41% Prefer Candidate Supporting Black Lives Matter, 40% Prefer Blue Lives Matter

Given a choice between two candidates, 41% of voters prefer a candidate who supports  Black Lives Matter. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 40% prefer a candidate who supports Blue Lives Matter. Nineteen percent (19%) are not sure.

Eighty-six percent (86%) of Black voters favor the Black Lives Matter candidate. By a 53% to 29% margin, so do Hispanic voters. However, White voters, by a 47% to 32% margin, take the opposite view and prefer a Blue Lives Matter candidate.

Most voters with a college degree prefer Black Lives Matter. Those without a degree, favor Blue Lives Matter by a 45% to 34% margin.

Men lean a bit in favor of Blue Lives Matter while women take the opposite view.

Suburban voters are evenly divided.

 

LISTEN TO Scott’s Podcast.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 3-5, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 186 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

27% Believe Worst of Pandemic Behind Us; 48% Believe Worst Still to Come

Americans are growing a bit less pessimistic about the pandemic.

Twenty-seven percent (27%) of voters nationwide believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us.  A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 48% disagree and believe the worst is still to come.

The number who believe the worst is still to come is down seven points from a week ago and down eleven points from two weeks ago. This marks only the second time–and the first since June–that fewer that half the nation’s voters believed the worst was still to come.

The 27% who believe that the worst is behind us is up a point from last week, up seven points from two weeks ago, and up 12 points since July.

Earlier this year, from April thru June, confidence about getting the pandemic behind us grew steadily. But, in July that confidence collapsed before starting to grow again in August. If confidence continues to grow, it would be a significant benefit to President Trump’s hopes of re-election.

Republicans, by a 50% to 26% margin, believe the worst is behind us. Democrats reject that notion by a 67% to 10% margin. Among Independent voters, 24% believe the worst has come and gone while 48% take the opposite view.

Scott Rasmussen has been tracking this question on a weekly basis and will continue to do so. Results in this feature are based upon a survey of 1,200 Registered Voters conducted August 27-29, 2020.

Other data from the survey found that 59% of voters believe it’s time to move forward by adapting to the ongoing nature of the pandemic. Thirty-one percent (31%) take the opposite view and believe it is better for America to lockdown again until the pandemic is completely behind us.

LISTEN TO Scott’s Podcast.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 27-29, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 188 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

26% Believe Worst of the Pandemic Behind Us

Twenty-six percent of voters (26%)believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us.  A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 55% disagree and believe the worst is still to come.

While the overall numbers reflect ongoing concern, the numbers reflect a recent burst in confidence. The number believing the worst is behind us is up six points from a week ago and 11 points since July.

Perceptions of the pandemic have sent the nation an emotional roller-coaster. In early April, as the lockdowns were getting started, just 16% thought the worst was behind us, but confidence was growing rapidly. By the end of that month, 23% thought we had gotten through the toughest moments. In May, confidence slipped back to 17% before soaring to 29% in June. That was the highest level of confidence yet measured. However, just a month later, confidence that the worst was behind us fell back to 15% in July.

For now, the roller-coaster appears headed back up again. It will be interesting to see if confidence keeps growing in the weeks to come. If it does, that would be a significant benefit to President Trump’s hopes of re-election.

As always, Republicans are more upbeat about the pandemic than anyone else. Forty-five percent (45%) of GOP voters believe the worst is behind us. That optimism is shared by 23% of Independents and 11% of Democrats. 

It is possible—probably likely—that perceptions of this question may have shifted over time. For some people the prospect that the worst is still ahead of us means we have to hunker down for a longer period of time. For others, it may mean that we need to find a way to adapt and go on living with a challenge that is going to be with us for a while.

LISTEN TO Scott’s Podcast.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 142 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

56% More Worried About Pandemic Health Threat Rather than Economic Threat

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters are more worried about the Health Threat from the coronavirus pandemic rather than the economic threat. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 39% are more worried about the economic threat.

These figures highlight a growing level of concern about the health threat from the pandemic. 

The number worried most about the health threat has risen 13 points since mid-June and three points since the end of last month. . The number more concerned about the economy has fallen a dozen points since mid-June and one point since the end of last month.

There remains a huge partisan gap on the issue. Seventy-six percent (76%) of Democrats and 55% of Independents are most concerned about the health threat. However, 62% of Republicans take the opposite view and worry more about the economy.

In mid-June, members of all parties were relatively less concerned about the health threat than they are today.

LISTEN TO Scott’s Daily Podcast.

ORDER Scott’s latest book: The Sun is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will NotSee why Scott is pessimistic about American politics but optimistic about America’s future.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

FOLLOW Scott on Twitter.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 13-15, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 181 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results, Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

53% More Worried About Pandemic Threat to Health Than U.S. Economy

When asked about what worries them most about the coronavirus threat to our nation, 53% now express concern about the health threat while 40% are more worried about the threat to the U.S. economy.

