On Kavanaugh, Partisan Gap Is Much Wider Than Gender Gap

A Politico article highlights the fact that Republican women in Congress generally support Brett Kavanaugh. The headline defines this as “party loyalty trumps #MeToo.

That phenomenon is not unique to Congress. It exists among the nation’s voters as well.

Since mid-August, ScottRasmussen.com has conducted more than 10,000 survey interviews on the Kavanaugh confirmation process. We have conducted surveys of those who were following news about Kavanaugh and among the larger population of all registered voters.  The daily results show modest fluctuations over the past few weeks.

But, in all cases, the partisan gap is bigger than the gender gap.

For example, from last Sunday night through this Friday morning, we interviewed 4,260 voters who are paying at least of bit of attention to the Kavanaugh story. That time frame covered new allegations against the nominee that drove his numbers to the lowest levels yet and his testimony before the Judiciary Committee which provided him with at least a temporary bounce in his ratings.

Among those following the story, 51% of men had a favorable opinion of Kavanaugh as did 45% of women. However, the partisan gap is what we have come to expect in polarized times. Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans following the story have a favorable opinion of the Supreme Court nominee. That includes 78% of Republican women.

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Democrats have an unfavorable view (including 80% of Democratic women).

The same dynamic plays out on the question of whether Kavanaugh should be confirmed. Over this entire time frame, 49% of men said yes along with 44% of women. On a partisan basis, 82% of Republicans said yes and 83% of Democrats said no.

The data shows that 80% of Republican women want Kavanaugh confirmed. Among Republican men, that figure is 84%. On the other hand, just 17% of Democratic women want the nominee confirmed, a view shared by 19% of Democratic men.

Seventy-one percent (71%) of Republicans believe Kavanaugh’s political ideology is about right. Fifty-five percent (55%) of Democrats believe he is too conservative.

The same pattern also is seen on surveys of all voters rather than just those who are following the story. And it was evident in our data from both before and after the Judiciary Committee hearing on Thursday.




Posted in Deeper Currents

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