2018 House Race: New Hampshire District: NH-01 ( Chris Pappas v Eddie Edwards )

CURRENT STATUS: Pending General Election

Race Status

Tilt Dem
INCUMBENT PARTY: Dem last updated: 09-10-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 06/15/2018
Primaries: 09/11/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

Chris Pappas
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Mark Mackenzie
Deaglan McEachern
Mindi Messmer
Terence O'Rourke
Lincoln Soldati
Maura Sullivan


Rep Candidate

Republican Candidate
Eddie Edwards
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Mark Hounsel
Andy Martin
Andy Sanborn


Pundit Opinions

Average
CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Tilt DemLean DemLean DemToss UpToss Up
   

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Current House Scoreboard
Bottom Line

This is one of the very few Democratic seats at risk in the 2018 midterms. Incumbent Carol-Shea Porter won by less than a point in 2016 and will not be seeking re-election. The District has bounced back and forth between the parties in recent elections. At the presidential level, it’s been trending Republican. President Obama won the District by six points in 2008 and by just 2 points in 2012. President Trump carried NH-1 by two points in 2016.

It’s a very competitive district, but the general political trends give the Democrats a slight advantage.

2018 District NH-01 Data Card
NH-01 Demographics
DemographicDistrictStateNation
Gender50% Female49.5 Male
50.5 Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity90% White
4% Hispanic
3% Asian
90.8% White/Caucasian
3.8% White/Hispanic
2.7% Asian
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home8.0%7.9%21.1%
High School Grad Rate93.4%92.8%87.5%
College Grad Rate37.2%36.6%31.3%
Per Capita Income$36,520$36,320$31,128
Median Age41.942.737.9
Population671,6251334795325.7 mil
Square Miles2,463.8089533,796,742
Population per SqMi1272.601149.1185.8
People per Household2.52.52.7
Foreign Born5.6%5.7%13.5%
Veteran9.2%9.1%7.4%
Geographic Mobility15.7%15.1%14.6%
Note: All area related stats do NOT include bodies of water.

Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
NH-01 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
YearClintonTrumpMargin
201646.648.2-1.6
YearObamaRomneyMargin
201250.248.6+1.6
YearObamaMcCainMargin
200852.846.4+6.4

House Voting Percentages
YearDEMREPMargin
201645.844.4+1.4
201448.151.7-3.6
201252.048.0+4

Show National Voting Statistics

National Presidential Voting Percentages
YearClintonTrumpMargin
201648.446.3+2.1
YearObamaRomneyMargin
201251.147.3+3.8
YearObamaMcCainMargin
20085345.7+7.3

National House Voting Percentages
YearDEMREPMargin
20164849.1-1.1
201445.751.4-5.7
201250.649.4+1.2
Other Races in New Hampshire