2018 Senate Race: State: Arizona ( Kyrsten Sinema v Martha McSally )

CURRENT STATUS: Pending General Election

Race Status

Toss Up
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 10-08-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 05/30/2018
Primaries: 08/28/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

Kyrsten Sinema

Deedra Abboud


Rep Incumbent

Republican Candidate
Martha McSally

Joe Arpaio
Kelli Ward

Pundit Opinions

CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Toss UpToss UpToss UpToss UpToss Up

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Current Senate Scoreboard
Bottom Line

The GOP chances of hanging on to this seat dramatically improved with Congresswoman Martha McSally’s solid primary victory. More precisely, the Republicans would have had no chance to win if one of the other candidates had won or if the primary had been exceptionally close.

2018 Arizona Data Card
Arizona Demographics
Demographic State Nation
Gender 49.7% Male
50.3% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity 55.5% White/Caucasian
27.8% White/Hispanic
5.4% Native American
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home 26.9% 21.1%
High School Grad Rate 86.7% 87.5%
College Grad Rate 28.9% 31.3%
Per Capita Income $27,997 $31,128
Unemployment 5% 4.1
Median Age 37.5 37.9
Population 6931071 325.7 mil
Square Miles 113584 3,796,742
Population per SqMi 161 185.8
People per Household 2.7 2.7
Foreign Born 13.5% 13.5%
Veteran 9.2% 7.4%
Geographic Mobility 18.5% 14.6%
Data Credits
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile