Daily Congressional Ballot: Democrats 43% Republicans 36%


For the three days ending March 15, 2019, ScottRasmussen.com found that 43% of Registered Voters would vote for the Democrat from their district and 36% would vote for the Republican.

Five percent (5%) would vote for some other party, 4% would not vote, and 11% are not sure (see crosstab results).

ScottRasmussen.com has launched an exciting new social media monitoring service. Every 15 minutes, we will update the both the favorability and intensity of feeling found on social media chatter about President Trump. We also provide the ability to explore trends over time.

This is not a poll, so the scale goes from +1 to -1. A plus one would mean that every social media mention was strongly favorable to the president. A 0 means that the positive and negative comments are evenly balanced. The president’s job approval ratings are a bit negative these days (below 50-50) and the president’s social media ratings are also a bit negative (below 0).

Perhaps the most interesting aspect of this monitor is that we show the words coming up on social media related to the president. There are separate columns for words used by supporters and opponents of the president. Given the nature of the news cycle, many terms are similar on both sides. But it’s often revealing to see which words are different and which rank as a higher priority for one side or the other.

Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day  explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology.

The Democratic lead on the Generic Ballot has remained generally steady since Election Day last November (see daily topline trends).

Generic Congressional Ballot updates are released on this page every Tuesday through Saturday at 6:00 a.m. Eastern. ScottRasmussen.com updates the president’s job approval ratings weekdays at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). We release new polling data daily. Sign up HERE to receive the latest numbers in our daily email update. You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

The Generic Ballot question provides a good ongoing measurement of the political environment. We simply ask people if the election for Congress were held today, would they vote for the Republican or the Democrat from their District.

In the run-up to an election, the Generic Ballot provides a ballpark sense of how the popular vote for the House of Representatives will turn out. In 2018, our final Generic Ballot poll showed the Democrats with an 8-point advantage among the most likely voters. That matched the actual popular vote margin of victory for Nancy Pelosi’s party.

In between elections, the Generic Ballot can give us a sense of which way the political tides are flowing. As the new Congress settles in, it will give us a benchmark for measuring how well or poorly the new Democratic House majority is being received.

Our daily Generic Ballot updates are based upon daily interviews with approximately 1,000 Registered Voters and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The surveys are conducted by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the demographic profile of our sample).

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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