Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 42% Republicans 36%


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For the three days ending July 22, 2019, found that 42% of Registered Voters would vote for the Democrat from their district and 36% would vote for the Republican.

Democrats have maintained a steady lead on the Generic Ballot all year (see daily topline trends).

Four percent (4%) of all voters would vote for some other party, 5% would not vote, and 13% are not sure (see crosstab results). also provides regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues.

It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). 

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The Generic Ballot question provides a good ongoing measurement of the political environment. We simply ask, “If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Republican or the Democrat from your District?”

In the run-up to an election, the Generic Ballot provides a ballpark sense of how the popular vote for the House of Representatives will turn out. In 2018, our final Generic Ballot poll showed the Democrats with an 8-point advantage among the most likely voters. That matched the actual popular vote margin of victory for Nancy Pelosi’s party.

In between elections, the Generic Ballot can give us a sense of which way the political tides are flowing. As the new Congress settles in, it will give us a benchmark for measuring how well or poorly the new Democratic House majority is being received.

Our daily Generic Ballot updates are based upon daily interviews with approximately 1,000 Registered Voters and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The surveys are conducted by and HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and the demographic profile of our sample).

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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