If the 2020 election for President were held today, 45% of voters would vote for Joe Biden and 36% would vote for Donald Trump. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 9% would vote for a third option, 4% would not vote, and 7% are not sure what they would do.
Biden’s nine-point lead is down slightly from an eleven-point advantage a few weeks ago.
Bernie Sanders is the only other Democratic hopeful with a lead over the president. He holds a 41% to 38% edge, within the margin of error. And, that lead is down a couple of points from the prior survey. Biden and Sanders hold the early lead in the Democratic Primary competition.
The president leads Senator Elizabeth Warren by four points (39% to 35%), former Congressman Beto O’Rourke by four (38% to 34%), Senator Kamala Harris by six (38% to 32%) Senator Cory Booker by seven (38% to 31%), Julian Castro by eight (38% to 30%). and Jay Inslee by 13 (38% to 25%).
It’s important to note that Biden’s lead probably stems from both his high name recognition and the fact that he is perceived as the frontrunner for the nomination. If another Democrat were to assume the frontrunner’s role, it is likely that she or he would see a lead similar to Biden’s in this poll. Of course, the numbers could shift as voters get more familiar with any of these candidates.
See full crosstab results.
We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).
The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted March 31-April 1, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.
Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).