0118 JA America’s Best Days

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left nearly a decade ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question 1:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Biden is performing his job?

16%    Strongly approve

26%    Somewhat approve

14%    Somewhat disapprove

38%    Strongly disapprove

7%    Not sure

Question 2:

Suppose you had a choice between four presidential candidates. All four had equal skills and temperament. Would you prefer a Republican who supported policies like President Trump, a more traditional Republican, a Democrat who supported policies similar to Senator Bernie Sanders, or a more traditional Democrat?

30%    A Republican supporting Trump’s policies

17%    A more traditional Republican

21%    A Democrat supporting Sanders’ policies

19%    A more traditional Democrat

13%    Not sure

Question 3:

Are America’s best days still to come, or have they come and gone?

42%    Still to come

34%    Come and gone

24%    Not sure

Question 4:

Generally speaking, is American society today fair and decent, or is it unfair and discriminatory?

34%    Fair and decent

52%    Unfair and discriminatory

14%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on January 18-19, 2022. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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Biden Job Approval Steady at 41%; 52% Disapprove

Forty-one percent (41%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. The latest Scott Rasmussen survey finds that 52% disapprove and 7% are not sure.

The current totals include 18% of voters who Strongly Approve of the president’s performance while 38% Strongly Disapprove.

Since December 8, six consecutive Scott Rasmussen national surveys have found the president’s Job Approval rating at either 41% or 42%.

Sixty-two percent (62%) of those with a college degree approve of the way the president is performing his job. A majority of all other voters disapprove.

Data released earlier showed that 62% of those with a postgraduate degree rate their own finances as good or excellent. A majority of all other voters say their finances are either fair or poor.

Overall, economic confidence has declined rapidly in recent months. That may be one reason that 57% of voters favor making the Trump tax cuts permanent.

Additionally, 55% of voters know of local businesses that are unable to hire as many workers as they need.

Finally, just 13% of voters believe that U.S. trade policy should consider only economic issues. Seventy-five percent (75%) believe national security and human rights issues should also be considered.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left nearly a decade ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Biden is performing his job?

18%    Strongly approve

23%    Somewhat approve

14%    Somewhat disapprove

38%    Strongly disapprove

6%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on January 6-7, 2022. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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Generic Congressional Ballot: GOP 42% Dems 40%

If the midterm elections were held today, 42% of Registered Voters would cast their ballot for a Republican while 40% would vote for a Democrat. The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 8% would vote for some other candidate and 10% are not sure.

These results include “leaners.” They are people who initially express no preference for either party. However, on a follow-up question, they indicate a preference if they had to make a choice right now. Without leaners, the Republican advantage on this latest survey was two percentage points this month and three percentage points in December.

It is important to note that these totals are for Registered Voters and do not account for intensity of support or intention to vote. Generally speaking, Republicans and conservatives show more enthusiasm about the midterms than Democrats and progressives.

Last month, the GOP held a six point advantage on the Generic Ballot.

Looking back a bit further, Democrats never trailed on the Generic Ballot from the beginning of the year through September. Since October, however, it is the Republican Party that has never trailed.

Given a choice between four presidential candidates with equal skills and temperament. 32% would prefer a Republican who supported policies like President Trump; 23% would favor a traditional Democrat; 18% are looking for a Democrat who supported policies similar to Senator Bernie Sanders; and, 15% are ready to support a traditional Republican?

Other recent survey data showed that 84% of voters believe public schools should teach the truth about slavery. At the same time,  81% believe public schools should teach that America was founded on the ideals of freedom, equality, and self-governance.

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters believe the loss of educational opportunities from shutting down schools is a bigger threat to children than the possibility of getting COVID. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 31% disagree and believe COVID is the bigger threat.

When fighting the COVID pandemic, 54% of voters believe the focus should be on balancing health care concerns with social, lifestyle, and economic concerns. Thirty-four percent (34%) disagree and believe it is more important to stop COVID at all costs. Republicans and Independents tend to believe a balanced approach is best. Democrats are evenly divided.

Seventy-one percent (71%) of voters believe parents should play a significant role in the curriculum development process. Twenty-three percent (23%) disagree and 7% are not sure.

Forty-nine percent (49%) believe that parents currently have too little control over the process while 11% believe they have too much control.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question 1:

If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Republican from your district, or the Democrat from your district?

42%    Republican

40%    Democrat

8%    Other

10%    Not sure

Question 2:

Suppose you had a choice between four presidential candidates. All four had equal skills and temperament. Would you prefer a Republican who supported policies like President Trump, a more traditional Republican, a Democrat who supported policies similar to Senator Bernie Sanders, or a more traditional Democrat?

32%    A Republican supporting Trump’s policies

15%    A more traditional Republican

18%    A Democrat supporting Sanders’ policies

23%    A more traditional Democrat

12%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on January 3-4, 2022. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 3.1 percentage points.

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Voters Still Prefer Trump-like Policies More than Sanders Approach or Traditional R’s and D’s

Given a choice between four presidential candidates with equal skills and temperament, 31% would prefer a Republican who supported policies like those of President Trump. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 20% would prefer a Democrat who supported policies similar to Senator Bernie Sanders, 19% favor a more traditional Democrat, and 17% a more traditional Republican,

It’s important to remember that the question focused on the policy preference assuming that the candidates had equal skills and temperament. As a result, it cannot be assumed that someone who supports policies like those of Trump or Sanders would automatically support Trump or Sanders as a candidate.

We have been asking this question regularly since last October. Despite  everything that has happened since, these attitudes have remained broadly consistent. The current results are similar to those reported last July and April. On the Republican side, the number preferring Trump-like policies is consistently two to three times as large as the number favoring traditional GOP policies. On the other hand, the two wings of the Democratic party are always just about evenly divided.

However, the current numbers show 48% of voters favoring one of the Republican leaning options while 39% prefer a Democratic leaning set of policies. Prior to the 2020 Election, the parties were evenly divided on this measure.

The shift away from the Democrats is consistent with the decline in the president’s approval ratings and the growing GOP edge on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question:

Suppose you had a choice between four presidential candidates. All four had equal skills and temperament. Would you prefer a Republican who supported policies like President Trump, a more traditional Republican, a Democrat who supported policies similar to Senator Bernie Sanders, or a more traditional Democrat?

31%    A Republican supporting Trump’s policies

17%     A more traditional Republican

20%    A Democrat supporting Sanders’ policies

19%    A more traditional Democrat

13%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on December 21-22, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Approval Slides to 41%; 53% Disapprove

Forty-one percent (41%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. The latest Scott Rasmussen survey finds that 53% disapprove and 7% are not sure.

The latest numbers suggest ongoing slippage in support for the president. In September and the first half of October, the president’s approval averaged 45%. From mid-October to early December, the president’s Job Approval ratings were consistently around 43%. However, since a December 8-10 survey, the average has slipped to 41%.

The current totals include 18% of voters who Strongly Approve of the president’s performance while 39% Strongly Disapprove.

Other data shows that, on each of six key issues, more voters disapprove than approve of President Biden’s performance. His weakest ratings are on the topic of immigration where just 31% approve and 57% disapprove. Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters believe the Biden Administration is making it too easy for illegal immigrants to enter the country. Just 10% disagree. Most voters (55%) believe drug cartels have more control of the southern border than the U.S. government.

On the topic of government spending and taxes, just 36% approve and 54% disapprove (net rating -18). That may partly reflect the fact that his Build Back Better plan had a number of extraordinarily unpopular items. Additionally, most voters share Senator Joe Manchin’s concerns and believe the president’s plan would have made inflation worse.

The president’s struggles are also reflected in the Generic Congressional Ballot where Republicans hold a six point advantage.

Given a choice between four presidential candidates with equal skills and temperament, 31% would prefer a Republican who supported policies like those of President Trump. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 20% would prefer a Democrat who supported policies similar to Senator Bernie Sanders, 19% favor a more traditional Democrat, and 17% a more traditional Republican.

The current numbers show 48% of voters favoring one of the Republican leaning options while 39% prefer a Democratic leaning set of policies. Prior to the 2020 Election, the parties were evenly divided on this measure.

Globally, 72% believe China is actively trying to replace the United States as the world’s leading superpower. Seventy-six percent (76%) think it is important for the United States to contain China’s global ambitions. Only 11% disagree and 13% are not sure.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Biden is performing his job?

18%    Strongly approve

23%    Somewhat approve

14%    Somewhat disapprove

39%    Strongly disapprove

7%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on December 21-22, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Job Approval Stable at 42%; 52% Disapprove

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. The latest Scott Rasmussen survey finds that 52% disapprove and 5% are not sure.

Perceptions of the president have remained quite stable. Over ten surveys conducted in November and December, eight found the president’s approval within two points of 43%. One was a point above that range and one a point below.

That suggests a slight decline from September and October when the president’s approval averaged 45%.

The current totals include 18% of voters who Strongly Approve of the president’s performance while 37% Strongly Disapprove.

This survey was conducted prior to Senator Joe Manchin’s announcement that he would not support the Build Back Better plan. It is not clear that Manchin’s decision will have any significant impact on President Biden’s approval.

