Biden: 43% Approve, 52% Disapprove… Build Back Better Plan Unlikely to Help

Forty-three percent (43%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. The latest Scott Rasmussen survey finds that 52% disapprove and 5% are not sure. The numbers reflect a slight improvement from the president’s lowest approval ratings.

Those totals include just 21% of voters who Strongly Approve of the president’s performance while 39% Strongly Disapprove.

For most of September and the first half of October, the president’s Job Approval averaged 45%. However, over the past eight surveys, an average of 43%  have voiced approval for President Biden. Six of those eight surveys have found the president’s ratings within two points of the average.

The legislation being considered in Congress is unlikely to boost the president’s numbers partly because voters have largely tuned out. Just 19% recognize both that the infrastructure bill passed and that the Build Back Better plan has not.

The lack of voter awareness about his legislative efforts may, in fact, be a blessing for the president. At a time when just 9% believe that the worst of inflation is behind us, 56% believe the president’s plan will make things worse by increasing inflation.

Beyond that, the Build Back Better plan–called the Big Government Socialism Bill by Republicans– has a number of extraordinarily unpopular provisions.

Beyond the political problems with the Build Back Better plan, another challenge facing the president is that pessimism about the pandemic is growing again. However, pessimistic voters have wildly different concerns. Only half (51%) are worried about ongoing health issues. Thirty-six percent (36%) are worried about more government restrictions and mandates.

These results help explain why 49% of voters believe relaxing vaccine mandates, mask requirements, and social distancing guidelines would be good for the economy. Just 30% disagree.

Other data shows that 59% of voters favor relaxing vaccine mandates to ease supply chain issues. Additionally, 61% favor relaxing vaccine mandates for police officers, fire fighters, and health care workers.

These findings, along with other data, provide a sense that support for vaccine mandates is soft. Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters now say they favor the mandates. That’s down six points over the past two months.

Finally, despite the heated rhetoric on both sides, just 13% see Kyle Rittenhouse as a hero. A larger number–25%– say that he is a murderer. However, a solid plurality of 43%  believe Rittenhouse did stupid things but is not a murderer.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Biden is performing his job?

21%    Strongly approve

22%    Somewhat approve

13%    Somewhat disapprove

39%    Strongly disapprove

5%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on November 22-23, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Job Approval Hits New Low at 40%

Forty percent (40%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. That’s down three points from three weeks ago and down seven points from mid-October. The latest Scott Rasmussen survey finds that 55% disapprove and 4% are not sure.

Those totals include just 17% of voters who Strongly Approve of the president’s performance while 39% Strongly Disapprove.

For most of September and the first half of October, the president’s Job Approval averaged 45%. However, over the past five surveys, an average of 43%  have voiced approval for President Biden. The current survey is the lowest level yet recorded for the president in a Scott Rasmussen survey.

Looking ahead, 60% of voters say the economy is Very Important to their voting decision. Fifty-three percent (53%) say that both COVID and Election integrity are Very Important.

Lagging behind in voter priorities are Gun Laws (49%), Climate Change (45%), Economic Inequality (39%), and the January 6 assault on the U.S. Capitol (38%).

Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters believe economic policy should focus on encouraging growth rather than fighting economic inequality. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 27% disagree and 12% are not sure.

Forty-four percent (44%) believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. Another 29% have ongoing concerns about health related issues while 20% have ongoing concerns about government restrictions. Overall, that means nearly two-thirds of voters (64%) believe either that the worst is behind us or fear ongoing government restrictions.

Republicans continue to hold a 41% – 40% edge on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

The president’s low job approval ratings come as the vast majority of Americans experience sharp inflation (77%) and supply chain issues (63%).

Fifty-seven percent (57%) believe inflation is a tax on the poor. Just 23% disagree. Additionally, at a time when the president wants Congress to pass a social welfare spending bill, 59% of voters nationwide believe increased government spending leads to inflation. Only 14% disagree.

The legislation–called the Build Back Better plan by Democrats and the Big Government Socialism bill by Republicans– is still being negotiated by Democratic factions in Congress. One point of contention between progressive Democrats and more moderate Democrats is Medicare.  Among voters, 53% believe it is more important to provide funding that would protect the existing Medicare program rather than expanding Medicare by adding new benefits.

Saule Omarova, President Biden’s nominee to serve as Comptroller of the Currency., has advocated  eliminating all private banks in the United States and having the federal government provide banking services for everyone. Just 23% of voters support that idea.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Biden is performing his job?

17%    Strongly approve

23%    Somewhat approve

16%    Somewhat disapprove

39%    Strongly disapprove

5%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on November 8-9, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden’s Approval Stabilizes: 47% Approve, 48% Disapprove

Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. That’s up two points since  late September but down a point from mid-September. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 48% disapprove and 5% are not sure.

While the president’s numbers have stabilized, opinions are stronger on the negative side. Just 22% of voters Strongly Approve of the president’s performance, down seven points from a week ago and the lowest level yet measured. Thirty-five percent (35%)Strongly Disapprove.

The president’s approval ratings are underwater on five key issues facing the nation– Immigration (-18), Taxes and Government Spending (-13), the Economy (-5), National Security (-4), and Healthcare (-1). The president received a net positive approval rating only on his handling of COVID (+8).

It is perhaps not surprising that the president receives such negative marks on taxes and government spending as his budget plan is being debated in Congress.

The plan includes some popular provisions but many other that are problematic for voters.

Beyond the budget battles, 67% of voters consider the situation at the border to be a crisis. Just 22% say Biden has done a good or excellent job dealing with it.

Perhaps a deeper problem for the president is that his plan envisions Washington as the engine of change. However, 64% of voters believe positive change in America begins outside the political system.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Biden is performing his job?

22%    Strongly approve

25%    Somewhat approve

13%    Somewhat disapprove

35%    Strongly disapprove

5%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 14-16, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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Biden Approval Underwater on Immigration, Taxes & Gov’t Spending, Economy, National Security & Healthcare

President Biden’s approval ratings are underwater on five key issues facing the nation– Immigration (-18), Taxes and Government Spending (-13), the Economy (-5), National Security (-4), and Healthcare (-1).

A Scott Rasmussen national survey found the president receiving positive approval only on his handling of COVID (+8).

The president’s low ratings are consistent with other data showing that voters give him low marks for handling the situation at the Southern border. The border situation is considered a crisis by 67% of voters.

Only 38% of voters approve of way the president is addressing taxes and government spending. Fifty-one percent (51%) disapprove. This may be particularly significant during Congressional debate over what Democrats call the Build Back Better plan and Republicans call the Big Government Socialism bill.

Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Democrats approve of the way the president is handling Taxes and Government Spending. Disapproval comes from 77% of Republicans and 56% of Independents.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question:

Please let me know if you approve or disapprove of the way President Biden is handling each of the following issues:

The economy

19%    Strongly approve

25%    Somewhat approve

14%    Somewhat disapprove

35%    Strongly disapprove

7%    Not sure

COVID

26%    Strongly approve

25%    Somewhat approve

13%    Somewhat disapprove

30%    Strongly disapprove

6%    Not sure

Immigration

18%    Strongly approve

25%    Somewhat approve

13%    Somewhat disapprove

34%    Strongly disapprove

10%    Not sure

National security

20%    Strongly approve

23%    Somewhat approve

15%    Somewhat disapprove

29%    Strongly disapprove

12%    Not sure

Healthcare

15%    Strongly approve

22%    Somewhat approve

17%    Somewhat disapprove

38%    Strongly disapprove

9%    Not sure

Taxes and government spending

17%    Strongly approve

21%    Somewhat approve

13%    Somewhat disapprove

38%    Strongly disapprove

11%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 11-13, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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Biden: 45% Approve; Strong Approval at 18%, Down 7 Over Past Week

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. That’s down three points from a week ago. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 48% disapprove and 6% are not sure.

Just 18% of voters Strongly Approve of the president’s performance, down seven points from a week ago and the lowest level yet measured. Thirty-four percent (34%)Strongly Disapprove.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of voters consider the situation at the border to be a crisis and just 22% say Biden has done a good or excellent job dealing with it.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters disapprove of the president’s decision to remove American troops from Afghanistan before all Americans were evacuated. Twenty-one percent (21%) give the president good marks for handling that withdrawal.

On the legislative front, voters are evenly divided when given a choice between passing or rejecting both the bi-partisan infrastructure legislation and the $3.5 trillion reconciliation package: 40% would prefer to pass both bills while 38% would like to see both rejected. Voters are also evenly divided as to whether Biden’s policies are good or bad for the middle class.

The two spending bills include some popular provisions but 77% of voters expect the final package will also include “Inappropriate” provisions inserted by lobbyists.

  • One such provision would provide tax credits of up to $50,000 for print journalists. Just 19% of voters favor that provision.
  • Another provision that may be included would require banks to notify the IRS of every transaction of $600 or more made by every American. Just 18% like that idea while 73% are opposed.

Voters also overwhelmingly believe that higher corporate tax rates will lead to higher prices for consumers.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 24-25, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

42% Say Biden Policies Good for the Middle Class; 39% Say Bad

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters believe President Biden’s policies are good for middle class Americans while 39% say they are bad.

