only 16% believe every American should be forced to use it.

These attitudes have generally held steady over the past year. Voters consistently express a preference for more choice and less politics in health care. Insurance coverage that restricts choice is considered “junk insurance” by a solid majority of voters. These preferences are part of a broad recognition that Americans have more power acting as consumers rather than voters.

Eighty-percent (80%) of voters favor providing financial assistance to people who cannot afford health insurance or medical care. However, only 46% believe such assistance should come from the federal government.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). We provide daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval, the generic congressional ballot, and  topics in the news. You can sign up to receive daily email.
We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020,  Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted August 10-11, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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30% Believe Epstein Murdered, 36% Believe Suicide, 34% Not Sure

Thirty-six percent (36%) of U.S. Adults believe Jeffrey Epstein committed suicide. However, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 30% believe the notorious villain was murdered and 34% are not sure.

In fact, some aren’t convinced Epstein is even dead. Nine percent (9%) say it is Very Likely Epstein faked his death and escaped prison. Another 10% believe that is somewhat likely.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of white Americans believe Epstein committed suicide. That view is shared by just 29% of black Americans and 25% of Hispanic Americans. Liberals (44%) are more likely than conservatives (34%) or moderates (33%) to accept the official explanation of suicide (see crosstab results).

The lack of confidence in the official storyline is no doubt generated by the extraordinary circumstances of Epstein’s unusual connections with rich and influential figures around the world. It is also fueled by a generations long distrust of the federal government. It has now been nearly half-a-century since most Americans trusted the federal government most of the time.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

We provide daily updates on topics in the news, the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues.

Sign up to receive Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update email. You can also follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,075 Adults was conducted August 12-13, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.0 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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63% Believe Trump Likely to Win in 2020… Up From 46% in February… Growing Every Month

The number of voters believing President Trump will be re-elected in 2020 continues to grow.

The latest ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 63% of voters nationwide now believe it is at least somewhat likely President Trump will be successful in next year’s campaign. That’s up from 60% in July, 57% in May, 54% in April, 50% in March and 46% in February.

The latest figures include 29% who say the president is Very Likely to be re-elected and 15% who think that outcome is Not at All Likely.

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Republicans believe the president is likely to win. In fact, a majority (56%) of GOP voters believe he is Very Likely to be re-elected.

On the other side of the aisle, 42% think a Trump victory in 2020 is at least somewhat likely while 58% disagree. Just 26% of Democrats believe a Trump re-election is Not at All Likely. take the opposite view.

Among Independent voters, 62% say the president is likely to win and 38% disagree (see crosstab results).

While expectations for the president have increased significantly since February, his Job Approval ratings have remained steady. Every daily release since January 28 has shown the president’s job approval within two percentage points of 46%. This suggests that changing perceptions of Democrats and potential challengers may be responsible for improving the president’s perceived chances.

Other data shows that 47% of voters say they will definitely vote against President Trump in 2020. That number almost matches the president’s 46% job approval rating. If these two numbers remain steady throughout 2020, it could lead to  another very close election.

The survey also found that 91% believe the president will run for re-election. At the other extreme, 8% say Trump is Not at All Likely to be president at the end of 2019.

In the race to challenge the president in 2020, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders currently lead all other Democrats. Polling has shown Biden to be the strongest candidate against the president in general election match-ups.

It is important to remember that we are VERY early in the Election 2020 cycle and a lot can change between now and November 2020.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily polling updates on the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. We also release daily updates on other topics in the news and items of interest. Please sign up to receive daily email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 11-12, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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20% Believe Restaurant Owners Should Be Allowed To Refuse Service To Those With Different Political Views

Twenty percent (20%) of voters nationwide believe restaurant and hotel owners should be allowed to refuse service for those with different political views. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 69% disagree and 11% are not sure.

Twenty-nine percent (29%) of urban residents believe restaurant and hotel owners should be allowed to refuse service over political differences. That perspective is shared by 18% of rural voters and 15% of suburban voters.

Among those who approve of Donald Trump, 27% believe such refusal of service should be allowed. Among those who disapprove of the present, just 13% agree (see crosstab results).

When asked about specific groups of people, 19% said it would be legally and morally acceptable for a retail business owner to deny service to illegal immigrants. Additionally, 13% to 15% said it would be legally and morally acceptable to refuse service for Trump Supporters, Christians, Atheists, the poor, Members of the LGBTQ community, Opponents of Donald Trump, White people and Black people.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily releases on events in the news, the race for the Democratic presidential nomination the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. Sign up for daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 6-7, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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73% Want Gradual and Modest Political Change; 27% Want Fed Gov’t to Transform Nation

To solve the problems facing the United States, 73% of voters believe we should build upon the many strengths of our Constitutional system while making gradual and modest changes to address specific problems. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 27% disagree and see our Constitutional system as deeply flawed. They want the federal government to fundamentally transform the economy and our nation.

Gradual and modest change is preferred by 83% of Republicans, 76% of Independents, and 61% of Democrats. It’s also supported by 90% of senior citizens and 59% of voters under 35 (see crosstab results).

While voters want gradual and modest change in the political arena, the same is not true for the country. When thinking about the country as a whole—including the government, private sector, and popular culture—45% believe change is happening too slowly while just 20% say it’s coming too fast. Seventeen percent (17%) say the rate of change is about right and 18% are not sure.

Voters may be more comfortable with societal change rather than political change because 60% recognize that Americans have more power acting as consumers than they do as voters. Only 13% believe they have more control through the political process.

Voters also tend to have more faith in society than politics. Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide believe that our country is doing okay, but the political system is in crisis. That may be one reason just 28% of voters would prefer a presidential candidate whose main policy positions are in the political mainstream.

In The Sun Is Still RisingScott Rasmussen explains why he is optimistic about the nation’s future despite deep pessimism about it’s political system.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily releases on events in the news, the race for the Democratic presidential nomination the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. Sign up for daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 7-8, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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53% Say United States Doing Okay, But Our Political System is in Crisis

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide believe that our country is doing okay, but the political system is in crisis. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 39% believe the country is in a crisis. Another 8% don’t think either the country or the political system is in crisis.

Most Democrats (53%) believe our country is in a crisis. Most Republicans (67%) and Independent voters (52%) believe the country is okay but the political system is in crisis (see crosstab results).

Most men (58%) believe the country is doing okay despite our political system. Women are evenly divided: 48% say the country is doing okay while 46% believe it is in a crisis.

Still, among those who believe the country is okay even if our political system is not, there is some concern. Nearly half of them (44%) think that the failures of the political system will eventually drag the nation down. Twenty-five percent (25%) take the opposite view and believe the country and culture will eventually bring about a better political system. Thirty-one percent (31%) don’t expect anything to change. They think the nation will do okay even with a dysfunctional political system.

Data released earlier showed that just 28% of voters nationwide would prefer a presidential candidate whose main policy positions are in the political mainstream. A larger number–43%– would prefer someone whose views  are out of the mainstream.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily releases on events in the news, the race for the Democratic presidential nomination the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. Sign up for daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 7-8, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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42% Say 2nd Amendment Right to Bear Arms is Absolutely Essential; 14% Say Not At All Important

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters nationwide believe the Second Amendment Right to Bear Arms is Absolutely Essential and another 23% consider it Very Important.  A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 21% consider it Somewhat Important and 14% say it’s Not at All Important.

Those figures reflect a modest drop in support compared to six months ago. In February, 50% considered the right to bear arms as Absolutely Essential and 10% said it was Not at All Important.

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Following mass shootings in El Paso and Dayton, 10% of voters now consider gun laws the most important issue facing the nation. When it comes to addressing the issue, 32% trust Democrats, 31% Republicans, and 22% neither. Voters strongly support modest restrictions on gun purchases and 31% believe private ownership of guns should be banned.

As in previous surveys, Freedom of Speech is considered the most important right guaranteed to Americans. Seventy percent (70%) of voters consider it Absolutely Essential. Freedom of Religion is a close second at 68% and nothing else is considered Absolutely Essential by more than 60%.

Exploring the issue from a different perspective, 39% believe Freedom of Speech is the most important right confirmed in the Bill of Rights. 17% believe Freedom of Religion is most important while 12% say the Right to Bear Arms.

However, the Right to Bear Arms also topped the list as the least important–30% of voters held that view. Freedom of the Press was viewed least important by 18% and the Right to Peaceably Assemble and Protest is least important for 14%.

When it comes to creating and maintaining a healthy political system, 77% of voters believe freedom of speech is Very Important. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 76% believe having political leaders who respect voters is that important.

From a list of 15 possible components of a healthy political system, only two other items were deemed Very Important by more than seven-out-of-ten voters: checks and balances between branches of government (73%) and freedom of religion (71%).

Another survey found that 64% believe freedom is more important than democracy.

 

ScottRasmussen.com currently tracks the race for the Democratic nomination on a daily basis. New releases issued every weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. We also provide daily releases on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. You can sign up to receive daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 8-9, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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38% Know Earth Was Warmer During Medieval Times; 67% Say Coastal Cities May Be Wiped Out in Decade

Just 38% of voters nationwide know that during Medieval times, the earth’s climate was generally warmer than it is today. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 62% mistakenly believe the opposite.

Forty-three percent (43%) of Independent voters are aware that the earth was warmer during Medieval time. So are 42% of Republicans and 31% of Democrats.

The survey also found that 67% think it’s at least somewhat likely that rising oceans will wipe out America’s coastal communities within a decade or so. That total include 26% who say it’s Very Likely.

Voters under 50 are more likely than their elders to believe America’s coastal cities are about to be wiped out. Thirty-six percent (36%) of these younger voters consider such an outcome to be Very Likely. Among senior citizens, just 12% hold that view.

Data released earlier shows that, if the climate continues to get warmer, 65% of voters believe people are likely to move to places with cooler climates. Still, just 23% believe the overall impact would be good for places that gain a milder climate. Forty-three percent (43%) believe the results would be bad.

See information on Medieval temperatures.

ScottRasmussen.com currently tracks the race for the Democratic nomination on a daily basis. New releases issued every weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. We also provide daily releases on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. You can sign up to receive daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 3-4, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Just 28% Want Presidential Candidate With Policy Positions in the Political Mainstream

Other things being equal, 28% of voters nationwide would prefer a presidential candidate whose main policy positions are in the political mainstream. However, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that a larger number–43%– would prefer someone whose views  are out of the mainstream. Twenty-eight percent (28%) are not sure.

This is but the latest evidence voters see a strong disconnect between what is happening in the political world and what is happening in the rest of the country.

Thirty-six percent (36%) of Democrats prefer a candidate with mainstream political views. So do 26% of Republicans and 23% of Independents (see crosstab results). Voters aged 35-64 are less interested in a mainstream candidate that younger voters or senior citizens.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of voters nationwide believe former Vice President Joe Biden’s main policy positions are in the political mainstream. Data released earlier showed that just 46% say the same about President Trump’s positions.

Other Democratic contenders have numbers similar to the president’s. Forty-eight percent (48%) say Senator Elizabeth Warren’s views are in the mainstream and 47% say the same about the views of both Senator Bernie Sanders and Senator Kamala Harris.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily releases on events in the news, the race for the Democratic presidential nomination the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. Sign up for daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 7-8, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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On Gun Laws, 32% Trust Democrats, 31% Republicans, 22% Neither

Following mass shootings in El Paso and Dayton, 10% of voters now consider gun laws the most important issue facing the nation. That’s an increase from 4% in last month’s ScottRasmussen.com update (see topline trends).

However, the top four issues concerning voters at this time remain the same: Health Care (17%), The Economy (15%), Immigration (12%),  and National Security (11%).

In terms of who voters trust on these top issues, Democrats enjoy a double digit advantage on Health Care while the GOP has a similar edge on the Economy and National Security.

On both immigration and gun laws, voters are evenly divided in terms of which party they trust. On immigration, 32% trust Republicans, 30% Democrats, and 23% don’t trust either party. On gun laws, 32% trust Democrats, 31% Republicans, and 22% neither.

However, the intensity is quite different on these issues. Immigration is a bigger issue for Republicans while Gun Laws matter more to Democrats. Gun laws are now considered the top issue by 15% of Democrats, 10% of Independents, and 6% of Republicans (see crosstab results).

Among those who consider immigration the most important issue, Republicans are trusted more by 54% while Democrats are trusted by just 15%. The response for gun laws is the mirror opposite: Democrats are trusted more by 50%, Republicans by 15%.

Voters strongly support modest restrictions on gun purchases and 31% believe private ownership of guns should be banned.

Americans continue to rate the U.S. health care system poorly. Most, however, rate their own health, medical care, and insurance coverage as good or excellent. Survey results consistently show that voters want more health care choice and strongly reject the idea of requiring everyone to get coverage through the federal government.

On immigration, eight-out-of-ten voters believe legal immigration is good for America but illegal immigration is bad.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 7-8, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodologyand a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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88% Favor Red Flag Laws, 31% Believe Private Gun Ownership Should Be Banned

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of voters favor a legal process that protects individual rights but empowers police to take guns from people credibly reported to be public threats or mentally unstable. A new ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that only 12% disagree.

The public support for “Red Flag Laws” is little changed since last fall. It is found among every major age and ethnic group in the country. Ninety-two percent (92%) of Democrats favor the idea along with 89% of Independents and 82% of Republicans (see crosstab results).

Following the horrific news from El Paso and Dayton, support in Congress may be growing. On Monday, President Trump declared  “We must make sure that those judged to pose a grave risk to public safety do not have access to firearms and that if they do those firearms can be taken through rapid due process.”

While it was not explored in the survey, there is likely to be significant disagreement about the specific details of what constitutes an appropriate legal process that protects individual rights. There will also be substantial distrust between those who want to end or severely limit gun ownership and those who defend the Second Amendment. But the broad support for the concept indicates a strong public desire to find the right balance. This may be a case where different states try different approaches to determine best practices.

Other survey results show that 81% of voters believe it is currently too easy to buy a gun. Ninety-two percent (92%) support modest restrictions on buying guns such as background checks and waiting periods. However, just 39% think such modest restrictions would significantly reduce the number of gun-related deaths in America. Those beliefs are little changed from a year ago.

Fifty percent (50%) of Democrats say modest restrictions would significantly reduce the number of gun deaths in America. That view is shared by 38% of Independent voters and 29% of Republicans. Those who live in urban areas are far more likely than suburban or rural residents to believe such restrictions would have a significant impact.

Forty-nine percent (49%) believe that someone seeking to buy a gun should be required to first get permission from the government and explain why they need it.

Thirty-one percent (31%) believe the United States should ban private ownership of guns so that only the military, police, and other government officials are allowed to carry guns. That’s up from 23% a year ago.

Still, most voters (56%) would feel safer living in a community where people are free to own guns rather than a community where guns are outlawed.

Only 12% of voters recognize that most gun deaths are suicides.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily releases on events in the news, the race for the Democratic presidential nomination the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. Sign up for daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 6-7, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Ginsburg Most Popular Supreme Court Justice, Kavanaugh Most Unpopular

A new ScottRasmussen.com national survey shows that Ruth Bader Ginsburg is the most popular Supreme Court Justice. She is viewed favorably by 43% and unfavorably by 22%. Another 35% have either never heard of her or don’t know enough to have an opinion.

At the other extreme is Brett Kavanaugh, the newest member of the Court. He is viewed favorably by 30% and unfavorably by 35%.  That makes him the only Justice with net negative numbers.

Only three other Justices are recognized by a majority of voters: Clarence Thomas (34% favorable, 29% unfavorable), Sonia Sotomayor (36% favorable, 21% unfavorable), and Chief Justice John Roberts (30% favorable, 21% unfavorable).

Justice Neil Gorsuch is viewed favorably by 25% and unfavorably by 21%.

The numbers for Justice Elena Kagen are 24% favorable and 19% unfavorable.

Justice Samuel Alito is seen in a positive light by 25% and negatively by 18%.

The least known member of the Court is Justice Stephen Breyer. Sixty-two percent (62%) don’t know enough to have an opinion of him. Twenty percent (20%) are favorably inclined towards Breyer and 17% take the opposite view.

Perhaps because the individual Justices are not household names, the Supreme Court itself continues to receive positive reviews. Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters approve of the way the Supreme Court is doing it’s job. Forty percent (40%) also think it’s ideological balance is about right. The remainder include 35% who believe it is too conservative and 25% who say too liberal.

