2018 Senate Races

Senate Scoreboard

	Good Dem Turnout	Baseline	Good Rep Turnout
Dem	47	47	47
Rep	53	53	53
Toss Ups		0

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Scoreboard Breakdown

Mid-Range Result: Each party wins their respective tilt & lean status races and the tossup races are not counted.

Good Turnout: A party with a good turnout wins the tossup races and the opposite party's tilts in addition to all other expected wins.

	DEM	REP
Not Running	23	42
Toss Ups	0
Tilts	0	0
Leans	0	0
Likelies		1
Strongs	24	10

	DEM	REP
Extraordinary Dem Turnout	47	53
Extraordinary Rep Turnout	47	53

An extraordinary turnout assumes that one party wins the toss ups AND the other party's tilts and leans.

Scoreboard Exclusions

None

Senate RaceWatch

Status Changes This Week (15)
Arizona (Sinema v McSally)   Toss Up ⇒ Strong Dem
Florida (Nelson v Scott)   Toss Up ⇒ Strong Rep
Indiana (Donnelly v Braun)   Toss Up ⇒ Strong Rep
Minnesota (Smith v Housley)   Likely Dem ⇒ Strong Dem
Missouri (McCaskill v Hawley)   Toss Up ⇒ Strong Rep
Montana (Tester v Rosendale)   Tilt Dem ⇒ Strong Dem
Nevada (Rosen v Heller)   Toss Up ⇒ Strong Dem
New Jersey (Menendez v Hugin)   Lean Dem ⇒ Strong Dem
North Dakota (Heitkamp v Cramer)   Lean Rep ⇒ Strong Rep
Ohio (Brown v Renacci)   Likely Dem ⇒ Strong Dem
Pennsylvania (Casey v Barletta)   Likely Dem ⇒ Strong Dem
Tennessee (Bredesen v Blackburn)   Lean Rep ⇒ Strong Rep
Texas (O'Rourke v Cruz)   Lean Rep ⇒ Strong Rep
West Virginia (Manchin v Morrisey)   Lean Dem ⇒ Strong Dem
Wisconsin (Baldwin v Vukmir)   Likely Dem ⇒ Strong Dem

Senate Race Status Table

SWIPE RIGHT TO SEE FULL TABLE >>>>>>

Strong Dem	Likely Rep	Strong Rep
Arizona	Mississippi	Florida
California		Indiana
Connecticut		Mississippi
Delaware		Missouri
Hawaii		Nebraska
Maine		North Dakota
Maryland		Tennessee
Massachusetts		Texas
Michigan		Utah
Minnesota		Wyoming
Minnesota
Montana
Nevada
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin

Incumbent Party

Status change this week

Pending primaries

Pending runoff

Note: All races featuring an Independents candidate are included in the table above. Their side (Dem / Rep) is determined by which major party they usually caucus.