2018 House Race: Illinois District: IL-12 ( Brendan Kelly v Mike Bost )

CURRENT STATUS: Pending General Election

Race Status

Toss Up
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 09-03-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 12/04/2017
Primaries: 03/20/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

Brendan Kelly
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Brendan Kelly (Share of Vote: 80.9% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
David Bequette (Share of Vote: 19.1% )


Incumbent

Rep Incumbent

Republican Candidate
WINNER: Mike Bost (Share of Vote: 83.5% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Preston Nelson (Share of Vote: 16.5%)


Pundit Opinions

Average
CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Toss UpToss UpToss UpTilt RepToss Up
   

Embed this table on your website...

									  
<div style="position: relative; height: 0; overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 52.5%;"><iframe src="https://scottrasmussen.com/?post_type=hrpundittable&amp;p=1247" scrolling="no" style="position: absolute; top:0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100%; border: 1px solid #cccccc;"></iframe></div>
										
Share this table on social media...
Current House Scoreboard
Bottom Line

This district voted twice for Barack Obama before handing President Trump a 15-point margin. Representative Mike Bost was one of 45 Republican incumbents who raised less money than their challengers during the fourth quarter of 2017. However, he had a significant cash advantage by the end of June.  But St. Clair County prosecutor Brendan Kelly is looking like a serious challenger. 

2018 District IL-12 Data Card
IL-12 Demographics
DemographicDistrictStateNation
Gender51% Female49.1% Male
50.9% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity76% White
17% African American
3% Hispanic
61.7% White/Caucasian
15.5% White/Hispanic
14.7% Black/African American
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home4.2%22.7%21.1%
High School Grad Rate89.9%88.9%87.5%
College Grad Rate24.0%34.0%31.3%
Per Capita Income$26,882$32,849$31,128
Median Age39.137.937.9
Population693,73612801539325.7 mil
Square Miles5,008.3055519.53,796,742
Population per SqMi1138.501230.6185.8
People per Household2.52.62.7
Foreign Born2.7%13.9%13.5%
Veteran10.3%5.9%7.4%
Geographic Mobility14.0%13.1%14.6%
Note: All area related stats do NOT include bodies of water.

Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
IL-12 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
YearClintonTrumpMargin
201640.255.0-14.8
YearObamaRomneyMargin
201249.748.1+1.6
YearObamaMcCainMargin
200854.743.6+11.1

House Voting Percentages
YearDEMREPMargin
201639.754.3-14.6
201441.952.5-10.6
201254.745.3+9.4

Show National Voting Statistics

National Presidential Voting Percentages
YearClintonTrumpMargin
201648.446.3+2.1
YearObamaRomneyMargin
201251.147.3+3.8
YearObamaMcCainMargin
20085345.7+7.3

National House Voting Percentages
YearDEMREPMargin
20164849.1-1.1
201445.751.4-5.7
201250.649.4+1.2