See full crosstab results.

The ratings for all the Justices have changed little since May, February or last September.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily releases on the president’s job approval, the generic congressional ballot, and the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. You can sign sign up to receive free email updates.

We also provide regular updates on the Supreme Court, the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 4-5, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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65% Believe Global Warming Will Lead People to Move to Cooler Climates

If the climate continues to get warmer, 65% of voters believe it is likely that more people will move to places with cooler climates such as Canada, Maine, and Montana. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 35% don’t expect that to happen.

Those figures include 21% who see such migration as Very Likely and 5% who consider it Not at All Likely.

In a rare occurrence, both those who approve of President Trump’s performance and those who disapprove see the likelihood of people moving north at 65%.

Still, just 23% believe the overall impact would be good for places that gain a milder climate. Forty-three percent (43%) believe the results would be bad. Twelve percent (12%) don’t think it would have much of an impact and 23% are not sure.

By a 54% to 18% margin, Democrats believe the impact of a warmer climate would be bad even in places that would experience milder weather. Republicans are less convinced, but lean in the same direction by a 37% to 26% margin. Independent voters offer an assessment in between the two parties: 36% believe warming would be bad for places that experience milder weather while 20% believe it would be good (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com currently tracks the race for the Democratic nomination on a daily basis. New releases issued every weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. We also provide daily releases on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. You can sign up to receive daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted August 3-4, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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59% Approve of Supreme Court

UPDATED August 6, 2019

Over the past couple of months, the Supreme Court handed down rulings on a number of controversial issues, but public confidence in the Court remains strong. The latest ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 59% of voters approve of the way the Supreme Court is doing its job.

Additionally, 39% of voters believe the ideological balance of the Court is about right. Thirty-five percent (35%) see it as too conservative and 25% say it’s too liberal.

Most voters–56%–believe the Court has the right amount of power. However, 34% believe it has too much. By way of comparison, 47% believe the President has too much power and 45% say the same about Congress. Fifty-six percent (56%) believe appointed government officials have too much power.

Views about the Supreme Court have remained stable over the past year. Over the past year, monthly surveys have found the court’s ranging from a low of 59% last August to 66% in May. Despite the predictions of many, the divisive Kavanaugh hearings had no significant impact on public perceptions of the Court (see topline trends).

The Court earns favorable reviews from 64% of white voters along with 42% of black voters and 50% of Hispanic voters. On a partisan basis, 78% of Republicans offer a positive assessment. That view is shared by 49% of Democrats and 53% of Independent voters (see crosstab results).

Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg is the most popular member of the Court. Justice Brett Kavanaugh has slightly higher name recognition.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily releases on the president’s job approval, the generic congressional ballot, and the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. You can sign sign up to receive free email updates.

We also provide regular updates on the Supreme Court, the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 4-5, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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More shootings, more helpless, hopeless feelings

Horrific, sickening, tragic. Those were the words I used to describe the news from Las Vegas two years ago — the scene of the worst mass shooting in American history. Since then, those words have come to my mind again and again: Parkland. Pittsburgh. And now Dayton and El Paso.

But none of them really capture the reality that such acts are utterly beyond comprehension. Each of these despicable acts of violence was followed by days of officials seeking a motive, but no rational motives can possibly exist. Whatever makes killers take 29 lives in less than 24 hours only makes sense in some delusional world most humans can’t come close to understanding.

After the words and the images sink in, it still doesn’t seem real. But we want to know why! Who or what can we blame? What can we do to prevent this sort of thing from ever happening again?

That’s when the hopelessness sets in. We want an easy answer, but there aren’t any. In fact, while it’s hard to admit, there probably aren’t any answers at all. It’s happened before and will happen again. Humans have done terrible and sickening and horrific things to others throughout recorded history.

This journey was partially described by statistician Leah Libresco in a Washington Post column following the Las Vegas shooting. Previously, the gun-control advocate had been involved with a project documenting the reality of gun deaths in the United States.

Her team found that 63 percent of gun deaths involved suicides. Most of these deaths involved older men. The biggest group of homicides involved young men, generally those who were involved with gang or criminal activity. On top of that, roughly 1,700 women were murdered, generally as a result of domestic abuse.

As she explored the data looking for answers, Libresco admitted, “the policies I’d lobbied for crumbled when I examined the evidence.” The more complex reality showed that passing new laws might make some people feel good, but it would not reduce gun violence. In the end, Libresco “found the most hope in more narrowly tailored interventions.” These solutions focused on the underlying causes, rather than the guns.

Unfortunately, in the aftermath of events like Dayton and El Paso, few people engage in the sort of careful analysis that Libresco offered. Instead, most of us respond in a visceral way. We can’t make sense of what happened, and we hate the fact that there’s nothing we can do to help. We want to get rid of that sickening feeling by believing that there is a silver lining to be found. Maybe, just maybe, we think, this is the time we will learn how to prevent this from ever happening again.

You can see this trend in the data. My polling found, for example, that 92 percent of Americans support modest restrictions on the ability to purchase guns such as waiting periods and background checks. However, just 38 percent believe such modest restrictions would actually reduce the number of gun-related deaths in America. Even supporters see these laws as futile gestures.

Researchers Jillian Peterson and James Densley of the Violence Project have studied every mass shooting in America since 1966. When it comes to laws to prevent shooters from buying guns, they found, “In 80 percent of school shootings, perpetrators got their weapons from family members, according to our data.” Of the remaining 20 percent, Some simply acquired them illegally — still more evidence of how difficult it will be to find a workable, pragmatic solution to the mass shooting crisis.

Like everyone else, I desperately want to find that silver lining. I never again want to experience another weekend like this past one. But, like Libresco, Peterson and Densley, I know that there are no magical cures or silver linings. It breaks my heart to tell people that the data shows their pet solution won’t solve anything, but that is the reality we must face.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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Pelosi Viewed Favorably by 38% Unfavorably by 49%

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is now viewed favorably by 38% of voters and unfavorably by 49%. Those figures are at the low end of a narrow range of support Pelosi has enjoyed since returning as speaker (see topline trends).

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell earns favorable ratings from 27% and negative reviews from 47%. That’s the highest unfavorable rating for McConnell since a year ago.

McConnell is viewed favorably by just 43% of those in his party. Pelosi gets favorable reviews from 61% of her fellow Democrats.

On the other hand, 77% of Republicans view Pelosi negatively. Among Democrats, 55% take the view of McConnell.

A majority of Independent voters have an unfavorable opinion of both Pelosi (52%) and McConnell (54%) (see crosstab results).

Pelosi’s Republican counterpart, Kevin McCarthy, is viewed favorably by 27% and unfavorably by 32%. He remains relatively unknown. However, his negative ratings have grown as he has become  better known.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer’s ratings are 30% favorable and 40% unfavorable.

Vice President Mike Pence gets positive reviews from 46% of voters and negative assessments from another 40%.

President Trump’s job approval ratings have held steady around 46% for more than five months. On the other side, 47% of voters say they will definitely vote against the president in 2019.

ScottRasmussen.com provides regular updates on public attitudes about Congress.

We also provide daily releases on the president’s job approval, the generic congressional ballot, and the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. You can sign sign up to receive free email updates.

We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 2-3, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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48% Know That Democratic Presidential Debates Were Held Last Week

Just 48% of voters nationwide know that round two of the Democratic presidential debates were held last week. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 19% believe they will take place in the next week or two while 33% are not sure.

Not surprisingly, younger voters were less aware than their elders about the debate timing. The total who know that the debates have already taken place includes 47% of Republicans, 47% of Democrats, and 52% of Independents (see crosstab results).

Ten percent (10%) of all voters say they watched most of the debates live on CNN.

Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters think it’s a good idea to let the television networks run the debates. Eighteen percent (18%) think it’s a bad idea, 21% say neither good nor bad, and 14% are not sure.

The debates had little immediate impact on the poll results. Joe Biden remains the frontrunner with a double digit lead.

ScottRasmussen.com currently tracks the race for the Democratic nomination on a daily basis. New releases issued every weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. We also provide daily releases on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. You can sign up to receive daily email updates.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 2-3, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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38% Believe Background Checks Would Significantly Reduce Number of Gun Deaths

Ninety-two percent (92%) of Registered Voters nationwide believe there should be modest restrictions on the ability to purchase guns such as waiting periods and background checks. However, just 38% of voters believe such modest restrictions would significantly reduce the number of gun related deaths in America.

Twenty-eight percent (28%) of all voters believe the United States should ban private ownership of guns so that only the military, police, and other government officials are allowed to carry guns.

Nearly two-thirds (63%) of all gun-related deaths in the United States are the result of suicide.

However, only 11% of voters recognize that reality. Forty-one percent (41%) mistakenly believe gang violence results in more gun deaths than anything else. While gang violence takes a significant toll, it accounts for approximately one-out-of-five gun related deaths. That’s one-third the number of gun deaths by suicide.

Twenty-seven percent (27%) mistakenly think mass shootings are the primary cause of gun deaths. While these shootings are horrific and receive a tremendous amount of coverage, they account for less than 1% of gun deaths each year.

 

Posted in Deeper Currents

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47% Say They Will Definitely Vote Against President Trump in 2020

Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters say they will definitely vote against President Trump in 2020. That number almost matches the president’s job approval rating which has held steady for more than six months around the 46% level. Like the approval rating, the latest ScottRasmussen.com national survey shows that the number committed to voting against the president has remained stable since  March.

If these two numbers remain steady throughout 2020, this pair of numbers suggests that we could see another very close election.

The survey also found that swing voters would be more likely to vote for the president if Democrats nominate a progressive candidate rather than a centrist. Thirty-six percent (36%) expect the Democrats to nominate a progressive candidate while 23% expect a more centrist option. Forty-one percent (41%) are not sure. Compared to our March survey, the expectations of a progressive candidate have declined five points. The number who expect to see a conservative candidate has grown by seven.

Currently, Joe Biden leads in the race for the Democratic nomination (see daily polling updates on the race). He is considered one of the more moderate candidates in the race. As the Democratic campaign has heated up, the number of voters believing President Trump will be re-elected has increased significantly.

If the Democrats nominate a very progressive Democrat who embraces Socialism and the Green New Deal. By a 46% to 23% margin, uncommitted voters say such a nominee would make them more likely to vote for the president.

On the other hand, if the Democrats nominate a centrist candidate who embraces America’s capitalist system and rejects progressive policies like the Green New Deal, the president doesn’t benefit as much. In that case, 39% of uncommitted voters would be more likely to vote for Trump and 32% for the Democrat.

In both cases, the benefit for the president is somewhat smaller than it was in March.

See full question wording and crosstab results.

ScottRasmussen.com currently tracks the race for the Democratic nomination on a daily basis. New releases issued every weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. Sign up to receive daily email updates.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot along with regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 31-August 1, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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72% Say Biden’s Political Views Are Mainstream; 46% Say Same About Trump

Seventy-two percent (72%) of voters nationwide believe former Vice President Joe Biden’s main policy positions are in the political mainstream. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 46% say the same about President Trump’s positions.

Other Democratic contenders have numbers similar to the president’s. Forty-eight percent (48%) say Senator Elizabeth Warren’s views are in the mainstream and 47% say the same about the views of both Senator Bernie Sanders and Senator Kamala Harris.

However, it is far from clear that having mainstream political views is an asset to many voters. Among those who approve of President Trump, nearly a third (31%) think his policy views are out of the political mainstream. Thirty-five percent (35%) of the most conservative voters agree.

On the other side of the aisle, 47% of the most liberal voters believe that Sanders’s views are out of the mainstream. Nearly as many say the same about Warren (44%) and Harris (38%).  However, very liberal voters overwhelmingly believe Biden’s views are mainstream: 85% hold that view (see crosstab results).

The survey also asked about the tone and style of each candidate. The results were very similar to responses about each candidate’s policy positions.

As with many things in political life, definition of the political mainstream likely differs from person to person. In 2016, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was seen as the more mainstream candidate. For many voters, that was reason enough to vote against her.

ScottRasmussen.com currently tracks the race for the Democratic nomination on a daily basis. New releases issued every weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. Sign up to receive daily email updates.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot along with regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 1-2, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Gabbard, Booker Gain Ground During Debate Week, Biden Dropped

Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard was the biggest winner of the Democratic debate week. The Representative from Hawaii went from 0% support in our baseline poll to 3% in our Friday night poll (see our latest numbers).

On the night before her appearance in the second round of debates, Gabbard did not win the vote of a single survey respondent. But, she jumped to 2% support on the Wednesday night to Thursday morning poll. Nearly three-quarters of the interviews for that survey (73%) were collected following the debate. Twelve percent (12%) were collected during the debate.

In our Thursday night to Friday morning poll, Gabbard’s support inched up to 3%. All interviews for that survey were collected following the debate.

ScottRasmussen.com will release another update on the Democratic race Monday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. That will be based upon interviews collected from Friday night to Monday morning. It will be interesting to see if Gabbard retains her newly won support.

As for other contenders Senator Cory Booker gained two points compared to our baseline poll (from 1% to 3%). Former Vice President Joe Biden dropped four points. No other candidate gained or lost more than a point.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Democrats 2020 Update: 86% of Interviews for Tonight’s Release Completed Post-Debate

Tonight at 5:00 p.m. Eastern, ScottRasmussen.com will release our daily update on the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination.

This update will show the initial impact of the Democratic debates in Detroit. It will also be compared against our baseline poll to measure the impact of the debates. PredictIt is using tonight’s release to resolve their debate tournament.

For clarity, all of the interviews for tonight’s update were collected AFTER the first night of the Detroit debate.

Additionally, approximately 86% of the interviews will have been collected AFTER the second night of the debate. About 12% were collected DURING the second night’s debate and 2% BEFORE that debate.

 

Posted in Deeper Currents

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18% Say Federal Government Responsible for Solving Inner-City Problems

Eighteen percent (18%) of voters nationwide believe the federal government should be primarily responsible for solving the most serious problems facing inner-cities. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 62% believe the primary responsibility for fixing the cities is to be found within the city itself–city governments (38%), city residents (20%), or local businesses (4%).

The view that locals should be primarily responsible for addressing inner-city problems is shared by 64% of suburban voters, 61% of rural voters, and 60% of urban voters (see crosstab results).

The survey found that 19% of voters generally rate the conditions of inner cities as good or excellent. Forty-one percent (41%) say fair and 40% poor. However, 78% believe most inner cities have sections that are overwhelmed with poverty and crime.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) believe that city governments, residents, and businesses are primarily responsible for creating the problem.

However, while believing local participants should take the lead in solving the problems, 77% of voters at least somewhat support the idea of federal help. Thirty-three percent (33%) Strongly Favor having the federal government launch major new programs to help solve inner-city problems. No descriptions of programs or associated costs were provided.

To improve inner-city life, 74% believe more jobs are Very Important and 72% say the same about better public education. Forty-six percent (46%) believe more police would be Very Important, 45% named more civic group involvement, 41% more public transportation, and 31% more religious group involvement.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 30-31, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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34% See Biden Rhetoric As Unifying; 28% Say Divisive

Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters nationwide consider former Vice President Joe Biden’s rhetoric to be uplifting and unifying. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found 28% take the opposite view and find it polarizing and divisive. Twenty-five percent (25%) say it’s neither, 3% have not heard of Biden and 10% are not sure.

A narrow plurality of voters find three other leading candidates to be more polarizing than unifying. Senator Bernie Sanders’ rhetoric is seen as divisive by 34% and unifying by 31%. For Senator Kamala Harris, the numbers are 30% divisive and 24% unifying. As for Senator Elizabeth Warren, 31% say divisive and 26% unifying.

Among Democrats only, 52% see Biden’s rhetoric as uplifting and unifying (see crosstab results). The numbers are slightly lower for Sanders (46%), Warren (45%), and Harris (43%).

Data released earlier showed that 53% of voters consider President Trump’s rhetoric to be polarizing and divisive. Forty-three percent (43%) say the same about both House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

This survey of Democratic presidential hopefuls was conducted prior to the second round of Democratic presidential debates.

ScottRasmussen.com is releasing new polling on the race for the nomination each weekday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. Additionally, we regularly update data on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 27-28, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Extravagant Candidate Promises

Senator Elizabeth Warren has lots of big ideas to re-design the United States. She dreams of Medicare for All, the Green New Deal, forgiving student loans, waging war on corporate America and more.

