If the presidential election were held today, 45% of Registered Voters would vote for Democrat Joe Biden while 40% prefer Republican Donald Trump.
However, the survey conducted by Scott Rasmussen found that 70% of Trump’s supporters have a high level of interest in the election. Just 61% of Biden’s voters say the same. Among those who have a high level of interest–and are most likely to vote–it’s Biden 47% Trump 46%.
Among all Registered voters living in Urban areas, Biden leads by a 60% to 23% margin. Trump leads by 19 points (50% to 31%) among Rural voters. The candidates are essential tied among Suburban voters with Biden at 44% and Trump at 43%.
Among Suburban voters with a high level of interest in the election, it’s Trump 48% Biden 47%. Biden’s margin among Urban voters slips to 32 points among those with a high level of interest (61% to 29%). Trump’s lead among interested Rural voters increases to 32 points (62% to 30%).
The survey also explored attitudes on the coronavirus pandemic.
- Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters worry that government officials will re-open businesses too soon. Just 29% take the opposite view and fear they will wait too long.
- Additionally, 45% of voters expect the lockdown to last another month or two. Thirty-seven percent (37%) think it will last for three months or longer.
- While most (53%) worry primarily about the health crisis, 38% are more worried about the economic impact of the pandemic.
On just about every question there is a wide partisan divide.
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The survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from March 26-28, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Approximately 72% of the survey respondents were selected at random from lists of Registered Voters. The remainder were selected through Random Digital Engagement. Most were contacted online while 247 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.