2018 Senate Race: State: Texas ( Beto O’Rourke v Ted Cruz )


Race Status

RESULT: Rafael Cruz (Rep)

Strong Rep
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 10-15-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 12/11/2017
Primaries: 03/06/2018
Runoffs: 05/22/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

Beto O'Rourke

WINNER: Beto O'Rourke (Share of Vote: 61.8% )
Sema Hernandez (Share of Vote: 23.7% )
Edward Kimbrough (Share of Vote: 14.4% )


Rep Incumbent

Republican Candidate
WINNER: Ted Cruz (Share of Vote: 85.3% )
Stefano De Stefano (Share of Vote: 2.9% )
Bruce Jacobson (Share of Vote: 4.2% )
Mary Miller (Share of Vote: 6.1% )
Geraldine Sam (Share of Vote: 1.5%)

Pundit Opinions

CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Strong RepToss UpLean RepLikely RepLean Rep

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Current Senate Scoreboard
Bottom Line

Senator Ted Cruz is a heavy favorite against his most likely challenger, Congressman Beto O’Rourke. While Democrats believe that the demographic trends in the state are moving their way, it’s hard to see them moving fast enough for a 2018 upset. Still, O’Rourke is running a serious campaign and raised more money that Cruz during both the third and fourth quarters of 2017.

2018 Texas Data Card
Texas Demographics
Demographic State Nation
Gender 49.6% Male
50.4% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity 42.6% White/Caucasian
36.8% White/Hispanic
12.6% Black/African American
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home 35.0% 21.1%
High School Grad Rate 82.9% 87.5%
College Grad Rate 28.9% 31.3%
Per Capita Income $28,714 $31,128
Unemployment 5% 4.1
Median Age 34.5 37.9
Population 27862596 325.7 mil
Square Miles 261250 3,796,742
Population per SqMi 1106.7 185.8
People per Household 2.9 2.7
Foreign Born 17.0% 13.5%
Veteran 7.1% 7.4%
Geographic Mobility 15.9% 14.6%
Data Credits
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
Other Races in Texas
Sort Race Current Status
Sort Race Current Status
Senate Race: Texas (O'Rourke v Cruz)Strong Rep
Gubernatorial Race: Texas (TBD v Abbott)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-01 (McKellar v Gohmert)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-02 (Litton v TBD)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-03 (TBD v Taylor)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-04 (Krantz v Ratcliffe)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-05 (Wood v TBD)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-06 (TBD v TBD)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-07 (TBD v Culberson)Tilt Rep
House Race: TX-08 (David v Brady)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-09 (Green v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-10 (TBD v McCaul)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-11 (Leeder v Conaway)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-12 (Adia v Granger)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-13 (Sagan v Thornberry)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-14 (Bell v Weber)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-15 (Gonzalez v Westley)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-16 (Escobar v Seeberger)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-17 (Kennedy v Flores)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-18 (Lee v Pate)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-19 (Levario v Arrington)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-20 (Castro v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-21 (TBD v TBD)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-22 (TBD v Olson)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-23 (TBD v Hurd)Tilt Rep
House Race: TX-24 (Mcdowell v Marchant)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-25 (TBD v Williams)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-26 (Fagan v Burgess)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-27 (TBD v TBD)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-28 (Cuellar v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-29 (Garcia v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-30 (Johnson v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-31 (TBD v Carter)Strong Rep
House Race: TX-32 (TBD v Sessions)Lean Rep
House Race: TX-33 (Veasey v Billups)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-34 (Vela v Gonzalez)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-35 (Doggett v Smalling)Strong Dem
House Race: TX-36 (Steele v Babin)Strong Rep