2018 House Race: Arkansas District: AR-02 ( Clarke Tucker v French Hill )

CURRENT STATUS: Pending General Election

Race Status

Lean Rep
INCUMBENT PARTY: Rep last updated: 10-08-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 03/01/2018
Primaries: 05/22/2018
Runoffs: 06/19/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018

Race Status History
current week ↑ 

Democratic Candidate

Dem Candidate

Clarke Tucker
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: Clarke Tucker (Share of Vote: 56.74% )
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Mrs. Gwendolynn Combs (Share of Vote: 20.88% )
Jonathan Dunkley (Share of Vote: 9.66% )
Mr. Paul Spencer (Share of Vote: 12.72% )


Incumbent

Rep Incumbent

Republican Candidate
French Hill
BALLOTPEDIA Profile

WINNER: French Hill (Share of Vote: Unopposed)


Pundit Opinions

Average
CookSabatoInside ElectionsReal Clear Politics
Lean RepLean RepLean RepLikely RepLean Rep
   

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Current House Scoreboard
Bottom Line

Democrats think that state Rep. Clarke Tucker could pull off an upset and win the party’s first House race since 2010. But it’s still Representative French Hill’s race to lose.

2018 District AR-02 Data Card
AR-02 Demographics
Demographic District State Nation
Gender 52% Female 49.1% Male
50.9% Female
51% Female
Race/Ethnicity 68% White
22% African American
5% Hispanic
72.9% White/Caucasian
15.7% Black/African American
6.5% White/Hispanic
61% White
18% Hispanic
12% Black
5% Asian
2% Two or More
1% Native
Language Other than Eng at Home 6.3% 7.2% 21.1%
High School Grad Rate 90.7% 86.0% 87.5%
College Grad Rate 30.0% 22.4% 31.3%
Per Capita Income $27,592 $24,264 $31,128
Median Age 36.9 38.0 37.9
Population 758,929 2988248 325.7 mil
Square Miles 4,978.70 52034.7 3,796,742
Population per SqMi 1152.40 157.4 185.8
People per Household 2.5 2.5 2.7
Foreign Born 4.0% 4.6% 13.5%
Veteran 8.7% 8.7% 7.4%
Geographic Mobility 14.1% 15.8% 14.6%
Note: All area related stats do NOT include bodies of water.

Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
AR-02 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
Year Clinton Trump Margin
2016 41.7 52.4 -10.7
Year Obama Romney Margin
2012 42.9 54.7 -11.8
Year Obama McCain Margin
2008 44.3 53.8 -9.5

House Voting Percentages
Year DEM REP Margin
2016 36.8 58.3 -21.5
2014 43.6 51.9 -8.3
2012 41.7 58.3 -16.6

Show National Voting Statistics

National Presidential Voting Percentages
Year Clinton Trump Margin
2016 48.4 46.3 +2.1
Year Obama Romney Margin
2012 51.1 47.3 +3.8
Year Obama McCain Margin
2008 53 45.7 +7.3

National House Voting Percentages
Year DEM REP Margin
2016 48 49.1 -1.1
2014 45.7 51.4 -5.7
2012 50.6 49.4 +1.2
Other Races in Arkansas