2018 Senate Race: State: Tennessee ( Phil Bredesen v Marsha Blackburn )


Race Status

RESULT: Marsha Blackburn (Rep)

Strong Rep
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 10-15-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 04/05/2018
Primaries: 08/02/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

Phil Bredesen

Gary Davis
John Wolfe


Rep Incumbent

Republican Candidate
Marsha Blackburn

Lamar Coker
Jim Elkins
Aaron Pettigrew

Pundit Opinions

CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Strong RepToss UpLean RepLean RepLean Rep

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Current Senate Scoreboard
Bottom Line

Democrats have a difficult Senate map in 2018 with only two Republican seats seriously in play (Nevada and Arizona). However, some Democrats believe that Tennessee could become competitive now that former Governor Phil Bredesen has entered the race. Republicans dismiss that as wishful thinking in a state Donald Trump won by a 61% to 35% margin.

On the GOP side, U.S. Representative Marsha Blackburn is the early frontrunner. She has attracted solid support from leading conservative groups and begins the year with nearly $5 million in her campaign fund. 

2018 Tennessee Data Card
Tennessee Demographics
Demographic State Nation
Gender 48.8% Male
51.2% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity 74.2% White/Caucasian
17.1% Black/African American
4.5% White/Hispanic
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home 6.9% 21.1%
High School Grad Rate 87.0% 87.5%
College Grad Rate 26.1% 31.3%
Per Capita Income $27,087 $31,128
Unemployment 4.7% 4.1
Median Age 38.6 37.9
Population 6651194 325.7 mil
Square Miles 41235.8 3,796,742
Population per SqMi 1161.3 185.8
People per Household 2.5 2.7
Foreign Born 4.8% 13.5%
Veteran 8.4% 7.4%
Geographic Mobility 14.2% 14.6%
Data Credits
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile