50% Believe Trump Likely to Win in 2020 But 49% Disagree

Fifty percent (50%) of voters nationwide believe it is at least somewhat likely President Trump will be re-elected in 2020. A ScottRasmussen.com survey found that 49% disagree and he is not likely to win the presidency again.

Those figures include 23% who say he is Very Likely to be re-elected and 18% who say such an outcome is Not at All Likely.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Republicans believe the president is likely to win while 73% of Democrats take the opposite view. Independent voters are evenly divided (see crosstab results).

A recent column by Scott Rasmussen argued that Trump can’t win in 2020 but that Democrats could lose. He notes that many of the Democrats’ most enthusiastic voters “dream of a progressive candidate who would want to make the country more like California. Such a candidate could once again convince many swing voters that President Trump is the lesser of two evils.”

Other data from the survey showed that 83% believe the president will run for re-election. At the other extreme, 15% believe he will not be president at the end of this year.

ScottRasmussen.com releases new public opinion data every day relating to topics in the news and other items of interest. Please sign up to receive the latest data and insights each day via email. 

We also provide daily updates on the president’s job approval and the generic congressional ballot. It’s all part of our mission to enhance the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion (read About Us).

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The national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters was conducted February 22-23, 2019 by ScottRasmussen.com and HarrisX, a polling company specializing in online surveys (see Methodology). It has a 3.1 percentage point Margin of Error with a 95% level of confidence.

Neither Scott Rasmussen nor ScottRasmussen.com has any relationship with Rasmussen Reports® (see About Us).

Posted in Poll Results

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