On the debate stage in Detroit, Warren pushed back when others raised doubts about her ambitious agenda: “I don’t understand why anybody goes to all the trouble of running for president of the United States just to talk about what we really can’t do and shouldn’t fight for.”

At one level, Warren’s perspective makes a certain kind of sense. After all, unless you believed you could change the world, what’s the incentive for putting up with all the grief that goes with living in the White House? However, the logic of Warren’s comment highlights a key reason why America’s political system has become so dysfunctional.

The problem is that making such big promises is Warren’s only plausible path to winning the nomination. She needs to fire up an army of activists by convincing them she can really bring about such a sweeping agenda and remake America into a progressive utopia.

But there is virtually no chance of that happening.

At the most basic level, the promises that Warren must make to win the nomination will make it more difficult for her to defeat Donald Trump. The more appealing her plans are in places like California, the less appealing they will be in critical midwestern states like Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Minnesota.

But, even a candidate with extremely progressive views could win the White House if there’s a recession next year. That doesn’t mean that a progressive agenda will become reality. The core problem is that the views themselves are unpopular:

·       Only 18% of voters share Warren’s enthusiasm for banning private health insurance companies.

·       Only 26% think illegal immigrants should receive health care subsidies from the federal government.

·       Fewer than one-in-five believe the threat of climate change makes it necessary to give the federal government sweeping new powers to control the economy.

The list could go on and on.

For the true believers, it will be difficult whenever the reality begins to sink in. Not surprisingly, the most committed supporters will become even more embittered about our political system.

We’ve seen this happen before during a very difficult time in our nation’s history. “A simple recipe for violence: promise a lot, deliver a little. Lead people to believe they will be much better off, but let there be no dramatic improvement.” The brilliant political scientist Aaron Wildavsky wrote these words in 1968 while America was engulfed in race riots and anti-war protests.

Sadly, Wildavsky’s words from half-a-century ago eerily describe the politics of 21st-century America. If Donald Trump wins re-election in 2020, 61% of voters nationwide think it is likely that progressive activists will respond with violence. On the other hand, 45% expect violence from right-wing activists if the president loses his bid for re-election.

While I am optimistic about America’s future, I fear that things will get worse before they get better. And a big part of the problem is candidates making extravagant promises whose only end result is the embitterment of those who believed them.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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Daily Updates for Democratic Presidential Race

With the second round of debates taking place in Detroit this week, ScottRasmussen.com will release new polling data on the race each day this week at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. You can find the latest numbers here.

Each update will be based upon a two-day rolling average and include between 850 and 900 Registered Democrats and Democratic leaning Independents.

Each daily update will measure the debate impact relative to a baseline poll released Monday afternoon.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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27% Believe They’ve Been Discriminated Against Because of Political Views

Twenty-seven percent (27%) of voters nationwide believe they have been discriminated against because of their political views. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 60% have not experienced such discrimination and 13% are not sure.

Among senior citizens, just 13% believe they have faced discrimination because of their political views. However, among voters under 35, that number is three times as high: 39%.

There are only modest partisan differences on this question. From an ideological perspective, those who are very conservative (41%) or very liberal (37%) report more discrimination than those who are moderate or only “lean” conservative or liberal.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of those who Strongly Approve of President Trump say they’ve experienced discrimination because of their views. As for those who Strongly Disapprove, just 22% say their political views have led to discrimination (see crosstab results).

Twenty-two percent (22%) of voters say that most or all of the time they’re afraid to let co-workers, friends, or neighbors know their views.  Another 25% say that happens some of the time. Just over half (53%) are rarely or never afraid of sharing their views.

Among those who Strongly Approve of President Trump, 30% are afraid most of the time. As for those who Strongly Disapprove, just 16% are that worried about sharing their political views.

Data released earlier showed that 18% of voters hold some political views that would shock their close friends and family members. And, only 19% of voters say all their close friends and family members know their important political beliefs.

Few voters consider political affiliations as an important part of their identity. Still, 20% have lost a friendship due to political differences.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted July 24-25, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Baseline for Measuring Impact of Second Democratic Debates

Yesterday, ScottRasmussen.com released new polling data on the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. Former Vice President Joe Biden remains the clear frontrunner with a 17 point lead over his nearest challenger. Regardless of who they want to win, the survey also found that 54%  of Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents expect Biden to be the party’s nominee.

We will release new data on this race every day this week to measure the impact of the second round of debates. As a reference point, here’s where things stood on Monday July 29. This is the baseline we’ll use to see who gains and loses from this round of debating.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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54% Expect Biden to Be Democratic Nominee; Same As Before First Round of Debates

Heading into the second presidential debate, 54% of Registered Democrats and Democratic leaning Independents think Joe Biden is likely to win the Democratic presidential nomination. That number is unchanged from a ScottRasmussen.com national survey conducted the night before the first round of Democratic debates.

The survey also found that 17% see Bernie Sanders as the likely nominee, 8% say Elizabeth Warren, and 5% think the winner will be Kamala Harris.  These results are broadly similar to expectations heading into the first debate as well.

Pete Buttigieg and Beto O’Rourke are each expected to win by 2%. No other candidate tops the 1% mark (see full crosstab results).

Biden currently enjoys a significant lead in the race for the Democratic nomination. leads in the primaries. Measures of Social Media Support are more fluid. Social media updates are released by ScottRasmussen.com each morning at 4:30 a.m. Eastern.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 884 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted July 27-29, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results for the full sample have a 3.4 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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New Polling on Democratic Race

Biden 32% Sanders 15% Warren 9% Harris 7%

More details here.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Our latest updates on the race for the Democratic presidential nomination can now be found here.

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Biden 42% Trump 39%; Sanders 39% Trump 38%; Trump 39% Harris 36%; Trump 40% Warren 36%

If the 2020 election for President were held today, 42% of voters would cast their ballot for former Vice President Joe Biden and 39% would prefer President Donald Trump. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 7% would vote for a third option, 5% would not vote, and 8% are not sure what they would do.

In a match-up with the Senator Bernie Sanders, the president trails by a single point 39% to 38%. The survey found that the president has a slight edge over  Senator Kamala Harris (39% to 36%) and Senator Elizabeth Warren (40% to 36%).

Throughout 2019, Biden has consistently led the president and Sanders has consistently been in a toss-up. Harris and Warren are polling a bit better this month (see topline trends).

Some surveys from other firms have shown Democrats with a larger advantage over the president. That may be the result of ScottRasmussen.com offering voters the chance to say they’d vote for someone else, would not vote, or  are not sure. At this early stage of the race, we are not pushing respondents to determine which way they lean.

However, a look at the crosstab results suggests that the currently uncommitted voters might lean towards the Democrat in the race. For example, in a match-up between the president and Biden, only 7% of GOP voters are uncommitted. That number rises to 18% among Democrats. Some Democrats supporting another candidate in the primary may not be ready to admit they will support another candidate in the general election.

It’s also worth noting that this factor helps explain some of the gap between Biden’s numbers and other Democratic hopefuls. For example, in a Warren-Trump match-up, 26% of Democratic voters are uncommitted. That’s eight points higher than the Biden total. In reality, if Warren wins the nomination, her support among Democrats would move at least to the levels enjoyed by Biden today.

Polling shows that Biden, Sanders, Harris, and Warren are the top four candidates in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. They also lead the pack in terms of Social Media Support. While Biden has a wide lead in a crowded field, things look much different if the field narrows. Head-to-head match-ups among these leading candidates show there is no clear frontrunner.

The gap between the top-tier of candidates and the rest is highlighted in the general election data as well. In match-ups against the president, the top four are all within the margin of error. Senator Cory Booker trails by nine (40% to 31%) and the rest are behind by double digits.

Mayor Pete Buttigieg trails the president by ten, 40% to 30%. Former Congressman Beto O’Rourke now trails by eleven, 40% to 29.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 25-26, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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83% Recognize That Federal Spending Has Doubled Over Past 30 Years

After adjusting for inflation, federal government spending has doubled since 1989. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 83% of voters recognize this to be true. Eighty-one percent (81%) also recognize that, after adjusting for inflation, federal spending has increased in 45 of the past 50 years. Sixty-two percent (62%) recognize that federal spending automatically increases every year.

However, just 57% are aware of a deceptive accounting practice used by the government to hide spending growth: If spending goes up, but growth is slower than expected, the federal government considers that to be a spending cut. Forty-three percent (43%) don’t believe that is true.

Just 24% of all voters agree that slower spending growth should be considered a spending cut. Fifty percent (50%) reject that definition and 26% are not sure.

On each of these questions there are few significant differences along partisan and demographic lines.

Other data from the survey showed that 32% of voters support the budget agreement reached by President Trump and Democratic Congressional leaders. Thirty-one percent (31%) are opposed.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 25-26, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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New Election 2020 Polls Coming Monday

On Monday morning, July 29, ScottRasmussen.com will release new polling data on the match-ups between President Trump and leading Democratic challengers.

On Monday afternoon, we will release new data on the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. This data will be used as the baseline for a PredictIt tournament (learn more about the tournament and sign up).

Posted in Deeper Currents

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32% Favor Budget Deal, 31% Opposed, 37% Not Sure

Thirty-two percent (32%) of voters nationwide favor the budget deal reached between President Trump and Democratic Congressional leaders. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 31% oppose the arrangement and 37% are not sure.

The uncertainty may stem from a lack of awareness about the details. Just 56% of voters have followed news of the event even somewhat closely. Additionally, just 53% recognize that the deal will increase federal spending and deficits. Twenty-one percent (21%) mistakenly believe it will cut spending and deficits while 26% don’t expect an impact in either direction.

The partisan response is a bit unusual. Republicans favor the deal by a 47% to 23% margin while Democrats are evenly divided: 32% in favor and 30% opposed. Normally, Independent voters fall in between the partisan responses. On this question, however, they are far more negative than either Republicans or Democrats. Just 20% of Independent voters favor the budget agreement and 48% are opposed.

These results are especially interesting because there is no significant difference between the parties in terms of understanding the deal. Fifty-five percent (55%) of Independents recognizes that it will increase spending and deficits. So do 53% of Republicans and 51% of Democrats.

From an ideological perspective, 40% of conservatives support the agreement along with 34% of liberals and 26% of moderates (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 25-26, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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18% Hold Political Views That Would Shock Friends and Family

Eighteen percent (18%) of voters hold some political views that would shock their close friends and family members. A ScottRasmussen.com national poll found that 67% don’t have any shocking views while 16% are not sure.

Nearly a third (30%) of voters under 35 think some of their views might shock friends and family. Just 7% of senior citizens say the same (see crosstab results).

Only 19% of voters say all their close friends and family members know their important political beliefs. Another 31% say most do. However, 50% say no more than half of their friends and family know their politics.

Data released earlier showed that few voters consider political affiliations as an important part of their identity. Still, the latest survey found that 20% have lost a friendship due to political differences.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted July 24-25, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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59% See Illegal Immigrants As National Security Threat; 53% Think They Reduce Wages for U.S. Workers

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters nationwide believe immigrants who enter the country illegally represent a potential national security threat to the United States. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that view is shared by 86% of Republicans, 58% of Independents, and 38% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

Along with health care and the economy, immigration and national security consistently rank as top issues among voters. A large number of surveys conducted over the past year show that eight-out-of-ten voters consider legal immigration good for the country. At the same time, eight-out-of-ten consistenly consider illegal immigration to be bad. As a result, most voters support a wide range of measures to limit or prevent illegal immigration.

The latest survey also found that 53% believe that immigrants who enter the country illegally for temporary jobs reduce the wages paid to American workers. That view is shared by 72% of Republicans, 53% of Independents, and 37% of Democrats.

Data released earlier shows that 21% believe the United States has no right to decide who is eligible to enter the country.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters favor a plan to have government officials remove millions of illegal or undocumented immigrants from the United States. Thirty-six percent (36%) want to abolish ICE while 64% disagree. Thirty percent (30%) favor issuing drivers licenses to illegal/undocumented immigrants

Forty-nine percent (49%) of voters nationwide believe that a child born in the United States to an illegal immigrant should be considered a U.S. citizen. However, just 32% believe the mother should be allowed to remain in the country. Overall, 75% believe that our immigration system should prioritize people with skills that could benefit the economy rather than granting legal status to people with relatives in the United States. That view is shared across partisan and demographic lines.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 17-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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37% See “The Squad” as Racist Troublemakers; 39% Disagree

Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters agree with Donald Trump’s tweeted assertion that the four Congresswomen known as “the Squad” are a group of racist troublemakers. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 39% disagree and 24% are not sure.

A similar divide was found on other accusations hurled on Twitter.

  • Congresswoman Ilhan Omar tweeted that the president is a racist who wants every black and brown person deported. Forty-six percent (46%) agree with her and 46% disagree.
  • Forty-six percent (46%) also agree with Omar’s assertion that President Trump wants every Muslim banned from the country. On that point, 43% disagree.
  • Thirty-five percent (35%) agree with President Trump’s assertion that the four Congresswomen known as the Squad are incapable of loving our country. Forty-one percent (41%) disagree.
  • However, 46% agree that the women should apologize to America (and Israel) for the hateful things they have said. Thirty-two percent (32%) disagree.

These results should be interpreted with some caution since members of “The Squad” have a relatively low level of name recognition. The specific numbers probably say more about perceptions of the president than anything else. For example, by a 63% to 16% margin, those who approve of the president believe the four Congresswomen are racist troublemakers. Those who disapprove of the president take the opposite view by a 57% to 17% margin (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 23-24, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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53% Consider Trump Rhetoric Polarizing and Divisive

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide consider President Trump’s rhetoric to be polarizing and divisive. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 24% find it uplifting and unifying while 23% say neither.

Forty-three percent (43%) say the rhetoric of both House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is polarizing and divisive. Just 23% find Pelosi’s rhetoric to be uplifting and unifying while 21% say that about Ocasio-Cortez. Given the lower level of visibility, it is not surprising that both women have larger numbers of people with no opinion either way.

The rhetoric of President Obama was found to be uplifting and unifying by 48% while 32% consider it polarizing and divisive.

There are significant partisan differences:

  • By a 66% to 9% margin, Democrats find the president’s rhetoric to be polarizing and divisive. Independent voters, by a 54% to 20% margin agree. Republicans lean modestly in the other direction. Thirty-seven percent (37%) of GOP voters express the polarizing view while 47% say unifying.
  • Republicans find Obama nearly as polarizing as Democrats see Trump. By a 57% to 18% margin, GOP voters consider the former president’s rhetoric polarizing and divisive. Democrats, by a 71% to 16% hear is as uplifting and unifying. Independents to agree (45% to 16%).
  • Pelosi’s rhetoric is viewed as polarizing by 71% of Republicans while just 9% see it as unifying. Independents, by a 38% to 18% margin, tend to agree. Forty percent (40%) of Democrats see it as unifying while 24% say polarizing.
  • The numbers for Ocasio-Cortez among Republicans and Independents are similar to Pelosi. However, among Democrats, just 35% find her unifying while 28% say the opposite.

The survey also asked about Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell whose rhetoric was viewed as polarizing by 34% and unifying by 20%.

Data released earlier showed that 54% of voters believe President Trump wants the U.S. to be a White Supremacist nation. His job approval ratings have remained steady around 46% for nearly six months. Forty-two percent (42%) believe he should be impeached and removed from office.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 19-20, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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54% Believe Trump Wants U.S. to be White Supremacist Nation; 26% Think It Already Is

Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters believe President Trump wants a nation based upon White Supremacy. That’s down slightly from 57% in November.

The latest ScottRasmussen.com poll also found that 26% believe it is fair to call the United States a White Supremacist nation. That’s down from 28% in November.

  • On a partisan basis, 84% of Democrats believe the president would like to see our nation based upon White Supremacy. Fifty-two percent (52%) of Independents agree as do 21% of Republicans.
  • Seventy-six percent (76%) of black voters believe President Trump wants White Supremacy in the U.S., a view shared by 72% of Hispanic voters and 44% of white voters.
  • Eighty-three percent (83%) of liberal voters believe that to be true as do 60% of moderates and 24% of conservatives.

Among those who Strongly Approve of the president, 24% believe he wants a White Supremacist nation. Putting that in a larger context, 7% of all voters both Strongly Approve of the president and do so believing that he wants a nation based upon White Supremacy.

Among voters who Strongly Disapprove of the president, 90% believe he dreams of a White Supremacist nation (see crosstab results).