Not surprisingly, a Scott Rasmussen national survey found a huge partisan divide. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Democrats believe Biden’s policies are good for the middle class while 69% of Republicans take the opposite view. Among Independents, 31% say the policies are good for the middle class while 35% say bad.

It is interesting to note that upper income Americans are far more likely than others to see Biden’s policies as good for the middle class.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 22, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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21% Approve of Biden’s Handling of Afghanistan Withdrawal

Twenty-one percent (21%) of voters give President Biden good or excellent marks for handling the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that figure is down ten points from the beginning of September.

Just 42% of Democrats now say the president did a good or excellent job. That’s down 18 points from the beginning of the month.

Only 13% of Independents and 7% of Republicans give the president such positive reviews on handing the withdrawal.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters disapprove of the president’s decision to remove American troops from Afghanistan before all Americans were evacuated. That’s up four points from earlier in the month. Only 33% even somewhat approve of the president’s decision.

Seventy-four percent (74%) think it’s likely that Americans left behind in Afghanistan will eventually be discovered by the Taliban and tortured or killed.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 24-25, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

67% Say Situation at Southern Border a Crisis; 22% Give Biden Good Marks for Dealing With It

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of voters believe the situation at the Southern border is a crisis. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 17% disagree.

At the same time, just 22% think the Biden Administration is doing a good or excellent job dealing with the situation. That’s down nine points since August and 14 points from 36% in late May.

Forty-two percent (42%) of Democrats give the Biden team good marks. Just 13% of Independent voters and 9% of Republicans agree.

Overall, 44% of voters are at least somewhat confident in the ability of the Biden Administration to keep America safe. Forty-eight percent (48%) are not.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 24-25, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

50% Believe Things Would Be Better Today If Trump Had Won; 39% Say Worse

Fifty percent (50%) of voters believe things would be better today if Donald Trump had won the 2020 presidential election. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 39% believe things would be worse and 12% who don’t think things would be all that different.

The total includes 34% who say things would be much better and 29% who say much worse.

Eighty-five percent (85%) of Republicans believe things would be better while 68% of Democrats hold the opposite view. Among Independents, 43% say better and 39% worse.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of White voters believe things would be better if Trump had won. So do 53% of Hispanic voters and 26% of Black voters.

These results may highlight some challenges resulting from President Biden’s call for a vaccine mandate. While the proposal is modestly popular overall,  26% of Black Democrats believe individuals should decide for themselves whether to get vaccinated. Additionally, 60% of Hispanic voters have a close friend or relative who will get vaccinated against their will because they can’t afford to lose their job.

President Biden has gotten very low marks for handling the situation at the southern border of the United States. On a related national security topic, most voters disapprove of the president’s decision to withdraw U.S. troops from Afghanistan before all Americans were evacuated.

Overall, a plurality of voters would prefer a candidate who supports Trump-like policies.

President Biden has had a challenging few months and his job approval ratings have slipped.

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*  Suppose that Donald Trump had won the 2020 election. Would things today be better, worse, or about the same?

34%      Much better

16%      Somewhat better

10%      Somewhat worse

29%      Much worse

6%       About the same

6%       Not sure

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 16-18, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 263 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

60% Think US Gov’t Could Go Bankrupt Within 10-15 Years

Sixty percent (60%) of Registered Voters believe it is at least somewhat likely that the U.S. government will go bankrupt in the next 10-15 years. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 30% believe bankruptcy is unlikely and 11% are not sure.

The totals include 33% who consider the government going bankrupt to be Very Likely. At the other extreme, 12% say it is Not at All Likely.

Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Republicans consider the government going bankrupt to be at least somewhat likely. That view is shared by 57% of Independent voters and 53% or Democrats.

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* How likely is it that the United States government will go bankrupt within the next 10-15 years?

33%      Very likely

27%      Somewhat likely

18%      Not very likely

12%      Not at all likely

11%      Not sure

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 16-18, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 263 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

Biden Job Approval Stabilizes: 48% Approve, 48% Disapprove

Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 48% disapprove and 4% are not sure. That’s essentially unchanged from a week ago.

Those totals include 25% who Strongly Approve and 35% who Strongly Disapprove.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters  at least somewhat favor the president’s vaccination mandate order. At the same time, however, 54% of voters nationwide believe vaccine requirements should be determined in the private sector.

How can a majority think decisions should be made in the private sector at the same time a majority supports Biden’s top-down approach?

It turns out that just 36% of those who favor the president’s plan believe the federal government should make such decisions. Another 20% of those who support the president’s mandate believe the decision should be made at the state or local level. At the same time, 27% believe the decision should be made either by individual companies or workers.

These results suggest that support for the president’s plan is driven more by partisan loyalty rather than the plan itself.

Adding to the softness of support for the president’s vaccine mandate is the fact that just 33% of voters believe he has the legal authority to order private companies to impose a vaccine requirement. Even among those who favor the plan, just over half (54%) believe Biden has the legal authority to impose it.

Related data shows that 39% of voters have relatives or close friends who will get vaccinated against their will because they don’t want to lose their job. That total includes 60% of Hispanic voters.

Additionally, 66% of voters are close to resuming their normal life in terms of going out socially, traveling, and interacting with others in person.

Still, pessimism about the pandemic remains high. Just 28%believe the worst is behind us. Forty-five percent (45%) believe the worst is yet to come. That matches the most pessimistic assessment since the vaccines rolled out in January.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 16-18, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 263 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

 

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Biden Job Approval Rebounds Following Speech: 47% Approve, 48% Disapprove

Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 48% disapprove and 5% are not sure.

The survey, conducted in the two days following the president’s speech announcing new COVID mandates, shows a modest bounce for the president. His approval numbers are up five points from earlier in September and up one from mid-August.

The biggest gains for the president came from voters who prefer traditional Republican policies. Prior to the speech, 26% of these voters approved of the president’s performance. That jumped 14 points to 40% in the latest survey.

However, the president’s numbers improved only two points among Independents.

The current totals include 29% who Strongly Approve and 36% who Strongly Disapprove. These numbers also indicate a bounce for the president.

The president’s speech increased voter enthusiasm for the midterm elections across the board. Those who prefer Trump-like policies remain more motivated to vote than other segments of the population.

The survey found little change on the Generic Congressional Ballot. The parties remain tied among Registered Voters while the GOP has a slight edge among motivated voters.

Data released earlier showed that Democratic voters see supporters of Donald Trump and the unvaccinated as the biggest threats facing the nation. Democrats were less likely to express serious concern about the Taliban, China, or Russia (37%).

Among Republicans and Independents, the top three threats are the Taliban, Defund the Police Activists, and China.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 10-11, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 239 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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Vice President Harris: 46% Favorable 44% Unfavorable

Vice President Kamala Harris is viewed favorably by 46% of the nation’s voters and unfavorably by 44%. A Scott Rasmussen national survey also found that the four top Congressional leaders are all “underwater” in their ratings

  • Nancy Pelosi: Favorable 39% Unfavorable 50%
  • Kevin McCarthy: Favorable 28% Unfavorable 35%
  • Chuck Schumer: Favorable 36% Unfavorable 39%
  • Mitch McConnell: Favorable 31% Unfavorable 48%

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 8, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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31% Given Biden Good or Excellent Marks for Handling Afghanistan Withdrawal

Thirty-one percent (31%) of voters give President Biden good or excellent marks for handling the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 46% say he did a poor job. In between are rate the president’s performance as just fair.

Sixty percent (60%) of Democrats say the president did a good or excellent job. Just 18% of Independents and 13% of Republicans agree.

The poor marks for the president come despite the fact that 64% of voters approve of the decision to withdraw from Afghanistan. However, most voters (54%) disapprove of removing American troops before all Americans were evacuated. Seventy-four percent (74%) think it’s likely that Americans left behind in Afghanistan will eventually be discovered by the Taliban and tortured or killed.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 2-5, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 151 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

 

Biden Job Approval Drops to 42%

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 52% disapprove and 5% are not sure.

Biden’s approval rating is down four points two weeks ago, nine points from two months ago and down 13 points from three months ago.

As the president’s ratings decline, 46% of Democrats have come to believe that things would be better today if Senator Bernie Sanders had become president instead of Joe Biden. Just 10% of Democrats disagree and believe things would be worse.

The current totals include 23% who Strongly Approve and 41% who Strongly Disapprove. These results are by far the most negative assessments yet measured for the president.

The president does earn rave reviews from voters with a postgraduate degree. Among those with a masters or a doctorate, 68% offer their approval while only 30% disapprove.

Among all other voters, just 36% approve and 58% disapprove. This includes voters with a bachelor’s degree, some college, and no college.

The gap between those with a postgraduate degree and the rest of the nation is found on a variety of issues. For example, among all voters, 34% agree that “The only way to save the planet is for the government to impose strict mandates and regulations on the way people live and the amount of energy they use.” Most (57%) disagree.

But things look different among those with high levels of formal education. Most voters with a postgraduate degree (55%) agree that, to save the planet, there is a need for strict government rules on lifestyles and energy use. However, by a 61% to 30% margin, all other voters reject that view.

