75% Close to Resuming Normal Life; Hesitancy Among the Vaccinated May Be Having Economic Impact

Seventy-five percent (75%) of voters are close to resuming their normal life in terms of going out socially, traveling, and interacting with others in person. That’s up nine points from 66% in September.

A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 22% say they are not close to resuming their normal life (down eight points).

Those totals include 39% who are Very Close to resuming their normal life. That’s up ten points since September. Just 6% who are Not at All close.

These results come amidst a renewed burst of optimism that we are putting the pandemic behind us.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of White voters are close to resuming their normal life. So are 72% of Hispanic voters and 59% of Black voters.

Eighty-four percent (84%) of Republicans are close to resuming a normal life. So are 70% of Independent voters and 69% of Democrats.

However, GOP voters are much closer than other voters. Fifty-six percent (56%) of Republicans are Very Close to resuming their normal social interaction. Just 36% of Independents and 24% of Democrats have reached that point.

The hesitance of those who have been vaccinated to resume normal activities may be one factor driving economic challenges. Currently 45% of voters believe the U.S. is in a recession. Large majorities have experienced sharp inflation and supply chain issues.

Among those who have received the COVID vaccine, just 37% are Very Close to resuming normal social interaction. Among those who say they will never get vaccinated, that figure is 64%.

Among the vaccinated, 21% say they are not close to resuming normal activities.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Question 1:

Which worries you more: That the Biden administration will re-open society too quickly or that they will wait too long?

36%    Too soon

38%    Wait too long

26%    Not sure

Question 2:

Some people have generally resumed their life and go out socially, travel, and interact with others in person. How close are you to resuming a somewhat normal life?

39%    Very close

36%    Somewhat close

16%    Not very close

6%    Not at all

4%    Not sure

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 28-30, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

43% Say It’s Good to Vaccinate People Against Their Will; 43% Say It’s Bad

Following President Biden’s announcement of a mandate for companies to require employee vaccination or weekly testing, many people may be vaccinated against their will. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 43% of voters think that’s a good thing while another 43% say it’s a bad thing. Fourteen percent (14%) are not sure.

Sixty-three percent (63%) of Republicans say vaccinating people against their will is a bad think. So do 51% of Independent voters.

However, by a 71% to 15% margin, Democrats say it’s a good thing. Eighty-percent (80%) of White Democrats say it’s good to vaccinate people against their will. Fifty percent (50%) of Black Democrats share that view.

By a 55% to 30% margin, those who have already been vaccinated say it’s good to vaccinate others against their will. However, among those who are in no rush to get vaccinated or will never get vaccinated, just 6% say it’s a good thing while 85% say it’s bad. This suggests the possibility of a significant political backlash.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 30-October 2, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

54% Believe Vaccine Requirements Should Be Decided in the Private Sector; 36% Want Government to Set the Guidelines

Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters nationwide believe vaccine requirements should be determined in the private sector. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 36% disagree and believe governments should establish the guidelines.

Those totals include 30% who believe individual companies should set the rules for their workforce and 24% who think the decision should be left up to individual workers. On the other hand, 21% believe the federal government should decide and 15% think the rules should be set by state and local governments.

Republicans, by a 65% to 28% margin believe that companies or workers should decide for themselves. Independent voters, by a 58% to 26% margin agree. Most Democrats, however, see it differently. By a 54% to 39% margin, those in President Biden’s party believe believe governments at some level should set the rules.

As on many issues, there is a significant divide between the views of White Democrats and Black Democrats. Twenty-six percent (26%) of Black Democrats believe individual workers should decide for themselves. Just 9% of White Democrats share that view.

These results are especially interesting because the same survey found that 54% of voters  at least somewhat favor the president’s mandate order. How can a majority think decisions should be made in the private sector at the same time a majority supports Biden’s top-down approach?

It turns out that just 36% of those who favor the president’s plan believe the federal government should make such decisions. Another 20% of those who support the president’s mandate believe the decision should be made at the state or local level. At the same time, 27% believe the decision should be made either by individual companies or workers.

On the flip side, those who disapprove of the president’s policy, 81% believe the decision should be made by individual companies or workers.

These results suggest support for the president’s plan is driven more by partisan loyalty rather than the plan itself.

Adding to the softness of support for the president’s vaccine mandate is the fact that just 33% of voters believe the president has the legal authority to order private companies to impose a vaccine requirement. Even among those who favor the plan, just over half (54%) believe Biden has the legal authority to impose it.

Related data shows that 39% of voters have relatives or close friends who will get vaccinated against their will because they don’t want to lose their job. That total includes 60% of Hispanic voters.

Additionally, 66% of voters are close to resuming their normal life in terms of going out socially, traveling, and interacting with others in person.

Still, pessimism about the pandemic remains high. Just 28%believe the worst is behind us. Forty-five percent (45%) believe the worst is yet to come. That matches the most pessimistic assessment since the vaccines rolled out in January.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

* How closely have you followed recent news stories about President Biden’s new vaccine mandates?

33%      Very closely

37%      Somewhat closely

17%      Not very closely

10%      Not at all closely

4%       Not sure

* Who should make the decision as to whether a company requires all employees to receive the COVID vaccine?

21%      The federal government

15%      State and local governments

30%      Individual companies

24%      Individual workers

10%      Not sure

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 14-15, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

39% of Voters Have Relatives or Close Friends Who Will Get Vaccinated Against Their Will Because They Don’t Want to Lose Their Job

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of voters have relatives or close friends who will get vaccinated against their will because they don’t want to lose their job. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 32% do not and 29% are not sure.

Forty-three percent (43%) of Democrats know someone who will get vaccinated against their will. So do 38% of Republicans and 36% of Independents.

Sixty percent (60%) of Hispanic voters know someone who will get vaccinated against their will. That figure is 38% among White voters and 34% among Black voters.

The survey also found that 36% have relatives or close friends who will quit their job rather than get vaccinated. Forty-two percent (42%) do not while 23% are not sure.

The partisan and racial dynamics are essentially the same on that question.

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters know someone in both categories: those who will quit rather than get vaccinated and those who will get vaccinated against their will.

Data released earlier shows that just 33% of voters believe the president has the legal authority to order private companies to impose a vaccine requirement. Despite that,  54% at least somewhat favor the president’s mandate order.

Other data shows that 66% of voters are close to resuming their normal life in terms of going out socially, traveling, and interacting with others in person. If they tested positive for COVID, 68% believe it is likely they would recover quickly with only minor symptoms.

Still, pessimism about the pandemic remains high. Just 28%believe the worst is behind us. Forty-five percent (45%) believe the worst is yet to come. That matches the most pessimistic assessment since the vaccines rolled out in January.

* Do you have any relatives or close friends who will quit their job rather than get vaccinated?

36%      Yes

42%      No

23%      Not sure

* Okay, do you have any relatives or close friends who will get vaccinated against their will because they don’t want to lose their job?

39%      Yes

32%      No

29%      Not sure

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 14-15, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

33% Believe President Has Legal Authority to Order Vaccine Mandates

Thirty-three percent (33%) of voters believe the president has the legal authority to order private companies to impose a vaccine requirement. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 45% disagree and 22% are not sure.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of Democrats believe the president has such authority. Sixty-four percent (64%) of Republicans say he does not. Among Independent voters, 23% believe the president has the authority and 48% do not.

Despite the fact that only 33% believe the president has the legal authority to act, 54% at least somewhat favor the president’s mandate order. Thirty-seven percent (37%) are opposed.

Eighty-two percent (82%) of Democrats favor the president’s action while 57% of Republicans disagree. Independent voters are evenly divided.

Data released earlier showed that 66% of voters are close to resuming their normal life in terms of going out socially, traveling, and interacting with others in person. If they tested positive for COVID, 68% believe it is likely they would recover quickly with only minor symptoms.

Still, pessimism about the pandemic remains high. Just 28%believe the worst is behind us. Forty-five percent (45%) believe the worst is yet to come. That matches the most pessimistic assessment since the vaccines rolled out in January.

