2018 House Race: California District: CA-10 ( Josh Harder v Jeff Denham )

CURRENT STATUS: Complete

Race Status

RESULT: Jeff Denham (Rep)


Strong Rep
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 10-15-2018
This state conducts
JUNGLE PRIMARIES
 
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 03/09/2018
Primaries: 06/05/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

Josh Harder
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Josh Harder (Share of Vote: 15.7% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Mike Barkley (Share of Vote: 2.5% )
Michael Eggman (Share of Vote: 11.0% )
Virginia Madueno (Share of Vote: 9.0% )
Dotty Nygard (Share of Vote: 1.0%)
Sue Zwahlen (Share of Vote: 8.7% )


Incumbent

Rep Incumbent

Republican Candidate
Jeff Denham
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Jeff Denham (Share of Vote: 37.7% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Ted Howze (Share of Vote: 14.4% )


Pundit Opinions

RESULT
CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Strong RepToss UpLean DemToss UpToss Up
   

Embed this table on your website...

									  
<div style="position: relative; height: 0; overflow: hidden; padding-bottom: 52.5%;"><iframe src="https://scottrasmussen.com/?post_type=hrpundittable&amp;p=1130" scrolling="no" style="position: absolute; top:0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100%; border: 1px solid #cccccc;"></iframe></div>
										
Share this table on social media...
Current House Scoreboard
Bottom Line

Democrats didn’t get their preferred candidate but Representative Jeff Denham will have his hands full in a very competitive district. He won by a narrow 52% to 48% margin in 2016. In each of the last three presidential elections, the Democratic candidate has carried the district by 3-4 points.

2018 District CA-10 Data Card
CA-10 Demographics
Demographic District State Nation
Gender 51% Female 49.7% Male
50.3% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity 43% White
43% Hispanic
7% Asian
37.7% White/Caucasian
35.0% White/Hispanic
14.8% Asian
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home 38.8% 43.9% 21.1%
High School Grad Rate 78.7% 82.4% 87.5%
College Grad Rate 16.6% 32.9% 31.3%
Per Capita Income $25,293 $33,389 $31,128
Median Age 34.4 36.4 37.9
Population 744,989 39250017 325.7 mil
Square Miles 1,818.80 155788.1 3,796,742
Population per SqMi 1409.60 1251.9 185.8
People per Household 3.1 3.0 2.7
Foreign Born 20.6% 27.2% 13.5%
Veteran 5.7% 5.4% 7.4%
Geographic Mobility 13.6% 13.4% 14.6%
Note: All area related stats do NOT include bodies of water.

Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
CA-10 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
Year Clinton Trump Margin
2016 48.5 45.5 +3
Year Obama Romney Margin
2012 50.6 47.0 +3.6
Year Obama McCain Margin
2008 51.4 48.6 +2.8

House Voting Percentages
Year DEM REP Margin
2016 48.3 51.7 -3.4
2014 43.9 56.1 -12.2
2012 47.3 52.7 -5.4

Show National Voting Statistics

National Presidential Voting Percentages
Year Clinton Trump Margin
2016 48.4 46.3 +2.1
Year Obama Romney Margin
2012 51.1 47.3 +3.8
Year Obama McCain Margin
2008 53 45.7 +7.3

National House Voting Percentages
Year DEM REP Margin
2016 48 49.1 -1.1
2014 45.7 51.4 -5.7
2012 50.6 49.4 +1.2
Other Races in California
Sort Race Current Status
Sort Race Current Status
Senate Race: California (Feinstein v TBD)Strong Dem
Gubernatorial Race: California (TBD v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-01 (TBD v LaMalfa)Strong Rep
House Race: CA-02 (Huffman v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-03 (Garamendi v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-04 (TBD v Mcclintock)Strong Rep
House Race: CA-05 (Thompson v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-06 (Matsui v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-07 (Bera v TBD)Likely Dem
House Race: CA-08 (TBD v Cook)Strong Rep
House Race: CA-09 (McNerney v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-10 (TBD v Denham)Tilt Rep
House Race: CA-11 (DeSaulnier v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-12 (Pelosi v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-13 (Lee v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-14 (Speier v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-15 (Swalwell v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-16 (Costa v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-17 (Khanna v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-18 (Eshoo v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-19 (Lofgren v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-20 (Panetta v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-21 (TBD v Valadao)Likely Rep
House Race: CA-22 (TBD v Nunes)Strong Rep
House Race: CA-23 (TBD v McCarthy)Strong Rep
House Race: CA-24 (Carbajal v TBD)Likely Dem
House Race: CA-25 (TBD v Knight)Tilt Rep
House Race: CA-26 (Brownley v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-27 (Chu v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-28 (Schiff v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-29 (Cardenas v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-30 (Sherman v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-31 (Aguilar v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-32 (Napolitano v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-33 (Lieu v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-34 (Gomez v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-35 (Torres v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-36 (Ruiz v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-37 (Bass v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-38 (Sanchez v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-39 (TBD v TBD)Tilt Dem
House Race: CA-40 (Roybal-Allard v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-41 (Takano v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-42 (TBD v Calvert)Strong Rep
House Race: CA-43 (Waters v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-44 (Barragan v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-45 (TBD v Walters)Lean Rep
House Race: CA-46 (Correa v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-47 (Lowenthal v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-48 (TBD v Rohrabacher)Toss Up
House Race: CA-49 (TBD v Issa)Tilt Dem
House Race: CA-50 (TBD v Hunter)Likely Rep
House Race: CA-51 (Vargas v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-52 (Peters v TBD)Strong Dem
House Race: CA-53 (Davis v TBD)Strong Dem