2018 House Race: Virginia District: VA-07 ( Abigail Spanberger v David Brat )

CURRENT STATUS: Pending General Election

Race Status

Tilt Rep
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 07-09-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 03/29/2018
Primaries: 06/12/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

Abigail Spanberger
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Abigail Spanberger (Share of Vote: 72.65% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Dan Ward (Share of Vote: 27.35% )


Incumbent

Rep Incumbent

Republican Candidate
Mr. David Brat
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Mr. David Brat (Share of Vote: Unopposed)


Pundit Opinions

Average
CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Tilt RepToss UpToss UpLean RepLean Rep
   

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Current House Scoreboard
Bottom Line

Representative Dave Brat rose to prominence with his stunning upset of Majority Leader Eric Cantor in a 2014 primary. Cementing his campaign image as a political outsider, Brat joined the Congressional Freedom Caucus. But his suburban district is precisely the kind of district Democrats think they can win in 2018.

Representative Brat is one of 45 Republican incumbents who raised less money than their challengers during the fourth quarter of 2017.

Most incumbents, even those who raised less money than their challengers last year, still have more money in the bank than their opponents. They can draw upon resources from earlier campaigns to begin 2018 with a cash advantage. However, Representative Brat is one of only 13 Republican incumbents to have less cash on hand as the New Year began.

 

2018 District VA-07 Data Card
VA-07 Demographics
DemographicDistrictStateNation
Gender51% Female49.2% Male
50.8% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity67% White
17% African American
7% Hispanic
5% Asian
62.4% White/Caucasian
19.8% Black/African American
7.6% White/Hispanic
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home11.0%15.4%21.1%
High School Grad Rate90.9%89.3%87.5%
College Grad Rate39.0%38.1%31.3%
Per Capita Income$35,846$36,206$31,128
Median Age39.938.237.9
Population775,3698411808325.7 mil
Square Miles2,776.5039491.73,796,742
Population per SqMi1279.301213185.8
People per Household2.72.62.7
Foreign Born9.7%12.3%13.5%
Veteran9.2%10.4%7.4%
Geographic Mobility13.4%15.7%14.6%
Note: All area related stats do NOT include bodies of water.

Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
VA-07 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
YearClintonTrumpMargin
201644.050.5-6.5
YearObamaRomneyMargin
201244.154.6-10.5
YearObamaMcCainMargin
200845.753.5-7.8

House Voting Percentages
YearDEMREPMargin
201642.257.5-15.3
2014RedrawnRedrawnN/A
2012RedrawnRedrawnN/A

Show National Voting Statistics

National Presidential Voting Percentages
YearClintonTrumpMargin
201648.446.3+2.1
YearObamaRomneyMargin
201251.147.3+3.8
YearObamaMcCainMargin
20085345.7+7.3

National House Voting Percentages
YearDEMREPMargin
20164849.1-1.1
201445.751.4-5.7
201250.649.4+1.2