Race Status
RESULT: Lizzie Pannill Fletcher (Dem)
Strong Dem
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 10-15-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 12/11/2017
Primaries: 03/06/2018
Runoffs: 05/22/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018
Primaries: 03/06/2018
Runoffs: 05/22/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018
Race Status History
current week ↑
Dem Candidate
WINNER: Lizzie Pannill Fletcher (Share of Vote: 67.94%
)
RUNOFF CANDIDATE
James Cargas
Ivan Sanchez
Alexander Triantaphyllis
Jason Westin
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Joshua Butler James Cargas
Ivan Sanchez
Alexander Triantaphyllis
Jason Westin
Rep Incumbent
WINNER: John Culberson (Share of Vote: 76.1%
)
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Edward Ziegler (Share of Vote: 23.9%
)
Pundit Opinions
RESULT |
Cook | Sabato | Inside Elections | Real Clear Politics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Dem | Toss Up | Lean Rep | Tilt Rep | Toss Up |
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Current House Scoreboard
Race Newsfeed
- George H.W. Bush’s Grandson Eyes 41’s Former Texas Congressional Seat After It Flipped Blue in 2018 – Independent Journal Review April 17, 2019
- Which Texas politician got 2020 donations from Willie Nelson, Rooney Mara and Bob Odenkirk? – Dallas News April 17, 2019
- Another Bush may be entering politics – Midland Reporter-Telegram April 17, 2019
- Pierce Bush, grandson of George H.W. Bush, is considering running for Congress in his grandfather's old district – The Texas Tribune April 16, 2019
- Houston members of Congress begin to rebuild depleted war chests – Chron.com April 15, 2019
- U.S. House Democratic campaign arm to open Austin office, boosting focus on Texas in 2020 – The Texas Tribune April 9, 2019
- New opportunities emerging for US-China space cooperation – SpaceNews April 8, 2019
- Army Veteran Makes Emotional Pitch In Attempt To Flip Blue Texas District Back To Red – The Daily Caller April 2, 2019
- Fletcher draws challenge from Republican Army veteran – Houston Chronicle April 2, 2019
- Combat veteran Wesley Hunt to challenge Lizzie Fletcher for Congress – KTRK-TV April 1, 2019
Bottom Line
Hillary Clinton narrowly won this district in 2016 and Culberson seemed to take a long time realizing how difficult a campaign season 2018 would be.
2018 District TX-07 Data Card
TX-07 Demographics
| Demographic | District | State | Nation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | 51% Female | 49.6% Male 50.4% Female |
51% Female |
| Race/Ethnicity | 43% White 32% Hispanic 12% African American 10% Asian |
42.6% White/Caucasian 36.8% White/Hispanic 12.6% Black/African American |
61% White 18% Hispanic 12% Black 5% Asian 2% Two or More 1% Native |
| Language Other than Eng at Home | 40.9% | 35.0% | 21.1% |
| High School Grad Rate | 89.8% | 82.9% | 87.5% |
| College Grad Rate | 50.7% | 28.9% | 31.3% |
| Per Capita Income | $45,900 | $28,714 | $31,128 |
| Median Age | 34.9 | 34.5 | 37.9 |
| Population | 770,606 | 27862596 | 325.7 mil |
| Square Miles | 162.10 | 261250 | 3,796,742 |
| Population per SqMi | 14,755.10 | 1106.7 | 185.8 |
| People per Household | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| Foreign Born | 29.4% | 17.0% | 13.5% |
| Veteran | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% |
| Geographic Mobility | 16.2% | 15.9% | 14.6% |
Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
TX-07 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
| Year | Clinton | Trump | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 48.5 | 47.1 | +1.4 |
| Year | Obama | Romney | Margin |
| 2012 | 38.6 | 59.9 | -21.3 |
| Year | Obama | McCain | Margin |
| 2008 | 40.5 | 58.8 | -18.3 |
House Voting Percentages
| Year | DEM | REP | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 43.8 | 56.2 | -12.4 |
| 2014 | 34.5 | 63.3 | -28.8 |
| 2012 | 37.5 | 62.5 | -25 |
National Presidential Voting Percentages
National House Voting Percentages
| Year | Clinton | Trump | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 48.4 | 46.3 | +2.1 |
| Year | Obama | Romney | Margin |
| 2012 | 51.1 | 47.3 | +3.8 |
| Year | Obama | McCain | Margin |
| 2008 | 53 | 45.7 | +7.3 |
National House Voting Percentages
| Year | DEM | REP | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 48 | 49.1 | -1.1 |
| 2014 | 45.7 | 51.4 | -5.7 |
| 2012 | 50.6 | 49.4 | +1.2 |
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