It is likely that the president’s numbers will rebound somewhat as the withdrawal from Afghanistan moves further behind us. However, there is no way to tell at this moment how fully his approval ratings will recover. Presidents Obama and Trump both spent most of their first term with Job Approval ratings below 50%.

In addition to Afghanistan and the Southern border, pessimism about the pandemic is growing again. Just 25% of voters believe the worst is behind us. That’s down 31 points over the past three months and the lowest level of optimism measured since the vaccines became available.

On the policy front, 57% of voters believe that shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 2-5, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 151 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

 

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46% of Dems Think Things Would Be Better If Sanders was President; 10% Think Things Would Be Worse

Forty-six percent (46%) of Democrats believe that things would be better today if Senator Bernie Sanders had become president instead of Joe Biden. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that only 10% of Democrats disagree and believe things would be worse with a President Sanders. Thirty-seven percent (37%) believe things would be about the same.

Among all voters, 29% think things would be better, 24% say worse, and 37% about the same.

The survey also found that 41% of voters nationwide think it’s likely Sanders could have defeated President Donald Trump in the 2020 election. However, 46% consider it unlikely and 13% are not sure.

Those figures include 19% who think it’s Very Likely Sanders could have defeated Trump and 22% who say Not at All Likely.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 26-29, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 236 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

Biden Approval Down to 46% Amidst Concerns About Afghanistan, Immigration, and the Pandemic

Forty-six percent (46%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 46% disapprove and 7% are not sure.

Biden’s approval rating is down five points from a month ago and down nine points from two months ago.

The current totals include 22% who Strongly Approve and 35% who Strongly Disapprove. That is by far the most negative assessments yet measured for the president.

One major challenge for the president is that just 45% of voters have confidence in the ability of the Biden Administration to keep America safe. Following the chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan, 49% of all voters believe that our enemies view us as weaker than before. Just 21% disagree.

As a result, 59% think a major terrorist attack in the U.S. is somewhat or very likely within the next year.

The situation at the Southern border may also be a factor in the general lack of confidence. Just 28% of voters believe the federal government today is seriously trying to secure the border and reduce illegal immigration. There is a strong belief that many of those crossing the border illegally are drug dealers, human traffickers, and more.

Adding to the president’s burden, pessimism about the pandemic is growing again. Just 25% of voters believe the worst is behind us. That’s down 31 points over the past three months and the lowest level of optimism measured since the vaccines became available.

On the policy front, 57% of voters believe that shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 215 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

45% Confident in Biden Administration to Keep Nation Safe; 48% Are Not

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters have at least some confidence in the ability of the Biden Administration to keep America safe. A Scott Rasmussen survey found that 48% do not.

Those totals include 20% who are Very Confident in the ability of the Biden team to keep us safe and 32% who are Not at All Confident.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Democrats express confidence in the Administration. That confidence is shared by 29% of Independent voters and 17% of Republicans.

The situation at the Southern border may be a factor in the general lack of confidence. Data released earlier showed that 58% of voters believe that drug cartels have more control of the Southern border than the U.S. government.

Just 28% of voters believe the federal government today is seriously trying to secure the border and reduce illegal immigration. There is a strong belief that many of those crossing the border illegally are drug dealers, human traffickers, and more.

When given a choice, 42% of all voters see China as a bigger threat than either Russia or Afghanistan. Of those three nations, 18% see Russia as the biggest threat while 16% point to Afghanistan. Following the chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan, 49% of all voters believe that our enemies view us as weaker than before. Just 21% disagree.

Data released earlier showed that 59% think a major terrorist attack in the U.S. is somewhat or very likely within the next year.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 215 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

On Immigration, Voters Prefer Trump Over Biden

Regardless of their view on other issues, 45% of voters believe President Trump had better immigration policies than President Biden. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 40% prefer the Biden approach.

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Republicans prefer Trump while 73% of Democrats like the Biden approach. Among Independents, Trump is favored by a 42% to 21% margin.

These results come at a time when just 31% of voters believe President Biden is doing a good job handling the situation at the Southern border.

Sixty percent (60%) of voters believe the growing number of illegal immigrants to be an invasion of the United States. But they’re not sure which side the federal government is on.  Just 28% of voters believe the federal government today is even trying to secure the border and reduce illegal immigration.

If the federal government does not make an effort to secure the border, 61% believe state governments should be allowed to take over and secure their state border. Just 21% are opposed to state action.

There is a strong belief among voters that many of those crossing the border illegally are drug dealers, human traffickers, and more.  Data released earlier showed that 58% of voters believe that drug cartels have more control of the Southern border than the U.S. government.

Half of all voters see illegal immigration as a crisis, an assessment the Biden Administration rejects.

Other recent polling data showed that 32% of voters believe all, or just about all, illegal immigrants living in the United States should be granted amnesty and allowed to remain in the country. Forty-two percent (42%) are opposed.

Nineteen percent (19%) of voters believe that U.S. border patrol agents re too harsh in dealing with illegal immigrants. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 33% believe they are too lenient.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen from August 10-11, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

31% Give Biden Good/Excellent Marks for Dealing With the Southern Border

When it comes to the situation at the Southern border of the United States, 31% of voters say the Biden Administration is doing a good or excellent job. That’s down five points from 36% in late May.

A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 38% say the presidents’ team is doing a poor job with the border. In between are 19% who rate the performance as fair. Eleven percent (11%) are not sure.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Democrats give the president positive marks for handling the border. Just 17% of Republicans and 17% of Independents agree.

The survey also found that 75% of voters believe legal immigration is good for the United States. Just 12% believe it is bad and only 15% believe illegal immigration is good for the nation.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen from August 10-11, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Just 15% of Unvaccinated Believe Fauci Makes Recommendations Based On Science

Just 15% of unvaccinated voters believe Dr. Anthony Fauci makes his policy recommendations based primarily on scientific data and research. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 48% think his recommendations are based primarily upon his own personal and political views.

The survey also found that just 20% of unvaccinated voters have a favorable opinion of Fauci. Fifty-two percent (52%) of the unvaccinated have an unfavorable view of the presidential advisor.

Trust in Fauci is even lower among those who say they will never get vaccinated.

In terms of encouraging more people to get vaccinated, these numbers suggest that Dr. Fauci is not an effective messenger.

Among all voters, 51% have a favorable opinion of Fauci while 32% hold an unfavorable view. That’s little changed from earlier surveys.

Just under half (45%) believe Fauci makes recommendations based upon science while 30% think they are primarily personal opinions.

Fauci remains a politically polarizing figure. Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Democrats believe he makes recommendations based upon science and research. Just 28% of Republicans and 22% of Independents agree.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen from August 10-11, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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68% Support Candidate Who Supports Photo ID Requirements; 19% Prefer Candidate Who Voted to Ban Use of Photo ID

Given a choice, 68% of voters prefer a Congressional candidate who believed that all voters should be required to show photo ID before casting a ballot. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 19% would cast their ballot for a candidate who voted to ban the use of photo ID requirements.

The candidate supporting photo ID requirements is preferred by 70% of White voters, 68% of Hispanic voters, and 56% of Black voters.

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Republicans prefer the candidate supporting photo IDs. Independents, by a 62% to 10% margin, agree. Among Democrats, 50% prefer the candidate supporting photo ID while 32% take the opposite view.

This could be a significant challenge for Democrats in the 2022 midterm elections. The “For the People Act” effectively banned the use of photo ID requirements for elections. Virtually all Democrats in Congress have voted for that legislation.

Advocates of the  “For the People Act,” argue that the bill would not technically ban photo ID requirements. In their view, the legislation simply provides a workaround for people who don’t have photo IDs. Anybody would be allowed to vote by providing a sworn, written statement to an election official stating that they are eligible to vote. However, only 19% of voters consider that an acceptable substitute. Seventy-three percent (73%) are opposed.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 5-7, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 236 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

36% Trust Dems on Election Reform, 32% Trust GOP, 22% Neither

When it comes to reforming election practices, a Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 36% of voters trust Democrats, 32% trust Republicans and 22% don’t trust either party.

Among Independent voters, 62% don’t trust either of the major political parties.

Most voters with a postgraduate degree strongly trust Democrats more than Republicans. However, a modest plurality of all other voters places more trust in the GOP.

The survey also found that 59% believe the states should return to the regular voting laws that existed before the pandemic. Just 26% disagree. The Department of Justice recently issued guidance suggesting that a return to the pre-pandemic rules would not always be seen as legal.

Eighty-three percent (83%) of Republicans favor a return to pre-pandemic rules. Democrats are evenly divided: 40% favor that approach and 43% do not.

Among Independent voters, 46% favor a return to pre-pandemic rules while 25% are opposed.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 5-7, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 236 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Confidence Collapse Continues: Just 28% Believe The Worst of the Pandemic is Behind Us

The stunning collapse in confidence that the pandemic is behind us continues. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 28% of voters now believe we’ve put the worst behind us. That’s down six points from a week ago, down nine points from two weeks ago and down 28 points over the past two months.

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters now believe the worst is yet to come. That’s up seven points from a week ago, twelve points from two weeks ago, and up 25 points since late May.

These numbers are the most pessimistic measured since December of last year. Beginning with the rollout of the vaccines in January, confidence continually grew for five months.

By a 62% to 17% margin, government employees believe the worst is yet to come. Private sector workers are more evenly divided.

Those who say they will never get vaccinated are a bit less pessimistic than other voters. However, even those voters, by a 44% to 36% margin, tend to think the worst is yet to come.

Republicans are now evenly divided as to whether the worst is behind us or yet to come. A majority of Democrats and solid plurality of Independents fear the worst is in the future rather than the past.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 29-31, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 231 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Generic Ballot: Democrats 41% Republicans 38%

If the election were held today,  41% of Registered Voters would vote for the Democrat from their Congressional District while 38% would vote for the Republican. Those numbers are unchanged from a month ago. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 7% would vote for some other candidate while 14% are not sure.

In early May, the Democrats were up by just a single point (41% to 40%).  The month before, President Biden’s party enjoyed a four-point advantage, 43% to 39%.

Democrats lead by a wide 60% to 29% margin among voters with a postgraduate degree. Among all other voters, the numbers are evenly divided: 40% favor the GOP and 38% favor the Democrats.

Democrats have a 57% to 25% advantage among Urban voters. Republicans lead among Suburban and Rural voters.

The Democratic advantage has held steady despite a collapse in confidence about the pandemic. In late May, 56% believed the worst of the pandemic was behind us. That optimism has now fallen to 34%. That’s a 22 point decline over the past two months. Confidence is now at the lowest level since the vaccines became available. In fact, for the first time since January, a plurality (38%) believes the worst is yet to come.

Looking back over the past year or so, 55% of voters agree that “Despite good intentions, shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good.” Just  38% disagree and 7% are not sure.

On this topic, there is a racial divide within the Democratic Party. White Democrats, by a 65% to 32% margin, reject the idea that lockdowns did more harm than good. Black Democrats and Other Democrats are evenly divided.

During the pandemic, government officials exercised extraordinary power over the lives of individual Americans. The survey also found that 62% are worried that many government officials will try to continue exercising such power over individual Americans.

On this topic, there is also a divide within the Democratic Party. White Democrats, by a 57% to 39% margin, are not worried about government officials keeping too much power. Black Democrats, by a 64% to 27% margin, are worried.

Other recent surveys found that 84% of voters are confident they have access to Medical Care for serious health issues. Additionally,81% are at least somewhat satisfied with their choice of doctors.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 22-24, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 271were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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56% Prefer Candidate Who Supports Abortion During First Trimester Only

Given a choice, 56% of voters would support a candidate who said abortion should be allowed only during the first three months of a pregnancy rather than at any point during the pregnancy. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 23% hold the opposite view and 21% are not sure.

Republicans prefer the candidate supporting abortion rights during the first trimester only by a 69% to 13% margin. Independent voters hold the same view by a 50% to 16% margin.

Democrats are more evenly divided: 46% prefer the candidate who supports allowing an abortion only during the first three months while 35% would vote for the candidate allowing an abortion at any time during the pregnancy.

Data released earlier showed that 36% of voters believe it is too easy to get an abortion in America today. Twenty-six percent (26%) believe it is too hard.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen July 12-13, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Plurality of Voters Prefer Trump-like Policies

Given a choice between four presidential candidates with equal skills and temperament, 32% would prefer a candidate who supported policies like those of former President Trump. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 21% would like a candidate who supported policies like those of Senator Bernie Sanders; 21% favor a traditional Democrat; and, 15% favor a traditional Republican.

Voters under 45 are more likely to support Sanders-like policies. Older voters are more likely to support Trump-like policies.

Among urban voters, a plurality prefer Sanders-like policies. In the suburbs and rural areas, Trump-like policies are the most popular.

Among those with a college degree, a narrow plurality prefers policies like those of Senator Sanders. A solid plurality of those without a college degree prefer policies like those of President Trump.

It’s important to remember that the question focused on the policy preference assuming that the candidates had equal skills and temperament. As a result, it cannot be assumed that someone who supports policies like those of Trump or Sanders would automatically support Trump or Sanders as a candidate.

We have been asking this question regularly since last October. Despite the election results and everything that has happened since, these attitudes have remained remarkably stable. The current results are similar to those found in April.

  • These numbers show 47% favoring one of the Republican leaning options while 42% prefer a Democratic leaning set of policies. In every update of the survey, the partisan split has remained essentially even. That’s not surprising given that we have had nine consecutive presidential elections where neither candidate has received more than 53% of the vote. It’s the longest such stretch in American history.
  • On the Republican side, the number preferring Trump-like policies is consistently two to three times as large as the number favoring traditional GOP policies. However, younger GOP-leaning voters are more evenly divided.
  • On the other hand, the two wings of the Democratic party are always just about evenly divided.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 8-10, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 231 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Biden Approval Slips to 51%, Down 4 From Month Ago

Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 41% disapprove and 7% are not sure.

Biden’s approval rating is down four points from a month ago and the lowest level of approval yet measured.

The current totals include 29% who Strongly Approve and 32% who Strongly Disapprove. This is the first time the number who Strongly Disapprove has topped the number who Strongly Approve.

The dynamics are very similar to the pattern from President Obama’s tenure. Both presidents started with high levels of approval that slowly drifted downward. For both, the Strong Disapproval first topped Strong Approval in early summer.

Obama’s approval rating drifted down to the high 40s by the fall and remained there for most of his first term. It will be interesting to see whether Biden’s numbers continue to follow that trajectory.

Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Democrats approve of Biden’s performance while 79% of Republicans disapprove. Among independents 41% approve and 37% disapprove.

When it comes to approval of Biden, there is little difference between those who prefer Bernie Sanders-like policies and those who would rather see traditional Democratic polices.

However, there is a wide gap between those who support policies like those of former President Trump and those who prefer traditional Republican policies.

  • Among those who prefer Trump-like policies, just 13% offer Biden a positive review while 85% give the current president a negative assessment.
  • Among those who prefer traditional Republican policies, 40% approve of Biden’s performance while 53% disapprove.

The number supporting Trump-like policies is much higher than the number preferring a traditional Republican approach. Among Democrats, the competing Establishment and Populist wings are roughly the same size.

Other recent survey data shows that 28% say  28% Say President Biden has been better than  they expected. Twenty-seven percent (27%) say he has bee worse than expected. Looking to Congress, 47% approve of Democrats in Congress while 41% say the same about Republicans in Congress.

One area of significant weakness for Biden has been immigration and the situation at the Southern border. Part of the problem may be that the president refuses to treat it as a serious crisis. Among all voters, Overall, 50% see illegal immigration as a crisis, comparable to the number who see gun violence in that manner.

Other data shows that 70% of voters believe immigration and border control to be a national security issue. Additionally, 60% see the growing number of illegal immigrants to be an invasion of the United States. Not only that, 58% believe drug cartels have more control of the border than the U.S. government.

Moving forward, this site will continue to update the president’s job approval rating every month or so.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 8-10, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 231 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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47% Approve of Dems in Congress; 41% Say Same of GOP

Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters nationwide approve of the way Democrats in Congress have performed their role. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 41% approve of the performance of Republicans in Congress.

Those totals include 20% who Strongly Approve of the Democrats and 11% who Strongly Approve of the Republicans.

Among those who support Trump-like policies, 72% approve of the Republicans in Congress. As for those who support traditional Republican policies, 61% provide such a positive review.

Among those who support Sanders-like policies, 75% approve of the Democrats in Congress. Among those who prefer traditional Democratic policies, 86% offer their approval.

It is interesting to note that traditional Republicans are somewhat less pleased with Republicans in Congress than the more populist voters who prefer Trump-like policies. The reverse dynamic is found among Democrats–their populist voters offer somewhat less approval.

In tracking going back to last October, the number preferring Trump-like policies is consistently two to three times as large as the number favoring traditional GOP. On the other hand, the two wings of the Democratic party are always just about evenly divided.

Among Independent voters, 31% have no opinion of either the Republicans or Democrats in Congress. Twenty-seven percent (27%) approve of the Democrats and 21% say the same about Republicans.

Voters with a college degree are more likely to approve of Democrats rather than Republicans in Congress. The opposite is true for those without a college degree.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 29-30, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.   Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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28% Say Biden Better Than Expected, 27% Say Worse

Twenty-eight percent (28%) of voters say that, so far, President Biden has been better than they expected. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that a nearly identical number–27%– hold the opposite view. Forty percent (40%) say he’s been about what they expected and 5% are not sure.

Not surprisingly, there is a partisan difference. By a 45% to 6% margin, Democrats say the president has exceeded their expectations. However, by a 51% to 12% margin, Republicans think he has been worse than they feared.

Most Independent voters (56%) say either that Biden is about what they expected or they don’t know enough to have an opinion.

The fissures within each political party are somewhat visible in this data. Among those who prefer Traditional Republican policies, 20% say Biden is better than they expected. Among those who prefer Trump-like policies, only 9% hold that view.

On the flip side, just 3% of those who favor traditional Democratic policies say the president has been worse than expected. However, among those who prefer Sanders like policies, 10% have been disappointed.

It will be interesting to see if these divides grow over time.

Other recent polling showed that just 15% of voters believe the country will be more unified in a year. Thirty-two percent (32%) expect it to be more polarized.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 29-30, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.   Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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59% Approve of Supreme Court Performance, 25% Disapprove

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters approve of the way the U.S. Supreme Court is performing its job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 25% disapprove and 16% are not sure.

Those totals include 17% who Strongly Approve and 7% who Strongly Disapprove.

These figures are consistent with many years of polling data. The Supreme Court is consistently viewed more favorably than any other branch of government.

Approval comes from 65% of Democrats and 61% of Republicans.

As on many topics, independent voters are less engaged: 40% approve and another 40% are not sure.

Sixty-three percent (63%) of Hispanic voters approve along with 62% of Black voters and 59% of White voters.

Voters who prefer the policies of former President Donald Trump or Senator Bernie Sanders offer modestly lower opinions of the Court performance than those who prefer traditional Republican or Democratic policies.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 29-30, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.   Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Generic Ballot: Democrats 41% Republicans 38%

If the election were held today,  41% of Registered Voters would vote for the Democrat from their Congressional District while 38% would vote for the Republican. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 6% would vote for some other candidate while 14% are not sure.

In early May, the Democrats were up by just a single point (41% to 40%).  The month before, President Biden’s party enjoyed a four-point advantage, 43% to 39%.

A big wild card in the midterm elections will be independent voters. Currently, 19% of them favor the GOP and 11% would vote for a Democrat. However, 70% would either vote for some other candidate (23%) or are undecided (47%). As always, undecided voters have two decisions to make. The first is whether or not to vote, the second is for whom.

Scott Rasmussen’s most recent column looks at why voters distrust government experts. One stunning figure in the column is that 55% of voters believe that letting government bureaucrats set rules without approval of Congress or voters is a major threat to democracy.

One major example of the underlying distrust can be found in reaction the pandemic lab-leak theory. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters think it is at least somewhat likely that US Government Officials actively tried to cover-up that theory.

Other recent polls show that 32% say their Personal Finances are getting better while 28% have the opposite view. Thirty-three percent (33%) of voters believe most executives of giant corporations favor Democrats. Twenty-nine percent (29%) think they prefer the GOP.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 22-24, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 205 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

48% Have Favorable Opinion of Fauci

Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of Dr. Anthony Fauci. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 37% have an unfavorable view of him while 15% are not sure.

Perceptions of Fauci have declined a bit since March. At that time, 52% had a favorable opinion of him.

The totals include 28% with a Very Favorable opinion of Fauci and 25% with a Very Unfavorable opinion.

The numbers reflect a wide partisan divide that has been found on many topics related to the pandemic. Fauci is viewed favorably by 77% of Democrats but unfavorably by 63% of Republicans. Those dynamics have changed little since March.

There has, however, been a shift in perceptions among Independent voters. In March, a modest plurality had a favorable opinion of Fauci. Now, 29% offer a favorable assessment while 42% have a negative view.

Recent surveys have shown that 66% of voters believe it it likely the coronavirus originated in a Wuhan, China laboratory. Looking back, 49% believe many states and cities overreacted to the pandemic. Thirty-eight percent (38%) disagree.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 10-12, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 232 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Approval At 55%

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 34% disapprove and 6% are not sure.

The current totals currently include 32% who Strongly Approve and 32% who Strongly Disapprove.

Overall approval of the president is little changed from the first two months of the Biden Administration. However, the number who Strongly Disapprove has inched up a bit.

Among people who are on-line almost constantly, 69% approve of the president’s performance. Just 25% disapprove. Among the rest of the nation’s voters, opinions of the president are evenly divided: 48% approve and 45% disapprove.

That gap is consistent with data released earlier showing that 42% of those who are online almost constantly are Democrats. Just 27% align with the GOP. Among the rest of the nation’s voters, a modest plurality (36%) are Republicans. This helps explain why many social media platforms appear supportive of political views that are far more progressive than the nation at large.

While the president’s overall ratings are positive, just 36% give Biden good or excellent marks for handling the border situation.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters nationwide believe it is fair to describe the United States as a Melting Pot. Twenty-one percent (21%) disagree.  Sixty-five percent (65%) believe it’s a good thing for immigrants and new ethnic groups to assimilate into American culture. Just 16% disagree.

Other recent data showed that 65% of voters believe the U.S. is friendlier towards immigrants than most other nations.

Seventy percent (70%) of voters view immigration and border control as a national security issue. Sixty percent (60%) see the growing number of illegal immigrants to be an invasion of the United States. Fifty-eight percent (58%) believe that drug cartels have more control of the Southern border than the U.S. government.

On a different topic, 71% Favor Ending Supplemental, Pandemic Related, Unemployment Benefits.

Moving forward, we expect to update the president’s job approval rating every month or so.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 3-5, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 237 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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36% Give Biden Good/Excellent Marks for Handling Border Situation

Thirty-six percent (36%) of voters give President Biden Good or Excellent marks for his handling of the situation at the Southern border of the United States. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 39% hold the opposite view and rate his performance as poor.

In between are 17% who rate the president’s performance as just fair.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of Democrats say the president is doing a good or an excellent job on the border. However that view is shared by just 22% of Independent voters and 12% of Republicans.

The survey also found that 61% believe illegal immigration is bad for the United States while also believing that legal immigration is good. That view is held by 77% of Republicans and 60% of Independents. Among Democrats, 46% share the mainstream view. However, 31% of those in the president’s party that both legal and illegal immigration are good for the nation.

Just 11% of all voters that legal immigration is bad for the U.S.

Other recent polling data found that 65% of voters believe the U.S. is friendlier towards immigrants than most other nations.

Seventy percent (70%) of voters view immigration and border control as a national security issue. Sixty percent (60%) of voters see the growing number of illegal immigrants to be an invasion of the United States. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters believe that drug cartels have more control of the Southern border than the U.S. government.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 27-29, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 170 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

31% Prefer a Candidate Pursuing Trump-like Policies

Given a choice between four presidential candidates with equal skills and temperament, 31% would prefer a candidate who supported policies like those of President Trump. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 24% would like a candidate who supported policies like those of Senator Bernie Sanders; 20% favor a traditional Democrat; and, 15% favor a traditional Republican.

We have been asking this question regularly since last October. Despite the election results and everything that has happened since, these attitudes have remained remarkably stable.

  • These numbers show 46% favoring one of the Republican leaning options while 44% prefer a Democratic leaning set of policies. In every update of the survey, the partisan split has remained essentially even. That’s not surprising given that we have had nine consecutive presidential elections where neither candidate has received more than 53% of the vote. It’s the longest such stretch in American history.
  • On the Republican side, the number preferring Trump-like policies is consistently two to three times as large as the number favoring traditional GOP policies. However, younger GOP-leaning voters are more evenly divided.
  • On the other hand, the two wings of the Democratic party are always just about evenly divided.
  • Urban voters strongly support one of the Democratic options. Those in the suburbs lean towards one of the GOP options while rural voters prefer the GOP.
  • Those favoring populist policies (Trump or Sanders) consistently outnumber those favoring more traditional policies. This week, the numbers show 55% favoring populist policies while 35% prefer a more traditional approach.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 15-17, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 261 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Biden Bounce Continues: Approval Up to 60%

Sixty percent (60%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 34% disapprove and 6% are not sure.

Approval of the president is up three points from a week ago and up seven points from two weeks ago. Following passage of the COVID relief bill, President Biden’s approval rating has soared to match his highest total to date.

The current totals currently include 32% who Strongly Approve and 26% who Strongly Disapprove.

While the president is enjoying a political honeymoon, underlying partisan divides remain unchanged. Forty-five percent (45%)  want either Trump-like or traditional Republican policies while 44% prefer either Sanders-like or traditional Democratic policies.

On the Republican side, support for Trump-like policies dominate. On the Democratic side, equal numbers support traditional Democratic policies and Sanders-like policies.

Other survey data shows that 35% of voters favor statehood for Washington, DC. Forty-one percent (41%) are opposed. Few, however, are really following the debate.

Sixty-five percent (65%) believe the United States is still the land of opportunity.

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters believe the federal government is a special interest group that looks out primarily for its own interests. Just 17% of voters disagree and 23% are not sure. A majority of every measured demographic group sees the federal government as a special interest group.

Other recent survey data shows that just 26% of voters nationwide believe that the right person was declared the winner in each of the last two presidential elections. Most voters (56%) believe at least one of the last two presidents was illegitimate. Most Democrats still believe Hillary Clinton was the legitimate winner in 2016 and most Republicans believe Donald Trump was the legitimate winner in 2020.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from March 18-20, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 201 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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52% Favor Populist Policies, 37% Prefer Traditional Politics

Given a choice between four presidential candidates with equal skills and temperament, 52% of voters would favor a candidate promoting populist policies such as those advocated by Donald Trump or Bernie Sanders. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 37% would prefer more traditional establishment policies.

