Kavanaugh Hearings Have Little Impact on Public Opinion

The confirmation hearings for Judge Brett Kavanaugh were contentious and generated plenty of media coverage, but had virtually no impact on public opinion.

Just 27% of voters nationwide followed the news Very Closely.  A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that’s up from 13% prior to the hearings. Another 36% say they’ve been following the story Somewhat Closely (see question wording and results).

Perhaps the lack of interest was due to the widespread expectation that Kavanaugh is likely to be confirmed regardless of the public hearings.  Among those paying at least a bit of attention, 84% believe Kavanaugh is at least somewhat likely to win confirmation. That hasn’t changed at all from our earlier survey.

This latest national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted September 5-6, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and sample Demographics). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error  with a 95% level of confidence.

Twenty-two percent (22%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Kavanaugh while 18% have a Very Unfavorable view. The rest (60%) have softer opinions. Ideologically, 36% say Kavanaugh is about right while 34% say too conservative. All these results are similar to pre-hearing data.

Fifty-two percent (52%) of those following the story so far want their Senator to vote for confirmation while 48% would prefer a vote against. Those numbers have reversed since August but continue to show an evenly divided nation.

This data is presented by ScottRasmussen.com to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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