Last month we noted that passage of that plan would have little impact. That was primarily because few voters were paying attention. The lack of voter awareness may have been a blessing for the president since his proposal included extraordinarily unpopular items. Additionally, most voters share Manchin’s concern and believe the president’s plan would have made inflation worse.

Republicans have called Biden’s plan as a Big Government Socialism Bill. Fifty-three percent (53%) now say it’s accurate to describe the president’s overall agenda as big government socialism.

Another challenge for the president is growing pessimism about the pandemic. Just 29% believe the worst is behind us. That’s a single point above the lowest level recorded since vaccines became available. Eleven percent (11%) now believe it will never end.

Voters are clearly frustrated with both the pandemic itself and the government response to it. Forty-eight percent (48%) think scientists would falsify their data to support their personal views of what should be done. Looking back, 58% of voters believe that shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good.

On another front, 32% think it’s Very Likely that democracy in America will end in the next generation or so. That total includes 11% who believe it has already ended. Republicans are significantly more worried about democracy ending than Democrats. A plurality of voters sees Democrats as a bigger threat to democracy than Republicans.

Finally, most voters believe drug cartels have control over the southern border. To challenge the cartels, 60% favor sending military forces and equipment to secure the border.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Biden is performing his job?

18%    Strongly approve

24%    Somewhat approve

15%    Somewhat disapprove

37%    Strongly disapprove

5%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on December 14-15, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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53% See Biden Agenda as Big Government Socialism; 23% Disagree

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters believe it is accurate to describe the agenda of the Biden administration as big government socialism. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 23% of voters disagree and 24% are not sure.

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Republicans believe it’s accurate to describe the agenda as big government socialism. So do a plurality of Democrats (46%) and Independents (42%).

Fifty-two percent (52%) of Hispanic voters see the Biden agenda as big government socialism. That may be one reason many Hispanic voters are shifting their loyalties away from the Democratic party.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question:

Is it accurate to describe the agenda of the Biden administration as big government socialism?

53%       Yes

23%       No

24%       Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on December 6-8, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden: 43% Approve, 52% Disapprove… Build Back Better Plan Unlikely to Help

Forty-three percent (43%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. The latest Scott Rasmussen survey finds that 52% disapprove and 5% are not sure. The numbers reflect a slight improvement from the president’s lowest approval ratings.

Those totals include just 21% of voters who Strongly Approve of the president’s performance while 39% Strongly Disapprove.

For most of September and the first half of October, the president’s Job Approval averaged 45%. However, over the past eight surveys, an average of 43%  have voiced approval for President Biden. Six of those eight surveys have found the president’s ratings within two points of the average.

The legislation being considered in Congress is unlikely to boost the president’s numbers partly because voters have largely tuned out. Just 19% recognize both that the infrastructure bill passed and that the Build Back Better plan has not.

The lack of voter awareness about his legislative efforts may, in fact, be a blessing for the president. At a time when just 9% believe that the worst of inflation is behind us, 56% believe the president’s plan will make things worse by increasing inflation.

Beyond that, the Build Back Better plan–called the Big Government Socialism Bill by Republicans– has a number of extraordinarily unpopular provisions.

Beyond the political problems with the Build Back Better plan, another challenge facing the president is that pessimism about the pandemic is growing again. However, pessimistic voters have wildly different concerns. Only half (51%) are worried about ongoing health issues. Thirty-six percent (36%) are worried about more government restrictions and mandates.

These results help explain why 49% of voters believe relaxing vaccine mandates, mask requirements, and social distancing guidelines would be good for the economy. Just 30% disagree.

Other data shows that 59% of voters favor relaxing vaccine mandates to ease supply chain issues. Additionally, 61% favor relaxing vaccine mandates for police officers, fire fighters, and health care workers.

These findings, along with other data, provide a sense that support for vaccine mandates is soft. Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters now say they favor the mandates. That’s down six points over the past two months.

Finally, despite the heated rhetoric on both sides, just 13% see Kyle Rittenhouse as a hero. A larger number–25%– say that he is a murderer. However, a solid plurality of 43%  believe Rittenhouse did stupid things but is not a murderer.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Biden is performing his job?

21%    Strongly approve

22%    Somewhat approve

13%    Somewhat disapprove

39%    Strongly disapprove

5%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on November 22-23, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Job Approval Hits New Low at 40%

Forty percent (40%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. That’s down three points from three weeks ago and down seven points from mid-October. The latest Scott Rasmussen survey finds that 55% disapprove and 4% are not sure.

Those totals include just 17% of voters who Strongly Approve of the president’s performance while 39% Strongly Disapprove.

For most of September and the first half of October, the president’s Job Approval averaged 45%. However, over the past five surveys, an average of 43%  have voiced approval for President Biden. The current survey is the lowest level yet recorded for the president in a Scott Rasmussen survey.

Looking ahead, 60% of voters say the economy is Very Important to their voting decision. Fifty-three percent (53%) say that both COVID and Election integrity are Very Important.

Lagging behind in voter priorities are Gun Laws (49%), Climate Change (45%), Economic Inequality (39%), and the January 6 assault on the U.S. Capitol (38%).

Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters believe economic policy should focus on encouraging growth rather than fighting economic inequality. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 27% disagree and 12% are not sure.

Forty-four percent (44%) believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. Another 29% have ongoing concerns about health related issues while 20% have ongoing concerns about government restrictions. Overall, that means nearly two-thirds of voters (64%) believe either that the worst is behind us or fear ongoing government restrictions.

Republicans continue to hold a 41% – 40% edge on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

The president’s low job approval ratings come as the vast majority of Americans experience sharp inflation (77%) and supply chain issues (63%).

Fifty-seven percent (57%) believe inflation is a tax on the poor. Just 23% disagree. Additionally, at a time when the president wants Congress to pass a social welfare spending bill, 59% of voters nationwide believe increased government spending leads to inflation. Only 14% disagree.

The legislation–called the Build Back Better plan by Democrats and the Big Government Socialism bill by Republicans– is still being negotiated by Democratic factions in Congress. One point of contention between progressive Democrats and more moderate Democrats is Medicare.  Among voters, 53% believe it is more important to provide funding that would protect the existing Medicare program rather than expanding Medicare by adding new benefits.

Saule Omarova, President Biden’s nominee to serve as Comptroller of the Currency., has advocated  eliminating all private banks in the United States and having the federal government provide banking services for everyone. Just 23% of voters support that idea.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Biden is performing his job?

17%    Strongly approve

23%    Somewhat approve

16%    Somewhat disapprove

39%    Strongly disapprove

5%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on November 8-9, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden: 43% Approve; 53% Disapprove

Forty-three percent (43%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. That’s down four points from mid-October. However, eight of the last ten Scott Rasmussen national surveys have shown the president’s positive ratings all within 2 points of 45% in either direction.

The latest survey finds that 53% disapprove and 4% are not sure.

Those totals include just 19% of voters who Strongly Approve of the president’s performance while 40% Strongly Disapprove.

The president’s low job approval ratings come as the vast majority of Americans experience sharp inflation (77%) and supply chain issues (63%).

Fifty-seven percent (57%) believe inflation is a tax on the poor. Just 23% disagree. Additionally, at a time when the president wants Congress to pass a social welfare spending bill, 59% of voters nationwide believe increased government spending leads to inflation. Only 14% disagree.

The legislation–called the Build Back Better plan by Democrats and the Big Government Socialism bill by Republicans– is still being negotiated by Democratic factions in Congress. One point of contention between progressive Democrats and more moderate Democrats is Medicare.  Among voters, 53% believe it is more important to provide funding that would protect the existing Medicare program rather than expanding Medicare by adding new benefits.

Democrats in Congress have offered various plans to pay for the Build Back Better plan. Several include providing with more access to personal and business financial information. This effort is strongly rejected by voters: 72%think the IRS collects too much personal information that should remain private. Rather than giving the agency more access, voters believe that more privacy protections are needed.

The Build Back Better plan has also included more than $10 billion in payments to illegal immigrants. Twenty-eight percent (28%) of voters favor that provision while 60% are opposed.

On a more basic level, 65% of voters believe the federal government is actively working to get more power and control over the lives of everyday Americans.

President Biden is seen as politically liberal by 55% of voters and moderate by 22%

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question 1:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Biden is performing his job?

19%    Strongly approve

24%    Somewhat approve

13%    Somewhat disapprove

40%    Strongly disapprove

4%    Not sure

Question 2:

Suppose you had a choice between four presidential candidates. All four had equal skills and temperament. Would you prefer a Republican who supported policies like President Trump, a more traditional Republican, a Democrat who supported policies similar to Senator Bernie Sanders, or a more traditional Democrat?

36%    Trump policies

13%    Traditional GOP

19%    Sanders policies

22%    Trad DEM

10%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 25-27, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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55% See Biden as Politically Liberal; 22% Say Moderate; 10% Conservative

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters see President Biden as politically liberal while 22% him as a moderate. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 10% see the president as politically conservative while 13% are not sure.

From a different perspective, 40% see the president as a progressive Democrat while 34% see him as a traditional Democrat.

Most Republicans (53%) see President Biden as a progressive Democrat. However, a plurality (48%) of Democrats see the president as a traditional Democrat. A plurality (38%) of Independent voters are not sure.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question 1:

Shifting to a different topic… In political terms, is President Biden liberal, moderate, or conservative?

