The ScottRasmussen.com daily tracking poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden as the frontrunner in the race for the Democratic nomination. Our polling also shows consistently that Senators Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and Kamala Harris remain in the top-tier. Recognizing that things could tighten up as the field narrows, we asked about head-to-head match-ups among the leading candidates:
Interestingly, no one candidate “wins” a match-up against all three of their top contenders:
- Biden 44% Sanders 38%
- Biden 42% Harris 38%
- Warren 41% Biden 39%
- Sanders 42% Harris 35%
- Sanders 43% Warren 37%
- Harris 38% Warren 33%
Biden and Sanders each lead in two of the three match-ups while Warren and Harris each lead in one.
These numbers have shifted some since July, but still convey the sense that there is no clear favorite at the moment.
Data released earlier showed that 77% of Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents would be satisfied or excited with Warren as their party’s presidential nominee. Seventy-six percent (76%) say the same about Biden. At this point, 70% would be satisfied with Sanders and 65% with Harris. These numbers suggest that Democrats are currently prepared to unite behind whichever candidate is selected to challenge President Trump.
The president’s job approval rating (updated daily) has also remained stable throughout the year. Despite that stability, the number who believe it’s likely that the president will be re-elected has grown every month. In August, 63% say President Trump is at least somewhat likely to be re-elected, up from 46% in February.
We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economy, health care, immigration, Congress, ratings of Congressional leaders, Election 2020, the Democratic Primaries, Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).
The national survey of 909 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted August 16-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results for the full sample have a 3.4 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.
Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).