54% Expect Biden to Be Democratic Nominee; Same As Before First Round of Debates

Heading into the second presidential debate, 54% of Registered Democrats and Democratic leaning Independents think Joe Biden is likely to win the Democratic presidential nomination. That number is unchanged from a ScottRasmussen.com national survey conducted the night before the first round of Democratic debates.

The survey also found that 17% see Bernie Sanders as the likely nominee, 8% say Elizabeth Warren, and 5% think the winner will be Kamala Harris.  These results are broadly similar to expectations heading into the first debate as well.

Pete Buttigieg and Beto O’Rourke are each expected to win by 2%. No other candidate tops the 1% mark (see full crosstab results).

Biden currently enjoys a significant lead in the race for the Democratic nomination. leads in the primaries. Measures of Social Media Support are more fluid. Social media updates are released by ScottRasmussen.com each morning at 4:30 a.m. Eastern.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email.

We provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. We also provide regular updates on the economyhealth careimmigrationCongress, ratings of Congressional leadersElection 2020, the Democratic PrimariesTrust in Government, and which party voters trust on key issues. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

Please follow our work on TwitterFacebook, and YouTube.

The national survey of 884 Registered Democrats and Democratic Leaning Independents was conducted July 27-29, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). Results for the full sample have a 3.4 percentage point Margin of Sampling Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!