2018 Senate Race: State: Montana ( Jon Tester v Matt Rosendale )


Race Status

RESULT: Jon Tester (Dem)

Strong Dem
INCUMBENT PARTY: Dem last updated: 10-15-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 03/12/2018
Primaries: 06/05/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Incumbent

Jon Tester

WINNER: Jon Tester (Share of Vote: Unopposed )

Rep Candidate

Republican Candidate
Matt Rosendale

WINNER: Matt Rosendale (Share of Vote: 33.8% )
Russel Fagg (Share of Vote: 28.3% )
Al Olszewski (Share of Vote: 18.7%)
Troy Downing (Share of Vote: 19.1% )

Pundit Opinions

CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Strong DemToss UpLean DemTilt DemToss Up

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Current Senate Scoreboard
Bottom Line

Senator Jon Tester is considered potentially vulnerable for just one reason–President Trump won Montana by 20 percentage points.

He’s been lucky so far as three potentially tough challengers have been removed from the field.

On the other hand, Tester stunned by observers by voting against re-opening the government following a brief shutdown in January. All other Democratic Senators in states where Trump won big voted to end the shutdown as fast as they could.

Montana Republicans will surely use this vote against Tester, claiming he put the interests of illegal immigrants above the needs of American citizens. Whether that’s enough to put Tester’s job at risk remains to be seen.

2018 Montana Data Card
Montana Demographics
Demographic State Nation
Gender 50.3% Male
49.7% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity 86.5% White/Caucasian
6.6% Native American
2.7% White/Hispanic
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home 4.1% 21.1%
High School Grad Rate 92.8% 87.5%
College Grad Rate 31.0% 31.3%
Per Capita Income $28,933 $31,128
Unemployment 3.8% 4.1
Median Age 40.1 37.9
Population 1042520 325.7 mil
Square Miles 145546.9 3,796,742
Population per SqMi 17.2 185.8
People per Household 2.4 2.7
Foreign Born 2.1% 13.5%
Veteran 10.5% 7.4%
Geographic Mobility 16.4% 14.6%
Data Credits
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
Other Races in Montana
Sort Race Current Status
Sort Race Current Status
Senate Race: Montana (Tester v TBD)Lean Dem
House Race: MT-00 (TBD v Gianforte)Likely Rep