If Dems Win House, 36% Expect They Will Impeach President Trump

If Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives, 36% of voters think they will impeach President Trump. That’s down slightly from 39% in late September. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 30% currently say impeachment is unlikely while 33% are not sure.

That total includes 46% of Democrats, 33% of Independents, and 29% of Republicans (see question wording and crosstabs). Nearly half (48%) of voters  under 35 expect a Democratic Congress to impeach the president.

The latest Generic Congressional Ballot polling suggests the Democrats are favored to win control, but it could be close. Currently, the ScottRasmussen.com race-by-race analysis shows 210 House races at least tilting to the Democrats. To win a majority, Nancy Pelosi’s team would need to win those seats and at least 8 of the 22 Toss-ups.

Sixteen percent (16%) of voters nationwide think that a Republican Congress will eventually impeach the president.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted October 14-15, 2018 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the sample Demographics). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Thirty-six percent (36%) of voters say their midterm vote will be cast to support the president. An equal number say their vote will be cast to oppose.

Forty-five percent (45%) say the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation process will be Very Important in their voting decision. That’s up from 38% immediately following the confirmation. Initially, Republicans were more focused on that issue, but now Democrats are equally engaged. Still, a large number of issues are deemed more important by voters. Health care, the economy, and national security are each seen as Very Important by two-thirds of voters.

Other polling shows that voters are evenly divided as to whether the Kavanaugh hearings will help Republicans or Democrats.

All data presented by ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Receive the latest insights each day by signing up for Scott Rasmussen’s Morning Update

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!