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Democratic Primary: Biden 34% Warren 18% Sanders 16%

For the week of October 11-18, 2019, former Vice President Joe Biden remains the Democrat’s frontrunner with support from 34% of “Definite” voters. Senator Elizabeth Warren is in second place with 18% followed by Senator Bernie Sanders at 16%.

Those three candidates also have the highest favorability ratings among the Democratic hopefuls.

Senator Kamala Harris remains in fourth with 5% of the vote. She is followed by South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (%), and former Congressman Beto O’Rourke (3%). Senator Cory Booker, Senator Amy Klobuchar, and businessman Andrew Yang each attract 2% of the vote.

Ten percent (10%) are not sure how they will vote and nobody else attracts more than 1% of voters.

In reviewing all survey data on the Democratic race, it’s important to remember that we are in the very early stages of the campaign. Data released recently showed that most voters are open to changing their mind. The race has remained essentially unchanged for months and we will pause our regular tracking of it.

These results are based upon a survey of 1,815 Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents who say they will “Definitely” vote in their state’s primary or caucus (see full crosstab results).

This national survey was conducted October 11-18, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results are presented based upon interviews with 1,839 Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent Voters  who say they will “Definitely” vote in their state’s primary or caucus. Results from this sample have +/- 2.3 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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President’s Job Approval Daily

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The ScottRasmussen.com Job Approval Poll is updated weekdays at 5:00 P.M. Eastern

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Daily Democratic Primary Updates

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These results are based upon a three-day rolling average. See full week results based upon a seven-day sample.

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Weekly Democratic Primary Updates Ending 10/4

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FULL WEEK DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY RESULTS: Biden 33% Warren 19% Sanders 15%

For the week of September 20-27, 2019, former Vice President Joe Biden remains the Democrat’s frontrunner with support from 33% of “Definite”  voters. Senator Elizabeth Warren is in second place with 19% followed by Senator Bernie Sanders at 15%.

Following the third round of Democratic debates, those three candidates also had the highest favorability ratings among the Democratic hopefuls.

Senator Kamala Harris remains in fourth with 6% of the vote. She is followed by South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (5%), and former Congressman Beto O’Rourke (3%). Senator Cory Booker and businessman Andrew Yang both attract 2% of the vote.

Nine percent (9%) are not sure how they will vote and nobody else attracts more than 1% of voters.

Following the last debate, Yang, Julian Castro, and Amy Klobuchar saw their net favorability ratings fall by double digits.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters at least somewhat support O’Rourke’s call for a mandatory buyback of all semi-automatic weapons. However, few believe that most gun owners would comply with the law if it were to pass.

As for the Democratic race, Sanders leads among voters under 35. However, Biden leads among all other age groups. Among those over 65, it’s Biden 42%, Warren 21%, and Sanders 5% (see full crosstab results).

In reviewing all survey data on the Democratic race, it’s important to remember that we are in the very early stages of the campaign and most voters are not paying much attention. Voters are more engaged in early voting states like Iowa and New Hampshire. Polls in those states generally show Biden, Warren, and Sanders as the top three candidates. However, the early state races appear to be far more competitive than the national polling suggests.

These results are based upon a survey of 1,840 Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents who say they will “Definitely” vote in their state’s primary or caucus.

NOTE: Bill deBlasio was included in the survey prior to dropping out of the race.

ScottRasmussen.com conducts surveys on the Democratic presidential race every day and releases the results on a three-day rolling average basis weeknights at 5:00 p.m. Eastern time. Those updates measure immediate responses to events in the news and provide an early warning indicator for potential trends and developments.

However, daily tracking results are also subject to statistical noise due to a relatively small sample size. With that in mind, ScottRasmussen.com releases data each Saturday based upon a full week of interviews. This provides a more stable measure of the race and allows for more demographic analysis. 

In addition to the Democratic race, ScottRasmussen.com tracks the president’s job approval and the Generic Congressional Ballot on a daily basis. In 2018, our final Generic Ballot poll showed the Democrats with an 8-point advantage among the most likely voters. That was very close to the actual popular vote margin of victory for Nancy Pelosi’s party.

Beyond our daily tracking, we also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020Trust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

This national survey was conducted September 13-20, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results are presented based upon interviews with 1,871 Registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent Voters  who say they will “Definitely” vote in their state’s primary or caucus. Results from this sample have +/- 2.3 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

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Demographics Aug. 30-31-19

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Crosstabs Aug. 30-31-19

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Crosstabs Aug. 30-31-19

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Demographics Sep. 9-10-19

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Crosstabs Sep. 9-10-19

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Crosstabs Sep. 9-10-19

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Crosstabs Sep. 12-13-19

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Demographics Sep. 12-13-19

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Crosstabs Sep. 12-13-19

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