As the race for the Democratic presidential nomination gets underway, 56% of Democrats believe it is Very Likely that their party will nominate someone under 70 to challenge President Trump. If that turns out to be the case, it would mean some of the better known hopefuls will be out of luck. Former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Bernie Sanders are both over 70. Senator Elizabeth Warren will be in 2020.
A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 33% think the nominee is Very Likely to be a woman. However, it is clear that Democratic voters do not have a clear expectation at this point. Twenty-nine percent (29%) believe the nominee is Very Likely to be a progressive while an identical number say a white male.
Twenty-seven percent (27%) expect a person of color and 27% a moderate.
Sixteen percent (16%) think the nominee is Very Likely to be a Socialist; 14% say a Billionaire; and 13% expect someone from the Midwest.
When Republicans and Independents are included, the general expectations remain similar. Also, there are not significant differences between white and nonwhite Democrats (see question wording and crosstab data).
We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).
The national survey of 1,093 Adults was conducted January 14-15, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.
Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).