55% Might Vote for 3rd Party Presidential Candidate; 40% Believe 3rd Party Could Win

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters nationwide would be at least somewhat likely to vote for a third-party presidential candidate in 2020. That figure includes 17% who would be Very Likely to do so.

A ScottRasmussen.com national survey also found that 51% believe it would be good for America to have a serious third-party candidate. Only 18% believe it would be bad.

Former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz had an op-ed in USA Today suggesting that “A third-party centrist candidate like me could win the presidency in 2020.” Forty percent (40%) believe it is at least somewhat likely such a candidate could win. That includes 10% who say it’s Very Likely.

However, Schultz himself is virtually unknown. Just 17% of voters have a favorable opinion of him and 17% an unfavorable view. The rest either have never heard of him or have no opinion.

Given a choice between Donald Trump, a centrist Democrat, and a third-party candidate, 39% would vote for the centrist Democrat, 32% for President Trump, and 29% for the third-party option.

The results are similar when asked about a progressive Democrat. In that match-up, the Democrat gets 40%, Trump 33% and the third party candidate 27%.

In both options, 23% of Republicans would vote for the third-party candidate. Among women, just 27% would support the president.

Among suburban women, a key demographic group, the president attracts less support than the third-party candidate against either a progressive or a centrist Democrat (see crosstab results).

Earlier polling showed the president trailing a Generic Democrat by six percentage points. That’s little different than the 7-point deficit in this poll relative to either a progressive or a centrist Democrat.

If a third party candidate were to run, most Republicans would like someone with a strong business background and no political experience. Most Democrats would prefer the opposite–a strong political background with no business experience. Independent voters are divided.

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The national survey of 1,003 Registered Voters was conducted January 29-30, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results for the full sample have a +/- 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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