If Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives, 36% of voters think they will impeach President Trump. That’s down slightly from 39% in late September. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 30% currently say impeachment is unlikely while 33% are not sure.
That total includes 46% of Democrats, 33% of Independents, and 29% of Republicans (see question wording and crosstabs). Nearly half (48%) of voters under 35 expect a Democratic Congress to impeach the president.
The latest Generic Congressional Ballot polling suggests the Democrats are favored to win control, but it could be close. Currently, the ScottRasmussen.com race-by-race analysis shows 210 House races at least tilting to the Democrats. To win a majority, Nancy Pelosi’s team would need to win those seats and at least 8 of the 22 Toss-ups.
Sixteen percent (16%) of voters nationwide think that a Republican Congress will eventually impeach the president.
The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted October 14-15, 2018 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the sample Demographics). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.
Thirty-six percent (36%) of voters say their midterm vote will be cast to support the president. An equal number say their vote will be cast to oppose.
Forty-five percent (45%) say the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation process will be Very Important in their voting decision. That’s up from 38% immediately following the confirmation. Initially, Republicans were more focused on that issue, but now Democrats are equally engaged. Still, a large number of issues are deemed more important by voters. Health care, the economy, and national security are each seen as Very Important by two-thirds of voters.
Other polling shows that voters are evenly divided as to whether the Kavanaugh hearings will help Republicans or Democrats.
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Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).