Daily Generic Ballot: Democrats 42% Republicans 37%


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For the three days ending May 17, 2019, ScottRasmussen.com found that 42% of Registered Voters would vote for the Democrat from their district and 37% would vote for the Republican.

Four percent (4%) would vote for some other party, 4% would not vote, and 13% are not sure (see crosstab results).

The Democratic lead on the Generic Ballot has remained generally steady since Election Day last November (see daily topline trends). So has the president’s job approval ratings (updated weekdays at 5:00 p.m. Eastern).

We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues.

It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). 

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The Generic Ballot question provides a good ongoing measurement of the political environment. We simply ask people if the election for Congress were held today, would they vote for the Republican or the Democrat from their District.

In the run-up to an election, the Generic Ballot provides a ballpark sense of how the popular vote for the House of Representatives will turn out. In 2018, our final Generic Ballot poll showed the Democrats with an 8-point advantage among the most likely voters. That matched the actual popular vote margin of victory for Nancy Pelosi’s party.

In between elections, the Generic Ballot can give us a sense of which way the political tides are flowing. As the new Congress settles in, it will give us a benchmark for measuring how well or poorly the new Democratic House majority is being received.

Our daily Generic Ballot updates are based upon daily interviews with approximately 1,000 Registered Voters and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The surveys are conducted by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the demographic profile of our sample).

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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