35%    Very liberal

20%    Somewhat liberal

22%    Moderate

  5%    Somewhat conservative

  5%    Very conservative

13%    Not sure

Question 2:

Do you consider President Biden to be a progressive Democrat or a traditional Democrat? 

40%    Progressive Democrat

34%    Traditional Democrat

26%    Neither

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 11-13, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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Biden’s Approval Stabilizes: 47% Approve, 48% Disapprove

Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. That’s up two points since  late September but down a point from mid-September. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 48% disapprove and 5% are not sure.

While the president’s numbers have stabilized, opinions are stronger on the negative side. Just 22% of voters Strongly Approve of the president’s performance, down seven points from a week ago and the lowest level yet measured. Thirty-five percent (35%)Strongly Disapprove.

The president’s approval ratings are underwater on five key issues facing the nation– Immigration (-18), Taxes and Government Spending (-13), the Economy (-5), National Security (-4), and Healthcare (-1). The president received a net positive approval rating only on his handling of COVID (+8).

It is perhaps not surprising that the president receives such negative marks on taxes and government spending as his budget plan is being debated in Congress.

The plan includes some popular provisions but many other that are problematic for voters.

Beyond the budget battles, 67% of voters consider the situation at the border to be a crisis. Just 22% say Biden has done a good or excellent job dealing with it.

Perhaps a deeper problem for the president is that his plan envisions Washington as the engine of change. However, 64% of voters believe positive change in America begins outside the political system.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Biden is performing his job?

22%    Strongly approve

25%    Somewhat approve

13%    Somewhat disapprove

35%    Strongly disapprove

5%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 14-16, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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Biden Approval Underwater on Immigration, Taxes & Gov’t Spending, Economy, National Security & Healthcare

President Biden’s approval ratings are underwater on five key issues facing the nation– Immigration (-18), Taxes and Government Spending (-13), the Economy (-5), National Security (-4), and Healthcare (-1).

A Scott Rasmussen national survey found the president receiving positive approval only on his handling of COVID (+8).

The president’s low ratings are consistent with other data showing that voters give him low marks for handling the situation at the Southern border. The border situation is considered a crisis by 67% of voters.

Only 38% of voters approve of way the president is addressing taxes and government spending. Fifty-one percent (51%) disapprove. This may be particularly significant during Congressional debate over what Democrats call the Build Back Better plan and Republicans call the Big Government Socialism bill.

Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Democrats approve of the way the president is handling Taxes and Government Spending. Disapproval comes from 77% of Republicans and 56% of Independents.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question:

Please let me know if you approve or disapprove of the way President Biden is handling each of the following issues:

The economy

19%    Strongly approve

25%    Somewhat approve

14%    Somewhat disapprove

35%    Strongly disapprove

7%    Not sure

COVID

26%    Strongly approve

25%    Somewhat approve

13%    Somewhat disapprove

30%    Strongly disapprove

6%    Not sure

Immigration

18%    Strongly approve

25%    Somewhat approve

13%    Somewhat disapprove

34%    Strongly disapprove

10%    Not sure

National security

20%    Strongly approve

23%    Somewhat approve

15%    Somewhat disapprove

29%    Strongly disapprove

12%    Not sure

Healthcare

15%    Strongly approve

22%    Somewhat approve

17%    Somewhat disapprove

38%    Strongly disapprove

9%    Not sure

Taxes and government spending

17%    Strongly approve

21%    Somewhat approve

13%    Somewhat disapprove

38%    Strongly disapprove

11%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 11-13, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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58% Have Confidence In American Elections

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters are confident that American elections are conducted in a manner that ensures all votes are counted and that the proper winners are declared. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 35% lack such confidence and 7% are not sure.

The totals include 31% who are Very Confident and 18% who are Not at All Confident.

As has been true for decades, the party winning the White House has greater confidence in the election process. Eighty-three percent (83%) of Democrats have confidence in American elections. Just 48% of Independent voters and 42% or Republicans agree.

Looking back, most Democrats (54%) continue to believe that Hillary Clinton was the legitimate winner of the 2016 presidential election. Most Republicans (63%) believe that Donald Trump was the legitimate winner in 2020.

Just 30% of voters are confident that the right person was declared president in both 2016 and 2020.

These perceptions have changed little since March.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 28-29, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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Biden: 45% Approve; Strong Approval at 18%, Down 7 Over Past Week

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. That’s down three points from a week ago. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 48% disapprove and 6% are not sure.

Just 18% of voters Strongly Approve of the president’s performance, down seven points from a week ago and the lowest level yet measured. Thirty-four percent (34%)Strongly Disapprove.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of voters consider the situation at the border to be a crisis and just 22% say Biden has done a good or excellent job dealing with it.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters disapprove of the president’s decision to remove American troops from Afghanistan before all Americans were evacuated. Twenty-one percent (21%) give the president good marks for handling that withdrawal.

On the legislative front, voters are evenly divided when given a choice between passing or rejecting both the bi-partisan infrastructure legislation and the $3.5 trillion reconciliation package: 40% would prefer to pass both bills while 38% would like to see both rejected. Voters are also evenly divided as to whether Biden’s policies are good or bad for the middle class.

The two spending bills include some popular provisions but 77% of voters expect the final package will also include “Inappropriate” provisions inserted by lobbyists.

  • One such provision would provide tax credits of up to $50,000 for print journalists. Just 19% of voters favor that provision.
  • Another provision that may be included would require banks to notify the IRS of every transaction of $600 or more made by every American. Just 18% like that idea while 73% are opposed.

Voters also overwhelmingly believe that higher corporate tax rates will lead to higher prices for consumers.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 24-25, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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42% Say Biden Policies Good for the Middle Class; 39% Say Bad

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters believe President Biden’s policies are good for middle class Americans while 39% say they are bad.

Not surprisingly, a Scott Rasmussen national survey found a huge partisan divide. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Democrats believe Biden’s policies are good for the middle class while 69% of Republicans take the opposite view. Among Independents, 31% say the policies are good for the middle class while 35% say bad.

It is interesting to note that upper income Americans are far more likely than others to see Biden’s policies as good for the middle class.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 22, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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21% Approve of Biden’s Handling of Afghanistan Withdrawal

Twenty-one percent (21%) of voters give President Biden good or excellent marks for handling the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that figure is down ten points from the beginning of September.

Just 42% of Democrats now say the president did a good or excellent job. That’s down 18 points from the beginning of the month.

Only 13% of Independents and 7% of Republicans give the president such positive reviews on handing the withdrawal.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters disapprove of the president’s decision to remove American troops from Afghanistan before all Americans were evacuated. That’s up four points from earlier in the month. Only 33% even somewhat approve of the president’s decision.

Seventy-four percent (74%) think it’s likely that Americans left behind in Afghanistan will eventually be discovered by the Taliban and tortured or killed.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 24-25, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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67% Say Situation at Southern Border a Crisis; 22% Give Biden Good Marks for Dealing With It

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of voters believe the situation at the Southern border is a crisis. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 17% disagree.

At the same time, just 22% think the Biden Administration is doing a good or excellent job dealing with the situation. That’s down nine points since August and 14 points from 36% in late May.

Forty-two percent (42%) of Democrats give the Biden team good marks. Just 13% of Independent voters and 9% of Republicans agree.

Overall, 44% of voters are at least somewhat confident in the ability of the Biden Administration to keep America safe. Forty-eight percent (48%) are not.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 24-25, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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Biden Job Approval Stabilizes: 48% Approve, 48% Disapprove

Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 48% disapprove and 4% are not sure. That’s essentially unchanged from a week ago.

Those totals include 25% who Strongly Approve and 35% who Strongly Disapprove.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters  at least somewhat favor the president’s vaccination mandate order. At the same time, however, 54% of voters nationwide believe vaccine requirements should be determined in the private sector.

How can a majority think decisions should be made in the private sector at the same time a majority supports Biden’s top-down approach?

It turns out that just 36% of those who favor the president’s plan believe the federal government should make such decisions. Another 20% of those who support the president’s mandate believe the decision should be made at the state or local level. At the same time, 27% believe the decision should be made either by individual companies or workers.

These results suggest that support for the president’s plan is driven more by partisan loyalty rather than the plan itself.

Adding to the softness of support for the president’s vaccine mandate is the fact that just 33% of voters believe he has the legal authority to order private companies to impose a vaccine requirement. Even among those who favor the plan, just over half (54%) believe Biden has the legal authority to impose it.

Related data shows that 39% of voters have relatives or close friends who will get vaccinated against their will because they don’t want to lose their job. That total includes 60% of Hispanic voters.

Additionally, 66% of voters are close to resuming their normal life in terms of going out socially, traveling, and interacting with others in person.

Still, pessimism about the pandemic remains high. Just 28%believe the worst is behind us. Forty-five percent (45%) believe the worst is yet to come. That matches the most pessimistic assessment since the vaccines rolled out in January.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 16-18, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 263 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

 

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Biden Job Approval Rebounds Following Speech: 47% Approve, 48% Disapprove

Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 48% disapprove and 5% are not sure.

