2018 House Race: Minnesota District: MN-03 ( Dean Phillips v Erik Paulsen )

CURRENT STATUS: Complete

Race Status

RESULT: Dean Phillips (Dem)


Strong Dem
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 10-15-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 06/05/2018
Primaries: 08/14/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

Dean Phillips
BALLOTPEDIA Profile



Incumbent

Rep Incumbent

Republican Candidate
Mr. Erik Paulsen
BALLOTPEDIA Profile



Pundit Opinions

RESULT
CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Strong DemLean DemLean DemTilt DemLean Dem
   

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Current House Scoreboard
Bottom Line

Hillary Clinton won Minnesota 3 by nine percentage points. This may be a race that hinges on which side is right about the politics of tax cuts. Erick Paulsen voted for the cuts and Democrats want to use that against him. Republicans think it will be a plus for the incumbent.

Four of Minnesota’s eight Congressional Districts start the fall campaign season in toss-up status. It is the most competitive state in the nation.

2018 District MN-03 Data Card
MN-03 Demographics
Demographic District State Nation
Gender 51% Female 49.8% Male
50.2% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity 77% White
8% African American
7% Asian
5% Hispanic
80.6% White/Caucasian
6.2% Black/African American
4.9% Asian
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home 15.0% 11.0% 21.1%
High School Grad Rate 95.0% 92.9% 87.5%
College Grad Rate 49.0% 34.8% 31.3%
Per Capita Income $46,703 $34,515 $31,128
Median Age 40.1 37.9 37.9
Population 709,906 5519952 325.7 mil
Square Miles 527.10 79628.2 3,796,742
Population per SqMi 11,346.90 169.3 185.8
People per Household 2.6 2.5 2.7
Foreign Born 12.3% 8.2% 13.5%
Veteran 6.7% 7.4% 7.4%
Geographic Mobility 12.9% 14.4% 14.6%
Note: All area related stats do NOT include bodies of water.

Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
MN-03 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
Year Clinton Trump Margin
2016 50.8 41.4 +9.4
Year Obama Romney Margin
2012 49.6 48.8 +0.8
Year Obama McCain Margin
2008 51.0 47.4 +3.6

House Voting Percentages
Year DEM REP Margin
2016 43.0 56.7 -13.7
2014 37.8 62.1 -24.3
2012 41.8 58.2 -16.4

Show National Voting Statistics

National Presidential Voting Percentages
Year Clinton Trump Margin
2016 48.4 46.3 +2.1
Year Obama Romney Margin
2012 51.1 47.3 +3.8
Year Obama McCain Margin
2008 53 45.7 +7.3

National House Voting Percentages
Year DEM REP Margin
2016 48 49.1 -1.1
2014 45.7 51.4 -5.7
2012 50.6 49.4 +1.2