While former Vice President Joe Biden is clearly the frontrunner in the race for the Democratic nomination, things could tighten up as the field narrows. In a series of head-to-head match-ups among the leading candidates, the numbers show an evenly divided Democratic party.
- Senator Kamala Harris 41% Biden 40%
- Senator Bernie Sanders 41% Harris 39%
- Senator Elizabeth Warren 35% Harris 34%
- Biden 41% Sanders 40%
- Sanders 41% Warren 36%
- Biden 41% Warren 40%
These results have not shifted notably since May.
Harris was the big winner in the first round of Democratic debates. Compared to pre-debate polling, Harris gained five points and Sanders lost three. Biden and Warren each lost a point.
These top four candidates have been the clear leaders for months. No other candidate reaches the 5% level of support. A few weeks ago, Scott Rasmussen suggested that we may already be down to a four-person race.
Fifteen percent (15%) of Democrats and Democratic leaning Independents remain undecided and 3% say they are not likely to vote.
See full crosstab results.
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The national survey of 909 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted June 28-30, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results for the full sample have a 3.4 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.
Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).