On a partisan basis, the results are nearly even: 45% want either Trump-like or traditional Republican policies while 44% prefer either Sanders-like or traditional Democratic policies. Overall, the results are very similar to the numbers found last October.

The totals include 30% who prefer policies like those of Trump and 15% who would rather see traditional Republican policies. On the other side of the aisle, 22% prefer policies like those offered by Sanders and 22% favor traditional Democratic policies.

Scott Rasmussen has been asking this question on a weekly basis. While the numbers periodically fluctuate, the dynamics are always the same. The partisan preference is split down the middle.

Within the parties, though, things appear to be much different. On the Republican side, the Trump like policies dominate. Typically, those supporting such policies outnumber those who would like more traditional policies by a 2 or 3 to 1 margin. On the Democratic side, the establishment and populist forces are virtually equal in number.

These results suggest potential for a significant shift in the partisan alignment over the coming years. What that alignment might be is unclear. For example, it’s easy to envision those who favor traditional Republican or traditional Democratic policies finding common ground. However, such an alliance in one party might push populists into the other party.

For now, these results provide a useful way to analyze the electorate.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from March 18-20, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 201 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

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Biden Bounce: Approval Rating Up to 57% Following COVID Relief Bill

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 37% disapprove and 7% are not sure.

Following passage of the COVID Relief Bill, approval of the president is up four points from a week ago. That reverse a modest decline in recent weeks. As a result, Biden’s overall approval rating is unchanged from a month ago. The current totals currently include 32% who Strongly Approve and 26% who Strongly Disapprove.

President Biden receives approval from 92% of Democrats, 52% of Independents, and 23% of Republicans.

Other data shows that 31% say that the Coronavirus pandemic created some positive benefits in their life. Those who work for schools and colleges are twice as likely to report positive benefits.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of voters say they were glad to use COVID as an excuse for avoiding social activities. When asked to describe the events they were most pleased to miss, many cited weddings, reunions, family get-togethers and holiday gatherings. Business-focused social events and school activities were also mentioned.

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters believe the federal government is a special interest group that looks out primarily for its own interests. Just 17% of voters disagree and 23% are not sure. A majority of every measured demographic group sees the federal government as a special interest group.

Other recent survey data shows that just 26% of voters nationwide believe that the right person was declared the winner in each of the last two presidential elections. Most voters (56%) believe at least one of the last two presidents was illegitimate. Most Democrats still believe Hillary Clinton was the legitimate winner in 2016 and most Republicans believe Donald Trump was the legitimate winner in 2020.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from March 11-13, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 194 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

53% Approve of Biden Performance So Far, 39% Disapprove

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 39% disapprove and 7% are not sure.

Approval of the president is down one point from a week ago, down three points from two weeks ago and down seven points from a months ago. This is the fourth straight weekly decline in the president’s approval rating. However, his approval rating remains higher than the ratings ever achieved by his predecessor, Donald Trump.

The totals currently include 30% who Strongly Approve and 29% who Strongly Disapprove.

President Biden receives approval from 92% of Democrats, 44% of Independents, and 19% of Republicans.

Other recent survey data shows that just 26% of voters nationwide believe that the right person was declared the winner in each of the last two presidential elections. Most voters (56%) believe at least one of the last two presidents was illegitimate. Most Democrats still believe Hillary Clinton was the legitimate winner in 2016 and most Republicans believe Donald Trump was the legitimate winner in 2020.

A separate question highlighted another aspect of the deep skepticism shared by most voters. Fifty-nine percent (59%) believe the federal government is a special interest group that looks out primarily for its own interests. Just 17% disagree.

On a different topic, 86% of voters believe that missing in-person education has been damaging to students. Additionally, 50% of voters believe that many states and cities overreacted to the Coronavirus pandemic in ways that did more harm than good.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from March 4-6, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 237 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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52% Have Favorable Opinion of Fauci

Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of Dr. Anthony Fauci. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 32% have an unfavorable view of him while 17% are not sure.

Fauci has become a visible presence in the public dialogue over the coronavirus pandemic. His approval ratings reflect a wide partisan divide that has been found on many topics related to the pandemic.

Fauci is viewed favorably by 82% of Democrats but unfavorably by 56% of Republicans. Independent voters are evenly divided: 40% favorable and 35% unfavorable.

Data released recently shows that a plurality of voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. Additionally, 50% believe that many cities and states overreacted to the pandemic in ways that did more harm than good.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from February 25-27, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 156 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Approval Rating Slips to 54%

Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 40% disapprove and 6% are not sure.

Approval of the president is down two points from last week and down six points from three weeks ago. This is the third straight weekly decline in the president’s approval rating. However, his approval rating remains higher than the ratings ever achieved by his predecessor, Donald Trump.

The totals currently include 31% who Strongly Approve and 30% who Strongly Disapprove.

President Biden receives approval from 92% of Democrats, 47% of Independents, and 19% of Republicans.

Other survey data shows that 40% of voters now expect the nation to be more polarized in a year. That’s up 12 points since Biden took office just over a month ago.

Views of Democrats have not changed during the president’s first month in office. However, the Republicans and Independents who expect the nation to be more polarized has increased significantly during that time.

Twenty-one percent (21%) of all voters think the country will be more unified in a year. That’s down three points from a month ago.

On a different topic, 43% of African-Americans would feel threatened if approached by a police officer while alone. Just 33% would feel safe.

Additionally, 50% of voters believe that many states and cities overreacted to the Coronavirus pandemic in ways that did more harm than good.

Other recent polling shows that, for the first time ever, a plurality of voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. Thirty-nine percent (39%) hold that optimistic view while 31% believe the worst is still to come. Sixty-one percent (61%) believe the minimum wage should be set by states rather than having a single national standard. And, 71% think it’s likely that liberals and conservatives will eventually rely upon separate social media platforms.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from February 25-27, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 156 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Job Approval Rating at 56%

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters nationwide approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 37% disapprove and 6% are not sure.

Approval of the president is down a point from last week and down four points from two weeks ago. However, that may be more a reflection of statistical noise rather than evidence of declining support. For five straight weeks, President Biden’s Job Approval rating has stayed within two points of 58%. That’s within the survey’s margin of error.

However, the results may include a hint that intensity of support has slipped a bit. Currently, 30% Strongly Approve and 28% Strongly Disapprove. Strong approval is down five points from a week ago and down 11 from the president’s first week in office. Strong disapproval is up eleven points since the president’s first week.

While Democrats remain unified and strongly support the president, there is a gap between Republicans who prefer Trump-like policies and Traditional Republicans. Among those who prefer Trump-like populist policies just 11% approve of Biden while 84% disapprove. Those who support traditional Republican policies are more evenly divided: 49% approve and 44% disapprove.

Other recent polling shows that, for the first time ever, a plurality of voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. Thirty-nine percent (39%) hold that optimistic view while 31% believe the worst is still to come. Sixty-one percent (61%) believe the minimum wage should be set by states rather than having a single national standard. And, 71% think it’s likely that liberals and conservatives will eventually rely upon separate social media platforms.

 

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from February 18-20, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 212 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Job Approval: 60%

Sixty percent (60%) of voters nationwide approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. That’s up two points from a week ago. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 32% disapprove and 8% are not sure.

Those figures include 38% who Strongly Approve and 23% who Strongly Disapprove.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from February 4-6, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 197 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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How Voters Describe Joe Biden–Results from Open End Survey Question

From January 14-16, 2021, RMG Research, Inc. asked 1,200 Registered Voters what word they would use to describe Joe Biden. As highlighted in the word clouds below, Republicans and Democrats have very different perceptions. Responses from GOP voters are shown on the left. Responses from Democratic voters are shown on the right.

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55% Say Trump Worst President of Past Half Century, 16% Think He Was the Best

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters nationwide rate Donald Trump as the worst president of the past half-century. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that Barack Obama came in a distant second at 25%, with no other recent president reaching double digits.

Obama topped the list as the best president of the half century–39% of voters hold that view. In second place on that list was Ronald Reagan at 22%. Sixteen percent (16%) of voters named Trump as the best.

The results highlight how deeply entrenched the partisan divide has become. Fifty percent (50%) of voters selected a Democrat as the best president while 49% selected a Republican.

On a net basis, Reagan came out on top. While 22% named him the best president of the past half century, just 1% said he was the worst. That gave him a net positive number of 21. Obama earned a positive 14 rating (39% best, 25% worst).

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Democrats consider Obama the best president of the past five decades. Republicans are divided–38% say it was Reagan and 33% Trump.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen from January 17-19, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were contacted online through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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59% Approve Of How Biden Performed Role As President-elect

A Scott Rasmussen survey found that 59% of voters nationwide approve of the way Joe Biden has performed his role as President-elect. The numbers include 34% who Strongly Approve and 25% who Strongly Disapprove.

Overall, Biden earns approval from 73% of urban voters, 56% of those in suburbs, and 46% of rural Americans.

Positive reviews come from 91% of Democrats, 51% of Independents and 26% of Republicans.