The survey, conducted in the two days following the president’s speech announcing new COVID mandates, shows a modest bounce for the president. His approval numbers are up five points from earlier in September and up one from mid-August.

The biggest gains for the president came from voters who prefer traditional Republican policies. Prior to the speech, 26% of these voters approved of the president’s performance. That jumped 14 points to 40% in the latest survey.

However, the president’s numbers improved only two points among Independents.

The current totals include 29% who Strongly Approve and 36% who Strongly Disapprove. These numbers also indicate a bounce for the president.

The president’s speech increased voter enthusiasm for the midterm elections across the board. Those who prefer Trump-like policies remain more motivated to vote than other segments of the population.

The survey found little change on the Generic Congressional Ballot. The parties remain tied among Registered Voters while the GOP has a slight edge among motivated voters.

Data released earlier showed that Democratic voters see supporters of Donald Trump and the unvaccinated as the biggest threats facing the nation. Democrats were less likely to express serious concern about the Taliban, China, or Russia (37%).

Among Republicans and Independents, the top three threats are the Taliban, Defund the Police Activists, and China.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 10-11, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 239 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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Vice President Harris: 46% Favorable 44% Unfavorable

Vice President Kamala Harris is viewed favorably by 46% of the nation’s voters and unfavorably by 44%. A Scott Rasmussen national survey also found that the four top Congressional leaders are all “underwater” in their ratings

  • Nancy Pelosi: Favorable 39% Unfavorable 50%
  • Kevin McCarthy: Favorable 28% Unfavorable 35%
  • Chuck Schumer: Favorable 36% Unfavorable 39%
  • Mitch McConnell: Favorable 31% Unfavorable 48%

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 8, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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Following Biden Speech, Interest in Midterm Elections Up Across the Board

Following President Biden’s speech announcing new COVID mandates, 63% of Registered Voters feel Very Motivated to cast a ballot in next year’s midterm elections. That’s up five points from a Scott Rasmussen national survey conducted in late August.

The increased enthusiasm was found across the board.

  • Voters who prefer policies like those of former President Trump continue to have the highest level of motivation. Seventy percent (75%) of these populist voters are Very Motivated, up five points from the previous survey.
  • Among the smaller number who prefer traditional Republican policies, 56% are now Very Motivated, up six.
  • Sixty-seven percent (67%) of those who prefer policies like those of Senator Bernie Sanders, up seven.
  • Sixty-six percent (66%) of those who prefer traditional Democratic candidates are now Very Motivated, up five.

Overall, 72% of Republicans are Very Motivated along with 69% of Democrats.

However, among independent voters, 77% of those who lean Republican are Very Motivated to cast a ballot in the midterms. Just 57% of those who lean towards the Democrats are that enthusiastic.

The survey was conducted on the Friday and Saturday following the president’s speech. It will be interesting to see if the new level of interest is just a temporary blip or a lasting change.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 10-11, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 239 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

 

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31% Given Biden Good or Excellent Marks for Handling Afghanistan Withdrawal

Thirty-one percent (31%) of voters give President Biden good or excellent marks for handling the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 46% say he did a poor job. In between are rate the president’s performance as just fair.

Sixty percent (60%) of Democrats say the president did a good or excellent job. Just 18% of Independents and 13% of Republicans agree.

The poor marks for the president come despite the fact that 64% of voters approve of the decision to withdraw from Afghanistan. However, most voters (54%) disapprove of removing American troops before all Americans were evacuated. Seventy-four percent (74%) think it’s likely that Americans left behind in Afghanistan will eventually be discovered by the Taliban and tortured or killed.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 2-5, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 151 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

 

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54% Disapprove of Removing Troops From Afghanistan Before All Americans Were Evacuated

Just 38% of Registered Voters approve of President Biden’s decision to remove all troops from Afghanistan before all Americans were evacuated from that country. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 54% disapprove and 8% are not sure.

Those totals include 17% who Strongly Approve of the decision and 41% who Strongly Disapprove.

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of Democrats approve of the president’s decision. However, 78% of Republicans and 58% of Independent voters disapprove.

The survey also found that 74% of voters think it’s at least somewhat likely that Americans left behind in Afghanistan will eventually be discovered by the Taliban and tortured or killed. Only 14% consider it unlikely.

Those totals include 46% who think it’s Very Likely Americans will be tortured or killed by the Taliban and 3% who say it’s Not at All Likely.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 2-5, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 151 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

 

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Biden Job Approval Drops to 42%

Forty-two percent (42%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 52% disapprove and 5% are not sure.

Biden’s approval rating is down four points two weeks ago, nine points from two months ago and down 13 points from three months ago.

As the president’s ratings decline, 46% of Democrats have come to believe that things would be better today if Senator Bernie Sanders had become president instead of Joe Biden. Just 10% of Democrats disagree and believe things would be worse.

The current totals include 23% who Strongly Approve and 41% who Strongly Disapprove. These results are by far the most negative assessments yet measured for the president.

The president does earn rave reviews from voters with a postgraduate degree. Among those with a masters or a doctorate, 68% offer their approval while only 30% disapprove.

Among all other voters, just 36% approve and 58% disapprove. This includes voters with a bachelor’s degree, some college, and no college.

The gap between those with a postgraduate degree and the rest of the nation is found on a variety of issues. For example, among all voters, 34% agree that “The only way to save the planet is for the government to impose strict mandates and regulations on the way people live and the amount of energy they use.” Most (57%) disagree.

But things look different among those with high levels of formal education. Most voters with a postgraduate degree (55%) agree that, to save the planet, there is a need for strict government rules on lifestyles and energy use. However, by a 61% to 30% margin, all other voters reject that view.

It is likely that the president’s numbers will rebound somewhat as the withdrawal from Afghanistan moves further behind us. However, there is no way to tell at this moment how fully his approval ratings will recover. Presidents Obama and Trump both spent most of their first term with Job Approval ratings below 50%.

In addition to Afghanistan and the Southern border, pessimism about the pandemic is growing again. Just 25% of voters believe the worst is behind us. That’s down 31 points over the past three months and the lowest level of optimism measured since the vaccines became available.

On the policy front, 57% of voters believe that shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 2-5, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 151 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

 

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46% of Dems Think Things Would Be Better If Sanders was President; 10% Think Things Would Be Worse

Forty-six percent (46%) of Democrats believe that things would be better today if Senator Bernie Sanders had become president instead of Joe Biden. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that only 10% of Democrats disagree and believe things would be worse with a President Sanders. Thirty-seven percent (37%) believe things would be about the same.

Among all voters, 29% think things would be better, 24% say worse, and 37% about the same.

The survey also found that 41% of voters nationwide think it’s likely Sanders could have defeated President Donald Trump in the 2020 election. However, 46% consider it unlikely and 13% are not sure.

Those figures include 19% who think it’s Very Likely Sanders could have defeated Trump and 22% who say Not at All Likely.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 26-29, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 236 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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Biden Approval Down to 46% Amidst Concerns About Afghanistan, Immigration, and the Pandemic

Forty-six percent (46%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 46% disapprove and 7% are not sure.

Biden’s approval rating is down five points from a month ago and down nine points from two months ago.

The current totals include 22% who Strongly Approve and 35% who Strongly Disapprove. That is by far the most negative assessments yet measured for the president.

One major challenge for the president is that just 45% of voters have confidence in the ability of the Biden Administration to keep America safe. Following the chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan, 49% of all voters believe that our enemies view us as weaker than before. Just 21% disagree.

As a result, 59% think a major terrorist attack in the U.S. is somewhat or very likely within the next year.

The situation at the Southern border may also be a factor in the general lack of confidence. Just 28% of voters believe the federal government today is seriously trying to secure the border and reduce illegal immigration. There is a strong belief that many of those crossing the border illegally are drug dealers, human traffickers, and more.

Adding to the president’s burden, pessimism about the pandemic is growing again. Just 25% of voters believe the worst is behind us. That’s down 31 points over the past three months and the lowest level of optimism measured since the vaccines became available.

On the policy front, 57% of voters believe that shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 215 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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45% Confident in Biden Administration to Keep Nation Safe; 48% Are Not

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters have at least some confidence in the ability of the Biden Administration to keep America safe. A Scott Rasmussen survey found that 48% do not.

Those totals include 20% who are Very Confident in the ability of the Biden team to keep us safe and 32% who are Not at All Confident.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Democrats express confidence in the Administration. That confidence is shared by 29% of Independent voters and 17% of Republicans.

The situation at the Southern border may be a factor in the general lack of confidence. Data released earlier showed that 58% of voters believe that drug cartels have more control of the Southern border than the U.S. government.

Just 28% of voters believe the federal government today is seriously trying to secure the border and reduce illegal immigration. There is a strong belief that many of those crossing the border illegally are drug dealers, human traffickers, and more.

When given a choice, 42% of all voters see China as a bigger threat than either Russia or Afghanistan. Of those three nations, 18% see Russia as the biggest threat while 16% point to Afghanistan. Following the chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan, 49% of all voters believe that our enemies view us as weaker than before. Just 21% disagree.

