Race Status
Lean Rep
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 10-08-2018
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 10-08-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 05/04/2018
Primaries: 08/28/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018
Primaries: 08/28/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018
Race Status History
current week ↑
Pundit Opinions
Average |
Cook | Sabato | Inside Elections | Real Clear Politics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lean Rep | Lean Rep | Lean Rep | Likely Rep | Lean Rep |
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Current House Scoreboard
Race Newsfeed
- DCCC cancels ad buy in CD 16, all but writing off David Shapiro October 15, 2018
- ***Updated***New David Shapiro ad goes after Vern Buchanan—and Nancy Pelosi; Republicans scoff October 9, 2018
- Vern Buchanan's Proposal Expanding Retirement Benefits for Small Businesses Clears the House October 6, 2018
- Vern Buchanan leads David Shapiro by nine in new poll October 4, 2018
- Poll: Republican Vern Buchanan leads Democrat David Shapiro by 9 in key congressional race October 4, 2018
- David Shapiro releases new ad hitting Vern Buchanan over health care vote October 3, 2018
- Buchanan opposes Trump plan to weaken offshore drilling protection in the Gulf October 2, 2018
- Vern Buchanan leads David Shapiro by 7 points in new CD 16 poll October 2, 2018
- US Rep. Vern Buchanan to face challenger David Shapiro in TV debate September 28, 2018
- Six-Term Republican Congressman Vern Buchanan Walks a Tightrope in the Age of Trump September 26, 2018
Bottom Line
Representative Vern Buchanan is one of 45 Republican incumbents who raised less money than their challengers during the fourth quarter of 2017.
2018 District FL-16 Data Card
FL-16 Demographics
| Demographic | District | State | Nation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | 52% Female | 48.9% Male 51.1% Female |
51% Female |
| Race/Ethnicity | 71% White 18% Hispanic 7% African American |
54.9% White/Caucasian White/Hispanic 22.7 16.8% Black/African American |
61% White 18% Hispanic 12% Black 5% Asian 2% Two or More 1% Native |
| Language Other than Eng at Home | 14.6% | 28.1% | 21.1% |
| High School Grad Rate | 89.7% | 87.4% | 87.5% |
| College Grad Rate | 30.7% | 28.6% | 31.3% |
| Per Capita Income | $31,916 | $28,621 | $31,128 |
| Median Age | 47.0 | 42.1 | 37.9 |
| Population | 803,454 | 20612439 | 325.7 mil |
| Square Miles | 875.50 | 53631.2 | 3,796,742 |
| Population per SqMi | 1917.70 | 1384.3 | 185.8 |
| People per Household | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| Foreign Born | 13.5% | 20.6% | 13.5% |
| Veteran | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% |
| Geographic Mobility | 15.9% | 15.8% | 14.6% |
Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
FL-16 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
| Year | Clinton | Trump | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 43.0 | 53.7 | -10.7 |
| Year | Obama | Romney | Margin |
| 2012 | 45.1 | 53.7 | -8.6 |
| Year | Obama | McCain | Margin |
| 2008 | 47.7 | 51.2 | -3.5 |
House Voting Percentages
| Year | DEM | REP | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 40.2 | 59.8 | -19.6 |
| 2014 | Redrawn | Redrawn | N/A |
| 2012 | Redrawn | Redrawn | N/A |
National Presidential Voting Percentages
National House Voting Percentages
| Year | Clinton | Trump | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 48.4 | 46.3 | +2.1 |
| Year | Obama | Romney | Margin |
| 2012 | 51.1 | 47.3 | +3.8 |
| Year | Obama | McCain | Margin |
| 2008 | 53 | 45.7 | +7.3 |
National House Voting Percentages
| Year | DEM | REP | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 48 | 49.1 | -1.1 |
| 2014 | 45.7 | 51.4 | -5.7 |
| 2012 | 50.6 | 49.4 | +1.2 |
Other Races in Florida