* Is the worst of the pandemic behind us, or is it still to come?

28%      Behind us

45%       Still to Come

27%       Not Sure

* For all companies with more than 100 employees, President Biden has mandated that they must require their workers to be vaccinated or submit to weekly testing. Do you favor or oppose this proposal?

 32%      Strongly favor

22%      Somewhat favor

12%      Somewhat oppose

25%      Strongly oppose

9%       Not sure

* Regardless of whether you favor or oppose the vaccine mandates, does the president have the legal authority to order private companies to impose a vaccine requirement?

33%      Yes

45%      No

22%      Not sure

 

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 14-15, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged , , ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

Most Vaccinated Americans Believe It’s More Important for Government to Protect Individual Rights Than To Do What Majority Wants

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters nationwide believe it is more important for the government to protect the rights of individual Americans rather than doing what the majority wants. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 29% take the opposite views and believe following the majority is more important. Fifteen percent (15%) are not sure.

Among voters who have received the COVID vaccine, 53% see protecting individual rights as the higher priority while 35% take the opposite view.

Sixty-five percent (65%) of Republicans see protecting individual rights as the higher priority. So do 52% of Independent voters and 48% of Democrats.

Data released earlier showed, in their own words, how vaccinated Americans view the unvaccinated. The responses are far less angry than you might expect from the media coverage.  Relatively few of the vaccinated expressed anger at the unvaccinated. Instead of anger, there are  many condescending comments about the perceived stupidity of the unvaccinated.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen from August 10-11, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

64% Want America to Move Forward By Adapting to Pandemic; 24% Want More Lockdowns

Sixty-four percent (64%) of voters believe it’s time for the nation to move forward by  adapting to the ongoing nature of the pandemic. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 24% want to lockdown again until the pandemic is completely behind us.

Support for moving forward rather than locking down comes from 78% of Republicans, 59% of Independents, and 53% of Democrats.

When it comes to deciding which businesses are safe to visit, 53% of voters nationwide think individual Americans should decide for themselves. Thirty-one percent (31%) think Governors and Mayors should make that decision.

On this question there is a partisan divide. Seventy percent (70%) of Republicans think individual Americans should decide for themselves. By a 50% to 33% margin, Democrats place their trust in Governors and Mayors.

As for independents, 53% trust individual Americans and 22% are more comfortable letting elected officials decide.

Other recent surveys found that 57% of voters believe the lockdowns did more harm than good.

Pessimism about the pandemic has grown dramatically in recent months. It is currently at the lowest level recorded since the vaccines became available.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 2-5, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 151 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

57% Believe Lockdowns Did More Harm Than Good

Looking back over the past year, 57% of voters believe that shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 36% disagree and 17% are not sure.

Belief that the lockdowns did more harm than good is up a couple of points from a month ago. In May, 2020, a majority of voters took the opposite view.

The current totals include 32% who Strongly Agree that the lockdowns did more harm than good and 17% who Strongly Disagree.

Republicans overwhelmingly think the lockdowns did more harm than good. Independents, by a 49% to 26% margin, tend to agree. Most Democrats (52%) take the opposite view.

However, there is a divide between White Democrats and other Democrats.

  • Most White Democrats (58%) reject the idea that the lockdowns did more harm than good.
  • Among Black Democrats, 51% agree that the lockdowns did more harm than good.
  • Among Other Democrats, 56% think the lockdowns did more harm than good.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 215 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

62% Oppose New Lockdowns; 31% Want Them

Thinking about the situation where they live 62% of voters are opposed to re-imposing stricter lockdowns. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 34% who favor a further easing of pandemic restrictions and 28% who say no change is needed.

Just 31% think it’s time to impose new lockdowns.

A majority of Republicans (79%) and Independents (58%) are opposed to further lockdowns. Democrats are evenly divided: 48% want more lockdowns while 46% do not.

Most voters who have already been vaccinated–58%–oppose more lockdowns. So do 82% of those who say they will never get vaccinated.

The survey also found that 48% of all voters would rather live in a state where masks and other social distancing rules are up to individuals and local businesses. Nearly as many–44%– would rather live in a state with strict mask mandates and social distancing rules.

Seventy-three percent (73%) of Republicans would rather live in a state where individuals and businesses are trusted to determine masking and social distancing rules. Seventy-one percent (71%) of Democrats take the opposite view and would rather live in a state with strict mask mandates and social distancing rules.

Independent voters, by a 53% to 26% margin, prefer a state where individuals and businesses make their own decisions.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 29-31, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 231 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

63% Want Schools to Re-Open This Fall; 24% Disagree

Sixty-three percent (63%) of voters want schools in their area to re-open this fall. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 24% disagree and believe students should continue to take virtual classes from their homes. Thirteen percent (13%) are not sure.

Support for re-opening schools comes from 67% of suburban voters, 65% of rural voters, and 54% of urban voters.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of White voters support re-opening the schools. So do 64% of Hispanic voters. However, Black voters are evenly divided: 41% are ready for schools to open while 42% are not.

Modest support for re-opening schools is found even among those voters who believe the worst of the pandemic is yet to come. By a 47% to 38% margin, they reject the idea of keeping students at home for virtual learning. Among those who believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us, 83% think schools should re-open.

If schools in a particular area do not re-open this fall, 67% believe parents should have the option to send their children to another school that is holding regular classes. Just 15% disagree.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 22-24, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 271were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

55% Believe Lockdowns Did More Harm Than Good; 38% Disagree

Looking back over the past year or so, 55% of voters agree that “Despite good intentions, shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good.” A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 38% disagree and 7% are not sure.

Those totals include 34% who Strongly Agree and 20% who Strongly Disagree.

Just over a year ago, 41% thought the lockdowns did more harm than good. So, the current numbers reflect a 14 percentage point increase in that number.

As on most pandemic related topics, there is a partisan divide. Most Republicans (76%) and Independents (51%) agree that the lockdowns did more harm than good. However, most Democrats (57%) disagree.

There is, however, a divide within the Democratic Party. White Democrats, by a 65% to 32% margin, reject the idea that lockdowns did more harm than good. Black Democrats and Other Democrats are evenly divided.

During the pandemic, government officials exercised extraordinary power over the lives of individual Americans. The survey also found that 62% are worried that many government officials will try to continue exercising such power over individual Americans.

Once again there is a partisan divide and a divide within the Democratic Party. White Democrats, by a 57% to 39% margin, are not worried about government officials keeping too much power. Black Democrats, by a 64% to 27% margin, are worried.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 22-24, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 271were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

74% of Vaccine Reluctant Oppose Biden’s Door-to-Door Vaccination Effort

President Biden has called for a door-to-door campaign designed to encourage more people to get the COVID vaccine. However, the proposal is extremely unpopular among the target audience. Seventy-four percent (74%) of vaccine-reluctant voters are opposed to the door-to-door campaign. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 16% are in favor of the plan.

Those totals include 56% who are Strongly Opposed and just 9% who Strongly Favor the campaign.

Whatever the Administration’s intentions, these figures suggest that the door-to-door campaign may work as an effective get-out-the-vote campaign for Republicans.

Vaccine-reluctant voters include those who want to wait and see how it works before getting vaccinated; those who are in no particular rush to get vaccinated; and, those who say they will never get vaccinated.

As you might expect, opposition is strongest among those who say they will never get vaccinated. Eighty-four percent (84%) of them oppose Biden’s plan. That includes 74% who are Strongly Opposed. Still, even among those who are merely reluctant or taking their time, two-thirds (66%) oppose the Biden effort.

Overall, among all voters, opinion is mixed: 43% favor the plan and 48% are opposed. Support comes primarily from the fact that 62% of Democrats like the Biden plan. However, 68% of Republicans and 51% of Independents are opposed.

Voters with a postgraduate degree favor the plan by  a 61% to 32% margin. However, a majority of all other voters (51%) oppose the door-to-door effort.

