2018 House Race: New Jersey District: NJ-02 ( Jeff Van Drew v Seth Grossman )

CURRENT STATUS: Pending General Election

Race Status

Likely Dem
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 10-08-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 04/02/2018
Primaries: 06/05/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

Jeff Van Drew
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Jeff Van Drew (Share of Vote: 55.41% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Will Cunningham (Share of Vote: 16.77% )
Sean Thom
Tanzie Youngblood (Share of Vote: 19.16% )


Rep Candidate

Republican Candidate
Seth Grossman
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Seth Grossman (Share of Vote: 40.0% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Sam Fiocchi (Share of Vote: 22.2% )
Hirsch Singh
Robert Turkavage (Share of Vote: 7.1%)


Pundit Opinions

Average
CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Likely DemLikely DemStrong DemLikely DemLikely Dem
   

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Current House Scoreboard
Bottom Line

This is a race where a retirement really hurt the GOP. Representative Frank LoBiondo had held the seat since 1994, but now the GOP is looking for a solid candidate. Democratic state Senator Jeff Van Drew already represents a big portion of the District.

2018 District NJ-02 Data Card
NJ-02 Demographics
Demographic District State Nation
Gender 51% Female 51.2% Male
48.8% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity 66% White
16% Hispanic
12% African American
4% Asian
55.8% White/Caucasian
16.6% White/Hispanic
15.0% Black/African American
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home 19.2% 13.7% 21.1%
High School Grad Rate 87.1% 89.3% 87.5%
College Grad Rate 25.8% 38.6% 31.3%
Per Capita Income $30,426 $38,911 $31,128
Median Age 41.4 39.5 37.9
Population 725,217 8944469 325.7 mil
Square Miles 2,092.70 7354.6 3,796,742
Population per SqMi 1346.60 11216.2 185.8
People per Household 2.7 2.7 2.7
Foreign Born 10.5% 22.5% 13.5%
Veteran 6.6% 4.8% 7.4%
Geographic Mobility 12.4% 10.4% 14.6%
Note: All area related stats do NOT include bodies of water.

Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
NJ-02 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
Year Clinton Trump Margin
2016 46.0 50.6 -4.6
Year Obama Romney Margin
2012 53.5 45.4 +8.1
Year Obama McCain Margin
2008 53.2 45.5 +7.7

House Voting Percentages
Year DEM REP Margin
2016 37.2 59.2 -22
2014 37.3 61.5 -24.2
2012 41.1 58.9 -17.8

Show National Voting Statistics

National Presidential Voting Percentages
Year Clinton Trump Margin
2016 48.4 46.3 +2.1
Year Obama Romney Margin
2012 51.1 47.3 +3.8
Year Obama McCain Margin
2008 53 45.7 +7.3

National House Voting Percentages
Year DEM REP Margin
2016 48 49.1 -1.1
2014 45.7 51.4 -5.7
2012 50.6 49.4 +1.2