Scott Rasmussen's Number of the Day

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Dates on Deck

StateTypeDate
StateTypeDate
GeorgiaRunoffs (if necessary)2018-06-25
ColoradoPrimaries2018-06-26
MarylandPrimaries2018-06-26
North CarolinaRunoffs (if necessary)2018-06-26
OklahomaPrimaries2018-06-26
South CarolinaRunoffs (if necessary)2018-06-26
UtahPrimaries2018-06-26
Rhode IslandFiling Deadline2018-06-27
Scotts Columns

Political leaders often talk as if the right to vote is our most powerful tool for holding government accountable. Voting is important, but its impact is limited by an electoral process that protects incumbents and offers voters’ few meaningful options.Fortunately, as the Seattle City Council learned recently, there are ...



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As of 10:00 a.m. on Friday, June 22, Predictit.org shows that the Democrats have a 24% chance of winning the U.S. Senate in November. The odds are determined by people placing bets for or against various election scenarios.Looking at the race-by-race assessment, the betting market sees the Republicans as ...





Recent Status Changes

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DateTypeStateDistrictRacePrevious StatusCurrent Status
DateTypeStateDistrictRacePrevious StatusCurrent Status
06-14-2018SenateOhioOhio (Brown v Renacci)Lean DemLikely Dem
06-18-2018SenateTexasTexas (O'Rourke v Cruz)Strong RepLikely Rep
06-18-2018GovernorAlaskaAlaska (Walker v TBD)Tilt IndToss Up
06-18-2018GovernorPennsylvaniaPennsylvania (Wolf v TBD)Lean DemLikely Dem
06-18-2018GovernorVermontVermont (TBD v Scott)Likely RepStrong Rep
06-08-2018HouseCaliforniaCA-49California - CA-49 (Levin v Harkey)Tilt DemLean Dem
06-08-2018HouseNew JerseyNJ-02New Jersey - NJ-02 (Van Drew v Grossman)Tilt DemLean Dem
06-21-2018HouseWest VirginiaWV-03West Virginia - WV-03 (Ojeda v Miller)Likely RepLean Rep