2018 Senate Race: State: Wisconsin ( Tammy Baldwin v Leah Vukmir )


Race Status

RESULT: Tammy Baldwin (Dem)

Strong Dem
INCUMBENT PARTY: Dem last updated: 10-15-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 06/01/2018
Primaries: 08/14/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Incumbent

Tammy Baldwin

Rep Candidate

Republican Candidate
Leah Vukmir

Kevin Nicholson
Griffin Jones
John Schiess

Pundit Opinions

CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Strong DemLikely DemLikely DemStrong DemLean Dem

Embed this table on your website...

<div style="position: relative; height: 0; overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 52.5%;"><iframe src="https://scottrasmussen.com/?post_type=senpundittable&amp;p=557" scrolling="no" style="position: absolute; top:0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100%; border: 1px solid #cccccc;"></iframe></div>
Share this table on social media...
Current Senate Scoreboard
Bottom Line

Republicans believe incumbent Senator Tammy Baldwin is vulnerable while Democrats disagree.

In recent years, Governor Scott Walker and his political success have changed Wisconsin from a Democratic state to an amazingly competitive environment.

Baldwin initially voted for the government “shutdown” and then voted a few days later to re-open it. MoveOn.org strongly criticized that vote and accused the Senator of flip-flopping. Challenges from the political left will be challenging for Baldwin in a state that has grown more conservative.

Before getting to Baldwin, though, the GOP needs to choose between two conservative candidates seeking the nomination–Marine Corps veteran Kevin Nicholson and state Sen. Leah Vukmir.

While Governor Walker is remaining officially neutral in the GOP primary, his wife is not. Tonette Walker endorsed Vukmir. Walker’s son already works for Vukmir’s campaign. The State Senator has also picked up the endorsement of State Sen. Joel Kleefisch (married to Walker’s lieutenant governor) and former RNC Chairman Reince Preibus.

2018 Wisconsin Data Card
Wisconsin Demographics
Demographic State Nation
Gender 49.7% Male
50.3% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity 81.7% White/Caucasian
6.6% Black/African American
5.8% White/Hispanic
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home 8.7% 21.1%
High School Grad Rate 91.9% 87.5%
College Grad Rate 29.5% 31.3%
Per Capita Income $30,902 $31,128
Unemployment 3.2% 4.1
Median Age 39.4 37.9
Population 5778708 325.7 mil
Square Miles 54158.3 3,796,742
Population per SqMi 1106.7 185.8
People per Household 2.4 2.7
Foreign Born 5.0% 13.5%
Veteran 7.5% 7.4%
Geographic Mobility 14.6% 14.6%
Data Credits
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile