Race Status
RESULT: Raul Grijalva (Dem)
Strong Dem
INCUMBENT PARTY: Dem last updated: 10-15-2018
Key Dates
Filing Deadline: 05/30/2018
Primaries: 08/28/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018
Primaries: 08/28/2018
General Election: 11/06/2018
Race Status History
current week ↑
Rep Candidate
REGISTERED CANDIDATES
Edna San Miguel
Pundit Opinions
RESULT |
Cook | Sabato | Inside Elections | Real Clear Politics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Dem | Strong Dem | Strong Dem | Strong Dem | Strong Dem |
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Current House Scoreboard
Race Newsfeed
- Senate OKS open-space bill, reviving Land and Water Conservation Fund – TucsonSentinel.com February 16, 2019
- Arizona reaction to Trump's border emergency splits along party lines – Tucson Local Media February 15, 2019
- On offshore drilling, Mark Sanford and Joe Cunningham find their legacies are linked – Anderson Independent Mail February 15, 2019
- Congressman calls on Trump to pull nomination of Barry Myers to head NOAA – SeafoodSource February 14, 2019
- House Democrats ask FBI to probe if Trump Org is 'criminal enterprise' – Newsradio 1140 WRVA February 14, 2019
- East's Burnell, Hononegah's King Lead Vote Getters All-Star Game – 1440wrok.com February 14, 2019
- Martha McSally and Raul Grijalva could be Arizona's wild cards on water – AZCentral February 14, 2019
- 45-mile walk shows solidarity against a planned mine on land tribes consider sacred – IndianCountryToday.com – Indian Country Today Media Network February 13, 2019
- Rob Bishop Blames Patagonia for Climate Change – Outside February 13, 2019
- Rep. Raul Grijalva asks FBI to investigate Trump Organization – AZCentral February 13, 2019
2018 District AZ-03 Data Card
AZ-03 Demographics
| Demographic | District | State | Nation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | 50% Female | 49.7% Male 50.3% Female |
51% Female |
| Race/Ethnicity | 62% Hispanic 27% White 4% African American |
55.5% White/Caucasian 27.8% White/Hispanic 5.4% Native American |
61% White 18% Hispanic 12% Black 5% Asian 2% Two or More 1% Native |
| Language Other than Eng at Home | 50.7% | 26.9% | 21.1% |
| High School Grad Rate | 77.0% | 86.7% | 87.5% |
| College Grad Rate | 16.5% | 28.9% | 31.3% |
| Per Capita Income | $19,232 | $27,997 | $31,128 |
| Median Age | 32.7 | 37.5 | 37.9 |
| Population | 752,284 | 6931071 | 325.7 mil |
| Square Miles | 15,688.60 | 113584 | 3,796,742 |
| Population per SqMi | 148.00 | 161 | 185.8 |
| People per Household | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| Foreign Born | 21.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| Veteran | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% |
| Geographic Mobility | 18.4% | 18.5% | 14.6% |
Data Credits
District/State/National: www.censusreporter.org
State: www.census.gov
State/Miscellaneous: BALLOTPEDIA State Profile
AZ-03 Voting History
Presidential Voting Percentages
| Year | Clinton | Trump | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 62.4 | 32.5 | +29.9 |
| Year | Obama | Romney | Margin |
| 2012 | 61.4 | 36.9 | +24.5 |
| Year | Obama | McCain | Margin |
| 2008 | 58.2 | 40.7 | +17.5 |
House Voting Percentages
| Year | DEM | REP | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 88.1 | 0.0 | +88.1 |
| 2014 | 55.7 | 44.2 | +11.5 |
| 2012 | 61.1 | 38.9 | +22.2 |
National Presidential Voting Percentages
National House Voting Percentages
| Year | Clinton | Trump | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 48.4 | 46.3 | +2.1 |
| Year | Obama | Romney | Margin |
| 2012 | 51.1 | 47.3 | +3.8 |
| Year | Obama | McCain | Margin |
| 2008 | 53 | 45.7 | +7.3 |
National House Voting Percentages
| Year | DEM | REP | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 48 | 49.1 | -1.1 |
| 2014 | 45.7 | 51.4 | -5.7 |
| 2012 | 50.6 | 49.4 | +1.2 |
Other Races in Arizona
| Sort | Race | Current Status |
|---|---|---|
| Sort | Race | Current Status |
| Senate Race: Arizona (Sinema v TBD) | Toss Up | |
| Gubernatorial Race: Arizona (TBD v Ducey) | Likely Rep | |
| House Race: AZ-01 (O'Halleran v TBD) | Lean Dem | |
| House Race: AZ-02 (TBD v TBD) | Tilt Dem | |
| House Race: AZ-03 (Grijalva v TBD) | Strong Dem | |
| House Race: AZ-04 (TBD v Gosar) | Strong Rep | |
| House Race: AZ-05 (TBD v Biggs) | Strong Rep | |
| House Race: AZ-06 (TBD v Schweikert) | Strong Rep | |
| House Race: AZ-07 (Gallego v TBD) | Strong Dem | |
| House Race: AZ-08 (Tipirneni v Lesko) | Strong Rep | |
| House Race: AZ-09 (TBD v TBD) | Strong Dem |
