54% Believe Trump Likely to Win in 2020… Up From 50% a Month Ago

A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 54% of voters nationwide believe it is at least somewhat likely President Trump will be re-elected in 2020. That’s up from 50% a month ago and 46% in early February.

Those figures include 23% who say he is Very Likely to be re-elected and 19% who say such an outcome is Not at All Likely.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans and 55% of Independents believe the president is likely to win. Seventy-three percent (73%) of Democrats take the opposite view (see crosstab results).

Other data from the survey showed that 87% believe the president will run for re-election. At the other extreme, 10% believe he will not be president at the end of this year.

The expectations for President Trump have improved alongside a growing perception that Congress is moving to the left politically. Forty-four percent (44%) now believe the legislature is too liberal while 36% say too conservative. That’s a complete reversal from before the 2018 elections. Additionally, just 26% of voters now believe it is even somewhat likely that Congress will address major issues prior to the 2020 election.

In the race to challenge the president in 2020, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders currently lead all other Democrats. Those two men both lead the president in general election match-ups. The president leads other Democrats.

Former President Barack Obama and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi have recently warned Democrats against moving too far to the left politically. Many Democratic activists have advocated politically unpopular proposals such as the Green New Deal, elimination of private insurance companies, late term abortions, and cash reparations to compensate for slavery.

Some of these ideas have surface appeal. Many, for example, want to address concerns about climate change. But just 27% support the Green New Deal approach of having the federal government transform the economy.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

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The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted April 7-8, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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