Forty-one percent (41%) of black voters  believe that is fair to call the United States a White Supremacist nation today. Twenty-nine percent (29%) of Hispanic voters agree with that assessment as do 21% of white voters.

Among all voters, 27% believe most white Americans favor a nation based upon White Supremacy. Thirty-six percent (36%) believe most conservatives hold that view. Twenty-eight percent (28%) believe most liberals do as well.

Data released earlier showed that 74% are proud of our nation’s history while 26% are ashamed of it.

Amidst competing perceptions of our past, Scott Rasmussen has written that there is hope and common ground for the future. In the competition between our nation’s noble founding ideals and the shameful history of institutionalized racism, voters overwhelmingly believe the noble strand will dominate American politics in the future. It’s a view widely shared across partisan and ideological lines.

Our task today is to make that expectation a reality. Now is the time for the shameful strand of our history to die and the noble strand to flourish. To make this happen, we must be totally committed to shaping the culture by building a society worthy of our highest ideals. It is time to recognize that America’s War of Independence and the Civil Rights Movement were part of the same revolution, a revolution for liberty, equality, and self-governance.

Those ideals are the essentials we can build upon together while agreeing to disagree on the details of policy.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 18-19, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Just 34% Following News About Apollo 11

Fifty years ago today, Neil Armstrong became the first man to set foot on the moon. It was “one giant step for a man, one giant leap for mankind.” That first step was witnessed by more than half a billion people.

Half a century later, though, interest in that historic event has waned. Just 34% of voters nationwide have followed news stories about the mission even somewhat closely. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that just 11% are following it Very Closely.

That may partially be the result that it no longer seems so spectacular an event. Seventy-five percent (75%) believe that, in their lifetime, humans will again walk on the moon. Forty-six percent (46%) expect to be alive when humans first set foot on Mars (a total that includes 62% of voters under 35).

Within a year, 71% believe that a private company will successfully send a human into orbit around the earth.

See full crosstab results.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 13-14, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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42% Recognize “The Squad” is Extremely Progressive; 44% Not Sure

Four progressive Members of Congress known as the Squad have been the focus of significant media attention in recent weeks. However, they remain relatively unknown outside of political circles.

Just 42% of voters are able to identify members of the Squad as extremely progressive. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 8% think they are bi-partisan moderates while 6% say extremely conservative. Forty-four percent (44%) are not sure.

Most men (54%) identify the Squad as extremely progressive while most women (55%) are not sure. Most liberal voters (54%) identify the four women as progressives while most moderates (55%) are not sure (see crosstab results).

Overall, 57% of voters say they are following news about the Squad at least somewhat closely. That includes 26% who say they are following such news Very Closely.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)  is the best known member of the Squad. Thirty-one percent (31%) of voters have a favorable opinion of her while 33% hold an unfavorable view. The rest either have never heard of her or don’t know enough to have an opinion.

Twenty percent (20%) voters believe AOC  represents and defines the Democratic Party better than Nancy Pelosi. Forty-two percent (42%) see Pelosi as the face of the party. Pelosi’s favorability ratings are–on a net basis–lower than AOC’s. All Congressional leaders have net negative ratings.

As for other members of the Squad, Ilhan Omar is viewed favorably by 24% and unfavorably by 34%. For Ayanna Pressley, the numbers are 26% positive and 27% negative.  Rashida Tlaib earns favorable reviews from 25% and unfavorable reviews from 31%.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 17-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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42% Say Pelosi Best Represents Democratic Party, 20% Say It’s AOC

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters nationwide believe Nancy Pelosi represents and defines the Democratic Party better than Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 20% take the opposite view and see AOC as a better representative. Thirty-seven percent (37%) are not sure.

Among Democratic voters, 44% say Pelosi best represents their party while 27% pick Ocasio-Cortez. Voters under 35 are evenly divided: 29% see AOC as the face of the party while 28% name Pelosi. The most liberal voters are also evenly divided (see crosstab results).

If Ocasio-Cortez endorsed a presidential candidate, 29% of Democrats would be more likely to support that candidate while 13% would be less likely to do so. Thirty-seven percent (37%) say it wouldn’t make any difference and 22% are not sure.

Among all voters, 17% would be more likely to vote for an AOC endorsed candidate while 34% would be less likely to vote for that candidate.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 17-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

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Biden Still On Top Followed By Sanders, Harris, Warren

The latest ScottRasmussen.com survey of the Democratic Presidential Race shows Joe Biden at 26%, Bernie Sanders at 14%, Kamala Harris at 10% and Elizabeth Warren at 9%.

Biden is down two points from our last survey and Harris is down three. Sanders and Warren are unchanged.

Pete Buttigieg (4%), Beto O’Rourke (4%), and Cory Booker (2%) are the only other candidates with more than 1% support (see full crosstab results).

The national survey of 910 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted July 15-17, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results for the full sample have a 3.4 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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16% Believe How Much You Earn Is Simply a Matter of Luck

Sixteen percent (16%) of voters believe that the amount of money someone earns is just a matter of luck. However, a ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 73% believe people who work hard, save money, and make good lifestyle decisions generally make more money.

Fifty-four percent (54%) believe that people who work harder generally make more than those who don’t. On that point, 31% disagree. Men overwhelmingly believe that those who work harder make more. Women tend to agree but are much more evenly divided. White voters, by a 56% to 30% agree with the connection between hard work and higher income. Black and Hispanic voters are more evenly divided.

On a partisan basis, 68% of Republicans believe that people who work harder generally make more than those who don’t. That view is shared by 41% of Democrats and 56% of Independent voters (see crosstab results).

Fifty-two percent (52%) of all voters believe that people who get married and stay married are better off financially than those who don’t. Seventeen percent (17%) disagree. Thirty-one percent (31%) are not sure.

These attitudes and beliefs have changed little since January.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

We release new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot.

Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.  You can also follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,003 Registered Voters was conducted July 7-8, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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54% Say $15 Minimum wage is Not Worth Losing 3.7 Million Jobs

Tomorrow, the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to vote on the Raise the Wage Act, which aims to increase the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour. Ahead of this vote, new polling from the Job Creators Network/ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse reveals that only 20 percent of Americans believe the trade-off from a $15 minimum wage—losing up to 3.7 million jobs while lifting 1.3 million people out of poverty—is a good one. (54 percent say this is a bad trade-off, and 26 percent aren’t sure.) Earlier this month, the Congressional Budget Office released an analysis showing a $15 minimum wage could cause up to 3.7 million lost jobs.

The polling also shows that 71 percent of Americans think the minimum wage should be adjusted to reflect the cost of living in different parts of the country, rather than having Congress mandate a one-size-fits-all minimum wage.

In another question, 63 percent of adults said a better trade school and apprentice system would do more to alleviate poverty than a higher minimum wage.

“While a vocal crowd is championing a $15 minimum wage, most Americans think there are more effective ways to fight poverty,” said Elaine Parker, President of Job Creators Network Foundation. “A one-size-fits-all strategy is rarely a good idea when it comes to sound economic policy. Certainly, the minimum wage and other policies intended to raise worker pay deserve a more nuanced approach.”

This new data reveals that 84 percent of Americans think doubling the minimum wage—as the Raise the Wage Act would do—makes it more likely for small businesses to lay off workers, especially the least-skilled.

Pollster Scott Rasmussen commented, “Nobody starts out in the job market as a highly-skilled professional. For a long time, the minimum wage has acted as an entry-level wage allowing teenagers and other workers to gain valuable experience and skills. In the long-term, there’s no benefit in stopping businesses from paying an entry-level wage.”

See question wording and full crosstab results.

This ScottRasmussen.com/HarrisX poll of 1,091 US adults was conducted July 15-16, 2019. For more information about the Job Creators Network please visit www.JobCreatorsNetwork.com

 

Posted in Deeper Currents

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54% Believe President Trump As Ethical As Most Politicians

Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters nationwide believe that President Trump is at least as ethical as most politicians. That’s up five points from May  and similar to the numbers from last October.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that those figures include 29% who believe the president is more ethical than most politicians and 25% who say he’s about as ethical as most in his current profession.

Still, just 35% believe the president is a good role model for young Americans. Thirty-one percent (31%) believe most Members of Congress are good role models. Most believe their own representative in Congress trades votes for cash. Few believe their representative cares about what they think.

Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Republicans believe the president meets the normal ethical standard for politicians. Fifty-two percent (52%) of Independents agree. However, 75% of Democrats believe the president is less ethical than most (see crosstab results).

Other data consistently shows that just over 40% of voters believe the president should be impeached and removed from office. His Job Approval ratings have remained steady: every daily release since January 28 has the number approving of the president’s performance to be within two percentage points of 46%. However, the number who believe it’s likely that the president will be re-elected has grown from 46% in February to 60% in July.

Data released recently showed that 87% of voters believe corruption is widespread in the federal government.

Scott Rasmussen’s new book, The Sun is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will Not, describes how he can be optimistic about the nation’s future despite being deeply pessimistic about our broken political system. Fortunately, the politicians aren’t nearly as important as they think they are. Just about all positive change in America begins far from the halls of power in Washington. The culture and technology lead our nation forward while politics and politicians lag behind.

In May, 59% believed that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is at least as ethical as most politicians.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

This national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted May 23-24, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

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New Democratic Primary Poll Coming Thursday, July 18

On Thursday, July 18, ScottRasmussen.com will release updated polling data on the race for the Democratic presidential nomination.

Specific release time to be determined.

All results from our Democratic primary polling data is released here.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Which Census Questions Are Appropriate?

On the night President Trump dropped his bid to add a citizenship question to the U.S. Census, 63% of voters believed that was an appropriate question to ask. That’s down ten points over the past three months. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 25% believe the question is not appropriate for the census and 12% are not sure.

To provide context for those numbers, we asked 1,000 Registered Voters whether a number of other census questions were appropriate.

  • 83% believe it is appropriate for the census to ask about the number of people living or staying in a home on April 1, 2020.
  • 70% think asking about the name, sex, age, date of birth and race of each person in the home is appropriate.
  • 61% are okay with the census bureau asking about the relationship of each person to a central person in the home.
  • 54% say it’s appropriate to ask whether each person is of Hispanic, Latino or Spanish origin.
  • 53%  are comfortable with asking whether the home is owned with or without a mortgage, rented or occupied without rent.
  • 34% think asking whether couples living together are in a same-sex or opposite-sex relationship is appropriate. On this question, a majority (53%) say it it inappropriate.

See complete crosstab results.

Scott Rasmussen’s column last week noted that the census citizenship question is a lose-lose battle for the Democrats.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 11-12, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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On Top Issue, 36% Trust Democrats, 35% Republicans, 15% Neither

On the issue they consider the most important, 36% of voters trust Democrats more than Republicans while 35% place more trust in Republicans. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 15% do not trust either party, 6% trust both, and 8% are not sure.

Among those who consider health care the most important issue, Democrats have a 56% to 14% advantage. On the issue of immigration, voters overall are fairly evenly divided in terms of which party they trust. However, among those who consider it the most important issue, 60% trust Republicans more while 23% trust the Democrats.

Republicans also have a substantial advantage among those who see the economy (49% to 23%) and national security as most important (59% to 13%).

Eighteen percent (18%) of voters consider Health Care to be the most important issue; 16% say it’s immigration; 15% cite the economy; and 9% national security. The number of survey respondents naming a variety of other topics to be the most important issue was too small to report separate results.

More than seven-out-of-ten voters consider both Health Care and the Economy to be Very Important Issues.

Overall, in terms of trust on their most important issue, Republicans have a slight edge among Suburban and Rural voters. Democrats have a double-digit advantage among Rural voters. (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted June 6-7, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Technology, Competition Seen As Better Health Care Solution Than Government Policies

Forty-one percent (41%) of voters believe more competition between health care providers is more likely to improve the quality of medical than more government regulation. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 25% take the opposite view and 34% are not sure. By a similar margin (42% to 28%) voters believe competition would do more to reduce the cost of care.

As for the future of health care, 48% believe new technologies will have a bigger positive impact than new government policies. Twenty-nine percent (29%) take the opposite view.

These attitudes have generally held steady over the past year. Voters consistently express a preference for more choice and less politics in health care. Insurance coverage that restricts choice is considered “junk insurance” by a solid majority of voters. These preferences are part of a broad recognition that Americans have more power acting as consumers rather than voters.

Democrats are evenly divided on whether technology and competition is better than government policies. Republicans strongly believe that technology and competition is the better approach. Independent voters lean in the GOP direction but are not certain (see crosstab results).

Protecting voters with pre-existing conditions remains the top priority for voters in any health care reform. However, number two on the list is requiring health insurance companies to offer a variety of health insurance options. Voters want the insurance providers to provide a mix of  more expensive plans with comprehensive coverage and less expensive plans that cover only basic health care needs. If they had the chance, 65% of workers would choose less health insurance coverage and more take home pay.

The latest survey also found that 59% of voters nationwide believe that apps and devices monitoring health, fitness, and diet lead to improved health. Additionally, 76% believe that a person’s lifestyle choices have a bigger impact than medical care on a person’s health and quality of life. Those results are not substantially different from earlier surveys.

Health care consistently rates as one of the most important issues for voters. Democrats are generally trusted more than Republicans on the topic. However, in Election 2018, uninsured voters were evenly divided in the partisan preferences. Thirty-five percent (35%) of voters without health insurance said they’d cast a vote for the Democratic candidate while 31% preferred a Republican. Another 14%  expected to vote for a third party candidate, 6% didn’t plan to vote, and 15% remained undecided.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted July 10-11, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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64% Support Dunkin’ Donuts Effort to Enforce Use of E-Verify System

Dunkin’ Donuts recently removed franchise rights from owners who failed to use the E-verify system. The company said this was done to discourage franchise owners from hiring undocumented workers. Sixty-four percent (64%) of voters believe Dunkin’ Donuts’ actions were justified. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 17% disagreed and 19% are not sure.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans believe the company’s actions were justified. So do 64% of Independents and 51% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

To ensure that people hired are legal residents of the United States, 80% favor the law requiring use of an E-Verify system during the hiring process. Twenty percent (20%) are opposed. Those figures include 45% who Strongly Favor the law and 6% who are Strongly Opposed.

These results are broadly consistent with a  vast collection of data showing that eight-out-of-ten voters believe illegal immigration is bad for the United States (eight-out-of-ten also believe that legal immigration is good). Other data showed that 21% of voters effectively support an open borders policy. They believe the United States has no right to decide who is eligible to enter the country. They believe anyone who wants to live in the United States should be allowed entry.

Thirty percent (30%) of voters say this action makes them more likely to visit a Dunkin’ Donuts while 15% would be less likely to do so. Most (55%) say it won’t have any impact on their decision.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted July 10-11, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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21% Believe It Was Appropriate for Starbucks to Ask Police Officers to Leave Store

Recently, police officers were asked to leave a Starbucks store because a customer claimed their presence made him feel unsafe. Twenty-one percent (21%) of voters nationwide believe that request was appropriate while 79% disagree. A ScottRasmussen.com poll found that those figures include 10% who believe it was Very Appropriate and 55% who considered it Not at All Appropriate.

However, among those who visit Starbucks at least three times a month, 38% believe the request was appropriate.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of black voters considered the request appropriate along with 32% of Hispanics and 14% of Whites. Thirty-one percent (31%) of urban residents thought it was appropriate as well. Just 19% of suburban residents and 14% of rural residents agreed (see crosstab results).

After being informed that Starbucks had apologized, 31% of voters said this incident made them more likely to visit the coffee retailer. Sixty-nine percent (69%) were less likely to do so.

Among those who visit Starbucks at least three times a month, 52% said the incident made them more likely to visit Starbucks.

Generally speaking, 57% of voters feel safe when they encounter police officers while 13% feel threatened. Thirty percent (30%) experience neither.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted July 8-9, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Most Men Believe U.S. Economic System is Fair; Most Women Don’t

Forty-one percent (41%) of voters believe that our nation’s economic system is fair to most Americans. However, a ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 48% disagree and 11% are not sure.

Those figures reflect an increase in skepticism since January  when 44% believed the system was fair and 42% disagreed.

Strikingly different perceptions are found across gender, race, income and partisan lines.

  • By a 52% to 41% margin, men believe our economic system is fair. By a 54% to 31% margin, women disagree.
  • White voters are evenly divided: 46% believe the system is fair while 43% disagree. However, by a 67% to 23% margin, black voters believe it is unfair. Fifty-four percent (56%) of Hispanic voters agree.
  • Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans believe our economic system is fair while 65% of Democrats and 66% of Independent voters believe it is not.
  • Most (53%) who earn more than $75,000 a year believe it is fair. By a 53% to 33% margin, those who earn less disagree (see crosstab results).

Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters nationwide believe most successful U.S. companies make money by cheating their customers. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 74% believe successful companies make good money by providing a good service that meets customer needs.

Other data shows that 73% believe free markets are fair; 61% say the same about Capitalism; and only 42% believe Socialism is fair.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,003 Registered Voters was conducted July 7-8, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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57% Have Favorable Opinion of Nationalism

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters have a favorable opinion of the terms “Nationalism” and “American Nationalism.”

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that view is shared by 59% of suburban voters, 57% of rural voters, and 52% of urban voters. On a partisan basis, 68% of Republicans have a favorable opinion of nationalism. So do 59% of Independents and 46% of Democrats.

Nationalism also earns favorable reviews from 63% with a college degree (see crosstab results).

Sixty-five percent (65%) of voters believe “Patriotism” is an element of nationalism. Only 15% disagree. By a similar margin, voters tend to believe that “Love of The U.S. Constitution” (60% to 17%) and “Individual Freedom” are associated with American nationalism. Most (51%) also believe that “Equality” is an element of nationalism while 27% disagree. A solid plurality (42%) associates “Self-governance” with nationalism while 28% do not.

Some critics of nationalism attribute a number of negative attitudes with the term. However, voters tend to reject that view. Just 29% associated nationalism with “White Supremacy.” Twenty-eight percent (28%) think nationalism is related to racism. Smaller numbers connect it to “Sexism/Patriarchy” (24%) or “Nazis/Nazism” (22%).

Many terms in the political dialogue have different meanings among the general public than they do among the politically obsessed. For example, there is growing support for the term Socialism in the United States. However, there remains very little support for policies traditionally understood as socialist.

The research on nationalism was conducted using a split sample approach. Half the survey respondents were asked about “Nationalism” and half about “American Nationalism.” In general, the results were similar regardless of the term used.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted June 25-26, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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ScottRasmussen.com Data in WSJ Best of the Web Column

ScottRasmussen.com polling data was featured in the Wall Street Journal’s Best of the Web column today.

The column explores whether or not the Democratic presidential candidates are moving too far to the left.

“Today pollster Scott Rasmussen shares results suggesting Democrats may not want to fall so hard for illegal immigration:”

Twenty-one percent (21%) of voters nationwide believe the United States has no right to decide who is eligible to enter the country. They believe anyone who wants to live in the United States should be allowed entry. However, 79% disagree and take the opposite view.

This is consistent with a vast collection of survey data showing that eight-out-of-ten voters believe illegal immigration is bad for the United States (eight-out-of-ten also believe that legal immigration is good for the country).

Posted in Deeper Currents

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75% Of Republicans Think Trump Likely to Defeat Any Democratic Challenger

Seventy-five percent (75%) of Republican voters believe it really doesn’t matter who the Democrats nominate because none of them will beat Donald Trump in next year’s election. The latest ScottRasmussen.com poll found that view is shared by 18% of Democrats and 39% of Independent voters.

On the other hand, 49% of Democratic voters say it really doesn’t matter who the Democrats nominate because any of them will beat the president. Twenty-four percent (24%) of Republicans agree. So do 34% of Independent voters.

Among all voters, 41% believe that none of the Democrats running will beat the president while 36% believe any of them will do so.

The survey also found that 48% believe the large number of Democrats running hurts the Democrats’ chances of defeating President Trump next year. Twenty percent (20%) say it will help while 32% are not sure.

Among Democrats, 41% think the large field of candidates hurts their party’s chances. Thirty percent (30%) believe it helps (see crosstab results).

Other data from the survey shows that 23% of voters are following the race for the Democratic nomination Very Closely. Most could not identify either the candidate who just entered the race or the candidate who just left.  Sixty-three percent (63%) correctly identified Joe Biden as the current leader in the polls.

In addition to leading the polls, Biden has the highest favorability ratings of any Democratic hopeful. He also  leads all Democratic candidates in terms of Social Media support.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted July 9-10, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Census Citizenship Question Is Lose-Lose Issue for Democrats

It’s not clear if President Trump can win the legal battle to include a citizenship question on the 2020 census, but he’s already won in the court of public opinion.

A ScottRasmussen.com poll found that 73% of voters nationwide believe it is appropriate for the U.S. Census Bureau to ask residents if they are citizens of the United States.

Just because a question might be considered appropriate doesn’t mean it should necessarily be asked. But an Economist/YouGov poll found that most Americans (53%) do think the citizenship question is one that should be asked by the Census Bureau. Just 32% disagree.

These attitudes make the entire discussion a lose-lose proposition for the Democrats.

If the Supreme Court rules against allowing the citizenship question to be asked, President Trump will gain a powerful campaign issue to boost his re-election prospects. The importance of Supreme Court nominations will be front and center in the campaign and the president’s supporters will be energized.

On top of that, this topic is closely connected to other issues where Democrats have adopted unpopular positions:

  • The first Democratic debates showed a party perilously close to advocating open borders. Just 21% of voters embrace that position.
  • As Democratic officials assist immigrants crossing the border illegally, 95% of voters believe it’s important for everyone entering the country to go through customs and fill out appropriate forms.
  • On the second night of debates, all Democratic presidential candidates signaled support for providing illegal or undocumented immigrants with health care subsidies. Just 26% of voters agree.

The bottom line is that eight-out-of-ten voters believe illegal immigration is bad for the United States. Many voters may not be happy with the way President Trump is dealing with the border crisis, but they know he sees illegal immigration as a problem. And many have concluded that Democrats don’t.

Bad as things will be for Democrats if the citizenship question is not asked, it could be even worse if it is asked. That’s partly because the Democratic nominee would be forced to attack a decision that most Americans support.

But the larger problem for Democrats is that illegal or undocumented immigrants are currently included in the calculations used to award and design Congressional Districts. If only legal residents were counted, there would be fewer Democrats in Congress.

That’s because states with high levels of non-legal residents pick up extra Congressional seats at the expense of states with a larger share of legal residents. It also means that urban areas with higher levels of non-legal residents pick up more seats than they would if only legal residents were counted.

Not surprisingly, just 30% of voters think it makes sense to include illegal or undocumented residents when determining representation in Congress. Twice as many—62%– disagree.

If the citizenship question is asked, it will be possible to accurately show the difference between current law and districts drawn on a legal resident only basis. That is not a discussion the Democrats want to have. In fact, the entire debate about citizenship is something Democrats would love to avoid.

The bottom line is that the more prominent a role this issue plays in 2020, the better things will look for President Trump.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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43% Know Steyer Running for President, 42% Know Swalwell Dropped Out

For many Americans, it’s just too early to pay attention to Election 2020.

Given a list of nine Democratic candidates for President, just 43% of voters nationwide were able to identify Tom Steyer as the candidate who just entered the race.  Despite significant media coverage, 13% mistakenly identified Eric Swalwell as the newest candidate (he actually dropped out of the race). A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 4% to 8% of voters thought that Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Beto O’Rourke, Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, Kirsten Gillibrand, or Cory Booker just joined the field.

Forty-two percent (42%) correctly identified Swalwell as the candidate who recently dropped out. Twelve percent (12%) thought Steyer dropped out. Between 5% and 9% thought each of the other named candidates dropped out this week.

Sixty-three percent (63%) correctly identified Joe Biden as the current leader in the polls. Fifteen percent (15%) thought Sanders was ahead while 8% named Warren as the leader and 7% picked Harris.

Twenty-three percent (23%) of voters are following the race for the Democratic nomination Very Closely. Another 36% are following it Somewhat Closely.

Democrats are not significantly more interested in the race than Republicans. Independent voters are paying less attention than the partisans. Democrats are also not notably more informed about the race than Republicans (see crosstab results).

In addition to leading the polls, Biden has the highest favorability ratings of any Democratic hopeful. He also  leads all Democratic candidates in terms of Social Media support.

These top four candidates have been the clear leaders in surveys for several months (see topline trends). A few weeks ago, Scott Rasmussen suggested that we may already be down to a four-person race. Head-to-head match-ups among the top four Democrats are all toss-ups.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted July 9-10, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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21% Say U.S. Has No Right to Set Rules About Who Enters Country

Twenty-one percent (21%) of voters nationwide believe the United States has no right to decide who is eligible to enter the country. They believe anyone who wants to live in the United States should be allowed entry.

However, 79% disagree and take the opposite view.

This is consistent with a vast collection of survey data showing that eight-out-of-ten voters believe illegal immigration is bad for the United States (eight-out-of-ten also believe that legal immigration is good for the country).

However, 95% believe it is important that potential immigrants be required to go through customs and fill out appropriate entry papers. That total includes 73% who consider the process Very Important.

Thirty-seven percent (37%) at least somewhat favor a proposal made to decriminalize crossing the border and entering the United States without permission. Sixty-three percent (63%) are opposed. Those figures include 17% who Strongly Favor decriminalization and 40% who are Strongly Opposed.

Most (56%) voters under 35 and most Democrats (53%) favor a proposal for decriminalization. Solid majorities of older voters, Republicans, and Independents disagree.

Among voters under 35, 41% believe the U.S. has no right to set rules about who may enter the country. Thirty-two percent (32%) of Democrats agree (see crosstab results).

However, solid majorities of every measured demographic group believe it is important that potential immigrants be required to go through customs and fill out appropriate entry papers.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted July 5-6, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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10% Believe Betsy Ross Flag is Symbol of Racism

Ten percent (10%) of voters nationwide believe the Betsy Ross flag is a symbol of racism. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 68% disagree while 22% are not sure.

Among African-American voters, 25% believe that flag is a symbol of racism, 38% disagree and 36% are not sure. Just 11% of Hispanic voters and 6% of White voters see the Betsy Ross flag as a symbol of racism (see crosstab results).

Thirty-three percent (33%) of voters at least somewhat agree with Nike’s decision to stop distributing a sneaker featuring the flag. Sixty-eight percent (68%) disagree. Those figures include 10% who Strongly Agree with Nike and 36% who Strongly Disagree.

Voters are evenly divided about Arizona’s response to the situation. The state had planned to provide Nike with financial incentives to build a facility in their state. After the decision on the Betsy Ross flag, the Governor announced his intention to have Arizona withdraw from that arrangement. Forty-eight percent (48%) agree with the Governor while 52% are opposed.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans agree with the Governor while 70% of Democrats disagree. Among Independent voters, 42% agree and 58% disagree.

Overall, 59% of voters have a favorable opinion of Nike while 41% take the opposite view.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted July 6-7, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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74% Are Proud of American History

Seventy-four percent (74%) of voters nationwide are proud of American history. That’s up from 66% last December and includes 38% who are Very Proud. A ScottRasmussen.com poll also found that 26% are ashamed of our nation’s history, including 9% who are Very Ashamed.

Voters recognize that many influences have played a role in how the United States developed as a nation. In terms of how those influences impact America today, 87% believe that the founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-governance are significant.

Seventy-five percent (75%) believe the tradition of pragmatic problem solving is significant and 68% say the same about the Protestant work ethic and faith. As for the legacy of slavery, 60% believe it still has a significant impact on our nation today. Fifty-four (54%) believe our political heritage and culture from England remains significant while 46% believe that is true of White Supremacy.

Eighty-one percent (81%) believe the founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-government are more significant today than the legacy of slavery and White Supremacy. Just 19% take the opposite view. A majority of every measured demographic group rates the founding ideals as having a more significant impact on America today. That includes 59% of black voters and 57% of the most liberal voters.

For understandable reasons, 56% of African-American voters are ashamed of the U.S. history. eighty-five percent (85%) of white voters are proud of the history along with 56% of Hispanic voters.

On a partisan basis, pride is expressed by 93% of Republicans, 73% of Independents, and 60% of Democrats.

Ideologically, 56% of liberal voters are proud of the nation’s history along with 92% of conservatives (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted July 3-4, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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In Education, Wealth Seen As Bigger Divide Than Race

Twenty-four percent (24%) of voters believe that wealthy white Americans and poor white Americans generally receive equal educational opportunities. Sixty-eight percent (68%) disagree. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found nearly that just 22% believe wealthy black Americans and poor black Americans generally receive equal educational opportunities while 69% disagree.

These numbers suggest that people see a greater education gap along income lines rather than racial lines. Forty-one percent (41%) believe white Americans and black Americans generally receive equal educational opportunities. Forty-eight percent (48%) don’t believe that’s true in America today while 11% are not sure.

Additionally, 53% believe wealthy black Americans and wealthy white Americans generally receive equal educational opportunities. Just 31% disagree. Fifty-nine percent (59%) of white voters believe wealthy whites and blacks receive equal opportunities. Fifty-three percent (53%) of black voters disagree.

To address the wealth gap, 74% of voters favor a plan for the federal government to subsidize public education in poor communities.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 2-3, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and Demographic Profile of the Sample). It has a +/- 3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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57% Believe Their Own Rep in Congress Trades Votes for Cash; 22% Don’t

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters nationwide believe it is at least somewhat likely that their representative in Congress trades votes for cash. That’s up from 53% in January.

A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that just 22% think that’s unlikely and 22% are not sure.

We used a split sample approach on this topic. Half of all survey respondents were asked if their representative in Congress traded votes for campaign contributions. The other half were asked if their representative traded votes for bribes. There were only modest differences in the results.

By a 60% to 18% margin, voters think it’s likely their representative trade votes for campaign contributions. By a 54% to 24% margin, voters think their own representative trades votes for bribes. The similarity of the results suggests that voters may see little difference between campaign contributions and bribes (see full crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com releases updates on Congress and ratings of Congressional leaders at least once a month. Few Americans think it’s likely that Congress will accomplish much before the next election. There is also little confidence that Members of Congress care what their constituents think.

Just 27% believe the federal government primarily serves the interests of the American people. Sixty-three percent (63%) of men believe the government looks out primarily for itself. So do 57% of women.

Regular tracking shows that only about one-out-of-six voters trust the federal government to do the right thing most of the time. It’s been nearly half a century since a majority of voters trusted the federal government. The vast majority of Americans alive today cannot remember such a time.

ScottRasmussen.com providesdaily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot (Sign up  for daily email). We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues.

It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 2-3, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and Demographic Profile of the Sample). It has a +/- 3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Fighting for Independence Began 15 Months Before Congress Declared Independence

On July 2, 1776—not July 4—the Second Continental Congress voted to declare our nation’s independence from Great Britain.

John Adams, who would become the second president of the United States, thought that July 2 would be the most celebrated day in American history. Instead, the nation’s birthday has instead been celebrated on July 4—the day that the edited version of the Declaration of Independence was formally adopted.

The congressional action did not lead the nation into a fight for independence. Instead, it simply ratified what had already happened. The War for Independence began 15 months before the formal declaration was issued. In fact, by the time Congress acted, a majority of the British governors had already been forced to flee the new nation.

However, political leaders recognized the importance of unity. They continued debating and addressing concerns until a unanimous vote could be obtained. That happened on July 2. Twelve colonies voted for independence, and New York abstained.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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The Noble Ideals of America’s Founding

Amidst the fireworks and cookouts, America’s birthday party is infused with the inspiring rhetoric from our nation’s founding document. The Declaration of Independence reminds us that we are all created equal and endowed by our Creator with “certain unalienable rights.” These include “Life, Liberty, and the pursuit of Happiness.”

Many Americans mistakenly believe that these inspiring words rallied the nation to fight for its independence. But that’s not how it happened. In reality, it was a case of the culture leading and the politicians lagging behind– the Second Continental Congress simply ratified what had already happened.

The first shots in the War for Independence were fired at Lexington and Concord 15 months before the Declaration of Independence was issued. In fact, by the time the political leaders acted, a majority of the British governors had already been forced to flee the new nation.

Still, the actions of the Continental Congress were very significant. In giving voice to the public mood, they articulated a new view about the proper role of government. It was not to serve the king but to secure individual rights and freedoms. And, the people were in charge– governments derive their only “just powers from the consent of the governed.”

As the Congress set about defining these noble ideals, the leaders recognized the importance of building consensus to achieve unity of purpose. It took more than a year of wrangling before most delegates were willing to support a call for independence.

However, a simple majority was not enough for advocates of independence. They wanted consensus. So, they continued debating and addressing concerns until a unanimous vote could be obtained. That happened on July 2, 1776. Twelve colonies voted for independence, and New York abstained. Two days later—on July 4, 1776–Congress approved an edited version of the Declaration of Independence.

The desire to find common ground and unify the colonies was essential for the wartime effort. But it also gave our Declaration of Independence the ability to have an impact across the centuries.

There’s no doubt that the nation has struggled to live up to its noble ideals, especially with regards to slavery and institutionalized racism. But expressing the ideals clearly gave us something to long for and seek to achieve. And reaching for them has helped us to overcome our nation’s deepest failing and original sin.

Within five years of its passage, the ideals expressed in the Declaration led the Massachusetts’ State Supreme Court to outlaw slavery.  Four score years later, Southern states provoked a Civil War because they objected to the noble ideal that we were all free and equal. Blessedly, that rebellion failed.

A century after the Civil War, Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. reminded us that the Declaration was “a promise that all men, yes, black men as well as white men, would be guaranteed the unalienable rights of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.”

King added that “Now is the time to make justice a reality for all of God’s children.” That is our ongoing task as a nation.

Our nation has never been—and never will be—perfect. But our founding ideals remain a noble beacon of hope for all Americans to follow.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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48% Favor Busing to Increase Integration of Public Schools

To increase integration of public schools, 48% of voters favor busing some students to schools outside of their local community. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 52% are opposed to busing. Those totals include 17% who Strongly Favor busing and 21% who are Strongly Opposed.

There is a huge generational divide on this question. Busing is favored by 61% of voters under 50 and opposed by 65% of older voters.

During the recent presidential debates, Senator Kamala Harris made an issue of former Vice President Joe Biden’s opposition to busing. Currently, 59% of Democrats favor busing to increase integration while 41% are opposed. Sixty-seven percent (67%) of black voters favor busing. The concept is supported by 46% of Independents and 37% of Republicans (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that 41% believe white Americans and black Americans generally receive equal educational opportunities. Forty-eight percent (48%) don’t believe that’s true in America today while 11% are not sure.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted July 2-3, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a +/- 3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Limited Knowledge of Democratic Debate Evident in Polling Data

Despite every candidate on stage during the second night of debate raising their hand in support of providing health insurance to illegal immigrants, new polling from the Job Creators Network/ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse reveals that only 27 percent of Americans believe that to be true. Incredibly, 16 percent of respondents think none of the candidates support government-funded health insurance for those crossing the border illegally.

The data also finds that 90 percent of Americans correctly believe some of the Democratic candidates support repealing the 2017 tax cuts legislation.

“The mismatch between what candidates believe and what Americans think they believe is worrisome considering that the country’s electoral system is rooted in having an informed public,” said Elaine Parker, President of Job Creators Network Foundation. “The American public remains unaware of how the policies promoted by this field of candidates represents a march towards socialism.”

This new data confirms that economic confidence has rebounded. 52 percent of adults rated the economy as “excellent” or “good.”

Pollster Scott Rasmussen commented, “There was a notable dip in economic confidence a month ago. But that appears to be behind us. Earlier today, the Labor Department reported that jobless claims are continuing to fall—exhibiting the continued strength of the U.S. economy.”

Economic polling questions are below:

How would you rate the U.S. economy today? Excellent (16%), Good (36%), Fair (32%), Poor (14%), Not sure (3%)

Is the economy getting better or worse? Better (35%), Worse (24%), About the same (36%), Not sure (6%)

Okay, how would you rate your own personal finances? Excellent (15%), Good (38%), Fair (30%), Poor (15%), Not sure (2%)

Are your personal finances getting better or worse? Better (34%), Worse (15%), About the same (48%), Not sure (4%)

Are companies in your area likely to be hiring new workers or laying off existing workers? Hiring new workers (46%), Laying off existing workers (20%), Not sure (34%)

This ScottRasmussen.com/HarrisX poll of 1,066 US adults was conducted July 1-2, 2019. For more information about the Job Creators Network please visit www.JobCreatorsNetwork.com

Posted in Deeper Currents

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66% Consider 4th of July One of Nation’s Most Important Holidays

Sixty-six percent (66%) of American adults consider the 4th of July to be one of our nation’s most important holidays. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 8% consider it to be one of the least important. Twenty percent (20%) think it’s somewhere in between while 6% are not sure.

At some point in their life, 26% of Americans have visited Independence Hall in Philadelphia. Not surprisingly, that number is much higher for those who live nearby–46% of those living in the Northeast have gone to the place where the Declaration of Independence was approved and first read.

As noted in a Number of the Day,  fireworks and cookouts are a huge part of the nation’s birthday party.  So is America’s ongoing commitment to individual freedom. In fact, 64% still believe that freedom is more important than democracy. “That freedom allows us to work together in community and create a better world.”

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Harris Viewed Favorably by 35% of All Voters, Unfavorably by 34%

Following the Democratic debates, Senator Kamala Harris is viewed favorably by 35% of all voters nationwide and unfavorably by 34%. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that another 30% have either never heard of her or don’t know enough to have an opinion.

Among Democrats, Harris is viewed favorably by 59% and unfavorably by 19%.

Those figures are little changed from before the debates. Before the debates, Harris was viewed favorably by 32% of all voters and unfavorably by 31%. Among Democrats, her numbers were 57% positive and 15% negative.

In terms of voter preference, Harris was the biggest winner of last week’s debates.

Former Vice President Joe Biden remains the frontrunner. And he still retains the best favorability ratings among the Democratic hopefuls. Among all voters, he is viewed favorably by 48% and unfavorably by 40%. Prior to the debate, his numbers were 49% favorable and 37% unfavorable.

Among Democrats, Biden’s positive reviews slipped from 77% before the debate to 72% after.

In terms of  Social Media Support, Biden is still on top. Harris has moved into second place.

  • Following the debates, Senator Bernie Sanders is viewed favorably by 44% and unfavorably by 44%. Among Democrats, his numbers are 69% positive and 24% negative.
  • South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg is viewed favorably by 28% of all voters and unfavorably by 24%. Among Democrats, those numbers are 43%/17%.
  • Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is the only other Democrat from the second debate night recognized by more than half of all voters. She gets positive reviews from 23% and negative reviews from 29%.

There was no significant shift in perceptions of Sanders, Buttigieg, or Gillibrand.

Among those in the first night’s debate, Senator Elizabeth Warren and former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julian Castro received modest bounces.

See full crosstab results for pre-debate poll here and for post-debate poll here.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national surveys of 1,000 Registered Voters each were conducted June 26-27, 2019 and June 28-29, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full samples have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Post-Debate Poll Shows Harris Big Winner

The ScottRasmussen.com post-debate poll of the Democratic Primary competition shows Joe Biden still on top with 28% support. He is followed by Bernie Sanders at 14%, Kamala Harris at 11%, and Elizabeth Warren at 8%. Fifteen percent (15%) say they are not sure (see full topline results for all candidates).

No other candidate reached the 5% level of support.

Compared to our pre-debate survey, Harris gained five points and Sanders lost 3. Biden and Warren each lost a point.

These results are based upon a ScottRasmussen.com/HarrisX poll of 909 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents.  This survey was conducted from Friday, June 28 at 7 p.m. Eastern until Sunday, June 30 at noon eastern.

  • For the final wave of the survey (Saturday-Sunday), Biden was at 32% while Sanders and Harris were tied at 13% each. Harris gained ground on each of the last three polling days. Sanders dropped each day.
  • Biden fell to 25% on the Friday-Saturday polling and then bounced back on the next polling day.
  • Warren remained steady throughout.

Among all other candidates, no one gained or lost more than a point. The number saying they would not vote grew from 1% to 3%.

In addition to our public opinion polling, ScottRasmussen.com measures the Social Media Support for each Democratic candidate.  Support is measured both in terms of volume of chatter and how positive or negative the chatter is about a particular candidate. New numbers are released by ScottRasmussen.com each morning at 4:30 a.m. Eastern.

Additional information from the survey will be released tomorrow (July 1) at ScottRasmussen.com. Please sign up for daily email updates. You can also follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Deeper Currents

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POST-DEBATE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY POLL (JUNE 28-30, 2019)

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest.  Please sign up for daily email updates. You can also follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The results shown above are based upon a ScottRasmussen.com/HarrisX poll of 909 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents. It  was conducted June 28-30, 2019. 

Conducted over three days, the survey found Harris and Biden doing stronger near the end of the survey. Additional survey results compared favorability ratings of the candidates pre- and post-debate, head-to-head match-ups, and more.

ScottRasmussen.com provides daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Return to Release/Analysis

See General Election Polling Match-Ups

Daily Job Approval Updates

Daily Generic Ballot Updates

Posted in Top Lines

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Warren, Castro Get Bounces From First Debate Night

Entering the Wednesday night debate, Senator Elizabeth Warren was viewed favorably by 36% of voters nationwide and unfavorably by 39%. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey conducted after that debate found a nice bounce for the presidential hopeful. Among all voters, she is now viewed favorably by 42% and unfavorably by 36%.

Among Democrats, Warren’s favorables increased by eight points, from 60% to 68%. Among Independent voters, Warren went from a net rating of -13 (28% favorable/41% unfavorable) to -1 (33%/34%).

Two other candidates with similar ratings to Warren entering the debate saw no bounce. Former Congressman Beto O’Rourke was viewed favorably by 31% of all voters entering the debate and 30% after. Senator Cory Booker’s positive reviews went from 28% to 30%. Both men have matching levels of unfavorable reviews.

One less recognized candidate–former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julian Castro received a bounce from the debate. His favorables among all voters rose from 19% to 28%. Among Democrats, his positive reviews grew from 32% to 43%. He also gained 13 points among Independent voters.

New York Mayor Bill de Blasio, Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard, Congressman Tim Ryan, and Washington Governor Jay Inslee saw modest improvements but remain far behind Warren in terms of recognition and favorability.

Congressman John Delaney and Senator Amy Klobuchar saw little change in their ratings.

See full crosstab results for pre-debate poll here and for post-debate poll here.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national surveys of 1,000 Registered Voters each were conducted June 25-26, 2019 and June 27-28, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full samples have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Harris Wins Debate Night 2

ScottRasmussen.com, in partnership with EyesOver, has been monitoring the Social Media Support of Democratic presidential hopefuls. Our results are updated daily at 4:30 a.m. Eastern each day.

However, those results are based upon the most recent four days of data.

To provide a look at the debates, the EyesOver team put together a summary view of social media chatter on Thursday night from 9:00 to midnight Eastern time. The table above shows both the volume of the chatter and the positive/negative nature of it. A score above “0” means generally positive chatter. A score below that level means generally negative.

The numbers suggest that Senator Kamala Harris was the “winner” on Thursday night, with high volume of interest and generally positive chatter. Former Vice President Joe Biden appears to be the “loser” based on high volume and more negative chatter.

Coming into the debates, Biden was the clear frontrunner. Our first poll based entirely upon interviews conducted after the debates will be released on Sunday, June 30.

On Wednesday night, Senator Elizabeth Warren was the “winner” and former Congressman Beto O’Rourke the “loser.”

See our four-day rolling average of Social Media Support, updated each morning.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Warren Wins Debate Night 1

ScottRasmussen.com, in partnership with EyesOver, has been monitoring the Social Media Support of Democratic presidential hopefuls. Our results are updated daily at 4:30 a.m. Eastern each day.

However, those results are based upon the most recent four days of data.

To provide a look at the debates, the EyesOver team put together a summary view of social media chatter on Thursday night from 9:00 to midnight Eastern time. The table above shows both the volume of the chatter and the positive/negative nature of it. A score above “0” means generally positive chatter. A score below that level means generally negative.

The numbers suggest that Senator Elizabeth Warren was the “winner” on Thursday night, with high volume of interest and generally positive chatter. Former Congressman Beto O’Rourke appears to be the “loser” based on high volume and more negative chatter.

Coming into the debates, Biden was the clear frontrunner. Our first poll based entirely upon interviews conducted after the debates will be released on Sunday, June 30.

On Thursday night,  Senator Kamala Harris was the “winner” and Former Vice President Joe Biden the “loser.”

See our four-day rolling average of Social Media Support, updated each morning.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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73% Believe Citizenship Question Is Appropriate for Census; 18% Disagree

Seventy-three percent (73%) of voters believe it is appropriate for the U.S. Census Bureau to ask residents if they are citizens of the United States. That question is currently before the Supreme Court and public attitudes are little changed since last November. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that just 18% disagree and believe the citizenship question is inappropriate.

Eighty-nine percent (89%) of Republicans believe that asking about citizenship as part of the Census is appropriate. So to 68% of Independent voters and 64% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

The Census count of the population plays a major role in American political life. Among other things, it determines the number of Congressional Districts in each state. The question of whether non-citizens or illegal immigrants should be included in determining the number of Congressional Districts will likely come before the Supreme Court at some point.

Sixty-two percent (62%) of voters believe that only the number of legal residents should  be used to calculate the  number of Congressional Districts. Thirty percent (30%) believe all residents– including illegal immigrants–should be included.

Eighty percent (80%) of Republicans believe only legal residents should be considered when distributing Congressional Districts. So do 60% of Independent voters. Democrats are evenly divided: 49% believe only legal residents should be considered while 44% believe all residents should be included.

The Trump Administration wants to add the citizenship question to the Census for 2020. Several states and cities are suing the federal government to prevent that question from being asked.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted April 24-25, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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Most Americans Stop Supporting Medicare for All When They Find Out the Details

As last night’s debate revealed, 2020 Democrat Presidential candidates are almost universally in agreement when it comes to support for Medicare for All. This week’s Job Creators Network/ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse polling reveals that 63 percent of Americans support Medicare for All—but 63 percent oppose it when they hear the policy will eliminate private insurance and force Americans to get coverage through the federal government.

The polling also shows that after a two-week dip in consumer confidence about the economy, numbers have rebounded. This week, 55 percent of Americans rated the economy as either “good” or “excellent,” compared to just 48 percent two weeks ago. Those who said the economy was getting better rose from 32 percent three weeks ago to 38 percent this week.

“The health care policy debate continues to heat up, and Americans need to be educated about the reality of socialized medicine,” said Elaine Parker, President of Job Creators Network Foundation. “Forty percent of people think Medicare for All would allow them to keep their existing health insurance—however, when people hear their current insurance would be eliminated, a majority oppose the policy.”

“Our Weekly Pulse numbers track closely to other economic indices, so while The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index showed a dip for June, our more recent survey responses would indicate a quick rebound,” said pollster Scott Rasmussen.

Economic polling questions are below:

How would you rate the U.S. economy today? Excellent (16%), Good (39%), Fair (30%), Poor (11%), Not sure (3%)

Is the economy getting better or worse? Better (38%), Worse (23%), About the same (33%), Not sure (6%)

Okay, how would you rate your own personal finances? Excellent (12%), Good (40%), Fair (31%), Poor (14%), Not sure (3%)

Are your personal finances getting better or worse? Better (33%), Worse 16%), About the same (49%), Not sure (2%)

Are companies in your area likely to be hiring new workers or laying off existing workers? Hiring new workers (48%), Laying off existing workers (16%), Not sure (36%)

For historic data on these economic questions visit: JCNPulse.com

Download full crosstabs of this week’s questions:

This ScottRasmussen.com/HarrisX poll of 1,064 US adults was conducted June 24-25, 2019. For more information about the Job Creators Network please visit www.JobCreatorsNetwork.com

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54% Think Biden Is Likely Democratic Nominee

Fifty-four percent (54%) of Registered Democrats and Democratic leaning Independents think Joe Biden is likely to win the Democratic presidential nomination. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 18% see Bernie Sanders as the likely nominee, 7% say Elizabeth Warren, 4% Kamala Harris, and 3% Beto O’Rourke.

The survey was completed immediately prior to the first night of the Democratic debates (see full crosstab results).

In addition to our public opinion polling, we measure the Social Media Support for each Democratic candidate.  Support is measured both in terms of volume of chatter and how positive or negative the chatter is about a particular candidate. New numbers are released by ScottRasmussen.com each morning at 4:30 a.m. Eastern. By that measure, Sanders is currently number one followed by Biden and Warren.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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A Lot to Celebrate on the Fourth of July

Sixty-six percent (66%) of Americans believe that the Fourth of July is one of our nation’s most important holidays. To celebrate, 62% of Americans will watch fireworks, 54% will enjoy a cookout with family and friends, 19% will attend a parade, 13% will go to the beach, and 11% will sing patriotic songs.

Only 6% will read the document that started it all—the Declaration of Independence. And, to be honest, many probably mix up the Declaration and the Constitution. But the vast majority continue to embrace the core ideals expressed in our nation’s founding document. Ninety-four percent (94%) agree with a sentiment sometimes defined as the American Creed: Every American should have the right to live their own life as they see fit, so long as they respect the rights of others to do the same.

Obviously, we still have problems to overcome– 74% of voters believe our political system is badly broken and 67% believe our political leaders don’t respect the voters they are supposed to serve. Eighty-seven percent (87%) believe corruption is widespread in the federal government. In fact, just 27% believe the federal government primarily serves the interest of the American people. More than twice as many–60%–believe it primarily looks out for its own interests.

But, despite these problems, Americans are optimistic. Fifty-eight percent (58%) believe that our nation’s best days are still to come. That optimism is found among rural, urban, and suburban communities. It is shared by white voters, black voters, and Hispanic voters.

To some who live and breathe politics, that makes no sense. They wonder how people look at our nation’s toxic and dysfunctional political system and are still optimistic. The answer is that there’s more to a nation than politics. Sixty-five percent (65%) recognize that positive change in America generally comes from outside of the political system.

Additionally, voters keep politics in perspective. Sixty percent (60%) agree that politics has a role to play in governing our society, but it is not the lead role. Instead, 77% agree with the following statement: “For America to succeed, we need an all-hands-on-board approach that unleashes the creativity and resources of individual Americans, families, community groups, churches, entrepreneurs, small businesses, local governments, and more.”

Eighty-nine percent (89%) believe that volunteering for community activities has a bigger positive impact on the nation than engaging in political campaigns. Ninety-four percent (94%) believe that giving to charity is a better use of money than giving to a political campaign.

Not only that, voters live out that belief with the use of their time. Over the past year, the single most common political activity was displaying a political sign or bumper sticker. Even though that involves very little personal involvement, just 15% have engaged politically in that way.

During that same time frame, a larger number have volunteered to help the poor (31%), volunteered at a church or religious event (28%), given blood (23%), or volunteered with a school organization (22%). In other words, Americans would rather give blood than get involved in politics.

So, this year on the Fourth of July, let’s celebrate the fact that Americans have been blessed with a proud legacy of individual freedom. That freedom allows us to work together in community and create a better world.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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Pre-Debate Polling Data Shows Biden Still on Top

The ScottRasmussen.com pre-debate poll of the Democratic Primary competition shows Joe Biden still on top with 29% support. He is followed by Bernie Sanders at 17%, Elizabeth Warren at 9%, and Kamala Harris at 6%. Fifteen percent (15%) say they are not sure (see full topline results for all candidates).

Additional survey details will be released at 5:00 p.m. Eastern today (Wednesday).

These results will form the baseline for a debate tournament launched by PredictIt.

Starting Friday, June 28, we will launch a post-debate survey asking the same question and using the same methodology. Topline results from that survey will be posted at ScottRasmussen.com no later than 7:00 p.m. Eastern on Sunday, June 30.

PredictIt will compare this survey with the baseline numbers to determine tournament outcomes.

We may release interim results on Friday, June 28.

In addition to our public opinion polling, we measure the Social Media Support for each Democratic candidate.  Support is measured both in terms of volume of chatter and how positive or negative the chatter is about a particular candidate. New numbers are released by ScottRasmussen.com each morning at 4:30 a.m. Eastern.

If you want to participate in the PredictIt tournament, send the word “debate” to tournaments@predictit.org to register and receive more details.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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Pre-Debate Democratic Primary Poll (June 24-26, 2019)

Return to Release/Analysis

See General Election Polling Match-Ups

Daily Job Approval Updates

Daily Generic Ballot Updates

This data is  based upon a ScottRasmussen.com/HarrisX poll of 892 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents. It  was conducted June 24-26, 2019.

Posted in Top Lines

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26% Support Military Action Against Iran

Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters support U.S. military action against Iran at this time. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 39% oppose military action and 34% are not sure.

Republicans support military action by a 57% to 28% margin. Democrats are opposed by a 53% to 19% margin. Among Independent voters, 25% would like to see military action, 36% disagree, and 39% are not sure (see crosstab results).

In the dispute over a U.S. drone shot down by Iran, 48% believe the U.S. assertion that the drone was over international waters. However, 24% of voters believe Iran’s claim that it was in Iranian airspace. Twenty-eight percent (28%) are not sure.

Republicans overwhelmingly believe the U.S. position (70% to 11%). Independent voters lean in that direction (45% to 26%). However, Democrats are evenly divided: 35% believe Iran, 34% believe the U.S., and 31% are not sure.

Eighty-five percent (85%) of all voters believe it’s likely that Iran was responsible for explosions on a pair of oil tankers last week. And, 87% are concerned about the possibility that Iran may soon possess nuclear weapons.

Data released earlier this year showed that 64% believe Iran is an enemy of the United States.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted June 21-22, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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38% Believe School Districts Should Be Required to Educate Children of Illegal Immigrants; 41% Disagree

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters believe local school districts should be required to provide a free public-school education for the children of  illegal or undocumented immigrants. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 41% disagree and 20% are not sure.

In 1982, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that local school districts must provide such educational services to the children of illegal or undocumented immigrants. That ruling ( Plyer vs. Doe) arose out of a 1975 Texas law designed to “deny enrollment in their public schools to and withhold any state funds for the education of children who were not ‘legally admitted’ to the country.”

Democratic voters agree with the Court’s decision by a 55% to 22% margin. Republicans oppose it 62% to 23%. Among Independent voters, just 33% agree with the Court ruling while 44% disagree (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that:

  • If an illegal/undocumented immigrant is seriously hurt in an automobile accident, 79% believe local hospitals be required to provide the injured person with emergency medical care. Only 11% disagree.
  • Twenty-six percent (26%) believe illegal/undocumented immigrants should be eligible for health care subsidies through Obamacare. Fifty-four percent (54%) disagree and 20% are not sure.
    • Most Republicans and Independent voters don’t believe illegal/undocumented immigrants should be eligible. Democrats are  evenly divided.
  • Twenty-three percent (23%) believe illegal/undocumented immigrants should be allowed to work for state or local governments. Sixty-five percent (65%) disagree.
  • Only 8% think illegal/undocumented immigrants should be allowed to buy a gun.

Half the survey respondents were asked about whether services should be provided to illegal immigrants. The other half were asked about undocumented immigrants.

Eight-out-of-ten voters believe that legal immigration is good for the United States. At the same time, eight-out-of-ten believe that illegal immigration is bad. We release new polling data on  immigration at least twice each month.

Data released recently showed that 55% of voters favor a plan to have government officials remove millions of illegal or undocumented immigrants from the United States. Another survey found little support for a Municipal Identification plan implemented by South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted June 20-21, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Voters See Economy, Health Care and National Security As Most Important Issues

Seventy-four percent (74%) of voters consider the economy to be a Very Important voting issue. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 74% also consider health care to be that important and 71% believe National Security is that important. No other issue in the survey topped 70%. These issues have consistently been ranked as the most important in each of our monthly surveys (see topline trends).

Two other issues were deemed Very Important by more than six-out-of-ten voters: Fighting Terrorism (65%) and Taxes (61%).

The survey found that Immigration and Job Creation are considered Very Important by 59% of voters. Somewhat lower on the list are Civil Rights (56%), Gun Laws (54%), Fighting Poverty (53%), Abortion (48%), Environmental Issues (47%) and Economic Inequality (46%).

There are significant partisan differences in priorities.

For Republicans, the top five issues are the Economy (83%), National Security (82%), Fighting Terrorism (80%), Immigration (72%), and Taxes (69%).

For Democrats, the top five are Health Care (81%), Civil Rights (71%), the Economy (66%), Environmental Issues (64%), and Fighting Poverty (64%).

Among Independent voters, the top issues are the Economy (76%), Health Care (70%), National Security (70%), Taxes (61%), Fighting Terrorism (56%), and Job Creation (56%).

ScottRasmussen.com provides weekly update on economic confidence. We provide updates ate least twice monthly on health care and  immigration,

See Full Crosstab Results for the current survey.

Data released earlier showed that Republicans are trusted more than Democrats on the issues of the economy, national security and fighting terrorism. On immigration, among all voters, 34% trust Democrats while 33% prefer the GOP.  However, among those who consider immigration to be the most important issue, 60% trust Republicans more while 16% trust the Democrats.

On the issue each voter considers most important, 35% of voters trust Democrats more than Republicans while 32% place more trust in Republicans.

The current survey found that immigration and job creation are considered Very Important by 59% of voters. Somewhat lower on the list are Civil Rights (56%), Gun Laws (54%), Fighting Poverty (53%), Abortion (48%), Environmental Issues (47%) and Economic Inequality (46%).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 16-17, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample. It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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After Traffic Violations, 63% Think Cops Should Be Allowed to Ask for Proof of Legal Residence

If a police officer stops someone for a traffic violation, 63% of voters nationwide believe they should be allowed to ask for proof that the driver is in the United States legally. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 28% disagree and 9% are not sure.

Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Republicans believe officers should be allowed to ask for proof of legal residence while just 10% disagree. Independent voters are also supportive by a 63% to 30% margin. However, Democrats are evenly divided. Forty-five percent (45%) of those in Nancy Pelosi’s party think officers should be allowed to make such a request while 42% disagree (see crosstab results).

The request for proof of legal residence is supported by 69% of rural voters, 64% of suburban voters, and 54% of urban voters.

The Pew Research Center has found that traffic violations lead to a large number of arrests by the Immigration and Customs Enforcement Agency (ICE).  Some activists are calling for new measures to prevent traffic violations by illegal immigrants from leading to deportation.

Data released earlier showed that 30% favor issuing drivers licenses to illegal or undocumented immigrants (New York recently became the 12th state to do so).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted June 20-21, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Democratic Primary Polling Schedule Surrounding the First Debate

ScottRasmussen.com will be conducting a poll of Registered Democrats and Democratic leaning Independents starting Monday evening, June 24, at approximately 7:00 p.m. Eastern. Among many other questions, we will ask each respondent “Which of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for in a Democratic primary?” The list will include all candidates who have qualified for this week’s debates plus a few others.

We expect to complete between 850 and 900 interviews on this topic by noon Eastern on Wednesday, June 26. Results will be posted between 2:00 p.m. and 4:00 p.m. Eastern on June 26. It is possible that we might initially release just the topline numbers at that time, with analysis and crosstabs posted no later than 8:00 p.m. Eastern that day. A link to the results will be posted on the home page at ScottRasmussen.com.

These results will form the baseline for a debate tournament launched by PredictIt.

On Sunday, June 30, we will release results from a post-debate survey asking the same question. That survey will be conducted starting Friday evening, June 28, at approximately 7:00 p.m. We again expect to complete between 850 and 900 interviews on the topic and will finish by noon Eastern on Sunday June 30. Topline results from that survey will be posted at ScottRasmussen.com no later than 7:00 p.m. Eastern on June 30. Crosstabs and analysis may be released later that evening.

PredictIt will compare this survey with the baseline numbers to determine tournament outcomes.

In between the baseline survey and the survey used to determine tournament outcomes, ScottRasmussen.com may release additional information related to the Democratic Presidential Primary. That could include favorability ratings for candidates or possibly interim results from nightly tracking. We will finalize our plans and announce our anticipated release schedule prior to the first debate on Wednesday.

In addition to our public opinion polling, we measure the Social Media Support for each Democratic candidate.  Support is measured both in terms of volume of chatter and how positive or negative the chatter is about a particular candidate. New numbers are released by ScottRasmussen.com each morning at 4:30 a.m. Eastern.

If you want to participate in the PredictIt tournament, send the word “debate” to tournaments@predictit.org to register and receive more details.

As always, the field work for our surveys will be conducted by HarrisX (see Methodology).

Our previous survey of the Democratic Primary Field was conducted in late May.

Scott Rasmussen’s latest column suggested that “The Democratic Presidential Debates Will Shake Up the Race.”

Posted in Deeper Currents

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34% Believe Tariff Threat Convinced Mexico to Make Better Deal, 34% Disagree; Unchanged

In recent weeks, the Mexican government has stepped up activities to help stop the flow of illegal immigrants into the United States. However, that action has had no impact on public perceptions of the agreement reached between President Trump’s Administration and the Mexican government.

Thirty-four percent (34% ) of voters believe the threat of tariffs led to a better deal for the United States. However, 34% disagree and 32% are not sure. Those numbers are virtually identical to those collected ten days ago.

The fact that new facts didn’t change anyone’s mind highlights just how polarized the public dialogue has become. It’s similar to an event earlier this year involving Covington High School students. Opinions were formed instantly, but didn’t change as significant amounts of new information became available. Liberal voters continued to believe the students behaved inappropriately while conservatives said it was the media who did so.

Prior to the agreement with the Mexican government, opinion was evenly divided. Fifty percent (50%) favored the tariff threat and 50% opposed it. Most voters recognize that tariffs can create economic harm but also recognize the issue is about more than economics.

Republicans, by a 62% to 14% margin, believe the tariff threats helped. Democrats, by a 50% to 17% margin, disagree. Independent voters are more evenly divided–28% say they helped, 36% say they didn’t, and 36% are not sure (see crosstab results).

The survey also found that 86% believe it’s important for Mexico to help the United States fight illegal immigration. Fifty-four percent (54%) believe it is likely to help. Eight-out-of-ten voters believe that illegal immigration is bad for the United States.

Looking ahead, if the Mexican government does not help the United States reduce illegal immigration, 42% believe the United States should again threaten to impose tariffs. Thirty-six percent (36%) disagree.

In that case, 74% of Republicans think the tariff threat should be issued while 53% of Democrats do not. Among Independent voters, 34% support another tariff threat and 41% do not.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters have followed news about the agreement with Mexico at least somewhat closely.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters favor imposing tariffs on goods imported from China. That level of support remained unchanged after the conclusion of the Mexico agreement.

Public reaction to China the tariffs suggest that, for many voters, there is more at stake than economic considerations.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new polling data on immigration at least twice a month. We also release new data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest (sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email). 

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

You can follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted June 19-20, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Vast Majority of Americans Support Move to Expand Health Care Options Through HRA’s

While most Americans aren’t closely following recent news surrounding Health Reimbursement Accounts, 83% support the idea

On June 14th, the Trump administration expanded access to Health Reimbursement Accounts (HRA)—employer-based tax-free accounts that help employees cover medical expenses. This week’s Job Creators Network/ScottRasmussen.com Weekly Pulse polling reveals how closely American’s are following health care news, as well as their opinion on HRA’s.

Our polling shows that 70 percent of Americans have not followed recent news surrounding HRA’s, however, even without following closely, when prompted with a question asking if they oppose or favor HRA’s, 83 percent of Americans were in favor.

“The Trump Administration has estimated that access to Health Reimbursement Accounts will provide as many as 11 million American workers the ability to afford health plans that better fit their needs,” said Elaine Parker, President of Job Creators Network Foundation. “Small businesses struggle with the cost of providing healthcare to their employees, and the expansion of HRA’s will help to offset that cost.”

This week’s data also reveals that 69 percent of Americans agree that if an employer does not provide or can’t afford health insurance, employees should have the option to use HRA’s to purchase health coverage.

“Often times, small businesses only offer one insurance option due to the price of having more options, but HRA’s will provide the opportunity for employees to choose their plan from the individual market that better suits them,” said, pollster Scott Rasmussen. “Our polling showed that 60 percent of Americans find the ability to access multiple insurance options important, and HRA’s help make that happen.”

Economic polling questions are below:

How would you rate the U.S. economy today? Excellent (14%), Good (38%), Fair (33%), Poor (12%), Not sure (3%)

Is the economy getting better or worse? Better (34%), Worse (24%), About the same (35%), Not sure (7%)

Okay, how would you rate your own personal finances? Excellent (13%), Good (39%), Fair (31%), Poor (15%), Not sure (2%)

Are your personal finances getting better or worse? Better (31%), Worse 18%), About the same (47%), Not sure (3%)

Are companies in your area likely to be hiring new workers or laying off existing workers? Hiring new workers (50%), Laying off existing workers (16%), Not sure (34%)

For historic data on these economic questions visit: JCNPulse.com

Download full crosstabs of this week’s questions: https://www.jobcreatorsnetwork.com/app/uploads/2019/06/JCN-Crosstabs-June-17-18-2019.xlsx

This ScottRasmussen.com/HarrisX poll of 1,095 US adults was conducted June 17-18, 2019. For more information about the Job Creators Network please visit www.JobCreatorsNetwork.com

Posted in Deeper Currents

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73% Believe Members of Congress Are Overpaid; 5% Say They Deserve More

Seventy-three percent (73%) of voters believe that Members of Congress are overpaid. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 5% hold the opposite view and believe that the legislators are underpaid. Twenty-two percent (22%) say their pay is about right.

Half (50%) of those who believe the legislators deserve more pay underestimate how much they are currently being paid.

Eighty percent (80%) of Republicans believe the elected politicians are paid too much. That view is shared by 74% of Independent voters and 65% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

Overall, the survey found that 26% think Members of Congress are paid less than the current level of $174,000 a year while 15% believe they are paid more. Twenty-nine percent (29%) estimate the right level and 29% are not sure.

The Washington Post has a different take on this issue. The paper’s editorial board asked “How can we expect Congress to deal with real issues if it can’t even give itself a raise?”

Many in Washington think people hate Congress but love their own representative. However, just 25% believe their own representative in Congress is the best person for the job. Only 17% believe most Members of Congress care what their constituents think.

Fifty-six percent (56%) believe their own representative in Congress probably trades votes for campaign contributions. Fifty-three percent (53%) believe they are likely to trade votes for bribes.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of voters support Term Limits.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted May 2-3, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

 

Posted in Poll Results

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25% Say U.S. Constitution Needs A Major Overhaul

Twenty-five percent (25%) of voters believe the United States Constitution requires a major overhaul. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 35% say no changes are needed and 40% see a need for minor changes.

If changes are made, 61% are looking for changes that place further limits on government. Eighty-one percent (81%) of voters favor term limits on Members of Congress. And, 52% favor repealing the 16th Amendment to end the federal income tax.

Data released earlier showed that 74% believe our political system is badly broken. They overwhelmingly believe the problem is caused by the failure to adhere to the Constitution. Fifty-two percent (52%) see the federal government as a threat to individual freedom. Despite the political failures, however, 58% believe America’s best days are still to come.

Thirty-two percent (32%) of Democrats want a major overhaul of the Constitution along with 25% of Independents and 17% of Republicans. Fifty-four percent (54%) of black voters want major changes. So do 29% of Hispanic voters and 18% of white voters (see crosstab results).

Sixty percent (60%) of voters are at least somewhat supportive of calling a Convention of the States to recommend Amendments. That includes 15% who Strongly Favor the idea.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 13-14, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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The Democratic Presidential Debates Will Shake Up the Race

The Democratic Presidential Primary debates are scheduled to begin next Wednesday and Thursday with ten candidates competing each night.

Joe Biden enters the debates as the nominal frontrunner followed by Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris, and Pete Buttigieg. There’s an excellent chance that things will look much different following the debates.

To understand just how much things can change, it’s worth looking back at the Republican primary campaign four years ago at this time. An NBC/WSJ poll listed the GOP frontrunners as Jeb Bush (22%), Scott Walker (17%), Marco Rubio (14%), and Ben Carson (11%). Walker dropped out of the race within three months, and the others were all gone before a majority of delegates were selected.

At the time, Donald Trump attracted support from just 1% of Republican primary voters. The poll also found that 66% of Republican voters said they could not support him. But dramatic changes occurred once the debate season began. Candidate Trump captured attention during those debates, dominated the media coverage, and kept winning until he ended up in the White House.

While there are no Democrats in the race with a personality like Donald Trump, it’s reasonable to assume that the race will get shaken up once the debates begin. That’s especially true since the Democratic National Committee has taken steps to quickly reduce the number of candidates eligible for the debates.

The first two rounds will have room for 20 candidates. Tougher standards will probably cut that number in half by the third debate in September. As a result, many of today’s Democratic candidates could swiftly go the way of Bush, Walker, Rubio, and Carson.  It’s likely that some of today’s top tier candidates will meet that fate.

ScottRasmussen.com will carefully monitor the changes. We will get the latest numbers in a poll ending at noon eastern on the day of the first debate. We will post those numbers before the debate and keep tracking the race all the way through the following weekend. That will give us a sense of whether there are any clear winners or losers in round one of the debate competition.

Before the polling is completed, however, there are a couple of ways to get a sense of who’s heading up or down. One is the Social Media Support level for each candidate released by ScottRasmussen.com every morning. A second is to watch the PredictIt Markets.

PredictIt, a real money prediction market, is launching a tournament based upon ScottRasmussen.com’s polling data. In real-time you’ll be able to see whether market participants think Biden, Sanders, Warren, Harris or any of the others are heading up or down. Who will be the frontrunner when the debating is finished? Who will be number two?

And then, when the polling comes out, we’ll know who the best forecasters were. If you’d like to learn more, visit PredictIt.org. Or, send the word “debate” to tournaments@predictit.org to register and receive more details.

And, as always, keep the changing prospects of the candidates in perspective. In 2012, Republicans seemed to have a new frontrunner after every debate. And, there’s a long way to go until the first votes are cast in Iowa. But, for Democrats, Election 2020 is about to begin.

Posted in Scott's Columns

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55% Want Government to Remove Millions of Illegal Immigrants

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters favor a plan to have government officials remove millions of illegal or undocumented immigrants from the United States. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 45% are opposed.

President Trump suggested this policy in a tweet on Monday.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Republicans favor this policy along with 53% of Independent voters. Sixty-six percent (66%) of Democrats are opposed.

The data was collected using a split sample approach. Half the survey respondents heard the question asked with the term “illegal immigrants” and half with “undocumented immigrants.” While there were some differences based upon wording, they were fairly modest and results are reported here on an aggregated basis (see crosstab results).

Other findings from the survey:

  • Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters have a favorable opinion of the Immigration and Customs Enforcement Agency (ICE). Forty-seven percent (47%) have an unfavorable view.
  • Thirty-six percent (36%) want to abolish ICE while 64% disagree.
  • Thirty percent (30%) favor issuing drivers licenses to illegal/undocumented immigrants (New York recently became the 12th state to do so).

Given four options, 47% of voters said the top priority for immigration policy should be stopping the flow of illegal/undocumented immigrants from entering the country. Twenty-five percent (25%) think it should be granting legal resident status to illegal/undocumented immigrants currently living in the United States. Another 16% want to prioritize the deportation of illegal/undocumented immigrants currently living in the United States. Finally, 12% think policy should focus first on granting sanctuary to anyone who wants to enter and live in the United States.

A majority of both Republican and Independent voters believe that stopping illegal immigration should be the top priority. A plurality of Democrats say it should be granting legal resident status to illegal/undocumented immigrants currently living in the United States.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of voters believe that legal immigration is good for the United States. Seventy-seven percent believe that illegal immigration is bad. We release new polling data on  immigration at least twice each month.

Data released recently found little support for a Municipal Identification plan implemented by South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 18-19, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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52% Say Federal Government A Threat To Individual Freedom; 25% Disagree

Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters today believe the federal government is a threat to individual freedom. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 25% disagree and 22% are not sure.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of Independent voters see the federal government as a threat along with 52% of Republicans and 51% of Democrats. Fifty-two percent (52%) who approve of President Trump’s performance see the federal government as a threat. So do 52% of those who disapprove (see crosstab results).

Seventy-four percent (74%) of voters believe our political system is badly broken. Among those voters, 85% believe that the problem results from the political system is not adhering to the Constitution. Despite this, 58% of voters are optimistic about the nation’s future.

Data released earlier showed that 53% of voters believe Political Corruption is a crisis in the United States. Another 36% believe it is a significant problem but not a crisis. Eighty-seven percent (87%) believe corruption is widespread in the federal government. Solid majorities believe there is also corruption in state (70%) and local (57%) government.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 13-14, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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58% Believe America’s Best Days Are Still to Come; Despite 74% Saying Political System Badly Broken

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters nationwide believe that America’s best days are in the future while 42% believe they have already come and gone. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found this optimism in every measured demographic group.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Republicans believe our nation’s best days are still to come, a view shared by 54% of Democrats and 50% of Independent voters. That optimism is expressed by 63% of suburban voters, 58% of urban voters, and 53% of rural voters. Fifty-nine percent (59%) of white voters believe America’s best days are still to come. So do 58% of Hispanic voters and 53% of black voters (see crosstab results).

This optimism exists despite the fact that 74% believe America’s political system is badly broken. Just 13% disagree with that assessment. Again, these views are widely shared. Among voters under 35, 64% believe the political system is badly broken. That increases to 83% among senior citizens.

These views are consistent with the primary themes of Scott Rasmussen’s latest book. In The Sun is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will Not, Rasmussen explains why he is extremely pessimistic about politics but optimistic about the nation. Like most Americans, he recognizes that positive change in America generally comes from outside of the political system.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 13-14, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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84% Have Favorable Opinion of Free Markets; 41% Say Same About Socialism

Eighty-four percent (84%) of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of free markets. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that total includes 87% of Republicans, 85% of Independents, and 81% of Democrats.

Forty-one percent (41%) have a favorable opinion of Socialism. That includes 60% of Democrats, 33% of Independents, and 23% of Republicans. However, data released earlier shows that most who like the term Socialism do not think of it as an economic ideology.

Voters strongly believe that Free Markets are better than Socialism when it comes to promoting economic growth (55% to 12%), creating quality jobs (52% to 13%),  and giving everyone a chance to succeed (44% to 19%).

Voters give Free Markets a more modest advantage on helping people in poverty reach the middle class (37% to 22%), creating a fair society (35% to 25%), and reducing poverty (33% to 24%).

Voters are close to evenly divided on which system will be better at reducing health care costs: 30% say free markets and 26% socialism. However, it’s worth noting that there is very little support for requiring all Americans to get health insurance through a government program.

Republicans tend to believe free markets are better for achieving each of these goals. Independents, while a bit less enthusiastic, are more likely to see free markets as the better option for everything but reducing health care costs. On that, they are evenly divided (24% say free markets, 25% socialism).

Democrats see Free Markets as better than Socialism when it comes to promoting economic growth and creating quality jobs. They are evenly divided as to which approach is best for giving everyone a chance to succeed. However, Democrats also are more likely to see Socialism as better for reducing health care costs, creating a fair society, helping those in poverty reach the middle class, and reducing poverty (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,003 Registered Voters was conducted June 15-16, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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Mayor Pete’s Municipal ID Program for Illegal Immigrants Turns Off Most Voters

NBC News recently ran a feature wondering why South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg doesn’t talk more about a “big accomplishment” of his tenure–a municipal ID program for illegal immigrants. Most likely it’s because “Mayor Pete” recognizes that it is likely to hurt his campaign at least as much as it might help.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that voters are evenly divided on a proposal to issue municipal identification cards to illegal immigrants who cannot obtain a driver’s license or other government ID card. Fifty-two percent (52%) like the idea and 48% do not.

A split sample approach was used for this research. Half the sample was asked about providing such a program for illegal immigrants and the other half about undocumented immigrants. The results were not all that different and the combined responses are presented here (see full question wording and crosstab results).

However, the South Bend plan was designed to prevent the names of illegal immigrants from being released to immigration authorities, To accomplish that goal, the municipal identification cards were issued by private organizations rather than a government agency. Only 37% support this aspect of the plan while 63% are opposed.

Support falls further– to 31%–when voters are asked if government agencies should be required to accept these privately issued ID cards as legal identification. Sixty-nine percent (69%) oppose that provision of the plan.

As for the presidential campaign, just 20% of voters would be more likely to support a candidate who made such a proposal. Fifty-two percent (52%) are less likely to support that candidate. Even among Democrats, just 32% would be more likely to support such a candidate while 33% are opposed and 35% are not sure. Among Hispanic and Latino voters, the numbers are 29% more likely, 40% less likely, and 30% not sure.

Polling data consistently shows that eight-out-of-ten voters believe legal immigration is good for the country while eight-out-of-ten believe that illegal immigration is bad.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 11-12, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample.. It has a +/-3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

 

Posted in Poll Results

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57% Favor Keeping the Hyde Amendment; 30% Opposed

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters favor keeping the Hyde Amendment that prevents federal funds from being used to pay for most abortions. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 30% want to overturn that law while 12% are not sure.

Republicans overwhelmingly favor keeping the Hyde Amendment in place by an 86% to 8% margin. Independents are supportive by a 53% to 32% margin. As for Democrats, 47% want to end the ban on federal funding for abortion while 39% want to keep it in place (see crosstab results). Pressure from activists recently caused Democratic frontrunner to renounce his long-standing support for keeping the Hyde Amendment.

Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters under 35 would like to see the Hyde Amendment overturned. Solid majorities of older voters take the opposite view.

The survey also asked about the topic in a different way, without mentioning the Hyde Amendment. Seventy-eight percent (78%) of voters said that government provided healthcare should pay for abortions only in limited circumstances (47%) or never (31%). That position reflects current law or possibly a tightening of restrictions. Just 22% believe that such healthcare plans should always pay for abortions.

Data released earlier shows that 40% of voters believe it is too easy to get an abortion these days while 18% believe it is too hard. Seventeen percent (17%) think the current rules are about right while 24% are not sure.

Other data shows that voters reject extreme positions in the abortion debate… extreme positions promoted by advocates on both sides of the political aisle. Just 14% of voters think abortion should be illegal in the case of rape and only 15% say the same about incest. On the other side of the debate, only 17% of voters support that position.

As for fetal heartbeat laws, Americans are evenly divided.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 1,001 Registered Voters was conducted June 13-14, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a +/-3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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58% Support Tariffs on Goods From China, Unchanged From Month Ago

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters favor having the United States impose new tariffs on goods imported from China. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 42% oppose such tariffs. These totals include 22% who Strongly Favor the tariffs and 14% who are Strongly Opposed.

These numbers are virtually unchanged from a month ago. In between the two surveys, President Trump threatened to impose tariffs on Mexico before reaching a last minute agreement with that nation. Mexico agreed to provide additional help in fighting illegal immigration. Voters are evenly divided as to whether or not the tariff threat led to a better agreement for the United States.

On a partisan basis, they are supported by 80% of Republicans and 59% of Independents. They are opposed by 62% of Democrats (see crosstab results).

Voters continue to believe that China has used trade to take advantage of the United States. Sixty-five percent (65%) think that is true. Only 12% do not. Twenty-three percent (23%) are not sure.

Interestingly, while 58% favor higher tariffs, just 34% think they will be good for the United States. This gap between support for tariffs and the belief that they will be good suggests that many voters see these negotiations as a matter of fairness rather than transactional economics.

A plurality of voters–37%- believe the impact from tariffs will be bad for the U.S. Five percent  (5%) believe they will have no impact while 23% are not sure.

Forty percent (40%) of voters say President Trump has done a good or an excellent job in his trade negotiations with China. Another 35% rate his performance as poor. Twenty-four percent (24%) take the more neutral option of fair.

However, these results appear to have more to do with preconceived notions of the president rather than a response to his trade policy. Among those who Approve of the president’s job performance overall, 74% rate his China negotiations as good or excellent. Just 4% say poor. As for those who Disapprove overall, 75% say he’s done a poor job dealing with China. Just 4% say good or excellent.

Overall, 78% believe free trade is good for the United States. Eighty percent (80%) believe that free trade helps create jobs.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

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The national survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted June 12-13, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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The Twin Pillars of Health Care Reform

Seven-out-of-ten voters rate their health insurance coverage and the medical care they receive as good or excellent. Despite that, only 34% give our nation’s health care system positive reviews.

Not surprisingly, therefore, health care reform has consistently been a top voter concern election after election.

Broadly speaking, voters have two concerns. Defensively, they want to make sure that Congress doesn’t make a bad situation worse. That’s why 78% of voters want any reform to specifically provide protection for people with pre-existing conditions.

Beyond that, however, voters want more control over their own health care decisions. And, in practical terms, that means they need more choices. Seventy-four percent (74%) would like the option of buying into the health insurance plan offered to government employees.

On a broader basis, 65% think health insurance companies should be required t