Race Status
RESULT: Jackie Walorski (Rep)
Strong Rep
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 10-15-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 02/09/2018
Primaries: 05/08/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018
Primaries: 05/08/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018
Race Status History
current week ↑
Dem Candidate
WINNER: Mel Hall (Share of Vote: 47.13%
)
Pat Hackett (Share of Vote: 31.92% )
Yatish Joshi (Share of Vote: 11.86% )
Roland Leech (Share of Vote: 1.38% )
John Petroff (Share of Vote: 1.74% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Douglas Carpenter (Share of Vote: 5.97%
)Pat Hackett (Share of Vote: 31.92% )
Yatish Joshi (Share of Vote: 11.86% )
Roland Leech (Share of Vote: 1.38% )
John Petroff (Share of Vote: 1.74% )
Rep Incumbent
WINNER: Jackie Walorski (Share of Vote: 78.64%
)
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Mark Summe (Share of Vote: 21.36%)
Pundit Opinions
RESULT |
Cook | Sabato | Inside Elections | Real Clear Politics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Rep | Likely Rep | Likely Rep | Likely Rep | Likely Rep |
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Current House Scoreboard
Race Newsfeed
- Walorski Attends Paid Time Off Summit, Says the Federal Government Has Set an Example – 93.1 WIBC Indianapolis December 14, 2019
- Trump, Congress challenged to go further after backing limited paid family leave – WKRC TV Cincinnati December 12, 2019
- Greg Pence Joins Walorski, Young In Support Of Medical Device Tax Repeal – 93.1 WIBC Indianapolis December 12, 2019
- Local lawmakers laud move on trade deal | Indiana | Journal Gazette – Fort Wayne Journal Gazette December 11, 2019
- Area Republicans denounce impeachment | Indiana | Journal Gazette – Fort Wayne Journal Gazette December 11, 2019
- WTAS: Support for President Donald J. Trump's United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement – Whitehouse.gov December 11, 2019
- Rice leads GOP contingent in unveiling litigation-reform proposal – Ripon Advance December 10, 2019
- Democrats agree to new trade pact; Indiana Republicans hail USMCA win – wpta21.com December 10, 2019
- It’s a Disgrace Don Mattingly Isn’t in the Hall of Fame – National Review December 9, 2019
- Bipartisan Bill Could Improve Breakthrough Device Availability for Medicare Patients – Medical Device and Diagnostics Industry December 9, 2019
Bottom Line
President Trump won Indiana’s Second District by 23 points. The Democrats have a credible candidate in Mel Hall and he’s raised a decent amount of money. However, if we’re still talking about this race as competitive in the fall, it means Republicans are going to have a very long night.
Representative Jackie Walorski is one of 45 Republican incumbents who raised less money than their challengers during the fourth quarter of 2017.
2018 District IN-02 Data Card
IN-02 Demographics
| Demographic | District | State | Nation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | 51% Female | 49.3% Male 50.7% Female |
51% Female |
| Race/Ethnicity | 80% White 9% Hispanic 7% African American |
79.6% White/Caucasian 9.7% Black/African American 6.0% White/Hispanic |
61% White 18% Hispanic 12% Black 5% Asian 2% Two or More 1% Native |
| Language Other than Eng at Home | 11.2% | 8.3% | 21.1% |
| High School Grad Rate | 84.3% | 88.4% | 87.5% |
| College Grad Rate | 20.8% | 25.6% | 31.3% |
| Per Capita Income | $24,293 | $27,464 | $31,128 |
| Median Age | 38.0 | 37.6 | 37.9 |
| Population | 724,060 | 6633053 | 325.7 mil |
| Square Miles | 3,958.70 | 35826.5 | 3,796,742 |
| Population per SqMi | 1182.90 | 1185.1 | 185.8 |
| People per Household | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| Foreign Born | 5.9% | 5.3% | 13.5% |
| Veteran | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
| Geographic Mobility | 13.2% | 14.9% | 14.6% |
Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
IN-02 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
| Year | Clinton | Trump | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 36.1 | 59.3 | -23.2 |
| Year | Obama | Romney | Margin |
| 2012 | 42.1 | 56.1 | -14 |
| Year | Obama | McCain | Margin |
| 2008 | 49.6 | 49.3 | +0.3 |
House Voting Percentages
| Year | DEM | REP | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 36.9 | 59.3 | -22.4 |
| 2014 | 38.3 | 58.9 | -20.6 |
| 2012 | 49.3 | 50.7 | -1.4 |
National Presidential Voting Percentages
National House Voting Percentages
| Year | Clinton | Trump | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 48.4 | 46.3 | +2.1 |
| Year | Obama | Romney | Margin |
| 2012 | 51.1 | 47.3 | +3.8 |
| Year | Obama | McCain | Margin |
| 2008 | 53 | 45.7 | +7.3 |
National House Voting Percentages
| Year | DEM | REP | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 48 | 49.1 | -1.1 |
| 2014 | 45.7 | 51.4 | -5.7 |
| 2012 | 50.6 | 49.4 | +1.2 |
Other Races in Indiana
| Sort | Race | Current Status |
|---|---|---|
| Sort | Race | Current Status |
| Senate Race: Indiana (Donnelly v TBD) | Toss Up | |
| House Race: IN-01 (Visclosky v TBD) | Strong Dem | |
| House Race: IN-02 (TBD v Walorski) | Strong Rep | |
| House Race: IN-03 (TBD v Banks) | Strong Rep | |
| House Race: IN-04 (TBD v TBD) | Strong Rep | |
| House Race: IN-05 (TBD v Brooks) | Strong Rep | |
| House Race: IN-06 (TBD v TBD) | Strong Rep | |
| House Race: IN-07 (Carson v TBD) | Strong Dem | |
| House Race: IN-08 (TBD v Bucshon) | Strong Rep | |
| House Race: IN-09 (TBD v Hollingsworth) | Strong Rep |