Data released earlier showed that 59% think a major terrorist attack in the U.S. is somewhat or very likely within the next year.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 215 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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On Immigration, Voters Prefer Trump Over Biden

Regardless of their view on other issues, 45% of voters believe President Trump had better immigration policies than President Biden. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 40% prefer the Biden approach.

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Republicans prefer Trump while 73% of Democrats like the Biden approach. Among Independents, Trump is favored by a 42% to 21% margin.

These results come at a time when just 31% of voters believe President Biden is doing a good job handling the situation at the Southern border.

Sixty percent (60%) of voters believe the growing number of illegal immigrants to be an invasion of the United States. But they’re not sure which side the federal government is on.  Just 28% of voters believe the federal government today is even trying to secure the border and reduce illegal immigration.

If the federal government does not make an effort to secure the border, 61% believe state governments should be allowed to take over and secure their state border. Just 21% are opposed to state action.

There is a strong belief among voters that many of those crossing the border illegally are drug dealers, human traffickers, and more.  Data released earlier showed that 58% of voters believe that drug cartels have more control of the Southern border than the U.S. government.

Half of all voters see illegal immigration as a crisis, an assessment the Biden Administration rejects.

Other recent polling data showed that 32% of voters believe all, or just about all, illegal immigrants living in the United States should be granted amnesty and allowed to remain in the country. Forty-two percent (42%) are opposed.

Nineteen percent (19%) of voters believe that U.S. border patrol agents re too harsh in dealing with illegal immigrants. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 33% believe they are too lenient.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen from August 10-11, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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31% Give Biden Good/Excellent Marks for Dealing With the Southern Border

When it comes to the situation at the Southern border of the United States, 31% of voters say the Biden Administration is doing a good or excellent job. That’s down five points from 36% in late May.

A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 38% say the presidents’ team is doing a poor job with the border. In between are 19% who rate the performance as fair. Eleven percent (11%) are not sure.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Democrats give the president positive marks for handling the border. Just 17% of Republicans and 17% of Independents agree.

The survey also found that 75% of voters believe legal immigration is good for the United States. Just 12% believe it is bad and only 15% believe illegal immigration is good for the nation.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen from August 10-11, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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61% Say Biden Likely To Raise Middle Class Taxes

Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters believe it is likely that the Biden Administration will raise taxes on middle class Americans. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 27% consider it unlikely and 12% are not sure.

These results are especially stunning given that, before being asked the question, survey respondents were reminded that President Biden has promised not to raise taxes on anyone earning less than $400,000 a year.

Republicans overwhelmingly believe tax hikes are coming for the middle class. Democrats are evenly divided with a very modest plurality expecting tax hikes. Among Independent voters, 44% say the middle class taxes are likely while 25% disagree.

Most voters (53%) believe that tax hikes hurt the economy while just 23% believe they help. Voters who prefer Trump like policies and Traditional Republican policies share a strong believe that tax hikes are bad for the economy.

However, there is a divide on this issue between Sanders’ Democrats and Traditional Democrats. By a 42% to 31% margin, those who favor Sanders like policies believe tax hikes are good for the economy. By a mirror image 42% to 27% margin, Traditional Republicans believe they are bad.

Voters with a postgraduate degree are evenly divided as to whether tax hikes or good or bad for the economy. Among all other voters, most believe tax hikes hurt the economy.

Data released earlier shows that 59% of voters nationwide believe increased government spending leads to inflation. That helps explain why just 22% of voters want Congress and the President to increase federal spending next year.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen from August 4-9, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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74% of Vaccine Reluctant Oppose Biden’s Door-to-Door Vaccination Effort

President Biden has called for a door-to-door campaign designed to encourage more people to get the COVID vaccine. However, the proposal is extremely unpopular among the target audience. Seventy-four percent (74%) of vaccine-reluctant voters are opposed to the door-to-door campaign. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 16% are in favor of the plan.

Those totals include 56% who are Strongly Opposed and just 9% who Strongly Favor the campaign.

Whatever the Administration’s intentions, these figures suggest that the door-to-door campaign may work as an effective get-out-the-vote campaign for Republicans.

Vaccine-reluctant voters include those who want to wait and see how it works before getting vaccinated; those who are in no particular rush to get vaccinated; and, those who say they will never get vaccinated.

As you might expect, opposition is strongest among those who say they will never get vaccinated. Eighty-four percent (84%) of them oppose Biden’s plan. That includes 74% who are Strongly Opposed. Still, even among those who are merely reluctant or taking their time, two-thirds (66%) oppose the Biden effort.

Overall, among all voters, opinion is mixed: 43% favor the plan and 48% are opposed. Support comes primarily from the fact that 62% of Democrats like the Biden plan. However, 68% of Republicans and 51% of Independents are opposed.

Voters with a postgraduate degree favor the plan by  a 61% to 32% margin. However, a majority of all other voters (51%) oppose the door-to-door effort.

This is yet another issue where the views of those with postgraduate degrees are out of step with the nation at large. For example, these elite voters are evenly divided on a plan that would ban gun ownership for all but police and government officials. Among all other voters, that proposal is opposed by a 69% to 24% margin.

Also, by a 50% to 39% margin, those with a postgraduate degree believe restrictions on gun ownership would do more to reduce violence than having the police crackdown on gang activity would be more effective than placing restrictions on gun ownership. All other voters, by a 56% to 32% margin, reject the elite perspective.

Policies seen as an elitist approach based upon a condescending view of other voters often lead to a strong backlash.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 15-17, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 179 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Approval Slips to 51%, Down 4 From Month Ago

Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 41% disapprove and 7% are not sure.

Biden’s approval rating is down four points from a month ago and the lowest level of approval yet measured.

The current totals include 29% who Strongly Approve and 32% who Strongly Disapprove. This is the first time the number who Strongly Disapprove has topped the number who Strongly Approve.

The dynamics are very similar to the pattern from President Obama’s tenure. Both presidents started with high levels of approval that slowly drifted downward. For both, the Strong Disapproval first topped Strong Approval in early summer.

Obama’s approval rating drifted down to the high 40s by the fall and remained there for most of his first term. It will be interesting to see whether Biden’s numbers continue to follow that trajectory.

Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Democrats approve of Biden’s performance while 79% of Republicans disapprove. Among independents 41% approve and 37% disapprove.

When it comes to approval of Biden, there is little difference between those who prefer Bernie Sanders-like policies and those who would rather see traditional Democratic polices.

However, there is a wide gap between those who support policies like those of former President Trump and those who prefer traditional Republican policies.

  • Among those who prefer Trump-like policies, just 13% offer Biden a positive review while 85% give the current president a negative assessment.
  • Among those who prefer traditional Republican policies, 40% approve of Biden’s performance while 53% disapprove.

The number supporting Trump-like policies is much higher than the number preferring a traditional Republican approach. Among Democrats, the competing Establishment and Populist wings are roughly the same size.

Other recent survey data shows that 28% say  28% Say President Biden has been better than  they expected. Twenty-seven percent (27%) say he has bee worse than expected. Looking to Congress, 47% approve of Democrats in Congress while 41% say the same about Republicans in Congress.

One area of significant weakness for Biden has been immigration and the situation at the Southern border. Part of the problem may be that the president refuses to treat it as a serious crisis. Among all voters, Overall, 50% see illegal immigration as a crisis, comparable to the number who see gun violence in that manner.

Other data shows that 70% of voters believe immigration and border control to be a national security issue. Additionally, 60% see the growing number of illegal immigrants to be an invasion of the United States. Not only that, 58% believe drug cartels have more control of the border than the U.S. government.

Moving forward, this site will continue to update the president’s job approval rating every month or so.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 8-10, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 231 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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47% Believe Big Tech Companies Actively Supported Biden in 2020; 10% Say They Supported Trump

Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters believe Big Tech companies actively supported Joe Biden during the 2020 presidential election. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 10% think they actively supported Donald Trump.

Twenty percent (20%) believe that the companies remained neutral and 23% are not sure.

In every measured demographic group, more voters believed that the companies supported Biden rather than Trump. Even Democrats, by a 3-to-1 margin, held that view.

Other data showed that 78% of voters believe tech companies like Twitter, Facebook, and Google  could swing the results of the election to benefit their preferred candidate. Additionally, 62% believe technology companies have too much influence on our politics and political campaigns.

Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act gives big tech companies special immunity from prosecution for things posted on their platforms. Since they received this immunity from the government, 63% of voters believe they should they be required to abide by the 1st Amendment guarantee of free speech.

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of voters believe it is more important to ensure that social media companies operate fairly rather than protecting the companies from government interference. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 19% disagree and believe protecting social media companies from government interference is the higher priority.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 24-27, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.   Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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28% Say Biden Better Than Expected, 27% Say Worse

Twenty-eight percent (28%) of voters say that, so far, President Biden has been better than they expected. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that a nearly identical number–27%– hold the opposite view. Forty percent (40%) say he’s been about what they expected and 5% are not sure.

Not surprisingly, there is a partisan difference. By a 45% to 6% margin, Democrats say the president has exceeded their expectations. However, by a 51% to 12% margin, Republicans think he has been worse than they feared.

Most Independent voters (56%) say either that Biden is about what they expected or they don’t know enough to have an opinion.