As he prepares to take office, Biden’s ratings are up several points compared to his ratings in November and December. That may reflect a bounce following the January 6 occupation of the U.S. Capitol. However, it may also be a reflection of people getting more comfortable with Biden as inauguration day approaches. In either case, Biden will likely be rated by a different standard once he transitions from President-elect to President of the United States.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from January 14-16, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 228 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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53% Rate Supreme Court Good or Excellent; 8% Say Poor

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide rate the performance of the U.S. Supreme Court as Good or Excellent. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 8% say poor. In between are 32% who say the Court’s performance has been just fair.

Support is found in all segments of the nation. Sixty-one percent (61%) of Republicans give the Court positive reviews as do 54% of Democrats. Among other voters, 43% share that view.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of the most conservative voters give thumbs up for the Court. So do 57% of the most liberal voters.

Ideologically, 33% believe the Court’s balance is about right while 30% say too conservative and 20% too liberal.

In its treatment of protestors who commit violent acts, 44% believe the courts and legal system have been too lenient while 18% say too harsh.

Results for the full sample have a Margin of Error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.

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Methodology

The survey of 854 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen September 19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. These voters were selected from a larger sample of 1,100 Registered Voters. Likely Voters were defined as those who say they are “Definitely going to vote” or “Very Likely to Vote” and who know how they will vote.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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64% Have Favorable Opinion of Ruth Bader Ginsburg

In a survey conducted the day after her passing, 64% of Likely Voters said they had a favorable opinion of Ruth Bader Ginsburg. The Scott Rasmussen survey found just 16% with an unfavorable view while 20% are not sure.

These results are broadly consistent with earlier surveys in recent years. Justice Ginsburg was the most recognized name of all Supreme Court Justices, often the only name recognized by more than half the nation’s voters.

The survey also found that 52% of Likely Voters believe the Senate should wait to confirm Ginsburg’s replacement until after the presidential election. Forty-one percent (41%) disagree and believe the new Justice should be confirmed as soon as possible. Not surprisingly, there is a substantial partisan divide on this question.

  • Seventy-three percent (73%) of Republicans believe the new Justice should be confirmed as soon as possible.
  • Eighty percent (80%) of Democrats believe confirmation should wait until after the election.
  • Independent voters were more evenly divided. Fifty-one percent (51%) agree with the Democrats and 40% with the Republicans.

Additionally, 59% of the nation’s Likely Voters believe Joe Biden should let voters know who he would nominate if elected. Just 21% disagree while 20% are not sure.

The partisan divide on this is interesting. The Trump campaign has been pushing Biden to release a list of potential nominees. However, Democratic voters are even more likely than Republican voters to think he should do so. Sixty-six percent (66%) of Democrats want their party’s nominee to announce who he would nominate for the Court. That view is shared by 57% of Independent voters and 52% of Republicans.

Other data from the survey shows that 53% of voters rate the Supreme Court’s performance as good or excellent.

Results for the full sample have a Margin of Error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.

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Methodology

The survey of 854 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen September 19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. These voters were selected from a larger sample of 1,100 Registered Voters. Likely Voters were defined as those who say they are “Definitely going to vote” or “Very Likely to Vote” and who know how they will vote.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Generic Ballot: Democrats 46% Republicans 41%

The latest Scott Rasmussen Generic Ballot poll shows Democrats with a 5-point advantage. The survey of 941 Likely Voters found that 46% would vote for the Democrat from their District while 41% would opt for the Republican. Two percent (2%) say they’ll vote for someone else and 11% are not sure.

Republicans have a ten-point lead among White voters, but Democrats have wide margins among other voters. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Black voters prefer the Democrat. So do 67% of Hispanic voters.

Republicans have a huge lead in Rural areas and Democrats have a similar lead among Urban voters. In the suburbs, its 46% for the Democrats and 40% for Republicans.

The most recent national poll of the presidential race conducted by Scott Rasmussen shows Joe Biden with a 5-percentage point lead (48% to 43%). New results are released each Monday at JustTheNews.com.

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Methodology

The survey of 941 Likely Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 10-12, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. These voters were selected from a larger sample of 1,200 Registered Voters. Likely Voters were defined as those who say they are “Definitely going to vote” or “Very Likely to Vote” and who know how they will vote.  Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 166 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

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53% Have Some Confidence in Public Health Officials

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide are at least Somewhat Confident that that public health officials really understand the coronavirus and what policies are needed to overcome it. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 46% lack confidence in the officials.

Those figures reflect growing confidence in public health officials over the past couple of months. In June, just 45% had even a modest level of confidence in the public health officials. The eight-point improvement came exclusively from Democrats and Independent voters.

  • In June, 49% of Republican voters expressed confidence in the public health officials. That figure is unchanged in the latest survey.
  • Confidence among Democrats increased twelve points, from 49% in June to 61% today.
  • Among Independents, there was a thirteen point gain, from 35% in June to 48% today.

Overall, the current numbers show that 16% of voters are Very Confident in the public health officials while 15% are Not at All confident.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 13-15, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 181 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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68% Trust American People More Than Government Officials

When it comes to making important decisions about America’s future, 68% of voters nationwide trust the American people more than  government officials. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 11% take the opposite view and 20% are not sure.

This view is shared broadly by all segments of society, although there is somewhat less confidence in the American people among younger voters. Just 64% of voters under 35 trust the American people more than government officials. Among senior citizens, that number in 79%.

Those with a college degree are a bit more skeptical of the American people than those without.

However, other survey data shows that in certain circumstances, voters are more willing to defer to government officials. For example, 50% support a national mandate requiring everyone to wear a mask in public.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 16-18, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 176 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

President Trump Job Approval Up to 44%

Forty-four percent (44%) of Registered Voters nationwide approve of the way President Trump is performing his job. That’s up five points from a week ago. It’s also the highest level of support the president has enjoyed in a Scott Rasmussen poll since mid-May.

A five-point swing in a single week is unusual and some of the change is likely due to statistical noise. However, it remains to be seen whether this week’s results represent a return to the earlier levels of support for the president.

Prior to mid-May, President Trump’s approval ratings held steady around 45% for several months. However, from late May throughout the month of  June, the president’s job was several points lower in a range between 39% and 42%.

This week’s polling found that 88% of Republicans approve of the president’s performance, up eight points from a week ago. That may reflect a positive response among GOP voters to the president’s speech at Mount Rushmore. Media commentary on the speech portrayed it as divisive but many Republicans considered it a strong appeal to unity. The new numbers may also be in response to the media criticism of the president.

The president now also gets positive reviews from 37% of Independents and 12% of Democrats. Both figures are up slightly from a week ago.

The current totals include 28% who Strongly Approve and 46% who Strongly Disapprove.

Recent polling by Scott Rasmussen has also shown that 34% of voters say it will be at least six months before they’ll feel safe in public without a mask. Additionally, 74% Believe Most Americans Generally Get Along Regardless of Race and 24% Support DC Statehood.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 117 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the final sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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President Trump’s Job Approval: 39%

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of Registered Voters nationwide approve of the way President Trump is performing his job. That’s the lowest level of approval yet measured in polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen. The survey also found that 58% disapprove.

Perhaps most concerning for the president is that support is slipping among Republicans. The latest results show that just 80% of those in his party offer their approval. That’s down slightly from 84% in mid-June.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day podcast today looks at why the president’s strong and loyal base of support may be a double edged sword for his campaign. Tomorrow, he’ll be looking at an topic that may pose a similar challenge for the Biden campaign. On Thursday, Scott’s podcast will look at an issue Democrats are pushing that may help Republicans retain control of the Senate.

In mid-June the president’s job approval was at 41%. Earlier in the year, President Trump’s approval ratings held steady in the mid-40s for several months.

The current totals include 27% who Strongly Approve and 47% who Strongly Disapprove.

Research conducted earlier found that 17% of all voters Strongly Disapprove of President Trump but also Strongly Oppose removing statues honoring George Washington.

The president also gets positive reviews from 33% of Independents and 8% of Democrats.

He also earns approval from 46% of white voters, 11% of black voters, and 27% of Hispanic voters.

Forty-four percent (44%) of self-employed voters approve of the president’s performance as do 40% of other private sector workers. Among government employees, however, just 31% approve.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 2-4, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 129 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

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Supreme Court Approval Rating at 52%

Fifty-two percent (52%) of voters nationwide approve of the way the Supreme Court is performing its role. A Ballotpedia survey found that 31% disapprove and 17% are not sure.

The survey also found that a narrow plurality (30%) believe the Court’s ideological balance is about right. However, 28% believe it is too conservative and 19% believe it is too liberal.

Sixty-two percent (62%) of Hispanic voters approve of the Court’s performance as do 53% of White voters. However, just 39% of Black voters share that assessment. Among Black voters, 44% disapprove.

A plurality of Republicans believe the Court is too liberal while a plurality of Democrats believe it is too conservative. Seven-out-of-ten Independent voters believe either that the balance is about right (30%) or are not sure (40%).

Data released yesterday showed that 47% of voters see Supreme Court nominations as a Very Important voting issue.

