2018 House Race: Virginia District: VA-02 ( Elaine Luria v Scott Taylor )

CURRENT STATUS: Pending General Election

Race Status

Tilt Rep
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 09-10-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 03/29/2018
Primaries: 06/12/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

Elaine Luria
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Elaine Luria (Share of Vote: 62.32% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Mrs. Karen Mallard (Share of Vote: 37.68% )


Incumbent

Rep Incumbent

Republican Candidate
Mr. Scott Taylor
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Mr. Scott Taylor (Share of Vote: 75.92% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Mary Jones (Share of Vote: 24.08%)


Pundit Opinions

Average
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Current House Scoreboard
Bottom Line

Republicans across the country were startled by the margin Democratic Governor Ralph Northam’s victory in the 2017 election. But no one felt it more than the former Navy SEAL and current Representative Scott Taylor. President Trump carried Virginia 2 by 3 points in 2016. Just a year later, Governor Northam took it by four. Reflecting the District, Democrats are countering the former Navy SEAL with retired Navy commander Elaine Luria.

Ballotpedia has identified this as a key Republican primary to watch. It identified 15 U.S. Senate primaries, 38 U.S. House primaries, and 9 primaries for state executive offices. See the full story here.

2018 District VA-02 Data Card
VA-02 Demographics
DemographicDistrictStateNation
Gender50% Female49.2% Male
50.8% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity62% White
20% African American
8% Hispanic
5% Asian
62.4% White/Caucasian
19.8% Black/African American
7.6% White/Hispanic
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home11.3%15.4%21.1%
High School Grad Rate92.3%89.3%87.5%
College Grad Rate34.4%38.1%31.3%
Per Capita Income$33,688$36,206$31,128
Median Age35.938.237.9
Population745,8168411808325.7 mil
Square Miles992.7039491.73,796,742
Population per SqMi1751.301213185.8
People per Household2.62.62.7
Foreign Born8.9%12.3%13.5%
Veteran16.5%10.4%7.4%
Geographic Mobility19.9%15.7%14.6%
Note: All area related stats do NOT include bodies of water.

Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
VA-02 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
YearClintonTrumpMargin
201645.448.8-3.4
YearObamaRomneyMargin
201248.250.5-2.3
YearObamaMcCainMargin
200849.050.1-1.1

House Voting Percentages
YearDEMREPMargin
201638.561.3-22.8
2014RedrawnRedrawnN/A
2012RedrawnRedrawnN/A

Show National Voting Statistics

National Presidential Voting Percentages
YearClintonTrumpMargin
201648.446.3+2.1
YearObamaRomneyMargin
201251.147.3+3.8
YearObamaMcCainMargin
20085345.7+7.3

National House Voting Percentages
YearDEMREPMargin
20164849.1-1.1
201445.751.4-5.7
201250.649.4+1.2