84% Believe Kavanaugh Likely to Be Confirmed

As the confirmation hearings for Judge Brett Kavanaugh begin, just 13% of voters nationwide have been following news Very Closely about the Supreme Court nominee. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that another 35% say they’ve been following the story Somewhat Closely. Most, however, have not been paying much attention (see question wording and topline results).

Still, 84% of those who are at least a bit aware of the news believe Kavanaugh is at least somewhat likely to win confirmation. That’s certainly the conventional wisdom.  Seventeen percent (17%) of voters have a Very Favorable opinion of Kavanaugh while 16% have a Very Unfavorable view. The rest (67%) have softer opinions.

Ideologically, 36% say Kavanaugh is about right while 35% say too conservative. Data released earlier shows that voters believe the Court is pretty evenly balanced today: 33% believe it is too conservative and 28% say too liberal. Voters see health care, immigration, and gun control as the top issues on the Court’s agenda.

Forty-eight percent (48%) of those following the story so far want their Senator to vote for confirmation while 52% would prefer a vote against.

The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted August 15-16, 2018 for ScottRasmussen.com by HarrisX, a leading research company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology and sample Demographics). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error  with a 95% level of confidence. See Crosstabs.

The mission of ScottRasmussen.com is to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us). We release new polling data four to eight times each day. Sign up HERE to receive the latest numbers in our daily email update. You can also follow our work on Twitter and Facebook.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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