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Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 20, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.  Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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For Second Week in a Row, Trump Approval At 41%

For the second straight week, a Scott Rasmussen national survey of Registered Voters found that 41% approve of the way President Trump is performing his job. That matches last week as the lowest level of approval measured in a Scott Rasmussen national survey.

The number disapproving increased a point to 58%, a new high.

Those totals include 27% who Strongly Approve and 49% who Strongly Disapprove.

Perhaps the most significant aspect of this finding is the timing of the survey. Most interviews for last week’s survey were completed prior to the surprisingly positive jobs report showing a gain of 2.5 million new jobs. However, that does not appear to have had any immeidate impact on the president’s job approval numbers.

Looking ahead to the November election, the president’s numbers are especially weak among uncommitted voters. Among those who say they will vote for some other candidate or are undecided, just 23% approve of the president’s performance. Sixty-five percent (65%) disapprove.

Overall, approval currently come from 84% of Republicans, 34% of Independents, and 8% of Democrats.

The president earns approval from 47% of white voters, 15% of black voters, and 27% of Hispanic voters.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 11-13, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 306 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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Biden 47% Trump 37%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by ten points– 47% to 37%. Nine percent (9%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 7% are undecided.

That’s an improvement for Biden who held a seven-point advantage last week. It’s also the biggest lead Biden has enjoyed in Scott Rasmussen polling all year. Prior to this, Biden’s lead has ranged between five and nine points since late March.

The former Vice President leads by 30-points among urban voters and by 14 points in the suburbs. President Trump leads by 19 among rural voters.

The survey was conducted Thursday evening through Saturday morning (June 4-6, 2020). Most of the interviews were completed prior to the surprisingly positive jobs report released on Friday. It remains to be seen whether the more encouraging economic news will have any impact on these numbers.

The same survey found the president’s job approval rating falling to a new low at 41%.

Many voters dismiss polls they don’t like because they are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published each weekday morning by Ballotpedia. Starting today, Scott is releasing a daily PODCAST in partnership with Just The News.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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President Trump’s Job Approval Falls to 41%

President Trump’s Job Approval rating has fallen to 41% among Registered Voters. That’s the lowest level measured in a Scott Rasmussen national survey. Fifty-seven percent (57%) currently disapprove.

Those numbers include 28% who Strongly Approve and 47% who Strongly Disapprove.

The president earns approval from 46% of white voters, 15% of black voters, and 31% of Hispanic voters.

While most rurual voters (55%) approve of the president’s performance, that view is shared by 39% of suburban voters and 31% of those living in urban areas.

Last week, polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen for JustTheNews.com found the president’s Job Approval at 45%. In fact, several months of survey results found President Trump’s approval ratings holding steady in the mid-40s.

The survey was conducted Thursday evening through Saturday morning (June 4-6, 2020). Most of the interviews were completed prior to the surprisingly positive jobs report released on Friday. It remains to be seen whether the more encouraging economic news will have any impact on the approval numbers.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published each weekday morning by Ballotpedia. Starting today, Scott is releasing a daily PODCAST in partnership with Just The News.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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President Trump Job Approval Steady at 45%

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters approve of the way President Trump is performing his job while 51% disapprove. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found those totals include 30% who Strongly Approve and 41% who Strongly Disapprove.

These results have remained little change over the past few months.

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Republicans approve of the president’s performance while 84% of Democrats disapprove. Among Independents, 39% approve while 53% disapprove.

Just 39% of college graduates approve while 50% without a degree do not.

The president earns positive reviews from 56% of rural voters, 47% of suburban voters, and 36% of urban voters.

Fifty-three percent (53%) of white voters approve along with 35% of Hispanic voters and 12% of Black voters.

When it comes to making decisions about re-opening, just 34% of voters trust government officials more than everyday Americans. More voters—43%—place their trust in the general public. Upper-income Americans, government employees, college graduates and Democrats alike are all more comfortable with the government making sweeping decisions. The reverse is true for lower- and middle-income Americans, private sector workers, retirees, those without a college degree, Republicans and independents.

Other recent data shows that 41% of voters believe shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good. Additionally, 52% agree with Ronald Reagan’s assessment: the nine most terrifying words in the English language are “I’m from the government and I’m here to help.” Those words continue to resonate with many Americans.

The implications of these findings were addressed in a Newsweek column by Scott Rasmussen. “Despite the fact that the public is anxious to re-open society, several Democratic governors are desperately clinging to their lockdown policies. Their efforts could help ensure the re-election of Donald Trump.”

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 14-16, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or by text while 238 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

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Biden 44% Trump 38%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by six points– 44% to 38%. Seven percent (7%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 10% are undecided.

The candidates are essentially even among men and voters over 45. Biden leads by double digits among women and voters under 35.

Three weeks ago.  Biden was up by nine points. Two weeks ago, he led by eight. Last week, the lead had slipped to seven. This brings the race back to where it was in late March, when Biden enjoyed a five point advantage.

Thirty-eight percent (38%)  of voters nationwide believe it would be appropriate to continue the lockdowns in their own neighborhood and community.  However, 57% disagree. Most believe the rules and guidelines should be established locally.

Sixty-five percent (65%) are concerned that public officials are using the pandemic as an excuse to infringe upon the Constitutional rights of individual Americans. That total includes 39% who are Very Concerned.

Fifty-five percent (55%) believe the nation needs stricter immigration policies going forward.

Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters nationwide consider trade policies to be primarily a national security issue. However, most clearly see trade policy than raw economics.  Most voters (58%) say ensuring that important materials are produced in the United States is a higher priority than keeping costs down. Just 28% say keeping costs down and promoting economic growth matters more.

Finally, many voters are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 7-9, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 174 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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Biden 46% Trump 39%

The latest Scott Rasmussen poll of 1,000 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by seven points– 46% to 39%. Seven percent (7%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 8% are undecided.

Last week, Biden led by eight points. The week before that, he was up by nine. In late March, it was Biden 45% Trump 40%.

While the results suggest a close race in the fall, it is important to keep in mind the extraordinary circumstances of the coronavirus lockdowns. What happens in the coming months as American society re-opens is likely to have a significant impact on the race. In fact, it is likely that the way society is re-opened will be the decisive factor in November’s election.

Data released yesterday, showed that 49% of voters nationwide now fear the economic threat from the coronavirus more than the health threat. Forty-five percent (45%) take the opposite view and are more worried about the health threat. These numbers reflect a significant change over the past month. In late March, by a 55% to 38% margin, voters were more concerned about the health threat.

The survey also found that 26% of voters now believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. That’s an increase of three points from a  week ago and ten points from a month ago. Forty-six percent (46%) believe the worst is yet to come. That’s down from 60% earlier in the month.

Voters over 65, by a 40% to 32% margin, believe the worst is behind us. Younger voters are more pessimistic.

Perceptions of whether the worst is behind us or is still to come have a significant impact on perceptions of the overall threat. Among those who believe the worst is behind us, 68% are more worried about the economic threat. As for those who believe the worst is still to come, 57% are more worried about the health threat.

These results are consistent with other data showing that people are looking to loosen some of the restrictions. Voters nationwide are evenly divided as to whether the lockdowns should continue. And, they have come to recognize that it’s not simply a question of stay home to stay safe or go out and get sick. Voters recognize that there are significant mental and physical health risks associated with ongoing lockdowns. Those who know the latest data are more likely to support easing lockdown restrictions.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters favor a proposal that would allow all who are not sick or vulnerable in their area to return to work.

The president’s job approval rating has held steady at 44%.

Scott Rasmussen is now providing virtual briefings about the impact of the pandemic on business, politics, and American society. If you’d like Scott to provide a briefing for your company or organization, please contact Shawn Hanks.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 30-May 2, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 179 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Biden 46% Trump 38%

April 28, 2020– The latest Scott Rasmussen poll of 1,000 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by eight points– 46% to 38%. Six percent (6%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 9% are undecided.

That’s little changed from a week ago when a poll conducted by Scott Rasmussen for JustTheNews.com showed Biden with a nine-point advantage. In that poll, Biden led 49% to 40%. Interestingly, support for both candidates dropped a bit in the most recent poll.

In late March, it was Biden 45% Trump 40%.

While the results suggest a close race in the fall, it is important to keep in mind the extraordinary circumstances of the coronavirus lockdowns. What happens in the coming months as American society re-opens is likely to have a significant impact on the race. Currently, 23% of voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us, an increase of seven points over the past two weeks.

Thirty-three percent (33%) believe the government has not yet gone far enough in responding to the pandemic. That figure is down eight points since late March.

Other polling shows that 51% of American voters favor a proposal that would allow all who are not sick or vulnerable in their area to return to work. Thirty-eight percent (38%) are opposed, and 10% are not sure. That question was framed in the context of the area that the respondents lived in. These numbers are not a call for a national rule, but a recognition that different dynamics exist in different communities.

Scott Rasmussen is now providing virtual briefings about the impact of the pandemic on business, politics, and American society. If you’d like Scott to provide a briefing for your company or organization, please contact Shawn Hanks.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 23-25, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 272 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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