These numbers reflect a significant change from mid-June when a Ballotpedia national survey found more concern about the economy.

Broadly speaking, optimism about recovering from the pandemic grew steadily from late March until mid-June. Since then, they have moved in the opposite direction.

  • In late March, just 38% were more worried about the economic threat while 53% expressed greater concern about the health threat.
  • By mid-June, however,three straight weeks of polling found more concern about the economic threat rather than the health threat.
  • Now, the numbers have returned to the levels first recorded in late March. Whatever bounce in optimism took place, it is gone.

Most Republicans (59%) are still more concerned about the economic threat. Most Democrats (69%) and Independents (54%) are primarily concerned with the health threat.

Other data from the survey shows that just 15% of voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. Sixty-three percent (63%) believe the worst is still to come. That also reflects growing pessimism since mid-June. The highest level of optimism measured found that 29% of voters believed that the worst was behind us while 42% thought the worst was still to come.

LISTEN TO Scott’s Podcast.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any connection or relationship with Rasmussen Reports. Scott Rasmussen left that firm more than seven years ago and has had no involvement with it since then.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 23-25, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 161 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

President Trump’s Job Approval: 39%

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of Registered Voters nationwide approve of the way President Trump is performing his job. That’s the lowest level of approval yet measured in polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen. The survey also found that 58% disapprove.

Perhaps most concerning for the president is that support is slipping among Republicans. The latest results show that just 80% of those in his party offer their approval. That’s down slightly from 84% in mid-June.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day podcast today looks at why the president’s strong and loyal base of support may be a double edged sword for his campaign. Tomorrow, he’ll be looking at an topic that may pose a similar challenge for the Biden campaign. On Thursday, Scott’s podcast will look at an issue Democrats are pushing that may help Republicans retain control of the Senate.

In mid-June the president’s job approval was at 41%. Earlier in the year, President Trump’s approval ratings held steady in the mid-40s for several months.

The current totals include 27% who Strongly Approve and 47% who Strongly Disapprove.

Research conducted earlier found that 17% of all voters Strongly Disapprove of President Trump but also Strongly Oppose removing statues honoring George Washington.

The president also gets positive reviews from 33% of Independents and 8% of Democrats.

He also earns approval from 46% of white voters, 11% of black voters, and 27% of Hispanic voters.

Forty-four percent (44%) of self-employed voters approve of the president’s performance as do 40% of other private sector workers. Among government employees, however, just 31% approve.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 2-4, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 129 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

Biden 47% Trump 39%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by eight points– 47% to 39%. Six percent (6%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 7% are undecided.

This is a slight improvement for the president from two weeks ago when he trailed Biden by 12. The week before that, it was Biden by ten.

There are two basic ways to assess these numbers. The first is that the difference are merely statistical noise–this latest survey is two points closer than the ten-point margin and the previous survey was two points higher.

The other approach is to consider that the two previous polls were the biggest leads enjoyed by Biden all year. Prior to that, Biden’s lead has ranged between five and nine points since late March. It may be that Biden enjoyed a modest bounce in the polls as the Civil Rights issues initially emerged and that the bounce has now faded.

The president does better among private sector workers than government employees. Within the private sector, he does better among the self-employed rather than those who work for someone else.

Many voters dismiss polls they don’t like because they are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 25-27, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 132 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

NOTE: Partisan breakdown of the sample: Democrats 37% Republicans 32% Other 31%.

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

For Second Week in a Row, Trump Approval At 41%

For the second straight week, a Scott Rasmussen national survey of Registered Voters found that 41% approve of the way President Trump is performing his job. That matches last week as the lowest level of approval measured in a Scott Rasmussen national survey.

The number disapproving increased a point to 58%, a new high.

Those totals include 27% who Strongly Approve and 49% who Strongly Disapprove.

Perhaps the most significant aspect of this finding is the timing of the survey. Most interviews for last week’s survey were completed prior to the surprisingly positive jobs report showing a gain of 2.5 million new jobs. However, that does not appear to have had any immeidate impact on the president’s job approval numbers.

Looking ahead to the November election, the president’s numbers are especially weak among uncommitted voters. Among those who say they will vote for some other candidate or are undecided, just 23% approve of the president’s performance. Sixty-five percent (65%) disapprove.

Overall, approval currently come from 84% of Republicans, 34% of Independents, and 8% of Democrats.

The president earns approval from 47% of white voters, 15% of black voters, and 27% of Hispanic voters.

LISTEN TO Scott’s Daily Podcast, “Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day.”

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 11-13, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 306 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

Biden 47% Trump 37%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by ten points– 47% to 37%. Nine percent (9%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 7% are undecided.

