51% of Democrats Expect Impeachment If Their Team Wins House

If Democrats win majority control of the House in November, 39% of all voters believe they will vote to impeach President Trump. A ScottRasmussen.com national survey found that 25% consider impeachment unlikely and 36% are not sure.

If their team wins, most Democrats (51%) expect a vote to impeach the president. Twenty-three percent (23%) say it’s unlikely and 26% are not sure.

Among Republicans and Independents, just 31% consider impeachment likely (see question wording and crosstabs).

This survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted for ScottRasmussen.com on September 27-28, 2018 by HarrisX, a leading research firm specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). The statistical margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. The questions concerning impeachment were asked of half the respondents using a split sample approach. For these questions, the statistical margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

If Republicans retain control of the House, 18% of voters believe they will vote to impeach the president.

Democrats currently hold a nine-point lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot.

race-by-race analysis shows that Democrats are already favored to win 208 seats. That would reflect a net gain of 13, more than half of what they need. To win a majority, they would also need to win 10 of the are 19 toss-ups in play. Additionally, 12 more races are barely tilting in the GOP direction now. With a good Democratic turnout in November, they could flip as well.

ScottRasmussen.com presents this data to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us and review all of our recent data releases).

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).


Posted in Poll Results

Scott's Newsletter
Sign up for Scott's newsletter and get his political insight delivered right to your inbox!