The fissures within each political party are somewhat visible in this data. Among those who prefer Traditional Republican policies, 20% say Biden is better than they expected. Among those who prefer Trump-like policies, only 9% hold that view.

On the flip side, just 3% of those who favor traditional Democratic policies say the president has been worse than expected. However, among those who prefer Sanders like policies, 10% have been disappointed.

It will be interesting to see if these divides grow over time.

Other recent polling showed that just 15% of voters believe the country will be more unified in a year. Thirty-two percent (32%) expect it to be more polarized.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 29-30, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc.   Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Approval At 55%

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 34% disapprove and 6% are not sure.

The current totals currently include 32% who Strongly Approve and 32% who Strongly Disapprove.

Overall approval of the president is little changed from the first two months of the Biden Administration. However, the number who Strongly Disapprove has inched up a bit.

Among people who are on-line almost constantly, 69% approve of the president’s performance. Just 25% disapprove. Among the rest of the nation’s voters, opinions of the president are evenly divided: 48% approve and 45% disapprove.

That gap is consistent with data released earlier showing that 42% of those who are online almost constantly are Democrats. Just 27% align with the GOP. Among the rest of the nation’s voters, a modest plurality (36%) are Republicans. This helps explain why many social media platforms appear supportive of political views that are far more progressive than the nation at large.

While the president’s overall ratings are positive, just 36% give Biden good or excellent marks for handling the border situation.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters nationwide believe it is fair to describe the United States as a Melting Pot. Twenty-one percent (21%) disagree.  Sixty-five percent (65%) believe it’s a good thing for immigrants and new ethnic groups to assimilate into American culture. Just 16% disagree.

Other recent data showed that 65% of voters believe the U.S. is friendlier towards immigrants than most other nations.

Seventy percent (70%) of voters view immigration and border control as a national security issue. Sixty percent (60%) see the growing number of illegal immigrants to be an invasion of the United States. Fifty-eight percent (58%) believe that drug cartels have more control of the Southern border than the U.S. government.

On a different topic, 71% Favor Ending Supplemental, Pandemic Related, Unemployment Benefits.

Moving forward, we expect to update the president’s job approval rating every month or so.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 3-5, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 237 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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36% Give Biden Good/Excellent Marks for Handling Border Situation

Thirty-six percent (36%) of voters give President Biden Good or Excellent marks for his handling of the situation at the Southern border of the United States. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 39% hold the opposite view and rate his performance as poor.

In between are 17% who rate the president’s performance as just fair.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of Democrats say the president is doing a good or an excellent job on the border. However that view is shared by just 22% of Independent voters and 12% of Republicans.

The survey also found that 61% believe illegal immigration is bad for the United States while also believing that legal immigration is good. That view is held by 77% of Republicans and 60% of Independents. Among Democrats, 46% share the mainstream view. However, 31% of those in the president’s party that both legal and illegal immigration are good for the nation.

Just 11% of all voters that legal immigration is bad for the U.S.

Other recent polling data found that 65% of voters believe the U.S. is friendlier towards immigrants than most other nations.

Seventy percent (70%) of voters view immigration and border control as a national security issue. Sixty percent (60%) of voters see the growing number of illegal immigrants to be an invasion of the United States. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters believe that drug cartels have more control of the Southern border than the U.S. government.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 27-29, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 170 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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49% Prefer Smaller Bill Focused on Infrastructure; 29% Prefer Biden Plan

By a 49% to 29% margin, voters prefer a more focused $600 Billion infrastructure plan rather than the president’s $1.9 trillion approach.

A Dallas Express survey conducted by Scott Rasmussen found that Republicans support the more narrowly focused plan by a 67% to 12% margin. Among Independent voters, 44% support the $600 billion plan while 29% prefer the larger proposal.

Democrats are more divided. Just under half (47%) prefer the $1.9 trillion plan proposed by the president. However, 38% of those in the president’s party prefer the smaller and more narrowly focused plan.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The national online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen from April 28-May 1, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were selected from lists of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet use, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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38% Worry That Biden Administration Will Re-Open Society Too Quickly

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters nationwide worry that the Biden Administration will re-open society too quickly. A Scott Rasmussen survey found that 40% hold the opposite view and worry that the Administration will wait too long. Twenty-two percent (22%) are not sure.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of Republicans worry that the Administration will wait too long. Most Democrats (54%) have the opposite worry. Among Independent voters, 41% worry the Administration will wait too long and 33% are afraid that it will move too quickly.

A plurality of white voters worry that the Biden team will wait too long. So do voters over the age of 45. A plurality of other voters lean in the opposite direction as do younger voters.

Urban voters tend to be more afraid things will re-open too quickly. Suburban and Rural voters are more likely to have the opposite concern.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 22-24, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 203 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Bounce Continues: Approval Up to 60%

Sixty percent (60%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 34% disapprove and 6% are not sure.

Approval of the president is up three points from a week ago and up seven points from two weeks ago. Following passage of the COVID relief bill, President Biden’s approval rating has soared to match his highest total to date.

The current totals currently include 32% who Strongly Approve and 26% who Strongly Disapprove.

While the president is enjoying a political honeymoon, underlying partisan divides remain unchanged. Forty-five percent (45%)  want either Trump-like or traditional Republican policies while 44% prefer either Sanders-like or traditional Democratic policies.

On the Republican side, support for Trump-like policies dominate. On the Democratic side, equal numbers support traditional Democratic policies and Sanders-like policies.

Other survey data shows that 35% of voters favor statehood for Washington, DC. Forty-one percent (41%) are opposed. Few, however, are really following the debate.

Sixty-five percent (65%) believe the United States is still the land of opportunity.

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters believe the federal government is a special interest group that looks out primarily for its own interests. Just 17% of voters disagree and 23% are not sure. A majority of every measured demographic group sees the federal government as a special interest group.

Other recent survey data shows that just 26% of voters nationwide believe that the right person was declared the winner in each of the last two presidential elections. Most voters (56%) believe at least one of the last two presidents was illegitimate. Most Democrats still believe Hillary Clinton was the legitimate winner in 2016 and most Republicans believe Donald Trump was the legitimate winner in 2020.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from March 18-20, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 201 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Bounce: Approval Rating Up to 57% Following COVID Relief Bill

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 37% disapprove and 7% are not sure.

Following passage of the COVID Relief Bill, approval of the president is up four points from a week ago. That reverse a modest decline in recent weeks. As a result, Biden’s overall approval rating is unchanged from a month ago. The current totals currently include 32% who Strongly Approve and 26% who Strongly Disapprove.

President Biden receives approval from 92% of Democrats, 52% of Independents, and 23% of Republicans.

Other data shows that 31% say that the Coronavirus pandemic created some positive benefits in their life. Those who work for schools and colleges are twice as likely to report positive benefits.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of voters say they were glad to use COVID as an excuse for avoiding social activities. When asked to describe the events they were most pleased to miss, many cited weddings, reunions, family get-togethers and holiday gatherings. Business-focused social events and school activities were also mentioned.

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters believe the federal government is a special interest group that looks out primarily for its own interests. Just 17% of voters disagree and 23% are not sure. A majority of every measured demographic group sees the federal government as a special interest group.

Other recent survey data shows that just 26% of voters nationwide believe that the right person was declared the winner in each of the last two presidential elections. Most voters (56%) believe at least one of the last two presidents was illegitimate. Most Democrats still believe Hillary Clinton was the legitimate winner in 2016 and most Republicans believe Donald Trump was the legitimate winner in 2020.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from March 11-13, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 194 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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53% Approve of Biden Performance So Far, 39% Disapprove

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 39% disapprove and 7% are not sure.

Approval of the president is down one point from a week ago, down three points from two weeks ago and down seven points from a months ago. This is the fourth straight weekly decline in the president’s approval rating. However, his approval rating remains higher than the ratings ever achieved by his predecessor, Donald Trump.

The totals currently include 30% who Strongly Approve and 29% who Strongly Disapprove.

President Biden receives approval from 92% of Democrats, 44% of Independents, and 19% of Republicans.

Other recent survey data shows that just 26% of voters nationwide believe that the right person was declared the winner in each of the last two presidential elections. Most voters (56%) believe at least one of the last two presidents was illegitimate. Most Democrats still believe Hillary Clinton was the legitimate winner in 2016 and most Republicans believe Donald Trump was the legitimate winner in 2020.

A separate question highlighted another aspect of the deep skepticism shared by most voters. Fifty-nine percent (59%) believe the federal government is a special interest group that looks out primarily for its own interests. Just 17% disagree.

On a different topic, 86% of voters believe that missing in-person education has been damaging to students. Additionally, 50% of voters believe that many states and cities overreacted to the Coronavirus pandemic in ways that did more harm than good.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from March 4-6, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 237 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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Just 26% Believe the Right Person Was Declared Winner in Last Two Presidential Elections

Just one-out-of-four voters (26%) believe that the right person was declared the winner in each of the last two presidential elections.

Most voters (56%) believe at least one of the last two presidents was illegitimately put into office. That includes 26% who believe Hillary Clinton was the legitimate winner in 2016 and 31% who believe Donald Trump was the legitimate winner in 2020. Another 17% are not sure who really won at least one of the elections. One percent (1%) believe the wrong person was declared the winner both times.

After more than four years, most Democrats (52%) still believe that Hillary Clinton was the legitimate winner of the 2016 election. As for last November’s election, most Republicans (66%) believe Donald Trump was the legitimate winner.

In both of those elections, just 60% of voters believe that the legitimate winner became president.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from March 4-6, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 237 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Approval Rating Slips to 54%

Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters nationwide now approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 40% disapprove and 6% are not sure.

Approval of the president is down two points from last week and down six points from three weeks ago. This is the third straight weekly decline in the president’s approval rating. However, his approval rating remains higher than the ratings ever achieved by his predecessor, Donald Trump.

The totals currently include 31% who Strongly Approve and 30% who Strongly Disapprove.

President Biden receives approval from 92% of Democrats, 47% of Independents, and 19% of Republicans.

Other survey data shows that 40% of voters now expect the nation to be more polarized in a year. That’s up 12 points since Biden took office just over a month ago.

Views of Democrats have not changed during the president’s first month in office. However, the Republicans and Independents who expect the nation to be more polarized has increased significantly during that time.

Twenty-one percent (21%) of all voters think the country will be more unified in a year. That’s down three points from a month ago.

On a different topic, 43% of African-Americans would feel threatened if approached by a police officer while alone. Just 33% would feel safe.

Additionally, 50% of voters believe that many states and cities overreacted to the Coronavirus pandemic in ways that did more harm than good.

Other recent polling shows that, for the first time ever, a plurality of voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. Thirty-nine percent (39%) hold that optimistic view while 31% believe the worst is still to come. Sixty-one percent (61%) believe the minimum wage should be set by states rather than having a single national standard. And, 71% think it’s likely that liberals and conservatives will eventually rely upon separate social media platforms.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from February 25-27, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 156 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Job Approval Rating at 56%

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters nationwide approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 37% disapprove and 6% are not sure.

Approval of the president is down a point from last week and down four points from two weeks ago. However, that may be more a reflection of statistical noise rather than evidence of declining support. For five straight weeks, President Biden’s Job Approval rating has stayed within two points of 58%. That’s within the survey’s margin of error.

However, the results may include a hint that intensity of support has slipped a bit. Currently, 30% Strongly Approve and 28% Strongly Disapprove. Strong approval is down five points from a week ago and down 11 from the president’s first week in office. Strong disapproval is up eleven points since the president’s first week.

While Democrats remain unified and strongly support the president, there is a gap between Republicans who prefer Trump-like policies and Traditional Republicans. Among those who prefer Trump-like populist policies just 11% approve of Biden while 84% disapprove. Those who support traditional Republican policies are more evenly divided: 49% approve and 44% disapprove.

Other recent polling shows that, for the first time ever, a plurality of voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. Thirty-nine percent (39%) hold that optimistic view while 31% believe the worst is still to come. Sixty-one percent (61%) believe the minimum wage should be set by states rather than having a single national standard. And, 71% think it’s likely that liberals and conservatives will eventually rely upon separate social media platforms.

 

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from February 18-20, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 212 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden Job Approval: 60%

Sixty percent (60%) of voters nationwide approve of the way President Biden is performing his job. That’s up two points from a week ago. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 32% disapprove and 8% are not sure.

Those figures include 38% who Strongly Approve and 23% who Strongly Disapprove.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from February 4-6, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 197 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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59% Approve Of How Biden Performed Role As President-elect

A Scott Rasmussen survey found that 59% of voters nationwide approve of the way Joe Biden has performed his role as President-elect. The numbers include 34% who Strongly Approve and 25% who Strongly Disapprove.

Overall, Biden earns approval from 73% of urban voters, 56% of those in suburbs, and 46% of rural Americans.

Positive reviews come from 91% of Democrats, 51% of Independents and 26% of Republicans.

As he prepares to take office, Biden’s ratings are up several points compared to his ratings in November and December. That may reflect a bounce following the January 6 occupation of the U.S. Capitol. However, it may also be a reflection of people getting more comfortable with Biden as inauguration day approaches. In either case, Biden will likely be rated by a different standard once he transitions from President-elect to President of the United States.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from January 14-16, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 228 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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61% Want President-elect Biden to Build Larger Governing Majority by Finding Common Ground

Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters want President-elect Biden to build a larger governing majority with policies that can win over some Republicans and other Trump supporters. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 17% want him to ignore the concerns of his political opponents and try to implement as many Democratic policies as possible.

Other than Very Liberal voters, a majority of every measured demographic group wanted the incoming president to build a larger governing majority by finding some common ground. Very Liberal voters are evenly divided–47% prefer the consensus building approach while 45% want him to ignore the concerns of others and implement Democratic policies.

Among those who say faith or religion is a Very Important part of their life, 68% favor the consensus building approach. Just 14% take the opposite view. As for those who say faith or religion is Not at All Important, 52% want Biden to build a larger governing majority. Thirty percent (30%) want him to focus on Democratic policies.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from January 7-9, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 227 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Reality Check for Trump–and Biden–Supporters

One of the most important jobs of a public opinion pollster is to tell people what they need to hear rather than what they want to hear. Unfortunately, in most media commentary today, both supporters and opponents of President Trump are being told only what they want to hear.

With this in mind, I would like to offer the following reality check.

Supporters of President Trump need to be told that the election is over. Most of the president’s supporters have accepted that reality, but a significant minority has not. They may not like the truth, but former Vice President Joe Biden is now the President-elect and will be inaugurated on January 20. There is no Constitutional, legal, or political process that can change that outcome.

Accepting the reality that Biden won is not a form of betrayal or a sign of weakness. It is simply an acknowledgment of where things stand today.

I understand the anger and disappointment that millions of Trump supporters feel. I felt it firsthand in angry responses throughout the campaign when my polling and commentary suggested a Biden victory was the most likely outcome. I saw it in the data where large numbers of Trump voters ignored the warning signs and were confident that the president would be re-elected.

Rather than being misled to believe that there is still a path to re-election victory for President Trump, these voters should be encouraged to channel their energy in a more productive manner. One very productive direction would be devoting energy on a state-by-state basis to reform election procedures prior to the 2022 elections. Polling I conducted in Pennsylvania showed strong bi-partisan support for significant reforms.

But Trump supporters are not the only ones in need of a reality check.

The strongest Trump opponents are gleeful at the visible disappointment and reaction of Trump’s strongest supporters. Far too many still believe that Hillary Clinton was right to call them deplorable and their media outlets are promoting the idea that the failure to trust the election results is unprecedented.

In reality, the response of Trump supporters following the 2020 election has much in common with the response of Clinton supporters following the 2016 election.

In both 2016 and 2020, fans of the losing candidate never took seriously the possibility that their team might lose. When the votes were counted and the unthinkable happened, an overriding belief quickly developed that the other candidate could not have won without cheating. That led to a conviction among many on the losing side that the winner was not legitimately elected.

Following the Clinton campaign, Democrats talked of impeaching the president even before he took office. And they repeatedly believed that the next bit of breaking news was going to provide the evidence needed to remove the president from office. But that news never came because the evidence did not exist. Still, four years later, the losing candidate herself claimed that Donald Trump was not a legitimate president.

Understanding that we have had two presidential elections in a row where the losers believe they were cheated out of victory should instill a great desire to rebuild confidence in our electoral process. Seeing this reality would help Biden voters channel their energy in a more effective manner.

Recognizing the need to reform our processes of voting and counting the ballots is not the same as agreeing with those who believe the 2020 election was stolen. It is simply an acknowledgment that governments derive their only just power from the consent of the governed.  If voters do not trust the process through which elected officials are elected, the government itself will have no legitimacy.

Despite our current troubles, I remain optimistic about America’s future. Our political system is badly broken, and things may get worse before they get better. But, as I wrote in my recent column for the Deseret News, a new generation of leaders is coming soon. The most influential of them will recognize that their job is not to change America. It is to change American politics so that our government can follow where the culture is leading.

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59% Want Biden to Focus on Restoring Trust in Gov’t Rather Than Policy Goals, 26% Disagree

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters believe it is more important for a Biden Administration to focus on restoring trust and confidence in our system of politics, elections, and government rather than advancing specific policy goals. A Political IQ survey found that just 26% take the opposite view.

This is perhaps unsurprising given the high levels of distrust that have continued for decades. It has been nearly half a century since most Americans trusted the federal government to do the right thing most of the time.

A majority of every measured demographic group places a higher priority on restoring trust rather than advancing policy goals.

One step toward restoring trust might be a focus on election law reform. A recent Political IQ survey of Pennsylvania voters found strong bi-partisan support for a large number of reforms. National polling has shown similarly broad support for reforms that will build trust in election results.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen from November 27-28, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were contacted online or via text. They were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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44% of Voters Think Biden Will Win, 43% Say Trump

Forty-four percent (44%) of Likely Voters nationwide believe former Vice President Joe Biden will win the 2020 presidential election. A Political IQ national survey found that 43% believe President Trump will be re-elected.

Supporters of each candidate are very confident. Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Trump voters believe he will win. Eighty percent (80%) of Biden supporters believe their candidate will emerge victorious.

Those numbers reflect little change since the summer. In July, 91% of Trump supporters expected victory along with 80% of Biden supporters.

Polling both by Scott Rasmussen and all polling averages show Biden with a lead nationally and in key states. The fact that many Trump supporters still expect victory may result from several factors. One is the believe that the polls are simply wrong (or even fake). For many, that’s the key lesson from 2016. However, the polls weren’t as bad as the legend that has grown up around that election.

Another reason for confidence among Trump supporters may be a belief in a strong comeback or a strong Republican turnout. Political IQ polls conducted by Scott Rasmussen have shown the president trailing narrowly in Florida and North Carolina. However, in both cases, the Strong Republican turnout model shows the president ahead. In Pennsylvania, the president pulls to within two points with a Strong Republican turnout. That’s close enough to be competitive. However, President Trump would likely have to win all three to be re-elected.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,240 Likely Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from October 8-10, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 198 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. The Likely Voter sample was derived from a larger sample of Registered Voters using screening questions and other factors. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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49% Better Off Than Four Years Ago, 42% Disagree

As Election 2020 approaches, 49% of the nation’s Registered Voters are better off than they were four years ago. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 42% are not while 9% are not sure.

Men, by a 53% to 38% margin, say they are better off. Women are evenly divided.

Most Republicans (74%) say they are better off while most Democrats (62%) say they are not. Independent voters are evenly divided.

Partially echoing this partisan result, Red State voters say they are better off by a 55% to 37% margin. Blue State voters are evenly divided, as are those in Purple States.

Red States are defined as those President Trump won by at least four points in 2016. Blue States are those Hillary Clinton won by at least four points. Purple States are those whose results were closer.

While a plurality of voters believe they are personally better off, just 35% believe the country is better off than it was four years ago. Most voters (56%) disagree and say it is not better off. In Blue States, 60% say the country is not better off. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of voters in Purple states agree with that negative assessment. So do 51% of Red States voters.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 17-19, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

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45% Think Biden Will Win in November, 40% Say Trump

Regardless of who they want to win in November, 45% of Registered Voters nationwide believes that Democrat Joe Biden will emerge victorious. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 40% disagree and believe Republican Donald Trump will be the victor. Two percent (2%) think someone else will win it all while 12% are not sure.

The survey was conducted after the Democratic National Convention and before the Republican National Convention.

Looking back, responses have been trending in Biden’s direction for some time. Last year, a majority of voters expected Trump to be re-elected. That was before the pandemic and the lockdowns. In late June, voters were evenly divided about who would win–42% picked Biden and 42% Trump.

Eight-out-of-ten Democrats expect Biden to win while eight-out-of-ten Republicans expect Trump to be re-elected. Among unaffiliated voters, 39% pick Biden and 35% Trump.

We will repeat the question next week to see if there is any impact from the GOP convention.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 142 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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Biden 45% Trump 37% Jorgensen 2% Hawkins 1%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by eight points– 45% to 37%. That’s little changed from a month ago.

The survey also found that 2% would vote for Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen and 1% for Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins. This is the first time they’ve been included in a Scott Rasmussen national poll.

Three percent (3%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 12% are not sure.

Biden leads by four points among private sector workers and 30% among government employees.

Among White voters, the president holds a narrow lead: 44% to 38%. However, he attracts support from only 8% of Black voters and 22% of Hispanic voters.

Many voters dismiss polls they don’t like because they are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any connection or relationship with Rasmussen Reports. Scott Rasmussen left that firm more than seven years ago and has had no involvement with it since then.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 23-25, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden 47% Trump 39%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by eight points– 47% to 39%. Six percent (6%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 7% are undecided.

This is a slight improvement for the president from two weeks ago when he trailed Biden by 12. The week before that, it was Biden by ten.

There are two basic ways to assess these numbers. The first is that the difference are merely statistical noise–this latest survey is two points closer than the ten-point margin and the previous survey was two points higher.

The other approach is to consider that the two previous polls were the biggest leads enjoyed by Biden all year. Prior to that, Biden’s lead has ranged between five and nine points since late March. It may be that Biden enjoyed a modest bounce in the polls as the Civil Rights issues initially emerged and that the bounce has now faded.

The president does better among private sector workers than government employees. Within the private sector, he does better among the self-employed rather than those who work for someone else.

Many voters dismiss polls they don’t like because they are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 25-27, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 132 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

NOTE: Partisan breakdown of the sample: Democrats 37% Republicans 32% Other 31%.

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22% Don’t Think It Matters Whether Biden or Trump Wins

Twenty-two percent (22%) of Registered Voters don’t think it matters much whether Donald Trump or Joe Biden wins the presidential election in November. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 11% who say it won’t make any real difference in their life and 11% who aren’t sure if it will make a difference.

On top of that, another 17% say it will make only a minor difference.

That leaves 62% of voters who believe the outcome of the election will make a major difference in their life.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of Trump voters say it will make a major difference along with 68% of Biden voters.

However, among those who say they’d vote for some other candidate, 53% don’t think it will make a difference and another 20% say it would make just a minor difference.

As for undecided voters, 74% say it won’t make a difference in their lives and another 15% expect only a minor difference.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

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Biden 47% Trump 37%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by ten points– 47% to 37%. Nine percent (9%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 7% are undecided.

That’s an improvement for Biden who held a seven-point advantage last week. It’s also the biggest lead Biden has enjoyed in Scott Rasmussen polling all year. Prior to this, Biden’s lead has ranged between five and nine points since late March.

The former Vice President leads by 30-points among urban voters and by 14 points in the suburbs. President Trump leads by 19 among rural voters.

The survey was conducted Thursday evening through Saturday morning (June 4-6, 2020). Most of the interviews were completed prior to the surprisingly positive jobs report released on Friday. It remains to be seen whether the more encouraging economic news will have any impact on these numbers.

The same survey found the president’s job approval rating falling to a new low at 41%.

Many voters dismiss polls they don’t like because they are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published each weekday morning by Ballotpedia. Starting today, Scott is releasing a daily PODCAST in partnership with Just The News.

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Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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Biden 44% Trump 38%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by six points– 44% to 38%. Seven percent (7%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 10% are undecided.

The candidates are essentially even among men and voters over 45. Biden leads by double digits among women and voters under 35.

Three weeks ago.  Biden was up by nine points. Two weeks ago, he led by eight. Last week, the lead had slipped to seven. This brings the race back to where it was in late March, when Biden enjoyed a five point advantage.

Thirty-eight percent (38%)  of voters nationwide believe it would be appropriate to continue the lockdowns in their own neighborhood and community.  However, 57% disagree. Most believe the rules and guidelines should be established locally.

Sixty-five percent (65%) are concerned that public officials are using the pandemic as an excuse to infringe upon the Constitutional rights of individual Americans. That total includes 39% who are Very Concerned.

Fifty-five percent (55%) believe the nation needs stricter immigration policies going forward.

Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters nationwide consider trade policies to be primarily a national security issue. However, most clearly see trade policy than raw economics.  Most voters (58%) say ensuring that important materials are produced in the United States is a higher priority than keeping costs down. Just 28% say keeping costs down and promoting economic growth matters more.

Finally, many voters are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 7-9, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 174 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

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Biden 46% Trump 39%

The latest Scott Rasmussen poll of 1,000 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by seven points– 46% to 39%. Seven percent (7%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 8% are undecided.

Last week, Biden led by eight points. The week before that, he was up by nine. In late March, it was Biden 45% Trump 40%.

While the results suggest a close race in the fall, it is important to keep in mind the extraordinary circumstances of the coronavirus lockdowns. What happens in the coming months as American society re-opens is likely to have a significant impact on the race. In fact, it is likely that the way society is re-opened will be the decisive factor in November’s election.

Data released yesterday, showed that 49% of voters nationwide now fear the economic threat from the coronavirus more than the health threat. Forty-five percent (45%) take the opposite view and are more worried about the health threat. These numbers reflect a significant change over the past month. In late March, by a 55% to 38% margin, voters were more concerned about the health threat.

The survey also found that 26% of voters now believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. That’s an increase of three points from a  week ago and ten points from a month ago. Forty-six percent (46%) believe the worst is yet to come. That’s down from 60% earlier in the month.

Voters over 65, by a 40% to 32% margin, believe the worst is behind us. Younger voters are more pessimistic.

Perceptions of whether the worst is behind us or is still to come have a significant impact on perceptions of the overall threat. Among those who believe the worst is behind us, 68% are more worried about the economic threat. As for those who believe the worst is still to come, 57% are more worried about the health threat.

These results are consistent with other data showing that people are looking to loosen some of the restrictions. Voters nationwide are evenly divided as to whether the lockdowns should continue. And, they have come to recognize that it’s not simply a question of stay home to stay safe or go out and get sick. Voters recognize that there are significant mental and physical health risks associated with ongoing lockdowns. Those who know the latest data are more likely to support easing lockdown restrictions.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters favor a proposal that would allow all who are not sick or vulnerable in their area to return to work.

The president’s job approval rating has held steady at 44%.

Scott Rasmussen is now providing virtual briefings about the impact of the pandemic on business, politics, and American society. If you’d like Scott to provide a briefing for your company or organization, please contact Shawn Hanks.

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The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 30-May 2, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 179 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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