This is yet another issue where the views of those with postgraduate degrees are out of step with the nation at large. For example, these elite voters are evenly divided on a plan that would ban gun ownership for all but police and government officials. Among all other voters, that proposal is opposed by a 69% to 24% margin.

Also, by a 50% to 39% margin, those with a postgraduate degree believe restrictions on gun ownership would do more to reduce violence than having the police crackdown on gang activity would be more effective than placing restrictions on gun ownership. All other voters, by a 56% to 32% margin, reject the elite perspective.

Policies seen as an elitist approach based upon a condescending view of other voters often lead to a strong backlash.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 15-17, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 179 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged , ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

49% Believe States, Cities Overreacted to Pandemic, 38% Disagree

Looking back, 49% of voters believe many states and cities overreact to the Coronavirus pandemic in ways that did more harm than good. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 38% disagree and 13% are not sure.

That’s virtually identical to the attitudes measured in February.

Seventy-three percent (73%) of Republicans believe many states and cities overreacted. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Democrats disagree. Among Independents 44% believe many overreacted while 38% do not.

The survey also found that 43% of voters now worry that the Biden Administration will wait too long in re-opening society. That’s up three points since April and up six points since February. Nearly as many–37%–believe the Administration will move too quickly.

Sixty-four percent (64%) of Republicans worry that the Biden team will wait too long. By a 46% to 28% margin, Independent voters tend to agree.

Democrats, however, have an entirely different perspective. By a 51% to 22% margin, those in President Biden’s party fear the Administration will move too quickly to re-open society.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from June 3-5, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 237 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

45% Aware of New CDC Mask Guidelines; 44% Believe Old Rules Still in Place

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters are aware of the new CDC guidelines on mask wearing. The agency recently said that those who are vaccinated no longer need to wear masks indoors. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 44% mistakenly believe that the older CDC guidelines remain in effect, guidelines that call for everyone to wear masks in a large social setting such as a restaurant or a bar. Eleven percent (11%) are not sure.

Most Republican voters (56%) are aware of the new CDC guidelines. Most Democrats (57%) are not. Independent voters are evenly divided. Given this partisan divide, it is interesting to note that earlier results found that Democrats were overwhelmingly likely to view the CDC guidelines as reliable and fact based. Republicans, by a 2-to-1 margin saw the agency as partisan and political.

This is consistent with other data showing that people’s underlying levels of caution and concern shape how they view the CDC. Overall, these findings suggest that CDC guidelines have little impact on individual behavior. Only 33% of voters claim to have followed news about CDC guidelines very closely. Additionally, as of a month ago, 66% of voters had already ignored CDC guidelines by taking part in activities discouraged by the agency.

The latest survey found that most who would not be comfortable going to a restaurant or bar incorrectly believe that the CDC still recommends wearing masks in such settings. Most who are comfortable going out to such locations are aware of the CDC guidelines.

Those who have already been vaccinated are evenly divided between those with a correct understanding of the current CDC policy and those who are clinging to the older guidelines.

Additional data from the survey will be released later today and tomorrow.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,500 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 20-22, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 216 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

33% Following CDC Guidance Very Closely

Thirty-three percent (33%) of voters nationwide say that they are “Very Closely” following news about the CDC guidelines for behavior during the pandemic. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 48% of Democrats, 29% of Republicans, and 20% of Independent voters.

Among voters who have already been vaccinated or will be as soon as possible, 61% are following the CDC guidelines Very Closely. Among all other voters, just 20% are paying that much attention to the CDC. That includes people who want to wait and see before getting vaccinated, those who are in no rush, and those who will never get vaccinated.

It’s also interesting to note that there is little correlation between paying attention to the CDC and overall perceptions of the pandemic. Among voters who believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us, 33% are following CDC guidelines Very Closely. Among those who believe the worst is yet to come, that figure is 36%. This suggests that people are basing their perceptions of the pandemic primarily on sources other than the CDC.

Overall, at this time, 50% of all voters believe the worst is behind us.

The fact that 33% are following the CDC guidelines Very Closely is generally consistent with the fact that 66% have recently engaged in behavior that the CDC officially discourages.

The survey also found that 46% of voters believe the CDC has generally provided reliable and fact-based guidelines during the pandemic. Thirty-eight percent (38%) believe it has generally acted in a partisan political manner and 16% are not sure.

On this point, there is a wide partisan divide. By a 73% to 16% margin, Democrats believe the CDC guidance has been reliable and fact based. Republicans, by a 60% to 27% margin, believe the CDC has generally been partisan and political. Independent voters are evenly divided.

Since the COVID vaccines became available in January, there has been a roughly 80% decline in the number of reported cases and deaths from the virus. However, just 36% of voters nationwide are aware of the progress.  This may reflect the fact that 87% of national media coverage about the pandemic has been negative. National media coverage in the United States has been far more negative than coverage in scientific journals and other nations.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 29-May 1, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 241 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

38% Worry That Biden Administration Will Re-Open Society Too Quickly

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters nationwide worry that the Biden Administration will re-open society too quickly. A Scott Rasmussen survey found that 40% hold the opposite view and worry that the Administration will wait too long. Twenty-two percent (22%) are not sure.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of Republicans worry that the Administration will wait too long. Most Democrats (54%) have the opposite worry. Among Independent voters, 41% worry the Administration will wait too long and 33% are afraid that it will move too quickly.

A plurality of white voters worry that the Biden team will wait too long. So do voters over the age of 45. A plurality of other voters lean in the opposite direction as do younger voters.

Urban voters tend to be more afraid things will re-open too quickly. Suburban and Rural voters are more likely to have the opposite concern.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 22-24, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 203 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

64% Believe Companies Selling Masks Financially Supporting Campaigns for Mask Mandates

Sixty-four percent (64%) of voters think it’s likely that companies selling mask coverings are financially supporting campaigns to continue pandemic related mask mandates. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 23% disagree and 12% are not sure.

Those totals include 34% who believe it’s very likely and 9% who say it’s Not at All Likely.

Similar results were found on the question of vaccine passports. Sixty-two percent (62%) think think companies offering COVID vaccines and tests are financially supporting campaigns to require vaccine passports. Just 20% disagree.

This skepticism suggests that Americans instinctively understand the political dynamics of the regulatory process.  The process has been explained by the example of the Bootleggers and the Baptists. Powerful regulations often result from an unholy alliance between true believers and those who profit from the belief. Prohibition came about because Baptists were true believers and Bootleggers profited immensely from the fact that alcohol could not legally be purchased.

In this case, at least 57% of every measured demographic group consider it likely that mask companies are funding campaigns for mask mandates. One interesting dynamic is that the lowest level of skepticism on this point is found among people who would prefer policies like those offered by Bernie Sanders. Sanders’ style of populism is generally considered to have a strong bias against corporate elites. However, on this question, it is those who prefer Trump-like policies who are the most skeptical. On the question of mask mandates, 77% who prefer Trump policies believe campaigns are being funded by mask manufacturers. That’s 20-points higher than the number among Sanders-style populists.

This finding suggests that people on all sides of the political debate may be more skeptical about corporate motives when they disagree with the underlying policy objective. It is highly likely that supporters of Sanders-style populism would be more skeptical than those who prefer Trump-style populism on many issues.

Support for policies of a certain candidate were determined by the following question: Suppose you had a choice between four presidential candidates. All four had equal skills and temperament. Would you prefer a Republican who supported policies like President Trump, a more traditional Republican, a Democrat who supported policies similar to Senator Bernie Sanders, or a more traditional Democrat?

Over the past six months, responses to this question show that, on the GOP side of the aisle, Trump policies are strongly preferred over a traditional Republican. Democrats, on the other hand, are even divided between those who favor traditional Democrats or candidates pursuing Sanders’ policies.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 8-10, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 217 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

62% Believe Restaurant Owners Should Decide Whether Vaccine Passport is Needed, 26% Want Government Officials to Decide

Sixty-two percent (62%) of voters believe that restaurant owners should decide whether vaccine passports are required to visit  their business. A Ballotpedia national survey found that 26% think that decision should be made by government officials. Twelve percent (12%) are not sure.

