FULL WEEK DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY RESULTS: Biden 35% Warren 18% Sanders 15%

For the week of October 4-11, 2019, former Vice President Joe Biden remains the Democrat’s frontrunner with support from 35% of “Definite” voters. Senator Elizabeth Warren is in second place with 18% followed by Senator Bernie Sanders at 15%.

Those three candidates also have the highest favorability ratings among the Democratic hopefuls.

Senator Kamala Harris remains in fourth with 6% of the vote. She is followed by South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (5%), and former Congressman Beto O’Rourke (3%). Senator Cory Booker and businessman Andrew Yang both attract 2% of the vote.

Eight percent (8%) are not sure how they will vote and nobody else attracts more than 1% of voters.

In reviewing all survey data on the Democratic race, it’s important to remember that we are in the very early stages of the campaign and most voters are not paying much attention. Voters are more engaged in early voting states like Iowa and New Hampshire. Early state polls generally show Biden and Warren in a much more competitive race than the national polling suggests.

These results are based upon a survey of 1,815 Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents who say they will “Definitely” vote in their state’s primary or caucus (see full crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com conducts surveys on the Democratic presidential race every day and releases the results on a three-day rolling average basis weeknights at 5:00 p.m. Eastern time. Those updates measure immediate responses to events in the news and provide an early warning indicator for potential trends and developments.

However, daily tracking results are also subject to statistical noise due to a relatively small sample size. With that in mind, ScottRasmussen.com releases data each Saturday based upon a full week of interviews. This provides a more stable measure of the race and allows for more demographic analysis. 

In addition to the Democratic race, ScottRasmussen.com tracks the president’s job approval and the Generic Congressional Ballot on a daily basis. In 2018, our final Generic Ballot poll showed the Democrats with an 8-point advantage among the most likely voters. That was very close to the actual popular vote margin of victory for Nancy Pelosi’s party.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

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This national survey was conducted September 27-October 4, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results are presented based upon interviews with 1,815 Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent Voters  who say they will “Definitely” vote in their state’s primary or caucus. Results from this sample have +/- 2.3 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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