Dems Hold Steady Lead on Generic Congressional Ballot

For the three days ending November 1, Democrats enjoy a 49% to 43% lead on the Generic Ballot. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey of 1,913 Likely Voters found that 3% will vote for a third party candidate while 5% remain undecided (see crosstab results).

These numbers bounced around a bit in recent weeks but have stabilized in recent days. The three-day rolling average results showed Democrats with a 7-point advantage on the prior two releases.

A six or seven point popular vote victory on Tuesday would likely give the Democrats narrow control of Congress. However, as I have noted, a shift of just one or two percentage points in either direction could have a profound impact on the final outcome of Election 2018.

The national survey of 1,913 Likely Voters was conducted October 29-November 1, 2018 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the demographic profile of our sample). It has a +/-2.3 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Data released today showed that 76% of voters are confident the ballots will be properly counted next week. Voters have confidence in both paper ballots and electronic ballots. However, they are skeptical about mail-in ballots and smartphone voting.

While voters are generally confident about counting the votes, they are less comfortable with what the winners do after election day. Seventy percent (70%) believe elected officials use their position to help businesses that support them.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). Sign up to receive the latest insights each day via email. You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Deeper Currents

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