45% Believe U.S. Currently In Recession

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters believe the United States is currently in a recession. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 29% disagree and say the nation is not in a recession. Twenty-six percent (26%) are not sure.

Fifty-six percent (56%) of Republicans believe that the U.S. is currently in a recession. So do 40% of Democrats and 40% of Independent voters.

There is a substantial racial divide on this question among Democrats. By a 56% to 21% margin, Black Democrats believe the country is in a recession. However, White Democrats are evenly divided: 40% say we are not in a recession, 38% believe we are.

This data is the latest to confirm growing pessimism about the economy. Twenty-five percent (25%) of voters nationwide say their own personal finances are getting better but 33% say they are getting worse. Additionally, 63% of voters have experienced backorders, delays, and shortages.

On a related topic, it appears many  many people will be vaccinated against their will rather than lose their job. Forty-three percent (43%) say that’s a good thing while another 43% say it’s bad.

By a 55% to 30% margin, those who have already been vaccinated say it’s good to vaccinate others against their will. However, among those who are in no rush to get vaccinated or will never get vaccinated, just 6% say it’s a good thing while 85% say it’s bad. This suggests the possibility of a significant political backlash.

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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.


Is the United States currently in a recession?

45%     Yes

29%     No

26%     Not sure


The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 11-13, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.

The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

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