Pre-Debate Polling Data Shows Biden Still on Top

The pre-debate poll of the Democratic Primary competition shows Joe Biden still on top with 29% support. He is followed by Bernie Sanders at 17%, Elizabeth Warren at 9%, and Kamala Harris at 6%. Fifteen percent (15%) say they are not sure (see full topline results for all candidates).

Additional survey details will be released at 5:00 p.m. Eastern today (Wednesday).

These results will form the baseline for a debate tournament launched by PredictIt.

Starting Friday, June 28, we will launch a post-debate survey asking the same question and using the same methodology. Topline results from that survey will be posted at no later than 7:00 p.m. Eastern on Sunday, June 30.

PredictIt will compare this survey with the baseline numbers to determine tournament outcomes.

We may release interim results on Friday, June 28.

In addition to our public opinion polling, we measure the Social Media Support for each Democratic candidate.  Support is measured both in terms of volume of chatter and how positive or negative the chatter is about a particular candidate. New numbers are released by each morning at 4:30 a.m. Eastern.

If you want to participate in the PredictIt tournament, send the word “debate” to to register and receive more details.

Posted in Deeper Currents

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