Race Status
Likely Rep
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 08-06-2018
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 08-06-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 05/04/2018
Primaries: 08/28/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018
Primaries: 08/28/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018
Race Status History
current week ↑
DEM CANDIDATE TBD
Rep Incumbent
CURRENT CHALLENGERS
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Andrew Smyth
Pundit Opinions
Average | Cook | Sabato | Inside Elections | Real Clear Politics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Likely Rep | Lean Rep | Lean Rep | Strong Rep | Lean Rep |
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Current House Scoreboard
Race Newsfeed
- Vern Buchanan visits Mote, discusses red tide 08/13/2018
- Political Insider: Warning sign in Ohio for Buchanan 08/11/2018
- WANTED: A photo of this GOP congressman's yacht (REWARD: $500) 08/09/2018
- David Shapiro puts pop quiz to voters in new ad 08/08/2018
- Vern Buchanan attacks David Shapiro for more “hypocritical” stock purchases 08/07/2018
- Vern Buchanan, Alcee Hastings Continue the Fight to Ban the Cat and Dog Meat Trade 08/07/2018
- Shapiro fighting on two fronts in District 16 congressional primary 08/03/2018
- Zdravecky: Health care is a top concern 08/01/2018
- David Shapiro's first CD 16 commercial has him taking on bullies 07/31/2018
- Sunburn — The morning read of what's hot in Florida politics — 7.30.18 07/30/2018
Bottom Line
Representative Vern Buchanan is one of 45 Republican incumbents who raised less money than their challengers during the fourth quarter of 2017.
2018 District FL-16 Data Card
FL-16 Demographics
| Demographic | District | State | Nation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | 52% Female | 48.9% Male 51.1% Female | 51% Female |
| Race/Ethnicity | 71% White 18% Hispanic 7% African American | 54.9% White/Caucasian White/Hispanic 22.7 16.8% Black/African American | 61% White 18% Hispanic 12% Black 5% Asian 2% Two or More 1% Native |
| Language Other than Eng at Home | 14.6% | 28.1% | 21.1% |
| High School Grad Rate | 89.7% | 87.4% | 87.5% |
| College Grad Rate | 30.7% | 28.6% | 31.3% |
| Per Capita Income | $31,916 | $28,621 | $31,128 |
| Median Age | 47.0 | 42.1 | 37.9 |
| Population | 803,454 | 20612439 | 325.7 mil |
| Square Miles | 875.50 | 53631.2 | 3,796,742 |
| Population per SqMi | 1917.70 | 1384.3 | 185.8 |
| People per Household | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| Foreign Born | 13.5% | 20.6% | 13.5% |
| Veteran | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% |
| Geographic Mobility | 15.9% | 15.8% | 14.6% |
Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
FL-16 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages| Year | Clinton | Trump | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 43.0 | 53.7 | -10.7 |
| Year | Obama | Romney | Margin |
| 2012 | 45.1 | 53.7 | -8.6 |
| Year | Obama | McCain | Margin |
| 2008 | 47.7 | 51.2 | -3.5 |
House Voting Percentages
| Year | DEM | REP | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 40.2 | 59.8 | -19.6 |
| 2014 | Redrawn | Redrawn | N/A |
| 2012 | Redrawn | Redrawn | N/A |
National Presidential Voting Percentages
National House Voting Percentages
| Year | Clinton | Trump | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 48.4 | 46.3 | +2.1 |
| Year | Obama | Romney | Margin |
| 2012 | 51.1 | 47.3 | +3.8 |
| Year | Obama | McCain | Margin |
| 2008 | 53 | 45.7 | +7.3 |
National House Voting Percentages
| Year | DEM | REP | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 48 | 49.1 | -1.1 |
| 2014 | 45.7 | 51.4 | -5.7 |
| 2012 | 50.6 | 49.4 | +1.2 |
Other Races in Florida