The results are similar when asked who should make such decisions about a wedding reception. Sixty-three percent (63%) believe that the decisions about vaccine passports should be made by the people getting married and the reception hall. Just 21% believe government officials should make that decision.

In both cases a majority or plurality of every measured demographic group believe the choice should be made by the individuals involved rather than government officials. More than 3-out-of-4 Republicans hold such views. So do a solid majority of Democrats and Independents.

The survey also found modest support for the idea of vaccine passports. Fifty-four percent (54%) favor the idea, but 41% do not. Support for the concept comes from 73% of Democrats, 45% of Independents, and 39% of Republicans.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 8-10, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 217 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged , ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

86% Believe Missing In-person Education Damaging to Students

Eighty-six percent (86%) of voters believe that missing out on in-person teaching during the pandemic has been damaging to students. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 11% disagree.

Those totals include 53% who believe the impact has been Very Damaging and 3% who say it has not been damaging at all.

This is a rare pandemic-related topic with broad agreement across party lines. Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Republicans believe the lack of in-person teaching has been damaging to students. So do 86% of Independents and 84% of Democrats.

However, the partisan divide appears clearly on a related question. Forty-eight percent (48%) of all voters believe the health threat to students and teachers is greater than  the academic threat to students. Forty-four percent (44%) take the opposite view. On this question, 70% of Democrats see the health issues as a bigger concern while 65% of Republicans are more worried about academic issues. Independents are evenly divided.

Data released recently shows that a plurality of voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. Additionally, 50% believe that many cities and states overreacted to the pandemic in ways that did more harm than good.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from February 25-27, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 156 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged , ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

50% Believe Many States and Cities Overreacted to Coronavirus Pandemic

Looking back, 50% of voters believe many states and cities overreacted to the Coronavirus pandemic in ways that did more harm than good. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 37% disagree and 13% are not sure.

Seventy-one percent (71%) of Republicans believe many states and cities overreacted. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of Democrats believe that did not happen. Among Independent voters, 50% believe states and cities overreacted while 34% do not.

Men, by a 56% to 32% margin, are more likely to believe that many states and cities overreacted. Women are more evenly divided. Forty-five percent (45%) believe many overreacted while 41% do not.

For the second straight week, 39% of voters now believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. Thirty-two percent (32%) now believe the worst is still to come. That’s little changed from 31% a week ago. However, last week was the first time ever that a plurality of voters believed the worst was behind us.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from February 25-27, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 156 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

37% Believe Biden Administration Will Wait Too Long To Re-open Society; 36% Fear the Opposite

Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters nationwide worry that the Biden Administration will wait too long to re-open society. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 36% have the opposite view and fear the Administration will move too quickly. Twenty-six percent (26%) are not sure.

By a 40% to 33% margin, suburban voters tend to worry that the Biden team will wait too long. Urban voters, by a 43% to 31% margin, have the opposite concern. Rural voters are evenly divided.

On a partisan basis, 61% of Republicans fear Biden will wait too long while 46% of Democrats believe he will move too fast. Independent voters are evenly divided.

Younger voters are more worried about re-opening too fast. Voters aged 45-64 are fairly evenly divided. Sixty percent (60%) of senior citizens worry that the new president and his team will take too long.

This survey was intended to measure general perceptions of President Biden’s approach. However, it should be recognized that the ultimate decisions on how quickly society should re-open will depend upon decisions made by governors, mayors, health officials, and individual Americans.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from February 11-13, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 112 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

75% Think Biden Likely To Impose Strict National Lockdown

To deal with the pandemic, 75% of voters believe President-elect Biden will impose a strict nationwide lockdown. A Political IQ poll found that 15% consider such a lockdown order unlikely while 9% are not sure.

Those totals include 40% who consider it Very Likely and just 3% who say it’s Not at All Likely.

At the same time, however, just 43% believe governments should be imposing stricter lockdowns where they live. The poll, conducted by Scott Rasmussen, found that 50% believe governments should either be easing restrictions (28%) or making no changes (22%). An additional 7% are not sure.

There is a broad expectation across all segments of society that Biden is likely to impose a strict national lockdown. However, there is a huge partisan divide as to whether that’s the right thing to do.

  • Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans expect Biden will try to impose a strict national lockdown. Just 25% of GOP voters favor stricter lockdowns in their own area.
  • Seventy-six percent (76%) of Democrats think it’s likely Biden will impose a strict national lockdown. Sixty-one percent (61%) of Democrats want stricter lockdowns in their area.
  • Among Independent voters, 69% believe Biden will impose a national lockdown while 41% think that’s the appropriate policy.

LISTEN TO Scott’s Podcast.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from November 12-14, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 276 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Online respondents were selected from a list of Registered Voters and through a process of Random Digital Engagement. Certain quotas were applied to the larger sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

45% Want Lockdown Restrictions Eased, 36% Want Stricter Regulations Re-imposed

Forty-five percent (45%) of Registered Voters believe that the government should be easing lockdown restrictions in the area where they live. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 36% take the opposite view and believe that stricter rules should be re-imposed. Nineteen percent (19%) are not sure.

Other recent data showed that 37% wear masks at all times around other people. However, 63% take a more relaxed approach. Taken together, these results suggest that a significant minority of just under 40% remains committed to a strict lockdown strategy for dealing with the pandemic. However, a larger number of voters are looking to move beyond the lockdowns.

Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans want lockdown restrictions eased while 54% of Democrats want to see stricter regulations. Independent voters are evenly divided.

One interesting geographic note is that Red State voters are evenly divided. Those are states that Donald Trump won by at least four points in 2016. However, in Blue States–those that Hillary Clinton won by at least four points, a solid plurality (47%) favor easing restrictions. While those results may seem counter-intuitive, they may reflect that states led by Republican Governors have already eased restrictions more than states led by Democratic Governors. This may be a sign that Blue State voters are losing patience with lockdown measures.

In the Purple States–the competitive states that may decide the winner of Election 2020–49% want to see restrictions eased while 36% found the opposite view.

Among Likely Voters nationwide, support for easing restrictions is a bit higher: 49% support the more relaxed approach while 36% want to see stricter measures put in place.

The survey also found that 27% of Registered Voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us. However, 48% believe the worst is still to come. That’s consistent with other recent surveys and reflects a decline in pessimism since the summer.

Not surprisingly, those who believe the worst is behind us overwhelmingly favor easing lockdown restrictions. Among those who believe the worst is still to come, 63% want stricter lockdowns. However, even among these more pessimistic voters, 25% believe it’s time to ease restrictions in their area.

As for those who aren’t sure about whether the worst is behind us, 48% want to see restrictions eased. Just 19% want stricter lockdowns.

LISTEN TO Scott’s Podcast.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from September 24-26, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 159 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

48% Believe More Freedom Will Bring People Together; 34% Prefer More Government Rules on Social Interaction

In terms of bringing people together, 48% of voters nationwide believe the better policy approach is giving more individual freedom for people to establish their own guidelines for social interaction. However, a Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 34% disagree and believe it would be better to have more government involvement to establish fair rules and guidelines for social interaction.

Other data from the survey showed that 93% believe it is important for our leaders to focus on things that bring people together. Additionally, 73% believe that America’s founding ideals of freedom, equality, and self-governance are a good foundation for bringing people together and unifying the nation.

On the policy side, there is a significant generation gap.  By a 52% to 29% margin, older voters (45+) believe allowing more freedom is the way to bring people together. Voters under 45 are evenly divided–42% say more freedom and 40% more government rules.

Republicans strongly prefer more freedom as the answer. Independent voters, by a 47% to 29% margin, agree.

However, a narrow plurality of Democrats take the opposite view. Forty-four percent (44%) of those in Joe Biden’s party think more government rules governing social interactions are needed. Thirty-eight percent (38%) of Democrats prefer more freedom.

