2018 House Race: Virginia District: VA-02 ( Elaine Luria v Scott Taylor )

CURRENT STATUS: Complete

Race Status

RESULT: Elaine Luria (Dem)


Strong Dem
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 10-15-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 03/29/2018
Primaries: 06/12/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

Elaine Luria
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Elaine Luria (Share of Vote: 62.32% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Mrs. Karen Mallard (Share of Vote: 37.68% )


Incumbent

Rep Incumbent

Republican Candidate
Mr. Scott Taylor
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Mr. Scott Taylor (Share of Vote: 75.92% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Mary Jones (Share of Vote: 24.08%)


Pundit Opinions

RESULT
CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Strong DemToss UpLean DemTilt RepLean Rep
   

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Current House Scoreboard
Bottom Line

Republicans across the country were startled by the margin Democratic Governor Ralph Northam’s victory in the 2017 election. But no one felt it more than the former Navy SEAL and current Representative Scott Taylor. President Trump carried Virginia 2 by 3 points in 2016. Just a year later, Governor Northam took it by four. Reflecting the District, Democrats are countering the former Navy SEAL with retired Navy commander Elaine Luria.

Ballotpedia has identified this as a key Republican primary to watch. It identified 15 U.S. Senate primaries, 38 U.S. House primaries, and 9 primaries for state executive offices. See the full story here.

2018 District VA-02 Data Card
VA-02 Demographics
Demographic District State Nation
Gender 50% Female 49.2% Male
50.8% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity 62% White
20% African American
8% Hispanic
5% Asian
62.4% White/Caucasian
19.8% Black/African American
7.6% White/Hispanic
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home 11.3% 15.4% 21.1%
High School Grad Rate 92.3% 89.3% 87.5%
College Grad Rate 34.4% 38.1% 31.3%
Per Capita Income $33,688 $36,206 $31,128
Median Age 35.9 38.2 37.9
Population 745,816 8411808 325.7 mil
Square Miles 992.70 39491.7 3,796,742
Population per SqMi 1751.30 1213 185.8
People per Household 2.6 2.6 2.7
Foreign Born 8.9% 12.3% 13.5%
Veteran 16.5% 10.4% 7.4%
Geographic Mobility 19.9% 15.7% 14.6%
Note: All area related stats do NOT include bodies of water.

Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
VA-02 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
Year Clinton Trump Margin
2016 45.4 48.8 -3.4
Year Obama Romney Margin
2012 48.2 50.5 -2.3
Year Obama McCain Margin
2008 49.0 50.1 -1.1

House Voting Percentages
Year DEM REP Margin
2016 38.5 61.3 -22.8
2014 Redrawn Redrawn N/A
2012 Redrawn Redrawn N/A

Show National Voting Statistics

National Presidential Voting Percentages
Year Clinton Trump Margin
2016 48.4 46.3 +2.1
Year Obama Romney Margin
2012 51.1 47.3 +3.8
Year Obama McCain Margin
2008 53 45.7 +7.3

National House Voting Percentages
Year DEM REP Margin
2016 48 49.1 -1.1
2014 45.7 51.4 -5.7
2012 50.6 49.4 +1.2