If the midterm elections were held today, 41% of Registered Voters would vote for the Republican from their Congressional District while 40% would vote for the Democrat. A Scott Rasmussen national survey found that 6% would vote for some other candidate while 13% are not sure.
Those numbers are little changed from a month ago. However, it is the first time that Republicans have led by even a statistically insignificant margin all year. Six months ago, Democrats had a four-point advantage.
One challenge facing Democrats at the moment is growing pessimism about the economy. Twenty-five percent (25%) of voters nationwide say their own personal finances are getting better but 33% say they are getting worse.
Additionally, 63% of voters have experienced backorders, delays, and shortages.
Another challenge revolves around the call for vaccine mandates. Survey data suggest it is quite likely that many people will be vaccinated against their will. Forty-three percent (43%) say that’s a good thing while another 43% say it’s bad.
By a 55% to 30% margin, those who have already been vaccinated say it’s good to vaccinate others against their will. However, among those who are in no rush to get vaccinated or will never get vaccinated, just 6% say it’s a good thing while 85% say it’s bad. This suggests the possibility of a significant political backlash.
On a different topic, 64% of voters agree that “Just about all positive change in America begins outside of America’s political system.”
Finally, 83% of voters believe making it easier to vote and harder to cheat should be the goal of election reform. At this point in time, 51% say making it harder to cheat is the higher priority while 37% take the opposite view.
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Note: Neither Scott Rasmussen, ScottRasmussen.com, nor RMG Research, Inc. have any affiliation with Rasmussen Reports. While Scott Rasmussen founded that firm, he left more than seven years ago and has had no involvement since that time.
Methodology
The survey of 1,200 Registered Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on October 11-13, 2021. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. Certain quotas were applied, and the sample was lightly weighted by geography, gender, age, race, education, internet usage, and political party to reasonably reflect the nation’s population of Registered Voters. Other variables were reviewed to ensure that the final sample is representative of that population.
The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points.