There is an interesting racial divide among Democrats. By a 47% to 36% margin, Black Democrats think more freedom is the answer. However, by a 46% to 35% margin, other Democrats believe more rules are the better approach.

Among all voters, there is virtually no racial divide on this question.

LISTEN TO Scott’s Podcast.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from August 20-22, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 142 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged , ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

42% Believe Professional Sports Should Be Shut Down Until 2021

As Major League Baseball launches its truncated 2020 season, American voters are evenly divided as to whether they should be allowed to do so. A JustTheNews.com national survey found that 44% think they should be allowed to play while 42% believe professional sports should remain shut down until next year.

Most men (51%) favor a resumption of sports while a plurality of women (46%) are opposed.

More generally, attitudes towards the reopening of sports follow patterns similar to reopening other aspects of American society. Most Republicans (59%) like the idea while most Democrats (52%) are opposed. Independents are fairly evenly divided.

Older voters and White voters are more supportive of re-opening than younger voters and non-White voters.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

34% Say It Will Be At Least Six Months Before They’ll Feel Safe in Public Without a Mask

Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters nationwide say it will be six month or longer before they feel safe going out in public without a mask. That total is up from 25% three months ago and includes 9% who say they will never feel safe without a mask.

  • Forty-eight percent (48%) of Democrats say it will take at least six months, up twelve points from the earlier survey.
  • Thirty percent (30%) of Independents say it will be at least six months, up ten points from May.
  • Nineteen percent (19%) of Republicans share those views, up four points in three months.

At the other extreme, 37% are already comfortable without a mask or expect to be soon (within a month). That’s down two points from the earlier survey. The decline is primarily driven by Republicans. In May, 58% of GOP voters were comfortable or expected to be soon. That’s down to 51% now.

From a different perspective, a majority (55%) of those in the May survey expected they would be comfortable going out with a mask by now.

LISTEN TO Scott’s Daily Podcast, “Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day.”

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from July 2-4, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 129 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

54% of Those Out Working Believe Lockdowns Did More Harm Than Good

Among workers having in-person interaction with customers and co-workers, 54% believe that the lockdowns have done more harm than good. However, among workers who are socially isolated, 62% take the opposite view. The socially isolated workers have no in person interaction with customers and co-workers.

Among all workers, 40% believe the lockdowns did more harm than good while 53% disagree.

A Ballotpedia national survey of 1,764 working Americans also found a significant gap between these groups on perceptions of the economy.  Those out working are evenly divided as to whether the economy is getting better or worse. Among the socially isolated workers, however, perceptions are decidedly more pessimistic. By a 47% to 30% margin these workers believe the economy is getting worse.

Methodology

To accomplish this, we asked a series of standard pandemic-related questions in national survey interviews with 1,746 working Americans. The interviews were conducted between May 28 and June 6, 2020.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

48% Think Businesses Can Decide Mask Rules for Their Customers

Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters believe private businesses should be allowed to decide whether or not their customers are required to wear masks. A Ballotpedia survey found that 47% disagree and 5% are not sure.

There is a strong partisan divide on this question. By a 64% to 32% margin, Republican voters believe businesses should set the rules for their customers. By a 57% to 38% margin, Democrats disagree and say businesses should not be allowed to do so. Independent voters are evenly divided.

Moving out of the business environment into public spaces, 68% believe governments have the legal authority to require masks in public. But, again, there is a wide partisan divide. Eighty percent (80%) of Democrats believe state and local governments have such authority. Only 60% of Independents and 56% of Republicans agree.

Methodology

The online survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen on June 1, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Respondents were selected at random from a combination of voter lists and Random Digital Engagement techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

 

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

21% Believe It Will Be At Least Six Months Before Most Businesses Re-Open

A Ballotpedia survey found that 21% of voters nationwide believe it will be at least six months before most businesses reopen and social activity resumes. That total includes 6% who believe it will take more than a year.

Ballotpedia, the encyclopedia of American politics, provides the most comprehensive source of information on the various state efforts to reopen in their Documenting America’s Path to Recovery Click here to sign up for daily email updates.

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters conducted by Scott Rasmussen found that a much larger number–45%–believe most businesses will reopen within a month or two. Twenty-eight percent (28%) believe it will take three to six more months.

These figures highlight a much more pessimistic assessment of the situation than was found earlier. In fact, in late March, 58% of voters expected that most businesses would be open by now. At that time, only 8% thought it would take six months or more.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 21-23, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 258 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

39% Have Family Member Who Lost Primary Income Due to Shutdowns

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of voters have a family member who has lost their primary income due to the government shutdowns of the economy. A Ballotpedia survey of 1,200 Registered Voters found that 57% have not experienced that challenge.

Methodology

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 21-23, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or via text while 258 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

Just 34% Trust Government Officials More Than Voters On Questions About Re-opening Society

When it comes to making decisions about re-opening, just 34 percent of voters trust government officials more than everyday Americans. Let’s face it, it’s hard to have confidence in government decision-making when decisions about which businesses can open seem either irrational or blatantly political. That’s one reason why more voters—43 percent—place their trust in the general public.

On the core issue of who do you trust, upper-income Americans, government employees, college graduates and Democrats alike are all more comfortable with the government making sweeping decisions. The reverse is true for lower- and middle-income Americans, private sector workers, retirees, those without a college degree, Republicans and independents.

Other recent data shows that 41% of voters believe shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good. Additionally, 52% agree with Ronald Reagan’s assessment: the nine most terrifying words in the English language are “I’m from the government and I’m here to help.” Those words continue to resonate with many Americans.

The implications of these findings were addressed in a Newsweek column by Scott Rasmussen. “Despite the fact that the public is anxious to re-open society, several Democratic governors are desperately clinging to their lockdown policies. Their efforts could help ensure the re-election of Donald Trump.”

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 14-16, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or by text while 238 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

41% Believe Lockdowns Have Done More Harm Than Good

Despite good intentions, 41% of voters nationwide believe shutting down businesses and locking down society did more harm than good. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 51% disagree and 8% are not sure.

The implications of this finding were addressed in a Newsweek column by Scott Rasmussen. The column notes “As the economic trauma continues, those numbers are almost certain to shift and cast the initial lockdowns in an even less favorable light.”

Sixty-two percent (62%) of Republicans believe the lockdowns have done more harm than good. That view is shared by 36% of Independent voters and 27% of Democrats.

There is a racial divide on this question among Democrats. Overall, just 20% of white Democrats believe the lockdowns have done more harm than good. However, 38% of non-white Democrats believe that to be true.

Overall, 40% of white voters, 41% of black voters, and 42% of Hispanic voters believe the lockdowns have done more harm than good.

Other recent polling found that 52% agree with Ronald Reagan’s assessment: the nine most terrifying words in the English language are “I’m from the government and I’m here to help.” Those words continue to resonate with many Americans.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 14-16, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online or by text while 238 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

64% Believes Governments Should Cover Losses of Businesses They Shut Down

Sixty-four percent (64%) of voters nationwide believe the government should be required to compensate business owners for any losses caused by the government ordered shutdown. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 15% disagree and 21% are not sure.

This is one aspect of the lockdown era that enjoys support across party lines. The idea that government should be liable for the costs of shutting down businesses is embraced by 67% of Republicans, 65% of Independents, and 61% of Democrats.

It’s also supported by 71% of private sector workers and 64% of government employees. Retirees aren’t as enthusiastic, but still support the concept by a 49% to 23% margin.

Other recent polling shows that 60% of voters nationwide  believe every business that establishes safe social distancing protocols should be allowed to open. These numbers cut strongly against the narrative that voters remain committed to continuing the lockdowns. I take a look at some of the reasons behind this disconnect in my latest column.

Currently, 38% believe it would be appropriate to continue the lockdowns in their own neighborhood and community. Fifty-seven percent (57%) disagree. That total includes 40% who believe it is time to ease the restrictions and 17% who believe it is time to end the lockdowns.

Additionally, 65% are concerned that some public officials are using the pandemic as an excuse to infringe upon the Constitutional rights of individual Americans.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 7-9, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 174 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

60% of Voters Okay Allowing All Businesses to Re-open With Social Distancing Protocols

Sixty percent (60%) of voters nationwide  believe every business that establishes safe social distancing protocols should be allowed to open. The latest Scott Rasmussen national survey found that just 26% oppose the idea. 

Support for allowing all businesses to responsibly re-open comes from 78% of Republicans, 60% of Independents, and 45% of Democrats.

At first glance, these results appear to contradict data suggesting ongoing public support for the lockdowns. In fact, the very same poll found that only 23% of voters think government officials have gone too far in shutting things down. Seventy-one percent (71%) believe those officials have either not gone far enough (35%) or have found the right balance (36%).

 Digging a little deeper highlights the connections between these results.

 * Not surprisingly, just about everyone who thinks the government has gone too far believes that businesses should be allowed to open with appropriate safety protocols.

 * Among those who think the government response so far has been about right, 61% agree that all businesses should be allowed to re-open with safety protocols. Just 23% are opposed. The overall tone seems to be that the response has been okay so far and allowing businesses to open responsibly is the next logical step.

 * The most stunning response comes from those who think the government has not gone far enough in shutting things down. On the question of allowing every business to re-open, they are evenly divided: 39% say yes while 45% do not.

 In my weekly column for the Deseret News, I address some possible reasons for the apparent disconnect. It may be that “words like lockdown and shutdown being used in the public dialogue almost interchangeably with social distancing and flattening the curve.” 

Whatever the explanation, the fact remains that only one-out-of-four voters today is opposed to letting all businesses re-open in a responsible manner. That cuts strongly against the narrative that voters remain committed to continuing the lockdowns. At the same time, voters still expect a strong societal commitment to social distancing and appropriate health protocols.

Other recent data shows that 65% of voters are concerned that public officials may be using the pandemic as an excuse to infringe upon the Constitutional rights of individual Americans.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 7-9, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 174 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

The Value of Asking Questions From a Different Perspective: 60% Favor Allowing All Businesses to Re-open

One of the great joys of being a public opinion pollster comes when results to different questions seem to contradict each other. Some people — far too many in the political world — simply dismiss such apparent contradictions as evidence that people are either irrational or stupid. However, for those of us who trust the commonsense wisdom of everyday Americans, seemingly contradictory results provide an opportunity to better understand the public mood in a more nuanced manner.

I’ve seen many examples of this since first writing about how pollsters may be asking the wrong questions about the coronavirus pandemic. Last week, I noted that most Americans understand it’s not a question of stay home to stay safe or go out and get sick. Instead, most recognize that there are significant health risks involved in continuing the lockdowns. Since no options are completely safe, voters are weighing the difficult trade-offs based upon the underlying facts.

My polling this past weekend found that 23% of voters think government officials have gone too far in shutting things down. However, 71% believe those officials have either not gone far enough (35%) or have found the right balance (36%).

Most pollsters have found similar results. In most cases, the polls show slight growth in the number who think the government has gone too far, but that perspective still reflects a minority view. Using this as the only point of reference, one might conclude that voters remain committed to maintaining the lockdowns. Indeed, that’s the way much media coverage defines the public mood.

But when you ask questions from a different perspective, it becomes clear there is another side to the story. Sixty percent (60%) of voters believe every business that establishes safe social distancing protocols should be allowed to open. Every business! Not just a chosen few. Just 26% oppose the idea.

These numbers cut strongly against the narrative that voters remain committed to continuing the lockdowns.

What’s especially fascinating about this is that the results come from the exact same poll finding that 71% reject the idea that governments have gone too far. The same 1,200 survey respondents provided these seemingly very different answers.

It gets even more interesting when you dig a little deeper.

  • Not surprisingly, just about everyone who thinks the government has gone too far believes that businesses should be allowed to open with appropriate safety protocols.
  • Among those who think the government response so far has been about right, 61% agree that all businesses should be allowed to reopen with safety protocols. Just 23% are opposed. The overall tone seems to be that the response has been OK so far and allowing businesses to open responsibly is the next logical step.
  • The most stunning response comes from those who think the government has not gone far enough in shutting things down. On the question of allowing every business to reopen, they are evenly divided: 39% say yes while 45% do not.

What’s going on with about the people who think that governments have not gone far enough in shutting things down? How come only 45% of them oppose letting all businesses reopen?

One possible explanation may have something to do with words like lockdown and shutdown being used in the public dialogue almost interchangeably with social distancing and flattening the curve. As a result, some voters may viscerally equate ending the lockdowns with ending all social distancing efforts. So, they are uncomfortable ending lockdowns but OK with businesses that establish appropriate safety protocols.

Another possibility is that we may be misinterpreting the perceptions of the 35% who say governments have not gone far enough. Many in that group undoubtedly want even stricter government limits on social interaction. However, others may think the governments haven’t done enough to establish safe approaches for reopening society.

Whatever the explanation, the fact remains that only 1 out of 4 voters today is opposed to letting all businesses reopen in a responsible manner. That really shouldn’t be all that surprising given America’s historic commitment to individual freedom. In fact, the same survey found that 65% are concerned that some public officials are using the pandemic as an excuse to infringe upon the constitutional rights of individual Americans.

The bottom line is that most voters are ready to end the formal, government-imposed, lockdowns. But they are still demanding a strong societal commitment to social distancing and appropriate health protocols. The new rules will be enforced by individual Americans deciding which businesses are safe enough to visit and which ones should be avoided.

Scott Rasmussen is an American political analyst and digital media entrepreneur. He is the author of “The Sun is Still Rising: Politics Has Failed But America Will Not.”

Posted in Scott's Columns | Tagged

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

65% Concerned Officials Using Pandemic As Excuse to Infringe on Constitutional Rights

Sixty-five percent (65%) of voters nationwide are at least somewhat concerned that public officials are using the pandemic as an excuse to infringe upon the Constitutional rights of individual Americans. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 39% who are Very Concerned.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans are concerned along with 63% of Independent voters and 52% of Democrats.

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of urban voters are concerned. So are 66% of rural voters and 63% in the suburbs. Other data shows that urban voters tend to be more supportive of lockdowns than others. Their level of concern about Constitutional Rights being infringed may result from the fact that many urban voters are living under more severe restrictions than others.

Data released earlier shows that 38% of voters want the lockdowns to continue in their community. However, 57% disagree. Most voters believe rules and guidelines should be set locally rather than nationally.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 7-9, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 174 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged , ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

38% Want To Continue Lockdowns In Their Own Community, 57% Disagree

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters nationwide believe it would be appropriate to continue the lockdowns in their own neighborhood and community. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 57% disagree. That total includes 40% who believe it is time to ease the restrictions and 17% who believe it is time to end the lockdowns.

Forty-four percent (44%) of urban voters want to continue the lockdowns. That view is shared by 38% in the suburbs and 34% who live in rural areas.

The survey also found that 34% believe the rules and guidelines appropriate for their area be applied to the entire nation. However, 57% believe each community should establish its own guidelines in response to local conditions.

Forty-five percent (45%) of Democrats believe that the rules for their community should be applied to the entire nation. Just 30% of Independents and 24% of Republicans agree.

Most (55%) of those who want lockdowns to continue in their community believe the same rules and guidelines apply to the entire country. As for those who want to ease restrictions, 72% take the opposite view and believe each community should establish its own guidelines. Among the group who want to end lockdowns in their area, 77% think each community should decide for itself.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from May 7-9, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 174 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied and the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

 

 

 

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

49% Fear Economic Threat More Than Health Threat From Coronavirus

Forty-nine percent (49%) of voters nationwide now fear the economic threat from the coronavirus more than the health threat. A Scott Rasmussen national survey conducted over the past weekend (April 30-May 2) found that 45% take the opposite view and are more worried about the health threat.

These numbers reflect a significant change over the past month. In late March, by a 55% to 38% margin, voters were more concerned about the health threat.

By a 53% to 42% margin, men are more worried about the economic threat. Women are evenly divided.

There remains a gaping partisan divide. By a 73% to 21% margin, Republicans are more worried about the economic threat. Democrats, by a 64% to 31% margin, worry more about threats to health.

In late March, Independent voters were more worried about the health threat by a 55% to 34% margin. Now, they are evenly divided (49% say health, 45% economy).

These results are consistent with other data showing that people are looking for actions that may loosen some of the restrictions. Voters nationwide are evenly divided as to whether the lockdowns should continue. And, they have come to recognize that it’s not simply a question of stay home to stay safe or go out and get sick. Voters recognize that there are significant mental and physical health risks associated with ongoing lockdowns.

Additionally, 51% now  favor a proposal that would allow all who are not sick or vulnerable in their area to return to work. Thirty-eight percent (38%) are opposed, and 10% are not sure. That question was framed in the context of the area that the respondents lived in. These numbers are not a call for a national rule, but a recognition that different dynamics exist in different communities.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 30-May 2, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 179 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied, and the overall sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged , ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

The Healthcare Trade-offs of Continued Lockdowns

As America begins to reopen society, individual Americans have come to recognize that there are significant health risks involved in continuing the lockdowns associated with the coronavirus.

Polling I conducted last week (April 24-26, 2020) for FreedomWorks shows that 61% of voters nationwide are concerned about the health risks associated with prolonged isolation. An even larger share of voters — 73% — say that it’s important for their own mental well-being to be able to see people face-to-face again.

At one level, this is just an expression of common sense. Human beings are social creatures who suffer from a lack of social interaction. However, much of the awareness comes from firsthand experience.

· Thirty-three percent have close friends or family members who have been severely depressed during the lockdown.

· Twenty-three percent know of people close to them who have been drinking too much during the lockdown.

· Thirty-five percent have personally put on weight or experienced health-related problems associated with the stay-at-home orders.

In other words, voters recognize there are no easy answers. It’s not a question of stay home to stay safe or go out and get sick. There are difficult trade-offs involved and no options are completely safe.

The dynamics of these risks change over time. When conducted for a very short period of time, lockdowns and social isolation present very low levels of health risk. The longer the isolation, however, the higher the risk.

As a result, locking down society was clearly the lower-risk alternative when the pandemic began. Voters recognized that reality by strongly backing many government actions to shut down both travel and social interaction. Looking back on it now, 72% of voters continue to believe the aggressive government actions prevented the spread of the coronavirus and saved lives. Just 14% disagree.

Not only that, few believe the actions should have been taken only in large cities with severe outbreaks. Sixty-nine percent (69%) believe the lockdowns were appropriate throughout the country. In our highly polarized political era, it’s astounding to find 7 out of 10 voters agreeing on any type of government action.

But now, after experiencing and taking into account the risks of extended social isolation, voters are reevaluating the trade-offs. While 51% think it’s appropriate to continue the lockdowns, 47% think it’s time to either ease the restrictions (36%) or end the lockdowns entirely (11%). The FreedomWorks data shows that some of the differences of opinion are actually based upon the different realities that voters are experiencing. Most urban voters (58%) want to continue the lockdowns while most rural voters (55%) think it’s time to ease restrictions or end the lockdowns.

Looking a bit further down the road, people see the risks of continued isolation growing. Today 36% believe that continuing the lockdowns poses greater health risks than easing restrictions. Another 18% believe that will be the case if lockdowns continue for 60 more days.

In other words, a combined 54% of the nation’s voters believe that 60 more days of lockdowns will present a greater health risk than easing lockdown restrictions. At the other extreme, just 21% believe that continuing the lockdowns for another couple of months will be the safer approach.

As voters have experienced and considered the health risks associated with social isolation and lockdowns, scientists have been gathering additional information about the coronavirus itself. The evidence indicates that voters are factoring this data into their understanding of the trade-offs involved.

Specifically, 76% of voters are aware that recent data has shown that far more people have been infected with the coronavirus than previously thought. Voter thoughts about when and how to reopen society are being made with awareness that COVID-19 is extremely contagious.

At the same time, just 44% are aware that the latest data shows that people who get the coronavirus are less likely to die than previously thought. That decline weighs heavily on the trade-offs involved. When people believe the fatality rate of the contagion is higher and the costs of lockdowns are lower, they are more likely to embrace the lockdowns. But as the costs of social isolation increases and the data shows the fatality rate to be lower, the equation shifts.

Not surprisingly, therefore, those who are aware of the latest scientific data favor easing lockdown restrictions by a 66% to 33% margin. Those who mistakenly believe the fatality rate has not fallen favor continuing the lockdowns by a 71% to 28% margin.

For those who believe in America’s commitment to self-governance, this is encouraging news. Even in the midst of a crisis like the coronavirus pandemic, individual Americans are weighing the difficult trade-offs based upon the underlying facts.

In the coming months, we will learn many more facts as individual cities and states take different approaches to reopening society. The choices will be difficult. Some approaches will work better than others and some will be more appropriate in one part of the country rather than others. As individual Americans consider it all, they will swiftly guide the nation towards the best practices for safely reopening society.

Posted in Scott's Columns | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

36% Would Turn In Neighbors for Violating Social Distancing Rules

What do you do if your neighbor has 15-20 people over and it’s in violation of stay-at-home orders? A JustTheNews.com survey found that 36% of voters would report their neighbors to the police. Forty-three percent (43%) would not. 

Suburban and Urban voters are evenly divided on the question. However, by a 53% to 28% margin, rural voters would not report their neighbors.

There is a huge partisan difference. By a 44% to 31% margin, a plurality of Democrats would turn their neighbors in. By a 60% to 25% margin, Republicans would not. Independents are evenly divided.

Women are also evenly divided. Men, by a 51% to 32% margin, would not report their neighbors to the police.

See crosstab results.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

33% Believe Government Response to Pandemic Has Not Gone Far Enough

Thirty-three percent (33%) of voters believe that, in responding to the pandemic, government officials have not gone far enough. However, a Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 20% believe they have gone too far. A plurality–41%–believe the balance has been about right.

These numbers reflect a significant shift since late March. At that time, 41% believed government officials had not gone far enough while just 14% believed they had gone too far.

Forty percent (40%) of Republicans believe the balance has been about right along with 43% of Democrats and 38% of Independents.

However, beneath that apparent common ground, there are significant partisan differences.

  • Thirty-six percent (36%) of Republicans believe the government actions have gone to far while only 18% say not far enough.
  • Democrats see it much differently–44% say not far enough while just 8% believe they have already gone too far.
  • Among Independents, 34% say not far enough and 19% say too far.

Other data shows a similar trend as people are looking for actions that may loosen some of the restrictions. Fifty-one percent (51%)  favor a proposal that would allow all who are not sick or vulnerable in their area to return to work. Thirty-eight percent (38%) are opposed, and 10% are not sure. That question was framed in the context of the area that the respondents lived in. These numbers are not a call for a national rule, but a recognition that different dynamics exist in different communities.

Currently, 23% of voters believe the worst of the pandemic is behind us, an increase of seven points over the past two weeks.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

 

 

 

 

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 23-25, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 272 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

70% Favor Temporary Ban on Entry Into United States

Seventy percent (70%) of Registered Voters believe the federal government place a temporary ban on allowing people from any other country to enter the United States. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that total includes 34% who believe that even Americans living abroad should have to wait until the pandemic is over before returning.

The temporary ban is supported by 82% of Republicans, 66% of Independents, and 64% of Democrats.

Among those who Strongly Approve of President Trump, 84% support the ban. Among those who Strongly Disapprove of the president, 57% share that same view.

Overall, among all voters, just 15% oppose a temporary ban. In no measured demographic group does opposition reach 25%.

SIGN UP to receive Scott’s free email newsletter.

CHECK OUT Scott’s latest polls.

FOLLOW Scott on Twitter.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 16-18, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 167 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged , ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

After Lockdown, 34% Expect Economy to Bounce Back Quickly

When the lockdown ends, 34% of voters expect the U.S. economy to bounce back quickly. However, a Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 45% have the opposite view and believe the nation will suffer through a long recession.  Twenty-one percent (21%) are not sure.

By a 48% to 34% margin, Republicans expect the economy to bounce back quickly. Democrats, by a 56% to 24% margin, take the opposite view. Among independents, 43% expect a long recession while 33% think a quick recovery is likely.

It’s important to note that these dynamics are broadly consistent with pre-pandemic attitudes. Republicans were far more optimistic about the economy, Democrats more pessimistic, and Independent voters in between.

As for the prospects when the lockdown is lifted, white voters are evenly divided. Black and Hispanic voters are more pessimistic.

Investors are evenly divided–42% expect the economy to bounce back quickly while 38% think a long recession is coming.

Just 31% of non-investors expect a quick recovery while 50% disagree.

Data released earlier showed that 60% of all voters expect the worst is yet to come.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 217 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

 

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

50% Say Top Priority Should Be Letting People Gather in Homes

There has been a lot of recent debate about how and when to re-open the U.S. economy. However, data from the latest Scott Rasmussen survey suggests that voters are interested in a broader discussion about how to re-open American society. The survey asked voters to prioritize the re-opening of various activities when the lockdown ends. For each activity, voters were asked whether it should happen right away or if it should be a second or third priority.

  • Fifty percent (50%) said that allowing people to gather in small groups at someone’s home should happen right away.
  • Thirty-five percent (35%) said that churches and other religious gatherings should be opened right away.
  • Re-opening retail stores was also seen as a top priority by 35%.
  • Thirty-one percent (31%) said the same about schools.
  • Just 21% thought re-opening bars and restaurants should happen right away.
  • Only 14% said the same about major league sports events and stadium concerts.

These results suggest that voters are interested in the broader questions of re-opening society, rather than narrow concerns about the economy. That’s not surprising since 23% say that the biggest impact they’ve felt from the pandemic is boredom, depression and isolation. Thirty percent (30%) cited loss of income as the biggest impact.

Additionally, even the re-opening of retail stores may reflect something more than economic concerns. Many people have experienced difficulties obtaining needed supplies during the pandemic—everything from food to health care items. Opening retail stores may be seen as a way to help address those concerns.

There are significant partisan differences in priorities. The most dramatic concerns the re-opening of churches and religious services. Forty-seven percent (47%) of Republicans believe that should be a top priority while only 29% of Democrats agree.

These results come from a survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from April 9-11, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Most respondents were contacted online while 217 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged ,

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

55% Fear That Government Officials Will Re-Open Businesses Too Soon

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters worry that government officials will re-open businesses too soon. A national survey by Scott Rasmussen found that just 29% take the opposite view and fear they will wait too long. Sixteen percent (16%) are not sure.

Data released earlier shows that 45% of voters expect the lockdown to last another month or two. Thirty-seven percent (37%) think it will last for three months or longer. While most (53%) worry primarily about the health crisis, 38% are more worried about the economic impact of the pandemic.

On just about every question there is a wide partisan divide. By a 72% to 15% margin, Democrats worry that the government is likely to re-open things too soon rather than wait too long. Republicans lean in the opposite direction–46% believe government officials will wait too long while 36% think they will re-open things too quickly. Independent voters, by a 56% to 28% margin, fear that businesses will be allowed to re-open too soon.

Other data from the survey found that 41% believe government officials have not gone far enough in shutting things down. Thirty-eight percent (38%) believe the balance has been about right while 14% believe they have gone too far. These results are consistent with strong support for actions taken so far–everything from the ban on travel from China to canceling sports events.

So far, most Democrats (58%) believe government officials have not gone far enough. Most Republicans (52%) believe the balance has been about right. Independent voters are evenly divided (42% Not Far Enough, 34% About Right).

In responding to the coronavirus pandemic, have government officials gone too far in shutting things down, not far enough, or has the balance been about right?

41%    Not Far Enough

38%    Balance About Right

14%    Gone Too Far

  7%    Not Sure

Which worries you the most—that government officials will re-open businesses too soon or that they will wait too long?

55%    Too Soon

29%    Wait Too Long

16%    Not Sure

The survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from March 26-28, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Approximately 72% of the survey respondents were selected at random from lists of Registered Voters. The remainder were selected through Random Digital Engagement. Most were contacted online while 247 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

45% Expect Lockdown to Last A Month or Two

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters nationwide believe it will be a month or two before most businesses re-open and social activity resumes.  A national survey conducted by Scott Rasmussen found that 37% think it will take three months or longer. At the other end of the spectrum, 13% believe the lockdown will end within a couple of weeks.

There is a significant partisan divide on the question. Seventy-one percent (71%) of Republicans expect business and social activity to resume within a couple of months. Just 44% of Democrats are that optimistic.

Most Democrats (51%) believe at least three months will pass before things re-open. Just 23% of Republicans agree.

As for Independent voters, 57% expect social activity to resume within a couple of months. Thirty-six percent (36%) believe it will take three months or longer.

How long do you think it will be before most businesses re-open and social activity resumes?

13%     A couple of weeks

45%    A month or two

29%    Three to six months

  6%    Six Months to a year

  2%    More than a year

  6%    Not Sure

The survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted by Scott Rasmussen using a mixed mode approach from March 26-28, 2020. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Approximately 72% of the survey respondents were selected at random from lists of Registered Voters. The remainder were selected through Random Digital Engagement. Most were contacted online while 247 were contacted using automated phone polling techniques. Certain quotas were applied to the overall sample and lightly weighted by gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!

89% Support Ban on Travel from China

A One America News survey found strong support for early actions taken by governments and private companies to address the coronavirus outbreak.

  • Seventy-three percent (73%) Strongly Approve of the ban on travel from China, higher than support for any other action.
    *  The lowest level of support was found for suspending college basketball tournaments and professional sports events. Still, 51% Strongly Approve.
  • In all cases, approval is higher among older people than younger voters.
  • In the case of the travel bans, support is higher among Republicans than other voters. However, a majority in all parties support the travel bans.
    *  Eighty-five percent (85%) of Republicans Strongly Approve of the ban on travel from China. That view is shared by 66% of Democrats and 66% of Independent voters.
    *  The ban on European travel earns Strong Approval from 77% of Republicans, 52% of Democrats, and 54% of other voters.

SUMMARY OF VIEWS TOWARDS VARIOUS ACTIONS

APPROVE (Strongly) DISAPPROVE
China Travel Ban 89% (73%) 10%
European Travel Ban 84% (61%) 13%
Encouraging Work From Home 89% (63%) 10%
Suspending Sports Events 75% (51%) 20%
State Bans of Large Gatherings 81% (54%) 16%
Co-payment Waivers 90% (72%) 9%
Campus Closures 82% (57%) 15%
  • Seventy-three percent (73%) Strongly Approve of the ban on travel from China, higher than support for any other action.
    *  The lowest level of support was found for suspending college basketball tournaments and professional sports events. Still, 51% Strongly Approve.
  • In all cases, approval is higher among older people than younger voters.
  • In the case of the travel bans, support is higher among Republicans than other voters. However, a majority in all parties support the travel bans.
    *  Eighty-five percent (85%) of Republicans Strongly Approve of the ban on travel from China. That view is shared by 66% of Democrats and 66% of Independent voters.
    *  The ban on European travel earns Strong Approval from 77% of Republicans, 52% of Democrats, and 54% of other voters.

The survey was conducted by Scott Rasmussen.

Survey respondents were randomly selected from a comprehensive panel of potential participants. Field work was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the final results were lightly weighted by gender, age, race, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of the nation at large.

Posted in Poll Results | Tagged

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!