The latest daily polling by ScottRasmussen.com confirms the growing sense that voters are now entrenched in their views about Judge Brett Kavanaugh and the Supreme Court confirmation process. There is a clear partisan divide among those following the story and overall opinions are split right down the middle.
Last night’s data also confirmed our initial finding that just over half of all voters believe that both Dr. Christine Blasey Ford and Judge Kavanaugh could be telling the truth as they know it and remember it. We’ll update those numbers further tomorrow after collecting additional data tonight.
Single night data collected Tuesday October 2 and Wednesday October 3 shows a slight uptick in support for Kavanaugh compared to the prior two days (see daily tracking results from August 15 to today). However, the change is well within recent levels of support, the margin of error. It probably reflects nothing more than statistical noise, a sense confirmed by the fact that the three-day rolling average results are virtually unchanged.
Over the past 3 nights of polling, we interviewed 2,999 Registered Voters. That included 2,614 who are following the Kavanaugh story at least a bit. Among those voters, 49% have a favorable opinion of Kavanaugh while 51% hold an unfavorable view.
Forty-seven percent (47%) of those following the story want their Senator to vote for confirmation, 53% want a vote against.
The gender gap remains a factor. Among women, 43% offer a positive assessment of Kavanaugh. However, among men, that figure jumps to 55%.
Forty-two percent (42%) of women want Kavanaugh confirmed along with 52% of men.
However, the partisan gap is an even bigger factor. Eighty-four percent (84%) of Republicans favor confirmation while 81% are opposed. Independents lean against confirmation by a 57% to 43% margin.