That’s an improvement for Biden who held a seven-point advantage last week. It’s also the biggest lead Biden has enjoyed in Scott Rasmussen polling all year. Prior to this, Biden’s lead has ranged between five and nine points since late March.

The former Vice President leads by 30-points among urban voters and by 14 points in the suburbs. President Trump leads by 19 among rural voters.

The survey was conducted Thursday evening through Saturday morning (June 4-6, 2020). Most of the interviews were completed prior to the surprisingly positive jobs report released on Friday. It remains to be seen whether the more encouraging economic news will have any impact on these numbers.

The same survey found the president’s job approval rating falling to a new low at 41%.

Many voters dismiss polls they don’t like because they are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published each weekday morning by Ballotpedia. Starting today, Scott is releasing a daily PODCAST in partnership with Just The News.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

President Trump’s Job Approval Falls to 41%

President Trump’s Job Approval rating has fallen to 41% among Registered Voters. That’s the lowest level measured in a Scott Rasmussen national survey. Fifty-seven percent (57%) currently disapprove.

Those numbers include 28% who Strongly Approve and 47% who Strongly Disapprove.

The president earns approval from 46% of white voters, 15% of black voters, and 31% of Hispanic voters.

While most rurual voters (55%) approve of the president’s performance, that view is shared by 39% of suburban voters and 31% of those living in urban areas.

Last week, polling conducted by Scott Rasmussen for JustTheNews.com found the president’s Job Approval at 45%. In fact, several months of survey results found President Trump’s approval ratings holding steady in the mid-40s.

The survey was conducted Thursday evening through Saturday morning (June 4-6, 2020). Most of the interviews were completed prior to the surprisingly positive jobs report released on Friday. It remains to be seen whether the more encouraging economic news will have any impact on the approval numbers.

Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day is published each weekday morning by Ballotpedia. Starting today, Scott is releasing a daily PODCAST in partnership with Just The News.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 4-6, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 246 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

20% Lack Confidence They Could Receive Appropriate Treatment for Coronavirus

If infected by the coronavirus, a Ballotpedia national survey found that 20% of registered voters nationwide lack confidence they could receive appropriate medical treatment. That total includes 14% who are Not Very Confident and 6% who are Not at All Confident about access to treatment.

Those figures reflect a ten-point improvement since early April when 30% lacked such confidence. 

Looked at from a different angle, 75% are now confident they could receive appropriate treatment. That’s up nine-points from 66% in the previous survey.

Among lower-income voters today, 28% lack confidence they could receive appropriate treatment. That concern is shared by 19% of middle-income voters and 13% of upper income voters.

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

President Trump Job Approval Steady at 45%

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters approve of the way President Trump is performing his job while 51% disapprove. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found those totals include 30% who Strongly Approve and 41% who Strongly Disapprove.

These results have remained little change over the past few months.

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Republicans approve of the president’s performance while 84% of Democrats disapprove. Among Independents, 39% approve while 53% disapprove.

Just 39% of college graduates approve while 50% without a degree do not.

The president earns positive reviews from 56% of rural voters, 47% of suburban voters, and 36% of urban voters.

Fifty-three percent (53%) of white voters approve along with 35% of Hispanic voters and 12% of Black voters.

When it comes to making decisions about re-opening, just 34% of voters trust government officials more than everyday Americans. More voters—43%—place their trust in the general public. Upper-income Americans, government employees, college graduates and Democrats alike are all more comfortable with the government making sweeping decisions. The reverse is true for lower- and middle-income Americans, private sector workers, retirees, those without a college degree, Republicans and independents.

Other recent data shows that 41% of voters believe shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good. Additionally, 52% agree with Ronald Reagan’s assessment: the nine most terrifying words in the English language are “I’m from the government and I’m here to help.” Those words continue to resonate with many Americans.

The implications of these findings were addressed in a Newsweek column by Scott Rasmussen. “Despite the fact that the public is anxious to re-open society, several Democratic governors are desperately clinging to their lockdown policies. Their efforts could help ensure the re-election of Donald Trump.”

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 14-16, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or by text while 238 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

Biden 44% Trump 38%

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey of 1,200 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by six points– 44% to 38%. Seven percent (7%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 10% are undecided.

The candidates are essentially even among men and voters over 45. Biden leads by double digits among women and voters under 35.

Three weeks ago.  Biden was up by nine points. Two weeks ago, he led by eight. Last week, the lead had slipped to seven. This brings the race back to where it was in late March, when Biden enjoyed a five point advantage.

Thirty-eight percent (38%)  of voters nationwide believe it would be appropriate to continue the lockdowns in their own neighborhood and community.  However, 57% disagree. Most believe the rules and guidelines should be established locally.

Sixty-five percent (65%) are concerned that public officials are using the pandemic as an excuse to infringe upon the Constitutional rights of individual Americans. That total includes 39% who are Very Concerned.

Fifty-five percent (55%) believe the nation needs stricter immigration policies going forward.

Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters nationwide consider trade policies to be primarily a national security issue. However, most clearly see trade policy than raw economics.  Most voters (58%) say ensuring that important materials are produced in the United States is a higher priority than keeping costs down. Just 28% say keeping costs down and promoting economic growth matters more.

Finally, many voters are convinced the polls were wrong in 2016. Actually, the polls were pretty good. However, the analysis and interpretation of those polls was horrible.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 7-9, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 174 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

Biden 46% Trump 39%

The latest Scott Rasmussen poll of 1,000 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by seven points– 46% to 39%. Seven percent (7%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 8% are undecided.

Last week, Biden led by eight points. The week before that, he was up by nine. In late March, it was Biden 45% Trump 40%.

While the results suggest a close race in the fall, it is important to keep in mind the extraordinary circumstances of the coronavirus lockdowns. What happens in the coming months as American society re-opens is likely to have a significant impact on the race. In fact, it is likely that the way society is re-opened will be the decisive factor in November’s election.

Data released yesterday, showed that 49% of voters nationwide now fear the economic threat from the coronavirus more than the health threat. Forty-five percent (45%) take the opposite view and are more worried about the health threat. These numbers reflect a significant change over the past month. In late March, by a 55% to 38% margin, voters were more concerned about the health threat.

The survey also found that 26% of voters now believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. That’s an increase of three points from a  week ago and ten points from a month ago. Forty-six percent (46%) believe the worst is yet to come. That’s down from 60% earlier in the month.

Voters over 65, by a 40% to 32% margin, believe the worst is behind us. Younger voters are more pessimistic.

Perceptions of whether the worst is behind us or is still to come have a significant impact on perceptions of the overall threat. Among those who believe the worst is behind us, 68% are more worried about the economic threat. As for those who believe the worst is still to come, 57% are more worried about the health threat.

These results are consistent with other data showing that people are looking to loosen some of the restrictions. Voters nationwide are evenly divided as to whether the lockdowns should continue. And, they have come to recognize that it’s not simply a question of stay home to stay safe or go out and get sick. Voters recognize that there are significant mental and physical health risks associated with ongoing lockdowns. Those who know the latest data are more likely to support easing lockdown restrictions.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters favor a proposal that would allow all who are not sick or vulnerable in their area to return to work.

The president’s job approval rating has held steady at 44%.

Scott Rasmussen is now providing virtual briefings about the impact of the pandemic on business, politics, and American society. If you’d like Scott to provide a briefing for your company or organization, please contact Shawn Hanks.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 30-May 2, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 179 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

Biden 46% Trump 38%

April 28, 2020– The latest Scott Rasmussen poll of 1,000 Registered Voters shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by eight points– 46% to 38%. Six percent (6%) would cast their ballot for some other candidate and 9% are undecided.

That’s little changed from a week ago when a poll conducted by Scott Rasmussen for JustTheNews.com showed Biden with a nine-point advantage. In that poll, Biden led 49% to 40%. Interestingly, support for both candidates dropped a bit in the most recent poll.

In late March, it was Biden 45% Trump 40%.

While the results suggest a close race in the fall, it is important to keep in mind the extraordinary circumstances of the coronavirus lockdowns. What happens in the coming months as American society re-opens is likely to have a significant impact on the race. Currently, 23% of voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us, an increase of seven points over the past two weeks.

Thirty-three percent (33%) believe the government has not yet gone far enough in responding to the pandemic. That figure is down eight points since late March.

Other polling shows that 51% of American voters favor a proposal that would allow all who are not sick or vulnerable in their area to return to work. Thirty-eight percent (38%) are opposed, and 10% are not sure. That question was framed in the context of the area that the respondents lived in. These numbers are not a call for a national rule, but a recognition that different dynamics exist in different communities.

Scott Rasmussen is now providing virtual briefings about the impact of the pandemic on business, politics, and American society. If you’d like Scott to provide a briefing for your company or organization, please contact Shawn Hanks.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 23-25, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 272 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

Generic Ballot: Democrats 46% Republicans 35%

Democrats currently enjoy an 11-point advantage on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey shows that 46% of voters would cast their ballot for the Democrat from their District while 35% prefer the Republican. Four percent (4%) would prefer some other candidate and 15% are not sure.

Among those most interested in the election–and presumably the most likely to vote–the race is a bit closer. Among these voters, the Democrats enjoy a seven-point advantage (48% to 41%).

In the key demographic group of suburban women, Democrats lead by a 51% to 31% margin.

A Generic Ballot survey conducted last month by Scott Rasmussen found Democrats with a nine-point lead: 48% to 39%.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 16-18, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 167 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Uncategorized

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!