In head-to-head match-ups, there are no clear frontrunners in the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination.
A ScottRasmussen.com national survey asked who Democratic voters and Democratic leaning Independents would prefer if the race came down to just two candidates. All the match-ups we tested are in the toss-up category.
- Senator Elizabeth Warren 41% has a two-point edge over former Vice President Joe Biden.
- Warren has a three-point edge over Senator Bernie Sanders.
- Biden is preferred by 43% over Sanders while 41% prefer the Senator from Vermont.
- When matched against Senator Kamala Harris, Biden is up by three, 41% to 38%.
- Sanders leads Harris 42% to 37%.
Data released earlier showed that more than 70% of Democrats would be satisfied with any of those hopefuls as their nominee. Scott Rasmussen has suggested that we may have seen this nomination contest become a four-person race.
When all of the nearly two dozen candidates are included in a preference poll, Biden currently enjoys an 18-point lead over his nearest competitor. It will be interesting to see how that lead holds up following the first Democratic debates next month.
The first two debates will include 20 candidates. However, beginning with the third debate, new Democratic National Committee guidelines that will sharply limit the number of candidates who are able to participate. This head-to-head match-up data suggests that the race could look significantly different as the field of viable candidates narrows.
See full crosstab results for the head-to-head match-ups.
We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economy, health care, immigration, Congress, ratings of Congressional leaders, Election 2020, the Democratic Primaries, Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).
The national survey of 881 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted May 28-30, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the Sample). Results for the full sample have a 3.4 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.
Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).