2018 Senate Race: State: Texas ( Beto O’Rourke v Ted Cruz )

CURRENT STATUS: Pending General Election

Race Status

Likely Rep
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 07-09-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 12/11/2017
Primaries: 03/06/2018
Runoffs: 05/22/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

Beto O'Rourke
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Beto O'Rourke (Share of Vote: 61.8% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Sema Hernandez (Share of Vote: 23.7% )
Edward Kimbrough (Share of Vote: 14.4% )


Incumbent

Rep Incumbent

Republican Candidate
WINNER: Ted Cruz (Share of Vote: 85.3% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Stefano De Stefano (Share of Vote: 2.9% )
Bruce Jacobson (Share of Vote: 4.2% )
Mary Miller (Share of Vote: 6.1% )
Geraldine Sam (Share of Vote: 1.5%)


Pundit Opinions

Average
CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Likely RepLikely RepLikely RepLikely RepLean Rep
   

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Current Senate Scoreboard
Bottom Line

Senator Ted Cruz is a heavy favorite against his most likely challenger, Congressman Beto O’Rourke. While Democrats believe that the demographic trends in the state are moving their way, it’s hard to see them moving fast enough for a 2018 upset. Still, O’Rourke is running a serious campaign and raised more money that Cruz during both the third and fourth quarters of 2017.

2018 Texas Data Card
Texas Demographics
DemographicStateNation
Image
Gender49.6% Male
50.4% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity42.6% White/Caucasian
36.8% White/Hispanic
12.6% Black/African American
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home35.0%21.1%
High School Grad Rate82.9%87.5%
College Grad Rate28.9%31.3%
Per Capita Income$28,714$31,128
Unemployment5%4.1
Median Age34.537.9
Population27862596325.7 mil
Square Miles2612503,796,742
Population per SqMi1106.7185.8
People per Household2.92.7
Foreign Born17.0%13.5%
Veteran7.1%7.4%
Geographic Mobility15.9%14.6%
Data Credits
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
Other Races in Texas
SortRaceCurrent Status
SortRaceCurrent Status
Senate Race: Texas (O'Rourke v Cruz)Strong Rep
Gubernatorial Race: Texas (TBD v Abbott)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-01 (McKellar v Gohmert)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-02 (Litton v TBD)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-03 (TBD v Taylor)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-04 (Krantz v Ratcliffe)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-05 (Wood v TBD)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-06 (TBD v TBD)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-07 (TBD v Culberson)Tilt Rep
House Race: TX-08 (David v Brady)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-09 (Green v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-10 (TBD v McCaul)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-11 (Leeder v Conaway)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-12 (Adia v Granger)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-13 (Sagan v Thornberry)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-14 (Bell v Weber)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-15 (Gonzalez v Westley)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-16 (Escobar v Seeberger)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-17 (Kennedy v Flores)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-18 (Lee v Pate)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-19 (Levario v Arrington)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-20 (Castro v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-21 (TBD v TBD)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-22 (TBD v Olson)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-23 (TBD v Hurd)Tilt Rep
House Race: TX-24 (Mcdowell v Marchant)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-25 (TBD v Williams)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-26 (Fagan v Burgess)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-27 (TBD v TBD)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-28 (Cuellar v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-29 (Garcia v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-30 (Johnson v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-31 (TBD v Carter)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-32 (TBD v Sessions)Lean Rep
House Race: TX-33 (Veasey v Billups)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-34 (Vela v Gonzalez)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-35 (Doggett v Smalling)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-36 (Steele v Babin)Strong Rep