If the 2020 election for President were held today, 45% of Registered Voters would cast their ballot for former Vice President Joe Biden and 37% would prefer President Donald Trump. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 6% would vote for a third option, 5% would not vote, and 7% are not sure what they would do.
In a match-up with Senator Elizabeth Warren, the president trails by two points 40% to 38%. Against Senator Bernie Sanders, he trails by one 40% to 39%.
It’s important to note that 18% to 23% of voters in these match-ups remain uncommitted to either major candidate.
These results are little changed from a month ago (see topline trends). Warren is up two points relative to our August poll, Biden up one, and Sanders unchanged. Biden, Sanders, and Warren have consistently been the leaders in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. Additionally, they are viewed more favorably than other Democratic contenders.
We also tested the president’s support in match-ups against eight other Democratic hopefuls. In every case, President Trump attracts between 37% and 39% of the vote. He is tied with Senator Kamala Harris and leads the others by two-to-seven points. He enjoys his largest advantage over Andrew Yang, 39% to 32%.
Again, it’s important to note the large number of voters uncommitted to either candidate. For these second-tier Democratic candidates, the uncommitted total ranges from 24% to 32%, dwarfing the margin between the candidates.
Other results from the survey:
Trump 38% Kamala Harris 38%
Trump 38% Beto O’Rourke 36%
Trump 38% Pete Buttigieg 34%
Trump 38% Cory Booker 33%
Trump 38% Julian Castro 33%
Trump 37% Tom Steyer 31%
Trump 38% Amy Klobuchar 32%
Trump 39% Andrew Yang 32%
At this early stage of the race, ScottRasmussen.com is not pushing respondents to determine which way they lean. However, a look at the crosstab results suggests that the currently uncommitted voters might lean towards the Democrat in the race.
In addition to polling data, we update a measure of the candidates’ Social Media Support daily.
We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economy, health care, immigration, Congress, ratings of Congressional leaders, Election 2020, the Democratic Primaries, Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).
This survey of 1,002 Registered Voters was conducted September 21-22, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and a Demographic Profile of the sample). Results from the full sample have +/-3.1 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.
Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).