2018 House Race: New Jersey District: NJ-03 ( Andy Kim v Tom MacArthur )

CURRENT STATUS: General Election Concluded

Race Status

RESULT: (coming soon...)


Toss Up
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 10-15-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 04/02/2018
Primaries: 06/05/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

WINNER: Andy Kim (Share of Vote: Unopposed )


Incumbent

Rep Incumbent

Republican Candidate
Tom MacArthur
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Tom MacArthur (Share of Vote: Unopposed)


Pundit Opinions

OVERRIDE
CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Toss UpToss UpLean DemTilt DemToss Up
   

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Current House Scoreboard
Bottom Line

Representative Tom MacArthur won with 59% of the vote in 2016 but things are likely to be much more challenging in 2018. His opponent served in the Obama Administration and health care is emerging as a big issue. A late summer Monmouth University poll showed the fall campaign is beginning with the candidates essentially even.

2018 District NJ-03 Data Card
NJ-03 Demographics
Demographic District State Nation
Gender 51% Female 51.2% Male
48.8% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity 75% White
10% African American
8% Hispanic
4% Asian
55.8% White/Caucasian
16.6% White/Hispanic
15.0% Black/African American
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home 12.1% 13.7% 21.1%
High School Grad Rate 92.8% 89.3% 87.5%
College Grad Rate 33.9% 38.6% 31.3%
Per Capita Income $37,886 $38,911 $31,128
Median Age 43.3 39.5 37.9
Population 739,696 8944469 325.7 mil
Square Miles 899.70 7354.6 3,796,742
Population per SqMi 1822.20 11216.2 185.8
People per Household 2.6 2.7 2.7
Foreign Born 9.1% 22.5% 13.5%
Veteran 8.4% 4.8% 7.4%
Geographic Mobility 10.3% 10.4% 14.6%
Note: All area related stats do NOT include bodies of water.

Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
NJ-03 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
Year Clinton Trump Margin
2016 45.2 51.4 -6.2
Year Obama Romney Margin
2012 51.8 47.2 +4.6
Year Obama McCain Margin
2008 51.1 47.7 +3.4

House Voting Percentages
Year DEM REP Margin
2016 38.9 59.3 -20.4
2014 44.4 54.0 -9.6
2012 45.5 54.5 -9

Show National Voting Statistics

National Presidential Voting Percentages
Year Clinton Trump Margin
2016 48.4 46.3 +2.1
Year Obama Romney Margin
2012 51.1 47.3 +3.8
Year Obama McCain Margin
2008 53 45.7 +7.3

National House Voting Percentages
Year DEM REP Margin
2016 48 49.1 -1.1
2014 45.7 51.4 -5.7
2012 50.6 49.4 +1.2